An Employee-Owned Company Cosponsored by ©2017 School Services of California, Inc. 1-1 Themes for the 2017 May Revision © 2017 School Services of California, Inc. The May Revision is Governor Jerry Brown’s last statutorily required revision to his 2017-18 proposed Budget, prior to adoption of local educational agency (LEA) budgets and the enactment of the State Budget in June The Administration has this opportunity to modify its revenue and other forecasts based upon the updated economic news and state tax collections This year, the Governor lowered revenue expectations for 2016-17 But for 2017-18 the Governor raised his revenue forecast Meanwhile, expenditures continue to rise, causing a huge squeeze for LEAs In response, we are seeing many LEAs deficit spending and making expenditure reductions, including layoffs We are also seeing, for the first time, LEAs reducing programs funded by targeted dollars 2-13 Statutory COLA at 1.56% © 2017 School Service of California, Inc. Categorical programs outside of the LCFF will see a 1.56% COLA increase As costs continue to rise, these programs will see adjustments only for COLA and ADA: Special Education Foster Youth American Indian Education Centers American Indian Early Childhood Education Programs Child Nutrition 2-15 2017-18 Local Control Funding Formula © 2017 School Services of California, Inc. May Revision proposes more than $1.4 billion for continued implementation of the LCFF, $661 million above the January level New funding is estimated to close the gap between 2016-17 funding levels and LCFF full implementation targets by 43.97% 93% of the gap closed in the first five years Reaching to 97% of the targeted funding levels in 2017-18 1.56% COLA on the LCFF base grant targets 2017-18 LCFF growth provides an average increase in per-pupil funding of 2.69%, or $249 per ADA Individual results will vary widely 2-23 Cap on School District Reserves © 2017 School Services of California, Inc. The cap on school district reserves is triggered if four conditions are met: Proposition 98 funding based on Test 1 Full funding for enrollment growth and COLA Capital gains exceed 8% of total General Fund revenues Full repayment of the Proposition 98 Maintenance Factor as it existed in June 2014 The January Governor’s Budget showed that two of the four factors would have been met by 2017-18, leaving: Test 3 projected for 2017-18 Of the $6.6 billion Maintenance Factor as of June 2014, $543 million would have remained unpaid at the end of the current year The May Revision is proposing a total repayment of $614 million in 2017-18 satisfying the full repayment of the Proposition 98 Maintenance Factor that existed in June 2014 This only leaves one condition to be satisfied – a Test 1 year 2-27 Supplemental One-time Funds to CalPERS © 2017 School Services of California, Inc. The May Revision includes $6 billion for a supplemental one-time payment to CalPERS Purpose is to reduce the unfunded liability and help lower and stabilize the state’s annual contributions through 2037-38 Sources of this supplemental payment are from Proposition 2 funds and the state’s Surplus Money Investment Fund No direct impact on or benefit to schools Source: 2017-18 May Revision, pg. 67 and 68 5-2 Multiyear Projections © 2017 School Services of California, Inc. Multiyear projections (MYPs) are required by AB 1200 (Chapter 1213/1991) and AB 2756 (Chapter 52/2004) Recognize that MYPs are projections, not forecasts Projections are expected to change as various factors change – they are not predictions Projections are the mathematical result of today’s decisions based on a given set of assumptions Forecasts are predictions of the future – there is a higher implied reliability factor than for projections Projections will change any time the underlying factors change – therefore, plan to adjust as conditions change 5-5 MYP for 2017-18 Budget © 2017 School Services of California, Inc. Sample School District 2017-18 LCFF Target DOF Projection DOF Gap Percentage SSC Recommends SSC Gap Percentage Net Change Per ADA Net Change Percentage $9,842 $9,525 43.97% $9,525 43.97% $250 2.70% 2018-19 $10,049 $9,900 71.53% $9,730 39.03% $205 2.15% 2019-20 $10,280 $10,179 73.51% $9,959 41.51% $229 2.35% Sample School District $10,500 $10,000 $9,500 2017-18 2018-19 DOF Projection SSC Recommendation 2019-20 5-26 One-Time Discretionary Funds © 2017 School Services of California, Inc. The May Revision proposes a total of over $1 billion in one-time funds for school districts, COEs, and charter schools in 2017-18 This equates to approximately $170 per ADA Funds are made available to further the implementation of academic standards, professional development, beginning teacher induction, infrastructure, technology, instructional materials, and deferred maintenance needs As in prior years, these funds will offset LEAs’ outstanding mandate reimbursement claims on a dollar-for-dollar basis This funding will reduce the outstanding mandate debt to $1.3 billion Because all LEAs receive these one-time discretionary funds, regardless of their outstanding mandate claims, in our view, these funds should not be counted as meeting this state constitutional obligation 5-27 One-Time Discretionary Funds © 2017 School Services of California, Inc. Unlike previous years, the disbursement of the one-time funds proposed for 2017-18 is not scheduled until May 2019 (2018-19 fiscal year) LEA revenue recognition rules are governed by the California School Accounting Manual Procedure 101 To recognize revenue, it must be measureable and available to pay for expenditures of the current period Governmental accounting typically defines available as received within 90 days of year end CDE has defined available for state apportionments as one year If the Proposition 98 guarantee decreases before the 2018-19 fiscal year, these funds may never materialize SSC recommends that these funds not be recognized in the 2017-18 budget or MYP due to the uncertainty around collectability 5-35 Routine Restricted Maintenance Account © 2017 School Services of California, Inc. 2016-17 Lesser of: 3% of total General Fund expenditures The amount deposited in 2014-15 2017-18 to 2019-20 2020-21 and beyond Greater of: At least: Lesser of 3% of total General Fund expenditures or the amount deposited in 2014-15 3% of total General Fund expenditures 2% of total General Fund expenditures Legislative intent: Comply with minimum 3% deposit at full LCFF implementation Note: COEs calculate their Routine Restricted Maintenance Account contribution based on the General Fund, less any restricted accounts. Flexibility goes away and the requirement becomes 3% in the year after a local agency receives its first apportionment from Proposition 51. 5-40 CalPERS Employer Contribution Rate Increases © 2017 School Services of California, Inc. CalPERS Board adopted an employer contribution rate of 15.531% for 2017-18, almost 2% higher than the current-year rate of 13.888% While the new projected rates are slightly lower than those previously released by CalPERS, they are still significant annual increases that will add to the squeeze on base revenues CalPERS Board also adopted the contribution rate for employees subject to the Public Employees’ Pension Reform Act (PEPRA) Currently, PEPRA members are contributing 6%, which will increase to 6.5% for 2017-18 “Classic” members continue to pay 7.0% Year Previously Released Employer Employer Contribution Rates Contribution Rate* 2017-18 15.8% 15.531% 2018-19 18.7% 18.1% 2019-20 21.6% 20.8% 2020-21 24.9% 23.8% 2021-22 26.4% 25.2% 2022-23 27.4% 26.1% 2023-24 28.2% 26.8% 2024-25 N/A 27.3% *Actual for 2017-18 5-44 Funding CalSTRS © 2017 School Services of California, Inc. Employer rates are increasing to 14.43% in 2017-18, up from 12.58% in 2016-17 No specific funds are provided for this cost increase Under Education Code Section (E.C.) 22950.5, once the statutory rates are achieved, CalSTRS will have the authority to marginally increase or decrease the employer and state contribution rate CalSTRS cannot increase rates by more than 1% in a year and cannot exceed 12% overall, until the remaining unfunded actuarial obligation is eliminated PostPEPRA** Employees Employer Pre-PEPRA* Employees 2016-17 12.58% 10.25% 9.205% 2017-18 14.43% 10.25% 9.205% 2018-19 16.28% 10.25% 9.205% 2019-20 18.13% 10.25% 9.205% 2020-21 19.10% 10.25% 9.205% Year * First hired on or before December 31, 2012 ** First hired on or after January 1, 2013
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