Analytical Hierarchy Process under Group Decision Making with Some Induced Aggregation Operators Binyamin Yusoff1 and José M. Merigó-Lindahl2,3 1 Department of Mathematical Economics and Finance, University of Barcelona, Av. Diagonal 690, 08034, Barcelona, Spain 2 Manchester Business School, University of Manchester, Booth Street West, M15 6PB Manchester, UK 3 Risk Center, University of Barcelona, Av. Diagonal 690, 08034, Barcelona, Spain [email protected], [email protected] Abstract. This paper focuses on the extension of Analytical Hierarchy Process under Group Decision Making (AHP-GDM) with some induced aggregation operators. This extension generalizes the aggregation process used in AHPGDM by allowing more flexibility in the specific problem under consideration. The Induced Ordered Weighted Average (IOWA) operator is a promising tool for decision making with the ability to reflect the complex attitudinal character of decision makers. The Maximum Entropy OWA (MEOWA) which is based on the maximum entropy principle and the level of ‘orness’ is a systematic way to derive weights for decision analysis. In this paper, the focus is given on the integration of some induced aggregation operators with the AHP-GDM basedMEOWA as an extension model. An illustrative example is presented to show the results obtained with different types of aggregation operators. Keywords: AHP-GDM, Maximum Entropy OWA, Induced Generalized OWA. 1 Introduction Multiple Criteria Decision Making (MCDM) is one of the active topics in Operations Research. In general, MCDM can be considered as a process of selecting one alternative from a set of discrete alternatives with respect to several criteria. One of the most widely used MCDM techniques is the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP), which was proposed by Saaty (Saaty, 1977). The AHP is based on the judgment of problems with multiple criteria by means of the construction of a ratio scale corresponding to the priorities of alternatives. Since its introduction, AHP has been used in many applications. More details on the analysis and review of AHP and its applications can be referred for instance in (Vaidya and Kumar, 2006; Saaty, 2013). In order to deal with complex decision making problems involving multiple experts’ assessments, the AHP has been extended to AHP-Group Decision Making (AHP-GDM) model. Escobar and Moreno-Jimerez (2007) and Gargallo et al. (2007) for example, have modified the conventional AHP method to AHP-GDM and showed the effectiveness and reliability A. Laurent et al. (Eds.): IPMU 2014, Part I, CCIS 442, pp. 476–485, 2014. © Springer International Publishing Switzerland 2014 Analytical Hierarchy Process under Group Decision Making 477 of the model. The AHP are popularly used in applications due to some advantages, include a hierarchy structure by reducing multiple criteria into a pairwise comparison method for individual or group decision making and it allows the use of quantitative and qualitative information in evaluation process. The Ordered Weighted Average (OWA) on the other hand is a family of aggregation procedures and was developed by Yager (Yager, 1988). The OWA operators are introduced to provide a parameterized class of mean-type aggregation operators. These include a family of aggregation operators that lie between the ‘and’ (min) and the ‘or’ (max), and a unified framework for decision making under uncertainty. Subsequently, Yager (2004) generalizes the OWA operator by combining it with other mean operators and called it the Generalized OWA (GOWA). This includes a wide range of mean operators, such as the OWA, Ordered Weighted Geometric Average (OWGA), Ordered Weighted Harmonic Average (OWHA) and Ordered Weighted Quadratic Average (OWQA) operators. The Induced OWA (IOWA) is another extension of the OWA operator. Yager and Filev (1999) inspired by the work of (Mitchell and Estrakh, 1997) have introduced the IOWA operator as a general type of aggregation. The main difference between OWA and IOWA is in the reordering step. Instead of directly order the argument values as in OWA operator, the IOWA operator utilizes another mechanism called induced variables as a pair of argument values, in which it uses a first component to induce the argument values of a second component. The advantage of IOWA is the ability to consider complex attitudinal character of the decision makers that provide a complex picture of the decision making process. The IOWA operator has been studied by a lot of authors in recent years, see for example (Chiclana et al. 2004; Xu, 2006; Merigo and Casanovas, 2011). Recently, much attention has been given on the integration of AHP with OWA operator (i.e., concentrated on aggregation process) as inspired by the work of (Yager and Kelman, 1999). At first, Yager and Kelman (1999) have proposed the extension of AHP using OWA operator with fuzzy linguistic quantifier. This approach generalizes the weighted average normally used in AHP to OWA based linguistic quantifier. In addition to OWA based fuzzy linguistic quantifier technique, the Maximum Entropy OWA (MEOWA) operator has been proposed to be used in decision making analysis. O’ Hagan (1988, 1990) has developed a maximum entropy approach, which formulates the problem as a constraint nonlinear optimization model with a predefined degree of orness as constraint and entropy as objective function, and used it to determine OWA weights. Subsequently, Filev and Yager (1995) have examined the analytical properties of MEOWA operators and proposed the analytic approach of MEOWA operator. Since that the MEOWA has been used in many applications, include in MCDM area (Yager, 2009; Ahn, 2011). In this paper, the focus is given on the integration of induced aggregation operators with MEOWA weights in AHP-GDM as an extension model. The reason for doing this is because there are situations in which it is necessary to aggregate the variables with an inducing order instead of aggregating with the conventional OWA operator. For example, such a method is useful when the attitudinal character of the decision maker is particularly complex or when there are a number of external factors (i.e., personal effects on each alternative) affecting the decision analysis. The general framework model for AHP-GDM which include different types of aggregation operators is proposed. The main advantage of this approach is the possibility of considering 478 B. Yusoff and J.M. Merigó-Lindahl a wide range of induced aggregation operators. Therefore, the decision makers get a more complete view of the problem and able to select the alternative that it is in accordance with their interests. These problems are studied in detail by conducting an extensive analysis of some families of induced aggregation operators. The remainder of this paper is organized as follows. In Section 2, the different types of aggregation operators are reviewed in general. Section 3 briefly discusses the AHP method. Section 4 examines the MEOWA technique. In section 5, the process of using the IGOWA operators in AHP-GDM is discussed. Section 6 provides an illustrative example of the developed method and Section 7, the conclusions of the paper. 2 Preliminaries In the following, the basic aggregation operators that are used in this paper are briefly discussed. Definition 1 (Yager, 1988). An OWA operator of dimension is a mapping : that has an associated weighting vector of dimension such that ∑ 1 and 0,1 , then: , where is the th largest ∑ ,…, and (1) is the set of positive real numbers. Definition 2 (Yager and Filev, 1999). An IOWA operator of dimension is a mapthat has an associated weighting vector of dimension ping : such that ∑ 1 and 0,1 , then: , , , ,…, , ∑ (2) having the th largest , is the value of the IOWA pair , is where is the argument variable. Note that, in case of the order-inducing variable and ‘ties’ between argument values, the policy proposed by Yager and Filev (1999) will be implemented, in which each argument of tied IOWA pair is replaced by their average. Definition 3 (Merigo and Gil-Lafuente, 2009). An IGOWA operator of dimension is a mapping : that has an associated weighting vector of dimension such that ∑ 1 and 0,1 , then: , , , ,…, , ∑ ⁄ (3) having the th largest , where is the value of the IGOWA pair is the argument variable and is a parameter is the order inducing variable, such that ∞, ∞ . With different values of , various type of weighted average can be derived. For instance, when 1 , IOWHA operator can be derived, when 2 , the IOWQA operator is derived. The OWA, the IOWA, and the IGOWA operators are all commutative, monotonic, bounded and idempotent. Analytical Hierarchy Process under Group Decision Making 3 479 The Analytical Hierarchy Process Method The AHP is introduced based on the weighted average model for complex decision making problems (Saaty, 1977; Saaty, 2013) or also known as multiplicative preference relation. The AHP can be divided into three major steps; developing the AHP hierarchy, pairwise comparison of elements of the hierarchical structure and constructing an overall priority rating. Specifically, the pairwise comparison matrix for each level has the following form: Let where is pairwise comparis ison rating for components i and components j ( , 1,2, … , . The matrix reciprocal, such that for and all its diagonal elements are unity, 1, . In order to measure the degree of consistency, calculate the consistency index (CI) as follows: (4) is the biggest eigenvalue that can be obtained once we have its assowhere ciated eigenvector and is the number of columns of matrix . Further, we can calculate the consistency ratio (CR), which is defined as follows: (5) where RI is the random index, the consistency index of a randomly generated pairwise comparison matrix. It can be shown that RI depends on the number of elements being compared. The table for RI can be referred in Saaty (1977). The consistency ratio (CR) is designed in such a way that if 0.10 then the ratio indicates a reasonable level of consistency in the pairwise comparison. For the given hierarchical structure, the overall evaluation score, of the ith al∑ . The performance of alterternative is calculated as follows: with respect to criteria is described by a set of criteria values natives ; 0,1 for 1,2, … , and 1,2, … , . The evaluation process in the AHP uses a simple weighted linear combination to calculate the local scores of each alternative. 4 Maximum Entropy OWA Various approaches have been suggested for obtaining the weights in decision making process. Motivated by the maximum entropy principle, O’Hagan (1988, 1990) has developed a way to generate OWA weights by maximizing the entropy which subject to the weight constraint and the value of the attitudinal character (or degree of orness). The methodology is based on the mathematical programming problem and have come to be known as the Maximum Entropy OWA weights. It can be noticed that MEOWA weights used to spread the weights as uniformly as possible and at the same time satisfying the attitudinal character. 480 B. Yusoff and J.M. Merigó-Lindahl Filev and Yager (1995) obtained an analytic solution for the determination of the MEOWA weights. In particular, the authors showed that the MEOWA weights for an aggregation of degree n can be expressed as: ⁄ , ⁄ ∑ 1,2, … , (6) where ∞, ∞ is a parameter dependent upon the value , which is desired attitudinal character. Specifically, they showed that 1 ln , where ⁄ 0. as a positive solution of the equation ∑ 1 In what follows, the MEOWA weight will be used to be integrated with AHPGDM in the next section. In this case, the value is computed based on the weight of AHP pairwise comparison (criteria weight or relative importance of criteria). The attitude of expert in differentiate each criterion under consideration determine the degree of orness. Then, based on the degree of orness, MEOWA weight, or defined as ordered weight can be calculated. 5 An Extension of the AHP-Group Decision Making Method In this section, an extension of the AHP method under group decision making is presented. In what follows, the proposed method is represented step by step as in the consequence algorithm. Assume , , 1,2, … , comprise a finite set of , , 1,2, … , and , , 1,2, … , ; alternatives. Let 1,2, … , are the criteria and sub-criteria under consideration, respectively. Then, let , ( , 1,2, … , , be a group of experts, with each expert presenting his/her preferences or opinions for rating the alternatives , and weighting the crite(or sub-criteria ). Based on the above concepts, the algorithm for the ria IGOWA AHP-GDM consists of the following steps. 1,2, … , , compares the Step 1: Each decision maker or expert ( , natives , 1,2, … , and provides a pairwise comparison matrix: , , with ( , for each expert 1,2, … , 1) and , can be calculated as follow: ∑ ∑ alter- ∑ (7) . Then, the alternatives values , , 1,2, … , (8) Step 2: Compute the judgment matrix for a group of experts . Consider Θ as , 1,2, … , has in forming the group decision the weight that the th expert Θ 0; ∑ Θ 1 . ∏ , 1,2, … , (9) Analytical Hierarchy Process under Group Decision Making 481 Step 3: Calculate the pairwise comparison matrix for the criteria , , , , 1,2, … , ; 1,2, … , . Then derive the 1,2, … , and sub-criteria and sub-criteria weights using the same formulation as for criteria weights alternatives, equations (8) and (9). and sub-criteria . Step 4: Calculate the composite weights of the criteria (10) Step 5: Compute the orness value calculate the ordered weight, . using the Maximum Entropy OWA to ∑ where ⁄ is the reordered th criteria weight, . with Step 6: Find a positive solution ∑ 1 (11) (or composite weight) associated of the algebraic equation. ⁄ 0 1 (12) Step 7: Compute the ordered weight using the equation (6), where 0 1 and ∑ 1. of the ith alternative is defined as the Step 8: Finally, the overall score summation of the product of weight of each criterion by the performance of the alternative with respect to that criterion, ∑ where is the value of the OWA pair , (13) having the th largest of is the argument variable. Besides, is the the order-inducing variable, and ordered weight based on Maximum Entropy OWA and is a parameter such that ∞, ∞ , with different values of reflect various types of weighted average. Note that, when , the IGOWA-AHP-GDM turn to GOWA-AHP-GDM. Similarly, when values are not arranged using OWA function, then the method turn to conventional AHP-GDM. 6 Illustrative Example An illustrative example is given to implement the methodologies discussed in the previous sections. For this purpose, let consider an investment selection problem where a company is looking for an optimal investment. There are five possible alternatives to be considered as follows: is a computer company; is a chemical is a food company; is a car company; is a TV company. company; In order to evaluate these alternatives, a group of experts must make a decision according to the following four attributes: = risk analysis; = growth analysis; = social-political impact analysis; and = environmental impact analysis. 482 B. Yusoff and J.M. Merigó-Lindahl In this case, assume that three experts involved and the weight vector for the experts is Θ 0.5,0.3,0.2 , 1,2,3. Due to the fact that the attitudinal character is very complex because it involves the opinion of different members of the board of directors, the experts use order inducing variables to represent it as shown in Table 1. Table 1. Inducing variables 25 12 22 31 30 18 34 13 24 25 24 18 28 14 23 16 22 21 20 16 First, let all the experts agreed to provide pairwise comparison of criteria as shown in Table 2. In this case, no sub-criteria considered. Hence, based on criteria weight technique, the weight for each criterion can be derived and consistency ratio is then computed to check the consistency of pairwise comparison. Table 2. Pairwise comparison matrix and the weight ratio of criteria 1 2 0.5 0.25 0.5 1 0.5 0.3333 2 2 1 0.5 0.3111 0.4064 0.1824 0.1001 4 3 2 1 CR=0.036 Subsequently, the weights are proceed to be calculated with the MEOWA. The is results of this weight are presented in Table 3, where α is the measure of orness, the positive solution of algebraic equation, is the value that relates to the weights and the measure of orness, and is the weight of MEOWA. Table 3. The α, , values of criteria weights and MEOWA weights α 0.5682 0.5339 0.4232 0.6154 0.6429 1.1793 1.0849 0.8301 1.3275 1.4262 0.4948 0.2445 -0.5586 0.8499 1.0650 0.3148 0.2813 0.1850 0.3639 0.3941 0.2669 0.2593 0.2229 0.2741 0.2763 0.2263 0.2390 0.2685 0.2065 0.1937 0.1919 0.2203 0.3235 0.1555 0.1358 Next, each expert provides rating (or pairwise comparison) for all alternatives with respect to each criterion in order to get relative performance of alternatives in specific criterion. The results of standardized performance of each expert are shown in Tables 4, 5 and 6, respectively. Analytical Hierarchy Process under Group Decision Making 483 Table 4. Standardized performance ratings of Expert 1 0.1866 0.3069 0.0573 0.3069 0.1422 0.2412 0.1353 0.0743 0.1353 0.4137 0.2618 0.0892 0.1528 0.0526 0.4436 0.2571 0.0881 0.1539 0.4129 0.0881 Table 5. Standardized performance ratings of Expert 2 0.0881 0.4129 0.0881 0.2571 0.1539 0.1618 0.2760 0.1054 0.0596 0.3971 0.0604 0.1382 0.3972 0.0954 0.3088 0.0890 0.1579 0.2976 0.2976 0.1579 Table 6. Standardized performance ratings of Expert 3 0.0890 0.2976 0.1579 0.2976 0.1579 0.1042 0.3902 0.0588 0.1505 0.2962 0.0743 0.1353 0.2412 0.1353 0.4137 0.0986 0.1611 0.4162 0.0624 0.2618 Then, the results for each expert can be aggregated to form a matrix for group consensus. Table 7 presented the aggregated performance of experts. Table 7. Aggregated performance of experts 0.1285 0.3334 0.0798 0.2893 0.1487 0.1809 0.2071 0.0788 0.1081 0.3823 0.1311 0.1105 0.2230 0.0760 0.3924 0.1544 0.1184 0.2288 0.2565 0.1305 of each alternative ith is derived as the summation Finally, the overall score of the product of MEOWA weights by the aggregated performance of experts. With this information, different results are obtained using different types of IGOWA operators. The final results of the aggregation process with different operators are shown in Tables 8 and 9. Meanwhile the ordering of investments is shown in Table 10. 484 B. Yusoff and J.M. Merigó-Lindahl Table 8. Aggregated results 1 AM 0.149 0.192 0.153 0.182 0.263 WA 0.147 0.226 0.128 0.193 0.258 OWA 0.151 0.220 0.122 0.186 0.281 OWHA 0.148 0.180 0.098 0.137 0.219 OWQA 0.152 0.239 0.139 0.207 0.307 IOWA 0.146 0.189 0.146 0.200 0.258 OWG 0.139 0.199 0.108 0.160 0.250 IOWG 0.145 0.171 0.128 0.175 0.229 Table 9. Aggregated results 2 IOWHA 0.143 0.157 0.112 0.150 0.204 IOWQA 0.148 0.208 0.163 0.219 0.285 GM 0.147 0.173 0.134 0.157 0.232 WG 0.145 0.205 0.112 0.167 0.229 Table 10. Ranking of the investments Ranking 7 Ranking AM IOWHA WA IOWQA OWA GM OWHA WG OWQA OWG IOWA IOWG Conclusions This paper has presented an extension of the Analytical Hierarchy Process method under Group Decision Making (AHP-GDM) with some induced aggregation operators. The Maximum Entropy OWA (MEOWA) has been proposed to derive weights in the AHP-GDM model. First, some modifications have been made to generalize the aggregation process used in AHP-GDM with some Induced Generalized Ordered Weighted Average (IGOWA) operators. The main advantages of this approach are the ability to deal with the complex attitudinal character of the decision makers and the aggregation of the information with a particular reordering process. 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