WHITE PAPER September 2015 Evaluate Leasing Activity with DI Analytics Under the U.S. model of private mineral ownership, age associated with a leased tract is a laborious and complex leasing rules and difficulties with procuring tricky task. pertinent courthouse filings make it burdensome to derive mineral ownership. To overcome some of these obstacles, the Drillinginfo Analytics team employs an innovative spatial model to remove duplicate leases and ascertain leasehold position by grantee.1 The Analytics team uses a second spatial model to assign grantee leaseholds to operators, where possible, based on well ownership. Introduction In order to evaluate a potential investment and acquire the appropriate legal rights to develop a field, an operator or investor must have a clear understanding of the exact acreage associated with a lease. There are many complexities Second, the original lease grantee may later assign the lease to someone else, called an assignee. Compiling lease records for a specific operator as the grantee will therefore exclude leases where a third party grantee assigned the lease to the operator, and these assignments may represent a significant portion of an operator’s leasehold position. The first problem over-states “...the Drillinginfo Analytics team employs an innovative spatial model to remove duplicate leases and ascertain leasehold position by grantee.” product addresses two primary problems: lease, and the second problem obscures who is the current owner of a lease. The Analytics team overcomes the first problem by removing the duplicate lease records through a spatial mapping of the lease polygons. We then mitigate the second problem by assigning with leasing data, and the Drillinginfo Analytics leasing the acreage associated with a the leases to operators based on majority well ownership. This approach has limitations, such as the situation where an operator acquires First, a mineral lease may involve numerous parties leases from another operator who already drilled wells holding mineral interests. Each party could have its on the property, but it approximates total gross acre- own lease record delineating its interest in the lease, age by operator. which results in duplicate lease records, sometimes numbering one hundred or more for the same mineral tract. Eliminating duplicate records to determine acre1 A grantee is the entity receiving the lease of mineral rights. After de-duplicating records and assigning leases, where possible, based on well ownership, the result is an interactive map with a single polygon for each 1 WHITE PAPER leased tract, and an approximation of a company’s dimensional view, there are only 200 leased acres, as gross acreage. The Leasing Analytics module enables shown in Figure 2. The markers note the original lease users to analyze active versus expiring leases, quick- acres and the primary term of the lease. ly view lease details for all grantees, and identify high quality acreage using Analytics proprietary graded acreage model. Methodology The Analytics team outlines the area shared by leases and creates unique polygons for each shape, as well as the residual acres. The three 100-acre leases become four distinct polygons and each one is assigned the earliest instrument date and longest expiration In order to perform spatial modeling, the Analytics date. Thus, Figure 3 shows four, fifty-acre polygons, team relies on work performed by over 30 Drillinginfo each with different dates. geographic information system (GIS) technicians who map individual lease polygons based on the legal description of the lease. Leasing data coverage varies by state, but is approximately January 2002 through present2, and the lease polygons include direct links to the lease details stored in Drillinginfo databases. The Analytics team employs a multi-step process to account for duplicate lease records and to assign leases to operators based on well ownership. The new unique shapes retain their original lease history and shape, but when they are added together, they represent a single gross acreage count by grantee. This approach results in a single count of acreage for a lease at the grantee level, with links to all the grantor lease records that pertain to the acreage. Note: A mineral tract may still show up under multiple grantees on the map, but this is often because of timing Remove Duplicate Lease Records It is very common for multiple lease records to be filed for each mineral tract, sometimes with more than 100 records per tract. The duplicate lease records are removed using a spatial approach. The Analytics team analyzes the boundaries of reported lease polygons and identifies duplicate records in a simulated vertical stack. Figure 1 shows three leases that are each 100 acres and have the same grantee. A summation would indicate 300 leased acres, however they overlap each other so if they are laid flat in a two 2 For details of leasing coverage by state, please see our website: http://info.drillinginfo.com/coverage/. differences. For example, Operator A may have taken a lease for three years, let it expire, and then Operator B leased it. Both records show up in the leasing module unless the user filters to narrow the time period. Assign Effective and Expiration Dates and Activity Status Since we have records of the underlying lease documents pertaining to a single polygon, the Analytics team can identify the effective instrument date and relevant expiration date associated with the lease. The lease documents for each unique grantee may have varying instrument expiration dates, so the Analytics team identifies the earliest effective date, and 2 50 50 50 2007–2010 Acres (AC) WHITE PAPER 50 B: 100 AC 2010–2013 C C: 100 AC 2013–2016 B 50 A 50 50 Acres (AC) 50 the latest expiration date from among the records and assigns those dates to the lease. We also track activity status and expiration status for a lease, based on the following business rules: Active status: “Yes” to the Active flag indicates that the Figure 1. Three leases lease had a permit filed, or production reported on it, within the last 12 months. A lease is also considered Active where a producing wellbore,3 or a wellbore A: 100 AC 2007–2010 1 50 AC 2007–2010 permitted in the past 12 months, touches any portion of the tract, even if there is no production associated 2 50 AC 3 B: 100 AC 2007–2013 50 AC 2010–2016 C B2010–2013 A it. Because the Analytics projects focus on unconven4 50 AC 2013–2016 C: 100 AC 2013–2016 tional formations, there may be additional production or wellbore trajectories in conventional formations that impact the Active status. We do not account for these possibilities and they may require further due diligence by the end user. Expiring Status: The “Expiring Flag” in Leasing Ana- 50 50 50 Acres (AC) 50 lytics indicates whether or not a lease is expected to become available upon its expiration date. “Yes” indicates the lease will potentially expire at the end of Figure 2. Leases in two-dimensional view its term because neither permits nor production have 1 50 AC 2007–2010 been reported for the lease in the last twelve months. 2 50 AC 2007–2013 “No” indicates the lease has already expired. 3 50 AC 2010–2016 C B A 4 50 AC 2013–2016 The leasing map defaults to show all leases from 1999 to current. If a lease expired and was not flagged as Active, it still shows up on the map unless the date range is filtered to after the lease’s expiration date. The combination of Expiring and Active flags allows users to sort leases based on if, and when, they may be3 Wellbores are drawn based on directional surveys. We only include surveys associated with wells that fall within the Analytics project date and reservoir filters. Figure 3. Gross leased acres 1 50 AC 2007–2010 3 2 50 AC 3 WHITE PAPER EXPIRING YES ACTIVE YES ACTIVE NO EXPIRING NO N/A; active leases will not be shown as expiring Lease is past term (already expired) but there is activity so it is held No permits filed or production reported in last 12 Already expired but no reported activity; may be months; no wellbores crossing land; lease expected to available land expire at end of term if no new activity Table 1 come available. Table 1 above summarizes the possi- If the 80% ownership requirement is not met, then a ble combinations and their associated interpretations. spatial assignment is not applicable.6 For example, if two operators have each drilled 50% of the wells on a Assign Grantee Leasehold to Operators Where lease, there is no 80% owner and no assignment would Possible be made. To determine possible ownership, hover on After de-duplicating the lease records, the resulting leases are assigned to operators. A grantee on the the wellbore trajectories to see a pop-up box describing which operator owns the wells. lease record may not be the operator, such as situations when a broker takes a lease on behalf of an operator. Leases may also change ownership during acquisitions/divestitures. The Analytics team uses production records to establish ownership within a county. If 80% or more of the wells on a grantee’s total leasehold within a county are owned by a specific operator, the grantee’s leasehold is assigned to the operator. Exhibit 2 includes a visual representation of this type of spatial assignment.4 The green polygons in Figure 1 are leases listing Double H Land Service as grantee. However, since at least 80% of the wells on the land are owned by EOG, the leases are assigned to EOG, as shown in Figure 2.5 4 A spatial analysis defines data by a location in space, or by a shape, and then evaluates how these shapes relate to each other. 5 Based on discussions with landmen, the Analytics team assumed that a lease brokerage company would not be leasing for two operators in the same county at the same time as this could present a conflict of interest. 6 Sometimes the operator reporting production has a different name in our database than the grantee, even though they are the same company. For example, EOG Resources is the grantee for EOG leases, but spatial assignment analysis may assign the lease to EOG, the reported operator. Therefore the leasing module shows acreage for both EOG and EOG Resources. 4 WHITE PAPER Conclusion The Analytics leasing module is an exploratory tool to better understand leasing activity over time in a specific play. By using spatial mapping algorithms, we deduplicate records to determine a unique acreage count by grantee for a lease. In addition, spatial modeling allows us to approximate gross acreage for an operator based on well ownership. PROACTIVE EFFICIENT COMPETITIVE By monitoring the market, Drillinginfo continuously delivers innovative oil & gas solutions that enable our customers to sustain a competitive advantage in any environment. Drillinginfo customers constantly perform above the rest because they are able to be more efficient COMPETITIVE EFFICIENT PROACTIVE and more the Success in Anyproactive Environment than Do More withcompetition. Less Identify Opportunities Faster Learn more at www.drillinginfo.com Copyright © 2015, Drillinginfo, Inc. 5 WP_DI Analytics Leasing_06; 11/04/15 WHITE PAPER Exhibit 1: Lease Tracts by Grantee Green polygons represent leases with Double H Land Service as the grantee, and yellow polygons represent leases with EOG Resources as the grantee. At least 80% of the wells on Double H Land leases are EOG wells. 6 WHITE PAPER Exhibit 2: Lease Tracts by Assignment Double H Land Service leases have been spatially assigned to EOG. 7
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