THE TURAS PROJECT: INTEGRATING SOCIAL-ECOLOGICAL RESILIENCE AND URBAN PLANNING. Philip Crowe1, Dr. Karen Foley1 1 University College Dublin, [email protected]. [email protected] Keywords: urban planning, resilience, TURAS, municipalities, social ecology ABSTRACT Urban areas and regions face multiple challenges, for example in relation to climate change adaptation and mitigation, natural resources shortage, and unsustainable urban growth. The concept of urban resilience is increasingly discussed as a response to these challenges. The EU FP7 project TURAS (Transitioning towards Urban Resilience and Sustainability) aims to develop new strategies for spatial planning that build resilience in urban communities, working in partnership with municipalities, academic institutions, and SMEs throughout 11 partner cities or city regions. This paper reviews the challenges being addressed by the project, the core concepts (transition, resilience, sustainability and social ecological systems), the social ecology ethical perspective, and adaptive co-management, in order to identify the core elements required to ensure effective and meaningful results. The review is also used to elucidate the challenges, risks and potential of the project. Social ecological resilience, social ecology ethics, and adaptive co-management together present a new perspective with radical implications for urban planning practice and governance. It is suggested that the TURAS project needs to engage with this new perspective in order to address substantive planning issues. Relevant core elements that are not directly referenced by the TURAS project are identified, and potential opportunities for their integration put forward. The paper presents the potential of the project to provide a vision for a post-carbon future that embraces and reflects a new resilient and sustainable relationship between humanity and nature. 1 RESEARCH BACKGROUND Urban areas and regions face multiple challenges, for example in relation to climate change adaptation and mitigation, natural resources shortage, and unsustainable urban growth. The concept of resilience has emerged as a response to an uncertain future, appearing with increasing frequency, even to the extent of replacing ‘sustainability‘ (Porter and Davoudi, 2012). The EU Framework Programme 7 project TURAS (Transitioning towards Urban Resilience and Sustainability)1 aims to develop new strategies for spatial planning that build resilience and sustainability in urban communities, working in partnership with municipalities, academic institutions, and SMEs in an ‘innovative twinning approach’ throughout 11 partner cities or city regions (TURAS, 2011, p3). To reach the destination of urban resilience and sustainability the project must address the combined challenges of climate change mitigation and adaptation, natural resource shortage and unprecedented urban growth for European cities and their rural interfaces (ibid.). The project aims to achieve meaningful results through pilot projects in selected demonstration neighbourhoods, and to effect real change, such as a reduction in urban ecological footprints. Pilot projects can be ‘low-regret’ initiatives (ibid., p11), where there is a potential for trying out new ideas in a secure, low risk environment. The strategies and tools developed are for demonstration and dissemination in other European cities. The project utilizes an interactive web platform that will eventually be an open resource for urban communities. The TURAS project is made up of 9 work packages (WP1-9) covering specific areas of interest, administrative and co-ordination functions: WP1 WP2 WP3 WP4 WP5 WP6 WP7 WP8 WP9 Geospatial ICT Support Infrastructure for Urban Resilience Public and Private Green Infrastructure Urban / Industrial Regeneration, Land Use Planning and Creative Design Climate Change Resilient City Planning and Climate-neutral Infrastructure Limiting Urban Sprawl Short Circuit Economies Integrated Transition Strategies Dissemination, Training and Exploitation Project Management 2 METHODOLOGY In order to explore and identify core elements the new spatial strategies for the transition to urban resilience and sustainability might engage with, this paper reviews the literature in the following areas: • the defined challenges to be addressed by the TURAS project of climate change mitigation and adaptation, natural resource shortage and unprecedented urban growth for European cities and their rural interfaces; • the core concepts of the project: transition, resilience, sustainability, socialecological systems; • the social ecology ethical perspective; • the operationalization of social ecological resilience through adaptive comanagement. The aim of this review is to identify the challenges and risks to the project, and the core elements required to ensure effective and meaningful results. Any evident gaps in the scope of the TURAS project are identified, and potential opportunities for their integration put forward. 1 The TURAS project was a successful submission under the theme ENV.2011.2.1.5-1: Sustainable and Resilient Green Cities, in area 6.2.1.5 of the call FP7-ENV-2011. THE TURAS PROJECT: INTEGRATING SOCIAL-ECOLOGICAL RESILIENCE INTO URBAN PLANNING. AESOP 2013 2 The social-ecology ethical perspective is explored in order to articulate the underlying causes of environmental problems, and provide insight into how they might be addressed by urban planning. The paper concludes with a discussion of the implications of a new perspective of social ecology resilience, social ecology ethics, and adaptive co-management on urban planning practice and policy. 3 THEORIES AND CONCEPTS 3.1 The defined challenges The defined challenges that the TURAS project seeks to address are discussed in turn in order to identify core elements for the transition. Table 1 summarises the core elements and in what work package or manner the TURAS project responds to them. 3.1.1 Climate change mitigation and adaptation Atmospheric CO2 levels continue to exceed the 350ppm limit suggested by Hansen et al. (2008), trapping more heat energy in an enhanced Greenhouse Effect and acidifying the oceans (Royal Society, 2005; Archer, 2009). The speed of warming is beyond the worst case SRES scenarios set out by the IPCC (2007) AR4 (Anderson and Bows, 2008; North, 2009). Feedback loops and delayed or cumulative effects will cause a time lag in environmental impacts and climate may not stabilise for centuries after a peak in GHG emissions (Heinberg, 2007). Predicted climate change impacts vary throughout Europe. For example, southern and central Europe will experience more frequent and extreme heatwaves, and precipitation will increase in Northern Europe (Grieving et al., 2011; IPCC, 2007). Climate change presents unique challenges for urban areas and will be particularly severe in low-lying coastal areas where many of the largest cities are located (UN-Habitat, 2011). There are many direct and indirect consequences of climate change on urban areas, including the urban heat island (UHI) effect and flooding. How these impact on a particular city depends on the exposure and vulnerability of a city, for example in terms of urban form, settlement pattern and socio-economic and environmental context (IPCC, 2012). The impacts experienced can be exacerbated by the urban fabric, for example with impermeable surfaces, insufficient open green space, or poorly insulated buildings (EEA, 2012). Climate change mitigation involves reducing anthropogenic contributions to the enhanced Greenhouse Effect, for example by energy efficiency measures and carbon sequestration (EEA, 2012). However, it is widely recognised that the effects of climate change cannot now be prevented, prompting a need to purposefully design for adaptation alongside mitigation (IPCC, 2007). A key message of the EEA report ‘Urban Adaptation to Climate Change in Europe‘ is that a cross- sectoral and multi-level perspective in governance and planning can create strong and resilient cities and regions in Europe by reducing sensitivity and building adaptive capacity (EEA, 2012). While support is needed at all levels the authors consider local information and social capital especially important to allow communities to act effectively when faced with a challenge (ibid.). The role of local governments in monitoring, planning and nurturing adaptive capacity is highlighted. UN- Habitat (2011) recognises that local action is key to meeting national climate change commitments, noting there is no ‘clear process by which local governments, stakeholders and actors may participate’ (pvi), highlighting a gap that the TURAS project aims to address. THE TURAS PROJECT: INTEGRATING SOCIAL-ECOLOGICAL RESILIENCE INTO URBAN PLANNING. AESOP 2013 3 3.1.2 Natural resources shortage Cities are all reliant on natural resources including ecosystem services, that are often drawn from distant locations to satisfy the urban metabolism in a linear path (Girardet, 1999). However, the planet has limited fixed stores of fossil fuels and mineral ores, and limited capacity for regeneration of renewable resources such as forests, fish, topsoil and freshwater (Heinberg, 2010, p5; Korowicz, 2010; North, 2009). Heinberg (2007) notes that cheap energy from fossil fuels has allowed unprecedented growth in the extraction rates of resources, which will result in peaks coinciding, affecting basic welfare. Climate change exacerbates many problems such as the availability of clean freshwater, already under pressure throughout Europe as demand outstrips supply (EEA, 2012). The Millenium Ecosystem Assessment 2005 recorded that 15 of the 24 ecosystems identified as providing services essential to human life are heading towards a state of collapse that may be abrupt and potentially irreversible (Reid et al., 2005). The world is particularly dependent on oil for transport, agriculture, plastics and chemicals, and industrial economies rely on fossil fuel-based energy systems (Heinberg, 2007). For example, Ireland depended on imported fossil fuels for 89% of energy generation in 2009 (SEAI, 2010). Peak oil, when global oil production enters a terminal decline, is predicted to cause abrupt and unpredictable changes in the decline curve caused by diminishing energy return on investment (ERoI) and resource nationalism, resulting in corruption, conflict, and shifts in geopolitical and economic power (Korowicz, 2010; Holmgren, 2009). Opinion differs as to a timeline for peak oil, and the extent of reserves. Increasingly difficult oil extraction presents huge environmental risks (McAlister, 2011) and alternatives such as biofuels present a reduction in both quality and quantity, and compete with other key resources (Holmgren, 2009). An energy crisis from a restricted supply of oil will precipitate a crisis in the food system, which is reliant on oil for fertilizers, pesticides, transport and processing (Girardet, 2004). Douthwaite (2010) states that the underlying cause of economic recession in Europe is resource depletion and that the necessary withdrawal from fossil fuels will be difficult, particularly ‘in countries that fail to ensure that they have a decent supply of renewable methadone available to them’ (p3). 3.3.1 Unsustainable urban growth World urban population is predicted to increase from 3.6 billion in 2011 to 6.3 billion by 2050 (UN, 2011), with urban areas effectively absorbing all population growth in addition to experiencing a continued rural to urban shift (UN, 2012). In Europe, around 75% of the population currently lives in cities (EEA, 2006). All of the main sectors for carbon emissions are applicable to urban areas, and they are currently responsible for an estimated 60 to 70% of energy when the production of all goods consumed is considered, regardless of where they are actually produced (UN-habitat, 2011). Emissions depend on many factors such as geographical location and demographics, but principally on wealth and consumption (ibid.). Consumption, as measured by ecological footprint, or the estimated ‘area of biologically productive land and sea’ needed to provide renewable resources and assimilate waste to a given population (Wackernagel et al., 2006, p104), is above the global average in Europe, particularly in Western Europe (Alcamo et al., 2007). For example, in a study on London in 2000, the ecological footprint was estimated at twice the surface area of the UK, or 6.63 hectares per Londoner (Girardet, 2004). A physical consequence of this growth is urban sprawl, which has caused widespread social and environmental damage resulting in the destruction of farmland, wildlife habitats and drinking water systems (Karlenzig, 2010), and is linked to increased CO2 emissions from dependence on cars and health issues such as obesity and diabetes (Duany et al., 2010). Jane Jacobs (1961) provides intelligent insight into the socially destructive aspects of suburban sprawl, from issues such as the lack of casual public interaction and control over the public realm, resulting in a lower quality of life and well-being. THE TURAS PROJECT: INTEGRATING SOCIAL-ECOLOGICAL RESILIENCE INTO URBAN PLANNING. AESOP 2013 4 Urban planning has a critical role in addressing unsustainable urban growth, and is a major role of local government, encompassing present and future land use planning, transportation, economic development, location of infrastructure, housing, and natural and cultural resources (James and Lähti, 2004). Girardet (2004) notes that innovative approaches to urban planning will require deep attitudinal change and ‘vigorous new partnerships’ between all sectors of society (p273). Table 1: Summary of core elements for the transition in response to the 3 identified challenges. Core elements for the transition TURAS response Municipalities implementing and monitoring climate change mitigation and adaptation measures Municipalities engendering a sense of place and building community/social capital Cross-sectoral and multi-level governance engaging with communities Identification of vulnerabilities and drivers of change Provision of information and feedbacks Radical reduction of dependency on fossil fuels Radical reduction of exploitation of natural resources Promotion of circular urban metabolism Preservation and support of ecosystem services New approaches to urban planning to halt urban sprawl New partnerships in urban planning WP1, WP4 3.2 WP1, WP3 Twinning approach Potentially WP1, WP3, WP4 Potentially WP1 WP2, WP3, WP5 WP2, WP3, WP5, WP6 WP2, WP6 WP2, WP3 WP3, WP5 Twinning approach Core concepts The core concepts embedded in the TURAS project are each discussed in order to identify core elements for the transition: transition, resilience, sustainability, and social-ecological systems. Table 3 summarises the core elements and in what work package or manner the TURAS project responds to them. 3.2.1 Transition The fundamental objective of the TURAS project is a ‘transition’, or a process of change, from the ‘largely unsuitable reality’ (TURAS, 2011, p7) of urban areas in Europe, towards the destination of urban resilience and sustainability. Planning for the transition will require envisioning of alternative futures and preparedness for ‘innovative transformation at times of change and in the face of inherent uncertainties’ (Davoudi, 2012, p304). Girardet (2004) states that creating ‘post-fossil fuel cities is perhaps the greatest task of the coming decades’, and a particular challenge for professions involved in designing and building the cities (p264), reflecting the enormity and ambition of the challenge. However, rapid and radical change can be seen on a huge scale in recent history. Hopkins (2008) describes how in WW2 whole economies managed to adapt in short periods of time, with the building of resilience as a national priority. While peak oil and climate change have yet to engender the sense of urgency of an imminent invasion, Hopkins (2008) marks the danger in acting too late as we are dealing with natural systems and long range feedbacks. 3.2.2 Resilience Resilience is ‘the flip-side of vulnerability’ (Philip, 2010, p287), and current usage is generally considered to originate from the study of ecology (Walker and Salt, 2006; Folke, 2006). It is not possible to translate resilience in ecology directly into the social sciences unaltered, principally because humans can adapt ‘in anticipation of change’ (Hopkins, 2010, p65). THE TURAS PROJECT: INTEGRATING SOCIAL-ECOLOGICAL RESILIENCE INTO URBAN PLANNING. AESOP 2013 5 Popular usage gravitates towards the limiting engineering definition, relating to survival and preservation of a perceived equilibrium state in the face of crises such as extreme weather or financial crashes (Shaw, 2012). However, social-ecological resilience, or evolutionary resilience (Davoudi, 2012), is considered a more useful definition for urban planning and the TURAS project. Social-ecological resilience goes beyond a capacity to absorb shock, embracing a potential for ‘renewal, re-organisation and development’ (Folke, 2006, p.253), rejecting notions of equilibrium states. Social-ecological resilience accepts the inherent discontinuities, uncertainties and interdependencies in the socio-ecological systems within which we live, and which are fundamental to a resilience thinking perspective (Walker and Salt, 2006). This suggests a shift from a traditional maximum yield based approach of the management of ecological systems, to one that is adaptive and collaborative, addressing social contexts in order to ensure optimal functioning at all scales (Folke et al., 2005). Wilkinson (2011) notes this understanding of the processes of social-ecological transformation and transition is an emerging field, and that it is only recently that humans have been included as part of ecology. This reflects the shift from the dominant perspective that nature will self repair to equilibrium once human stressors are removed, to the new social-ecological perspective that acknowledges cross-scale interactions, complex humannature relations, and impacts that cannot be reversed simply by removing human stressors (Wilkinson, 2011). Social-ecological resilience can be understood as inherently political, challenging the status quo by highlighting alternatives to the hegemony of unlimited growth (Shaw, 2012). Wilkinson (2012) notes an outcome of her ‘exploratory engagement of resilience for strategic planning’ (p320) with the Luleå Commun, Sweden, where the ‘capacity to handle change’ (p322) was identified as the first goal of the consequent Luleå 2050 Vision, because ‘resilience’ was not considered an acceptable term politically. Concepts key to resilience thinking such as diversity and redundancy are noted as difficult, challenging ‘equilibrium assumptions of the dynamics of change, and management approaches that assume it is still possible to command and control’ (ibid., p323). 3.2.3 Resilience and Sustainability Davoudi (2012) observes that improved resilience for one situation may have a negative impact elsewhere and that issues of social justice and fairness are critical. The selection of a working definition for sustainability provides the TURAS project with an opportunity to set an ethical context for resilience or adaptive capacity. Like resilience, sustainability is a very widely used buzzword (Scoones, 2007) and ‘elastic concept’ that can be applied to justify diverse and often conflicting activities (Porter and Davoudi, 2012, p329). Sustainability can be understood as a related but distinctly different concept to resilience, as summarized in Table 2. The enhancement of resilience in socialecological systems is about embracing change rather than constancy (Walker and Salt, 2006; Rees, 2010), presenting a dynamic form of sustainability. Resilience can therefore be understood to reconfigure the basic principles of sustainability in response to a particular temporal or spatial context, accepting that the only constant is change. Resilience can be desirable or undesirable, while sustainability infers maintaining system states that are preferable (Carpenter et al., 2001). Resilience is the ability of a system to act and has uncertain results, whereas sustainability is a desirable outcome specified in advance (Redman, 2012). There are many definitions and interpretations of that desirable outcome. Ahern (2011) equates sustainability with a ‘fail-safe’ approach that aims to achieve stability, manage systems effectively, and control change and growth. In contrast, Ahern (2011) notes that the ‘safe-to-fail’ approach of resilience thinking accepts change and uncertainty, building adaptive capacity for reorganising and recovering without changing state. The building of resilience capacity is considered a pre-requisite of achieving sustainability (ibid.). It is suggested here that the definition of sustainability as the ‘capability of maintaining specified values of human wellbeing, social equity and environmental quality over indefinite THE TURAS PROJECT: INTEGRATING SOCIAL-ECOLOGICAL RESILIENCE INTO URBAN PLANNING. AESOP 2013 6 periods of time’ (STEPS, 2010, online) would complement the concept of social-ecological resilience as an ethically based and holistic goal in the TURAS project. Table 2: Comparison of the terms ‘sustainability’ and ‘resilience’ (after Atmanagara et al., 2013). Sustainability Resilience Reference Elastic concept Embracing constancy Preferable state Outcome specified in advance Fail-safe Control change and growth Elastic concept Embracing change Desirable or undesirable Uncertain results Porter and Davoudi (2012) Rees (2010) Carpenter et al. (2001) Redman (2012) Safe-to-fail Build adaptive capacity for reorganising and recovering Ahern (2011) Ahern (2011) 3.2.4 Social-ecological systems and resilience Two components of social-ecological systems are particularly relevant to an understanding of social-ecological resilience: • Adaptive cycles that influence or drive change at different scales; • Thresholds separating multiple stable states (Walker et al., 2005). The phases of an adaptive cycle can be simplified to ‘fore’ loop (rapid growth, conservation) and ‘back’ loop (release, re-organisation) (Walker and Salt, 2006, pp.81-82), with change occurring mainly in the back loop (Carpenter et al., 2001). A back loop can be seen as a time for new ideas and transformation (Gunderson and Holling, 2002). Thresholds often occur in a back loop, and may precipitate a new ‘quasi-stable regime’ (Rees, 2010, p31), generally marking the start of a new adaptive cycle (Walker and Salt, 2006). An understanding that change is not random, but follows this recurrent pattern, is central to resilience thinking (Rees, 2010). Walker and Salt (2006) describe resilience thinking as ‘a framework for viewing a socialecological system as one system operating over many linked scales of time and space’ (p38). Resilience thinking is considered to offer ‘a key insight for those planning our future’ (Hodgson and Hopkins, 2010, p17) and should have an impact on decision making (Adger, 2003). Davoudi (2012) notes adaptive cycles in a social-ecological context are less about inevitabilities than general trends or tendencies, opening up the possibility of interventions that have an effect on resilience. An understanding of the adaptive cycle allows management of a system’s resilience, identifying optimal times for these interventions (Walker and Salt, 2006). Table 3: Summary of core elements for the transition related to the core concepts embedded in the TURAS project. Core elements for the transition TURAS response Envisioning and preparing for alternative post-carbon futures Ensure consistent interpretation of the meaning of resilience with strong ethical basis Promotion of adaptive and flexible approaches Understanding of patterns of change over time WP2, WP3, WP4, WP6, WP7 Glossary WP3, WP4 WP1, WP3 Wilkinson (2011) notes society’s critical impact and dependence on ecosystems and the need for radical systemic change, arguing that social-ecological resilience research is important at this time when planning needs to focus on ‘substantive matters alongside matters of process’. Social-ecological resilience is considered useful as it helps to address THE TURAS PROJECT: INTEGRATING SOCIAL-ECOLOGICAL RESILIENCE INTO URBAN PLANNING. AESOP 2013 7 the lack of attention of planning to the ecological dimension, and highlights the impacts planning decisions on ecosystem services. Wilkinson (2012) suggests that a resilience framework provides an efficient conduit highlighting deeper, core environmental issues ‘that can so often be glossed over engagements with sustainability’ (p323), arguing that two decades of effort in relation sustainability has not stopped the decline in ecosystem services (Wilkinson, 2011). 3.4 of to in to Social ecology ethical perspective For the TURAS project to address core and substantive issues that underlie the articulated challenges it is necessary to identify and understand what these might be. It is suggested here that the social ecology ethical perspective, which like social-ecological resilience is based on an understanding of the interdependence of organic and inorganic entities at all scales, can provide some useful insight. Murray Bookchin, the key thinker of the social ecology ethical perspective, puts forward two polarised options for the planet in his book ‘The Ecology of Freedom’: change or apocalypse, describing the current period as one of institutional decay (Bookchin, 1991). The dislocations that are generating the convergence of crises now confronting us are social in origin, stemming from the hierarchical domination of man over man, and then over nature: ‘We must reexamine the cleavages that separated humanity from nature, and the splits within the human community that originally produced this cleavage’ (ibid., p42). Bookchin refers to ‘a dynamic unity of diversity’ (ibid., p24) that underpins ecological stability. We must challenge the status quo in a ‘manner commensurate with the nature of the crisis’ (ibid., p3), and the social ecology ethical perspective seeks to achieve ‘a reharmonisation of nature and humanity through a reharmonisation of human with human’ (ibid., p11). The building of community or social capital is the top priority. Bookchin’s vision is for ‘a truly free society, based on ecological principles’ that can ‘mediate humanity’s relationship with nature’ (ibid., p2). Hierarchies are described as cultural, traditional, and psychological systems of obedience and command that are embedded within every aspect and level of personal and social experience (ibid.). Bookchin (1991) presents an evolution of hierarchy, developing from non-hierarchical human societies to co-operatives and guilds, and then municipalities and ultimately nation states. Bookchin (1991) promotes ‘a coherent body of concepts’ (p15) that can be considered relevant for the transition to urban resilience and sustainability. These concepts are summarized in Table 4. Table 4: Social ecology ethical perspective concepts. Social ecology ethics concepts Description (Bookchin, 1991) Diversity, complexity and spontaneity Dynamic ecological principles that are key to evolution and resilience. Modern society is considered to be ‘disassembling the biotic complexity achieved by aeons of organic evolution’ and diminishing ecological diversity (p40). Spontaneity is a function of diversity and complexity in evolution. A new balance between rural and urban areas can be achieved with ‘moderate-sized communities’ (p39). Decentralisation is related to bioregional planning, suggesting a combination of localization and globalization, where a community lives within the resources and assimilative capacity of the region. Decentralised or local non-polluting technologies are promoted that are ‘adaptive to a bioregion’ (p33), such as wind and solar energy generators. Public participation is the true meaning of democracy, and Bookchin Decentralization Alternative technologies Public participation THE TURAS PROJECT: INTEGRATING SOCIAL-ECOLOGICAL RESILIENCE INTO URBAN PLANNING. AESOP 2013 8 A vision of the future highlights the benefit of a bottom up approach that engages with ‘the multitude of particulars that are truer to reality than any ideological preconceptions and needs.’ (p36). Radical behaviour change can only be successfully achieved through ‘spontaneous popular momentum and selfdetermination’ (p36), suggesting collaborative governance and planning approaches. The convergence of crises cannot be addressed ‘by customary modes of thought – the very sensibilities that produced these crises in the first place’ (p41). Bookchin also advocates for a synoptic view; ‘we can no longer afford to remain captives to the tendency of the more traditional sciences to dissect phenomena and examine their fragments. We must combine them, relate them, and see them in their totality as well as their specificity’ (p21). A radical new vision is required; ‘In this confluence of social and ecological crises, we can no longer afford to be unimaginative; we can no longer afford to do without utopian thinking’ (p40). In line with Wilkinson’s criticism of the failure of sustainability to deal with core issues, Bookchin (1991) warns against partial solutions that ‘deflect public attention and theoretical insight from an adequate understanding of the depth and scope of the necessary changes’ (p3). Table 5 sets out a summary of core elements for the transition that emerge from social ecology ethics and in what work package or manner the TURAS project responds to them. Table 5: Summary of core elements for the transition emerging from social ecology ethical perspective concepts. Core elements for the transition TURAS response Promotion of diversity and complexity Broad range of work packages, tasks and partners Emphasis on municipalities, WP3, WP5, WP6, Potentially WP3, WP4 Broad range of work packages, tasks and partners Potentially WP2, WP3, WP5 Decentralisation of energy and communities Promotion of non-hierarchical approaches Broad scope / generalist approach Mediation of new balance between humanity and nature Public participation 3.5 WP1, WP3, web platform Adaptive co-management Wilkinson (2012) highlights the emergence of resilience in urban policy discourse, noting that there is a need to understand what social ecological resilience ideas mean in practice to urban governance. Adaptive co-management is a process for building adaptive capacity and resilience. The first step of adaptive co-management must be to achieve an understanding of the dynamics of a system so that it can be managed ‘towards a desirable trajectory’ (Wilkinson, 2011, p158), facilitating the identification of the unpredictable, nondeterministic processes and disturbances that a landscape or city is vulnerable to. Table 6 summarises different aspects of adaptive co-management suggested by the literature. THE TURAS PROJECT: INTEGRATING SOCIAL-ECOLOGICAL RESILIENCE INTO URBAN PLANNING. AESOP 2013 9 Table 6: Aspects of governance to build social-ecological resilience. Paper Aspects of governance to build social-ecological resilience Folke et al., (2005) • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • Wilkinson (2011) Huitema et al. (2009) Wardekker et al. (2009) self-organised network-based governance system diverse policy actors brought together to focus on common problems working in collaborative networks visionary and transformational leadership social capital (described as the glue for adaptive capacity and collaboration) bridging organisations; building trust, identify common interests, resolve conflict a continuous process of learning, adapting and adjusting policies as hypotheses and management actions as experiments to test them governance of natural resources through ‘safe fail’ experiments feedback of technical information redundancy, adaptability, and less hierarchical approaches a whole systems approach the precautionary principle collaboration in a polycentric governance system public participation an experimental approach to resource management management at a bioregional scale respect for local knowledge local communities that are not reliant on government to solve every problem local communities that can evolve their own response strategies local communities with access to relevant information and systems Wilkinson (2011) notes there are significant social and institutional barriers to the realisation of adaptive co-management and that processes such as collaborative planning, that deal with the limits of knowledge through process and dialogue, are criticized for disguising conflictual politics and power struggles that are inevitable in planning processes. Wilkinson (2011) acknowledges a gap in what social-ecological resilience has delivered to date in that it has not yet developed ‘a strong theoretical base for addressing matters of power, conflict, contradiction and culture’ (p160). The idea that those in governance processes should be encouraged to exercise reflective ethical judgement is put forward as an alternative (ibid.). Further, it is suggested here that an examination of the underlying causes of the convergence of crises and the radical social transformations promoted by the social ecology ethical perspective may provide some solutions. Table 7 sets out a summary of core elements for the transition that emerge from adaptive co-management and in what work package or manner the TURAS project responds to them. Table 7: Summary of core elements for the transition emerging from adaptive comanagement. Core elements for the transition TURAS response Identification of vulnerabilities and drivers of change Provision of information and feedbacks Collaborative and interdisciplinary governance and public participation Safe-to-fail experimental approach Building social capital A whole systems approach Potentially WP1, WP3, WP4 Potentially WP1 WP3, WP4 Demonstration sites WP1, WP3, WP5 Broad range of work packages, tasks and partners THE TURAS PROJECT: INTEGRATING SOCIAL-ECOLOGICAL RESILIENCE INTO URBAN PLANNING. AESOP 2013 10 4 ANALYSIS AND DISCUSSION OF FINDINGS From an exploration of the identified challenges, core concepts, social ecology ethics, and adaptive co-management, it is clear that the TURAS project engages with many of the core elements for making the transition to urban resilience and sustainability highlighted in the literature. In identifying these core elements it is hoped that the project can be steered towards effective and successful results. However, gaps are evident such as: • understanding the dynamics of a system and the drivers of change, • feedback information systems, • generating co-operative and non-hierarchical approaches, and • establishing a new balance in the man-nature relationship. Opportunities for engagement have been identified in the summary tables for each section of the review. The project presents its own internal challenges and risks. The complexity and breadth in terms of the number of partners, themes, projects, socio-economic and political contexts, and environmental concerns, demands a close control and audit of the integration and understanding of core concepts and elements. For instance, the concept of resilience is open to misinterpretation and mis-use, and it is suggested here that resilience can only be considered of real value in an urban context when defined as potentially transformative, in line with the definition of social-ecological resilience. As previously noted, social-ecological resilience is inherently political as it challenges the status quo. It is suggested here that the term ‘adaptive capacity’ may prove easier to apply and less contentious. With adaptive capacity set in a context of resilience thinking, and with the ultimate goal of maintaining appropriate levels of human wellbeing, social equity and environmental quality (STEPS, 2010), the end destination of the TURAS transition can be better defined and controlled. Folke et al. (2005) define ‘high adaptive capacity’ as ‘the ability to reconfigure without significant declines in crucial functions of the social-ecological system’ (p.452). However, to yield meaningful results and effect real change through new strategies for spatial planning the project must still focus on the deeper environmental issues interpreted by the social ecology ethical perspective, requiring much more radical and political solutions that address core issues related to social dynamics and humanity’s relationship with nature. 5 CONCLUSION: IMPLICATIONS FOR PRACTICE AND GOVERNANCE Social ecological resilience, social ecology ethics, and adaptive co-management together present a new perspective with radical implications for urban planning practice and governance. For example, normative planning practice tends to attempt to control and order, envisioning a future that is predictable and static, and providing uncritical and formulaic projections of the future (Wilkinson, 2011). From the review of literature on social ecological resilience and social ecology ethics it is clear that such ‘command and control’ approaches must be replaced by adaptive and flexible practices that recognize change is the only constant and respect that people have knowledge of systems and their own actions. Fundamentally, this new perspective replaces a deterministic conception of nature, science and ecology where man could control and repair the environment through science and technology (Ahern, 2011). New roles for decentralized governance, interpreted here as municipalities or local governments, emerge from this new perspective, such as building adaptive capacity in communities, supporting ecosystem services, bioregional planning of resources and assimilation of wastes, and acting as bridging organisations that resolve conflict, facilitate co-operative initiatives, and build trust. THE TURAS PROJECT: INTEGRATING SOCIAL-ECOLOGICAL RESILIENCE INTO URBAN PLANNING. AESOP 2013 11 It is suggested that the TURAS project needs to engage with the radical implications of this new perspective in order to be meaningful and avoid the danger of what Bookchin (1991) refers to as cosmetic solutions ‘to conceal the deep-seated nature of the ecological crisis’ (p3). This paper has identified that the project must exploit opportunities to engage with issues currently not directly referenced, such as co-operatives, non-hierarchical structures, understanding the dynamics of a system and the drivers of change, and feedback information systems. The project will then have the potential to provide a vision for a postcarbon future that embraces and reflects a new resilient and sustainable relationship between humanity and nature. THE TURAS PROJECT: INTEGRATING SOCIAL-ECOLOGICAL RESILIENCE INTO URBAN PLANNING. AESOP 2013 12 BIBLIOGRAPHY: Adger, W. N., 2003. Building Resilience to Promote Sustainability: an agenda for coping with globalisation and promoting justice. 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