The Political and Socio-economic Climate in the
Czech Republic – Trends in Public Opinion
Paulina Tabery
Public Opinion Research Centre
Institute of Sociology of the Czech Academy of Sciences
12. 4. 2016
Outline
• Climate of opinion in the Czech Republic: the current
situation and trends
•
•
•
•
Opinion towards the national political situation
Trust in local, regional and national political institutions
Opinion towards the national economic situation
Evaluation of standard of living in the household
• Evaluation of relations between the Czech Republic and
Austria
• The Czech public's views of Austria
•
•
Likeability of countries – Austria's position in the ranking
Opinion on Austria's economic level
• Data
•
CVVM SOÚ AV ČR, v.v.i., Our Society, representative of the population 15 years and
over, quota sampling, face-to-face interviews, each wave approx. 1000 respondents.
Opinion on the current political situation in
the Czech Republic
March 2016 (index 0-100 = 40,9)
3% 1%
13%
very satisfied
19%
rather satisfied
neither satisfied, nor
dissatisfied
rather dissatisfied
31%
33%
very dissatisfied
don't know
Source: CVVM SOÚ AV ČR, v.v.i., Our Society 7. – 14. 3. 2016, 1079 respondents 15 years and over,
face-to-face interviews.
Trend in opinion on the political situation
in the Czech Republic, 2011-2016
index 0-100
moving average 10 of index 0-100
I/2011
III/2011
V/2011
IX/2011
XI/2011
I/2012
III/2012
V/2012
IX/2012
XI/2012
I/2013
III/2013
V/2013
IX/2013
XI/2013
I/2014
III/2014
V/2014
IX/2014
XI/2014
I/2015
III/2015
V/2015
IX/2015
XI/2015
I/2016
III/2016
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
Source: CVVM SOÚ AV ČR, v.v.i., Our Society, representative of the population 15 years and over,
quota sampling, face-to-face interviews, each wave approx. 1000 respondents.
Trust in political institutions, March 2016
President (index 0-100 =
19
57,7)
Government (index 0-100 =
4
37
43,1)
Chamber of Deputies (index
3
27
0-100 = 36,0)
Senate (index 0-100 = 37,8) 3
Regional Assembly (index 0100 = 49,1)
Municipal Assembly (index 0100 = 59,8)
strongly trust
43
36
23
28
rather distrust
40%
60%
strongly distrust
8
12
20
3
4
21
48
20%
13 2
17
41
15
rather trust
23
39
27
7
0%
43
17
10
80%
don't know
Source: CVVM SOÚ AV ČR, v.v.i., Our Society 7. – 14. 3. 2016, 1079 respondents 15 years and over,
face-to-face interviews.
7
100%
Trust in political institutions (index 0-100)
70
President (Václav
Klaus)
President (Miloš
Zeman)
Government (PM Petr
Nečas)
Government (PM Jiří
Rusnok)
Government (PM
Bohuslav Sobotka)
Chamber of Deputies
60
50
40
30
20
10
Senate
I/2011
IV/2011
IX/2011
XII/2011
III/2012
VI/2012
XI/2012
II/2013
V/2013
X/2013
I/2014
IV/2014
IX/2014
XII/2014
III/2015
VI/2015
XI/2015
II/2016
0
Regional Assembly
Municipal Assembly
Source: CVVM SOÚ AV ČR, v.v.i., Our Society, representative of the population 15 years and over,
quota sampling, face-to-face interviews, each wave approx. 1000 respondents.
Opinion towards the current economic situation in
the Czech Republic
March 2016 (index 0-100 = 49,9)
2% 2%
5%
28%
23%
very good
good
neither good, nor bad
bad
very bad
don't know
40%
Source: CVVM SOÚ AV ČR, v.v.i., Our Society 7. – 14. 3. 2016, 1079 respondents 15 years and over,
face-to-face interviews.
Evaluation of the household’s current
standard of living
March 2016 (index 0-100 = 60,4)
2% 0%
13%
36%
8%
41%
very good
rather good
neither good, nor bad
rather bad
very bad
don't know
Source: CVVM SOÚ AV ČR, v.v.i., Our Society 7. – 14. 3. 2016, 1079 respondents 15 years and over,
face-to-face interviews.
Comparison of opinions towards the national
economic situation and the household’s standard
of living
70
60
Standard of living
(index 0-100)
50
Standard of living
(moving average 10 of
index 0-100)
Economic situation
(index 0-100)
40
30
20
10
III/2016
XI/2015
V/2015
I/2015
IX/2014
III/2014
XI/2013
V/2013
I/2013
IX/2012
III/2012
XI/2011
V/2011
I/2011
0
Economic situation
(moving average 10 of
index 0-100)
Source: CVVM SOÚ AV ČR, v.v.i., Our Society, representative of the population 15 years and over,
quota sampling, face-to-face interviews, each wave approx. 1000 respondents.
Evaluation of relations between the Czech Republic
and Austria, and other countries in December 2015
(%; ‘good’ minus ‘bad’)
57
Slovakia (+97)
41
11
Austria (+84)
30
60
6 4
Hungary (+84)
28
60
Poland (+82)
28
61
UK (+82)
26
62
6 6
France (+81)
28
60
6 15
4 8
6 14
USA (+70)
22
59
9 2 8
Germany (+69)
23
59
12 1 5
China (+62)
21
56
11
Russia (+28)
0%
12 3 8
49
20%
40%
very good
rather good
rather bad
very bad
don't know
27
60%
5 8
80%
100%
Source: CVVM SOÚ AV ČR, v.v.i., Our Society 30. 11. – 7. 12. 2015, 1048 respondents 15 years and
over, face-to-face interviews.
Trends in evaluations of Czech relations with selected
countries (% ‘very good’ + ‘rather good’)
100
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
69
59
48
38
24
76 76
81 79 82
69 67 70
87
91 90
Slovakia
Poland
Hungary
Germany
Austria
UK
France
USA
China
Russia
Source: CVVM SOÚ AV ČR, v.v.i., Our Society, representative of the population 15 years and over,
quota sampling, face-to-face interviews, each wave approx. 1000 respondents.
Likeability of selected countries within Czech
public opinion, December 2015 (%; mean scores)
Slovakia (1,57)
Austria (2,03)
France (2,03)
UK (2,09)
Sweden (2,1)
Italy (2,17)
Norway (2,2)
Hungary (2,27)
Poland (2,33)
Japan (2,47)
Germany (2,56)
USA (2,58)
Greece (2,72)
Lithunia (2,95)
China (3,07)
Serbia (3,09)
Russia (3,12)
Ukraine (3,16)
India (3,18)
Israel (3,46)
Turkey (3,53)
Palestine (3,99)
Iran (4,19)
Afghanistan (4,21)
Iraq (4,21)
Syria (4,27)
0%
1=very likeable
2
3
4
5=very unlikeable
don't know
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Source: CVVM SOÚ AV ČR, v.v.i., Our Society 30. 11. – 7. 12. 2015, 1048 respondents 15 years and
over, face-to-face interviews.
Trends in the likeability of selected countries, 19912015 (% with scores of ‘1’ or ‘2’ on the likeability scale)
100
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
82
68
72
73
72
62
66
73
73
80
74
Slovakia
Austria
USA
Germany
Poland
Russia
France
UK
Hungary
Ukraine
China
Source: CVVM SOÚ AV ČR, v.v.i., Our Society, representative of the population 15 years and over,
quota sampling, face-to-face interviews, each wave approx. 1000 respondents.
Opinion about the economic situation in selected
countries in January 2014 (%; ‘good’ minus ‘bad’)
Germany (+92)
56
Austria (+89)
Slovenia (+1)
39
51
5
42
35
Poland (-4) 4
212
32
41
43
7
21
42
7 6
Slovakia (-15) 2
39
49
73
Czech Republic (-17) 2
39
49
91
Russia (-26)
7
Hungary (-29) 1
26
29
6
0%
21
48
Bulgaria (-57) 1 14
Romania (-79)
38
11 11
50
22
34
51
50%
8
very good
rather good
rather bad
very bad
don't know
13
9
100%
Source: CVVM SOÚ AV ČR, v.v.i., Our Society 13. 1. – 20. 1. 2014, 1105 respondents 15 years and
over, face-to-face interviews.
Trends in opinion about the economic situation in
selected countries (‘good’ minus ‘bad’)
II/1997
I/1998
II/1999
II/2000
II/2001
II/2002
I/2003
I/2004
II/2005
II/2006
I/2007
I/2008
I/2009
I/2010
I/2011
I/2012
I/2013
I/2014
100
80 93 94 95 96 94 94 93 93 93 93 94 95 90
85 80 89 89
80
60
40
20
0
-20
-40
-60
-80
-100
Bulgaria
Czech Republic
Hungary
Germany
Poland
Austria
Romania
Russia
Slovakia
Slovenia
Source: CVVM SOÚ AV ČR, v.v.i., Our Society, representative of the population 15 years and over,
quota sampling, face-to-face interviews, each wave approx. 1000 respondents.
Czech public evaluations of Austria's
economic situation (%)
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
II/1997
I/1998
II/1999
II/2000
II/2001
II/2002
I/2003
I/2004
II/2005
II/2006
I/2007
I/2008
I/2009
I/2010
I/2011
I/2012
I/2013
I/2014
don't know
very bad
rather bad
rather good
very good
Source: CVVM SOÚ AV ČR, v.v.i., Our Society, representative of the population 15 years and over,
quota sampling, face-to-face interviews, each wave approx. 1000 respondents.
Thank you for your kind attention!
Contact: [email protected]
cvvm.soc.cas.cz