Title: An Integrated Behavioral Model of Land Use and Transport System: a Hyper-Network Equilibrium Approach. Authors: Mr. Mario Bravo, Universidad de Chile Mr. Luis Briceño, Universidad de Chile Dr. Roberto Cominetti, Universidad de Chile Dr. Cristián E. Cortés, Universidad de Chile Dr. Francisco Martínez, Universidad de Chile 1 1 Corresponding Author: POBox 228-3 Santiago, Chile, Phone: 562-9784380, Email: [email protected]. 1 Title: An Integrated Behavioral Model of Land Use and Transport System: a Hyper-Network Equilibrium Approach. Authors: Mario Bravo, Luis Briceño, Roberto Cominetti, Cristián E. Cortés, Francisco Martínez2 Abstract: The households’ decisions, from their residential location to their members’ trip choices through the network, are analyzed in a long term equilibrium approach by building a model that assumes that all consumers’ choices (location, travel and route choices) are represented by logit or entropy models. Our approach assumes that consumers optimize their combined residence and transport options, which are represented as a set of paths in a network defined by extending the transport sub-network with another fictitious sub-network that represents land use and demand options. In this context, we study the equilibrium of the land use and transport system (LU&T) as a network equilibrium problem. We define an equivalent objective function and the set of system constraints, which optimized on consumers willingness to pay and transport travel times, yields the set of static equilibrium conditions. In the land use market they reproduce the action (bid-choice) market clearance where every household is allocated at her highest utility option and dwellings are assign to best bidders (Martínez and Henríquez, 2003). The transport equilibrium yields the routes assignments and travel times on all links and routes following the Markovian Traffic Equilibrium problem (Baillon and Cominetti, 2006). At equilibrium no household is better off by choosing a different option for residential location, no household member is better of choosing a different set of trips’ destinations, modes and routes (frequency is fixed). We study the static equilibrium with road congestion differentiating the cases with and without interactions among agents; these interactions include endogenous neighborhood quality for residential choice and trip destination choices based on endogenous land use attractions. In the case without interactions the method defines a strictly convex, coercive and non-restricted objective function (under usual conditions). Our method provides a comprehensive characterization of the solution, regarding existence and uniqueness, and an algorithm to obtain the solution with well-defined convergence properties. In the case with agents’ interactions the equilibrium is not unique. We define the unified problem as a set of fixed-point equations that characterizes the equilibrium. The algorithm to identify solutions is based on fixed-point iterations. In both cases the model is applicable real size problems, with heterogeneous population and locations, and multiple trip purposes. 2 Corresponding Author: POBox 228-3 Santiago, Chile, Phone: 562-9784380, Email: [email protected]. 2 1.- INTRODUCTION One of the major complexities in modeling big urban areas for planning purposes is to properly represent the strong connection between the transportation system and the spatial distribution of residential and non-residential activities. On the one hand, the activities’ spatial patterns represent the major determinant of generation and attraction of trips from(to) each zone, while, on the other hand, the transportation system is also a relevant input for location decisions through the resulting measures of accessibility due to the transportation system design along with the demand conditions for such a system. Therefore, changes in land use and activities directly affect the transportation demand patterns, which can eventually change accessibility, and so on. This multilevel process establishes a complex global equilibrium of the entire urban system, and a close formulation of such a problem can be explored through the interaction between the equilibriums of each subsystem. In the specialized literature, we can find several articles dealing with the interaction between land use and transport (LU&T). Some models postulate the equilibrium in land use taking into consideration the importance of the transport in the location decisions, through a measure of the generalized transportation costs, which are assumed known for the land use equilibrium mechanism. The generalized costs are normally obtained from network assignment models, computed for fixed location patterns. However, from this framework, the authors do not solve simultaneous land use-transport equilibrium. Instead, they find the global equilibrium by means of iterative calculations of partial equilibrium of land use on the one hand, and transport on the other; these schemes are known as bi-level models in the literature. The major concern with regard to these models (apart from the expensive computation involved in solving these problems) is that we can neither ensure existence nor uniqueness of the procedure solution. Therefore, any heuristic method designed for this purpose does not ensure convergence to the global optimum. From all these observations, we can say that to ensure existence as well as uniqueness of LU&T equilibrium is so far an open research topic. In this research, we first develop an integrated LU&T model based on a variational inequality formulation for the equilibrium. A convex optimization problem is defined on an extended network, representing the decisions not only taken at the transport system level but also at the land use system, both in the same graph. We ensure existence as well as uniqueness of the optimum under reasonable assumptions. The first order conditions of this problem reproduce the equilibrium conditions of two previously developed models, the “Random Bidding and Supply Model” (RB&SM) by Martínez and Henríquez (2006) for urban location and the “Markovian Traffic Equilibrium” proposed in Baillon and Cominetti (2006) for private urban transport networks. Thus, the proposed model yields the equilibrium of the integrated LU&T system. One important feature of such models is that all agent decisions can be modeled by a logit model, which also applies in the case of the proposed model for the global equilibrium. Moreover, a solution algorithm is developed, from which its convergence to the global LU&T equilibrium is also proved. 3 The aforementioned model does consider neither externalities among households nor agglomeration economies among firms. In fact, including these types of interaction does not allow writing the problem as a variational inequality. Nevertheless, we recognize that land use externalities can constitute an important antecedent when taking medium and long term location decisions, for both households and firms. In the case of households, location decisions of certain socioeconomic group members are usually affected by the socioeconomic characteristics of the neighbors, resulting in segregation, among other phenomena. In the case of firms, we observe important interactions among firms that, for example, generate incentives to stay together, called agglomeration economies. Hence, also in this paper we develop a modified LU&T model, which includes externalities in the locations of the agents. Such a model is formulated as a multidimensional fixed point, and represents the simultaneous equilibrium of land use, generation of trips, distribution and network assignment. The approach is based on splitting the entire system into smaller (simpler) subsystems. The interrelation among subsystems allows us to prove existence and uniqueness of the global equilibrium solution. With this added complexity of including externalities in the model, there is no closed-form for the optimization problem. However, the system still can be seen as an expanded network considering the entire modeled process, as described in detail in Section 4. A solution algorithm for this model is also proposed, which under very reasonable assumptions ensures convergence to the equilibrium. Thus, in Section 3 and 4 the two above described approaches are presented, both conceived to represent the interaction between the land use market and the transport system, written under an integrated formulation: a variational approach for the case without externalities, and a fixed-point approach to add externalities in the model. Both approaches ensure not only existence but also uniqueness of the equilibrium solution, under very reasonable assumptions. In the next section, the most relevant previous research efforts to model the interaction between land use and transportation, and the LU&T equilibrium, are briefly described. 2.- BACKGROUND In the specialized literature, we can find several examples of interactions between the land use market and the transportation system (LU&T). According to Chang (2006), the models can be categorized in Spatial Interaction, Mathematical Programming, Random Utility and Bid-Rent models. However, the problem of formulating the equilibrium LU&T is still an open problem, so far described and formulated by using some simplified models (in most cases heuristics), from which there is no analytical way to establish conditions of existence, uniqueness and convergence of such an equilibrium. The first step to find an integrated formulation LU&T is to properly model the trip structure behind the system. The spatial interaction model proposed by Lowry (1964) and later generalized in Wilson (1970), introduces the concept of cost impedance between zones, explicitly represented by a cost function. Wilson (1970) postulated a model based upon the 4 maximization of the system entropy. Although this case considers a fixed cost between zones, the author introduces a relative measure of the zone attractiveness. The model is not really able to completely explain the relation between land use and transport, mainly due to considering constant transportation costs. A relevant land use model to discuss is the context of this paper is the RB&SM, which belongs to the “Bid-Rent” type modeling (Martínez and Henríquez, 2006). Real estate transactions are commanded by an auction mechanism, under a best bid rule. In this scheme, the resulting willingness to pay for each location describes the behavior of the decision takers, as proposed by Alonso (1965). The RB&SM model is an extension of the Random Bidding Model (RBM) previously developed by Martínez and Donoso (2001). Another relevant land use model within the spatial interaction approach, is the doubly constrained entropy model (Roy, 2004), similar to the proposal by Wilson (1970) with the difference that in this case the location is determined by the agents´ willingness to pay assumed to be known. From this model, the logit probabilities proposed by Ellickson (1981) are obtained, because the entropy maximization approach and the multinomial logit are equivalents when the parameters of the latter are estimated with the maximum likelihood method (Anas, 1981). Then, the RB&SM model can also be derived by formulating an optimization problem as a maximization of an entropy function (with neither externalities nor scale economies). The aforementioned land use models find the equilibrium considering the transport system and its interaction with the land use market. However, in all cases the generalized costs for transport are assumed exogenous. The trip assignment models determine the route to be followed by each trip once both the mode and destination have been chosen (see Ortúzar and Willumsen, 1994). The process is modeled through the Wardrop network equilibrium conditions, for both determinist and stochastic traffic assignment (Sheffi, 1985). Nagurney and Dong (2002) propose an integrated model and formulates the network assignment problem as a variational inequality, reproducing the Wardrop conditions. Baillon and Cominetti (2006) on the other hand, developed a markovian equilibrium model for stochastic assignment. Unlike the other network equilibrium models (route based decision), the markovian equilibrium models a chain of decisions, where at each node the user decides the next link to get in, pursuing the minimization of the expected travel time to reach a predefined destination, regardless of the assignment decisions taken before. The link between transport and land use may be identified by access measures, which can be derived from a rigorous microeconomic framework (Martínez, 1995), and has been used to identify the complex relationship between user benefit measures from both the land use and the transport systems (Martínez and Araya, 2000). They explicitly compute the transport benefits associated to origin and destination zones (accessibility and attractiveness) in the context of a doubly constrained spatial interaction model. One way to deal with the integrated problem is to use mathematical programming in the modeling. That consists on writing the decision problem as an optimization problem. The 5 associated objective function must ensure existence and uniqueness of the global minimum. Chang and Mackett (2005) formulate a bi-level problem to integrate both levels. At the superior level, the location problem is faced under a bid-rent approach by computing the access (accessibility and attractiveness) of the zones. At the inferior level, the network decisions are made taking into account the access measures decided at the higher level. This procedure, however, does not ensure the existence of equilibria. Another model of this type is the one proposed by Boyce y Mattsson (1999) based on mathematical programming, in which the equilibrium at the transport network level, as well as that of land use, are solved through optimization problems. The formulation satisfies equilibrium conditions at the transport level, however, there are no equilibrium conditions attained at the location level. The objective of this paper is to model the interaction between the transport and the land use system, ensuring existence and uniqueness of equilibrium, adding also a fixed-point approach to deal with externalities in location. Moreover, efficient algorithms to solve these models are proposed, ensuring convergence toward the global optimum of the entire urban system. Before formulating the model, a glossary of the problem variables is presented: Exogenous Data - N : Set of nodes of the transport network. - D : set of destinations (d) of the trips. - C : set of nodes for household type (h) searching for a place to be located - I: set o f zones where households can get a location. ~ - A : set of location arcs (ã). - A : Set of links of the transport network. - Ah : Set of links whose tails are node h. - Ah : Set of links whose heads are node h. - s a (.) : performance function of link a A depending on the traffic flow. - i a0 , j a0 : tail and head nodes of link a 0 , respectively. - Q j {i H N \ a Ai , j a j} : set of nodes reachable from node j through a single link. - Q j { j a \ a A j } : set of nodes reached from node j through a single link. - ijh (t ) i jh (t a jjha (t ) ; a Ai ) : Minimum expected time for a trip from the node i to the node j , with the family of functions i jh belonging to the class defined in Baillon and Cominetti (2006), i.e., the class of functions which can be expressed in the form ( x) E (min{x1 1 ,..., x n n }) where ( i )in1 is a random vector with continuous distribution and E ( ) 0 . 6 - H h : total amount of agents of type h . - Si : number of real estate supply units at zone i . - Nhd : number of trips generated from a household of type h with destination d. - zhi : willingness to pay component corresponding to the value of location amenities, including accessibility and neighborhood quality given by a household h for a place within zone i. Steady state variables - t a : travel time of link a - ri : rent of a real estate located at zone i . - bh : monetary disutility index (bid) for type agent h . - Hhi : number of households located at location i at equilibrium. H is the matrix of households locations. 3.- INTEGRATED LAND USE – TRANSPORT MODEL WITHOUT EXTERNALITIES: BASE MODEL (FIXED SUPPLY) In the markovian equilibrium scheme (MTE) by Baillon and Cominetti (2006), the authors develop a traffic flow assignment model on a transportation network, assuming known the trip distribution patterns. They search for the equilibrium by means of the minimization of an objective function defined on the transport network. In this first formulation we extend the MTE model, but considering a more complex network, in which fictitious arcs and nodes are added in order to represent the agents’ location decision. Then, the original objective function is modified to represent the LU&T integrated problem. In Figure 1 the extended proposed network G(N,A) is depicted. In this scheme a household h choose the optimal path including an initial arc from a fictitious node h to the location node i. This node also belongs to the network from which the members of household h will start their trips. The trip generation process is represented by a second layer in the network. Each trip chooses an optimal path through the transport network and finishes at a destination node d. We assume that the number of trips generated is constant for each household type, and also that the destination in the transport network is decided by the optimal path; only one transport mode is assumed in the formulation framework. The cost assigned to the location arcs represents the willingness to pay of the households for the land use around the end (head) node of such an arc. The location is decided through a bid-rent mechanism in the location decisions. Under this approach, the willingness to pay function represents the agents’ behavior in the location decisions (Alonso, 1965). In this model, the following willingness to pay function is postulated: 7 g Households’ population h w or k Land use equilibrium d ns po rt N et j i Tr a d' Transport equilibrium Figure 1: Urban system equilibrium: Hyper-network representation Bhi (bh , t ) bh zhi N hd id (t ) (1) d D Note that this form for the willingness to pay is derived from assuming: a quasi-linear subjacent utility function, in at least one of the consumption goods; an exogenous household income; and that the consumer chooses only one location for residence. It can be shown that under these assumptions bh yh uh / h , where yh is the income, uh the utility level and h the marginal utility of income (Martínez and Henríquez, 2006). Thus, the first term shows the utility level reached by a household of type h, which has to be the same for all households of the same type under equilibrium conditions. The second term is assumed to be constant and it captures how a household of type h values the attributes of a specific zone i, in this case assuming that location externalities are exogenous to the equilibrium process. Finally, the third term provides a measure for the transport cost, as explained ahead in this paper, assuming only one trip purpose and N hd trips per each destination zone d exogenously given. The values of state variables at the optimum are found by solving the following optimization problem: ta min (t , r , b) sa1 ( z )dz H hbh Si ri t , r ,b aA 0 hC iI 1 e Bhi ( bh ,t ) ri (2) hC iI 8 This problem may be explained as the dual of the following doubly constrained maximum entropy problem (P), assuming transport costs as fixed: min H hi Z hi (t ) ( P) H hi s.a. iI hC 1 hi Hh hC H hi Si iI hC hi [ln( H hi ) 1] hC H iI H iI where Z hi (t ) zhi N hd id (t ) . This problem conceptually represents the maximization of d D bids under stochastic bids, or the representation of the auction prices. | A|| I ||C | . Moreover, the number of households In this model, the function : located at each zone i , is bounded from above by the zone supply, which is assumed to be fixed in this scheme. Additionally, equation (2) is invariant to shifts in b and r, that is min (t , r , b) min (t , r c, b c) c . Like in the markovian equilibrium model, the objective function in (2) is strictly convex and coercive, under the assumptions (Hyp A), b1 0 and Si H h . These conditions ensure both existence and uniqueness of iI hC the solution at the optimum. The family id E , with dd 0 ; travel time functions sa : (Hyp A)= are strictly increasing continuous, with lim sa ( x) and sa (0) t 0 ; and (t 0 ) 0 for 0 a x d i all i d The first order conditions of problem (2) characterize the equilibrium, not only in the bidrent market (RB&SM) but also in the transport system, through the traffic markovian equilibrium MTE. Analytically, the first optimality condition is h C (t , b, r ) 0 bh H h exp( ( Bhi (bh , t ) ri )) (3) iI Defining H hi : exp( ( Bhi (bh , t ) ri )) that corresponds to the total number of type h families located at zone i , the following land-use equilibrium condition is fulfilled: H h H hi h C (4) iI Moreover, by replacing the expression for Bhi (bh , t ) in (3), we obtain: 9 exp( bh ) Hh exp( ( zhi Nhd id (t ) ri )) (5) d D iI Thus, replacing (3) in the definition of H hi yields: H hi H h exp( ( Z hi (t ) ri )) exp( ( Bhi (bh , t ) ri )) Hh H h Pi / h exp( ( Z ( t ) r )) exp( ( B ( b , t ) r )) hj j hj h j jI (6) jI where Pi/h represents the probability for a household of type h to prefer a real estate at zone i . Note that Martínez (1992b) obtains this probability (which is called “choice”), assuming that, on the one hand, the household’ surplus, defined by hi Bhi (bh , t ) ri , distributes Gumbel identical and independent (iid) with dispersion parameter , and on the other hand, the household choose in order to maximize such a surplus. From equation (3) we can also deduce that, for each h C , (13) applies: bh 1 ln exp( ( Z hi (t ) ri )) ln( H h ), iI 1 (7) Note that equation (7) reproduces fixed point problem for the RB&SM market clearance equilibrium condition. A second optimality condition is i I , (t , b, r ) 0 Si exp( ( Bhi (bh , t ) ri )) ri hC (8) which is equivalent to S i H hi . From this relation, we can obtain: hH exp( ri ) Si exp( Bhi (bh , t )) i I (9) iI and H hi Si exp( Bhi (bh , t )) Si Ph / i exp( Bgi (bg , t )) (10) gC 10 where Ph/i is called the “bid” probability in the RB&SM. This represents the probability that the consumer of type h is the best bidder in location i competing with all bidders in C, which is derived in Martínez (1992) by assuming bids distributed iid Gumbel with parameter . Moreover, from (10) we obtain that, for each i I : ri 1 ln exp( Bhi (bh , t )) ln( Si ), hC 1 (11) Expression (11) is, again, the same as the result obtained in the RB&SM model, and can be interpreted as the expected value of the maximum expected willingness to pay among the households asking for a place to be located. In addition, a third condition is provided by the equilibrium on the transport network, from where the following first order conditions are obtained: a A, B 1 (t , b, r ) sa1 (ta ) exp( ( Bhi (bh , t ) ri )) hi (bh , t ), ta hC ta iI where Bhi d (bh , t ) N hd i (t ) . ta ta d D Then, (t , b, r ) 0 ta d sa1 (ta ) H hi N hd i (t ) d D iI hC ta By defining gid : H hi N hd , representing the total number of trips whose destination is d hC starting at zone i , we obtain: 1 a s (t a ) d id d g (t ) g , (t ) vad wa , ta ta d D iI d D d D d i (12) from where, the equilibrium condition on the arcs belonging to the transport network system is reproduced, t a s a (wa ). 11 From such results, we can prove that the solution of the optimization problem in (2) simultaneously satisfies the equilibrium conditions of both models, RB&SM and MTE. Remark Several extensions of the proposed model can be analytically developed. One straightforward extension is to add the distribution of trips problem into the integrated modeling framework. Another interesting extension is to incorporate the real estate supply as an endogenous variable. For further details on these, see Briceño (2006) 4.- INTEGRATED LAND USE – TRANSPORT MODEL WITH EXTERNALITIES 4.1.- General framework The objective of this part of the paper is to prove existence of the static equilibrium associated to the location, generation, distribution and assignment as a joint global equilibrium considering externalities. Since externalities (either positive or negative) do not allow us to write the equilibrium as an optimization problem, we propose a four stage approach in order to conveniently split the problem into: Generation, Distribution/Assignment, Land Use equilibrium and Location externalities. The objective of this scheme is to capture the properties of each subsystem, stating a multidimensional fixed point equation, in order to prove the existence of the global equilibrium. The proof of existence in the fixed point equation is quite hard due to the complexity of the model when adding externalities that influence the agents’ decisions. In simple words, the modeling approach considers people searching for a location. They make their decision based upon (among other things) accessibility, attractiveness and the features of other agents located at each zone (externalities). Those aspects associated with access are provided by the transport equilibrium, i.e., the generation and distribution of trips and the travelers’ assignment on the physical transport network. Besides, such transport equilibrium depends on the location of households and firms in the city. Thus, as noticed here, there are too many endogenous variables that are intrinsically connected, and form part of the global equilibria studied in this paper. In order to understand how the land use process enters in this modeling approach, let us express the willingness to pay (bid) for agent type h and zone i as follows: Bhi bh bhi (13) Expression (13) shows the interactions between transport and land use. The arguments for existence we will develop in this paper consider any quasi-linear bid function of the form Bhi f ( H , O, ) bh , with f being a smooth function (of class C 2 ). We can even consider a bid depending explicitly on the travel time. 12 In Figure 2 we graphically show the proposed 4-stage methodology: first, we consider the vector ( H hi ) hi belonging to a simplex |C||I | (provided that it has to fulfill the typical total summations and no-negativity constraints). Then, the trip generation is computed by means of the evaluation of a function. After that, the network assignment, along with the trip distribution problem, is solved obtaining as a result the accessibility parameters. These are used to construct the willingness to pay functions that enter the land use equilibrium to satisfy the conditions associated to the total agents to be located. Then, the location problem with externalities is solved. At each stage, the other stages’ parameters will be considered fixed, defining the general fixed point (corresponding to the global equilibrium) simply as the composition of the proper functions. Loc. Externalities Fixed Point(Stage 4) Dist./Assig. Stage 2 Oih LU-Eq. Stage 3 Generation Stage 1 H hi Bhi f ( H , O, ) bh H Simplex Figure 2: 4-stage methodology to prove existence of urban system global equilibrium In the next subsections, each stage is analytically presented, highlighting the interactions with the other procedures. However, in Section 4 the global equilibrium is studied. 4.2.- Generation For this stage, we consider a growth factor type model as follows: hi thi H hi Ohi (14) which differs from the model in Section 3 where thi N h i was fixed. The expression (14) for the total number of trips generated at zone i for agent of type h comes from assuming a deviation from the traditional fixed rate generation procedure, 13 namely hi small and positive. Note that this perturbation allows us to establish that Ohi > >0 , i, h and H K x |C || I | / x hi hi S , xhi 0 with Min hi . i ,h Let us denote 1 the function that associates a configuration ( H hi ) hi with the generated trips (Ohi )i ,h , that is 1 (( H hi ) hi ) (Ohi )i ,h , where 1 : |C || I | |C || I | is of class C 1 . 4.3.- Distribution/Network Assignment At this stage, we jointly find the equilibria associated to both, the trip distribution and network assignment problems. For the distribution problem, and in order to add generality to the embedded attraction process, we focus our analysis on the simply constrained case, in which the total number of trip generated at each zone is assumed to be known. The joint equilibrium is reached by minimizing the following objective function: ta Min (t , ) sa1 ( z )dz Ohi ( H ) hi t , aA 0 iN hC 1 hC h exp( ( d N iN h dh i (t ) hi d ( H ))) (15) This model is an extension of the markovian traffic equilibrium (MTE), which models the network and the distribution of trips simultaneously. We assume that any node of the transport network is destination of some trip, i.e D=N. Hereafter we assume also that sa : R R are the strictly increasing travel time functions with lim sa (wa ) . As in wa the previous model, we assume the hypothesis (Hyp A) only asking the functions in family E to be of class C2 . Now, we can say that the optimal solution of problem (19) satisfies the following first order conditions: 1 (t , ) Ohi hi h obtaining exp( ( d N h exp( h hi ) dh i (t ) hi d ( H ))) ( h ) 0 Ohi exp( h ( idh (t ) hi d ( H ))), d N Ohi dh exp( h i (t ) h d ( H )) d N and 1 hi ln exp( h idh (t ) h d ( H )) ln Ohi h dN h 1 This last equation shows the relationship between the Lagrange multipliers vector and travel times, which makes bids in equation (13) dependent on the travel times in the traffic network. Let us define 14 gidh : exp(h ( idh (t ) hi d ( H ))) Ohi exp( h ( idh (t ) d ( H ))) Ohi Pd / ih exp(h ( ikh (t ) k ( H )) (16) kN where Pd / ih exp( h ( idh (t ) d ( H )) exp(h ( ikh (t ) k ( H )) kN This expression corresponds to the logit probability of choosing as trip destination zone d, conditional on the trip origin zone i and the individual of type h. Thus, gidh measures the total number of trips generated at zone i choosing destination d for individual h. Besides, (t , ) 0 ta sa-1 (ta ) gidh iN d N hC idh (t ) , ta obtaining the transport network equilibrium condition as follows sa ( wa ) ta (17) dh since wa gidh i (t ) corresponds to the total vehicle flow on link a (Baillon and iN d N hC ta Cominetti, 2006). Note that equation (17) guaranties that the network attains the MTE. The model summarized in (15) corresponds to the dual of the simply constrained entropy model, where the parameter hi is the Lagrange multiplier associated to the origin constraints. Moreover, note that the number of zones and nodes do not have to match necessarily. However, the formulation above can be easily adapted (by defining proper fictitious links with cost zero) to such a case. As before, let us denote 2 the function that assign the Lagrange multipliers associated with the solution of (15) to a set of parameters ((Ohi )i ,h , ( H hi ) hi ) . That is, 2 : 2| H || I | | H || I | Lemma 1. If (Hyp A) holds, then 2 is smooth ( C 1 ). Proof: First, provided that for any set of parameters ((Ohi )i ,h , ( H hi ) hi ) the problem (15) is feasible and the involved function is convex as well as coercive, there exists a unique solution of the problem. That is, the function 2 is well defined. Then, by using the Implicit Function Theorem we conclude that the function is smooth in the parameters ((Ohi )i ,h , ( H hi ) hi ) . 15 4.4.- Equilibrium in Land Use At this point of the construction, the term bh in the agents’ bid is studied. Such a term corresponds to an adjustment of the perceived utility (or cost) for the individual h to get located somewhere. The bh that corresponds to the equilibrium can be obtained from the equation that ensures to locate all the agents. Analytically, H iI hi Hh h C (18) When the H hi terms correspond also to those obtained for the location equilibrium (see section 4.5), equation (18) becomes: iI Si exp( Bhi ) Hh exp( Bgi ) h C (19) gC Note that equation (19) summarizes the first order condition of the following problem: Min (b) |C| b b hC The normalization b hH h h 1 S ln( exp( B iN i hi hC )) H hbh hC (20) 0 0 is needed since (b 1c) (b) , c . Note that the function in problem (20) can take values in |H | and can be visualized as a function in | H |1 (to avoid the mentioned normalization) by fixing the value b0 0 . Thus, we obtain an unrestrictive problem of the form: Min (b) |C|1 b 1 S ln( exp( B iN i jN hi )) H r br (21) rC The function is strictly convex and coercive. Then, there exists a unique minimum bh of the previous problem that fulfills the first order conditions. Note that, at this stage all terms, except bh , are assumed fixed in equation (13), and also note that for any location structure in the city (Hhi) there exists a unique vector bh that adjusts each type of agent utility to make sure that all users are located. Let us call the function that associates a set of parameters 3 ((Ohi )i ,h , ( H hi ) hi , ( ) hi ) with (bh )hH the unique solution of problem (21). Since the solution is unique, the function 3 is well defined. 16 Lemma 2. If H h h S Si , the function 3 is of class C 1 . i Proof: Analogously to Proof of Lemma 1, one can conclude that 3 is C 1 in the parameters ((Ohi )i,h , ( H hi ) hi , ( ) hi ) . 4.5.- Location externalities In this section we study the fixed point associated with the location model. In order to include the different behaviors as a result of the idiosyncrasy differences among the agents involved in a market cluster, the bids are assumed to distribute iid Gumbel. From that, the probability that one of the H h agents gets located at zone i as a result of an auction, is given by the following the probability that an agent type h is the highest bidder (Martínez, 1992). That is, Pi / h exp( Bhi ) exp( Bgi ) gC By assuming fixed the real estate supply, we get H hi Si exp( Bhi ) exp( Bgi ) gC Since Bhi is a function of vector ( H hi ) hi through the function f and the through the vectors and O , then we propose to analyze the problem from the following fixed point structure which will be very useful later to define the whole equilibria: H hi Si exp( hi ( H )) exp( gi ( H )) (22) gC where the functions hi ( H ), h C, i I are differentiable, with continuous derivative (of K with: class C1). Then, let us consider the function : K hi ( H ) Si exp( hi ( H )) exp( gi ( H )) (23) gH 17 Here, K x |C||I | / xhi S , xhi 0 is compact and H h S Si . Note that it is hi h i possible to define H in a more restrictive way, by imposing xhi Si , i I and x hi h H h , h C . i Let us now formulate the following lemma: Lemma 3. If H h S Si , K x |C||I | / xhi S , xhi 0 , and the functions hi h i 1 hi ( H ), h C, i I are of class C , then exists c 0 such that 0, c there exists one and only one H K such that ( H ) H with defined in (27). Proof. Let M rlhi max | H K hi ( H ) | ; we have that M glhi because functions hi are of H rl class C1. Then, after some analytical work we get: | hi ( H ) | Si M rlhi M rlgi . H rl gC |C|| I ||C|| I | Applying any norm in , and using the finite increments theorem, we get: || ( H ) ( H ) || M || H H || H , H K with M max Si M rlhi M rlgi . hilk gC That is, provided that M 0 holds, there exists some c 0 such that, for all 0, c ) there exists a unique H K such that ( H ) H . The previous result is obtained by choosing c such that c M 1 along with Banach’s fixed point theorem. Note that, because the dispersion parameter of the Gumbel distribution is proportional to the inverse of the variance of the distribution , then the condition for Lemma 3 to hold implies a minimum dispersion of bids. 4.6.- Existence and Uniqueness of Global Equilibrium In this section, we will focus on identifying the conditions to be fulfilled to ensure the existence and uniqueness of equilibrium in the integrated model. Finding the equilibrium of the global system is equivalent to find a fixed point of the equations analyzed separately in Section 3. In summary, H iI hi Hh sa (wa ) ta h C a A (24) (25) 18 H hi Si exp( Bhi ) exp( Bgi ) (26) gC g d N dh i Oih hi thi H hi Ohi (27) (28) where the bids Bhi are of the general form presented in equation (13). In short, the integrated problem as in (24)-(28) can be written as follows: hi ( H ) Si exp( Bhi ( H )) exp( Bgi ( H )) (29) gH where Ohi (1 ( H ))hi , hi ( 2 (O, H ))hi and bh (3 ( H , O, ))h . That is, implicitly and through the equations defined in the previous section, we can define the global equilibrium in just one equation, where : K K . Note that, if we find any H K such that ( H ) H , then equations (24)-(28) are satisfied. It is important to note that the whole construction provided before collapses in this fixed point equation. Theorem 1 [Existence of Global Equilibria]. S Si , K x |C||I | / xhi S , xhi 0 , and (Hyp A) holds, then hi h i 0 there exists H K such that ( H ) H with defined in (29). If H h Proof . By using lemmas 1 and 2, we obtain that functions Bhi are of class C 1 because, they are compositions of functions C 1 . Besides, provided that K is compact and the function is, in particular, continuous from K to K , then, by using the fixed point theorem by Brouwer, there exists a solution of equation ( H ) H , which defines the equilibrium of the integrated model we have proposed. In the same context, let us analyze the uniqueness of the same equilibrium. Theorem 2 [Uniqueness of Global Equilibria]. S Si , K x |C||I | / xhi S , xhi 0 , and (Hyp A) then, if is small hi h i enough, there exists a unique H K such that ( H ) H with defined in (29). If H h 19 Proof. The existence is ensured from Theorem 1. For proving uniqueness, from lemmas 1 and 2 we obtain, as before, that functions Bhi are of class C 1 , because they are compositions of functions C 1 . Then, by using Lemma 3 with Bhi hi we show uniqueness of the equilibrium. Remarks 1) The proof of existence of a global equilibrium for the integrated model including externalities in location does not depend on the value of . For the case of uniqueness, we ask the parameter to be small, or the variance of bids to be large enough. 2) Link travel times as well as the trip distribution between zones are output of the model. From the global equilibrium it is straightforward to compute these variables at the equilibrium. 5.- SIMULATIONS The main purpose of these simulations is to compare the performance of the model without externalities (MWE) with that of the model with externalities (ME) developed in this paper. In the first model we used a global MSA (successive averages method), which is a gradienttype method to find the equilibrium on traffic flows, with an internal fixed point algorithm to find the location equilibrium at each iteration. In the second model, we utilize a global fixed point method to solve the location equilibrium with an internal MSA procedure to obtain the transport network equilibrium at each iteration. Two basic scenarios are generated and the equilibria obtained from the two models are obtained. Locations externalities were represented as segregation effects between households of different types, i.e. category dislikes living next (in the same zone) to some others (representing the rich class), while the second one likes living close to the first one (representing the poor class). The function that represents these externalities is linear. Notice that these experiments are all feasible, since our ME model allow us to consider any kind of smooth externalities. The algorithms were implemented in MATLAB over the known Siouxfalls network, which has 24 nodes and 76 arcs, with a travel time function of the form sa ( wa ) ta0 [1 ba ( wa / ca ) pa ] . This function satisfies the conditions given before in order to assure the existence and uniqueness of the equilibrium. For arc choice in the transport network we considered a logit model with a scale parameter independent of the node, household cluster, destination or trip purpose. That is: idph (t ) 1 ln exp( (t aAi a dph ja (t ))) 20 The basic scenario (named 0) considers: 5 categories of households divided into two groups: the poor class includes categories 1 to 3 and the rich class includes categories 4 and 5; only 1 trip purpose available in the whole set of nodes; high attraction factors on 5 special nodes of the network which makes that almost all network trips are attracted to this neighborhood, called neighborhood A; inelastic population of consumers (Hh) and supply of locations (Si), initially spread homogeneously over the network’s nodes. Besides, through constants zhi we simulated the preference of the poor class for living in neighborhood A, while the rich class prefer neighborhood B represented by four neighbor nodes. Thus, neighborhood A represents a poor residential area but also an employment district, while neighborhood B is a high class residential neighborhood. We designed simulation that shows subsequent scenarios divided into two sets. The first set, denominated k--scenarios, shows the influence of the differentiated amenities zhi , then the second set, denominated k+-scenarios, shows the influence of increasing congestion created by increasing demand Hh in all categories. In the first set, k--scenarios, zhi increases linearly according to zhik zhi0 (1 k / 4) , thus, for example, the influence of zhi in the -4 scenario is null. In the second set, k+-scenarios, demand and supply increases in successive k+-scenarios as follows: H hk H h0 2k and Sik Si0 2k . In the case with externalities, any bid derived form a quasi-linear utility can be used to define a proper bid function. In the experiments, this function will be 1 (30) Bhi bh zhi h log(Oih ) ih i ( H ) h ( H i ) h 1 The term ln(Oih ) ih i ( H ) in (30) is the consumer’s valuation of access advantage –called accessibility- from zones i. It represents the traveler’s surplus -or transport user’s benefit- obtained from the transport system considering a single trip between zones i and d, assuming that the travel demand is described by a singly constrained trip distribution entropy model; see Martínez and Araya (2000) for the derivation of accessibility in the doubly constrained model. The traveler’s surplus is obtained from the consumer’s travel demand curve and weights the benefits of visiting activities and the corresponding trip generalized cost. For the sake of simplicity, we assume a single trip purpose and a single type of housing in the location model. ih is, like in the development, the Lagrange multiplier of the trip’s destination choice problem constrained at the origin; they explicitly depend on travel times in the traffic network, as we shown. Here the function d ( H ) corresponds to an attraction function of the trip destination zone d (assumed to be constant for simplicity). The parameter h describes how a user of type h values the access. zhi describes the consumer’s value of exogenous features of the zone. Additionally, the term h ( Hi ) represents the consumer’s value of the set of location attributes, which describe location externalities at zone i, where h is linear. Intuitively, 21 h represents the function of like (or dislike) of the agents of cluster of type h for other agents located at zone i . Unlike the model in Section 3 without externalities, here two types of externalities adjust in the equilibrium: location attributes h ( Hi ) and destination attractions d ( H ) ; also in the previous model h =1 for all users. Figure 3 assumes no externalities effects, i.e. hi ( H ) 0 , which makes the two models comparable (MWE and ME). It depicts the share of households’ classes (rich in red and poor in blue) in neighborhood A at equilibrium, and its evolution along different scenarios. This figure shows that the behavior of both models is similar despite their theoretical differences. It can be seen that as the preference for the neighborhood A increases, represented by the increase in the respective zhi in successive scenarios, the poor class tends to concentrate in this neighborhood while the rich class concentrates in neighborhood B. This shows the different preference for neighborhoods between socioeconomic classes. In the second set of scenarios, the increase in congestion make more attractive for the rich class to live next to their jobs, which explains the tendency of this class to outbid the poor in neighborhood B. In this case, the rich class faces two opposite preference: the preference for neighborhood B and the reduced travel costs by living in A. The figure also shows that the ME models adjust changes faster than the MWE model. Shares Poor-Rich Shares in Neighborhood A (ME Model) 0,9 0,8 0,7 0,6 0,5 0,4 0,3 0,2 0,1 0 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 Scenario Figure 3: The case without externalities Figure 4 depicts the case with externalities hi ( H ) 0 , considering the evolution of the population as in the previous figure, but keeping the attraction factors fixed at the levels of scenario 0 in Figure 3. Thus this figure only represents the k+_scenarios modelled with the ME model. It shows that the outbidding process is lees intensive than in Figure 3, because the segregation effects plays the role of inducing a higher preference for neighbourhood B. Thus, in this case the rich class face more intensive opposite preferences. Another comparison between the two models is regarding their computing performance. The MWE model attains equilibrium in 24 seconds and the ME in 113 seconds, both for the same precision running on a 3.2GHz PC. The difference is explained principally by the number of times each algorithm solves the MTE problem. 22 Figure 4: The case with externalities 6.- CONCLUSIONS AND FURTHER RESEARCH The models developed here allow the full integration of the land use and the transportation systems, for two cases of interest. The case without externalities builds the bases for an integrated model based on hypernetworks, i.e. an extension of the classical transport network to represent the land use market equilibrium. The model follows the classical Beckmans’ approach of defining an equivalent optimization problem that reproduces Wardrop’s traffic equilibrium conditions. The contribution of our model is to extend the approach to simultaneously reproduce the transport and land use equilibria under a unique optimization problem. The main theoretical result is the proof of a unique solution for the LU&T system. The model can be used in real contexts by assuming that externalities are lagged in one or more periods, i.e. consumers make choices using information of the land use system that takes time to be acquired. In this sense, this model is regarded as a partial equilibrium model. The second model includes externalities, which makes no longer valid the optimization method. In this case the LU&T problem is decomposed into four fixed point sub-problems: Trip Generation, Distribution/Network Assignment, Land Use and Location. Despite the increase in complexity induces by externalities, our method proved to yield a unique solution for the global equilibrium, under the mild condition of minimum level of dispersion on consumers’ bids. The model can also be applied in real contexts, assuming in this case a longer term where all externalities adjust to a LU&T’s equilibrium. Unlike the previous model, this one attains a general equilibrium in the LU&T system. Although the analogy with the transport network classical optimization model is lost in this case, the analogy of a hyper- network representation remains. One limitation of both models is the treatment of the transport system as only private transport modes. However, the extension to public transport assignment can be readily included by using a shortest path approach with congestions in bus stops, following for example, De Cea and Fernández, 1993), which is completely compatible with the proposed model. 23 The hyper-network model of the urban system can be seen as a platform for modeling other dimensions of the urban system. Further developments may include the information and the goods markets, as additional layers in the hyper-network. Finally, the hyper-network approach can be used to specify dynamic urban processes on the hyper-network, including equilibrium stages along time on each submarket, in line with Martínez and Hurtubia (2006). This would allow considering delays in infrastructure development and the introduction of lack of information on key variables of decision makers, like on expected future prices. The equilibrium problem so far developed provides the basic structure for such further extensions. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS This research was partially financed by project Fondecyt 1060788 and the Milennium Institute in Complex Engineering Systems. REFERENCES: Anas, A. (1981). Discrete Choice Theory, Information Theory and the Multinomial Logit and Gravity Models, Transportation Research, 17B, 13-23. Alonso, W. (1965). Location and Land Use: Towards a General Theory of Land Rent (Cambridge, Massachusetts, U.S.A.:Harvard University Press). Baillon, J-B. and R. Cominetti (2006). Markovian Traffic Equilibrium, Mathematical Programming (forthcoming) Boyce, D.and L-G. Mattsson (1999). Models residential location choice in relation to housing location and road tolls on congested urban highway networks, Transportation Research, 33B, 581-591. Briceño, L. (2006). Modelo integrado de transporte y uso de suelo: un enfoque de optimización en redes (in Spanish). Master of Science Thesis in Transportation, Civil Engineering Department, Universidad de Chile Chang, J S. (2006). Models of the relationship between transport and land-use: a review, Transport Reviews 26-3, 325-350. Chang, J.S. and R. Mackett (2005). A bi-level model of the relationship between transport and residential location, Transportation Research B, 40, 123-146. De Cea, J. and J.E. Fernández, (1993) Transit Assignment for Congested Public Transport Systems: An Equilibrium Model. Transportation Science, 27(2), 133-147 Ellickson, B., (1981) An Alternative Test of the Hedonic Theory of Housing Markets. Journal of Urban Economics, 9, 56-79. 24 Fiacco, A and McCormick, G (1990). Non linear Programing. Sequential Unsconstrained Minimization Techniques. SIAM. Lowry, I. (1964) A model of Metropolis, Rand Corporation , Santa Monica, U.S.A. Martínez, F. (1992). The Bid-Choice land use model: an integrated economic framework. Environment and Planning A 15, 871-885. Martínez, F. (1995). Access: The Transport-Land Use Economic Link. Transportation Research, 29, 457-470. Martínez F. and Araya, C. (2000) A Note on Trip Benefits in Spatial Interaction Models. Journal of Regional Science, 40, 789-796. Martínez F. and Henríquez, R . (2006). A Random Bidding and Supply Land Use Model. Transport Research B (forthcoming). Martínez, F. and Donoso, P. (2001). Modeling Land Use Planning Effects: Zone Regulations and Subsidies. In Travel Behaviour Research, The Leading Edge. D. Hensher (ed.), Pergamon-Elsevier, 647-658. Nagurney, A. y J. Dong (2002) Urban Location and Transportation in the Information Age: A Multiclass, Multicriteria Network Equilibrium Perspective. Environment and Planning, 29B, 53-74. Ortúzar, J. de D. and L.G. Willumsen (1994). Modelling Transport. Second edition, John Wiley & Sons, Chichester. Roy, J. (2004). Spatial Interaction Modelling. A Regional Science Context. SpringerVerlag, Berlin. Sheffi, Y. (1985). Urban Transportation Networks: Equilibrium Análisis with Matematical Programming Methods (New Jersey, U.S.A.:Prentice-Hall) Wilson, A. (1970) Entropy in Urban and Regional Modelling. London UK, Pion Ltd. 25
© Copyright 2026 Paperzz