Banks, Distances and Financing Constraints to Firms Pietro Alessandrini Andrea F. Presbitero Alberto Zazzaro Labis - Dipartimento di Economia Università Politecnica delle Marche Presentation to be given at the conference The Changing Geography of Banking Università Politecnica delle Marche Ancona, 22-23 September 2006 Motivations Geography of the banking system has changed as follows: Diffusion of banking structures and instruments has increased the operational proximity (OP) between banks and borrowers; Spatial concentration of decisional centers has increased the functional distance (FD; Alessandrini, Croci and Zazzaro 2005), i.e. the distance between the locus of control of local lending offices and borrowers. OP and competition should guarantee an adequate response to the needs of local borrowers, regardless of the locus of control of local bank offices. Ancona, 23 September 2006 2 P. Alessandrini, A. Presbitero and A. Zazzaro Aims We investigate whether the distance between the locus of control of bank branches and the local communities where they operate do affect financing constraints to local firms. We introduce a new indicator of FD. We apply our analysis on Italian data over the period 1995-2003 at the local market level defined as province. Ancona, 23 September 2006 P. Alessandrini, A. Presbitero and A. Zazzaro 3 Operational Proximity: Theory and Evidence OP impacts on information asymmetries, producing positive and negative effects on firms’ financing constraints (‘soft’ information; relational lending; market power; winner’s curse). At the bank level: OP is associated with higher interest rates and more relationship lending (Petersen and Rajan 2002; Degryse and Ongena 2004, 2005; Elsas, 2005). At the market level (Italy): OP increases credit availability, reduces the share of bad loans, raises the probability of firms introducing innovations (Bonaccorsi and Gobbi 2001; Benfratello et al. 2005). Ancona, 23 September 2006 P. Alessandrini, A. Presbitero and A. Zazzaro 4 Functional Distance: Theory and Evidence The importance of FD is due to: Social and cultural differences across communities; Asymmetric distribution of information within organizations. FD affect bank-firm relationships through a number of channels (Agency costs; Influence activities; Career focus). Agency problems and influence costs affect banking and credit allocation (Udell 1989; Berger and DeYoung 2002; Liberti 2005). Out-of-market owned banks allocate less resources to small firms (Alessandrini et al. 2005; Berger et al. 2005; Mian 2006). Consolidations involving large banks lead to a reduction in small firm loans (Berger et al. 1998; Sapienza 2002; Alessandrini et al. 2006). In Italy the birth rate of firms is positively associated with the share of deposits held by chartered banks in each province (Bonaccorsi and Dell’Ariccia 2004). In US the correlation between local economic growth and the number of bank offices differs with the locus of their ownership (Collender and Shaffer 2003). Ancona, 23 September 2006 P. Alessandrini, A. Presbitero and A. Zazzaro 5 Measuring Distances Operational Proximity is measured by branch density: Branchesk OP j Functional Distances are built weighting local bank branches with the distance from their own bank’s headquarter measured by: Km distance. kj 10000 Population j Branchesk kj FD1 j j j ln 1 KM jz Branchesk kj j Absolute difference in social Branchesk ln 1 SC j SCz k capital, measured as FD 2 j participation rate at referenda. Branchesk j j kj Ancona, 23 September 2006 P. Alessandrini, A. Presbitero and A. Zazzaro j 6 Measuring Financing Constraints Three indicators of financing constraints: A dummy variable if the firm states it is credit rationed; The sensitivity of investment to cash flow; Ratio between credit lines used and those available. Ancona, 23 September 2006 P. Alessandrini, A. Presbitero and A. Zazzaro 7 The Dataset Information on firms, bank office location, bank type, composition of banking groups, credit market, institutional characteristics and macro variables. Sources: MCC-Capitalia surveys, Bank of Italy, ISTAT. The surveys include balance sheet data (12,627 observations); 526 firms present in every survey (rotating panel). Ancona, 23 September 2006 P. Alessandrini, A. Presbitero and A. Zazzaro 8 Credit Rationing The basic model is a pooled probit on 7974 observations: Pr RATij f OP j , FD j , FIRMmi , PROVni FIRM: return on investment (ROI), degree of indebtedness (DEBT), propensity to innovate (R&D), firm size (SIZE), bank-firm relationships (BANKS and BANK_PR). PROV: characteristics of the banking system (market concentration and degree of localism), institutional environment (the efficiency of courts). Geographic and time dummies. Ancona, 23 September 2006 P. Alessandrini, A. Presbitero and A. Zazzaro 9 Probit results Dependent Variable: Pr(Rationing) OP FD1 FD1×SIZE FD2 FD2×SIZE Pseudo-R2 GEO dummy (1) (2) Ancona, 23 September 2006 (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) -0.026*** -0.010* -0.025*** -0.01 -0.021*** -0.011** -0.021*** -0.010* 0.016*** 0.011** 0.042*** 0.035*** -0.007*** -0.006*** 0.039*** 0.028** 0.106*** 0.091*** -0.017*** -0.016*** 0.068 0.071 0.067 0.07 0.069 0.071 0.067 0.069 No Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes Effect of FD (1996 - 2003) on Pr(Rationing) Large firms (250 workers) Small firms (25 workers) Small southern firms Pr(Rationing) (3) 0.21 1.11 1.61 0.02 0.80 1.14 Whole sample 14.8% South Note: All coefficients are marginal effects P. Alessandrini, A. Presbitero and A. Zazzaro 0.19 1.09 2.24 0.01 0.81 1.62 26.6% 10 Investment-Cash Flow The basic model is a GMM estimation on a balanced panel of 279 firms over the period 1996-2003. INVt K t 1 INVt 1 CF CF b1 b 2 t b 3 t OPjt ij K t 2 ij K t 1 ij K t 1 ij CF b 4 t FD jt b 5 GROWTH ijt i t i ,t K t 1 ij The effect of distances on financing constraint is given by b4. Ancona, 23 September 2006 P. Alessandrini, A. Presbitero and A. Zazzaro 11 One-step System-GMM results Dependent variable: (INV/K) (INV/K) (-1) (CF/K) (CF/K)×FD1 (CF/K)×FD2 (CF/K)×OP OBS Marginal effect Ancona, 23 September 2006 Pooled Small Large Pooled Small Large 0.002*** -0.125** 0.002*** 0.002*** -0.122** 0.002*** -0.442 -4.582*** -0.22 0.354*** 0.536** 0.385*** 0.015 0.644*** -0.046 -0.232 -3.487*** 0.027 0.933*** 1.400** 0.818*** 0.012 0.503** -0.027 1953 357 1596 1953 357 1596 0.623 0.831 0.568 0.625 0.711 0.561 P. Alessandrini, A. Presbitero and A. Zazzaro 12 Credit Lines Drawn Dynamic GMM on aggregated data at provincial level over the period 1997-2003. log CRED jt b1 log CRED jt 1 b 2OP jt b 3 FD jt n PROVnjt i t it n We estimate separate models according to 5 loan size classes. We control for credit market concentration, degree of localism and per capita value added. Ancona, 23 September 2006 P. Alessandrini, A. Presbitero and A. Zazzaro 13 One-step System-GMM results Loan Size Dependent variable: CRED CRED_ CRED_ CRED_ CRED_ CRED_ CRED_ CRED_ CRED_ 1 2 3 SME 1 2 3 SME CRED (-1) 0.677*** 0.810*** 0.678*** 0.784*** 0.738*** 0.819*** 0.665*** 0.804*** OP -0.006** -0.003 FD1 0.008** 0.006** -0.008** -0.004** -0.007** 0.005 Ancona, 23 September 2006 0.009 618 618 618 -0.009** -0.005** 0.005** FD2 OBS -0.003 618 618 P. Alessandrini, A. Presbitero and A. Zazzaro -0.001 618 0.004 618 0.006 618 14 Concluding Remarks Empirical evidence shows that increased functional distance makes financing constraints more binding. The negative impact of FD survives independently of the density of bank offices and the degree of competition. The negative impact of FD is particularly significant for small firms in southern regions. Ancona, 23 September 2006 P. Alessandrini, A. Presbitero and A. Zazzaro 15
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