BINOMIAL PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION PICK UP A NOTES SHEET FROM THE FRONT TABLE! In a binomial experiment, There are TWO mutually exclusive outcomes, often referred to as “success” and “failure”. If the probability of success is p, the probability of failure is 1 – p. In a binomial experiment, we can compute probabilities of certain outcomes. For a binomial experiment to occur, these four conditions must be met: 1. There are a fixed number of observations (n). 2. Each observation is independent. - 3. Each observation falls into only TWO categories: success and failure. - 4. Ex: In a situation where tossing a coin, the 5th toss is not dependent on any of the previous 4 tosses. They are independent! Probability of success is labeled p Probability of failure is labeled 1-p The probability of success, p, is the same for each of the n observations. The probability of an event, p, occurring exactly r times: In the calculator: binompdf(n,p,r) Note: r refers to some number of successes between 0 and n. 2nd Vars: A:binompdf(n, p, r) n = # of trials p = probability of success r = # of specific events you wish to obtain (may also be called x) #1 Eight out of every 10 persons who contract a certain viral infection can recover. If a group of 9 people become infected, what is the probability that exactly 5 people will recover? #2 In Lisa’s art class, 1 out of 5 paintings that she makes will be chosen for an art show. If she is preparing 9 paintings for the competition, what is the probability that exactly 2 of them will be chosen? Math III Warm Up 4/30/14 1. If Jim Bob makes a 35 on his Spanish test with a mean of 30 and a standard deviation of 2, did he do better that Dixie who made a 76 on her English exam with a mean of 74 and a standard deviation of 3? 2. 2 out of fifteen students fail a class their freshman year. What is the probability that out of a group of 10, exactly 3 freshmen will fail a class? #3 Assume that 60% of marigold seeds that are sown directly in the ground produce plants. If Big Bird plants 10 seeds, what is the probability that a) at least 7 plants will grow? b) at most 2 plants will grow? In the calculator: For any situation other than P(x = r), use 2nd Vars: B: binomcdf( • To find P(x ≤ r), use binomcdf(n, p, r) • To find P(x < r), use binomcdf(n, p, r – 1) • To find P(x > r), use 1-binomcdf(n, p, r) • To find P(x ≥ r), use 1-binomcdf(n, p, r – 1) • Note: r refers to some number of successes between 0 and n. Mean and Standard Deviation of a Binomial Distribution Formulas: Mean: 𝜇 = 𝑛 ∙ 𝑝 Standard Deviation: σ = 𝑛 ∙ 𝑝(1 − 𝑝) = 𝜇 ∙ (1 − 𝑝) A basketball player has a free throw percentage of 75%. In a single game, the player shoots 12 free throws. Find the mean and standard deviation for this player.
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