ICP-Africa Regional Workshop Pretoria, South Africa 20 - 24 June 2011 Validation at country level Outline Introduction to the Household Consumption Survey Intra-country data validation Specificities with the Household Consumption Survey 2 Introduction to Household Consumption Survey Categories covered by the Household Consumption Survey Category Food and non-alcoholic beverages Alcohol beverages, tobacco and narcotics Clothing and footwear Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels Furnishing, household equipment and routine maintenance of the house Health Transport Communication Recreation and culture Restaurants and hotels Miscellaneous goods and service Global Core List Number of BHs Number of items Share, % 29 189 31 4 16 3 5 53 9 5 16 3 13 75 12 6 9 3 10 2 6 92 64 64 13 53 28 30 601 11 11 2 9 5 5 100 3 Introduction to Country level validation Intra-country validation is a stage carried out by the NCAs to establish that 1 2 3 Reported prices are correct Price collectors within a country have priced products that match the product specifications Survey frame worked as anticipated Validation stage for items on regional item lists Quarterly Data Annual Data National and subnational 4 Validation phases intra-country validation 1st Phase: Initial Data within Data Validation for Quarterly and Annual Objective to initially check price data collected by price collectors 2nd Phase: Statistical test for Quarterly and Annual Data Objective to study and correct the data using statistical means 3rd Phase: Finalization Data of data for Quarterly and Annual Objective to finalize the data and to send it to RCAs 5 1st Phase intra-country Initial Data Validation Step1 Add price and metadata to validation software • Ensure that the data is in right format Step2 Check prices and metadata for errors and discrepancies • Prices seem initially plausible and are according to NCA’s knowledge of the market? • Priced products are according to products specifications? • Quantities are correctly reported and calculated? Step3 Check that prices are sub-nationally plausible • Price differences between the regions/cities within a country are plausible? Step4 Check that prices are temporally plausible • Prices are plausible vis-à-vis previous ICP round or previous quarters? Step5 Check the number of important items • Minimum requirement is1 important item per BH 6 2nd Phase intra-country Statistical Tests Individual prices (price-observation-table) Step1 Check prices using Deviation test • Measures deviation of the reference-quantity price for a price observation to the average reference-quantity price for the product Step2 Check prices using T-Ratio test • Compares individual price observations’ deviation from the average price against standard deviation of the product in reference quantity Average product prices (average-observation-table) Step3 Check prices using Min/Max-price-Ratio test • Compares minimum price against maximum price in reference quantity for the product Step4 Check prices using Coefficient-of-Variation test • Standard deviation expressed as a % of the av. price for the product 7 3rd Phase intra-country Finalization of data Step1 Confirm prices and metadata to be intra-country validated • Ensure that all steps have been carried out successfully • Ensure that data is in right (pre-agreed) format Step2 Submit prices and metadata to RCA Note: After receiving the data, RCAs may discover problems with the data • Naturally this should be corrected instantly and before inter-country validation starts 8 Specificities with Household Consumption Survey Validation checks for all items Individual countries Priced products are according to the item specifications , survey frame is realistic for the item in question? Countries within region Price data is comparable? Food and non-alcoholic beverages Quantities Reference quantities are correct (especially with multipack items), priced products fall into requested quantity range? Generic items Priced products are comparable brand wise? How are the private labels (SOBs) categorized? Alcohol beverages, tobacco and narcotics Black market products Priced or not? Clothing and footwear Generic items Priced products are comparable brand wise? How are the private labels (SOBs) categorized? 9 Specificities with Household Consumption Survey Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels Quantities Correctly calculated? Price volatility Comparability? Furnishing, household equipment and routine maintenance of the house Generic items Priced products are comparable brand and model wise? Technical parameters Prices are comparable? Note Splittings, method for fast evolving technological products Health Pharmaceuticals Correct quantities, comparable active substances and brand types (generic, original)? Services Comparable facilities priced? How is government compensation treated? Transport Fuels Price volatility, comparability of prices? 10 Specificities with Household Consumption Survey Communications Services Comparability of various “deals”? Recreation and culture Services Comparability? Restaurants and hotels Quality Comparability of priced services? Miscellaneous Goods and Services Quality Comparability of priced services? 11 THANK YOU 12
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