Statistiques de migration au Liban

MEDSTAT II – ESCWA regional workshop on migration statistics
Cairo, June 30 to July 3, 2009
Recent Developments on Migration Statistics
in Lebanon
Lara BADRE
MEDSTAT II Migration National Coordinator
Central Administration for Statistics - Lebanon
www.cas.gov.lb
Recent Developments on Migration statistics in
Lebanon
Data sources and current projects
1- Administrative data
Measuring migration flows using individual border crossing data
2- Surveys
Migration module within the MICS3 SURVEY
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Part 1 – Administrative data
Measuring migration flows
using individual border
crossing data
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Administrative data - using individual border crossing data
Background
Cooperation between the Central Administration for Statistics (CAS) & the General
Direction of the General Security (GDGS), the proposals in two different meetings
held under MEDSTAT II and technical assistance provided by the Programme led to
establish a pilot project for measuring migration flows using the individual
border crossing data available at the GDGS.
Pilot project objectives and steps
•Testing a new methodology provided by the MEDSTAT II expert M.Poulain
•Started in 2007 using selected number of movements & applying the calculation for
testing the feasibility of the methodology
•Poulain approving the work of the Lebanese team
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Administrative data - using individual border crossing data
Concept and methodology
•This new methodology for measuring international migration flows is based on the
international recommendations of the UN and Eurostat
This measurement is based on:
• The concept of stay or residence in a country during the last 12 months
•The country were the person has lived continuously for most of the last 6 months
(excluding temporary absence)
•International migration means changing borders of the usual country of residence
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Administrative data - using individual border crossing data
Concept and methodology
Hence:
•The length of usual residence/ stay in a country should be >= 6 months per year (183
days/year)
•Calculating the duration of residence in a cumulative period of 12 months from the date
of movement (M)
•Using previous movements to M (M-183 days) to identify his usual residence or stay in
the country
•Systematic identification of international migration movements over the many paths of
individual border crossings (Sequence in /out)
•Nature of migration defined as the type of movement: the entry into the country is
immigration and the exit is emigration
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Administrative data - using individual border crossing data
Concept and methodology
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www.cas.gov.lb
Administrative data - using individual border crossing data
Concept and methodology
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www.cas.gov.lb
Administrative data - using individual border crossing data
After identifying that this person was IN for more than 6 months/ per year,
we need to look at his situation for the 6 month previous the M movement
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Administrative data - using individual border crossing data
After identifying that this person was IN for more than 6 months/ per year,
we need to look at:
• His situation for the 6 month previous the M movement (M -183)
to identify if he is an emigrant or not according to his duration of stay or
residence within the same country
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Administrative data - using individual border crossing data
Recommendations
To be able to apply this methodology the country should have:
•Electronic data base for all movements for all citizens and foreigners
•All border crossings have to be recorded by date, type of movement, sex, date of
birth, citizenship, country of birth….
•Use anonymous data for individual movements
•Create a link between all movements for each person crossing the borders…
•Concretely this methodology does not allow to register more than one immigration
or one emigration during a calendar year.
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Administrative data - using individual border crossing data
Recommendations
•Unfortunately, we have to wait until the end of the second year T+1 in order to
identify all international migrations to be enumerated during the first calendar year T.
•In some cases you should validate the data before applying this methodology (in case
of illogical path such as Out- Out or In- In or single path such as In only or Out only)
•In Lebanon we created with Poulain ‘rules of similarity’
•To do this you should know and identify the reasons for such cases
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Part 2- Surveys
Migration module within
the MICS3 SURVEY
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Surveys- Migration module
Background
•The Central Administration of Statistics (CAS) prepared a module on migration
within the ‘Multiple Indicators Cluster Survey, Round 3’ (MICS3)
•MICS3 is conducted in partnership with the UNICEF
•MEDSTAT II project provided technical assistance to Lebanon
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Surveys- Migration module
Survey objectives and techniques
•Providing indicators on women & children’s health, employment, migration,
housing..
•Sample size is 16500 Household
•Currently conducting the survey using PDA’s for data collection for the first time
•3 questionnaires: Household, Women, Under Five
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Surveys- Migration module
Concepts and methodology
Challenging issues related to migration
•Identify Household’s member that have emigrated
•Identify Household’s that have emigrated as whole
•Identify immigrants
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Surveys- Migration module
Concepts and methodology
In order to be able to collect information related to migration we did inquire on:
•Reference period 5 years previous to the survey
•Emigration linked to the head of the household only
•If the emigrated person was/ was not living within the same household with the head
of the household before emigration
•Information and characteristics of the migrants at the time of migration
•Change of address during the last 5 years ( for all household’s members aged 5 years
and above)
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Surveys- Migration module
Expected Outputs and results:
•Results should provide data on :
•General characteristics of emigration for the past 5 years
•Profile and characteristics of emigration such as age, sex, occupation, level of
education, cause of migration, hosting country…
•Internal migration
•Potentially a partial information on the characteristics of immigration for the
past 5 years
•Previous country of residence, reason for changing address…
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Thank you for your attention
To contact us
Merci de votre attention !
Central Administration for Statistics
Kantary, Army street, Finance & Trade building.
Beirut, Lebanon
Phone and Fax: + 961- 1- 373 160
Email: [email protected]
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