A Profit Function By Fairfull, R.W. for White A.J. Animal Leghorn Layer Selection McAllister I, and R.S. Research Agriculture Gowe 2 Centre Canada Ottawa, Ontario KIA 0C6 INTRODUCTION Selection index theory the index by its economic The estimation even though introduced value of relative economic there has been much and some for specific (Smith, species. the concept of weighting 1936; Hazel, weights 1943; continues each to have many research on the general However, there of indices published work deriving economic weights for indices of egg type chickens. Possibly of the complexities associated with the i0 or more traits of economic importance, the use of 3- and 4-way gene for egg production, action Relative as a linear economic concept. economic objectives economic model functions as selection quadratic models criteria are adequate are known. The properties established. Economic fact that the ideal bird different economic parts niches. for all types values layers While Therefore, has a serious and it is costly the profit basically indices components. have problem egg layer to breed function an that properties clearly that stems is quite from unique the in for each of these in different IPresent address: Dept. of Animal Science, 404 W.P. Garrlgus Bldg., University of Kentucky, Lexington, Kentucky 40546-0215, U.S.A. 2Present address: Adjunct Professor, Centre for Genetic Improvement of Livestock, Dept. of Animal and Poultry Science, University of Guelph, Ontario, Canada NIG 2WI 36 (1970, profit their not been birds may vary and Harris into non-linear it is not clear models or the more economical of the world effects. created quadratic of non-linearity, economic because er al. (1986) published quadratic for layers. were on of non-additive and sex-linked indices Akbar of breeding of other evaluation'in maternal (1968) developed that included the substitution the importance and selection et al. and, more recently, for broilers 1972) suggested and major weights Wilton crosses, in 1963). problems principles is little trait Henderson, markets around the world different prices prices in U.S. eggs by grades has a different grades. Also, and over time. and grades dollars This in several for Canada, of steps FIGURE i. determined change EGG by weight price IN U.S. the i shows egg all of which ranges. relationships in all markets PRICES with Figure and the U.S.A., and different over time prices illustrated major markets. the U.K., and these are mainly number is clearly and from sell Each country among the time to time DOLLARS 1.0 Canada , °.o....o°°°o°°Do°.o°o°o.°, U_ ......... USA Brown - USA White 0.8 _..o°°.°°°.°°.°°._ _..°..°°.°...°..°.- 0.6 ................. VALUE ;............ $ ' e D°°°°°°.°°°°°°°°°_ 0.4 . , , , '--- ! I ------J 0 •2 =.-. -_.. _ 50 60 EGG WEIGHT the number of steps changes. characteristics other The price than weight (g) is variably (grade). 37 70 influenced For example, by quality in Canada, shipments of eggs with sample Haugh unit scores therefore, earn a uniform by weight, egg size. but the price per unit weight Intrinsic assessments surprises. "progress" to the economic are made There of weight. is higher evaluation In Japan, to selection (i.e. milk or meat) and, are sold mid-range is the problem that holds will not necessarily programmes eggs for a narrow process for a future is a great deal of discussion units than 65 are sent to breakers objectives should be such (except those where there if this progress applied production regardless in the present Thus, economic for most traits optimum) even situations. weights price lower of that at least some that they will result is an intermediate be optimal in the literature in enterprises and the breeding in for all about economic that are mainly programme is only part of the overall business. This situation applies to many livestock enterprises where the sale of breeding stock is not the greatest source of return. In such cases, breeding many factors programme is the primary come of a major source into play poultry of income that are of little breeder where in the the sale of breeding and the sale of product by-product of that programme. The implications been discussed by Smith et al. (1986). importance is usually of this whole stock a subject have In addition, response from application of a selection index may be difficult to interpret since genetic and economic evaluation are combined. This is a practical consideration, implications of the index applied. in that, all "users" may not understand It is difficult to understand how a selection program can be properly monitored in such cases and index not be detected.quickly even by competent, experienced geneticists. Economic evaluation is not of secondary evaluation. If either demonstrated that the method economic weights, consideration. The above important represents them limited the other of derivation so that, methods to keep It represents are flawed, importance loses and philosophy some concerns in economic in mind; however, this paper steps in a long difficult 38 Gibson a large deserve effect process. (1989) on relative serious evaluation. will may to genetic value. can have errors the It is not address them all. Strictly economic where selection issues can be based upon These must be translated At the Animal scheme methods employed Thus, Research one of which traits profit and a profit or a correlated values long-term linear Culling project characters component initiated Trait selection evaluation character. of the target (ARC), we have is the Multiple in Bob Gowe's in layer there is a prediction Centre 1990) and the other uses best evaluation a part-record into the expected global assessment of merit. assessment in layers. selection are not the only concern for to a comparison Levels (Falrfull of (MTCL) and Gowe, prediction (BLUP) for genetic for economic evaluation of the quantitative function unbiased (McAllister et al., 1990). It is this latter method, especially the function, that forms the basis of the remainder of this discussion. METHODS Overall Breeding values Evaluarion (BV's) are estimated using multiple trait BLUP. The method used is recurslve prediction on a reduced, animal model (Hudson, 1984). The BV's of the seven traits for each selection candidate are substituted in the profit function. the population mean, The inputs used are actually so that the results the BV are in the range (a deviation) plus of actual performance as required for calculation of the profit function. The resulting value represents merit for the traits considered. The central issue of this approach economic is the idea that the profit merit. All selected the genetic assessment all-or-none to select testing will which In this group and traits that apparently assesses in this manner. is difficult We believe as adequate are discontinuous have relative methods traits, non-llnear that for and inheritance the traits. theory has been published (Gianola application traits directly such and hatchability (Gowe and Fairfull, 1982; Gowe, 1983; Frankham, 1 lists the different traits under selection and the method Recently, traits of several are not available. as, fertility 1990). Table employed traits are not considered evaluation traits function and Foulley, require 1983; extending have not yet been Foulley that leads et al., the theory accomplished. 39 to BLUP 1983), of all-or-none but the practical to an application Also, level and for some all-or-none traits, llke general specific mortality, in terms of disease intense organism or virulence of pathogens little in the new environment. worth which may have non-linear For a discussion Table change, I. Traits Selection Trait BLUP Hen-day with Residual Profit Egg weight Function For other current (1983) and Frankham and method feed consumption at 340 days egg in days body weight Culling Hatchability Levels Viability theory is not adequate. egg to 497 days (HDR) (RFC) at 340 days (SGR) (AFE) (BWT) units at 340 days Fertility as fertility, (EWT) gravity Multivariate levels gains may be of such genetic is (1990). rate of lay from first Egg specific Haugh If exposure selection traits as mortality of evaluation Age at first Mature is futile and its virulence. then previous inheritance, see Gowe selection (HAU) - Brooding Rearing Laying Blood spot incidence Egg shape Profi= The data used target traits were based and Gowe, 1990), (Grunder e_ al., The function to calculate at which penalization would be above shell eggs accept with units begins. This point below selection genotypes 1986) traits study was chosen, and superimposed study. for the initial so that, lots of eggs to (Fairfull from the selection on data except which selected cannot Haugh point units be sold as at the end of lay. of 65 Haugh increasing eggs from relating e_ al., 1983, utilizing is not based 65 (the standard in Canada) The standard decline (Falrfull studies for Haugh the functions on data from a long-term and crosslng 1989) Function units is not high even age of the hen. a flock, the penalty Haugh As long as the grading for producing 40 though eggs below units station will the standard is not severe in Canada above this standard against very eggs very low Haugh as genotypes for much of the first low in Haugh units values_ The profit only especially however, from the quantitative characters of important Two of the most constant returns assumptions important are: selection functions of specific shown in appendices. i. Gross profit 2.0 Income 2.1 Egg income considered gravity, - (Income - (expected (income reached. Haugh SBvSGR - breeding -- function breakage)(rate 4.931 for expected value - Typical are a values of the and body weight for albumen are of height) [BvAFE]})(SBvHAU) egg specific proportion - 0.02046(BvSGR ) (;BvSGR) - 0.702, BvHDR costs grade-out) of egg specific relating the restrictions: then are a of diminishing of lay)(length period)(adJustment to the expected - program units There of this function. pullet value) - (SBvSGR)({BvHDR)([DA ] where BvSGR i). Expenses) - (egg income + spent laying (see Table 2) that a period egg weight, against in that it is composed i) that the breeding gains has not been prejudice selection in the construction and be is perplexing. is restricted implicit for a fixed set of traits, from form should Consumer seem to require the exact shown below number laying cycle. would function from most breeders (;IBvEWT), gravity, gravity of intact at 340 days eggs, 195.739(I/BvSGR), if BvSGR < 70 (1.070) with then and if BvSGR340 > 102 (1.102) (_BvSGR340) - 0.926, breeding value of hen day rate of lay from first egg, DA - disposal age - 497 days of age (whole BvAFE - breeding value of age at first BvHAU - breeding value of Haugh _BvHAU - function of Haugh Haugh units, - at 340 days whereby the number of eggs is reduced, 18.81791(BvHAU) 708.311 - breeding value then then 75.51 the (SBvHAU) -- 0.0, (;BvHAU) - 1.0, of egg weight, 41 under - 0.12481(BvHAU) 2, with if BvHAU < 72.57 and if _vHAU > 75.51 length), units, units restrictions: BvEWT record egg in days, JIsvEWT - function revenue year relating per egg generated grade - 0.113326 with egg weight distribution (SIBvEWT) -- 0.0620, 2.2 Spent pullet - to the by the expected full at that weight, + 0.000118264(svEWT ) the restrictions: (]'lsvEWT) at 340 days 2.85977(I/svEWT), if svEWT < 50.0 then and if svEWT340 > 69.0 then 0.0801. value - (spent pullet weight)(price/unit weight) - (J,vBWT) (F/BWT), where svBWT ;svBWT - breeding value of mature - function relating mature body weight (365 d), body weight to final body weight, - 72. 809 + 0.578(svBWT) P/BWT 3.1 - price Expenses per unit body weight. - cost of feed consumed - (feed for maintenance adult residual - ({@F/gE}{Egg aF/gE - constant Egg Number - ({svHDR){[DA] S_vEWT per unit Number}{S_vEWT {[aF/gBWT][svBWT] where + feed for egg mass + feed)(cost } + + [svRFC]}{PHD}) (C/U) for feed per gram of egg lald, [svAFE]}) - function relating egg weight average egg weight expected - 8.610573 of feed) at 340 days over + 0.8070588(svEWT), restrictions: the full year, with if svEWT < 50.0 to the then the (;_vEWT) - 48.96, @F/gBWT - constant for feed per gram of live body weight, svBWT - breeding value svRFC - breeding value PHD - number of days of mature of residual C/U feed consumption, in the laying - ({DA} - {Housing day periods System), (365 day) body weight, age})/28, to correspond - cost of feed per unit. 42 year expressed with ARC's as number of 28 Feed Consumption Comments At the Animal selected using significant differences are in the laying house. interpretation. between the overall are relatively and egg weight. minor although However, There from parents 2 shows means are statistically means of strains selected of genetic benefits, selection programme phenotypic values identification but there is easier. are practical inspect and rectification procedures to reduce their incidence. in emphasis more emphasis on destination may offer advantages. the the BV's and This has allowed the and the establishment Once sound by no Monitoring we print of data errors the differences satisfactory the printout. using residual on egg weight. evaluation Each generation, and visually slightly for a similar, and economic part, divergence a little more emphasis Apparently, both methods are headed slightly different routes. The separation modest for are no significant There i.e. MTCL places the rate of lay and BLUP places editing Table for the most they reflect from the two methods theoretical bred for age at first egg, hen day rate of lay, body weight, feed consumption resulting the third generation (parents of the third generation). to complicate BLUP or MTCL Centre, BLUP or MTCL the 1989 hatch interactions Research editing of procedures are in place, visual inspection is less important, but checking a few high ranking and low ranking individuals plus a few random ones is a sensible precaution. situations error. The results of both parts that were apparently The mathematical processes of the process illogical have, appear thus far, resulted that make up the profit should be improved. The function relating egg specific indicence is based upon only one data set and that data is possible changing that the share of the egg weight with selection, to be recalibrated. functions may not predict however, they Finally, there function including Probably, egg weight pure so that, Also, curve the equations due to unaccounted absolute should be adequate is heterosis values function across involving adequately is the character is an intermediate llne egg weight optimum to egg grade may not be the best method where egg weight economically. to handle this 43 may have of variation, some for some purposes; characters of rank. in the profit and body this is the greatest distributions from data age of hen is age at first egg, rate of lay, egg weight egg weight and can and for the prediction important sense gravity to breakage set is not ideal. It for sources (more robust) for several to make weight. concern as For this trait, we fitted of strain crosses, but this Table 2. Means populations prediction for three strains I of the 2nd generation (1989 hatch) (BLUP) that were selected and the profit the three strains I selected function by multiple Trait Fertility, Rearing _ _ mortality, mortality, Laying mortality Age at first Hen housed best linear unbiased with trait culling _ _ to 497 d egg, d egg prod'n to 497 d the means levels BLUP Hatchability, Brooding using compared test for (MTCL). MTCL 89.7 88.1 75.2 77.7 2.6 2.6 0.8 1.0 3.8 2.9 144.7 147.2-* 286 292 ** Hen day rate AFE-497 d 81.9 83.7** Hen day rate AFE-357 d, _ 88.2 89.6** Mature body weight, Residual feed consumption, Egg weight Specific g at 340 d, g gravity Haugh units Blood g at 340 d at 340 d spots at 340 d, % Egg shape at 340 d Egg weight Specific at 450 d gravity at 450 d Profit= IOne strain from each of three genetic 2Calculated using the overall means used are outlined in Table I. **P<0.01. 1668 1742 ** 1087 1058 ** 62.1 60.2** 85.6 84.8 84.2 83.0 3.2 2.3 3.9 4.0 65.4 63.8** 82.4 81.5 10.57 10.33 bases. with constant 44 value. The traits problem. In any case, each section critically and improved as better of the function ideas should be viewed or data are advanced. REFERENCES Akbar, M.K., D.L. Harris and C.R. Arboleda. 1986. Development relative economic weights for linear and quadratic bloeconomlc in commercial broilers. Poultry Sci. 65:1834-1846. Falrfull, R.W., and R.S. Gowe. 1990. Chapter Chickens. pp. 705-759. In: Poult. Breed. Elsevier Science Publishers, Amsterdam. Fairfull, R.W., long-term selected reciprocal Leghorn effects. Fairfull, R.W., heterosis of White Frankham, R. 4th World Cong. Genet. Foulley, merit with Leghorn from data on binary birth 1983. emphasis 1986. crosses. Reproductive D. Glanola calving difficulty 15:401-424. strain Appl. R.D. fitness Livest. Crawford, Diallel cross on heterosis Dominance J.P. Alternative 3189. Gowe, R.S. breeders. Gowe, 1989. and artificial Scl. methods and quantitative varlates 67:663-680. selection. Proc. and pelvic Prediction with opening. of genetic an application Genet. on the major economic components weights. to Sel. Evol. categorical of milk: J. Dairy Sci. 72:3176- 1983. Lessons from selection studies in poultry for animal 32nd Ann. Nat. Breed. Roundt., pp. 23-51, St. Louis. R.S., and R.W. in poultry. of deriving in Prod. XIII:238-239. 1983. Selection of six and Glanola, D., J.L. Fo_lley. 1983. Sire evaluation for ordered data with a threshold model. Genet. Sel. Evol. 15:201-223. Gibson, Editor. and eplstasis Can. J. Animal and R. Thompson. weight, in Sci. 24:133-158. R.S. Gowe and J. Nagai. 1990. J.L., strains Br. Poultry objectives 29. Egg Production Genet. R.S. Gowe and A.J. Emsley. of the Fairfull. Proc. World Cong. 1982. Sheep 45 Some lessons Beef Cattle from selection Breed. 1:261-281. studies Grunder, A.A., Genetic between R.M.G. Hamilton, R.W. Fairfull and B.K. Thompson. parameters of egg shell quality traits and percent ovlposltlon and grading. Poultry Sci. 68:46-54. 1989. intact eggs Harris, D.L. 1970. Breeding for efficiency in livestock production: Defining the economic objectives. J. Anim. Scl. 30:860-865. Harris, D.L. De Kalb, Ill. 1972. Unpublished Hazel, L.N. 1943. The genetic Genetics 28:476-490. research. basis De Kalb AgResearch for constructing Inc., selection indices. Henderson, C.R. 1963. Selection index and expected genetic advance. pp. 141-163. In: Star. Genet. Plant Breed. W.D. Hanson and H.F. Robinson, Hudson, Editors. G.S.F. prediction Unbiased Smith, Wilton, A.J., R.W. Prediction. weights of a reduced values. J. Anim. Falrfull and R.S. Gowe. by Multiple 4th World James and E.W. in livestock H.F. 1936. 7:240-250. Sci., Nat. Res. Extension of selection C., J.W. economic Smith, Eugen. 1984. of breeding McAlllster, comparison Nat. Acad. Cong. Evans, D.A., for quadratic models of total 46 model 1990. Culling 1986. to recurslve Biometrics and Best Linear Livest. Prod. for plant L.D. A preliminary Levels Prod. XVI:69-72. On the derivation Anim. function and Van Vleck, Washington. Scl. 59:1164-1175. improvement. merit. animal Genet. Appl. Brascamp. A dlscriminant J.W., Trait Council, 1986. of 43:545-551. selection. Selection 24:937-949. Ann. indices APPENDICES Typical Values of Functions ;svSGR340 - 4.931 - 0.02046(svSGR ) 195.739(I/svSGR ) - expected proportion of intact eggs svSCRI 70 78 82 86 90 94 98 102 170 74 [svSCR 0.702 74 0.772 0.826 0.866 0.895 0.915 0.925 0.929 0,925 - 1.070, - 1.074, etc. SIsvEWT - 0.113326 + 0.000118264(svEWT ) - 2.85977(I/svEWT) - expected average return per egg in dollars svEWT 50.0 54.0 58.0 62.0 64.0 68,0 [lsvEWT $0.0620 $0.0668 $0.0709 $0.0745 $0.0762 $0,0793 SsvHAU - 18.81791(svHAU) svHAU 75.50 75.40 75.00 74.60 74.20 73.80 73.40 73.00 72.60 72,57 708.311 [BvHAU 1.000 0.995 0.976 0.917 0.819 0.680 0.502 0.284 0.026 0,004 47 - 0.12481(svHAU) 2 SsvBWT - 72.809 + 0.578(svBWT ) - expected final body weight svBWT 210 200 190 180 170 160 150 [BvBWT 194 188 183 177 171 165 160 S2svEWT - 8.610573 + 0.8070588(svEWT ) - expected average egg weight svEWT 50.0 54.0 58.0 62.0 64.0 68,0 [_vEWT 48.96 52.19 55.42 58.65 60.26 63,49 in the full year Question: T. Wing Do your BLUP correlations? Response: R.W. We use multiple genetic J. Can and for an Response: heritabilities and genetic prediction and an animal model for BLUP. Multiple trait BLUP includes and covariances similar to a classical index are so that considered. heritabilities and genetic Arthur should the intermediate R. include Fairfull recursive trait variances selection correlations Question: equations W. BLUP index optimum for be constructed egg to select weight? Fairfull The profit function has an optimum for egg weight at about 69.1 g (a ridge on the response surface). This is probably too high on a practical basis. The profit function may not adequately account for the effects of very large egg size on breakage because of the egg size distribution of the flocks analyzed (few birds in the flock laid eggs in 69-72 g range at 340 days of age). However, the egg flats used for transportation of eggs in Canada are not roomy enough for very large eggs and so very large eggs will probably be exposed to more severe insults than smaller eggs,especially compression along both axes during packing and transport. Also, egg grading equipment is no longer set up to handle very large eggs although the size of the egg that can be handled without severe insult due to size varies with market. We will attempt to determine quantitatively the detrimental effects of very large egg size and consult with grading stations on the maximum size egg their equipment will now handle safely. At present, this function must be viewed as the theoretically optimum egg size given no upper limit on egg size as discussed above. In a practical programme, I would set a limit based on commercial acceptance which history has shown us can be different from the purely economic optimum. 49
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