National Tax Journal Vol. 48, no. 1, (March, 1995), pp. 103-12 ON FRIEDRICHHAYEK AND TAXATION: RATIONALITY, RULES, AND MAJORITYRULE MICHAEL W. SPICER* nomic order. Although known and respected by economists for his contributions to economic theory, Hayek was also well known outside of economics for his forceful and eloquent advocacy of the principles of classical liberalism and free-market economics. Abstract - This paper explores the implications of the work of the /ate Friedrich Hayek for taxation policy. Hayek’s writings on the limits of rationality, the role of rules, and the limits of majority rule are examined. It is argued that Hayek’s work here provides general support for broad-based nondiscriminatory tax policies but can be interpreted as cautioning against either radical or frequent changes in tax policy. His work also makes clear the importance of focusing on the institutional context of tax policy formulation. Hayek’s approach is compared here with that of mainstream economists and that of James Buchanan. Hayek was by no means prolific on the subject of taxation, his major contribution here being a rather short and sharp critique of progressive taxation in his book The Constitution of Liberty (1960, pp. 306-23). However, his political and social thought has much broader implications for tax policy. Particularly relevant here are Hayek’s writings on the limits of human rationality, the role of rules, and the limits of majority rule. This article explores the implications of this work for taxation policy and compares these with mainstream economic thinking. In doing so, the article will deal with the implications of Hayek’s thought specifically for taxation policy rather than his observations about the role of government in society. It is argued here that Hayek’s thought provides the basis in general for a critique of discriminatory taxation, emphasizes the importance of stability and continuity in tax policy, and directs our attention to the process by which our society makes its taxing deci- INTRODUCTION The late Friedrich A. Hayek was one of the most distinguished economists of this century. Born and educated in Vienna, he became a leader in what is termed the “Austrian School,” a branch of economics that, in contrast to mainstream neoclassical economics, stresses the importance of the variables of time, change, and information in the eco*Levm College of Urban Affatrs, Cleveland State Unwersity, Cleveland, Ohio 44115 103 National Tax Journal Vol. 48, no. 1, (March, 1995), pp. 103-12 sions. Furthermore, given that there are some parallels between the Hayekian ap. preach to taxation developed here and the approach taken by James Buchanan (1993), an attempt will be made to identify some of the similarities and differences in these approaches. beliefs about the world rather than facts. Hayek argued thGt such subjective knowledge cannot exist “as an integrated whole or in one mind” but rather consists of “the separate and often inconsistent and even cohflicting views of different people” (Hayek, 1979a, p. 92). THE LIMITS OF RATIONALITY The problem of making use of knowledge, which by its veryi nature cannot be given to a single mind, is what makes necessary decentralizatibn of economic decision making and f&ms the basis for Hayek’s argument for a market-based social order or cata//ax$ as he termed it. A market-based social Order provides opportunities and incentivks for individuals to acquire and use knobledge that is relevant to their activiti?s. It also provides opportunities and’ incentives for individuals to adjust their different views of the world to each at/her and to reality. However, the relevdnce of thns problem of acquiring and u$ing knowledge extends beyond the mairket. Unlike mainstream economists who emphasize models of utility maximization and either Ignore or downplay the limits on human cognitive capacity, Hayek’s (1948, 1979a) writings stress the limitations of human rationality and the human mind as central to the problem of economic and social organization. According to Hayek, because of the complexity of human actions and interactions, individuals potentially face overwhelming uncertainty in predicting the consequences of both their behavior and the behavior of others. In Hayek’s view, whatever are the requirements for an effective social order,, knowledge of these is never available to a single mind. No single individual or central authority can know what information is required to rationally plan and direct the use of resources in society or where that information might be obtained. In particular, the inhereht limitations on knowledge available to igovernment means that government officials seeking to make decisions will lways face considerable, if not overwhelming, uncera tainty regarding the consequences of alternative policy interven~tions in the market order. Hayek (1973) warned here that “the more indirect and remote effects (of interventions) Till mostly be unknown” ~(p. 57) and that “many wellintentioned measures may have a long train of unforeseeable and undesirable consequences” (p. 59). He was critical of ambitious utilitarian approaches to evaluating actions because they “must proceed on a factual assuflption of omniscience which is never s;jtisfied” (Hayek, 1976, p. 20). Hayek (1973) was opposed to the use of governmelnt power to secure partHcular social enus or to serve the interests of particuldr individuals or groups because of “the necessary and Irredeemable ignorance on everybody’s Much of the knowledge necessary for the functioning of an effective social order comes into existence, according to Hayek (1948), only as individuals seek to discover facts that may be to their advantage in particular situations. In other words, such knowledge is not given, but can only be discovered as individuals work on the particular tasks that they have undertaken. This knowledge tends often to be based on experience and practice rather than scientific analysis. It is, according to Hayek (l948), a “knowledge of people, of local conditions, and of special circumstances” (p. 80). Much of it is also inherently subjective in nature and consists more of opinions and 104 I National Tax Journal Vol. 48, no. 1, (March, 1995), pp. 103-12 ON FRIEDRICH HAYEK AND TAXATION ments about how individuals will respond to higher taxes on income and energy. Some economists see the package as necessary to correct past inequities in taxation policy, as useful in curbing energy consumption, and as essential to the reduction of the deficit and the promotion of long-term growth and prosperity. Others see the package as damaging individual incentives to invest, promoting the use of tax avoidance schemes, doing little to curb the longrun deficit, and leading to economic stagnation. Such controversy exists because of our inevitable lack of knowledge as to how millions of individuals will make their buying and selling choices in the face of taxation policies. Hayek’s writings would suggest that we can never really know beforehand the specific effects of taxation policies because we can never have or use the knowledge that exists in the minds of buyers and sellers. part of most of the particular facts which determine the actions of all the several members of human society” (P. 12). Furthermore, according to Hayek, while the science of economics can help in understanding the general nature of a market-based social order, its ability to assist in predicting the effects of specific policy interventions in particular situations within that order is inevitably limited by the fact that we cannot know all of the relevant facts in those situations. Even what appear, then, to be marginal interventions may have significant unknown and potentially harmful consequences. According to Hayek (1973), given the inherent complexity of marketbased social orders, “we will never be able to determine more than the general principles on which they operate or to predict the particular changes that any event in the environment will bring about” (p. 63). Economics cannot provide a “knowledge of the particulars of a concrete situation, which it does not and cannot possess” (pp. 63-4). Hayek’s ideas here strongly suggest the difficulties of using taxation policies to intentionally encourage particular types of economic behavior or to favor or penalize particular groups of individuals in society. If the effects of such policies upon human behavior depend upon knowledge that we can never have, then their effects are inevitably uncertain and may in fact even be inconsistent with the objectives we seek to achieve. Given limited knowledge, discrimination in taxation then, whether to promote goals of efficiency or equity, must have unforeseen and unforeseeable consequences. The foregoing then would seem to provide a plausible argument for the use in general of nondiscriminatory broadbased taxation. By attempting to avoid discriminatory tax policies, governments may be better able to avoid the unforeseen and potentially harmful outcomes that result from such policies. The foregoing has particular relevance for taxation policies. Taxation policies are, after all, especially susceptible to uncertainty because their effects depend upon the unpredictable behavior of millions of individuals. As a reading of most texts in public finance will demonstrate, there is considerable debate among economists about who bears the burden of certain taxes; about how responsive or elastic are work effort, consumption, savings, or risk-taking with respect to changes in tax policies; and about the effects of fiscal policies on aggregate demand, national income, and unemployment. Different economists interpret the evidence in different ways. Genuine controversy, for example, surrounds the effects of President Clinton’s 1993 tax package because of disagree- In this sense, whatever 105 their theoretical National Tax Journal Vol. 48, no. 1, (March, 1995), pp. 103-12 merits, the simple old-fashioned tax principles of horizontal tax equity and neutrality, while not discussed explicitly by Hayek himself, would seem to provide helpful guides to tax policymakers. By horizontal equity, what is meant here is simply the equal taxation of taxpayers with the same ability to pay, as measured in financial terms. This does not mean that tax burdens should be arranged so as to secure any type of equalization of sacrifice of or IO!5 of economic welfare. Such utilitarian notions of equalizing sacrxfice among taxpayers presuppose a knowledge of individual tastes and preferences that, from a Hayekian perspective, simply cannot exist. Indeed, Hayek himself was explicitly critical of such1 utilitarian approaches to taxation. He argued that the use of utility analysis in the theory of taxation was “a regrettable mistake” and that “the sooner we can rid ourselves of the confusion it has caused, the better” (Hayek, 1960, p. 309). ing aggregate social utility through discriminatory tax poliiies, would seem to require considerabl$ more information about the effects of p&-ticular taxes than is likely to exist in any one mind or group of minds. Principles of horizontall equity and neutrality are seen as desi/-able then, not on any utilitarian grounds/ but rather simply because the use of suth principles to guide tax policy tends ~to discourage the use of discriminatory tgx policies and may, thereby, limit unf/oreseen and potentially harmful outcomes. At the same time, however, Hayek’$ writings may be inteirpreted as providin a warning against radical change in taxation polICY, whatever the obje :gtives of such radical changes might be. iln this regard, large changes in tax pglicy, even when directed toward broadjbased nondiscrim,Inatory taxation, may de argued to have unforeseen and possib y undesirable consequences. Tax reform I then directed at broadening the tax baje should perhaps proceed incrementally pver time rather than all at once. I do dot, of course, claim that Hayek him&If would have endorsed this particular argument. However, the argument is jonetheless consistent with his views on the limits of human knowledge. Haj/ek’s central message was, after all, a critique of those who believe that we h+ve the knowledge to design human institutions anew on the basis of human, reason, and this surelly must include the/se who would seek to design tax instiitutions, however laudable their intention~s. He argued that “all progress must be ased on tradition” and that we “ca 5:I only tinker with its products” (Hayek, 197913, p. 167). Neutrality means here that, insofar as IS possible, taxes should be uniform across different economic activities and should not interfere in market decision making. Specifically, we should avoid making particular activities’ more or less financially attractive to individuals as a result of taxation. This does not mean that tax burdens should be deliberately arranged so as to minimize losses in social welfare. Such a task would again presume too much knowledge in terms of the possible effects of particular tax policies. In this regard, had he written on the subject, Hayek might well have been quite critical of more contemporary optimal taxation theorists, who argue that discrimination in taxation may in fact be desirable as a meains to minimize the losses in economic efficiency arising from taxation.’ From a Hayekian perspective, the practical application of optimal taxation theory, aimed at maximiz- THE ROLE OF RULES The second important area of Hayek’s work concerns the role1 of rules in a social order. The limits of, our knowledge and the resulting uncerkainty, in Hayek’s 106 I National Tax Journal Vol. 48, no. 1, (March, 1995), pp. 103-12 ON FRIEDRICH HAYEK AND TAXATION view (1973), lead to the development of a system of rules that govern the interaction of individuals and that limit the harm that individual actions can create for others. The actions of all individuals in a free society, including the actions of governments, must, according to Hayek, be constrained by what he terms “rules of just conduct” or the Rule of Law. These consist of norms or rules of social interaction that have developed and have been applied by communities over the long run. Such rules have been developed as a means of coping with uncertainty and serve an evolutionary function in helping communities survive. They are, as Hayek (1973) noted, “adaptations to the impossibility of anyone taking conscious account of all the particular facts which enter into the order of a society” (p. 13) and “have come to govern human actions because actions in accordance with them has proved more successful than those of competing individuals and groups” (p. 18). tionality discussed earlier. However, to properly serve their purpose, rules of just conduct must apply not only to the actions of individuals but also to those of government officials. Particularly important in this regard are rules that limit the coercive powers of government to the application of general rules applicable to all. Hayek (1979b) argued that the only legitimate basis for “coercion by the supreme authority refers to the enforcement of general rules of conduct equally applicable to all” (p. 135). In other words, Hayek believed that coercive acts by government should be restrained by rules providing for the equality of individuals under the law. Without general rules applicable to all, in Hayek’s view, government actions will inevitably become arbitrary. Even if discrimination in government action is initially based on benevolent motives and restricted to those who need or deserve it, Hayek argued that such discretion will inevitably be used to the advantage of any group that can bring to bear its influence or power against citizens. As Hayek (1979b) noted, “to break the principle of equal treatment under the law even for charity’s sake inevitably opened the floodgates to arbitrariness” (p. 103). Rules of just conduct reduce uncertainty by defining the range of permitted actions that individuals may take toward others. Their purpose is, as Hayek (I 973) noted, “to prevent as much as possible . . . the actions of different individuals from interfering with each other” (p. 108). In doing so, rules of just conduct are not concerned with the attainment of what some might see as “socially just” outcomes but rather simply define a domain or a sphere of actions for individuals. Hayek (1960) also believed strongly that rules must be “known and certain” (p. 208). Indeed, his argument for restricting the discretion of government by rules is based in significant part on the uncertainty that changes in governmentimposed rules can impose upon the private sector. He noted that “if the actions of the state were to direct the individual’s actions so as to achieve particular ends, its action would have to be decided on the basis of the full circumstances of the moment and would therefore be unpredictable” (Hayek, 1944, p. 76). According to Hayek (1944), “the more the state plans, the Acceptance of these rules of just conduct, particularly rules of property and exchange, has, according to Hayek, not only increased the liberty of citizens but also has made possible the evolution of a modern market-based economic order. Without the relative certainty provided by such rules, much of our present market-based economic activity could simply not exist given the limits on ra107 National Tax Journal Vol. 48, no. 1, (March, 1995), pp. 103-12 more difficult planning becomes for the individual” (p. 76). He further argued that “There is probably no single factor which has contributed more to the prosperity of the West than the relative certainty of the law which has prevailed here” (Hayek, 1960, p. 208). legislation so that it is now higher than it was prior to 1981. These frequent and inconsistent changes in tax laws also make ~clear the relevance of Hayek’s arguments ~concerning the certainty of rules or laws. Given the rapid and zigzag natuje of tax law changes, it seems indi$putable that uncertainty regarding taxi laws has increased and that the ability of private citizens and businesses to plan therr financial affairs has been impeded. The need for certainty in t x laws was apprea ciated by Adam Smith~(1937) but tends to be downplayed by contemporary public finance economists.’ Hayek’s work on the role of rules in society serves then as a useful reminder of the importance of this canon and of the need for would-be tax reformers to temper any desire for equity and efficiency in taxation with a concern for stability and predictability. Hayek’s emphasis on the importance of rules of conduct providing for equality of treatment of citizens by the law, as a restraint on arbitrary and discriminatory government actions, forms an important and perhaps key part of his critique of progressive income taxation (Hayek, 1960). According to Hayek (1960) “in the case of progression, the so-called principle adopted is no more than an open invitation to discrimination” and “must become the pretext for pure arbitrariness” (p. 31 4).2 It also, however, provides a more general argument for the use of broad-based and nondiscriminatory taxation and suggests then that, whatever the theoretical advantages of tax discrimination in particular cases, tax policymakers may nonetheless be well advised to follow old-falshioned norms of horizontal equity and neutrality, simply because pursuit of these norms tends to discourage arbitrariness in tax policy making. THE LIMITS OF MAJOIJITY RULE If the foregoing analysis is correct, the pursuit of tax policy w uld seem to require coinsiderable wis om and restraint on the part of those ,s”ho would make tax policy. In this regard, Hayek’s (1960, 197!3b) writings on de ocracy and majority rule are very rele 7 ant but give little cause for optimism. Hayek argued that governments elected by majority rule cannot be relied upon to develop or act according to rules of just conduct and, indeed, can be expect ‘d to enact discriminatory and arbitra 4 y coercive measures. According to Hayek, elected leaders in most western democracies including the United Stptes have lost their ability to establish1 coercive measures on the basis of rules of just conduct, since they must use them to serve the interests of the groups whose support they cannot afford to lose. Hayek noted that “Corrupt and at the same time weak, . . the governing majority must do what it can do to gratify the Certainly, the frequent and inconsistent changes in taxation policy across the past 15 years or so would seem to provide ample evidence of the inevitable arbitrariness of tax discrimination. Congress in 1977, for example, lowered the effective tax rate on capital gains and lowered it again in 1981, but then raised the rate in 1986 as a result of tax simplification. Furthermore, while considerably reducing the tax preference accorded to capital gains in 1986, Congress in subsequent legislation has again effectively widened the capital gains tax preference. Similarly, the corporate income tax burden was cut sharply in 1981 and then increased in subsequent 108 I National Tax Journal Vol. 48, no. 1, (March, 1995), pp. 103-12 ON FRIEDRICH HAYEK AND TAXATION wishes of the groups from which it needs support, however harmful to the rest such measures may be” and that “it is wholly incapable of pursuing a consistent course of action, lurching like a steamroller driven by one who is drunk” (Hayek, 1979b, p. 11). tled to enact any law that it pleases and that, as a result, majority rule has degenerated into a system of plebiscitary dictatorship. Majority rule is particularly subject to abuse where majority coalitions can make decisions about tax shares and can shift the cost of financing government goods and services that they desire to others. Hayek (197913) argued that the determination of tax shares by majority rule undermines rational decision making by encouraging a belief that “the other fellow will pay for it” (p. 52) and, furthermore, “provides a built-in inducement to irresponsible and wasteful expenditures” (p. 53). It also leads to a “built-in bias of the existing institutions towards the expansion of the machinery of government” (p. 53). Whether or not Hayek’s argument that majority rule leads to irresponsible and wasteful expenditures and to excessive government is accepted, it seems quite plausible to suggest that it has fostered the growth of tax discrimination in the form of tax preferences or tax expenditures. Since World War II, there has been a trend toward a proliferation of income tax preferences and an erosion of the tax base. Even after the 1986 Tax Reform Act and subsequent legislation, less than half of what economists term comprehensive income is taxable under law. Charles McLure, closely involved in preparing the Treasury Department’s tax reform proposal, and George Zodrow (1987) have argued that despite the achievements of the 1986 Tax Reform Act, “it is also amazing that a better reform package could not be passed” (p. 57). Majority rule, in Hayek’s view, is no longer an instrument for the expression of a common majority will but rather has become an instrument by which various groups in society can use political power to advance their interests at the expense of others. Hayek (1979b) argued that majority rule results in “handing over unlimited power to a group of elected representatives whose decisions must be guided by the exigencies of a bargaining process in which they bribe a sufficient number of voters to support an organized group of themselves numerous enough to outvote the rest” (pp. 4-5). He further noted that majority rule has become a means of “distributing the booty which can be extracted from a dissident minority” (197913, p. 139). It should be emphasized here that Hayek did not see the problem of majority rule as simply the consequence of the policy manipulations of government officials. Such manipulations were inevitable, from Hayek’s perspective, given the inability of government officials to resist the political demands generated by a system of relatively unrestrained majority rule. Hayek was not opposed to democratic processes but rather to relatively unrestrained majority rule. Seeming to echo John Locke, he believed that majority rule “serves as a protection against despotism and tyranny . . . a convention which mainly serves to prevent harm” (1979b, p. 133). However, he believed that the classical liberal notion that the laws enacted must be acceptable to the majority has become distorted into the modern notion that the majority is enti- On the basis of Hayek’s thought, proliferation of discriminatory tax preferences can be seen as a logical outcome of a bargaining process in which elected officials are forced by electoral pressures to exercise tax discrimination to bribe a sufficient number of voters to form an or109 National Tax Journal Vol. 48, no. 1, (March, 1995), pp. 103-12 ganized majority. The relative ease with which governments under majority rule can grant tax preferences considerably facilitates the building of exploitative and arbitrary majority coalitions. Perhaps not surprisingly then, Hayek saw constitutional limits on majority rule as a necessary step toward better public policy, including better tax policy. He suggested that rules having to do with tax shares should be determined by a special elected legislative assembly, insulated from the pressures of normal majoritarian politics, so that no one institution of government would have the power to simultaneously determine the level and distribution of taxation (Hayek, 1979b, pp. 105-27). Such restraints on majority rule were necessary in Ihis view to restrain arbitrary exploitation of minorities by the majority. Hayek’s emphasis on constitutional limits on majority rule as the means to promote better tax policy is clearly outside the mainstream tradition of taxation theory, but has close parallels with the thinking of Knut Wicksell (1896) and also contemporary public choice economists such as James Buchanan (1975, 1993). COMPARISONS APPROACH developed above and his opposition to progressive taxation is consistent with Hayek’s own expressed views on the subject. Furthermore, Buchanan’s analysis of the inevitable arbitrariness of majority rule, when applied to tax share decisions, and his focus $n the rules or institutional processes ~governing tax policy making fit well with the Hayekian approach. Finally, it sepms clear that if we already had a policy, operating within a constitutional requirement that taxes be general, this would do much to solve the problems associated with discriminatory taxation discussed in this paper. However, Hayek’s views on the limits of rationality suggest perhaps a need for greater (caution than egpressed by Buchanan regarding cons itutionally mandated tax reform. lnde ! d, in advancing his own proposals for tonstitutional reform, Hayek (1979) himself was characteristically cautious, observing that his purpose here was “not to propose a constitutional scheme for present application” 1:~. 107). In th$ regard, a Hayekian approach to taxati n might at least raise questions about t\ e desirability of the type of wholesale fax reform proposed by Buchanan, thee full consequences of which must inevitably be uncertain.3 It may be argved here that Buchanan’s own propqsal, which he advanced some years agd, for the use of a qualified majority rule 4or tax poilicy making (Brennan and guchanan, 1981), may have more merit from a Hayekian perspective. A constitul/ional requirement, for example, that changes in tax laws receive a three-fifths majority for approval would not neqessitate radical modification of existing tax policies but, by making tax law changes more difficult, would still have ttie virtue of inhibiting future efforts at t+x discrimination by legislatures and of dromoting greater stability in tax laws. Hakek might not WITH BUCHANAN’S In light of the par,allels between public choice and Hayek’s writings, it is useful to compare, at this point, the Hayekian approach to taxation discussed here with the constitutional approach developed by James Buchanan and discussed by him recently in this journal (Buchanan, 1993). Buchanan argues here for a constitutional requirernent that taxes be general and nondiscriminatory on the grounds that, without such a requirement, majoritarian politics must inevitably lead to decisions that promote economic inefficiency. Buchanan’s advocacy here of nondiscriminatory tax policy making is consistent with the approach 110 I ON FRIEDRICH HAYEK AND TAXATION necessarily have endorsed this particular proposal, but it is consistent with his views on the limits of rationality. Conclusion The approach to taxation developed here, then, on the basis of my particular interpretation of Hayek’s thought is clearly quite different from that taken by conventional tax economists and, while there are strong similarities, is somewhat different from James Buchanan’s constitutional approach. It suggests that the idea, promoted by old-fashioned canons of horizontal equity and neutrality, that tax policy should seek to minimize discrimination among taxpayers may still have considerable merit as a guide to tax policy in that it serves as a protection against the limits of our knowledge and against arbitrary tax discrimination. Perhaps equally important, Hayek’s work would seem to caution, though, against radical or frequent changes in taxation policy, even when directed toward desirable goals, and emphasizes the need for predictability or certainty in tax policy. Finally, Hayek’s work suggests that we focus on the rules or institutional processes by which we make tax decisions but be careful, perhaps, not to rush into radical fiscal constitutional reform. ENDNOTES ’ For an excellent review of this approach, compared and contrasted with others, see Hettich and Winer (1985). ’ It may be asked here why Hayek favored even a proportional income tax given that such a tax imposes a heavier burden on those with higher incomes and, so, is also discriminatory in a sense. If one is opposed to tax discrimination, then why not use a poll or head tax? Hayek’s argument for income taxation seemed to rely on the benefit principle. According to Hayek (1960). “almost all economic activity benefits from the basic services from government . and a person who commands more of the resources in society will also gain proportionately more from what the government has contributed” (p. 316). Also, Hayek (1960) believed that the rule of proportionality in in- National Tax Journal Vol. 48, no. 1, (March, 1995), pp. 103-12 come taxation “provides a uniform principle on which people paying differing amounts are likely to agree” (p. 315). 3 I should note here that my intent is not per se to criticize Buchanan’s approach to taxation policy, for which I have great respect, but rather to suggest a tension between his more radical approach to constitutional fiscal reform and the more cautious approach to reform suggested in much, if not all, of Hayek’s writings. Buchanan, while clearly an admirer of Hayek’s thought, seems aware of this tension himself and has wntten about it on several occasions (Buchanan, 1977; Buchanan, 1986; Buchanan, 1991). REFERENCES Brennan, Geoffrey The Power to Tax: Fiscal Constitution versity Press, 1981 Buchanan, James Choice.” National 383-94. and James M. Buchanan. 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