Charles Noussair Tilburg University Trends in publication: Experimental Economics What I do here Study is in the spirit of the Journal of Economic Surveys, and the conference theme of Current and Future Trends. I try to give some broad perspective about research trends within a field, in this case experimental economics. I consider developments in journal publishing patterns in the field of experimental economics during the decade Jan. 2001 – Dec. 2010. Analyze what has been published in the area in 9 leading outlets. Consider trends within the 10 year period, topics covered, and geographical location of research. Trends in publication: Experimental Economics The type of articles considered I consider laboratory experiments only. The unit of observation is the journal article. Include only studies conducted using traditional laboratory techniques. If this methodology is employed to gather at least some of the data reported in the paper, it is included in the data set. Features of the methodology Student subjects as participants Conducted in a controlled laboratory setting Trends in publication: Experimental Economics Typical Physical Layout of an Experimental Laboratory Trends in publication: Experimental Economics What is not included I leave out field experiments. These are experimental studies that relax one or more of the aforementioned aspects of the methodology. The boundary between field experimental and non-experimental research is hard to precisely establish. I also leave out neuroeconomic studies, since they arguably involve a new methodology, and their prime focus is on physiological data. I leave out comments, and replies, as well as surveys and meta-analyses that do not report new data. Trends in publication: Experimental Economics The data set Consists of all experimental papers published in nine prominent journals. Six of these are prestigious general interest journals. American Economic Review (not including Papers and Proceedings), Econometrica, The Economic Journal, Journal of Political Economy, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, and Review of Economic Studies. The three others are prestigious specialized journals that publish many articles in experimental economics. Games and Economic Behavior, Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, and Experimental Economics. A total number of 716 experimental papers identified Trends in publication: Experimental Economics The number of published papers in experimental economics is increasing (75% increase in 2006 – 2010 over 2001-2005) Number of articles published 500 450 400 Number of articles 350 300 Six general journals 250 200 Three specialized journals 150 100 50 0 2001-2005 Years 2006-2011 Trends in publication: Experimental Economics The percentage of journal articles that report experiments is also increasing Percentage of experimental articles from those appearing in the journals 25 Percentage 20 15 2001-2005 2006-2010 2001-2010 10 5 0 AER JPE QJE ECTA RES EJ Trends in publication: Experimental Economics GEB JEBO The denominator: Overall number of papers in general interest journals is not increasing. However, it is increasing in GEB, JEBO, and EE Number of articles published overall 450 400 350 Number of articles 300 250 Six general interest journals 200 Three specialized journals 150 Experimental Papers/Six Gen 100 50 Experimental Papers/Three Spec. 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Year Trends in publication: Experimental Economics What topics do the experiments consider? Distribution of Topics Studied Individual Decisions Social Preferences Markets Games Macro/Political Economy Other 95% of studies can be put into four categories Trends in publication: Experimental Economics The most popular topics Social Preferences (35.4% of all papers) Investigate dependence of preferences on payoffs of other individuals and history of play. Rather than preferences of the form ui(xi), assume that they are of the form ui(x1,…,xn, H). Try to uncover nature of ui(x1,…,xn, H), including the role of altruism, envy, reciprocity, and efficiency. Three very popular areas within social preferences: (1) Social dilemmas (13.1% of all papers): These are settings in which self-interest and group interest lead to different behavior. Two-principal paradigms, the Prisoner’s Dilemma and Voluntary Contributions to a Public Good, are used. In these games, individuals choose between cooperation and defection (decision is all-or nothing in Prisoners’ Dilemma; intermediate choices are possible in Voluntary Contributions). Used to study the determinants of cooperation. Trends in publication: Experimental Economics Dictator/Ultimatum games (9.6%): Two parties have an endowment to divide. One party proposes a division. In the ultimatum game, the other party can reject. If she rejects, both players receive zero. If she accepts, the proposed division is implemented. In the dictator game the other party cannot reject and the proposal is implemented. Used to study altruism, envy, and reciprocity. Trust/Gift exchange games (9.5%): In a trust game one individual can transfer a portion of her endowment to another player. The amount transferred gains value. Then the second party can return any portion of what he received. Used to study reciprocity. A gift exchange game has similar incentives but in a worker/employer context. Trends in publication: Experimental Economics The most popular topics Individual decision making (14.2% of all papers) Risk (4.6%) Testing theories, measuring risk tolerance Consumer Behavior/ Willingness-to-pay (2.9%) Preference over products, how to elicit WTP information Markets (24.3% of papers) Auctions (9.9%) Asset Markets (4.7%) Testing theories, comparing auction types Bubbles, Informational efficiency Industrial Organization (5.5%) Testing models of interaction between firms Games (21.0% of papers) Coordination (6.2%) Equilibrium selection Beauty contest (1.9%) Measures to what extent rationality is common knowledge within a group Trends in publication: Experimental Economics How is interest in these topics changing over time within the field? Consider within the journal Experimental Economics. Level playing field between topics Barometer of what the field itself is interested in. Each of the four major areas listed above is increasing in coverage 40 Topics of experimental studies published: Experimental Economics, 2001-2010 35 30 Number of articles 25 20012005 20 15 20062010 10 5 0 Ind choice Social preferences Markets Topic Economics Trends in publication: Experimental Games What topics interest the broader profession? Consider the six general interest journals Topics: SIx General Interest Journals Interest growing in Social Preferences, Individual Choice, and Games 30 25 Number of articles 20 2001-2005 15 2006-2010 10 5 0 Individual Decisions Social Preferences Markets Topic Trends in publication: Experimental Economics Games Geographical distribution Geographical distribution of research conducted 1.2 Percentage of all articles 1 3.3 3.2 Asia-Pacific 0.8 47.8 43.1 Europe North America 0.6 0.4 53.6 48.9 0.2 0 2001-2005 Time period 2006-2010 Trends in publication: Experimental Economics Conclusions The number of articles reporting laboratory experimental studies has been increasing over the last decade. The percentage of articles appearing in major journals reporting laboratory experiments is also increasing. Four topics dominate the field: Social preferences, individual decision making, games, and markets. There has been a modest increase in the share of research conducted in European laboratories and a modest decrease in the share done in North America. Trends in publication: Experimental Economics
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