SFC/16/105 Agenda item 12 16 December 2016 Infrastructure Strategy · This paper provides the Board with an initial infrastructure strategy with which it can shape its future policy work around capital investment, digital infrastructure investment and supporting the sectors’ low carbon programmes. Recommendations · Council’s views are sought on this updated strategy in order to help shape future policy work and interactions with Government in these areas. Specifically Council is invited to agree that the proposed actions set out in this paper are appropriate as the next steps in implementing the strategy. Financial implications · The aim of this infrastructure strategy is to set out the policy framework for our work around capital investment, digital infrastructure investment and our support for the sectors’ low carbon programmes. Annex SFC Infrastructure Strategy Purpose 1. To provide the Board with an initial infrastructure strategy with which it can shape its future policy work and interactions with Government around capital investment, digital infrastructure investment and supporting the sectors’ low carbon programmes. Background 2. Council last discussed a long-term infrastructure investment strategy in March 2016. Since then the Council’s executive has refined the strategy, incorporating the feedback from the March 2016 discussion, has undertaken further work with the sectors’ representative bodies, commissioned and delivered a baseline report on the condition of the college sector estate and developed new funding arrangements for low carbon programmes in both sectors. 3. Councils’ views are sought on this updated strategy in order to help shape future policy work in this area and to inform future spending review discussions with Scottish Government. 4. The strategy provides the context around the capital needs in each of the sectors, the challenges facing digital infrastructure investment and the developing programmes for low carbon in order to meet the more challenging carbon reduction targets facing both sectors. The changing funding environment 5. 1 The Council’s infrastructure strategy needs to be seen against a backdrop of a significant funding change, both in terms of the overall funding environment and the mix of funding being provided to each sector. Both recent Audit Scotland Reports 1 commented on the significant drop in SFC capital funding to both sectors since 2010/11. The charts below show how that decline has impacted the Council’s ability to fund both strategic capital projects and provide capital maintenance support. ‘Audit of higher education in Scottish universities’ July 2016 and ‘Scotland’s colleges 2016’ August 2016 1 6. As the first chart illustrates, whilst FE formula capital (used to support capital maintenance) has stayed relatively constant over the period, the amount of funding supporting major capital projects has declined significantly from more than £70M in 2010/11. The second chart, for HE capital, shows how research capital has remained relatively constant whilst formula capital (used mainly to support the teaching and learning estate) has declined significantly. 7. The sections below show how, looking ahead, the Council’s infrastructure strategy could be developed against the above funding context. The Universities 8. The Scottish university sector faces a considerable challenge in tackling the proportion of its non-residential estate which is in poor condition. The 2 proportion of the Scottish university estate in poor condition is approximately 25% of the total non-residential estate, significantly higher than the rest of the UK. 2 The backlog associated with this has remained at approximately £500M for many years. The cost of investing in the estate to address this need is approximately 28% of the Scottish HEI sector’s non-commercial income, compared with 17% for the UK as a whole 3. 9. Within the Scottish university sector it is also clear that there are a small group of institutions where the challenges in terms of capital investment are very significant relative to their non-commercial income, in some cases much higher than the 28% Scottish sector average. There is a strong argument that part of SFC’s infrastructure strategy – as well as seeking to address the issues across the sector – should be to work with that small number of institutions to develop specific projects/solutions which deliver more modern, flexible, teaching and learning environments for students, and at the same time eradicating some of the poorest quality estate. 10. One of the key strengths of the sector is its ability to lever in funding from other sources. SFC’s annual capital funding is typically about one tenth of the sector’s total annual capital expenditure (on non-residential estate). Institutions often use SFC capital grant as seed capital, allowing them to access funds from other sources. 4 . Providing this ongoing funding to allow leverage of this scale to continue, should be another important strand of SFC’s infrastructure strategy. 11. The recent Audit Scotland report 5 recognised the pressures facing the sector in terms of being able to generate surpluses and reinvest in the estate. It also commented both on the significant increase in the use of internal funds and borrowing to fund capital investment and on the likelihood that many institutions are decreasing the amount they spend on planned maintenance, particularly in light of the decline in SFC capital funding illustrated in the chart at paragraph 6. 12. In light of both of these factors we propose that a key strand of the SFC infrastructure strategy should be to argue for a sustained capital maintenance funding stream going forward, which, when combined with resources attracted from other sources, would ensure that the existing university estate does not deteriorate in condition any further. 13. As highlighted above, the backlog maintenance needs of the sector have remained relatively constant at approximately £500M for many years, despite 2 Association of University Estates Directors CBRE benchmarking report (November 2016) Association of University Estates Directors CBRE benchmarking report (November 2016) 4 An example being the University of Strathclyde’s Technology Innovation Centre (SFC contribution £15M to a total capital cost of £90M) 5 ‘Audit of higher education in Scottish universities’, July 2016 3 3 the sector investing more than £200M per annum in its non-residential estate. The university estate is large (circa 2.5million square metres) and diverse, and capital investment – including maintenance – is funded from a variety of sources, including SFC. This makes it extremely difficult to arrive at an accurate figure for what a sustainable capital maintenance figure from SFC should be going forward. Different proxy measures have been developed over the years, including the percentage of insured replacement value, but all have disadvantages. In addition most institutions would not tackle backlog as a specific issue, they would build backlog maintenance into their future capital investment plans. 14. The most recent Ministerial guidance provided SFC with a £10M Financial Transaction facility towards capital investment in the university sector. This is essentially a treasury-backed interest-free loan scheme, to be administered by SFC on behalf of the Scottish Government. For FY2016-17 the facility will be provided to fund spend-to-save low carbon projects but could, in future years, be targeted at other capital investment needs across the sector. 15. Given this novel funding facility, and the complexity in arriving at a robust figure for SFC capital maintenance, there is an argument that the SFC infrastructure strategy should include a commitment to work with the sector to arrive at a shared understanding both of the nature and scale of its backlog maintenance needs and of what a sustainable ongoing capital maintenance funding stream should look like, which could then provide SFC with a basis for considering the extent to which it is reasonable for SFC to be expected to contribute. Part of the discussion could include consideration of how Financial Transactions could be used as a funding source for the sector. 16. SFC currently matches an annual research capital grant from UK Government (DBEIS HE research capital) and allocates it to the most research intensive universities, in proportion to each of those universities’ research income. Funding is targeted at improving research infrastructure, including laboratories. In recent years, the DBEIS allocation has been as high as £17M per annum, with a matching £17M from Scottish Government, giving a £34M per annum investment, shared between the eight Scottish universities with the highest research council incomes, allocated in proportion to those incomes. 17. Having the capacity to match fund DBEIS capital allocations in the future should remain a priority for the Council’s infrastructure strategy, as this maximises the investment potential for the sector’s research infrastructure. 18. In terms of research equipment, the most challenging cost range of research equipment for universities to acquire is the middle-ranging (£3-5M) type, so essential to keeping research at the cutting edge, in STEM in particular. This range of equipment is the most difficult to finance as it is more expensive than 4 can typically be included in individual grants from the Research Councils, but is not of the scale that Research Councils, research charities or Government will view such equipment as stand-alone national infrastructure to invest in for the nation. SFC last year surveyed the research pools for their most pressing equipment needs and so we have some evidence of need. Having the ability to respond to equipment requirements in this area should remain an aspiration of the Council’s infrastructure strategy, particularly where that investment can be based on a shared (pooled) basis for Scotland. 19. The strategy should aim to exploit all available opportunities to share resources, as well as the capacity to leverage funds. For instance, Universities Scotland and Interface have been working to offer inter-university facilities access as well as to offer access to facilities from commercial companies. Scotland’s Universities also continue to benefit from UK-wide funding streams for major investments, including the UK Research Partnership Investment Fund (RPIF). SFC’s infrastructure strategy should continue to explore opportunities such as these. 20. In conclusion, the contribution SFC makes to the capital needs of the university sector is modest relative to the total capital spend of that sector but the role SFC capital plays is hugely important - in leverage, in strategic influence and in maintaining relationships. The executive suggests that we use our available capital primarily for capital maintenance and for match-funding research capital from DBEIS. In addition we must develop a closer and live understanding of both capital needs and investment opportunities in the sector to target resource that becomes available at short notice on the most pressing ‘shovel ready’ projects ie to respond if we can to the extreme needs that could threaten educational provision in individual institutions. The Colleges 21. The College sector has benefited from significant capital investment in the past 10-15 years, with SFC providing around £500M of capital funding towards a capital programme of circa £1.2BN, not taking into account the more recent college projects funded under the government non-profit revenue-funded NPD programme. These have a combined capital cost of £333M. As a consequence, there are geographic areas where large proportions of Scotland’s college students are taught in modern, fit-for-purpose accommodation. 22. Nonetheless, a recent high-level review of the college estate by our technical advisors confirmed that there remains a significant backlog to be addressed in specific parts of the country. The recent Audit Scotland report on colleges quoted a figure of approximately £290M for these colleges, which our consultants arrived at in 2014. Our consultants extended their review very recently to include campuses not previously included (such as SRUC’s estate) 5 and estimated the backlog at closer to £400M. 23. For these colleges the capital maintenance funding they receive is being used to address some of their most pressing estates needs but it is nowhere near sufficient to provide them with modern teaching facilities for their students. And this situation has been significantly exacerbated by the ONS reclassification preventing them from borrowing or accumulating reserves, and by the recent decrease in SFC capital funding, as Illustrated by the graph in paragraph 6. 24. As things stand the only long-term solution for these regional colleges is through the Scottish Government’s NPD programme, with the recent exception of Forth Valley College’s Falkirk campus which was converted from NPD to traditional direct capital grant by the Scottish Government in recognition that it was close to being presented to the market and recognising the continuing uncertainty around whether NPD will continue in its existing format. Despite this uncertainty, SFC’s infrastructure strategy should be to continue to work with these regional colleges to identify long-term solutions for their estates, through the development of robust business cases which can, at an appropriate time, be presented to SFC and Scottish Government to identify funding solutions. 25. As well as the issue that need to be addressed in the campuses that need replacement, evidence collated by our technical advisors, using updated data from projects approved by SFC between 2005 and 2012 and also recent NPD projects, suggests an ongoing life-cycle maintenance cost of £20-25 per square metre which, extrapolated across the sector, would suggest a ‘steady-state’ SFC capital maintenance grant of circa £20-25M is required to meet the sector’s life cycle needs. 26. We now have 3 live NPD projects within the sector, where life cycle is a contractual obligation for the private sector partner. This should reduce the capital maintenance ask of SFC in future years. Our best estimate, therefore, is an ongoing capital maintenance grant from SFC in the region of £20-22M is required for those regional colleges not part of the NPD programme. This leaves aside the colleges where campus replacement is the long-term solution and we also have anecdotal evidence that many colleges whose campuses were replaced 5 to 10 years or so ago, have been unable to maintain their estates in line with life cycle needs and so are now facing their own backlog challenges. 27. The above illustrates a clear requirement for SFC’s infrastructure strategy to be underpinned by a comprehensive condition survey of the sector’s estate. This would give us a more robust evidence base for the extent of the backlog needs across the whole sector and, consequently, given the constraints colleges face post ONS, the future capital maintenance funding requirements from SFC. This was also a conclusion in the recent Audit Scotland report. 6 28. To better understand the sectoral needs, we will commission a full condition survey at the start of 2017. We will aim to deliver the condition survey over the coming 6-7 months. It is essential that it is completed in time to influence the 2017 spending review. In addition we have commissioned our technical advisors to develop a risk-based approach to managing backlog maintenance, such as has been implemented in other sectors (such as the NHS). This approach uses a model for measuring and categorising risks that backlog maintenance issues become business-critical, allowing future investment to tackle backlog, to be targeted at those areas of the highest priority for colleges. 29. A key strand of our infrastructure strategy should be to provide a sustainable capital maintenance grant for the sector’s needs, and to develop a model which will help colleges, possibly with appropriate ongoing technical support, to target available grant towards those areas where backlog issues risk future business delivery. 30. Regional Colleges are now major players in terms of providing the skills required by industries/employers in their regions. One of the challenges faced by colleges is the need to continuously update and change their facilities in order to be able to change their curricular offer in response to industry needs. An ongoing aspiration for the infrastructure strategy should be to be able to support regional colleges in responding to rapidly-changing employer needs. 31. In conclusion, there are two key areas for the infrastructure strategy looking forward. The first is to develop a robust evidence base, through a comprehensive condition survey of the college estate, which will allow us to assess, firstly, what a sustainable SFC capital maintenance funding stream should be and also whether we should target future maintenance funding at estate ‘need’(rather than continuing to base it on regional activity levels). Secondly we should continue to work with those colleges where major capital investment needs are required, to develop business cases and identify potential funding solutions. Digital/ICT 32. Universities spend about £110m annually on ICT. Priority areas for investment are likely to be cyber-security, refreshing student records systems and upgrading learning spaces. (Other needs were: wi-fi, videoconferencing, and systems to support online learning, data analytics, digital marketing, CRM, student retention). In addition, over the medium term there are opportunities for large-scale national shared service projects such as low-carbon data centres, which we could scope and support through the IS Shared Service Catalyst formed under APUC. 33. Colleges spend about £25m annually on ICT. Priority areas for investment are 7 likely to be replacing ageing kit (e.g. PCs, smartboards, switches, core networking), mobile access including wi-fi and enabling BYOD, storage, and migrating services to the Cloud. 34. Overall, the sectoral adoption of Cloud-based infrastructure and services is increasing the need for institutions having fast and resilient fibre links, as well as placing more emphasis on revenue/annual budgets (rather than one-off injections of capital). 35. At the national level, SFC provides funding to JISC for shared digital services. This includes capital for the Janet6 backbone (which enables international research collaboration) and recurrent costs of fibre links to most colleges and universities in Scotland. The 10 year contract for Janet 6 expires in 2022. 36. JISC is raising an increasing amount of its income from institutional subscriptions. SFC will shortly consult universities and colleges on JISC subscriptions and the future role of central funding. A key priority for central funding would be for services which – being used universally - achieve economies of scale and a level playing field for all institutions, as well as other technical benefits. The backbone and regional networks are obvious priorities for the infrastructure strategy, since they serve the whole country, but increasingly we would expect institutions to pay for the JISC services they use via their subscriptions and the strategy should aim to reflect this change. Low Carbon 37. Baseline reports commissioned by SFC show that the carbon footprints of the college and university sectors have decreased slightly in recent years. However, this masks considerable progress in achieving greater energy efficiency, given the continuing expansion of the university sector (particularly in energy-hungry research facilities). Increasing pressure on university funding mean that SFC capital funding is likely to be focused on new campus developments and backlog maintenance work. Targeted financing for carbon reduction and energy efficiency will restore important momentum to this area. 38. To reduce the college sector footprint we have supported the development of business cases with 6 colleges for energy efficiency retrofit projects. We have been awarded £5M capital funding from Scottish Government to implement these low carbon projects, working closely with Scottish Government and Scottish Futures Trust colleagues. The projects will be implemented by the colleges during the course of 2017. 39. We are also exploring the use of new £10M financial transaction funding from the Scottish Government to support a programme of energy efficiency projects in the university sector. We expect to announce the HE low carbon interest-free loan programme during December 2016. The overall aim of both of these 8 programmes is to reduce the footprint of the sectors by around 10% (approx. 30,000 tCO2). 40. Continuing to explore different ways to support both sectors reduce their carbon emissions should form a central part of the infrastructure strategy. Partnership working and Governance arrangements 41. SFC will continue to work with a number of key partners to deliver its infrastructure strategy. These include: · Universities and colleges: universities contribute significantly to their own redevelopment and renewal programmes. In the college sector a strategic approach to supporting capital investment is vital. Close working with both sectors, initially through the representative bodies, will help to identify how SFC can better target future funding. · Scottish Futures Trust: SFC currently works with SFT across a range of activities, notably on the existing NPD projects (including Fife College), the sectors’ low carbon programmes, the major disposal programme associated with the NPD programme, and is currently exploring with SFT’s Strategic Asset Management team ways of delivering more closely-aligned strategic asset management plans across Scotland’s regions. · DBEIS: Leading research universities in Scotland benefit from additional capital funding from DBEIS to support infrastructure investment. This funding is focused on maintaining excellent departments with the critical mass to compete globally and the expertise to work closely with business, charities and public services. 42. We are creating an appropriate governance arrangement within SFC which can ensure proper scrutiny and due diligence of major capital projects being funded by SFC, either through traditional capital grant (notably Forth Valley) or through NPD, or its successor procurement model. This governance will be assurance based but is expected to draw on the expertise of our Board to supplement professional advice. 43. Finally we are strengthening the SFC infrastructure team, both by assigning more SFC staff time and by better integrating the ongoing support of our technical advisors (the property support service). To further bolster our team to cope with the rising workload, we are creating more formal links with the Scottish Futures Trust. 9 Proposed actions to further develop SFC’s infrastructure strategy 44. The following actions are proposed as the next steps in implementing the Council’s infrastructure strategy: · · · · · · · · · · · Engage more closely with Universities Scotland initially, and subsequently with the relevant institutions, to work with those institutions and develop ‘shovel-ready’ business cases that can help deliver long term solutions for their estate needs Engage more closely with the university representative bodies (including SAUDE) to gain a closer understanding of how the sector’s significant backlog needs can be addressed and also what a reasonable ongoing SFC contribution should be to the sector’s capital maintenance needs Continue our commitment to match fund resources made available by DBEIS, to maximise the investment opportunities for research infrastructure Develop a better understanding of the research equipment needs of the sector, particularly in support of the research pools Continue to explore the opportunities for universities to share capital resources and to bid into wider available funding streams Discuss with Universities Scotland how future Financial Transactions can best be targeted in support of capital investment in the sector Undertake a comprehensive condition survey of the college estate, concluding in time to inform the 2017 spending review As part of the outcome of the survey, consider whether there is a case for targeting capital maintenance at estate need rather than using a proxy Continue to work with those colleges with the highest capital investment needs to help them develop ‘shovel-ready’ business cases (including colleges where significant capital needs are required in support of major curricular developments) Prioritise Janet backbone and the regional networks as the highest needs for digital infrastructure Continue to explore with both sectors how we can support them tackle their carbon emissions, including through specific funding programmes. 45. The attached Annex sets out the financial implications of the strategy, as far as we are able to anticipate them. It includes the potential costs associated with developing a supporting evidence base, including those likely to be need to develop ‘shovel-ready’ projects. Equality and diversity assessment 46. An equality and diversity assessment of each of the individual capital programmes will be carried out as and when they become financially viable, 10 including ensuring individual projects to be funded have undertaken their own assessments. Financial implications 47. The aim of this infrastructure strategy is to set out the policy framework for our work around capital investment, digital infrastructure investment and our support for the sectors’ low carbon programmes. Recommendations 48. Councils’ views are sought on this updated strategy in order to help shape future policy work in these areas. Specifically Council is invited to agree that the proposed actions set out in this paper are appropriate as the next steps in implementing the strategy. Publication 49. This paper is publishable on the Council website. Further information 50. Contact: Stuart Fancey (tel: 0131 313 6559, email: [email protected]), or Martin Kirkwood (tel 0131 313 6583, email [email protected]). 11
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