International Journal of Computational Science 1992-6669 (Print) 1992-6677 (Online) www.gip.hk/ijcs © 2009 Global Information Publisher (H.K) Co., Ltd. 2009, Vol. 3, No. 5, 512-534. Effect of Two Basic Pricing Mechanisms on Investment Equilibrium of Electric Generation Industry Ye Ze*, Zhang Xin-Hua, Cao Yong-Quan School of Management, Changsha University of Science and Technology, Changsha, China [email protected] Abstract. Mechanism of electric generation capacity investment has been changed since electricity sector reform, and electricity market has undergone insufficiency of capacity investment problem. Because of the publicity in electricity, as one of Premise Conditions in market, the equilibrium of capacity investment must be ensured in pricing mechanism. Previous studies of the pricing mechanism’s effect upon investment are usually limited to corporate investment behaviors. Studying on pricing mechanism in favor of capacity investment equilibrium, two levels of researches are included in this paper: in the first part, based on real option theory, through establishing the short-term industry investment model and the long-term game model under the oligopoly competition market condition, the paper mainly analyzes impact on capacity investment equilibrium which brought by pricing mechanism policy. In the comparison with longterm equilibrium effect of different pricing mechanism policies, it is concluded that: the insufficiency of long-term capacity investment is serious under single tariff condition; Only when the level of completely fixed capacity payment would be set precisely beforehand, has two tariff condition induced long-term capacity investment equilibrium automatically in the mass. The paper puts forward the adjustment policy of relatively fixed capacity payment, which calculation result shows that it not only induces long-term equilibrium in power market more rapidly, but also more competition efficiency than the completely fixed capacity payment policy. In the second part, according to the adjustment policy, by adopting the same real option method and establishing the model of power generation enterprise investment decision strategy, the * Corresponding Author. Email: [email protected]. ♣ Supported by the National Social Science Fund (07BJY079) and Program for New Century Excellent Talents in University(NCET-07-0124). 512 GLOBAL INFORMATION PUBLISHER Effect of Two Basic Pricing Mechanisms on Investment Equilibrium of Electric Generation Industry paper analyzes the effect of price cap mechanism and other concerned pricing mechanism policies on enterprise investment decision. It is concluded by the result that price cap can offset negative influence upon generation enterprise investment, and the combination of low price cap and relatively fixed capacity payment not only make a contribution to accelerating investment, which leads to industry investment equilibrium, but also bring more efficiency to market competition. Therefore, individual and collective rationalities in capacity investment decision-making are compatible under the combination condition of the low price cap and the relatively fixed high-level capacity payment, which is the optimum design for pricing mechanism. Keywords: single tariff, two-part tariff, investment threshold value, industry investment equilibrium. Preview Under the condition of vertical integration’s monopoly, electricity capacity investors receive fixed profit based on the average social fund profit margin set beforehand. Although this pricing mechanism guarantees supply obligation, it induces effect of surplus investment, so poor efficiency in resource allocation. However, electricity market can enhance efficiency as a reform from the vertical integration’s monopoly, probably it produces a problem of investment insufficiency, which can not guarantee supply obligation. We have to make tradeoff and selection between the supply obligation brought by monopoly and the efficiency in resource allocation brought by market system. Due to publicity of electricity, the supply obligation is top-priority. Now how to put forward a special mechanism for electricity market and a regulation policy both concerning improvement for the market efficiency at a maximum, has become a key point which theory study and practical operation of electricity market have to deal with. Pricing mechanism is a basic institution arrangement as well as a crucial regulation policy, so the pricing mechanism design based on investment equilibrium becomes a new subject to solve the internal contradiction between supply obligation and competition efficiency. This design is also innovation and improvement for the traditional price mechanism design which based on competition efficiency. Studying on pricing mechanism in favor of capacity investment equilibrium, two levels of researches are included in this paper: in the first part, Based on real option theory, establishing generation enterprise capacity investment model, the paper mainly analyzes and studies impact on the enterprise investment behavior which brought by different price policies, and it is concluded by analysis and study that the combination of low price cap and relatively fixed capacity payment not only make a contribution to accelerating investment, but also bring more efficiency to market competition. In the second part, based on the selected background of pricing mechanism above, applying the same real options method to two-stage industry investment equilibrium model building under oligopoly competition market condition, the paper makes further analysis on effect to industry investment equilibrium which brought by different price policies, and points out that relatively fixed GLOBAL INFORMATION PUBLISHER 513
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