&RPSHWLWLRQRQWKH finanFLDO VHUYLFHV market – Deposits, mortgages and funds Report 2013:4 Competition on the financial services market - Deposits, mortgages and funds The Swedish Competition Authority's report series 2013:4 The Swedish Competition Authority June 2013 Authors: John Söderström (project manager), Diego Gomez Ruales, Viktoria Ruggieri and Mårten Törnqvist. ISSN-nr 1401-8438 Photo: Istockphoto Contents Introduction ................................................................................................ 7 1.1 Background .................................................................................... 7 1.2 Debate on banks' financial services ............................................. 9 1.3 Market players in the financial services sector ........................ 11 1.4 Method .......................................................................................... 12 1.5 The Competition Authority's Role, previous challenges and proposals............................................................ 14 1.6 Competition and competitive pressure .................................... 18 1.7 Concentration and profitability in the banking sector.............................................................................................. 25 1.8 Market players' strategies and business models ..................... 33 2 Deposits ........................................................................................ 39 2.1 General information on deposits ............................................... 39 2.2 Comparison between transaction and savings accounts......................................................................................... 41 2.3 Conclusions .................................................................................. 47 3 Mortgage market......................................................................... 49 3.1 Players and concentration on the Swedish mortgage market ........................................................................................... 49 3.2 Demand for mortgages ............................................................... 50 3.3 Mortgages for private individuals as a product ...................... 52 3.4 Banks' funding costs – sources of funds and risks .................. 57 3.5 New regulations that may affect the banks' funding costs and strategies ...................................................................... 62 3.6 Discount on listed interest as a competitive device ................ 65 3.7 Price competition on the mortgage market.............................. 68 3.8 Banks' mortgage margins ........................................................... 73 3.9 Conclusions .................................................................................. 88 4 The fund market ......................................................................... 90 4.1 Swedish fund investment savings............................................. 90 4.2 The fund as a form of saving ................................................... 101 4.3 Adaptable fund activities ......................................................... 119 4.4 The importance of market conditions in competition on the fund market .............................................. 128 4.5 Stable administration fees since 2001...................................... 139 4.6 Conclusions ................................................................................ 144 5 Measures to improve competition on the financial services market .......................................................................... 154 5.1 Limit the banks' right to interest differential compensation ............................................................................. 155 5.2 Investigate the possibility of limiting or banning banks from offering certain package deals ............................ 159 5.3 Investigate the right to freely move capital from fund accounts to an ISK and the possibility for fund companies to offer ISKs ............................................................ 165 5.4 Introduce regulations which stipulate that banks must report their funding costs for mortgages in a uniform manner ......................................................................... 168 5.5 Analyse the possibility of introducing more obligatory means of comparison in the fund sector ............. 170 5.6 Introduce simple cost statements for banking services ........................................................................................ 174 5.7 Investigate the possibility of tightening regulations concerning financial advice to consumers ............................. 178 5.8 Investigate responsibility for the Stockholm Interbank Offered Rate (STIBOR) ............................................ 181 5.9 Look into the sale of SBAB or clarify its role ......................... 185 5.10 Investigate the possibility of introducing a ban on price signalling ........................................................................... 190 References ............................................................................................... 193 Appendices ............................................................................................. 204 7 Introduction 1.1 Background The financial service sector is of vital importance to Swedish households' finances. The cost of these services constitutes a substantial proportion of Swedish household expenditure. Over the last few years there has been intense debate regarding the high fees, margins and profitability of the banks and fund companies, which could be an indication that competition is not working as effectively as it could. For this reason, the Swedish Competition Authority took the initiative to examine the market and competition conditions more closely with regard to a number of financial services that are crucial for personal finances: deposits, mortgages and funds. This was done as part of the Competition Authority's work to promote the development of healthy competition in the Swedish economy and to suggest measures to achieve this. The financial services sector is under constant change on both the supply and demand sides. This is a result of the development of information and communication technology, cross merchandising, internationalisation and new regulations. This leads to the development of new services, business models and production and distribution systems, which changes market and competition conditions. The banks play a very important role in the economy as they create the possibility to spread consumption over time by matching saving and borrowing, and provide payment systems and risk management. It is therefore crucial that the financial services sector is effective, and that functioning competition between the market players acts as a driving force for efficiency increases and innovation that can help to produce high quality services at low prices. Whilst the financial services sector must be effective, it is important that the banks are stable so that the customers can 8 depend on the banks and other financial players to meet their obligations. This means that there are situations in which there may be a conflict between effective competition and financial stability. Effective competition leads to reduced margins and surplus for the banks, to the benefit of consumers. At the same time, effective competition reduces the capacity to accumulate profits in order to improve solidity and make the banks more stable in future crises. Despite cross merchandising between banking, insurance and retail operations and the entrance of new international and specialised market players (such as niche banks), there are indicators that competition is limited. Market concentration is still very high. The major banks, i.e. Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken AB (SEB), Svenska Handelsbanken AB (SHB), Swedbank AB (Swedbank) and Nordea AB (Nordea), still have market shares on deposits and loans of 66–70 per cent (80 per cent on the mortgage market). At the same time, their net interest income, product margins and profitability have increased considerably in recent years. On the fund market, the major banks have a market share of around 60 per cent. It is certainly a downward trend, yet still a significant market share. Whilst customers are using more banks and fund companies, it is still uncommon to move an existing commitment to another bank or fund company. This means customer mobility is relatively low.1 The lack of customer mobility can be explained by a number of factors. Customers have, for example, little interest in or knowledge of complex financial services. This makes it difficult for them to make rational choices. They are also affected by direct and indirect See the Competition Authority's report (2009c), which shows that 16 per cent of consumers have moved one or more bank commitments over the past three years. In comparison, the switching frequency on the insurance market is nearly double (29 per cent) that of the banking market. 1 9 switching costs in the form of complex systems for charging, the need for necessary additional equipment and learning costs. 1.2 Debate on banks' financial services In recent years, competition in the financial services sector has been the subject of debate. Several stakeholders have questioned the banks' and fund companies' profitability compared with that of other sectors. This has been considered a result of high margins on mortgages, high administration fees and low deposit interest rates. The main focus of discussions was how the banks determine their mortgage rates and how high their margins are on mortgages. It has been noted in particular that the rates customers pay on their mortgages do not always decrease in line with the Riksbank lowering the repo rate, and that the difference between the listed interest rates and STIBOR2 is considerably higher than when the financial crisis broke out in 2008. This difference is not accounted for by increased funding costs and stricter capital and liquidity coverage requirements from supervisory authorities alone; it is also a result of the banks having raised their margins on mortgages. This, combined with the major banks offering relatively low interest rates on deposits, has resulted in an increase in the major banks' collective net interest income in recent years. The fund market has also been debated, and criticism has focused on the size of administration fees and the lack of information regarding the effect that the fees have on returns. 2 Stockholm Interbank Offered Rate (STIBOR). 10 Consumer perceptions of banks' services In its report The Swedish Consumer Report 2013 – Consumer Conditions in Sweden (2013a), the Swedish Consumer Agency highlights markets that create problems for consumers and describes the most important conditions that enable consumers to act. According to the Swedish Consumer Agency's overall assessment, banking and financial services (investments/pensions, personal loans/credit, mortgages and current accounts) is one of the three most problematic consumer markets3. The Swedish Consumer Agency's Consumer Markets Index 2013 describes banking and financial services as one of the markets that consumers lacks confidence in, investments/private pensions services as one of the least transparent markets, current accounts as a market with a lack of choice and personal loans/credit as a market which the consumer is unable to influence through conscious and active choices. According to the Swedish Consumer Agency, banking and financial services is also a market characterised by a combination of a high share of household expenditure and less favourable conditions for the consumer. The Swedish Bankers' Association's annual survey Allmänhetens syn på banker [Public Perception of Banks] (2011) reveals that 74 per cent have great confidence in the banks, and that 30 per cent are very satisfied and 50 per cent quite satisfied with their bank. The proportion of people using several banks or financial companies has risen somewhat, to 43 per cent. According to the survey, the Telecommunications services (subscriptions for internet, television and fixed and mobile services) and Insurance (life, home and vehicle insurance) are deemed by the Swedish Consumer Agency to be the most problematic. 3 11 internet (60 per cent) is by far the most common channel used by customers to contact the bank. 1.3 Market players in the financial services sector The banks play a very central role in the Swedish financial services sector. Traditionally, banks can be divided into major banks (SHB, SEB, Nordea and Swedbank), independent savings banks, foreign branch offices and smaller players that focus on a more limited choice of services but have in several cases expanded their range of banking services. Though there are many different banks in Sweden, the four major banks dominate. The market therefore has an oligopolistic structure. At the same time, their total market share in terms of deposits, loans and fund activities has decreased over the past ten years, partly as a result of cross merchandising between banking, insurance and retail business activities. Many banks are active in the area of life insurance and many of the large insurance companies have their own banks. Many retail chains such as IKEA (Ikanobanken) and ICA (ICA Banken) offer financial services to private individuals. In the fund area, technological development and the opening of the European market have created new opportunities for fund companies to expand. 12 1.4 Method The Swedish Competition Authority's report is intended as a study of competition and market conditions for financial services which are of great importance to private individuals. The report is limited to three of the banks' core services to consumers: deposits, housing loans and funds. There are a number of reasons as to why the Swedish Competition Authority has chosen to study the market and competition conditions for these services. Bank deposits are increasing, despite a low interest rate on deposits on a number of deposit accounts. Mortgages have a very large impact on household finances, and thereby on the economy as a whole. The same is true for the extensive Swedish fund savings investment, where fund companies' levying of administration fees can have a large impact on the scope of private individuals' future consumption. In order to study market and competition conditions, the Swedish Competition Authority has been in contact with various market players and stakeholders and requested both quantitative and qualitative information from banks and fund companies. Another point of departure in the work was the Swedish Competition Authority's own experience and previous surveys, as well as studies of literature on the banking market. The Swedish Competition Authority's study started with initial contacts with the Swedish Bankers' Association and the Swedish Investment Fund Association in order to inform them about the study and to clarify the scope and slant of the questions in focus. The Swedish Competition Authority then requested information on the banks' mortgage rates and funding costs, with support of the Act (2010:1350) on disclosure obligations in matters of market and competition conditions. The request was made in order to study banks' mortgage margins and flexibility between the banks in terms of interest rates. Information was requested from Danske Bank A/S, 13 Denmark, Swedish branch (Danske Bank), SHB, Länsförsäkringar Bank AB (Länsförsäkringar), Nordea, SBAB Bank AB (SBAB), Skandiabanken AB (Skandiabanken), SEB and Swedbank on mortgage rates and funding costs for mortgages with the terms: 3 months (“variable”), 2 years and 5 years for the period 2001–2011. The Competition Authority's request also covered information and written reports on deposit interest rates from Danske Bank, SHB, Länsförsäkringar, Nordea, SBAB, Skandiabanken, SEB, Swedbank and Bluestep Finans AB (Bluestep), ForexBank AB (Forex), SevenDay Finans AB (SevenDay) and Ålandsbanken Abp, Finland, Swedish branch (Ålandsbanken). This was done in order to analyse the impact that interest rate on deposits can have on the attractiveness of savings accounts. The choice was made with consideration for the fact that accounts can have different conditions that make them difficult to compare, based on the accounts that the customer uses most as transaction and savings accounts. Finally, the Swedish Competition Authority requested information and written reports on administration fees from AMF Fonder AB, Handelsbanken Fonder AB, Länsförsäkringar Fondförvaltning AB, Nordea Fonder AB, SEB Investment Management AB, Skandia Fonder AB, SPP Fonder AB and Swedbank Robur Fonder AB, in order to compare the administration fees levied by different market players within a fund category. Fund categories looked at in the survey were Sverigefond [Sweden fund], Sverige Indexfond [Sweden Index fund], Europafond [Europe fund] and Globalfond [Global fund]. The survey has been supplemented with viewpoints from a number of players on the banking and fund market. The Competition Authority has met the following market players within the context of the study: The Riksbank, the Swedish Financial Supervisory 14 Authority, the Swedish Pensions Agency, the Swedish Bankers' Association, the Swedish Investment Fund Association, MFEX, SPP, Morningstar, Avanza, AMF, Villaägarnas Riksförbund (the Swedish Homeowners Association) and the Swedish Shareholders' Association. 1.5 The Competition Authority's Role, previous challenges and proposals The Swedish Competition Authority is a state authority working to safeguard and increase competition and supervise public procurement in Sweden. The authority’s task is to work for effective competition in the private and public sectors for the benefit of the consumers as well as for the efficient public procurement for the benefit of the society and the participants in the markets. The Competition Authority applies the Swedish Competition Act (2008:579) and is thereby able to intervene in matters of anticompetitive cooperation and companies' abuse of a dominant position. In accordance with the Swedish Competition Act, the Competition Authority can also ban harmful concentrations. Another element of the Competition Authority's work involves studying market and competition conditions for promoting the development of and proposing measures for functioning competition in Swedish economy. The Competition Authority has in several previous reports studied and provided proposals for improved competition on the financial markets. In the Competition Authority's report Konsumentrörligheten på de finansiella marknaderna [Consumer mobility on the financial markets] (2001), a number of proposals were made for ways of increasing customer mobility on the financial markets. These 15 included an expansion and development of consumer information, and a liability for banks to provide information on costs relating to early redemption of loans. In addition, an overhaul of the rules on taxation of capital gain from the sale of shares in securities funds. An inquiry into the possibility of open interfaces in the banks' online services was also proposed. Out of these proposals, the one concerning consumer information and the taxation of capital gain from the sale of shares in securities funds was partly implemented on 01 January 2012 via the introduction of the Investment Savings Account (ISK). However, ISK only covers new savings in funds. In the Nordic Competition Authorities' report Competition in Nordic Retail Banking (2006), the Nordic Competition Authorities proposed a couple of measures in order to improve competition, primarily within payment services and consumer mobility in the banking sector. The proposed measures involved increasing the transparency of the financial markets for consumers. This would also facilitate switching banks and harmonise and integrate the regulations in the Nordic countries in order to create a common Nordic market. In the Swedish Competition Authority's report Tillträdesvillkor för betalsystem – skillnader för små och stora banker [Entry terms for payment systems – differences for small and large banks.] (2006), which was commissioned by the Government, the Competition Authority highlighted the importance of newly established banks being allowed access to payment systems on reasonable terms. The report proposed that the payment system's infrastructure should be streamlined. It was also proposed that rules should be developed in order to ensure the terms of access to payment systems are objective, proportional and non-discriminative. In addition, the Competition Authority proposed simplified procedures for the consumer's administrative work when changing bank, in order to increase customer mobility on the banking market. 16 The Competition Authority's report Action for better competition (2009c), which was also produced in the context of a government instruction, identified a number of anti-competitive obstacles on the financial markets. One barrier to entry that was identified was payment service providers' access to general payment systems. The Swedish Competition Authority's proposed action was to secure the payment service providers' ability to access general payment systems by legislating objective, proportional and non-discriminative access terms for the systems. Through legislation of the right of access to general payment systems, market access is facilitated for smaller and new players on the banking market, which stimulates development towards increased competition. The Competition Authority also identified barriers to consumer mobility within the banking market. One barrier to increased customer mobility was the difficulty of changing bank. The Competition Authority wished to facilitate private individual's change of bank by introducing requirements for a switching service in the regulations for financial services. The Competition Authority assessed that increased consumer mobility could be stimulated by introducing simple procedures around the consumers' administrative handling of bank switching. One example of this type of simplification was to develop a switching service function in the form of a web-based step-for-step guide, which provides purely practical information about how the customer should go about changing bank. One effect of developing a neutral and simplified change service is increased consumer mobility, and thereby greater opportunities for smaller and new players to take customers from established market players on the banking market. Together with its member banks, the Swedish Bankers’ Association (Svenska Bankföreningen) has also developed an improved 17 procedure for changing bank.4 The procedure has been adapted to a European code for bank changes, which was produced by the organisation European Banking Industry Committee (EBIC). According to the procedure, changing bank should as a rule not take more than three banking days. The general banking procedures apply to deposit accounts with associated banking services such as autogiro, card, giro and internet services. The e-Invoicing service is discontinued and invoices are instead sent out in paper form until the person registers with the new bank. The new bank shall also assist with the change of trust account or transferral of loans, even if such changes can take longer to implement. For this purpose, common forms and procedures have been developed in order to facilitate the administration of a change of bank. Another obstacle to customer mobility was noted within the fund market. One measure proposed by the Swedish Competition Authority was to increase customer mobility by introducing Investment Savings Accounts (ISK) for fund investment savings, etc. Large accumulated stocks of fund investment savings tended to remain with fund companies owned by the four major banks, which has a lock-in effect on the market. One lock-in effect is that the consumers do not switch funds to the extent they would if they were not required to make immediate payment of capital gains tax on their sale when making the switch. The Competition Authority also identified that the low consumer mobility on the private market was a result of insufficient information on costs associated with various bank services. According to the Competition Authority, better knowledge among consumers on the size of the fees they pay for all bank services would facilitate rational choices and potentially create better 4 Svenska Bankföreningen (2013b). 18 dynamics and competition. This could be achieved through legislation of a requirement for banks to produce simple cost statements for consumers. A simple cost statement, in which the banks inform customers about how much they have paid in fees to the bank, could in accordance with the Competition Authority potentially increase competition and reduce switching barriers. A cost statement can also act as a solid foundation for the consumer in their dealings with the bank, such as negotiations concerning various fees, interest rate levels and discounts. As far as the Competition Authority is able to ascertain, it has not yet been possible to implement any measures for this purpose. The Nordic Competition Authorities' report Competition Policy and Financial Crisis (2009) emphasises the importance of safeguarding competition rules, especially in times of financial crisis. Short-term support measures could prove to have a negative impact on competition in the long-term. The report also recommended that all potential support measures, which were implemented in order to alleviate the effects of the financial crisis, should be clearly assigned to a specific period and be clearly defined in other respects.5 No Nordic country had acted contrary to the recommendation. Today, the Competition Authority can establish that the financial systems in the Nordic countries have enabled them to withstand the financial crisis better than many other EU countries. 1.6 Competition and competitive pressure The competition on a market is affected by many factors such as regulations, the entry and exit of new companies, increased productivity and changes in demand and the composition of consumption. Competition tends to be more effective the more 5 Almunia (2013). 19 companies are on the market and the lower the barriers to entry are. Well informed consumers who are in a position to evaluate and compare products and services and reach well-reasoned purchasing decisions help to promote effective competition. There is no unequivocal method for measuring competitive pressure on a market; there are a number of different competition indicators. Market concentration and high profitability over a long period within a sector can be a result of less effective competition and substantial barriers to entry that make market entry difficult for new companies. High market concentration and profitability may indicate less effective competition The cause of less effective competition is that markets with a high concentration entail that just a few companies have better opportunities to exercise market power, which can be reflected in prices that exceed production costs to a considerable extent. On markets with a small number of strong market players, it is also easier for companies to become involved in, supervise and maintain anti-competitive cooperation. High market concentration can also emerge from competition where companies with a low-cost structure increase profits by reducing prices and expanding their market share. This is then seen as an effective market on which competition is healthy. The profitability of companies or an industry can also be used as a competition indicator. The fact that companies within an industry or market show high profitability may indicate that one or more companies are exploiting their market power. However, high profitability for only certain companies is not necessarily a clear indication of weak competition. It may simply be a matter of efficient companies having a high profitability and less efficient companies having a lower profitability. What is problematic is when all companies on a 20 market boast high profitability. This may be an indication of explicit or implicit cooperation and coordination, which is limiting competition. High profitability may also be caused by fluctuations in demand and the demand periodically exceeding supply. This is however seldom of importance in the financial industries. Barriers to entry and the opportunity for expansion The possibility to enter and exit a market and the opportunities for new companies to expand have a large impact on competition, and on whether established companies are able to exercise market power. Barriers to entry affect profitability in a sector for the companies active in that sector. In principle there are barriers to entry on most markets, though the size of these varies. Barriers to entry may be the result of established companies' strategies and development and can be identified as strategic advantages for established companies on both supply and demand sides. The possibility for a company to expand on a market can be further limited by different types of lock-in effects – e.g., in the form of the “interest differential compensation” for early redemption of a mortgage – which mean that consumers have difficulties changing service suppliers. Learning, cost advantages and economies of scale Established companies on a market can develop resources and capacities that make it difficult for new companies to enter and compete on the same market. Established companies have therefore developed unique assets and resources which make it possible for them to produce goods and services of a certain quality at lower costs than potential competitors would incur. This can be a result of lower raw material costs (financing, for example) or access to a 21 specific product or process technology. It may also be a result of experience and learning, which provides established companies with cost advantages, irrespective of their size. Another factor which can lead to barriers to entry is economies of scale, which leads to a reduction of costs per unit produced via the production of a product or service in large volumes. In some sectors, considerable investments in technology and personnel are required in order to achieve competitiveness. To what extent an investment constitutes an irreversible cost, i.e., a cost which cannot yield a benefit if the company is forced to leave the market, also affects interest in entering a market. Product differentiation and access to customers Marketing can lead to economic gains in that it can reduce consumers' scouting costs. At the same time, marketing established companies can pose a significant barrier to entry. By establishing a brand, established companies can differentiate their products and gain greater customer loyalty. To be able to compete with established market players, new players may be required to develop an entirely new product or process technology, which changes competitive conditions. Often, established companies have also developed a customer base. For new companies, considerable marketing initiatives may be required in order to solicit new customers. Marketing costs are partly irreversible costs, which limits the incentive for new players to enter the market. Linked to the customer base is customer mobility that can be limited by conversion costs. These are direct and indirect costs that the customer incurs when changing supplier. No market can function well without active customers. It is therefore important that the customers have sufficient information on the characteristics and prices of different products and that they are aware that large conversion costs when changing supplier are unreasonable. If the 22 consumer's ability to make free and rational choices is limited or hindered, there is a risk that the efficiency of markets and competition will suffer. Facilitating access to information and enabling customers to more easily switch supplier are therefore hugely important factors in improving competition on a market. Infrastructure In a number of sectors, access to infrastructure is required for establishment. The terms for access to infrastructure are crucial to how well competition functions. It is vital for competition that those who control and/or own the infrastructure provide access to this infrastructure on equal terms. They may not discriminate against other market players by levying high fees or imposing unreasonable contractual terms.6 The banking market is characterised by different types of cooperation on infrastructures for e.g., payment processing services. Examples of cooperation on infrastructure services can be found in Dataclearing (DCL) and Bankgirocentralen AB's (BGC) work with payment processing on commission from the banks. BDB Bankernas Depå AB's and newly formed BAB Bankernas Automatbolag AB's cooperation on infrastructure for deposits and ATMs and on international card cooperation such as Visa and MasterCard are also examples. The internal banking interest rate STIBOR is another example of cooperation between banks. Regulatory barriers to entry Regulatory barriers may be grounded in legislation and regulations. They may be a matter of licences and patents, but essentially, 6 The Swedish Competition Authority (2006). 23 different kinds of permits may be required to conduct activities on a market. Much of the regulation of the financial sector is intended to secure financial stability and consumer protection. The regulation is naturally a consequence of the financial sector's great significance for the national economy. Banking and finance operations are regulated in the Banking and Finance Business Act (2004:297). In order to conduct banking operations, permission from the Swedish Financial Supervisory Authority is required, and the operation in question must be able to process payments via general payment systems and receive deposits. Other regulations which are also intended to maintain a stable financial market can be found in the Capital Adequacy and Large Exposures Act (2006:1371). This act regulates how large credit reserves a credit institute must have (the Basel Accords). The Act (1995:1571) on the Deposit Guarantee Scheme is intended to assure bank customers that they can recoup their savings (up to EUR 100,000 per customer and institute). Other acts, such as the Financial Advisory Services to Consumers Act (2003:862) and the Consumer Credit Act (2010:1846), prescribe the type and formulation of credit information for customers. Regulations designed to protect consumers can help to raise consumer mobility. But they should be formulated in a way which allows consumers to better understand the products and thereby compare competing banks' products on a larger scale.7 Within the EU, a common market for payment services in Euro – the Single Euro Payment Area (SEPA) – is being created. SEPA will enable customers and companies to send and receive Euro payments on the same terms and at the same prices throughout Europe. SEPA is opening up new opportunities and will likely increase competition in the area if properly designed. 7 Copenhagen Economics (2009). 24 Implementation of the EU directive on payment services and their providers (the Payment Service Directive, PSD) will be of significance to and facilitate customer mobility on the banking market in that it will remove obstacles such as account closure fees and make it possible to open bank accounts in other countries. Via the (Markets in Financial Instruments Directive, MiFID), competition on the European securities markets has increased by way of new establishment and more competitive pricing between exchanges and different Multilateral Trading Facilities (MTFs). The European Commission has also put forward a proposal, on 08 May 2013, for a Directive on the transparency and comparability of payment account fees, payment account switching and access to a basic payment account. The idea behind this is to increase customer mobility and competition on the single market.8 It is therefore important that regulations are formulated so as not to limit competition. Where the financial services sector is concerned, however, there must be a balance between financial stability and competition. This means regulations may benefit established market players who are considered important to the economy. The term “too big to fail” is sometimes used on the financial services market when describing market players which are so crucial to financial stability that they cannot be allowed to go into bankruptcy. They are assumed to enjoy an implicit government guarantee which can also affect their strategic actions on the market. This can also affect competition on the market.9 8 The European Commission (2013). 9 The Danish Competition and Consumer Authority (2013). 25 1.7 Concentration and profitability in the banking sector As previously stated, the banks play a very central role in the Swedish financial services sector. The number of banks has remained relatively constant since 2004, with a certain reduction after the financial crisis hit in 2008. At the end of 2012, there were a total 117, 37 of which were Swedish joint-stock banks, 29 foreign joint-stock companies of which 27 were branches of foreign banks and 2 were member banks, and 49 savings banks. Whilst the number of market players is relatively large, the four major banks still dominate on a number of the submarkets. On the deposit and loans market, the four major banks have a market share of between 66 and 70 per cent in accordance with the Competition Authority's estimates. High market concentration in the financial services sector is not unique to Sweden. It can also be observed in several other Nordic and European countries.10 When competitive pressure is analysed on a market, the market concentration is often measured. In addition to measuring the concentration in submarkets in a sector or on a market, different indicators such as the Hirschman-Herfindahl-Index (HHI) and concentration ratio (CR) are used. HHI is calculated by adding together the square of the players' market shares. The premise is that the higher the HHI, the more concentrated the market is to a small number of players. It indicates that competition efficiency is suffering. CR is a measure of how large a market share the largest players have within a sector or market. A high value of CR4, i.e., the market share for the four largest players, most often indicates the market power they have and that the market structure is oligopolistic. 10 Nordic Competition Authorities (2006). 26 In relation to several other European countries, the concentration in the banking sector is relatively high. Figure 1 shows a value of CR5 for the total assets for 2005 (prior to the financial crisis of 2008) and 2011 (after the crisis) for a number of European countries. In Sweden, the concentration for the five largest players is at roughly the same level for 2005 as for 2011. In some other European countries, the concentration has increased since the financial crisis began in 2008, as a result of acquisitions and mergers of banks.11 Figure 1 CR5 total assets for 2005 (grey column) and 2011 (black column) 100 80 60 40 20 0 Source: ECB (2012). The market concentration varies from one submarket to the next. Below, the HHI for the Swedish banking market is illustrated based on players' market shares for all loans and deposits. Over and above this, there have been no major changes in HHI since the beginning of the financial crisis in 2008. HHI for deposits and loans to the Swedish public is at 1557, which could be an indication that 11 OECD(2010). 27 competition is less efficient.12 The total value of HHI in terms of administered capital on the fund market was 1178 in 2012. Banks' income and expenses Banks' profitability depends on a number of factors, such as earning capacity (which is of course affected by just how attractive the services the bank can offer the customer are) and the cost of holding capital and liquidity reserves, credit losses, personnel costs, office network, IT and personnel. Banks' profitability is also affected by how much capital has been allocated to the operations. The banks' primary sources of income are net interest income13 (which consists primarily of the difference between interest on deposits and loans) and net commission income (which consists of the net income from commissions, fees, which the bank has received minus the commissions they themselves have paid in their operations). Brokerage fees for stock trading, asset management commissions and card fees are examples of income from commissions. In addition to this there is the net result of financial income and expenses at fair value and other income. The size of net interest and net commission income is determined by both the volume and the gross margin. Thus, in the event of a margin squeeze, the banks can increase net interest via greater volumes and, in the event of slower growth, via higher gross margins. In order to increase net interest, the banks must work with One premise says that a HHI below 1,000 indicates a low level of concentration, a HHI between 1,000 and 1,800 a medium-high concentration and over 1,800 a high level of concentration on the market. 12 Net interest income also includes items from other activities, such as returns from bonds and other fixed-income securities. 13 28 both volume growth and margins via higher rates/lower funding costs or a combination of the two. In the Swedish banks' retail banking/operations in Sweden, net commission income and net interest constitute around 90 per cent of all income14. Where the general operation of Swedish banks' branches and dealings with private client are concerned, net interest is definitely the largest income item and accounts for around 60–80 per cent of major banks' income15. Concentration and profitability As previously stated, high profitability in an industry or sector can be an indication that competition is less effective. However, high profitability is not necessarily accounted for solely by a lack of competition between companies. It may also be a result of barriers to entry or companies being effective. Profitability often varies from one company to the next in a sector, as some are more efficient than others. High profitability for all players in an industry or sector may indicate that the companies are involved in anti-competitive activities such as cartels or that there is some form of explicit or implicit coordination on prices or quantities on the market. A measurement which can be used to evaluate the profitability of a company and an industry is return on equity. It is of fundamental importance for companies that they are able to provide their owners with returns on the capital they have invested. The most common measurement of returns is return on owners' equity. Table 1 gives an overview of deposits and loans to the public, net interest and return on equity for the eight largest banks in Sweden. The Swedish 14 See SEB, SHB, Swedbank and Nordea's 2012 annual reports for retail banking in Sweden. 15 See SEB, SHB, Swedbank and Nordea's 2012 annual reports for retail banking in Sweden. 29 banks are both well-capitalised and have a high return on equity, in an international perspective. Table 1 Comparison of the major players in deposits and loans on the Swedish market Bank Deposits from the public (SEK billions) Loans to the public (SEK billions) Net interest (SEK billion) Return on owners' equity (per cent)16 Swedbank 558 1,184 13.7 14.4 SEB 862 657 6.1 11.1 SHB 367 1,044 16.8 14.6 Nordea 863 1,326 10.5 11.6 SBAB 28 256 1.9 4.2 Länsförsäkringar 62 150 2.0 6.3 Skandiabanken 77 58 0.6 7.7 Source: The banks' annual report and SCB's deposit and loan statistics (2012). Profitability varies from one bank to the next and there is a positive connection between the size of the market share, balance sheet total and return on equity. Figure 2 below compares seven of the largest banks' market shares based on deposits and loans for the Swedish public and their profitability measured in return on equity. Figure 2 reveals that the banks with a higher market share also have a high return on equity. 16 Return of investments on a group level. 30 Figure 2 Market share of loans and deposits on the Swedish market (horizontal axis) and return on equity for the seven banks (vertical axis) 16% 12% 8% 4% 0% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% Source: The banks' annual report (2012). The banks' profitability on the Swedish market Figure 2 is based on the banks' return on equity for their entire operations. It thus shows that the major banks are more profitable than the smaller market players. The major banks' high profitability can be accounted for by a number of different factors. For example, they have the advantages of both economies of scale and economies of scope over minor banks and they have more market power than smaller players. The Swedish Bankers' Association has made a comparison between the profitability of the major banks and that of other large companies. It has established that the banks' return on equity is not abnormally high for these years, in which several of the big Swedish companies showed a higher return on equity.17 17 The Swedish Bankers' Association (2012b). 31 It can be problematic, however, to simply analyse major banks' return on equity on a group level, as profitability varies considerably from one line of business to the next and between different geographical markets. Several of the major banks have operations on foreign markets, where profitability has been lower than on the Swedish market and, in some cases, has contributed to significant losses for their operations as a whole. Examples include SEB's retail banking in Germany, which after several years of nonprofitability was sold at a loss to Banco Santander in 2010 and Swedbank's investments in the Baltics which led to great losses for the bank.18 Comparing the group's returns is problematic, especially when analysing profitability on individual Swedish submarkets where the major banks have developed strategic resources which give them market power; examples of this being strong brands, developed office networks, a customer base built up over time and a broad range of services. For several of the major banks, their retail banking in Sweden – which is responsible for households' deposits, sales, distribution of funds/shares in a mutual fund and mortgages – has been more profitable than the banking groups as a whole. The three major banks SEB, SHB and Swedbank have reported a return on equity in Swedish retail banking of 19–28 per cent on average for 2010–2012.19 This is considerably higher than the return on equity on a group level, and provides a more accurate picture of profitability on the Swedish market. In 2009, Swedbank had a negative return on equity as a group whilst its Swedish retail banking had a return on allocated equity of 27.8 %. 18 The banks' annual reports. Nordea does not report return on equity for Swedish retail banking. 19 32 Competition, concentration and profitability There are different perspectives on how market concentration can affect players' strategic behaviour and competition, i.e., the outcome on the market, which will affect prices, the quality of goods and services, and companies' profits.20 Traditionally, competition analyses are based on the Structure Conduct Performance perspective (SCP), in which the structure of the market, e.g., the market concentration, is assumed to affect the outcome. This means that the market concentration will directly affect competition as companies can exercise their market power and also find it easier to collaborate on prices, quantities and geographical partitioning of the market. A high market concentration may therefore result in higher prices for products and services, lower supply and large profits for companies and thus reduced consumer benefit. This perspective of the connection between market concentration and competition has been criticised as there is a great focus on market structure and little focus on companies' development of unique resources and competence. This provides strategic competitive advantages in the form of higher 'internal and external efficiency. The Efficiency Structure perspective (ES) of competition is based on the idea that the market structure, e.g., the market concentration, is entirely crucial to the outcome on the market. In this perspective, it is companies' efficiency that ultimately determines their performance and the outcome on the market. This means that efficient companies, which can lower their prices, will be able to retain larger market shares, and that high market concentration and high profitability can also be a result of a company's efficiency. 20 VanHosse (2010). 33 1.8 Market players' strategies and business models In the financial services sector there are a number of market players who have various strategies and business models. If we are to consider the three studied services in a context, we can establish that it is the major banks that are still dominating. On the various submarkets there are both full-service banks and smaller players that focus on offering a few select products. There are signs that more and more banks and other market players are endeavouring to offer more services and become full-service banks. One example is the state-owned SBAB, which previously focused primarily on mortgages and has now applied for and been granted permission to become a full-service bank.21 On the fund market, the fund companies tend to go in two different directions. Here one group – smaller niche companies – specialises in fund management and advice whilst another group acquires branded funds and invests in their range of services, sales and distribution. Several of the banks, and above all the major banks, describe their business strategy or model as a relationship banking model. The premise is that the banks build strong relationships with their customers and focus on satisfying the customers' total need of financial services and not focusing on selling specific services. The relationship model differs from a more product or transactionrelated strategy, in which each product segment focuses on selling its product and bases its analysis of profitability on each individual product. In a relationship model, customer profitability is superior to product profitability. Of course, a model of this nature places demands on the banks' management accounting. It rewards a holistic approach rather than a product approach, which can be challenging. The premise is therefore that the banks are 21 The Swedish Financial Supervisory Authority (2009). 34 endeavouring to work with relationship marketing and to get consumers to acquire their different banking services in one bank. This means that there is a desire among banks for the customer to acquire more services, such as a transactional account, deposit accounts, mortgages, debit cards, fund and share investments and pension investments, from them alone and become a “regular customer”. In a relationship model, the bank's profitability should not be calculated on each individual product purchased; it should instead be based on a lifecycle or relationship perspective. The premise is that long-term relationships lead to more satisfied customers but also greater profitability.22 A satisfied customer can be linked to higher profits, as greater customer loyalty leads to increased income and even lower costs.23 Keeping existing customers happy rather than overly investing resources into recruiting new customers is also an important part of a relationship-based business model. Several studies indicate that the cost of replacing lost customers is often a losing transaction in itself. The relationship perspective is also based on the supplier and customer generating value in a process together. The more interactions between the customer and the company, in this case the bank, the stronger the relationship becomes. A long relationship between supplier and customer can also reduce transaction costs and lay the foundations for the development of more effective processes and service innovation, which generate value for both the supplier and the customer. 22 Blomqvist et al. (2004). 23 Storbacka et al. (1994). 35 Figure 3 Fundamental differences in approach between the transaction model and the relationship model From a relationship perspective, it is not the price of the individual service that is of importance; it is the total price paid by the customer. This is governed by how much commitment a customer has to the bank. The services studied by the Swedish Competition Authority are therefore related as together they can affect the total price for the use of the bank's services. Above all, the customer's total business with the bank has an effect on the mortgage rate they receive. Banks such as SEB explicitly state that the price (interest rate on the mortgage) is affected by the type of object that is to be bought, the 36 consumer's risk profile, and how much business the customer has with the bank. 24 The importance of customer mobility Banks focusing on building relationships with their customers can therefore be of value to consumers; this provides the opportunity for the creation of effective processes and for service development. At the same time it can be problematic from a competition perspective, as building relationships can reduce consumer mobility on the market. A prerequisite for effective competition is consumers' willingness and ability to change service supplier. The possibility for consumers to set a product aside and thus have access to better alternatives is in many cases the clearest expression of consumer power in effective competition. It is often said that consumers on the banking market are very loyal and less likely to switch service supplier than those on many other markets. According to various surveys, it can be established that the direct costs of switching bank are low whilst the more indirect costs are an obstacle to the switch, i.e., the time it takes to obtain relevant decision support and the difficulty of comparing different alternatives an offers.25 It is therefore still uncommon to move an established bank commitment to another bank. The same applies to a change of fund manager. With new players on the banking and finance markets, customer mobility has increased to such an extent that it has become more common for one and the same household to be a customer of 24 More information is available on www.seb.se. 25 The Swedish Competition Authority (2009b), Flash Eurobarometer (2009). 37 several different financial companies. Surveys of consumer mobility also reveal that consumers are now more likely than ever to use several different banks or financial companies. One survey, Allmänhetens syn på bankerna (2011), from the Swedish Bankers' Association, shows that many bank customers (around 43 per cent) use more than one bank or other type of financial company for services such as savings, loans and payments. There is a wide range of banking services, and the consumer can now manage – preferably online (around 60 per cent use the internet) – a lot of what was previously managed by the banks. Consumers are therefore able to manage different parts of the financial services they have with various market players, such as smaller niche players, which puts competitive pressure on the full-service banks. Competition should therefore potentially increase due to consumers having more than one bank or financial company. Customer mobility on the financial services market can be limited in different ways in that fee and contract structures can give rise to various lock-in effects. It is often difficult for the consumer to gain an overview of the range of different types of services. Different types of quantity discounts make price comparisons between different market players more difficult. Many of the lock-in effects related to fund investment savings are a matter of capital gains taxation and difficulties for the consumers to understand, compare and gain an overview of the offerings on the market. On the other hand, the lock-in effects on the loan market are to a greater extent a question of overly complicated rules and costs associated with a change of creditor. Many credit inquiries entail the risk that the consumer will have difficulties being approved for a loan. Where a customer has loans with a fixed interest rate and wishes to transfer/move these loans prematurely, the interest differential compensation may result in a certain lock-in effect. Lock-in effects and low customer mobility give market power to the players on the financial services market. By applying a relationship-based business 38 model, the banks' market power can thereby increase with higher profitability as a result. At the same time, we cannot disregard the fact that bank customers highly value personal relationships with the bank and often follow family traditions when selecting a bank. This is a factor which leads to lower customer mobility and sluggishness on the market. The complexity of the services that banks offer means that it is in the interest of both the bank and the customer to create and maintain long-term business relations between one another. Via these long-term business relationships, the banks can build up their knowledge of the customers, which can for example make it easier for the consumer in question to be approved for a loan. Long-term relationships between bank and consumer can lead to lock-in effects and lower customer mobility. But they can also lead to lower transaction costs, which can in turn lead to more effective development, production and distribution of financial services. 39 2 Deposits 2.1 General information on deposits A household's savings in various accounts goes under the heading of deposits. For Swedish banks, deposits are one of several sources of funds. Deposits from Swedish households have increased by around 9 per cent annually since 2004, as illustrated in figure 4. Figure 4 Deposits from Swedish households 2004–2012 expressed in billions of kronor (SEK bn) 1 400 1 200 1 000 800 600 400 200 0 2004 2005 Source: The Riksbank (2012a). 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 40 Different forms of deposit accounts On the whole, two types of products – transaction and savings accounts – can be distinguished in terms of accounts that a bank offers a traditional bank customer. Interest on transaction accounts is as a rule lower than on savings accounts. The transaction account is also linked to salary transfers from an employer. Savings accounts are accounts for more long-term saving and the facility to withdraw or transfer money can be limited. These accounts may involve the customer undertaking to save money over a long period of time, often several months or years. Market players and concentration Whilst the number of market players is relatively large and a number of smaller players have had the strategy of attracting customers by offering high interest rates on both transaction and savings accounts, the four major banks still dominate on the deposit market. The four major banks had 70 per cent of deposits from the public and 66 per cent of deposits from households at the end of 2012.26 The development of deposits from households 2004–2011 is illustrated in figure 5 and shows that the major banks have a relatively stable share, if somewhat reduced.27 Other large players on the deposit market are Danske Bank, Länsförsäkringar, Skandiabanken, SBAB and the local savings banks. The local independent savings banks do not have a large share in the total Swedish deposit or loan market, but they may have a strong position on local markets.28 The fact that major banks' market share Deposits from the public consist of deposits from households, non-financial companies, the public sector and abroad. 26 27 SCB (2013). One example is Roslagens Sparbank, a bank which is an independent company with its own board and a head office in Norrtälje, as well as a smaller office network in Roslagen. 28 41 is decreasing is an indication that more customers are choosing to have more than one bank. Figure 5 Market shares, deposits from Swedish households for major banks in comparison with other market players 100% 75% Smaller banks/players 50% Major banks 25% 0% 200420052006200720082009201020112012 Source: SCB (2013). 2.2 Comparison between transaction and savings accounts The average interest rate on new contracts for households' combined deposit accounts amounted to 0.82 per cent at the end of the final quarter of 2012. The average interest rate on deposits for accounts with special terms, such as withdrawal restrictions, was Like other savings banks, Roslagens Sparbank has close cooperation with Swedbank and has their products in its range, whilst at the same time focusing on the local market (Roslagens Bank's Annual Report 2012). 42 1.62 per cent, i.e., almost double.29 The next two sections report the listed interest rates on the banks' transaction accounts and various savings accounts with different durations. Not all banks offer transaction accounts and the major banks seldom offer interest on these accounts. Table 2 illustrates interest rates on the banks' transaction/current accounts. Only Forex, Ålandsbanken and Skandiabanken offer interest on this type of account. The bank that stands out is Forex, with an interest rate of 1.8 per cent. Table 2 Interest in transaction/current accounts, 2013 Bank Interest rate FOREX 1.80 % Ålandsbank 0.35 % Skandia 0.05 % Danske Bank 0% SHB 0% Nordea 0% SEB 0% Länsförsäkringar 0% Swedbank 0% Source: Banks' websites May 2013. Several small market players have for certain periods adopted the strategy of offering a higher interest rate on transaction accounts. Figure 6 illustrates the difference between the four major banks' interest on deposits on transaction accounts and a selection of small market players including Forex, Skandiabanken, Ålandsbanken and Länsförsäkringar for the period 2007–2011. 29 The Swedish Financial Supervisory Authority (2013). 43 Figure 6 Average interest rate on transaction accounts, comparison between the four major banks and a selection of minor banks (Forex, Ålandsbanken, Skandiabanken and Länsförsäkringar) 2,50% 2,00% 1,50% Major banks 1,00% Minor banks* 0,50% 0,00% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Source: KKV's own calculations. It should however be noted that Forex brings up the average interest rate among the other comparable banks. Several of the new and smaller market players have also chosen not to offer customers transaction accounts. They only offer different forms of savings accounts. Something previously mentioned is that terms of interest for savings accounts are often better than those for transaction accounts. It can be difficult to compare one bank's interest rates on savings accounts with those of another, as the contractual terms differ on the question of the capacity for withdrawals, the lowest deposited amount for a certain level of interest and commitment period. In order to compare the interest rate on savings accounts from one bank to the next, we can take a look at the interest rate that can be obtained on small and large amounts that are locked and for which there are no free withdrawals. 44 Table 3 Interest on various savings accounts with different commitment periods in 2013, amount SEK 100,000 no free withdrawals. Bank 3 months 1 year 2 years 5 years BlueStep 2.55 % 3.05 % 3.45 % 3.75 % Länsförsäkring 2.25 % 2.30 % 2.00 % 2.80 % Nordea 2.01 % 2.20 % 2.25 % Swedbank 2.00 % 1.72 % 2.06 % 2.46 % Danske 2.00 % 2.20 % 2.30 % 3.00 % Skandia 1.91 % 2.00 % 2.03 % 2.34 % SEB 1.80 % 1.18 % 1.51 % 2.38 % SHB 0.81 % 1.17 % 1.97 % Sevenday 2.75 % 3.00 % Source: Banks' websites May 2013. Today, there are players on the deposit market offering accounts with higher interest on deposits than others. This applies primarily to smaller market players. The difference between the banks' interest on deposits can be considerable. One question is how interest on deposits influences customers' choice of bank. Based on the information requested by the Competition Authority and the deposit interest rates on the websites of the various market players, it is clear that the interest rate on deposits has only a minor influence on the choice of bank. The influx of customers to some of the minor banks and credit market companies with a high deposit interest rate has increased, but these players still represent a small share of the market. 45 Figure 7 Average interest rate on savings accounts for different amounts, comparison between the four major banks and a selection of smaller market players 2,0% 1,5% 1,0% Major banks Other smaller players 0,5% 0,0% Saving accouts for Savings accounts for smaller amounts larger amouts Source: Banks' websites May 2013. The major banks consistently have a lower interest rate on smaller amounts30 deposited in savings accounts than the small market players, as illustrated in figure 7. Small savers thus benefit from doing business with the smaller market players. It appears here that the major banks are discriminating against small savers investing an amount below a certain threshold, whilst a number of the small market players often have a higher interest rate for all savers. Unlike the major banks, the small players likely see small savers as an opportunity for them to gain access to and expand on the market by also offering a number of different financial services. A comparison between small amounts does not provide an entirely accurate picture, but the principle is the same. The banks' threshold for the higher interest rate on deposits varies between SEK 50,000 and SEK 250,000. 30 46 Interest on deposits and banks' net interest Banks' primary sources of income are net interest, net commission income and other income. What the Swedish Competition Authority can establish is that the major banks generally offer less favourable conditions than the small market players surveyed, in terms of deposits. The fact that savers accept low interest rates on deposits naturally has a positive effect on the banks' net interest and profitability as deposits constitute a relatively cheap source of funds. Though major banks finance their loans for e.g., mortgages primarily via market financing, deposits from savers are an important and, for many banks, cheap source of funds. By having higher lending rates, not only on mortgages but also personal loans and business loans and low interest on deposits, the banks' net interest increases and, provided other costs are kept under control, so does their profitability. For the four major banks, the annual growth of net interest in Swedish operations/retail banking has been around 5 per cent between 2007 and 2012. This has been driven by both increased volumes and margins. Since 2009, growth rate has increased for several of the banks. Out of the major banks, SHB and SEB have had the highest growth at around 8 per cent. In 2011 and 2012, the major banks' average annual net interest increased by more than 10; significantly higher than the growth in deposits and loans. State-owned SBAB has had an annual growth of 10.5 in their interest rate from 2007 to 2012, which has been primarily driven by volume growth. The development of the net interest for six of the largest players on the mortgage market is illustrated in figure 8. 47 Irrespective of which financing strategy the banks choose, low interest rates on deposits is a profitable business for the banks as it increases their net interest. Figure 8 Development of the net interest for Swedish retail banking/operations 2007–2012, in SEK millions 18 000 16 000 14 000 SHB 12 000 Swedbank 10 000 Nordea 8 000 SEB 6 000 SBAB 4 000 Skandia 2 000 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Source: The banks' annual report and websites (2007–2012). 2.3 Conclusions Based on the information requested by the Competition Authority and the deposit interest rates on the websites of the various market players, it is clear, when looking at the market as a whole, that the interest rate on deposits has only a minor influence on the customer's choice of bank. The influx of customers to some of the minor market players with a high deposit interest rate has increased, but these players still represent a relatively small share of the market. Most customers thus still choose to have their transaction and savings accounts with the major banks, and often 48 with lower interest rates/less favourable terms than those offered by many of the minor players. As deposits from the public and households are a relatively cheap source of funds, the banks can increase their net interest. An explanation for the banks' increase net income in recent years is that they have increased their gross margins and volume. This has resulted in a growing net income in the major banks' Swedish operations. 49 3 Mortgage market Roughly two thirds of Sweden's population live in houses or cooperative apartments. Mortgages also constitute around 85 per cent of banks' lending to households. This means that a large proportion of households' fees are related to mortgage fees. 3.1 Players and concentration on the Swedish mortgage market At the end of 2012, the four major Swedish banks had a total household mortgage market share of around 80 per cent. This is a reduction since 2004 as the four major banks had a market share of around 85 per cent.31 Other players are SBAB, Länsförsäkringar, Danske Bank and Skandiabanken. There are also a number of niche players, such as the credit market company BlueStep. They have chosen to offer mortgages to consumers having difficulties being approved for mortgages by the major banks on the grounds of e.g., a record for non-payment of debt. Despite an increase in the number of players on the Swedish mortgage market over the past ten years, the market concentration is relatively high with an HHI index of around 1800. This could indicate that competition is less effective. At the same time, it can be established that the market concentration has reduced as a result of the three largest players – SHB, Swedbank and Nordea – losing market shares. At the same time, SEB and new, smaller players such as Länsförsäkringar, SBAB and Danske Bank have taken market shares on the growing mortgage market. 31 SCB (2013). 50 State-owned SBAB, which has focused on the mortgage market, has had a market share of 7–8 per cent over the last few years. Figure 9 illustrates the division of market shares between the eight largest market players for 2012 and 2004. Figure 9 Market shares, mortgages to Swedish households per bank, 2004 and 2012 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 2004 10% 2012 5% 0% Source: SCB (2013), 31/12/2004 and 31/12/2012. 3.2 Demand for mortgages As mortgages have a long duration as a rule, the demand is not solely dependent on factors that can be observed today. It is also influenced by households' expectations on the future development of the economy and housing prices. The demand for mortgages can thus be expected to vary depending on a number of factors, including the following: • Banks and housing credit institutions' rules for granting credit. 51 • Households' disposable income and their expectations of the future development of these. • The cost of lending and households' expectations of the future development of mortgage rates. • Prices of small houses and cooperative apartments and households' expectations of the future development of these. • How much of the supply of rental apartments is transformed into cooperative apartments. The mortgage market has long been a growing market. The demand for mortgages has followed the housing price rise.32 Another factor which has driven the increase in the demand for mortgages is the fact that many rental apartments, primarily in metropolitan areas, have been transformed into cooperative apartments in recent years. A less secure economic situation has caused the housing price rises to slow down. At the same time, harder regulations such as the introduced mortgage ceiling have meant that the banks have limited their lending.33 This has meant that the annual growth rate for lending to households has slowed from nearly 16 per cent during the period 2005–2006 to a rate of increase of around 4.5 per cent in 2012 and early 2013. This is illustrated in figure 10. 32 The Riksbank (2012a). 33 The Swedish Financial Supervisory Authority (2010). 52 Figure 10 Swedish lending to households in SEK billions (columns in SEK bn) and growth in per cent per year 2 500 20% 2 000 16% 1 500 12% 1 000 8% 500 4% 0 0% 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 Source: SCB (2013). 3.3 Mortgages for private individuals as a product In Sweden, loans for private individuals' purchases of housing go via banks and housing credit institutions. As security for the loan, mortgage deeds on properties are used primarily. The lending takes the form of a first mortgage loan, which means that the property is normally borrowed on for up to 75–85 per cent of its market value. Additional borrowing on the property can be in the form of a last mortgage loan, which is often offered by the bank that owns the housing credit institution. Mortgages often have a relatively low interest rate compared with other household loans. Mortgage ceiling – borrowing limitations In October 2010, the Swedish Financial Supervisory Authority introduced new rules for mortgages which mean that loans secured 53 on housing may only cover up to 85 per cent of a property's value.34 The reason this rule was introduced is that Swedish households' indebtedness has increased in line with property prices since 1995. The intention was to counteract further increases in indebtedness and unsound lending on the mortgage market.35 It is however still possible for households to take “unsecured loans”, i.e., loans with no security. These loans often have a higher interest rate and harder amortisation requirements. Variable and fixed interest rates In general, the consumer is faced with committing to a mortgage with a choice of different terms (duration). Mortgage providers' listed interest on mortgages varies depending on the term. Typical interest rate commitment periods for mortgages are 3 months (which tends to be characterised as variable interest), 6 months, 1 year, 2 years, 3 years, 5 years and 10 years. It is also common for the consumer to choose to have several mortgages with different terms. This is in order to safeguard against potential rises in interest rates. This entails committing to a loan with a fixed rate so that the interest expense remains constant during the commitment period, which typically varies between three months and 10 years. If we look at the total mortgage loan portfolio, it consists of a little more than half of loans with a commitment period of 3 months. In general, the fixed interest rates have been higher than the “variable” rates as long-term financing is generally more expensive than short- 34 The Swedish Financial Supervisory Authority (2010). 35 The Swedish Financial Supervisory Authority (2010). 54 term. The average commitment period for new mortgages in the period 2005–2011 was 1.4 years.36 Figure 11 Distribution of interest rate commitment periods for the total mortgage loan portfolio, in SEK millions 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% over 5 years 50% 1 - 5 years 40% 1 year or less* 30% 20% 10% 0% 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 * < 1 year: in principle, the entire portfolio has a term of 3 months Source: SCB (2013). Interest differential compensation Consumers' division of mortgages into several housing loans with different maturity dates facilitates risk diversification. At the same time, dividing the loan into different commitment periods is associated with costs as the Consumer Credit Act (2010:1846) gives the bank the right to charge for interest differential compensation if the customer prematurely redeems their fixed term loan. Interest 36 The Riksbank (2012b). 55 differential compensation is intended to compensate the creditor for the loss they incur when the customer is no longer paying the agreed interest on their fixed-term loan. The interest differential compensation is calculated using a comparison rate which is defined in the Consumer Credit Act and in instructions issued by the Swedish Financial Supervisory Authority. The interest differential compensation is a lump sum compensation whereby the residual debt is multiplied by the difference between the mortgage rate during the remaining term on the fixed-term loan and a comparison rate. If the loan has a commitment period shorter than one year, the comparison rate will be an amount correspondding to the treasury bill rate + 1 per cent. If the loan's commitment period is one year or shorter, the comparison rate is the government bond rate + 1 per cent. For calculation of the reference rate, we must use the government bond that corresponds to the remaining commitment period on the loan. The facility for customers to divide the mortgage into several loans with different commitment periods is of course desirable for many customers. At the same time, this produces lock-in effects as the premature redemption of loans is associated with the payment of interest differential compensation. The premise is therefore that the reference rate is based on the investment opportunities generally at the disposal of the creditor and which are officially noted, which is therefore calculated as the treasury and bond rates plus one percentage point. Calculations show that interest differential compensation can come to large amounts as the difference between the mortgage rate and the reference rate has increased. Redeeming a loan of SEK 2m which was taken out in December 2011 with a term of five years and a fixed rate of 4.0 per cent, after a 30 point discount on the listed 56 interest, would cost the customer around SEK 140,000 in interest differential compensation in May 2013.37 Several stakeholders have criticised the current model for calculating interest differential compensation as they feel that it means the banks are overcompensated and that it does not accurately reflect the banks' alternative investment opportunities and costs associated with the customer redeeming their mortgage prematurely.38 At present, legislative work is underway in the Government Offices with the aim of changing the calculation model for interest differential compensation so that it is simpler and cheaper for the customer to redeem fixed-term loans and thereby reduce the lock-in effect that occurs when the customer chooses the term for their mortgage. In a ministry memorandum from the Ministry of Justice, Ränteskillnadsersättning m.m. vid bolån [Interest differential compensation, etc. for mortgages] (Ds. 2013:38) from 14 June 2013, a change of the calculation method is proposed in order to lay the foundations for fairer compensation.39 Pricing mortgages – negotiating customer interest rates Every day, the various banks advertise their current mortgage rates for loans on houses, cooperative apartments and summer houses. Information on these can be found on the banks' websites, in papers and on a number of different online comparison services for Calculation from the Swedish Consumers' Banking & Finance Bureau, “Konsumenternas Vägledning om Bank och försäkring” *Consumer Guidance on Banking and Insurance], based on SEB's and SHB's 10-year (fixed-term) rates, 25 April 2008. 37 38 See e.g., Villaägarnas Riksförbund (2013a), Dagens Industri (2012b). 39 The Ministry of Justice (2013), the Government (2012b), the Government (2013). 57 personal finances. The current rates published are the “listed interest rates” and are not always the actual rates paid by the customer following negotiation with the bank. Some banks, SBAB being one example, do not offer individual negotiation on the interest rate. The listed rate is the same as the customer rate.40 However, most banks employ individual pricing, which means that the price of the mortgage is decided based on factors such as security, the customer's risk profile and the customer's potential total business with the bank. Customers who are able to have greater total business with the bank by e.g., opening transaction accounts and/or savings accounts, using the bank's debit card, or opening or transferring fund and share investments are also more likely to receive a greater discount on the listed interest rate and thereby a lower customer interest rate. The discount received by the customer is subject to a time limit and needs to be renegotiated with the bank over time. 3.4 Banks' funding costs – sources of funds and risks Since the 1970s, Swedish banks have gone from a financing model based primarily on deposits from the public to a model based on market financing. Mortgages are primarily financed by means of the banks issuing covered bonds with various maturities in Swedish Krona and in foreign currencies such as Euros and US Dollars. Covered bonds in foreign currency are converted to Swedish Krona via swap contracts or so-called “currency swaps”. Financing is also possible via the issuance of a “certificate” with a short term, up to one year. This is less common. 40 More information is available on www.sbab.se. 58 Covered bonds involve the buyers having future cash flows (amortisations and interest payments) from disbursed loans as security. These loans are known as the bond's collateral and the holder of covered bonds has a special right of preference for capital and accrued interest in the collateral. Mortgages have a long term of around 40 years, whilst customers' interest commitment period is significantly shorter. The majority of financing is achieved via the issuance of covered bonds in Swedish Krona. However, a considerable portion of financing comes from the issuance of covered bonds in foreign currency. Once a credit is granted, the credit may be included in the collateral, where the credit is up to 75 per cent of the market value in relation to the security. This applies to real property, site leasehold rights and cooperative apartments intended for housing purposes. 41 This means that the banks cannot solely finance mortgages by issuing covered bonds. Remaining parts are financed via other sources of funds such as deposits and senior debt. Some banks rely more on market financing and others more on deposits from the public. When banks finance mortgages, they need to manage various risks. Even if roughly half of the banks' lending volume has short interest commitment periods, their financing must have significantly longer terms than this. If all financing was to be achieved via the issuance of short-term securities, the banks would be forced to regularly turn to the capital markets for renewed financing. The risk is that the capital markets will be illiquid at this point in the future, which is why it can be costly or even impossible for the bank to receive compensation for a new security. This means that the bank is at risk of entering a situation in which it cannot meet its obligations to the holder of the previously issued security. This is known as a 41 Covered Bonds (Issuance) Act (2003:1223). 59 liquidity risk. When the banks and housing credit institutions finance a loan with variable interest and more long-term financing, the bank receives interest payment from customers which follows the 3-month rate whilst a fixed rate is paid on the long-term financing. If the variable interest rate sinks to a level below that prevailing at the time the bond was issued, the bank runs the risk of entering a situation in which it cannot fulfil its obligations to the holder of the bond without making losses. This is known as an interest rate risk. The banks manage risks of this nature by entering a “swap agreement”. A swap agreement, also known as an interest rate swap, is in its simplest form an agreement in which two parties “swap” interest rates with one another. Stockholm Interbank Offered Rate (STIBOR) If the banks perceive that they have a liquidity deficit, which can arise when disbursing mortgages, they can loan from one another via the interbank market. Loans between banks are governed by the reference rate STIBOR.42It is calculated as an average of the rates that the major banks offer one another.43 Similar sets of base interest rates/reference rates are found all over the world, e.g., LIBOR, TIBOR.44 STIBOR is determined daily for six different terms. Six banks are represented on the STIBOR panel. 42 Stockholm Interbank Offered Rate. 43 The Riksbank (2012b). 44 HM Treasury (2012). 60 Problems with STIBOR The Riksbank's report Riksbankens utredning Stibor45 [The Riksbank's investigation of STIBOR] established that there were shortcomings in the STIBOR framework. The shortcomings were primarily related to management and control, but there were other shortcomings in terms of the derivation of STIBOR from prevailing market pricing, incentive structures and an ineffective process for determining STIBOR. Furthermore, the Riksbank established that there were too few collaborating banks. The Riksbank also established that there is an incentive for the banks to influence bidding negatively and that the bidding process is inefficient. Bidding takes place openly, which means that the banks can see one another's bids during the bidding process itself. This in turn opens up for strategic bidding. The Riksbank realised that this provides incentive for the banks to influence each other, which in turn leads to the risk of “follow the leader” behaviour by which the banks place the same or similar bids. Another shortcoming pointed out by the Riksbank is that the banks are not forced to take responsibility for their bids. They are able to change their bids during the bidding process. One proposal put forward by the Riksbank is that the banks' bids should be binding, meaning they are obligated to loan or invest at this rate. In order to address a number of the problems with how STIBOR is determined, a new STIBOR framework was drawn up by the Swedish Bankers' Association together with the four major banks and Danske Bank. This means that the Swedish Bankers' Association assumes overall responsibility and is the principal for STIBOR. The new framework is in use as of 04 March 2013. 45 The Riksbank (2012c). 61 According to the Swedish Bankers' Association, this framework shall ensure a clearer structure and control, as well as transparency in the determination of STIBOR. The Riksbank and Nasdaq OMX have been and are still at present observers in the work. Länsförsäkringar is also included in the STIBOR panel as of 04 June 2013.46 The banks' internal pricing47 The individual bank's funding costs therefore vary depending on how large a share of the various sources of funding constitute and how the banks decide to price funding from deposits internally. Banks' treasury management departments are often responsible for financing and managing currencies and interest rate and liquidity risks. They determine the banks' IRR, which is an internal price for financing which governs the banking offices' pricing of mortgages, on a daily basis.48 The IRR not only governs the interest rate that the bank offers to its customers. It functions as a borrowing cost at which a banking office can loan money from the head office. The banks' IRR is therefore governed by its financing strategy. Based on the interest rates they can pay for their borrowing, they decide their IRRs. Even the manner in which banks choose to price deposits affects the IRR. In principle, these can be priced as the interest rate the bank actually pays or based on the alternative cost, which in turn can be based on STIBOR. The financing cost also includes costs for managing various risks associated with financing. 46 The Swedish Bankers' Association (2013c). 47 Different banks use different models to determine the internal rate of return (IRR). 62 3.5 New regulations that may affect the banks' funding costs and strategies The Ministry of Finance, the Riksbank (Sweden’s central bank) and the Swedish Financial Supervisory Authority have determined that Sweden needs to go further than the Basel Committee's agreement of 2010 and the European Commission's proposed ordinance on capital adequacy and liquidity in order to warn about stability in the Swedish financial system.49 The new capital adequacy regulations for Swedish banks entail that the banks should have at least 7 per cent in Common Equity Tier 1 from 2014. In addition to this, the four major Swedish banking groups SHB, Nordea, SEB and Swedbank must have a further mark-up so that their Common Equity Tier 1 amounts to at least 10 per cent of their Risk-Weighted Assets (RWA) from 2013 and 12 per cent from 2015. According to the Swedish Financial Supervisory Authority, the major banks already meet the requirements in terms of the Liquidity Coverage Ratio (LCR). Increased risk weights for mortgages In order to strengthen the financial sector with regard to its credit exposures, a risk weight floor of 15 per cent will be introduced for Swedish mortgages in 2013. The risk weight floor will be introduced in the scope of the Swedish Financial Supervisory Authority's supervisory measures. In general terms, the measure means that Swedish banks will need to set aside 15 per cent of every Krona lent on a mortgage. One question is how the new regulations affect competition on the mortgage market. According to the Swedish Financial Supervisory Authority, the measure affects the 49 The Swedish Financial Supervisory Authority (2011b). 63 capital requirements for mortgages in two ways, each of which can be relevant for competition on the mortgage market. 50 First of all, the capital requirement will be higher for most players concerned, which affects competition between companies. Secondly, the marginal capital requirement for the players who currently have average risk weights below 15 per cent is the same for each new mortgage. This can affect competition in different market segments. Overall, the Swedish Financial Supervisory Authority deems the impact on competition between companies to be small. The banks that have not previously used the Swedish Financial Supervisory Authority's recommended measures and that have not had an average risk weight floor of 15 per cent in the current situation may need to increase the capital requirement. This can in turn affect mortgage pricing for these banks. How do the new regulations affect banks' mortgage costs? The Swedish Financial Supervisory Authority writes in its report Bankernas räntor och utlåning [Bank interest rates and lending]51 that Swedish credit institutes have already to a large extent adapted to future requirements for capital adequacy and access to liquidity. The higher requirements entail a certain cost to the banks, whilst at the same time contributing to a more stable financial system. According to the Swedish Financial Supervisory Authority, the new regulations can affect costs in different ways. If Swedish banks are seen as well-capitalised and stable, they can gain access to cheaper financing. More capital should also involve a reduction of shareholders' required yield. However, the latter has been heavily challenged by the Swedish Bankers' Association, for example, as 50 The Swedish Financial Supervisory Authority (2012b). 51 The Swedish Financial Supervisory Authority (2012a). 64 higher capital adequacy requirements do not necessarily lead to increased shareholder value and decreased risk per se. Gross and net margins for mortgages Banks' gross margins on mortgages consist of the difference between the interest they receive on the mortgage from customers and the funding cost. The banks' net margin is calculated based on the gross margin, with deductions for capital costs. They are governed by capital adequacy regulations, costs for maintaining liquidity, credit losses and costs for running the business, i.e., personnel and office costs, IT and overhead. Customer interest rate – listed interest and negotiation of discounts A mortgage is in many respects a homogeneous product. In the end, it is a matter of the institute paying money to the borrower, who in return puts up a cooperative apartment or property as collateral. The borrower commits to paying interest and amortisations to the banks or housing credit institutions. The banks and the housing credit institutions advertise their interest rates daily on their websites, which are published in daily papers and on a number of online comparison services. The banks' official rates for various terms tend to be called listed interest rates. The rate paid by the customer is known as the customer interest rate. It is often lower than the listed interest rate as the customers negotiate a discount with the bank. In Sweden, strategies differ from one bank to the next in terms of organisation and management, and consequently the pricing model also varies. Some banks have a more centralised interest rate and 65 discount policy, whilst others work to a decentralised organisational model. SHB, for example, is a bank which has for a long time worked to a decentralised model in which each individual banking office is given a great deal of responsibility for pricing and discounts. The mortgage rates that the customer will pay are determined by the IRR announced by the treasury management department. But it also depends on the size of the loan in relation to the value of the property, the customer's risk level and the other commitments the customer has in the bank. This means that the importance of the individual customer and the scope of deposits and fund and pension investments have a direct effect on the mortgage rate when a new loan is taken out. The advantage for the bank in establishing a relationship over time with customers is increased revenues. At the same time, the bank gains a better overview of the customer's risk profile and needs. It is therefore important for the customer to understand the impact that negotiation has on the mortgage rate. 3.6 Discount on listed interest as a competitive device So we see there is a difference between the rate advertised by the banks and the rate that the customer will actually pay. It is therefore important to differentiate between these when analysing competetion on the mortgage market. The bank with the lowest listed interest rate does not necessarily offer the lowest customer interest rate. Based on information obtained by the Competition Authority from the banks, it can be established that the banks provide a discount on the listed interest rate, as illustrated in figure 12. 66 Figure 12 Average listed interest rate and customer interest rate, 3-month term, for the period 2001–201152 6,00 5,00 Lsted interest rate 4,00 3,00 Costumer interest rate 2,00 1,00 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 Source: KKV's own calculations of the banks' responses. Figure 12 shows that the pricing of mortgages has an element of negotiation between customer and bank as the banks' average customer interest rate is lower than the average listed interest rate. The figure shows clearly that there is room for negotiation on discounts on the banks' listed interest rates. At the same time, the average discount has remained relatively constant over time, around 0.15 per cent or 15 points below the average listed interest rate. The discount on the listed interest has thus been fairly constant, irrespective of the gross and net margins on mortgages reported by the banks over time. See Appendix figure B1 and figure B2 for average listed and customer interest rates for terms of two and three years. 52 67 The discount on the listed interest is one of the more important competitive parameters when customers negotiate with the banks over new mortgages. The negotiated discount is subject to a time limit. This means that the customer must continuously negotiate the terms and conditions and the discount on the listed interest with the bank.53 There are indications that the discount decreases or disappears altogether if the customer does not actively negotiate with the bank. A survey carried out by Villaägarnas Riksförbund (Swedish Homeowners Association) in February 2013 revealed that 36 per cent of mortgage customers have had previously negotiated discounts removed by their bank. Of these, 83 per cent said that the bank in no way informed them that the discount had been removed.54 The survey also showed that all of 53 per cent of those who lost their discount regained it following renegotiation. This does not mean that the banks can be accused of misconduct from a contractual perspective. But it indicates that customers who are not active in negotiations risk losing the discount they initially negotiated. Information asymmetry when negotiating the mortgage rate The element of negotiation means that the mortgage market is not transparent. As the banks' listed interest rates only constitute a ceiling in the negotiation, and as the banks do not provide a clear explanation of their discount policies, it is difficult and timeconsuming for customers to compare different banks' mortgage 53 Villaägarnas Riksförbund (2013a). 54 Villaägarnas Riksförbund (2013a). 68 rates. If negotiations are to lead to a successful result, both parties are often required to have access to necessary information on each other's preferences and financial framework and conditions. When granting credit, however, the distribution of information is often uneven, which gives rise to information asymmetry. Information asymmetry leads to an imbalance between the parties. It allows the party with more information to gain a better result at the expense of the other party. If the mortgage customer is to achieve a desirable result, it is important for them to have access to information on how much space for negotiation they have. In principle, this consists of the difference between listed interest rates and the funding cost, and what discounts are available to the customer with consideration for their risk profile and total business with the bank. There are however a number of problems associated with this at present. One circumstance is that the banks do not have a common way of reporting their mortgage margins, though a more pressing issue is the differences between the listed interest rates and the funding costs. Where the difference between STIBOR and the funding costs has increased, it has also been more difficult for mortgage customer to determine the banks' margins on the listed interest rates. Furthermore, the mortgage customers do not have access to the banks' discount policies, which makes it difficult to know what customer interest rates the different banks offer. Overall, this means it is difficult for mortgage customers to know how much room for negotiation they have and what the potential bargaining margin is for the mortgage. 3.7 Price competition on the mortgage market The Swedish mortgage market is showing signs of weak competition, as the market concentration is high and the banks' 69 business models reduce consumer mobility and thereby the consumers' price sensitivity on individual services. As the customer interest rate for mortgages is linked to the banking customer's entire business with the bank and as there is an interest differential compensation, the customers will have limited incentive to switch mortgage supplier, even where lower mortgage rates are offered. This means that competition on the mortgage market is often a matter of attracting new customers. As the pricing of customer interest rates includes an element of negotiation, consumers will need more time to identify which market player offers the lowest customer interest rate. The customer is sometimes required to become a “regular customer” before mortgages and discounts can be granted. Packaging services makes it difficult for customers to compare alternatives, which further contributes to reduced customer mobility. Low customer mobility provides the established banks with a certain degree of market power. From the material analysed by the Competition Authority, it can be established that the banks have increased their gross margins. There are several possible explanations for the fact that the banks' have been able to increase their margins. One explanation is that they have become more effective and that every bank acts rationally, based on prevailing market conditions. Another possible explanation is some form of implicit or explicit coordination on the mortgage market. In the former case, the market players do not communicate with one another directly and yet, as a result of frequent interaction, they still manage to have some level of coordination which in terms of market outcome resembles a cartel, which means higher prices and lower bids than would be found in better competitive conditions. In the latter case, the banks are able to raise gross margins via direct communication with one another. 70 Potential for implicit coordination on the mortgage market The border between implicit and explicit coordination is of course not always clear. Both types require a way for the market players to monitor the market outcome and a sanction mechanism which facilitate the penalising of players who do not adhere to the agreement. The more transparent a market is in terms of prices, volumes or market shares, the easier it is for players to detect a deviation from the agreement. One type of sanction mechanism is a price war, by which all players' margins and profits go down considerably. Price trend for listed interest The transparency of the mortgage market is in some respects very high - market participants are stable and few in number. The listed interest rates are posted on the banks' websites. Monthly information on the size of each bank's loan stock – categorised by loans to private households, loans to companies and loans to non-profit companies – is available in SCB's statistics on the financial market. Note that these statistics do not contain individual banks' interest rates. If we assume that the banks' listed interest rates are definitive, pricing is transparent and can be followed by third parties. Though listed interest rates are not the rates paid by the customers in the end, the listed rates play an important role on the market. They reflect banks' financing costs, are an important marketing tool and also constitute a basis for negotiation for the customers. In order to analyse the players' pricing, margins and actions on the mortgage market, it is important to take both listed and customer interest rates and the banks' financing costs into consideration. 71 Table 4 is based on information that the Competition Authority requested from housing credit institutions. The table illustrates the banks' average individual listed interest rates and the average interest rate for the players offering the lowest and highest interest rates for the period 2001 - 2011. Table 4 A summary of the average listed interest rate for the period 2001–2011, 3-month interest (”variable”) Listed interest rate Min Av Max 2001 4.90 % 5.42 % 5.69 % 2002 5.24 % 5.53 % 5.77 % 2003 4.22 % 4.44 % 4.79 % 2004 3.19 % 3.33 % 3.80 % 2005 2.50 % 2.83 % 2.85 % 2006 3.16 % 3.28 % 3.85 % 2007 4.27 % 4.44 % 4.92 % 2008 5.17 % 5.44 % 5.50 % 2009 1.97 % 2.01 % 2.04 % 2010 2.05 % 2.09 % 2.11 % 2011 3.95 % 4.00 % 4.40 % STIBOR source: KKV's own calculations of the banks' responses. What the Competition Authority can establish is that the variation, measured as standard deviation in the banks' listed interest rate, has varied over time. One pattern, as illustrated in figure 13, is that the variation in the listed interest rate was higher between 2002 and 2007 than from 2008 to 2011. At the same time the variation sank, the growth rate on mortgages decreased during the period, falling from around 14–16 per cent annually between 2003 and 2005 to around 4.5 by 2011–2012. There is no single explanation for the variation in the banks' listed interest rates being lower since 2007 and the pricing pattern changing. 72 Figure 13 Variation (standard deviation) banks' average listed interest rate, 3-month term 0,30% 0,20% 0,10% 0,00% 2001 2003 2006 2009 Source: KKV's own calculations of the banks' responses. The listed interest rates reported by the banks have varied over time, as shown in figure 13. At the same time, it can be proven that the variation has decreased in recent years, as the various banks' listed interest rates have been more similar since 2007. This applies not only to the 3-month interest rate but also the rates for fixed terms of two and five years (see appendix, figures B3 and B4). A reasonable explanation is that insecurity on the financial market, new regulations and a lower growth rate in the demand for mortgages have led to a less dynamic price competition. The fact that the banks' listed interest rates are becoming more similar may be a sign that competition has increased during this period. What seems to disprove this theory is that, as established later on in the report, the banks have been able to increase their margins during the same period. Over and above these explanations, the question 73 can be asked as to whether this may be an indication of some form of coordination on the pricing of mortgage rates. Where interest on mortgages is concerned there are, as previously mentioned, elements of negotiation between institution and borrower when a new loan is taken out. The incidence of such negotiations is a factor which makes it difficult to achieve coordination on prices. As the results of the negotiations are generally not open to observation for other market players, there is ample opportunity for deviations from any implicit agreement without the risk of penalisation. Therefore in order to analyse whether there are signs of exclusive coordination on the mortgage market, we cannot work from the listed interest rates. We should instead work from the banks' customer interest rates, which are not advertised on the market. It is also the customer interest rate that determines banks' gross and net margins on mortgages. 3.8 Banks' mortgage margins As previously discussed, high profitability and high product margins can be a sign of inadequate competition or significant barriers to entry on the market. Many stakeholders believe that the fact that the banks have been able to increase their net interest and profitability is the result of a lack of competition, and that above all the major banks have been able to use their market power. For this reason, the Competition Authority has requested information on the banks' gross margins on mortgages for the period 2001–2011, as part of the survey. One phenomenon observed is a significant increase in the difference between mortgage rates, the banks' reference rates and the Riksbank's repo rate. At the same time, it has been noted that the Riksbank's reductions of the repo 74 rate have not been reflected in corresponding reductions of mortgage rates. The banks explain that the greater difference between mortgage rates, STIBOR and the repo rate is a result of the 2008 financial crisis, which resulted in increased liquidity costs for the banks. Prior to the crisis, the banks were able to finance their mortgages at a cost that was more on a level with STIBOR. When the financial crisis hit, liquidity on the market decreased. This meant that liquidity costs and long-term financing became more expensive and that the difference between the banks' financing costs and STIBOR increased. Figure 14 3-month difference between the listed interest rate, the average funding cost, STIBOR 3M and repo rate55 7,00 6,00 5,00 Listed interest rate 4,00 Funding cost 3,00 STIBOR 3M 2,00 Repo 1,00 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2001 0,00 Source: KKV's own calculations of the banks' responses. See appendix, figures B5 and B6 for mortgages on commitment periods of two and five years respectively. 55 75 Increased gross margins on mortgages The Competition Authority has calculated the gross margins on mortgages for terms of 3 months (“variable”), 2 years and 5 years.- The Competition Authority bases its calculations on the banks' reported funding costs for the period 2001–2011. As the banks do not have a common model for calculating funding costs, there is a degree of uncertainty concerning comparisons of their gross margins. It should however be emphasised that the Competition Authority's purpose is primarily to follow the development of gross margins on the mortgage market over the studied period, and the flexibility among the banks in terms of interest rates. The gross margins are calculated as the difference between the banks' reported average customer interest rate on mortgages and the funding costs. As previously emphasised, the banks' models for calculating funding costs differ. This is because the banks use different financing strategies and sources of funds, but also because they make use of different management and calculation models when calculating funding costs. The Competition Authority is able to establish that the banks' average gross margins for both variable and fixed-rate mortgages have increased between 2009 and 2011. This increase has continued in 2012 and 2013.56 Figure 15 shows the development of the banks' average gross margins for mortgages with 3-month (“variable”), 2-year and 5-year commitment periods. As the banks have also focused on increasing efficiency and reducing their costs during the same period, the net margins have also increased during this 56 The Swedish Financial Supervisory Authority (2013), The Riksbank (2012a). 76 period. This is in line with the Swedish Financial Supervisory Authority's assessments.57 Figure 15 Gross margin; 3-month, 2-year and 5-year mortgages Source: KKV's own calculations of the banks' responses. The fact that the banks have been able to increase their margins on mortgages may be a sign that competition could be improved. In order to analyse the pricing of customer interest rates, the Competition Authority has performed a study of who offers the lowest average customer interest rate on a day-to-day basis, and who is the first to lower or raise the customer rate in the event of changes in financial costs on the market. This facilitates analysis of how the prices have changed and the price strategy adopted by various banks over the years. Part of the analysis is a matter of determining whether one particular bank has acted as the price leader, which could enable implicit coordination on the market. 57 The Swedish Financial Supervisory Authority (2013). 77 Price leadership on mortgages On an oligopolistic market, coordination can be facilitated by one market player acting as the price leader and others following their actions, with the purpose of increasing profitability for all players. The price leader may be a dominant player or the company with the lowest production costs, or whose prices are reflected well in the market conditions. The Competition Authority has focused on analysing price leadership on 3-month interest rates (variable) as 50–68 per cent of the value of the mortgage stock since 2005 has had a term of 3 months. Where 3-month mortgages are concerned, all of the banks studied have at some point acted as the price leader offering the lowest customer interest rate on the market. There is however a significant difference in when and how often the different banks act as price leader. Figure 16 illustrates how often (percentage of the number of days) various banks have acted as the price leader for 3-month interest rates during the period 2001–2011. It is clear that some banks have been more active when it comes to offering the lowest customer interest rates. Even though several banks have acted as the price leader, their actions have varied throughout this period. 78 Figure 16 Price leadership, customer interest rate 3-month interest as a per cent of the number of days 2001–201158 30% 20% 10% 0% Bank A Bank B Bank C Bank D Bank E Bank F Bank G Source: KKV's own calculations of the banks' responses. As with listed interest rates, the Competition Authority is able to establish that the pricing pattern has changed during this period. In 2006, six different banks acted as price leaders at different times. The bank that was price leader for the most days led for 42 per cent of the period. In 2011, only two banks acted as price leader, and one of these was the price leader for 97 per cent of the period. Figure 17 illustrates the percentage of days that various banks acted as price leader. What can be established is that a change has occurred following the 2008 financial crisis. It is therefore mostly one bank that has acted as the price leader (bank B). This bank offered the lowest customer interest rate 97 per cent of the days in 2011. See appendix, figures B7 and B8 for mortgages on commitment periods of two and five years respectively. 58 79 Figure 17 Price leadership, customer interest rate 3-month rate 2005–201159 100% 90% 80% Bank A 70% Bank B 60% Bank C 50% Bank D 40% Bank E 30% Bank F 20% Bank G 10% 0% 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Source: KKV's own calculations of the banks' responses. The fact that the variation in the listed interest rate has reduced, as has the number of players acting as price leader in 2010 and 2011 for mortgages with a term of 3 months (which constitutes a larger share of the market), may be an indication that price competition has decreased. This may be related to the reduction of the growth rate on the mortgage market and the fact that there are simply fewer new customers to compete for. Focus is on profitability rather than growth. As previously mentioned, smaller differences in price may be a sign that competition has improved and/or that customers have become more active. What may seem to disprove this is that the banks have been able to increase their gross margins on mortgages. For a number of players with a large market share, there See appendix, figures B9 and B10 for mortgages on commitment periods of two and five years respectively. 59 80 should be a lack of incentive to focus on price competition. Growth cannot compensate for a decrease in profitability if the bank chooses to lower its prices and margins. This may also be a rational reaction as capital and liquidity requirements are becoming ever higher. There are therefore several factors that may have led to a decline in price competition on the mortgage market and meant that the banks chose to focus on increasing their margins, instead of competing on price for new market shares. In figure 18, we see that during periods of more intensive price competition, where more players acted as the price leader, and during periods of rapid growth on the mortgage market, the gross margins have also decreased. During the 2008 financial crisis, the gross margins dropped considerably as a result of ever increasing funding costs in the form of higher costs for liquidity. On a market where the sellers have market power, buyers will not generally be able to gain the full benefit of cost savings. This applies not least on a market where buyer power is weak and where consumer mobility is limited by indirect and direct switching costs. The Competition Authority has performed another analysis of the banks' pricing. This time it looked into how different banks reacted to changes in financing costs and how this affects customer interest rates and thereby the banks' gross margins. In order to look into this, an analysis was made of how banks' customer interest rates were changed/adjusted following a change of STIBOR 3M (months), which is a reflection of the banks' financing costs. The premise is that the more banks follow each other's pricing in the event of a change in financial costs, the stronger the indication that there is some form of coordination on the market. This may be implicit or a market logic that has developed over time on a market 81 characterised by stability, high market concentration and a homogeneous product.60 Several international studies have revealed that there is a tendency towards asymmetric price transmission on the mortgage market. This means that the players quickly raise their prices when financing costs go up. At the same time, they prefer to wait with lowering their prices, or avoid it entirely, when financing costs go down.61 This behaviour is often explained by a lack of competition, which allows the banks to raise their prices without the risk of losing demand or revenues. The Competition Authority has therefore looked into how the Swedish banks react to a change in financing costs. The premise is that STIBOR reflects the banks' financing costs and thereby has a direct impact on customer interest rates. Figure 18 illustrates how many days pass for various banks before a change in STIBOR has an impact on their customer interest rates. An interesting point of study is how the various banks act and if patterns differ from one bank to the next. 60 See e.g., Hirata & Matsumura (2008). 61 See e.g., Toolsema & Jacobs (2007). 82 Figure 18 Banks' changing of 3-month customer interest rates in the event of a change in STIBOR – number of days (2001– 2012) 100% 80% Bank A Bank B 60% Bank C Bank D 40% Bank E Bank F 20% Bank H 0% -1 1 3 5 7 Source: KKV's own calculations of the banks' responses. In figure 18 we can see that most banks react quickly to a change in STIBOR and that the increase in most banks could have a 80–100 per cent impact after around three days. At the same time, it can be established that Bank B, for example, which was previously identified as a price leader, reacts more cautiously in the event of a change in STIBOR. Overall, this shows that Bank B is a player that distinguishes itself both in terms of pricing and how it reacts to a change in STIBOR. This indicates that it is possible to identify players on the market that compete on price and that have growth as an ambition. There is however a tendency for the price competition to decrease in intensity in recent years, which may explain the increased margins. The causes for this likely include the financial crisis, higher capital and liquidity requirements and a reduction of the growth rate for 83 mortgages. This may mean that there is an incentive for a number of the banks to focus on retaining and developing existing customer relationships instead of competing on price and focusing on growth on the mortgage markets. Despite the small credit losses, growth is connected to both a financial and operational risk and requires investment in additional capacity. Price and market signalling facilitate coordination The more transparent a market is, the better the conditions for monitoring the market outcome. It is thereby easier for the players to achieve coordination on the market. If deviations from the agreement are to be detectable, the market's players must be able to monitor competitors' prices, volumes or market shares. In many respects, there is a high degree of transparency on the mortgage market. The market's players are stable and few in number, and a large proportion of the customer base has low mobility due to indirect and direct switching costs. This means that the mortgage market is a market on which coordination between the players could work well. In several countries, competition authorities have noted the risk of market and price signalling on a number of markets; not least on the mortgage and deposit markets. Australia was the first country in the world to introduce a ban on price signalling in the banking sector, via an amendment to the Competition and Consumer Act 2010 which was effective from 6 June 2012. 84 This Australian act contains two bans: (i) a per se ban on the practice of privately revealing prices to consumers outside of normal business activities (ii) a general ban on (privately or publicly) revealing information (e.g., prices, discounts, capacity, commercial strategy) with the intention of significantly weakening competition on the market62 The Australian competition authority has issued guidelines for application of the act.63 The guidelines clarify that the general ban entails a ban on price signalling. They include the example that a leading representative for Bank A signals that the bank does not intend to reduce their interest rates in order to test competitors' reactions. In another example provided, a leading representative for a bank announces at a banking sector conference that the bank is not willing to make greater interest rate increases than those of the Riksbank, or to introduce new fees. The general ban does not, however, prevent banks from publishing consumer prices in e.g., newspapers. There are indications that major players have signalled their market strategies and prices on the Swedish mortgage market. In spring 2012, one of the major players on the mortgage market went to the daily press and informed them of its future marketing strategy and pricing.64 The bank announced that it would focus less on growth and competition for new customers and instead focus on increasing The new legislation was consolidated by the Australian Competition & Consumer Commission (2012b). 62 63 Australian Competition & Consumer Commission (2012a). 64 Dagens Industri (2012a). 85 mortgage margins. The bank also signalled that it did not intend to focus on lower prices, which were earlier an important competitive parameter, and instead has followed the other banks and increased margins. This type of information can of course make it easier for other banks to act. This is particularly true on a market where the growth rate in terms of demand has decreased and where much of the customer base has a low mobility due to indirect and direct switching costs. Loans with different terms and interest differential compensation create lock-in effects and can increase banks' margins In order to reduce the interest rate risk, customers are often recommended to divide the mortgage into several mortgages with different terms at a fixed interest rate. As shown in figure 11, a large percentage of mortgages have an interest commitment period of one year or more. The facility for customers to divide the mortgage into several loans with different terms is of course desirable for many. With loans divided into different terms, however, it will not be free for the customer to switch to a bank offering better terms and conditions. To move the entire loan to a different bank, interest differential compensation must be paid for the “fixed” part. The interest differential compensation is a form of compensation for the bank for the revenue lost as a result of premature termination of the contract. In the same way, it may often be advantageous in times where interest rates are low to redeem loans early in favour of new terms and conditions, whether within the same bank or at a competing bank. High interest differential compensation reduces the incentive for the customer to redeem their fixed loan and switch bank. When the difference between the mortgage rates and the reference rate increases, so does the interest differential compensation. 86 The premise is therefore that the reference rate is based on the investment opportunities generally at the disposal of the creditor and which are officially noted, which is therefore calculated as the treasury and bond rates plus one percentage point. Calculations show that interest differential compensation can come to large amounts as the difference between the mortgage rate and the reference rate has increased. Redeeming a loan of SEK 2m which was taken out in December 2011 with a term of five years and a fixed rate of 4.0 per cent, after a 40 point discount on the listed interest, would cost the customer around SEK 140,000 in interest differential compensation in May 2013.65 A mortgage customer paying compensation for lost revenue as a result of a prematurely terminated contract may be considered a normal part of a mortgage agreement. When there is a clear flexibility between the government bond rate and the mortgage rates, the interest differential compensation will not be as high. Changes on the financial markets in recent years have however led to a reduction of flexibility between the government bond rate and the mortgage rates and an increase in the difference (“spread”) between the mortgage rates and the reference rate. This means that the comparison rate has during certain periods been significantly lower than the mortgage rates, which in turn leads to an increase in the amount of interest differential compensation. Calculation from the Swedish Consumers' Banking & Finance Bureau, “Konsumenternas Vägledning om Bank och försäkring” *Consumer Guidance on Banking and Insurance+, based on SEB's and SHB's 5-year (fixed-term) rates, December 2011. 65 87 Several stakeholders have criticised the current model for calculating interest differential compensation. It produces lock-in effects and does not accurately reflect banks' alternative investment opportunities and costs associated with the customer redeeming their mortgage prematurely.66 At present, legislative work is underway in the Government Offices with the aim of changing the calculation model for interest differential compensation so that it is simpler and cheaper for the customer to redeem fixed-term loans and thereby reduce the lock-in effect that occurs when the customer chooses the term for their mortgage. In a ministry memorandum from the Ministry of Justice, Ränteskillnadsersättning m.m. vid bolån [Interest differential compensation, etc. for mortgages] (Ds. 2013:38) from 14 June 2013, a change of the calculation method is proposed in order to lay the foundations for fairer compensation.67 As lock-in effects limit competition, it is highly important that the matter is looked into. It should be noted that the banks may, if they so wish, charge interest differential compensation in accordance with the instructions found in the Consumer Credit Act and the Swedish Financial Supervisory Authority's guidelines, if the customer redeems a mortgage prematurely. They are not obliged to use this calculation model; it simply provides a ceiling for interest differential compensation. This means that the banks could use a model that is more favourable for the customer in their marketing. The Competition Authority can establish that none of the banks seem to take advantage of this opportunity today. 66 See e.g., Villaägarnas Riksförbund (2013b), Dagens Industri (2012a). 67 The Ministry of Justice (2013), the Government (2012b), the Government (2013). 88 3.9 Conclusions The Competition Authority is able to establish that the gross margins on mortgages were at their highest during the period 2001– 2003. From 2003 to 2008, the gross margins fell and smaller players were able to take market shares away from established major banks. However, since 2009 the gross margins have been increasing. Increased gross margins and reduced variation in the banks' listed interest may signal a decreased level of competition on price in recent years, as well as a weakened bargaining position for the customers. In a market where banks have market power, customers will not generally be able to gain the full benefit of cost savings. In real terms, this means that the decreased funding costs have not penetrated fully into the mortgage interest rates. However, there are several factors that the banks must consider when competing for new mortgage customers. The anxiety in the financial markets, increased capital and liquidity requirements and the decreased mortgage growth rate may be the reasons behind the reduction in dynamic price competition. Instead of focusing on growth in terms of market shares, there are incentives for several of the banks to focus on keeping their market shares and developing their existing customer relationships. Despite the small credit losses on Swedish mortgages, growth is connected to both a financial and operational risk, as it may require investment in additional capacity.68 Following the financial crisis of 2008, the difference between mortgage interest rates and STIBOR and the repo rate has increased, and the use of various financial instruments has become increasingly important for the banks when borrowing. This means that it is more difficult for an individual customer to estimate the funding costs of the banks and thereby assess the space there is to 68 The Swedish Financial Supervisory Authority (2013), The Riksbank (2012a). 89 negotiate or haggle over the mortgage interest rate. The information asymmetry between bank and customer can thus be said to have increased. The fact that the banks do not all use the same method to report their funding costs does not make a comparison between them any easier. Another important question is whether the increased gross margins can be explained by any form of coordination in the mortgage market. Coordination does not need to be explicit. It can instead be a matter of implicit coordination that has developed on the market. All of the banks in the study have, at some point, acted as the price leader offering the lowest customer interest rate on the market. There is however a significant difference in when and how often the different banks have acted as price leader. It is clear that some banks have been more active when it comes to offering the lowest customer interest rates. Even if several banks have been the price leader, their actions have varied over the period. The banks that have most frequently acted as the price leader in the mortgage market have generally also had a more explicit and signalled growth ambition. 90 4 The fund market The analysis of the fund market has been performed based on data relating to the period 2001–2011.69 The Competition Authority's primary intention with the auditing of the fund market has been to find out whether measures are required to achieve more effective competition on the fund market. 4.1 Swedish fund investment savings The proportion of the Swedish population investing in funds has seen a great increase over time. In the mid-1990s, the proportion was around 50 per cent. Today, if we include the premium pension, everyone in the age group 18–74 invests in funds. The proportion of people investing in funds excluding the premium pension is 76 per cent. In addition, six of ten children have fund investment savings.70 Such measures include data on administration fees and costs for a number of funds (Sverige, Sverige index, Europa and Global), 2001-2011. Fund companies participating in the study include AMF Fonder AB, Handelsbanken Fonder AB, Länsförsäkringar Fondförvaltning AB, Nordea Fonder AB, SEB Investment Management AB, Skandia Fonder AB, SPP Fonder AB and Swedbank Robur Fonder AB. 69 70 The Swedish Investment Fund Association (2012a). 91 Figure 19 Proportion of Swedish people with investment savings, per cent 100 70 40 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 Source: The Swedish Investment Fund Association (2012a). The high proportion of people with investment savings among the Swedish population is exceptional when put in an international context. No country in the world beats Sweden in terms of the proportion of the country investing in funds.71 Each year, TNS Sifo Prospera conducts an extensive poll on fund investment savings, on the Swedish Investment Fund Association's commission.72 The 2012 report showed that 62 per cent of those investing privately in funds are saving to create a buffer of available capital for future expenses, whilst 46 per cent are saving for their pension. Over a third see fund investment savings as a supplement to other savings or as a way of getting a good return. A quarter give savings for children/grandchildren or for special purposes such as house, car or travel as a reason for fund investment savings. 71 The Swedish Investment Fund Association (2012a). 72 TNS Sifo Prospera (2012). 92 Swedish fund assets increased during the period 2000–2013 from around SEK 900 billion to SEK 2,136 billion.73 Pension investments today constitute around 50 per cent of the total fund assets, compared with 28 per cent in 2000. Fund investment savings in Sweden, totalling SEK 2,136 billion in administered capital, can be compared with Swedish households' total deposits in banks which in 2012 amounted to SEK 1,269 billion. This form of saving is thus of great significance in Swedish people's personal finances and pensions. Net savings in pension and insurance-related fund investment savings have remained on a very high level throughout the 2000s and have constituted at least half of new savings. Of the total net savings during the period 2000–2011, pension and insurance-related fund investment savings accounted for around 80 per cent. Households' direct saving in funds was around zero net during this period, but it increased somewhat in 2012. 74 The total new savings in funds amounted to over SEK 74 billion in 2012, compared with SEK 16 billion in 2011. It is also over SEK 10 billion higher than the average net savings per year during the 2000s.75 73 MoneyMate (2013). Direct savings are a form of fund investment saving not linked to pension investments and endowment insurance. Fund investment savings in Investment Savings Accounts (ISK) are included in statistics from the Swedish Investment Fund Association to a certain extent. However, this only applies in cases where fund companies and ISK institutions are in the same group. 74 The Swedish Investment Fund Association (2013a). Information is gathered on a quarterly basis and covers all investment funds marketed and sold in Sweden by fund companies that are members of the Swedish Investment Fund Association. Members include both funds registered in Sweden and funds registered abroad. 75 93 Figure 20 Net savings in funds, by category 1 000 Swedish enterprises 600 Premium pension 200 Insurance funds -200 Household direct savings 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 -600 Source: The Swedish Investment Fund Association (2001–2012). Fund investment savings' strong foothold in Sweden is likely a result of several factors.76 It was when the tax-friendly Skattespar (a Swedish fund product) was introduced in Sweden in 1978 that an interest in funds was sparked and fund investment savings became a popular movement. When the tax reduction on Skattespar in 1980 was increased to 30 per cent, it resulted in a drastic increase in the number of tax accounts in the following years. With the subsequent product Allemansspar (a Swedish fund product) launched in 1984, which was also tax-subsidised initially, the funds gained a serious presence among Swedish savers and new groups started investing in funds. There were also other decisions in the 1990s that encouraged pension investments via funds such as unit-linked insurance, individual pension investment and collectively agreed 76 SOU (2002:56). 94 occupational pensions. The new premium pension system in particular has meant that fund investment savings have become a product that concerns practically all households in Sweden. Conditions for the development of fund investment saving have improved considerably with the arrival of the Investment Funds Act.77 Other major causes for the increased popularity of funds as a form of saving have included the extremely positive trend in prices on the world's stock markets during the 1990s. Funds have enabled small savers to easily keep track of the trend in market prices. Product development over the years has also enabled businesses to attract the public to different forms of fund investment savings. It also allows fund distributors with fund supermarkets online to provide a wide and varied range of funds for the consumers to choose from. Before the introduction of fund investment savings, savers were referred to direct ownership of stocks or other securities. When fund investment savings were introduced, it was initially limited to direct savings in fund deposits78. In the 1990s, several new ways of investing in funds were introduced. In 1990, unit-linked insurances were introduced. Saving via unit-linked insurance is an insurancerelated saving and it allows savings either via endowment insurance or pension insurance.79 In January 1994, Individual Pension Saving (IPS) was introduced, which allowed private individuals to place their pension investments in funds with no The Investment Funds Act (1990:1114), repealed 2004. A stock and trust account (deposit) is subject to capital gains tax. The saver pays 30 per cent in tax on profit from the sale of securities, as well as on dividends and income from interest. From 01 January 2012, the saver also pays a tax on the actual ownership. Taxation is done via imputed income corresponding to 0.4 per cent of the fund's value. 79 The saver can transfer their money between funds without tax implications as no capital gains tax is levied. Taxed on a standardized basis in accordance with the Act on Yield Tax on Pension Funds. 77 78 95 element of insurance.80 In the late 1990s and early 2000s, several new agreements for occupational pensions were signed. They entailed greater opportunities for employees to have their say in the investment of their occupational pensions. 1994 also saw a decision made on a new public pension system in Sweden. One new element was that part of the salary (2.5 per cent) would go towards the premium pension, where the savers themselves got to choose how their funds would be invested. In 2000, the first selection of funds for the premium pension was made. On 01 January 2012 a new form of saving for investment in stocks and funds, the Investment Savings Account (ISK), was introduced.81 In terms of their structure, Investment Savings Accounts are similar to endowment insurances, where funds, stocks, savings accounts and various financial instruments are gathered in one deposit. Within this deposit, the owner can then buy and sell without paying any capital gains tax. There are a number of crucial differences between an Investment Savings Account and an endowment insurance. Securities kept in an Investment Savings Account are directly owned by the account holder, who has the right to vote in shareholders' meetings for the stocks on the account.82 The standard return on an investment savings account can be set off against losses and expenses in capital. Furthermore, capital on an Investment Savings Account is covered by the state deposit guarantee scheme and investor protection. Savings in IPS can be achieved via cash deposits where the institution is ordered to invest savings in bank accounts, in securities, or in individual stocks. The tax regulations governing pension insurance also apply here. 80 This form of saving involves the taxation of funds, stocks, savings accounts and other securities, where a standard tax (in accordance with the Income Tax Act) is levied on the entire capital instead of on individual profits. ISKs can be provided by credit institutes and securities firms. 81 Regarding the possession of shares in a mutual trust, the fund is classed as the owner, and the fund company represents the fund. At shareholders' meetings, the fund is classed as a regular shareholder and therefore has the right to vote. 82 96 Among those who own funds privately, directly owned funds are most common (44 per cent), followed by unit-linked insurance/IPS (31 per cent), endowment insurance (12 per cent) and Investment Savings Accounts (3 per cent).83 The interest in ISKs has increased in 2013, likely as a result of the increase in fund investment savings and the positive development on the stock market. ISKs are primarily used for new savings. Fund investors' weak bargaining power For a consumer, fund investment savings can be likened to the purchase of asset management services. The implication is that the saver delegates the choice of which financial instrument the funds are placed in, as well as the constant monitoring of investments and the implementation of any necessary changes to these, to a fund company.84 The consumer pays a pre-determined administration fee for this financial service. The assignment from the saver is not unlimited; it shall be carried out in accordance with regulations relevant to the sector. The result of the administrator's work may be reflected in the value of the shares in the mutual fund. Several factors affect the return on the fund, such as the movements in the market, the investment policy and the size of the administration fee. Knowledge and insight into fund activities is required if the consumer is to make rational decisions when purchasing shares in a mutual fund. Purchases of shares in a mutual fund following advice also require a certain understanding of the fund market, as well as insight into how advisory services work. The consumer may find themselves in a weak bargaining position as they sometimes lack 83 The Swedish Investment Fund Association (2012a). A fund company is either independent or owned by the bank. There are 76 fund companies registered with the Swedish Financial Supervisory Authority, January 2013. 84 97 the interest and the knowledge required in order to safeguard their own interests. Investment fund fact sheets85 are a good means of getting to grips with a certain type of fund. Despite all of the work carried out within the EU to develop a framework for investment fund fact sheets, the obligatory fund information could still be supplemented and further clarified to some extent in order for it to be more consumer-friendly. A large proportion of consumers frequently rely on the financial advice offered by advisory fund companies. Every other year, TNS Sifo Prospera conducts an extensive poll on fund investment savings on the Swedish Investment Fund Association's commission.86 The poll reveals that recommendations are a more common reason for choosing a fund today than they were in the 2010 poll. Recommendations from advisors have the widest spread, 54 per cent. The advice from friends/relatives is behind 17 per cent of the choice of fund. In round figures, a total of 15 per cent have seen information on the internet or in the papers and 8 per cent have received information via work/union. Very few have acquired information from blogs/chat sites. Around 40 per cent of both men and women say that they have received advice in the last two years. The overwhelming majority of these are satisfied or very satisfied with the advice.On average, women give a score of 3.8 on a scale of five, whilst the men's average score for the advice they received comes to 3.5. When choosing funds, administration fees and risk level are considered by far the most important aspects to take into In accordance with the Investment Funds Act, Chapter 4, Sections 15-16 a, all investment funds should have an information brochure and a fact sheet. 85 86 TNS Sifo Prospera (2012). 98 consideration. 87 The proportion that feels it is important to take ethical and environmental aspects into consideration has increased and now amounts to around 34 per cent. Somewhat fewer feel that the fund's investment policy is a high priority. Relatively few value a presentation of the fund companies' investors and analysts. Where information on the fund's fees is concerned, only three out of ten fund investors know that the administration fee is always deducted when the return on the fund is reported. This despite the fact that fees, together with the fund's risk level, are stated as the important information when choosing funds. When the savers evaluate funds, they do so primarily via comparisons of acquisition value and the fund's previous performance. Every fund investor states this. One in three savers compares with other funds' development and the situation on the stock exchange. A very large proportion has been unable to state which type of fund they are investing in. Of those asked, 47 per cent of women and 29 per cent of men answered that they did not know. Among men, a majority (54 per cent) feel that they have sufficient general knowledge of personal finances and 58 per cent says they have sufficient knowledge to have a say in their future pension. For women, the corresponding proportions are 37 and 34 per cent respectively. Despite the fact that many consumers consider themselves to have poor knowledge of their fund investment savings, there does not appear to be a great deal of concern on the background of the high proportion of fund investor savers in Sweden. In a study carried out on SBAB's commission, it was established that there are 7.5 million people in Sweden between the ages of 87 TNS Sifo Prospera (2012). 99 15 and 80. Among these, seven out of ten own funds that they have not touched in the last five years.88 54 per cent of these have retained their funds for reasons other than satisfaction. This likely means that around 2.7 million people are passive owners of shares in a mutual fund. Figure 21 Consumers who have not made changes to their fund holdings for at least five years - why don't they change fund? 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Satisfied with their Do not find any Passivity/do not Passivity/market for Passivity/sale of an choice of time to review their know what to investment funds investment fund investment funds holdings of choose instead seems too triggers a tax on investment funds complicated profits or a loss Source: SBAB (2013). The fact that so many fund investors are passive, some even dissatisfied with their ownership of shares in a mutual fund, indicates that the fund companies have to some extent failed to help fund investors to find their way among the broad range of funds found on the fund market today. It is possible that the impetus is weak for banks and other fund companies to attempt to get the consumer to change to a better and cheaper alternative. 88 SBAB (2013). 100 The work to strengthen the fund investor's position The interest in consumer protection is rooted in the often great significance that fund investment savings have for personal finances, as well as the complexity of the products. This brings with it conflicts of interest. The fund investor wants as high a return as possible at as low costs as possible. The fund company, on the other hand, must generate the highest possible profit for its owners whilst ensuring the fund investors receive a high return. The fund company also has the right to vote for the stocks corresponding to the fund investors' shares. These conflicts of interest, combined with the fund investors' limited opportunities to protect their interests in relation to the fund company, are one of the reasons behind the specific legislation for fund investment savings which is intended to protect consumer interests. The funds used for direct savings or pension savings are regulated in Sweden by the Investment Funds Act (2004:46). Via the Investment Funds Act, the regulations in the UCITS Directive have been implemented in Swedish legislation.89 This involves harmonisation on an EU level. In addition to the Investment Funds Act, provisions from the Swedish Financial Supervisory Authority and the sector's own guidelines regulate how fund companies can act.90 The Swedish Financial Supervisory Authority must be able to ensure that the organisation in place within a fund company is capable of managing its task. This means either that special 89 UCITS (Undertakings for Collective Investment in Transferable Securities). UCITS IV has been adopted and has been incorporated into Swedish legislation from 1 August 2011. A proposal for changes to the UCITS IV Directive was put forward by the Commission in the summer of 2012. The proposal for changes is called UCITS V and includes rules on depositaries' activities, compensation policy and sanctions. The European Commission has also issued a consultation on further revision on the UCITS Directive, UCITS VI. The trade association that is the Swedish Investment Fund Association has developed its own guidelines, which they recommend within the sector, particularly among its members. 90 101 functions must exist within a fund company or that the company must have access to them via agreements with external contractors.91 The work to strengthen consumers' position on the financial services market today is highly prioritised by the Government. It covers many different areas. The work is illustrated by the Government's launching of an investigation into consumer protection when receiving financial advice.92 On an EU level too, consumer protection is currently a highly prioritised matter.93 4.2 The fund as a form of saving “Funds” are officially known as “investment funds”. A fund can be described as a portfolio of different kinds of securities, such as Swedish and foreign stocks, bonds and other securities. A fund's assets consist of securities and liquid resources that have not yet been used to purchase securities and/or money obtained from the sale of securities. The fund as a form of saving is a product which Control functions that a fund company must have in order to adhere to the rules that apply in accordance with the Investment Funds Act are: internal control, compliance and risk management. Other functions may also be necessary in order to effectively adhere to the sector's regulations. See FI's Provisions on funds, Chapter 6. 91 92 The Government (2012b). In October 2011, the Commission put forward proposals for a directive and a regulation on the securities market. The proposals include rules pertaining to bans on commissions for independent advisors and discretional portfolio managers. The European Parliament's proposals won the vote on 26 October 2012. The European Parliament proposes that the Member States should be able to introduce more extensive bans on commissions. Negotiations at the Council are underway (MiFID 2/MiFIR). The Commission's proposal for a regulation (PRIPs) will include requirements for information which must be provided to consumers looking into investing in “packaged” financial products such as funds and unitlinked insurance. The fact sheet for the UCITS IV Directive is a starting point. 93 102 allows consumers access to a form of asset management that for many would otherwise be unobtainable. Variables that may be more or less relevant to the fund investor when different forms of investment are discussed are investment horizon, administration fee, investment policy, risk appetite, historical returns and the level of fund management.94 Information on a fund's investment policy, risk profile, return and price must be included in the obligatory fact sheet on the fund.95 The choice of fund, however, is no simple matter. The fund investor has difficulties comparing financial products, the content of services, and costs. The fund investor also has difficulties understanding the proportions into which the administration fee is divided between the various sales links involved in the purchase of shares in mutual funds. Pricing In Sweden, there is a wide range of funds with different policies and price profiles. The pricing is done on an open market, just as with other goods and services. The pricing of fund products is biased and there is little room for consumers with direct savings to negotiate. The variation of administration fees from one fund to the next may be down to the fund company's administrative costs. However it may also be due to the fund's investment policy, how For Swedish funds, the administration fee tends to be on roughly the same level as the annual fee. The annual fee is a standard measurement for reporting costs associated with funds. It is used in the fact sheet in order to compare funds from different European countries. The fee is given as an annual percentage which is taken from the fund capital at a rate of 1/365 per day. 94 In accordance with the Investment Funds Act (2004:46), all investment funds must have an up-to-date fact sheet. 95 103 active the management is and what service is offered in the form of advice, accessibility, etc. Customer structure is also of importance; whether it is a major customer or many savers with small amounts. Like other companies, fund companies also endeavour to generate profits for their shareholders and long-term value for the savers. The significance of the investment policy The investment policy is the type of security (e.g., shares, interest, hedge funds, currencies, properties, raw materials and private equity) the fund will invest in. The regulations on funds clarify the investment policy and, where the fund has exposure to various forms of assets, the proportions by which investments shall be made. Investment funds (UCITS funds) invested in stocks are known as unit trusts. Funds invested in fixed-interest securities are known as bond and money market funds. There are also mixed funds that invest in both. Specialfonder [special funds] are funds that deviate from the investment rules that apply in accordance with the Investment Funds Act. A hedge fund is one example of a “specialfond”. A unit trust is a fund that must invest at least 75 per cent96 of the fund assets in stocks or stocks-related financial instruments such as derivatives instruments. Unit trusts can have many different investment policies and risk levels. Large unit trusts invest in several different sectors and markets with the intention of spreading the risks. Both fees and risk levels are medium-high as a rule. Small unit trusts have a small policy within strictly defined sectors or geographical errors. Here we would wish to make Normally, more than 75 per cent of fund assets are invested in stocks, and it is rather closer to 85 – 100 per cent. 96 104 investments where the return is expected to be high, by means of analysing a well-defined market. Both fees and risk levels are as a rule on a level that is higher than for a large unit trust. A bond or money market fund only invests in fixed-income securities such as bonds and treasury bills. Bond or money market funds tend to be split into two categories: short-term and long-term. Short-term bond funds, also known as money market funds, invest solely in fixed-income securities with a remaining term of less than one year. Fees and risk level are low as a rule. Long-term bond funds are also known as bond funds. A fund of this nature buys fixed-income securities on the bond market with remaining terms of over a year, such as government bonds. Both fees and risk levels are as a rule low, but somewhat higher than for short-term bond funds. A mixed fund is a fund that invests in both stocks and fixed-income securities. The exact division between stocks and fixed-income securities differs from one mixed fund to the next. Both fees and risk levels are as a rule on a level that is somewhat lower than for a pure unit trust. An index fund, which is normally a type of unit trust, is a fund that follows a certain index in its investments. The fund's returns may for example reflect the OMXS30 index at the Stockholm Stock Exchange. This flexibility is achieved by means of the fund's investments having the same composition of stocks as those in the index. The risk level may vary a great deal and depend on the investment policy. The fees are low as a rule. A hedge fund has greater freedom in its investment opportunities than traditional funds. The investment policy may cover everything from stocks, currencies and fixed-income securities to different arbitrage strategies (speculation in changes in interest rates and/or currencies). Hedge funds are more likely to make use with 105 derivatives, for example, with the purpose of raising or lowering the fund's risk. The risk level can be anything from very low to extremely high. Both fees and risk levels vary and depend on the fund's investment policy. The administered capital in unit trusts amounted to SEK 1,145 billion in March 2013. The administered capital in bond/money market funds and mixed funds amounted to SEK 480 bn and SEK 414 bn respectively for the same period. The administered capital in hedge funds amounted to SEK 96 billion. The total administered capital in funds amounted to SEK 2,136 billion in March 2013.97 New fund products with the purpose of satisfying various needs and requirements among investors were constantly being introduced. Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) is a growing category among both short and long-term investors. What distinguishes ETFs from other types of funds is that it is possible to buy and sell continuously; with other types of funds, their shares can only be priced at the end of the trading day. Risk profile Risk in an investment context All investment in funds is associated with some form of risk. When we speak about risk in an investment context, there is an uncertainty in terms of return. The primary definition of a fund's risk, which as savers we come across in fact sheets, for example, is how much the fund has fluctuated in value over time.98 The greater 97 MoneyMate (2013). 98 The Swedish Investment Fund Association (2012c). 106 the fluctuation, the greater the risk of losing money, though risk and the possibility of a higher return are closely linked. Fund companies speak about low and high risk in investment contexts. Savings accounts and money market funds (short-term bond funds) have a low risk which, in principle, is limited to the possibility that inflation will erode their value. Stocks generally have a higher risk as the value can swing up and down quite drastically. Investing in unit trusts involves risk diversification, as investment funds must as a rule invest in at least sixteen different companies' stocks. In practice, funds normally invest in many more. Despite this, there can be a very large difference in risk between different unit trusts. A large unit trust that invests across the world, in different currencies and sectors, has a lower risk than a smaller fund which is limited to a certain geographical area or sector. A common factor for all types of risk is uncertainty regarding the future development in a certain area.99 In 2011, the Swedish Consumer Agency audited fund companies' marketing of funds.100 At that point it was established that most companies had some form of information on risks for fund investors in their marketing. But this information was in some cases printed in such small text or was so hidden away that it could not be considered to be in line with what was agreed in terms of the formulation of the risk information. Normal types of risks involved in fund investment are market risk, investment risk, business risk, interest rate risk and currency risk. Other types of risks which are less common and therefore not covered by the normal risk measures are operational risk, counterparty risk, liquidity risk and inflation risk. Regulations and fund companies' procedures are intended to minimise these risks. 99 100 The Swedish Consumer Agency (2011). 107 Risk measure - standard deviation There are different ways of measuring risk. Risk is often defined by a measure that shows signs of volatility, i.e., fluctuations in value. More pronounced fluctuations are defined as higher volatility and risk. The most common measure for risk is standard deviation. This term can be defined as a risk measure that shows how much the value of a fund rises and falls over a given period, in relation to the fund's average value. Put simply, we can say that standard deviation means the deviation from the mean value. Normally standard deviation is measured for the last two to five years. The EU standard for fact sheets is five years. In figure 22, standard deviation is converted to a risk indicator with a scale of one to seven. A fund with a standard deviation of 15–25 is given a risk/return indicator of six.101 101 The Swedish Investment Fund Association (2012c). 108 Figure 22 Risk/return indicator in funds' fact sheets Risk/return indicator in the fund's fact sheet Higher risk Lower risk Lower potential return 1 Class 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 2 3 Higher potential return 4 5 6 7 Interval (standard deviation, %) 0-0.5 0.5-2 2-5 5-10 10-15 15-25 25- Source: The Swedish Investment Fund Association (2012). A common factor for most risk measures is that they are calculated based on historical information and for a limited period. They quite simply show the level of risk the fund has previously had, not the future risk. It is difficult for risk measures to take extreme events into account. Catastrophes, wars and financial crises do not occur very often and the risk is therefore that they will not be picked up by conventional risk measures. Furthermore, there are risks that we are unaware of even today, and which are therefore impossible to calculate in principle. Return The fund's return shows how much the fund's value has changed over a given period. The return is given in per cent. Funds' reported returns are always the value after the deduction of fees. The return 109 is defined as the change in the fund's net asset value per share in a mutual fund (NAV price102). A fund's historical returns provide important information on the fund's success to date and may be an indication of how the administration has been handled. The Swedish Consumer Agency's marketing survey103 has also noted that there are fund companies that, when showing the fund's historical returns, use periods that are too long or too short. This gives a distorted overall impression of the fund's development. As an example, the Swedish Consumer Agency explains that at the beginning of the 2008 financial crisis, when many funds dropped drastically in value, some fund companies chose in their 2009 marketing to focus on the fund's strong recovery over the past year. Other fund companies chose instead to present funds' returns over a very long period, in some cases as long as 24 years. The Swedish Consumer Agency sees both of these approaches as misleading. The Swedish Investment Fund Association has attempted to illustrate the connection between funds' fees and returns, for the categories of global funds and bond funds on the Swedish market over the period 2002–2011.104 NAV shows the fund's net assets after deduction of costs such as management and administration costs, divided by the number of remaining shares. 102 103 The Swedish Consumer Agency (2011). 104 The Swedish Investment Fund Association (2012d). 110 Figure 23 The connection between returns and fees for Global Funds 2002–2011105 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 -20 -40 0 0,5 1 1,5 2 2,5 3 Source: Morningstar (2013). In figure 23, funds in the category “global blend equity fund” at Morningstar have been invested based on returns in the last ten years (vertical axis) and annual fees (horizontal axis). If there was an unequivocal connection between fee and return, the “dots” in the figure would be formed in a manner that clearly confirms this. It has been established, however, that the majority of global funds with higher fees (1.5 per cent - 2.0 per cent) provide a return of roughly the same magnitude as global funds with a lower fee (below 0.75 per cent). For the category of bond funds (SEK, long-term), the result is slightly different; see figure 24. Here we see a certain negative connection between fee and return; that is to say, the size of the fee 105 Morningstar (2013). Funds with performance fees have been excluded. 111 has a negative impact on the return's average. Furthermore, the connection is not unequivocal for this fund category. Figure 24 The connection between returns and fees for Bond Funds 2002–2011106 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 0 0,2 0,4 0,6 0,8 1 1,2 1,4 Source: Morningstar (2013). One conclusion that can be drawn from the above is that a choice of fund based exclusively on the size of the administration fee does not guarantee the best return. What we can establish, however, is that the administration fee is fixed and predictable (if not performance-based), whilst the future return is uncertain. There is some support for the strategy of choosing funds based on historical returns, something which in financial terms is known as the momentum strategy. See e.g., Wermers (2003). On the Swedish market there is a limited amount of literature, but Dahlqvist et al. 106 Morningstar (2013). Funds with performance fees have been excluded. 112 (2011) shows that the most successful savers in the premium pension system have used some form of momentum strategy107. But despite extensive research in the area regarding the method of choosing funds based on historical returns, there is no unequivocal answer to the question. To conclude, we can establish that historical returns are relevant, for the reason that they provide information on the fund's success to date and because they can be an indication of how the management has been handled. The significance of the fee Funds with high fees likely have higher costs on average than funds with low fees. A fund's investment policy and risk profile normally have an effect on how extensive the management of the fund needs to be. The scope of the fund management in combination with the managed volume should be relevant variable costs that have a large impact on the administration fee. Passively managed funds have a lower fee than actively managed funds. Active management normally costs several times as much as passive management, partly due to the need for a considerably higher number of personnel.108 Passive management of stocks noted on the Stockholm Stock Exchange means in principle that the share portfolio in question has the same composition as the Stockholm Stock Exchange. Active management of Swedish stocks may involve having just a selection of the stocks on the exchange in order to exceed the average return on the Stockholm Stock Exchange. Purchasing shares in mutual funds in line with the momentum strategy means buying shares in funds that are on an upward trend at that point in time. 107 108 Flam (2007). 113 Furthermore, when actively managing a portfolio with assets on Swedish and other markets, efforts are made to achieve a higher return. There are deviations within certain boundaries from the reference portfolio's division between various assets or different markets.109 One example of the significance of the scope of management is that the average administration fee is lower for index funds and short-term bond funds (money market funds) than for long-term bond funds. Another example is that the administration fees are on average lower for bond funds than for unit trusts (excluding stock index funds). The majority of studies110 have been carried out, primarily on the American fund market, in order to determine whether actively managed funds tend to generate higher returns over longer periods than a corresponding index. The general results of the study show that the index has performed better than the actively managed funds over a period of ten years or more.111 A Finnish paper demonstrates the difficulties that actively managed funds have in beating their index over a long period of time, in this case from 1999 to 2009. The author has compared 180 Finnish unit trusts that invest in Finland, Europe and North America, with their respective indices. They arrived at the conclusion that only a few of the funds managed to outperform their index over the given period of time.112 The result is similar for the Swedish fund market, where a study from 2009 reveals that only one of ten actively managed unit trusts with investments in Swedish companies outperformed the Swedish market from a risk-adjusted perspective.113 Overall, the results of a 109 Flam (2007). 110 See e.g., DALBAR (2001). 111 See e.g., Malkiel (2005). 112 Aalto (2009). 113 Lundgren & von Bahr (2009). 114 large number of studies have led many researchers to recommend index funds. The results of the studies tend to be explained in terms of the difficulty for actively managed funds to perform better than the index one year on, but also in terms of the higher administration fees. These are normally between 1 and 2.5 per cent for actively managed funds. This can be compared with index funds' fees, which are normally around 0 to 0.5 per cent. When index management provides the same expected gross return as actively managed funds, but at a significantly lower cost, this means a higher net return for the consumer. The fees have proven to be a very important factor to take into consideration when choosing fund, as the interest on the interest rate effect is significant in the long term. However, it can be established that a mere 6 per cent or so of the total fund assets in Sweden in January 2013 were invested in stock index funds. Around just 10 per cent were invested in short-term bond funds (money market funds).114 Of the total fund assets in Sweden, around 22 per cent were invested in bond funds, around 54 per cent in unit trusts (including stock index funds) and around 19 per cent in mixed funds.115 In a comparison of the division between fund categories in several European countries, Sweden and the UK seems to have the lowest proportions of fund investment savings invested in more passively managed bond funds.116 Just how large a proportion of European 114The Swedish Investment Fund Association (2013a). Monthly statistics include the net flow and fund assets from member companies both for funds registered in Sweden and those registered abroad, categorised by type of fund. All funds in the premium pension system are included. 115 MoneyMate (2013). 116 Lipper (2013). 115 investment fund savings are placed in stock index funds is not shown in the European survey. Figure 25 Fund assets per European country, by category: bond funds, unit trusts and mixed funds 60% 50% 40% 30% Interest fund 20% Unit trusts 10% Mixed funds 0% Source: EFAMA (2011). In a sample calculation from the Swedish Pensions Agency, we see that if a consumer chooses a fund with an annual fee of 0.5, for example, they can expect the pension balance to decrease by 15 per cent. A fund with the same growth in value, but with an annual fee of 1.5 per cent, reduces the pension by 39 per cent. The example assumes that the consumer saves towards their pension for 33 years, which is the average investment period in the premium pension system. 116 Table 5 The significance of the administration fee for the premium pension Fund fees Reduction of the premium pension 0.05 % 2% 0.15 % 5% 0.25 % 8% 0.50 % 15 % 0.75 % 22 % 1.00 % 28 % 1.50 % 39 % Source: The Swedish Pensions Agency (2012). A survey carried out by TNS Sifo117 in 2011 revealed that a majority of Swedes (54 per cent) underestimate the significance of the administration fee for the occupational pension. Furthermore, as many as 34 per cent say that they are unsure or do not know how much a fee of 1 per cent reduces the pension capital. Only 9 per cent of respondents made a correct estimate that an annual fee of 1 per cent reduces the pension capital by SEK 200,000. As many as 54 per cent believe that a 1 per cent fee reduces the pension capital by between SEK 25,000 and SEK 100,000. The results of the Sifo survey show that there is more or less the same degree of ignorance among people of different ages and levels of education. In summary, we can establish that the administration fee is an important factor in the size of the final return from fund or pension investment savings. 117 Collectum (2013). 117 Active portfolio management As already established, research in the area shows that index-based funds have performed better on average than the actively managed funds over a period of ten years or more. It should be noted, however, that the same research also shows that a smaller number of actively managed funds outperform index-based funds. These often have the common factors of extensive management, a high degree of specialisation and strong incentive to generate returns.118 The problem for fund investors is partly that it is very difficult to know in advance which funds will outperform index-based funds, and partly that it is difficult to identify good value funds that have the potential to exceed the index performance. There is no commonly accepted measure today which the fund investor can use in order to gain an idea of the extent to which a fund is actively managed. A fund which is to a great extent actively managed should be more likely to outperform the index than a fund which is less actively managed. The administration fee for the two actively managed funds can however be the same. The fact that the fund which is less actively managed is priced at the same level as the fund which is more actively managed may be explained by a number of different factors. It may for example be the result of a fund merger. A fund merger should mean that the fund company can make a certain cost saving as it allows greater economies of scale. When funds get bigger and bigger, it becomes harder to generate alpha (measure of performance on a risk-adjusted basis), i.e., returns above index.119 A lower degree of active management following a merger of funds should provide additional cost savings. In a fund merger, there is a tendency among fund companies to not adapt the administration fee based on the new cost factors. An 118 Pensionsnyheterna (2008). 119 Pensionsnyheterna (2008). 118 adaptation of this nature is often unnecessary. A large part of the existing investment in the merged funds will likely not move due to lock-in effects and passivity among the fund investors. It is difficult for an individual fund investor to determine whether or not the administration fee correlates to the administrator's efforts. In general it can be established that an actively managed fund requires greater resources than a passively managed fund, for analysing markets and which companies the fund shall invest in. The goal of active management is to raise performance above that of the index. The fund manager must put together a portfolio that deviates from the current index. It is difficult, however, for a fund investor to draw conclusions on the active management model, other than to say that different unit trusts are more or less expensive for various reasons. Growth funds, for example, have as a rule higher administration costs than funds that invest solely in Swedish companies. The “active share” is a measure of the deviation from the index, which means that if the figure is 0 per cent, the fund is identical to the index, whilst an active share of 100 per cent means in practice that the fund deviates from the index entirely. In summary, there are big differences between active shares in different funds. An American survey from 2010120, in which 1,124 active funds were audited, revealed that whilst funds during the period 1990–2009 as a group gave a negative return of 0.41 percentage points per year after deduction of fees, the 180 funds with the highest active share actually had excess returns of an average 1.26 percentage points per year after deduction of fees. For funds with an active share below 60 per cent – referred to as a “silent index manager” in the survey – the dismal figure was an annual negative return of -0.91 percentage 120 Petajisto (2010). 119 points for the period, after deduction of fees. The active share may be a simpler measure for the fund investor to keep track of compared with, or in combination with, other measures of activity.121 4.3 Adaptable fund activities Necessary adaptations in the value chain and new extensive regulation in the fund market have changed the conditions for those involved in fund activities. The ability to reorganise activities quickly and effectively in terms of production, administration and distribution to the market's demand and regulations is of crucial significance for achieving competitiveness on the market. Fund companies' activities consist of a number of links and the setup of the value chain can vary somewhat. Several of the market players act vertically in the same link. The fund company administers and manages trust funds, partly by deciding in which assets the fund shall invest. The fund company reaches out to the investors via its own or external distribution channels. All fund companies are faced with the same challenge; namely to adapt their value proposition so as to be an attractive prospect for the target group in question. Important productive activities on the part of the fund company in this process of adaptation include capital management, support and control functions and the distribution channels. Active risk measures the extent to which the fund's portfolio deviates from the index, whilst the turnover rate measures how much business the administrator is doing. 121 120 Capital management – the core of the fund company's operations The aim of capital management is to achieve the highest possible return, taking into consideration the fund's purpose, investment policy and risk profile. With the help of economies of scale, fund companies can create portfolios of securities in which the risks on each individual security can be diversified. There is often a big difference in different investors' investment strategy. The form of management tends to be divided into active or passive. The former means that the fund has a management that aims to perform better than the index. In real terms, management in this context means that following analyses of the markets covered by the fund's investment policy, the fund company buys and sells securities in order for the fund's assets and return to increase in the long term. Fund companies levy an administration fee as remuneration for capital management, administration, depositaries' costs122, information and distribution. The administration fee is normally charged as a percentage of the fund assets. It is an annual fee which is normally charged to the fund at a rate of 1/365 per day with the same amount for each share. Some fund companies charge a performance fee (also known as a returns-based fee). The performance-based fee can sometimes be charged in addition to the fixed administration fee. This means that the fund company receives a higher remuneration in the event of a higher return in the fund. This type of fee is often used in hedge funds or for other active management, where the fund's results depend more on the administrator's efforts than in other funds. The depositary (bank or other credit institution) calculates the value of each share and keeps track of the fund's assets. In the event of bankruptcy in a fund, the fund's assets will remain intact in the depositary. 122 121 The fund managers are innovative and the range of funds has increased rapidly since 2005. In 2012, a net 335 unit trusts, bond funds and mixed funds were available for Swedish private investors. The number of unit trusts has gone from 889 in 2005 to 1,804 in 2012, the number of bond funds from 221 to 473, mixed funds from 112 to 268 and alternative investments from 51 to 179.123 However, one problem which emerges when funds must be continually launched by the fund company in order to attract new savers is the costly product development. Figure 26 Development of the administration fee for new and closed funds (%) during the period 2005–2012 1,40% 1,20% 1,00% 0,80% New funds 0,60% Closed fund Existing funds 0,40% 0,20% 0,00% 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Source: AMF (2012). 123 AMF (2012). 122 Rising administrative costs Back-office is responsible for reporting, pricing and other similar tasks in order for the fund to work on a daily basis. In the Competition Authority's market contacts, it has been discovered that a large proportion of the purchase and sales orders today are still made via fax by the fund companies. But new technology is on the way and the goal is to move away from using fax as soon as possible. New IT systems, necessary for operations, and conversion costs involve increases in costs for many fund companies. Current regulations place high demands on fund companies' control functions. Functions such as internal audit, compliance and risk management are obligatory control functions that fund companies must have by law. The control functions and other fees that the fund companies have in order to adapt their activities to official regulations, such as greater legal expertise, entail high costs that are not easy to absorb, particularly for fund companies who are unable to benefit from economies of scale. Fund companies today have increasing administrative costs due to regulations and technological developments. Technological development will likely not only contribute to greater safety in placing orders in the long term. It will also help to increase efficiency, which can lead to cost reductions. Another development which may also reduce a fund company's costs is the possibility for some administration to be carried out by a third party.124 Such arrangements are still uncommon in Sweden, but may become an increasingly common solution in the future, even on the Swedish The Investment Funds Act (2004:46) Chapter 4, Section 4. The contractor must have satisfactory expertise and competence with regard to the work involved in the assignment itself. 124 123 fund market. SEB is a fund company that has adopted the international trend of outsourcing fund administration to a third party. In Sweden, there is otherwise a strong tradition among Swedish fund companies to manage their own back-office operations, despite the fixed costs this entails. The vital importance of distribution channels In order to market and sell shares in a mutual fund to a wider circle of investors, the fund company normally needs to sign several agreements with different distributors125 and thus enable the fund to reach as many potential investors as possible. Previously, it was almost a given that fund companies would market and distribute solely their own fund products. The banks, with distribution networks via their offices, had no problems, whilst the small fund companies were in a more difficult situation. Savers were normally referred to their own bank's fund products. The investment then normally remained in the original bank for a long period of time, for two main reasons. Firstly, changing to another fund at another bank or fund manager was a lengthy process purely from an administrative perspective. Secondly, the capital gains taxation was released upon the sale of a fund if it had increased in value. These two barriers were contributory factors to fund money being locked into the major banks, the profits generated by which gave the banks large shares in the fund market. In 1999 the four largest banks' fund companies accounted for 85 per cent of the fund assets. Other players which, like the banks, could easily reach customers and sell Distributors are retailers, i.e., the parties that the saver purchases shares in trust funds from (banks, insurance companies, insurance brokers and fund supermarkets), and trading platforms that can function as an intermediary between the fund company and the distributor in the form of a retailer to the end customer. 125 124 funds with the power of their already well-developed client base, included insurance companies and securities companies. As independent distributors and online brokers have entered the fund market and offer savers access to most funds via one and the same platform, the distribution channels have changed. Now savers can select funds from a broad range and compare them in an entirely different way than was previously possible. The emergence of independent distributors and online brokers has led to a great recovery for small fund companies and newly established players. In recent years, the banks have also begun distributing funds from other fund companies. It has also become ever more common for fund companies to not only sell their own funds but also to supply others, primarily large international fund companies' funds. The fund market has opened up with the increase in the number of distribution channels and greater accessibility for both savers and small fund companies. It has also become a less lengthy process for the consumer to transfer their individual fund investment savings between fund companies. The trade association that is the Swedish Investment Fund Association is working continuously on this important issue, which is a prerequisite for customer mobility.126 There are several different ways of distributing funds. The two most common in Sweden are127 via guided architecture and open architecture. Guided architecture involves the distributor making a selection of a relatively small number of funds in a larger range and offering these to its customers, either via the customer's own choice or via an advisor. The companies that use this model are often private banking firms and large insurance companies. They select a number of funds to include in the range of funds for their wealthy 126 See e.g., the Swedish Investment Fund Association (2011). 127 Aktiespararna (2011). 125 customers' investments and unit-linked insurance customers. Open architecture involves the distributor developing a trade platform that the customers can join. There, they can access a wide range of funds available to the public on the Swedish market. The distributors sign a distribution agreement with the respective fund company. In this way, the various fund companies' funds are made accessible to their customers on one and the same platform. The customers can then choose to invest in the funds they have a genuine interest in. There is also an additional distribution level in the form of larger trade platforms which, instead of targeting the end customer, tailor their infrastructure solution to the external distributor. A trade platform of this nature is primarily intended to handle trade and fund transfers such as the redistribution of fund information. Today, the trade platform MFEX dominates the fund market. Nasdaq OMX has developed an electronic fund trading platform with the aim of making fund trading between fund companies and distributors more efficient, and is therefore competing with MFEX. Large fund companies such as Avanza and Nordnet have their own platforms and can thus avoid a situation in which the distribution fee continues down the distribution chain. Figure 27 Fund companies Distribution models Large-scale trade platforms Trade platforms e.g., banks, fund supermar End customer The actual distribution of funds is an extremely important part of the fund sector and in the end, the distributor is the nearest end customer that “owns” the customer. It is therefore the distributor 126 that dictates the terms and conditions – both in terms of price for the distribution and which funds can be included in their range. Restructuring and consolidation Several of the players that the Competition Authority has been in contact with believe that a consolidation within the fund sector is to be expected, in order to achieve cost effectiveness and profitability. This kind of development tends to be associated with stable growth and an increase in competition.128 The fund sector is a volumedriven sector in which large volumes produce high profitability. Strong incentives therefore exist for companies to gain access to an established customer base, special competence or simply the opportunity to benefit from economies of scale, via cooperation and consolidation. Operational changes in the form of consolidation or restructuring may affect the value chain in such a way that they result in concentration or specialisation. A concentration, in which fewer players are involved in the value chain, can make operations more cost effective and bring the end customer closer to the fund company. A specialisation, in which the most suitable player constitutes part of the value chain, likely makes the value chain longer, and the number of intermediaries thus rises. This can lead to a rise in costs for the fund company, which is then transferred to the end customer (the consumer). A development of this nature distances the end customer from the fund company. Regulations in the area therefore become more and more important in terms of clarifying transparency and the demand for control over the value chain in order to avoid what is a negative development from the saver's perspective. 128 The Swedish Competition Authority (2009c). 127 Today, the Competition Authority can identify two types of consolidation; company mergers and consolidations of funds. Examples of company mergers include Swedbank Robur's acquisition of Folksam Fonder in 2007 and Banco Fonder in 2009, Folksam LO 2011, Carnegia acquired HQ Fonder in 2010, and Gustavia merged with Davegårdh Fonder in 2010. Some examples of consolidations of funds in January 2013 are: Fondbolaget Swedbank Robur Fonder AB's consolidation of the fund Banco Etisk Europa with the fund Swedbank Ethica Sverige Global, fund company Trigon Capital's consolidation of Trigon Balkan Fund with Trigon New Europe Fund, fund company Nordea Fonder AB's consolidation of the fund Nordea Nordamerikafond with Nordea North America Fund and the fund Nordea Japanfond with Nordea Japan Fund.129 Another way for the fund companies to generate greater cost efficiency and profitability is to cooperate with an external player with a suitable specialisation. Examples of this are the newly established cooperation between ICA Banken and Catella, and SBAB who enlisted the help of Öhman Fonder. ICA Banken and SBAB are examples of players that have strong customer relationships to offer. ICA Banken is a retail company with grocery stores and ICA is a well-established brand. SBAB has a relatively well-known brand and a significant customer base in the segment of mortgages and savings for private individuals and companies. Fund companies are faced with a challenge in terms of the difficulty of retaining the relationship with the customer when they are pushed further and further along the value chain. The model of cooperation can then be a means for some players to tackle the 129 The Swedish Pensions Agency (2013). 128 challenge by offering tailored management on commission from other players with strong customer relationships. 4.4 The importance of market conditions in competition on the fund market On the supply end, factors that are important for competition, and which are of interest in this context, are market concentration, profitability and opportunities for entry to the market in question. On the demand end, customer mobility, transparency and buyer power are of interest. Concentration of market shares - HHI The competition measure HHI indicates that the fund sector has a medium-high concentration on the market. The HHI value indicates that the fund market is relatively concentrated. Swedbank Robur has a significant share of the market compared with other players. The HHI value has been raised between 2011 and 2012, from 1159 to 1178, which suggests that competition has diminished somewhat in the past year. 129 Table 6 Fund assets as of 31 March 2013, in parallel with the size of the market share Company Volume (SEK m) Market share (%) Swedbank Robur 533,079 25.0 SEB Fonder 288,526 13.5 Nordea Fonder 250,036 11.7 Handelsbanken 220,180 10.3 Sjunde AP-fonden 145,068 6.8 Länsförsäkringar Fonder 74,439 3.5 AMF Pension 73,795 3.5 SPP Fonder 70,243 3.3 Brummer & Partners 54,518 2.6 Skandia 48,911 2.3 Other 373,078 17.5 Total 2,136,000 100 Source: Newsletter “Fond & Bank” (2013). Profitability on the Swedish fund market The level of profitability within a sector is often used as a competition indicator, as it shows the company's propensity to set their prices higher than the costs. 130 Table 7 Compilation of annual reports from Sweden's largest fund companies (in terms of administered capital) 2011 Administ ered capital Turnover Costs Result Operating margin Robur 446 1567 840 697 45 % SEB 186 2476 2235 241 12 % Nordea 125 1763 1526 237 14 % SHB 110 1088 906 182 13 % Brummer 96 1275 645 630 58 % LF fonder 67 668 573 98 15 % AMF 61 222 203 19 18 % Skandia 59 611 584 27 4% SPP 57 111 82 29 19 % Folksam 32 50 32 19 60 % East Capital 31 1136 973 163 21 % Lannebo 26 205 93 113 7% Carnegie 25 409 338 71 19 % Danske 22 236 210 26 75 % Source: Newsletter “Fond & Bank” (2012). Despite falling volumes and new costs, the 21 largest fund companies managed to earn almost SEK 3 million, which means an operating margin of over 21 per cent.130 Swedbank Robur has the highest operating profit/loss. Together with Brummer, which has the second highest, the company accounts for half of the total profits. Note that it is difficult to assess the profitability of banking groups' fund activities by simply looking at individual fund activities' profitability. Fond & Bank (2012). Based on annual reports from the 20 largest Swedish fund companies (in terms of administered capital). For many of the companies, discretionary management is also a feature. 130 131 Access to the fund market Strong opportunities to start up new companies and activities, open trade, internationalisation and globalisation stimulate competition and generate conditions for increased efficiency and growth. Barriers to entry tend to be divided into structural131, legal132 and strategic133 categories.134 Volume-driven sector The fund sector is volume-driven. There are significant economies of scale and economies of scope to be had, which obviously limits new companies' opportunities to enter the market and effectively compete with the established companies. A fund with SEK 100 million in administered capital is not proportionally more expensive to run than one which administers SEK 100 billion. As a newly established company today, the goal is to as quickly as possible achieve critical mass with which to absorb the costs. In the market contacts the Swedish Consumer Agency has had, the critical mass for a fund company (i.e., the point at which it acquires selfsustaining viability in the sector) is considered to be around SEK 1,000 million in administered capital. This is an amount which according to the fund companies has gone up in recent years. These contacts have also revealed that the media's observations, rating Structural barriers to entry are related to basic demand and cost conditions such as economies of scale in production or the incidence of network effects. 131 Legal barriers to entry are both the cases in which regulations themselves constitute a barrier to entry, such as when the application of regulations involves a barrier to companies' entry to the market. 132 Strategic barriers to entry, i.e., how established companies can be expected to act when entering the market. The tougher the competition is expected to be, the less attractive it is to enter the market. 133 134 The Swedish Competition Authority (2009c). 132 agencies' assessments of funds135 and visibility in the large fund distributors' selections are important resources in the establishment process. High start-up costs and low customer mobility make it difficult to quickly attain necessary volumes for profitability. It is therefore necessary to accept a longer or shorter period of low profitability when a company is newly established. Today, a player which is already established on another market will probably have more success establishing themselves on the fund market than a player that is just starting out. This is because of the importance of having one's own customer base and access to capital in order to get through the start-up period with low profitability as the fund sector is so volume-driven and dependent on customer relationships. The distributor's strong position As previously discussed, it is important on the fund market that a fund company that does not have its own distribution capacity to belong to some form of distribution infrastructure in order to reach customers. The major banks are incredibly strong as distributors, with their nation-wide office networks. Fund supermarkets also have a strong position on the fund market as important distributors. The distributors not only set the prices for distribution; they also determine who should be included in their range of funds. Not being included in major distributors' ranges can be a big blow to newly established players as they are highly dependent on external distribution channels. Many funds are rated by rating agencies based on a number of criteria, primarily historical growth in value and risk. There are also ratings in which opportunities for future development are weighed in. There are also rating agencies that evaluate fund managers instead of funds. Examples of rating agencies include Morningstar, Moneymate, Wassum, Fondmarknaden.se, Financial times, Standard & Poor. 135 133 Official regulations can impede entry A number of empirical studies have revealed that irreversible costs have a significant impact on how sectors develop.136 If the investments required for entry to a market largely consist of irreversible costs, the interest in entry may be affected. Examples of such typical costs are fees that companies have for adapting their operations to official regulations. Official regulations can constitute barriers to entry in different ways, in both structural and legal respects. The cost of adapting operations to the official regulations not only makes the fund market less interesting for potential new establishment. It also entails higher costs in practice, which are difficult for smaller players to absorb as they are unable to benefit from economies of scale. The requirement for permission to conduct fund activities is also a legal barrier to entry. But it must be accepted as long as the permission requirement is not excessive, taking consumer protection into consideration. A strong consumer protection naturally leads to greater confidence in the sector. This is something a number of fund companies expressed appreciation for in the Competition Authority's market contacts. Locked capital leads to low customer mobility A market player that can offer their customers the two different tax environments of ISKs and trust accounts is of course a more competitive player and will thus find it easier to enter the fund market. One proposal previously put forward by the Competition Authority involved improving competition on the market for savings products via an ISK. The lock-in effects faced by investors would thereby diminish and the opportunity for mobility and 136 The Swedish Competition Authority (2009c). 134 competition in the sector would thus increase.137 However, the design of this form of savings was not in line with the Competition Authority's proposal. Today, existing savings cannot be transferred to an ISK. This was a prerequisite for maximising customer mobility. Furthermore, with today's rules138, only credit institutions and securities companies can provide their customers with an ISK. This is to the detriment of fund companies that are unable to offer an account of this kind. In the Competition Authority's contact with the market, it has arisen that the credit institutions and securities companies that are able to offer ISKs seldom have small companies' funds in their range. Not being able to offer customers an ISK not only means a lower standard of service; it also results in additional costs when more intermediaries are involved. Access to customers When new companies enter, access to customers is required in order to act on the market. Often, established companies have a large customer base. For new companies, considerable marketing initiatives may be required in order to solicit new customers. Established companies, on the other hand, do not need to inform about their products in the same way. Such circumstances entail the risk of limiting interest among new players to enter the market. It may also be in existing players' interest to lock in customers by offering discounts and various types of bonus programme. The Swedish Investment Fund Association works actively to make it easier for fund investors to move their fund commitment between different market players. Something which is very important for competition is the scope of lock-in effects and conversion costs that 137 The Competition Authority's (2001) proposal was updated in (2009c). Within an ISK, capital can be placed in savings accounts, funds, stocks and other securities such as bonds. In accordance with the Investment Funds Act (2011:1268), fund companies may not offer savings accounts. 138 135 affect the customers' behaviour. Conversion costs can be defined as costs that make it difficult for customers to switch supplier of goods or services. In summary, if new companies can enter the market relatively easily, or if competitors can expand production, a dominant company does not have the same opportunities to exercise their market power, especially not in the long term. 139 New players' opportunities to enter and establish themselves on markets are therefore of great importance in the matter of how competition will work. Customer mobility As we have already established, the fund market is characterised by a medium-high degree of concentration. The four major banks Swedbank, Handelsbanken, Nordea and SEB are still dominating the market. They account for around 60 per cent of the total fund assets in Sweden. And of course, consumers use a number of different fund companies to a greater extent than before. But there is still low mobility in terms of transferring existing fund commitments between different fund companies. One contributory factor to this is various lock-in effects. A lack of interest and knowledge makes consumers passive and makes it difficult for them to make rational choices. For more information on customer mobility, see Chapter 1.8, the importance of customer mobility. 139 The Swedish Competition Authority (2009c). 136 The consumer's buyer power The consumer's buyer power is linked with applicable market conditions, particularly where customer mobility, product knowledge, transparency and openness are concerned, as well as the volume of the flows in question. In light of the low customer mobility, lack of product knowledge among a large proportion of consumers and a lack of transparency in fund activities, the bargaining power among consumers is generally weak. It does not constitute true buyer power. Naturally, the larger the flow in question, the better a position a consumer or representative for a collective of consumers is in to negotiate. A bank customer belonging to the private banking segment likely has stronger bargaining power than a bank customer that falls outside of this segment. In the same way, a representative for a collective consisting of companies, institutions or private banking customers should have greater bargaining power than a representative of a collective consisting of individual consumers. Whilst private fund investment saving in Sweden is a widespread area, an individual consumer's volume of administered capital in most cases only constitutes a small amount of the total fund capital administered by a fund manager. A single consumer may be more likely to be an encumbrance to a fund company; according to several market players the Competition Authority has been in contact with, upwards of SEK 50,000 in fund investment savings is required in order for a single consumer to be a profitable business. Another reason behind the weak bargaining power of the fund investor seems to be a lack of interest in the fund product, ignorance and low customer mobility, partly caused by a lack of transparency in the fund sector. The lack of knowledge and transparency is a matter which has been picked up on in several 137 consumer studies.140 They have noted consumers' weaknesses in comparing financial products, the content of services, costs and the importance of financial advice. In the fund sector today, we have indeed come a long way in terms of transparency within operations, compared with the securities market in general. However, a number of the relevant costs in the sales links are still hidden for the fund and pension investment saver, which hinders them from making rational choices and decisions. Consumers' weaknesses in comparing products is probably also related to the broad range of information available to the consumer. Too much information and too little guidance for the consumer to find their way is an aggravating circumstance. One way of supporting the customer when they make decisions on personal finances is to offer financial advice. Different banks, securities companies and insurance companies offer advice to their customers. There are also different forms of mediators that offer this type of service to individual consumers, insurance brokers being one example. Financial advice has become more and more common in line with the increasing importance of individual consumers taking responsibility for their personal finances and savings.141 There are however potential conflicts of interest inherent in advisory activities. Financial incentives such as internal sales targets or sales-related bonuses can be controlling factors. There is therefore a risk that the advice provided contradicts consumers' wishes and needs. It is interesting in this context to look at developments in the United Kingdom. The UK employs RDR (Retail Distribution Review), which is intended to increase transparency in the pricing of financial advice by bringing greater clarity to the service offered and the professional conduct. 140 See e.g., the Swedish Consumer Agency (2013b). 141 The Government (2012b). 138 The new regulations in the fund sector are an improvement from a consumer perspective. There is better transparency, standardisation and comparability between different suppliers and fund products. Fact sheets make it easy to compare European funds with one another in terms of policy, assessment of risk and returns, and costs. However, the fact sheets do not appear to be optimal in terms of information from a consumer perspective. This according to the Competition Authority. Morningstar has begun using a new price measure, Normanbeloppet (literally the “Norman” amount142). It is a form of theoretical calculation intended to help the consumer to compare the different funds in terms of costs over an extended period. Morningstar's definition of the price measure: It shows ”a prognosis for the total costs in the fund for savings over a ten-year period. The key ratio is calculated as the difference between the result that could be achieved if the investment could grow without any fees and the actual amount that the saver obtains after 10 years.” There should however be more to do in the area. As a suggestion, a measure of returns could complement Normanbeloppet and make it even more useful. In the Competition Authority's market contacts, several players have demanded a price tag for each link in the fund company's value chain. There, the cost should be clearly shown in a manner that the consumer can easily comprehend. This will improve understanding of how the cost is distributed among the players in one and the same value chain. Effective consumer information, greater transparency in the fund sector and education in personal finances are important building blocks in the work to strengthen the individual consumer's bargaining and buyer power. 142 The price measure is named after the Swedish Financial Markets Minister Peter Norman. 139 4.5 Stable administration fees since 2001 In June 2012, the Swedish Competition Authority requested information on administration fees and costs from AMF Fonder AB, Handelsbanken Fonder AB, Länsförsäkringar Fondförvaltning AB, Nordea Fonder AB, SEB Investment Management AB, Skandia Fonder AB, SPP Fonder AB and Swedbank Robur Fonder AB. Via its request, the Competition Authority received data on the years 2001–2011 concerning the size of the total cost in per cent (TKA) and the administration fee in per cent. The development of TKA in per cent and the administration fee can be seen in figure 28. The profitability of the fund market varies greatly over time. It reflects the situation on the securities market, current market conditions, etc. But despite a highly dynamic securities market and a competitive pressure on the fund market that has varied over time, the administration fees appear in principle to have stood still for a long time; since at least 2001.This is as far back as the Competition Authority's audit stretches. The Competition Authority is able to establish that the administration fees targeted at direct savings customers seem to be insensitive to the movements on the fund market. The claim that the administration fees have been stable since 2001 is true for all funds audited by the Competition Authority. 140 Figure 28 TKA “Sweden funds” 2,5 2 Skandia Sweden SHB Sweden 1,5 Nordea Sweden Swedbank Sweden SPP Sweden 1 SEB Sweden AMF Sweden 0,5 Länsförsäkring Sweden 0 2001 2003 2005 2008 2010 2012 Source: KKV's own calculations of the fund companies' responses. AMF – in cooperation with Morningstar – has come to the same conclusion, i.e., that the administrative fee has in principle stood still for a long time.143 In AMF's survey, which covers a larger number of funds than that of the Competition Authority, the administration fee instead indicates a higher average for certain types of fund. 143 AMF (2013). 141 Table 8 The trend in fees 2005–2012 Unit trusts 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Administration fee (%) 1.52 1.53 1.55 1.56 1.55 1.54 1.55 1.50 Annual fee (%) 1.83 Bond funds Administration fee (%) 0.7 0.72 0.72 0.75 0.77 0.77 0.81 Annual fee (%) 0.87 1.06 Normanbelopp (SEK) 5429 5817 1.26 1.29 9477 9692 1.39 1.36 Mixed funds Administration fee (%) 1.09 1.09 1.13 1.14 1.19 1.20 Annual fee (%) Normanbelopp (SEK) Total Administration fee (%) 1.31 1.33 1.37 1.39 1.39 1.38 Annual fee (%) Source: AMF (2012). The Competition Authority has identified a number of factors that could explain, at least in part, the stable price situation for the individual consumer. High administrative costs due to regulations The control functions and other fees that fund companies have in order to adapt their operation to official regulations entail high costs. Costly technological development in the fund sector Investments in new technology and IT systems are costly for fund companies. 1.67 142 Expensive product development The fund sector is characterised by steady product development. Product development is an important part of a fund company's work to attract new customers. It is however difficult for fund investors, who are attracted to the new funds, to gain insight into how extensive the product development costs are and in what way they affect the fund company's administration fees. Continuous product development keeps the administration fee up. High distribution costs Access to infrastructure such as distribution channels is especially important for a fund company that does not have its own channels with which to reach the end customer. The fund distributor is in a strong position to negotiate. The cost to the distributor is normally around 50 per cent of the administration fee. Some fund distributors, such as the Swedish Pensions Agency, have managed to force down fund companies’ prices considerably – up to 90 per cent of the administration fee. A large portion of the administration fee therefore goes to the distributor. Direct savings in funds are costly for fund companies The fund company's costs for individual fund investment savings is high, which in many cases requires a high administration fee to the individual consumer if this business is to be profitable for the fund company. The consumer's weak buyer power The individual consumer's weak buyer power on the fund market has a strong link with low customer mobility. The low customer 143 mobility is primarily down to various lock-in effects, ignorance on the part of the consumer and a lack of transparency. Active bank customers, for example, are more inclined to negotiate their mortgage rates, which have an immediate effect on their wallets, than to negotiate and scrutinise administration fees for fund investment savings, where the effect of the administration fee on the return does not kick in until much later. The consumer's ignorance in the fund sector, concerning for example the long-term impact of the administration fee on the fund investment savings, makes their buyer power weak. Furthermore, a considerable portion of the consumer's capital is locked in funds due to e.g., tax implications when withdrawing profits. When the fund changes, for example when it grows due to a consolidation with other funds, it seems the administration fee is seldom lowered despite the probable reductions in costs for the fund company due to economies of scale and a potentially less extensive administration if in the event of the volume increase the administration becomes more passive. Lock-in effects make the consumer passive and weaken their buyer power. Compensation to the advisor in the form of commission, combined with a lack of transparency and the consumer's ignorance in the matter of the advisor's commission, can be an incentive for the advisor to recommend high price products that give them a higher compensation over low price products that give them a lower compensation, in cases where this is not justified. The lack of transparency in terms of the size of the commission gives the consumer weak buyer power. High barriers to entry for new market players The fund sector is a volume-driven sector, where new players must quickly achieve a critical mass of around SEK 1,000 million in administered capital. This often means that the newly established company must run on low profitability for a time. Newly 144 established market players also run into low customer mobility, where large potential capital is locked in the major banks. New market players will probably find it difficult to push down the administration fee due to problems achieving volumes and profitability in their first business. Foreign funds keep the administration fee up The continuously growing range of foreign funds has helped to increase competition on the Swedish fund market. Foreign funds with an administration fee higher than the Swedish average in each fund category may affect the Swedish average price for funds in the short-term. However, on a market which boasts effective competition, the prices should be adapted in accordance with the prevailing competition situation within a not overly long period of time. In summary, a market which for various reasons is not sufficiently challenged but rather remains stable leads to a deterioration of welfare for the consumers due to the lack of downward pressure on prices or even higher prices. Even if the administration fees seem stable, there is still a positive development that the consumer can benefit from. The range of funds is wider than ever before and innovation in the product area is booming. 4.6 Conclusions The Competition Authority's conclusions are summarised in the following points: • The administration fees are stable despite greater competition. • Changed conditions on the market are forcing fund companies to reorganise and tighten up their operations. 145 • Competition is weaker on the market for existing savings. • Competition leads to a broader range of funds but only produces downward pressure on prices for certain consumer groups. • A change in market conditions can open up for price reductions for the individual consumer. The administration fees are stable despite greater competition The competition between players on the Swedish fund market has increased over the course of the 2000s. The number of funds has increased from around 1,500 in the early 2000s to over 5,000 today.144 Many foreign fund companies have established themselves and the banks' dominance on the Swedish fund market has decreased. In 1999 the four largest banks' fund companies accounted for 85 per cent of the fund assets.145 Today, that share is 60 per cent.146 Several factors have come into play as competition increases in the fund sector. The increasing importance of fund investment savings for pensions has meant that fund companies with insurance links have gained a larger portion of new savings. In recent years, technological developments such as the fund supermarket have opened up the market for newly established fund companies and smaller existing fund companies that previously lacked larger distribution channels via which to reach customers. The work with the single market has also helped to lay the The Swedish Bankers' Association (2012). On the Swedish market, there are 76 registered fund companies which together with foreign fund companies offer savings in over 5,000 funds. 144 145 The Swedish Investment Fund Association (2009). 146 The Swedish Bankers' Association (2013). 146 foundations for entrepreneurs to expand and find new clientele in other countries. This has led companies from countries outside of the EU to show ever greater interest in becoming established on the Swedish market. Despite a, historically speaking, highly dynamic securities market with shifting market conditions for the fund companies and increasing competition, the Competition Authority can establish, after conducting an audit of fund companies' administration fees, that the administration fee paid by the individual consumers for their fund investments remained more or less the same between 2001 and 2011. Changed conditions on the market are forcing fund companies to reorganise and tighten up their operations The Competition Authority can establish that the fund sector is being squeezed by low-price competitors. The media coverage of the importance of administration fees in more long-term fund investment may have played a part in the low-price companies' rise in popularity among consumers. The less expensive index funds account for SEK 17.5 billion of the net inflow to Swedish unit trusts last year, corresponding to almost 60 per cent of the deposited money.147 Fund companies that focus on active management are faced with tough competition from less costly index funds and ETFs148. This will likely increase the pressure on actively managed 147 Dagens Industri (2013). The framework of an ETF is an index fund, the shares in which can be traded in the same way as a stock can be traded on the exchange. The administration fee is in line with that of an index fund, and thereby considerably lower than for actively managed funds. Administration fee of 0.15 and 0.3 per cent. 148 147 funds which over time are unable to deliver significantly higher value to the customer. One new player in the ETF area is Blackrock, which will invest in the Swedish securities market. A company with a range of lowprice products, such as index funds or ETFs, could benefit from the wave of streamlined regulations now sweeping through Europe concerning financial advice to consumers. In the United Kingdom, for example, new legislation has come into force which can be expected to force many financial advisors to abandon the commission model and instead begin invoicing customers.149 For companies that provide low-price products, this type of regulation can be significant as there will be fewer personal incentives for a seller/advisor to recommend a more expensive fund over a cheaper product purely on the grounds that the former gives the seller a higher commission. If low-price products and high-price products can compete on the same level, this opens up for better competition between products. The question is, however, whether a streamlining of the financial regulations in the form of a ban on commission in connection with financial advice has the desired effect and what the consequences of a commission ban could mean for competition on the Swedish financial services market. In addition to the pressure from low-price companies, fund companies are faced with a number of costly challenges in the form of organisational changes due to tighter supervision and regulations, technological adaptation and expensive distribution fees. Changed market conditions are forcing fund companies to restructure and increase the efficiency of their operations. Low RDR - Retail Distribution Review - is intended to increase transparency in the pricing of financial advice; clarity in terms of the service offered and professional conduct. The legislation was effective as of the turn of the year 2012/2013. 149 148 profitability spurs on structural changes and cooperation. 150 Market shares may be redistributed. In recent times, the Competition Authority has seen the fund companies and funds consolidate or enter cooperation with players in associated sectors to an ever increasing extent. In a volume-driven sector, scalability is a great advantage in competition with other fund companies. Investments in technology are probably beneficial to efficiency in the long term. Marketing costs may decrease in the same way as in many other sectors, as marketing in social media and via the internet is becoming more important. Fund companies that previously had a weak competitive pressure may be able to enjoy a stronger competitive pressure following necessary organisational changes. The Competition Authority can discern a trend in the fund sector in which fund players become more specialised and go in one of two different directions; where one group - smaller niche companies specialises in active fund management and financial advice. Here, the performance in terms of management has a great impact on the influx of customers, which varies greatly over the course of the year, and the funds are allowed to deviate from comparable indices. Another group gathers branded funds and invests in their range, sales and distribution. Greater pressure from supervisory authorities, competitors and substitutes for funds (such as ETFs), combined with greater requirements for openness and transparency, could well mean that being an expert in a given field is crucial to being competitive on the “new” fund market. 150 The Swedish Competition Authority (2003). 149 Competition is weaker on the market for existing savings The competitive situation in the fund sector is not entirely simple. Indeed, the banks' market shares are on a downward trend, though their position on the fund market is still very strong. This strong position is directly related to factors such as access to own distribution channels and customer base, low customer mobility on the market and good opportunities to benefit from economies of scale (both as a result of lock-in effects and consumers' passivity), which are vital in the fund sector. The competition measure HHI indicates that the fund sector is subject to competition over administered capital.151 One problem, however, is that HHI is measured on the total administered capital and does not take into account the fact that significant parts of the capital are inert due to various lock-in effects, among other things. The competition between fund companies on the market for new savings is more effective than that on the market for existing savings. Greater mobility would lead to reduced concentration and increased competition on an otherwise concentrated market. The banking market is also strongly vertically integrated. Those who invested in funds from the beginning have often done so in funds provided by fund companies that are part of the same banking group the consumer enlisted for other banking services. A lock-in effect therefore favours the traditional companies, at the expense of new banks. Commitments and regular customers allow the traditional companies a further advantage. Greater mobility on the fund market would counteract the aforementioned distortion and reduce consumers' commitments to the major banks. Swedbank Robur has a significant share of the market compared with other actors. Other banks such as Nordea, SHB and SEB have relatively high values, though these are not on the levels as those of Swedbank Robur. 151 150 Competition leads to a broader range of funds but only produces downward pressure on prices for certain consumer groups. Existing competition between fund companies has led to innovation and a broad range of funds, which is to the customer's advantage. However, the competition is not effective enough to result in reduced administration fees from which the individual consumer can benefit. Consumers' buyer power varies. When an actor negotiates on behalf of the consumer as a collective, it is clear that there is room for downward pressure on prices as a number of actors push fund companies' prices down. Unfortunately it is only via a small number of actors that the price reduction reaches the customer. Under its legal monopoly, the Swedish Pensions Agency has huge discounts (discount scale 65–90 per cent152) on the administration fees. This means they have a strong buyer power in relation to the fund companies.153 The Swedish Pensions Agency pays back the discount to the pension investors. The consumer's return on savings in the PPM system will therefore be higher than that of identical savings in funds outside of the PPM system. Another example of a player on the fund market with buyer power is the occupational pension company Collectum which, as commissioned by the Confederation of Swedish Enterprise (Svenskt Näringsliv) and PTK, procured managers of the occupational pension ITP for the period 01 July 2013 – 30 September 2018.154 The 152 The Swedish Pensions Agency (2012). 153 There were 6,419,166 pension investors (in the PPM system) in January 2012. 154 The procurement concerns 1.5 million salaried employees. 151 administration fees in Collectum's most recent occupational pension procurement are 55 per cent lower on average than the fees for exactly the same funds on the open market.155 Here too, the consumer can benefit from the discount negotiated by Collectum. Fund distributors such as Avanza, Nordnet, Mina Fonder and Fondmarknaden also have considerable buyer power and can push fund companies’ prices down. The fund companies' European representative association EFAMA has produced a report156 which charts out how funds' fees are distributed among fund companies and distributors, divided by different distribution channels. In Europe, roughly half of the administration fee on average goes towards distribution. In the report, the fund distributors seem to have somewhat less buyer power in relation to the banks and insurance companies. The latter have paid a somewhat lower distribution fee than other fund companies. In the Competition Authority's market contacts, the information in EFAMA's report on distribution fees of around 50 per cent of the administration fee has been confirmed by a number of sources, where the Swedish market is concerned. Improved consumer information, greater transparency in the fund sector and greater customer mobility are important building blocks in the work to strengthen the individual consumer's bargaining power. 155 Collectum (2013). 156 EFAMA (2011). 152 A change in market conditions can open up for price reductions for the individual consumer In light of what has arisen in the Competition Authority's audit of the fund market, it can be established that price competition is weak in terms of the administration fee designed for the individual consumer. Competition is more effective on the market for new savings than it is on the market for existing savings. The fact that the administration fee designed for the individual consumer is and has been stable for a long period is probably a result of various obstacles to effective competition on the fund market, such as high barriers to entry, low customer mobility and weak buyer power among individual consumers. The barriers to entry are higher for new players on the fund market. There are a number of strategic, structural and legal barriers to entry which are problematic for a player entering the fund market. One factor that makes it difficult to enter the market, and a strong contributory factor to the weak buyer power of the consumer, is the low consumer mobility that prevails in the fund market. This limited consumer mobility is mainly caused by various lock-in effects on the consumer's existing fund investments, as well as on the consumer's passivity. A higher degree of transparency within the fund activities in relation to the customer could increase the customer's knowledge of this field and make the passive consumer more active. There is a risk that an excess of information will make it difficult for the customer to obtain relevant knowledge, and as a result, guidance is required for the acquisition of knowledge and for more consumer-friendly means of comparison. Low customer mobility, combined with the lack of clarity on the part of the fund company in terms of the individual consumer's saved capital, results in weak buyer power for the consumer. 153 Increased costs for the fund companies in combination with increased competition, primarily from low-price companies in the market for new savings, has led to organisational changes in the fund companies in order to streamline and adjust in advance of future challenges. These changes, in the form of mergers and collaborations with companies that are already well-established in other markets, for example, may come to redistribute market share between the fund companies. A continued increase in competition, combined with increased consumer awareness and mobility will clear the way for more effective competition – most likely also in the market for existing savings. In a review of the competitive situation on the fund market, the Competition Authority has identified several obstacles to effective competition. However, these obstacles can be reduced or eliminated via various measures and reforms, which could lead to greater downward pressure on administration fees in the long term, to the advantage of the individual consumer. 154 5 Measures to improve competition on the financial services market It is the assessment of the Competition Authority that a competition policy that allows for the development of well-functioning markets should build on the consumers having the conditions to choose, on not having unnecessary barriers for companies to enter and challenge established companies in various markets, on companies competing on equal terms, and on the rules being simple and effective. The following measures are deemed to be the most important, based on their potential long term effects and their importance to the development of well-functioning markets. The proposals presented in the report are directed to the Swedish Government. Some of the proposals have been previously made by the Swedish Competition Authority (2009c), for example in the report Action for better competition. 155 5.1 Limit the banks' right to interest differential compensation The Competition Authority's proposal It is important to revise the calculation of the interest differential compensation in order to increase customer mobility on the mortgage market. The policy should be to ensure the banks are unable to make unwarranted profits. It is also important that customers are provided with clear information on the terms of a loan before signing. Reasons for the Competition Authority's proposal In order to reduce the interest rate risk, customers are often recommended to divide the mortgage into several mortgages with different terms at a fixed interest rate. Almost 50 per cent of the mortgage has an interest commitment period of one year or longer. The facility for customers to divide the mortgage into several loans with different terms is of course desirable for many. At the same time, this produces lock-in effects as the premature redemption of loans is associated with the payment of interest differential compensation. Interest differential compensation is a form of compensation for the bank for the revenue lost as a result of premature termination of the contract. In the same way, it may often be advantageous in times where interest rates are low to redeem loans early in favour of new terms and conditions, whether within the same bank or at a competing bank. However, high interest differential compensation can reduce the incentive for the customer to redeem their fixed loan and switch bank. When the difference between the mortgage rates and the reference rate increases, so does the interest differential compensation. 156 The premise is therefore that the reference rate is based on the investment opportunities generally available to the creditor. The reference rate is officially noted, and is then calculated as the treasury and bond rates plus one percentage point. Calculations show that interest differential compensation can come to large amounts as the difference between the mortgage rate and the reference rate has increased. Redeeming a loan of SEK 2m in May 2013 which was taken out in December 2011 with a term of five years and a fixed rate of 4.0 per cent, after a 30 point discount on the listed interest, would cost the customer around SEK 140,000 in interest differential compensation.157 A mortgage customer paying compensation for lost revenue as a result of a prematurely terminated contract may be considered a normal part of a mortgage agreement. The problem is the calculation of this compensation. When there is a clear flexibility between the government bond rate and the mortgage rates, the interest differential compensation will not be as high. Changes on the financial markets in recent years have led to a reduction of flexibility between the government bond rate and the mortgage rates and an increase in the difference (“spread”) between the mortgage rates and the reference rate. This means that the comparison rate was for certain periods considerably lower than the mortgage rates. This had caused the interest differential compensation to increase. Several stakeholders have criticised the current model for calculating interest differential compensation. It produces powerful lock-in effects and does not accurately reflect banks' alternative Calculation from the Swedish Consumers' Banking & Finance Bureau, “Konsumenternas Vägledning om Bank och försäkring” *Consumer Guidance on Banking and Insurance+, based on SEB's and SHB's 10-year (fixed-term) rates, 25 April 2008. 157 157 investment opportunities and costs associated with the customer redeeming their mortgage prematurely.158 At present, legislative work is underway in the Government Offices with the aim of changing the calculation model for interest differential compensation so that it is simpler and cheaper for the customer to redeem fixed-term loans and thereby reduce the lock-in effect that occurs when the customer chooses the term for their mortgage. In a ministry memorandum from the Ministry of Justice, Ränteskillnadsersättning m.m. vid bolån [Interest differential compensation, etc. for mortgages] (Ds. 2013:38) from 14 June 2013, a change of the calculation method is proposed in order to lay the foundations for fairer compensation.159 As lock-in effects limit competition, it is important that the matter is promptly investigated. It should be noted that the banks may, if they so wish, charge interest differential compensation in accordance with the instructions found in the Consumer Credit Act and the Swedish Financial Supervisory Authority's guidelines, if the customer redeems a mortgage prematurely. They are not obliged to use this calculation model; it simply provides a ceiling for interest differential compensation. This means that customers, at least in theory, could negotiate terms other than those stipulated in the Consumer Credit Act and in the Swedish Financial Supervisory Authority's instructions regarding the size of interest differential compensation. The banks could use a model that is more favourable for the customer in their marketing. The Competition Authority can establish that none of the banks seem to take advantage of this opportunity today. 158 See e.g., Villaägarnas Riksförbund (2013a), Dagens Industri (2012b). 159 The Ministry of Justice (2013), the Government (2012b), the Government (2013). 158 Customer mobility on the mortgage market can increase via the banks informing about and limiting the interest differential compensation. For many, taking out a loan for a fixed period at a fixed rate is an element of security in their personal finances. It is easier to plan their finances, and there is no risk of being affected by sudden increases in interest rates. The borrower is therefore often recommended to take out at least part of the loan at a fixed interest rate. The most common commitment periods for mortgages are between three months and ten years, with an average commitment period of 1.4 years. Of course, commitment periods are a form of lock-in by themselves, but they can also be associated with certain benefits to the consumer.160 Many consumers do not receive sufficient information on what interest differential compensation means when redeeming loans prematurely. It is written in the contractual terms, but far from everyone reads these. A requirement for verbal and written information on this – before the loan is signed for – would be more noticeable to the consumer. They would thus have a better basis for a decision when considering commitment periods and profitability assessments for the transfer of loans. The difficulty of actually assessing the profitability of transferring the loan to another creditor may have a lock-in effect. Many consumers believe that the decision they receive from the bank regarding the sum of the interest differential compensation also applies to any future redemption of their loan, rather than just being the sum that applies at that point in time. 160 The Swedish Competition Authority (2009b). 159 5.2 Investigate the possibility of limiting or banning banks from offering certain package deals The Competition Authority's proposal Investigate the possibility of limiting or prohibiting banks from offering certain package deals, in order to increase the comparability of the terms offered by different banks and to make it easier for new players to establish themselves in parts of the banking market. Reasons for the Competition Authority's proposal The possibility for consumers to set a product aside and thus have access to better alternatives is in many cases the clearest expression of consumer power in effective competition. Those who gain better terms and conditions by changing supplier also help to improve the situation for all consumers. Apart from the importance of consumers having information on prices, they must also have the opportunity to assess the quality of goods and services and to know the requirements that apply when signing contracts. The battle for customers can lead companies to invest in loyalty-inducing contracts, quantity discounts or package deals, and bonus systems that lock in the consumer. This can make it difficult to gain an overview of the deals on offer and to make well-grounded choices. Various studies show that for a number of reasons there are limited opportunities to compare information for different financial services. The biggest reason is the difficulty of finding out the price for specific services as banks often package the services and offer different discounts, with the idea that consumers will purchase the majority of their services from the same supplier. This discount structure affects consumers' decision-making because, in the 160 consumer's perception, they are receiving an individual discount and therefore do not evaluate other alternative suppliers. It also reduces transparency as the package deal the consumer receives is more difficult to compare than individual services. Another factor that makes comparison difficult is the customer's bargaining room when borrowing; they often do not know that there is space for negotiation and believe that the interest rate presented to them is the actual cost of the loan. In addition, several different investigations emphasise that the complex information about the services, unclear fee structure and package deals make it difficult for the consumer to perceive the market as transparent. The consumer who makes rational financial decisions will have great difficulties obtaining and processing information. The consumer who makes decisions based on the situation will find it easier to make decisions, but does so on poor grounds as large parts of the relevant information are unavailable. According to the Competition Authority, transparency, i.e., the opportunity for the customer to compare products, services and prices, could increase via a reduction of packaging, cross-selling and Relationship-Based Pricing (RBP) of financial services. As the mortgage is often the largest bank transaction a person will undertake in their life, many consumers choose their bank based on where they will receive the most favourable mortgage rate. For this reason, banks sometimes use mortgages as a loss leader. In connection with mortgage negotiations, the bank can offer different types of total customer solutions that involve providing a lower mortgage rate in exchange for the consumer having all of their banking services with them. It is not uncommon for a bank to offer a lower interest rate on the mortgage if the household signs up for other services. It is important to keep in mind that these other services entail costs, in some cases for many years to come. The fact that the banks present a total customer solution makes it simple for 161 the customers, whilst at the same time it becomes difficult to distinguish the costs for different services. In addition, the Swedish Financial Supervisory Authority points out that focus on savings is positive but that it is important for the fund investor to be aware that investing in funds entails certain fees. Fees for fund and pension investments are automatically deducted from funds' returns or from the deposited amount, meaning it can be difficult for the customer to assess them. Being aware of the fees associated with fund investment can have a large impact on the return. A customer that saves SEK 1,000 per month for ten years in an average fund portfolio pays around SEK 12,400 in fees.161 According to the Swedish Financial Supervisory Authority, taking into account the interest rate on deposits that the bank offers on different accounts is also an important parameter for customers' personal finances. The interest on deposits plays a major role in the long-term due to the compound interest effect.162 Passivity on the part of the customer can therefore cost them money in the form of missed interest income. A customer who allows their entire salary to remain on a transaction account without interest, instead of saving SEK 1,000 every month on a deposit account with interest, The calculation assumes that the fund portfolio has the same distribution as Swedish households' total fund assets, which consist of 76 per cent unit trusts, 18 mixed funds, 5 per cent bond funds and 7 per cent “other” funds (source SCB). The Swedish Financial Supervisory Authority has used average administration fees obtained from AMF's report “Avgifterna på fondmarknaden 2011” *Fees on the fund market in 2011], and expected returns can be found at www.amf.se. For Swedish funds, the difference between the administration fee and TER (Total Expense Ratio), which is used in Normanbeloppet, is often marginal. 161 As the disbursed interest remains on the deposit account, interest is also accrued on this. This means that the amount on which interest is calculated will have increased by the time of the next calculation. 162 162 will miss out on around SEK 6,250 over a ten-year period, even with the current very low interest rates.163 And finally, according to the Swedish Financial Supervisory Authority, it is also important to be aware that other services such as debit cards, securities deposits and payment services are in most cases associated with a fee. It is therefore also important to negotiate on or at least look over the terms and prices of services over and above the mortgage. In Norway, there is a ban on product packaging. This means that a financial institution may not offer a financial service if the customer acquires another financial service at the same time, or offer a customer particularly favourable terms or discounts if they acquire several different financial services. There are exceptions to the ban if the services are linked to one another or if they entail a cost saving. The financial supervisory authority in Norway regarded a holistic concept in which the customer must buy fund and insurance products in the same group in order to receive a 0.30 per cent discount on the mortgage as being in breach of the ban on product packaging.164 Experience from Norway is that product packaging in various forms is widespread on both the banking and insurance markets.165 One goal of the ban is to prevent financial institutions with a broad range of products from limiting competition by introducing their customers to a holistic solution. It is also intended to make it easier for customers to obtain information on various financial services. The average interest rate on a deposit account without terms and conditions was at the end of the third quarter 1.0 per cent, and the interest on the transaction account is assumed to be 0. 163 164 Finanstilsynet (the Financial Supervisory Authority of Norway), (2011). 165 Kredittilsynet, (2007). 163 In the single market, proposals are being made for the continued development of competition on the market for financial services. The European Commission recently put forward a proposal for a directive on payment accounts, which includes a recommendation that if payment accounts are provided within the scope of a package solution, the consumer must be informed by the bank as to whether or not they can acquire a payment account separately, including the fee for this separate account.166 Comparing different suppliers' deals can be difficult, particularly where services are concerned. If the consumers do not have access to relevant information, there is a risk that competition will be obstructed and that the suppliers will charge higher prices than they would otherwise. It can be time-consuming and costly for consumers to gather the information required to gain an impression of the deals available on different markets. The Swedish Consumer Agency's investigation reveals that one of the largest obstacles to consumer mobility in the banking market is that consumers have insufficient knowledge of how the market works. They find it difficult to compare prices and various offers on the market. It can also be difficult to compare different products offered by different companies, and knowledge of financial services is often insufficient due to the complexity of the products. Furthermore, consumers' lack of knowledge seems to extend to the banking and financial services markets and their way of operating, which is a clear obstacle to customer mobility. According to the Swedish Consumers' Banking & Finance Bureau, this often serves to limit consumers' bargaining room. Consumers also seem to find it difficult to gain an overview of the range of different types of service, and the use of quantity discounts makes price comparisons 166 The European Commission (2013), Article 8. 164 between market players very difficult. A ban on product packaging would make it easier for the customer to compare different products offered by different companies and thereby improve conditions for heightened customer mobility. A ban can also improve conditions for new players to enter the banking market as it eliminates lock-in effects on the market. It is however important to consider that the possibility to offer packaged solutions with discounts may be a competitive device that gives the consumer greater choice on the market. For this reason, it is important that the development in Norway is carefully analysed and that the advantages and disadvantages of introducing a similar system in Sweden are evaluated. 165 5.3 Investigate the right to freely move capital from fund accounts to an ISK and the possibility for fund companies to offer ISKs The Competition Authority's proposal Investigate the possibility to offer consumers the right to freely move capital from fund accounts to Investment Savings Accounts (ISKs) in order to increase customer mobility on the fund market. The most suitable way of achieving this would be by deferring tax when switching funds. Investigate the possibility of enabling fund companies to offer ISK in order to increase customer mobility on the fund market. Reasons for the Competition Authority's proposal Fund investors have a wide range of funds to choose from, from a large number of market players. This is to the consumers' advantage when selecting a fund. Competition for new savings in funds is more effective than that for existing savings. There are lock-in effects in existing savings, partly due to the capital gains taxation associated with switching funds, which results in low customer mobility. Competition on the fund market is obstructed by low mobility among fund investors. Large accumulated stocks of fund investments tend to remain with fund companies owned by the four major banks, and have a preserving effect on these banks' high market shares. However, the banks' distribution networks have diminished in recent years, in line with the increase in the use of the internet and other actors with large customer bases becoming established in the sector. The market share of the four largest banks' 166 fund companies has become considerably smaller over the course of the 2000s, as a result of increased competition, but it still constitutes around 60 per cent. The lock-in effects are caused by the consumers not switching funds to the extent they would if they did not need to pay capital gains tax on their sale when making the switch. The owner of a share in a mutual fund is taxed once it is sold. The tax is the same as would apply to direct ownership of securities (30 per cent). As a switch to a fund (from a deposit) triggers the taxation, the consumer misses out on the tax credit that long-term investment in one and the same fund would involve. The fund investors avoid switching funds for this very reason, which means that competition on the fund market suffers. A model in which it is possible to defer tax when switching funds would be desirable from both a consumer and competition perspective. Deferred capital gains tax when switching funds stimulates competition on the fund market by laying the foundations for greater customer mobility. If fund assets could be freed up and also made available to other funds, competition on the fund market would most likely increase. This would ultimately benefit the fund investor in terms of downward pressure on prices and good product development. Greater commitment from the fund investor's side can also lead to better risk diversification and a higher average return. State income from capital gains on funds and stocks varies greatly from one year to the next depending on market developments. According to information from the Swedish Tax Agency, state income for the entire securities sector is estimated at around SEK 25 billion in tax, SEK 10 billion of which is from the sale of 167 funds.167 Naturally, consideration may be given to introducing a ceiling for the amount that can be deferred when selling a fund, in order to reduce the impact on state finances. However, this is only a matter of deferring the tax; i.e., taxation will still come at a later date. Hopefully, a deferral reform will then have contributed to a higher return that leads to increased income for the State. An market player that can offer their customers the two different tax environments of ISKs and trust accounts is of course a more competitive player that will find it easier to enter the fund market and can exercise greater competitive pressure on the more major players. With today's rules, only credit institutions and securities companies can offer their customers an ISK. This disadvantages fund companies, which are unable to offer this type of account due to legislation that prevents them from offering savings accounts. Not being able to offer customers an ISK means a lower standard of service and is likely an inhibiting factor for customer mobility and a barrier to entry. The problem could be rectified by allowing customers to have a charge account outside of the ISK. 167 The Swedish Tax Agency (2009). 168 5.4 Introduce regulations which stipulate that banks must report their funding costs for mortgages in a uniform manner The Competition Authority's proposal Introduce regulations which stipulate that the banks must report their funding costs for mortgages in a uniform manner in order to make it easier for consumers to negotiate with the banks. Reasons for the Competition Authority's proposal The element of negotiation means that the mortgage market is not transparent. This means that there is information asymmetry when negotiating mortgage rates. Banks' listed interest constitutes only a ceiling in the negotiation and the banks do not clearly explain their discount policies. It is therefore difficult and time-consuming for customers to compare the banks' mortgage rates. If negotiations are to lead to a successful result, both parties are often required to have access to necessary information on each other's preferences and financial framework and conditions. When granting credit, the distribution of information is often uneven, which gives rise to information asymmetry. Information asymmetry leads to an imbalance between the parties and allows the party with more information to gain a better result at the expense of the other party. If the mortgage customer is to achieve a desirable result, it is important for them to have access to information on how much space for negotiation they have. In principle, this consists of the difference between listed interest rates and the funding cost, and what discounts are available to the customer given their risk profile 169 and total business with the bank. There are a number of problems associated with this at present. One circumstance is that there is no standard method for banks to report their mortgage margins, and above all the differences between the listed interest rates and the funding costs. Where the difference between STIBOR and the banks' funding costs has increased, it has also been more difficult for mortgage customers to determine the banks' gross margins (the actual bargaining room) on the listed interest rates. Furthermore, the mortgage customers do not always have access to the banks' discount policies, which makes it difficult to know what customer interest rates the different banks offer. Overall, this means it is difficult for mortgage customers to know how much room for negotiation they have and what the potential bargaining margin is for the mortgage. Consumers often have poor knowledge of financial services. Complex financial circumstances make it difficult for the consumer to make rational choices. In many cases it is difficult to understand the relationship between price and product, not least where mortgages are concerned. In order to improve the mortgage customer's knowledge, and thereby their negotiating position towards the bank, the information can be distributed more evenly by means of a requirement for the banks to report their funding costs for mortgages in a similar manner. This would shed some light on just how much room the mortgage customer has for negotiation and haggling. It can also improve the conditions for increased customer mobility on the mortgage market. 170 5.5 Analyse the possibility of introducing more obligatory means of comparison in the fund sector The Competition Authority's proposal Analyse the possibility of introducing more obligatory means of comparison for fund companies' closest end customer, to report to the consumer. This is in order to simplify and clarify matters for the consumer and increase customer mobility between different funds. The Competition Authority feels that efforts should be made for suitable means of comparison to be included in the fund fact sheets in the long term. • A measurement for returns which supplements the “Norman amount” and clarifies for the customer what effect the fund's fee will have in the long term. • A measurement for active portfolio trading – Active share. There are big differences between active shares in different funds. • A price index for each fund category. This is best presented combined with an average administration fee for the fund category in question. Reasons for the Competition Authority's proposal The consumers have an important role to play in order to reach functioning markets. The consumers' endeavours to seek out the best alternatives based on factors such as quality and price are an important factor in healthy competition. Comparing different 171 suppliers' deals is however difficult at present, due to a lack of transparency in the financial services sector. If the consumers do not have access to relevant information, there is a risk that competition will be obstructed and that the suppliers will charge higher prices than they would otherwise. A number of standardised, consumer-friendly means of comparison would enable the consumer to make rational decisions when purchasing shares in a mutual trust (with or without advice). A measurement of returns (historical returns) would complement Normanbeloppet168 and shed light on the effects of the funds' fees in the long term. A measurement of the return is more concrete and therefore, for many consumers, easier to understand than the annual historical return given in per cent or as a diagram. For example, we could work out a measurement of the return on savings of SEK 1000 per month over a period of 10 years. The calculation is based on the fund's average returns over the past five years. The “active share” is a measure of the deviation from the index, which means that if the figure is 0 per cent, the fund is identical to the index, whilst an active share of 100 per cent means in practice that the fund deviates from the index entirely. In summary, there are big differences between active shares in different funds. An American survey from 2010169, in which 1,124 active funds were audited, revealed that whilst funds during the period 1990–2009 as a group gave a negative return of 0.41 percentage points per year after deduction of fees, the 180 funds with the highest active share The key ratio is calculated as the difference between the result that could be achieved if the investment could grow without any fees and the actual amount that the saver obtains after 10 years. 168 Petajisto, Antti. Active Share and Mutual Fund Performance, Stern School of Business, New York University, Working Paper Series, 2010. Petajisto, A. (2010). 169 172 actually had excess returns of an average 1.26 percentage points per year after deduction of fees for the same period. For funds with an active share below 60 per cent, the dismal figure was an annual negative return of -0.91 percentage points for the period, after deduction of fees. The active share may be an interesting measure for the fund investor to keep track of, in combination with risk and a measurement of returns. It can be time-consuming and costly for consumers to gather the information required to gain an impression of the deals available on the market. A measure which would allow them to quickly understand which price level a fund is on would be a price index for each fund category. A price index of this kind (fee index) is best shown together with an average fee per fund category. One example is shown in the table as per the following: Type of fund Fee index (%) Swedish stock index funds 0-0.70 Short-term bond funds 0.15-0.90 Long-term bond funds 0-1.20 Global funds 1.50-3.50 Hedge funds 1.50-5.50 By producing more standardised obligatory means of comparison between different funds, customer mobility can increase on the fund market. Obligatory means of comparison can be a tool for increasing consumers' knowledge of the costs associated with funds. This involves producing a simple, coherent and uniform report of the customers' costs associated with the fund, in the short and long term. This can reduce the barriers to changing funds and potentially achieve better dynamics and competition. Greater knowledge about the fund as a financial service can also constitute a better basis for the customer when negotiating various fees, interest levels and discounts on various services with the bank. If 173 more consumers make demands and evaluate products and services, the range of products will likely improve, to the consumers' benefit. This in turn leads to a competitive financial market. If there is a lack of pricing information, one of the most important controlling mechanisms on a market will not work. This naturally has direct repercussions on consumers in the form of higher prices, but it also leads to a weakening of the competition on the market. In accordance with the Investment Funds Act, all investment funds must have an up-to-date fact sheet. This should contain the basic information required for an investor to assess the fund and should be concise and easy to understand. All customers should be given a fact sheet before purchasing shares in a mutual fund. It must also be available on the fund company's website. The Competition Authority believes that efforts should be made to ensure the fund fact sheet is more consumer-friendly and useful over time, with more suitable means of comparison (see the Competition Authority's proposal on measures) strategically placed – from the consumer's point of view – on the fund fact sheet. 174 5.6 Introduce simple cost statements for banking services The Competition Authority's proposal Increase the consumers' knowledge of how important these fees are for banking services, by introducing requirements in the financial regulations stating that the banks must produce comprehensible simple cost statements for their customers. Reasons for the Competition Authority's proposal The Competition Authority believes that a simple cost statement, which is a means for banks to inform customers of how much they have paid them in fees, can increase competition. The cost statement can also include an overview of e.g., the interest rates that the customer has paid and received over the course of the year. The Swedish Financial Supervisory Authority's reports Konsumentskydd på finansmarknaden [Consumer protection on the financial market] (2008) and Hushållens ekonomiska förmåga [Households' financial capacity] (2008) revealed that more than half of consumers were relatively inactive in the management of their finances. One explanation given for this was that it was difficult to assess the immediate benefit of gathering information and evaluating the alternatives. It was also difficult to compare and understand the various choices. Consumers have many options, as the banks' range of services is ever growing. This puts great demands on structure, knowledge and competence among individual customers. The range of services in the banking sector is extremely complex, perhaps more complex than in any other product area that consumers come into contact with. According to the Financial Supervisory Authority's report Action plan for small savers (2007), only a small proportion of 175 households – around 19–21 per cent – gather information on bank services, whether by themselves or with the help of others, before buying. In its report Konsumentrörligheten på de finansiella marknaderna [Consumer mobility on the financial markets] (2001), the Competition Authority also established that consumers are generally unaware of the cost of banking services. This means that the consumer is unable to evaluate deals from competing banks. As the customer does not know whether or not it is profitable to switch bank, it is not of interest to them to do so. Even if many consumers have become increasingly active, it is clear from the Swedish Consumer Agency's report Kundrörlighet – exempel på hinder för konsumenter inom några viktiga marknader [Customer mobility – examples of obstacles for consumers in some of the more important markets] (2009) that a lack of involvement is a clear obstacle to customer mobility on the banking market. We also see that it is difficult for consumers to gain an overview of the range of services. Different types of quantity discounts make price comparisons more difficult. The lack of interest and transparency tend to mean that the customer do not have a great deal of knowledge on banking services and the prices of these. The Danish Competition and Consumer Authority recently, in April 2013, proposed in a report170 that banks should issue a standard overview of the most important information on services available to customers and the bank's costs. Requirements should be set for information to be presented in a simple and comprehendsible manner. The Danish Competition and Consumer Authority feels that this type of overview of services available to customers and the bank's costs will provide a better foundation for actively 170 The Danish Competition and Consumer Authority (2013). 176 questioning and comparing banks' prices and conditions. The overview could for example be sent out once or twice per year. The proposal is based on an earlier overview of costs jointly produced by Denmark's financial supervisory authority and consumer agency. It includes guidelines for what an overview of costs should contain and who should receive it. It is an optional policy which was also introduced by the trade association Finansrådet (the Danish Bankers' Association). Experience from Denmark shows that most banks follow the guidelines and issue their customers with an overview of costs around the turn of the year. In the single market, proposals are being made for the continued development of competition on the market for financial services. The European Commission recently put forward a proposal for a directive on payment accounts, which includes a recommendation that the bank informs the consumer, on an annual basis, of the fee for having a separate payment account.171 A simple cost statement can be a tool for increasing consumers' knowledge of the costs associated with banking services. This involves producing a simple, coherent and uniform report of the customers' costs in the bank. It also acts as a reminder to the customer of the costs. If every customer were to receive once per year an overview of the fees they have paid to the bank, and an overview of the costs over the past three years, it would be easier for consumers to compare different banks' prices. This can reduce the barriers to switching banks and potentially improve dynamics and competition. A cost statement can also act as a solid foundation for the consumer in their dealings with the bank, such as negotiations concerning various fees, interest rate levels and discounts. If more consumers make demands and evaluate products 171 The European Commission (2013), Article 8. 177 and services, the range of products will likely improve, to the consumers' benefit. This also creates a competitive financial market. If there is a lack of pricing information, one of the most important controlling mechanisms on a market will not work. This naturally has direct repercussions on consumers in the form of higher prices, but also leads to a weakening of the competition, especially in terms of prices, on the market. The Swedish Bankers' Association has a number of objections to the proposal and has called for a basic impact analysis.172 Before the proposal is implemented, the costs and administrative burden for the banks must be reviewed. The cost statement may likely mean that the banks' costs would be transferred to the consumer. As the Swedish Bankers' Association has pointed out, there are already extensive regulations concerning what cost-related information is to be given to consumers for different types of banking services. Obviously, a great deal of information on bank customers' fees and costs is produced for various contexts. The proposal would therefore not necessarily mean the introduction of additional information requirements. It would more likely involve compiling existing information, or gathering the most competitionfriendly and suitable information, which should limit banks' administration. The banks should also be able to minimise administrative costs by e.g., integrating the cost statement with the income statements that the Swedish Tax Agency annually distributes to customers. 172 The Swedish Bankers' Association (2009). 178 5.7 Investigate the possibility of tightening regulations concerning financial advice to consumers The Competition Authority's proposal Investigate whether a ban on commission when selling funds is the most appropriate course of action in order to achieve a more effective consumer protection, and look into how this type of ban may affect competition on the fund market. Investigate the possibility of tightening regulations that apply to financial advice to consumers by making it obligatory for the fund distributor closest to the end customer to inform the fund investor of any costs associated with advisory services and distribution for each product. This is intended to increase transparency in the fund sector, to the consumer's advantage, and afford the individual consumer greater bargaining power. Reasons for the Competition Authority's proposal Financial advice which does not prioritise the consumer's best interests, combined with a lack of transparency and ignorance on the part of the consumer can lead to very negative consequences on the size of the final return on a fund or pension investment. Today, a financial advisor/salesperson on the fund market normally receives compensation for their efforts in relation to attained sales levels or achieved targets, i.e., commission. A compensatory system of this nature may give the individual advisor incentive to recommend a consumer (fund or pension investor) looking for a low-price product to invest in a fund with a higher administration fee instead of one with a lower administration fee, purely on the grounds that the former results in a higher commission for the advisor. For this reason, a ban on commission has been discussed. 179 This type of ban could probably be formulated in a number of ways. The primary purpose of a ban on commission should be to ensure that the advice received by the consumer is adapted to their individual needs. However, the question is whether a ban on commission would in reality have the desired effect and thereby achieve the purpose of such a ban. Even if the advisor's direct incentive as it stands today – to prioritise high-price products when providing advice to the consumer – were to cease with the introduction of a ban on commission, it is probable that other factors that can give the advisor direct incentive to prioritise highprice products would remain. The advisor's client, for example, likely receives remuneration from the fund company for distribution in the form of a percentage (around 50 per cent, according to common market practices) of the fund's administration fee. Remuneration paid to the advisor by their client in the form of e.g., an annual bonus or a stock dividend based on the annual turnover could therefore be an incentive for the advisor to recommend high-price products over low price products for the wrong reasons, despite the existence of a ban on commission. There are probably more ways of contravening the purpose of a ban on commission. The ban also entails a risk that the consumer may be lulled into a false sense of security. A possible consequence of a ban on commission for financial advice is that the banks and insurance companies' hold on the fund market would be tightened as the consumer, who is often in need of advice, would probably be more likely to forgo financial advice. Compensation for this is invoiced separately as a fixed cost when purchasing shares in mutual funds. If more and more consumers choose to forgo advice, the whole point of consulting a company specialising in advice on funds or pensions is lost. A development of this kind would likely result in a number of small and mediumsized fund companies having problems with profitability and, in the long term, disappearing from the market. Barriers to entry to 180 the market would also become larger. Banks and insurance companies with strong distribution networks would once more become stronger and take market shares, just as with fund supermarkets that have built up their operations around distribution rather than advice. A potentially more effective way of tightening regulations concerning financial advice to consumers is to further increase transparency in the fund sector. This can be achieved by making it obligatory for fund distributors closest to the end customer to report how much of the administration fee remains with the distributor, as well as how much is paid to the advisor as commission, in order to strengthen the individual consumer's bargaining power. The goal is to shed light on all sales links in fund operations and put a price tag on them. This will increase the consumer's understanding of and insight into how different actors may have incentives to recommend fund products based on profit rather than what is best for the consumer. If the consumer is able to easily obtain information about the effect of costs on the administration fee, they can use these facts when consulting an advisor and thus be more difficult to influence. If a ban on commission can be avoided, this will likely favour a continuation of promising developments in terms of transparency in the fund sector. The Competition Authority's proposal is best analysed in the scope of the ongoing investigation into consumer protection in relation to financial advice.173 173 The Swedish Government (2012c), Ju 2012,14. 181 5.8 Investigate responsibility for the Stockholm Interbank Offered Rate (STIBOR) The Competition Authority's proposal Investigate who should be responsible for the inter-bank interest rate STIBOR and the framework surrounding it, as well as its effect on competition in the banking market. Reasons for the Competition Authority's proposal The banking market is characterised by different types of cooperation on infrastructure. Examples of cooperation on infrastructure services can be found in Dataclearing (DCL) and Bankgirocentralen AB's (BGC) work with payment processing on commission from the banks. Examples can also be found in BDB Bankernas Depå AB and newly formed BAB Bankernas Automatbolag AB's cooperation on infrastructure for deposits and ATMs and in international card cooperation such as Visa and MasterCard. The internal banking interest rate STIBOR is another example of cooperation between banks. Characteristic of the banking market is that interdependency exists between the largest market players, which they take into account in their decisions. This is expressed not least in the existence of different forms of infrastructure cooperation. When company representatives meet or in other ways exchange information with one another, especially within the scope of infrastructure cooperation, there is a risk that this will lead to a market outcome resembling a cartel situation. Cooperation agreements must therefore be given special attention from a competition viewpoint. It is also underlined in the Commission's guidelines on the 182 application of Article 101 in horizontal cooperation agreements.174 This establishes that the Government and other authorities should be restrictive with the creation of new platforms for cooperation between competing players on the financial market. The “infrastructure club” model has advantages from an efficiency perspective but also disadvantages. For example, companies that are part of a club have incentive to keep out new challengers and the activities within these clubs can be changed in order to coordinate the pricing in subsequent links. If the banks perceive that they have a liquidity deficit, which can arise when disbursing mortgages, they can loan from one another via the interbank market. Loans between the banks are governed by a reference rate known as STIBOR (Stockholm Interbank Offered Rate).175 They are calculated as an average of the interest rates the major banks offer each other.176 Similar sets of base interest rates/reference rates are found all over the world, e.g., LIBOR and TIBOR.177 STIBOR is determined daily for six different terms. Six banks are represented on the STIBOR panel. In the Riksbank's report Riksbankens utredning Stibor178 [The Riksbank's investigation of STIBOR], it was established that there were no signs that STIBOR was being manipulated. The report did however reveal a number of shortcomings in the framework surrounding it. The report pointed out deficiencies in management and control, as well as in terms of responsibility. 174 The European Commission (2011). 175 The Riksbank (2012a). 176 The Riksbank (2012a). 177 Wheatley (2012). 178 The Riksbank (2012c). 183 It also found other shortcomings in terms of the derivation of STIBOR from prevailing market pricing, incentive structures and an ineffective process for determining STIBOR. The Riksbank also established that there were too few participating banks. The Riksbank establishes that there is an incentive for the banks to influence bidding negatively and that the bidding process is inefficient. The bidding is open. It entails that the banks can see one another's bids during the bidding process itself, which opens up for strategic bids. The Riksbank feels that this provides incentive for the banks to influence each other, which in turn leads to the risk of “follow the leader” behaviour by which the banks place the same or similar bids. Another shortcoming pointed out by the Riksbank is that the banks are not forced to take responsibility for their bids. They are also able to change their bids during the bidding process. One proposal put forward by the Riksbank is that the banks' bids should be binding, meaning they are obliged to loan or invest in accordance with their bid. The Riksbank also establishes that there are too few banks participating in the STIBOR panel. This entails a greater risk for cooperation between the banks when STIBOR is determined. The Riksbank also feels that there are banks not on the STIBOR panel that use STIBOR in their pricing. They should also participate in the panel. Concerning responsibility for the work to change STIBOR, the report upheld that the Swedish Bankers' Association was the organisation that had the means to initiate the process of change, but that it was not obvious which actor should have the overall responsibility for STIBOR in the long term. In order to address the problems observed by the Riksbank and other stakeholders, the Swedish Bankers' Association has produced a new framework for STIBOR in collaboration with the banks in the 184 STIBOR panel, i.e., the four major banks and Danske Bank. This means that the Swedish Bankers' Association assumes overall responsibility and is the principal for STIBOR. The new framework is in use as of 04 March 2013. According to the Swedish Bankers' Association, the framework shall ensure a clearer structure and control, as well as transparency in the determination of STIBOR. The Riksbank and Nasdaq OMX have been observers in the work, and remain so at this time. Länsförsäkringar is also included in the STIBOR panel as of 04 June 2013. The Riksbank has pointed out that the framework related to the reference rate STIBOR has been largely reformed in accordance with the recommendation of autumn 2012. However, according to the Riksbank, there is still a clear and independent structure for following up and checking that the framework is adhered to. The Riksbank therefore recommends that the STIBOR framework be complemented with a requirement for independent follow-up and control.179 In light of the aforementioned, the Competition Authority proposes that the Government look into who should be responsible for the inter-bank interest rate STIBOR and the framework surrounding it, as well as its effect on competition in the banking market. Considering that there is an inherent risk with cooperation on infrastructures in that it could be used for coordination between market players, the Competition Authority considers it less appropriate to further consolidate these by transferring responsibility to the Swedish Bankers' Association, which is the banks' trade association. 179 Riksbanken (2013). 185 5.9 Look into the sale of SBAB or clarify its role The Competition Authority's proposal Investigate a sale of SBAB, or clarify how SBAB should contribute to the diversity and competition in the banking market, and ensure competition is not distorted. Reasons for the Competition Authority's proposal SBAB (the Swedish Housing Finance Corporation) Bank's business model is based on the distribution of mortgages via telephone and the internet, as well as granting credit to companies and housing cooperatives. SBAB also takes care of deposits made by consumers, companies and housing cooperatives. SBAB Bank's market share on the private mortgage market for 2012 was around 7–8 per cent. Having obtained permission in late 2010 to conduct banking operations, SBAB became a bank in March 2011, changing its name to SBAB Bank AB (publ.). The company thereby took an important step in its endeavours to offer customers a broader range of banking products and services instead of simply being associated with housing finance. SBAB Bank is wholly-owned by the State. The company was founded following a parliament decision in December 1984. The company's task was to finance the funds required for state mortgage lending. The purpose was to unburden the state budget of housing-related borrowing and lending. The premise for the forming of the company therefore had no grounds in the mortgage market. The question of whether the State would own the operations run by SBAB in competition with other lenders has been 186 up for discussion on a number of occasions. The current government intends to sell SBAB Bank at an appropriate time.180 Banks and housing credit institutions openly advertise list prices for their mortgages. The given interest rate can be considered a starting point for an individual credit rating and interest rate. The level of interest offered to an average customer following negotiations with the bank is therefore as a rule below the list prices given initially. Up to and including spring 2008, SBAB had no differential pricing. The list price given was also the final price the customer was offered if the mortgage was approved. Before the first quarter of 2005, SBAB marketed itself with prices that were significantly lower than those of the major banks. This was for mortgages with moth short and long terms. Since this, margins have sharply decreased. Since 2008, SBAB's list price has even been higher than that of the major banks during certain periods. On the other hand, at this point in time the company introduced differentiated pricing, which means that SBAB takes into account the size of the loan and loan-tovalue (LTV) ratio when determining prices. This type of pricing means that a customer can get a lower rate than the listed rate. In its report SBAB – mervärde, mångfald och konkurrens?181 [SBAB – added value, diversity and competition?], the Swedish National Audit Office has audited the efficiency in and accomplishment of goals for SBAB. According to a parliament decision, SBAB shall contribute to diversity and competition via a foundation of conventional company finance targets and an effective organisation. 180 The Swedish National Audit Office (2012). 181 The Swedish National Audit Office (2012). 187 The Government and the Riksdag had two goals with SBAB. The overall goal was for the company to generate value. Other than this, it was to contribute to diversity and competition on the mortgage market. Over the years following the turn of the millennium, SBAB contributed to reducing the average margin on mortgages. During this period, it can be said that SBAB has made an active contribution to increasing competition on the mortgage market. However, the task of putting downward pressure on prices played a role in other banks introducing a “lowest price guarantee”. Since the ambition to put down prices was abandoned, SBAB's market share has remained largely unchanged on the private mortgage market. SBAB was also the first to do away with the difference in mortgage rates for loans on houses and cooperative apartments. SBAB has had an effect on the mortgage market's way of operating during the period examined in the audit. This effect has however decreased over time. It is difficult to ascertain how much SBAB contributes to diversity and competition today. According to the Swedish National Audit Office, the administration of SBAB has been characterised by the company's board of directors and management having a great deal of freedom to independently formulate their strategy. The owner has expressed a desire not to be involved in business-related decisions. None the less, the owner has in isolated cases had opinions on what can be considered businessrelated matters. The Government has never specified what the task of striving for diversity and competition on the mortgage market involves, nor has it followed up how the company has achieved this goal. It has been up to SBAB to interpret the meaning of the task and convert this into strategies. Since operating in full competition with other 188 mortgage lenders, the company has taken the initiative for all changes, with one exception.182 The Government should look into the sale of SBAB, or clarify how SBAB should contribute to the diversity and competition in the banking market. A clearer mandate from the Government and the Riksdag to actively endeavour to contribute to diversity and competition may increase competitive pressure on the banking market. As in previous business plans for SBAB, SBAB could take on the role of a challenger of the major banks, which dominate various submarkets within the banking sector. This could include an investment in the private market. SBAB would endeavour to push down prices by offering low prices, simple products and clear pricing for private customers, with no quantity discounts. The Competition Authority notes in this context that in the report 2012/13:FiU38 Ägarstyrning av SBAB [Owner control of SBAB], the Committee on Finance discusses the Government's communication 2012/13:119 Riksrevisionens rapport om effektivitet i och uppfyllelse av målen för SBAB [The Swedish National Audit Office's report on efficiency in and accomplishment of goals for SBAB}. The Riksdag handled and approved the Committee on Finance's proposal of 05 June 2013.183 The committee notes that in the most recent shareholders' meeting, following the Government's communication, SBAB adopted new financial goals and clarified the company's distribution policy. The committee agrees with the The exception was, according to the Swedish National Audit Office (2012), in connection with a discussion on SBAB's future in 1998. At this point, a consultant report was ordered on the Ministry of Finance's initiative in order to highlight the company's future prospects. In the discussion that followed, the main alternatives were to sell or develop the company. In the end, the expansion option was chosen, with an explicit ambition to eventually sell the company. 182 183 The Riksdag (2013). 189 Government's view that it is important that SBAB, like other players on the market, does not contribute to an unsound development that results in socio-economic imbalances. The committee is therefore in favour of this being underlined by the Government in the ongoing ownership dialogue with SBAB. The committee is in favour of the Government's initiative to evaluate the risks associated with the ownership clause. Like the Government, the Committee on Finance feels that SBAB does not have a specific social mandate. The Committee on Finance also shares the Government's opinion that there is no need for specific feedback on how SBAB contributes to diversity and competition on the mortgage market. However, one factor that has not been taken into account to a sufficient extent in accordance with the Competition Authority is how state ownership can affect competition as there is a risk that official and private companies do not have the same conditions as they are acting on the same market. Public-owned companies can have a competitive advantage over privately owned companies as they can have lower financial and operative risks than private actors.184 With consideration for the above, the Competition Authority feels that the sale of SBAB should be investigated or that it should be clarified in which way SBAB shall contribute to diversity and competition on the banking market and ensure that competition is not distorted. 184 The Competition Authority (2009d), the Swedish Government (2008a). 190 5.10 Investigate the possibility of introducing a ban on price signalling The Competition Authority's proposal Investigate the possibility of prohibiting price signalling in order to reduce the risk of market and price signalling between competitors. Reasons for the Competition Authority's proposal In many respects, there is a high degree of transparency on the mortgage market for banks. The market participants are stable and few in number, and a large proportion of the customer base has low mobility due to indirect and direct switching costs. This means that the mortgage market is a market on which coordination between the players can work well. In several countries, competition authorities have noted the risk of market and price signalling on a number of markets; not least on the mortgage and deposit markets. Australia was the first country in the world to introduce a ban on price signalling in the banking sector, via an amendment to the Competition and Consumer Act 2010 which was effective from 6 June 2012. This Australian act contains two bans: a per se ban on the practice of privately revealing prices to consumers outside of normal business activities, 191 a general ban on (privately or publicly) revealing information (e.g., prices, discounts, capacity, commercial strategy) with the intention of significantly weakening competition on the market.185 Australia's competition authority has issued guidelines.186 The guidelines clarify that the general ban entails a ban on price signalling. They include the example that a leading representative for Bank A signals that the bank does not intend to reduce their interest rates in order to test competitors' reactions. In another example provided, a leading representative for a bank announces at a banking sector conference that the bank is not willing to make greater interest rate increases than those of the Riksbank, or to introduce new fees. The general ban does not, however, prevent banks from publishing consumer prices e.g., in newspapers or on their websites. Exchanging market information can lead to a limitation of competition, where this allows companies to gain information on competitors' marketing strategies. How the exchange of information affects competition depends on the characteristics of the market and the nature of the information.187 The exchange of information can constitute a coordinated procedure if it reduces the strategic uncertainty on the market and thereby facilitates collaboration. It requires the exchange of strategic information between competitors. It narrows competitors' opportunities to act independently on the market and weakens their incentive to compete.188 The Commission's guidelines state that if 185 Australian Competition & Consumer Commission (2012b). 186 Australian Competition & Consumer Commission (2012a). 187 The European Commission (2013). 188 The European Commission (2013), p. 61. 192 companies exchange strategic information, they are most likely covered by 101 FEUF (and Chapter 2, Section 1 KL). Strategic information is information which reduces the strategic uncertainty on a market. Strategic information may related to prices, production costs, marketing plans or technology.189 The strategic benefit of the information also depends on its level of aggregation, its age, the market context and how often the information is exchanged. Cases of this type are complicated to investigate in terms of competition law, and legal proceedings of this nature often take several years. 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With an application to mortgage rates, Managerial and Decision Economics, Volume 28, Issue 7 UCITS IV (Direktiv) Undertakings for Collective Investment in Transferable Securities, Directive 2001/107/EC and 2001/108/EC) VanHosse, D., (2010), The industrial organization of banking: Bank behavior, market structure, and regulation, Springer Villaägarnas Riksförbund, (2013a), Resultat av webbenkät om slopade ränterabatter Villaägarnas Riksförbund, (2013b), Bundna bolån - Vad anser svenska folket Wermers, R., (2003), Is money really smart? New evidence on the relation between mutual fund flows, manager behavior, and performance persistence, Working paper, University of Maryland 204 Appendices Figure B1 Average listed interest rate and customer interest rate, 2-year, for the period 2001–2011 7,00 6,00 5,00 4,00 Listränta 3,00 Kundränta 2,00 1,00 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 Source: The Competition Authority's own calculations of the banks' responses. Figure B2 Average listed interest rate and customer interest rate, 5-year, for the period 2001–2011 7,00 6,00 Listränta 5,00 Kundränta 4,00 3,00 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 Source: The Competition Authority's own calculations of the banks' responses. 205 Figure B3 Variation (standard deviation) of banks' average listed interest rate, 2-year 0,25 0,20 0,15 0,10 0,05 0,00 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 Source: The Competition Authority's own calculations of the banks' responses. Figure B4 Variation (standard deviation) of banks' average listed interest rate, 5-year 0,25 0,20 0,15 0,10 0,05 0,00 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 Source: The Competition Authority's own calculations of the banks' responses. 206 Figure B5 2-year difference between the listed interest rate, the average funding cost, STIBOR 3M and repo rate 7,00 6,00 5,00 Listränta 4,00 Upplåningskostnad 3,00 STIBOR 3M 2,00 Repo 1,00 0,00 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 Source: The Competition Authority's own calculations of the banks' responses. Figure B6 5-year difference between the listed interest rate, the average funding cost, STIBOR 3M and repo rate 8,00 6,00 Listränta 4,00 Upplåningskostnad STIBOR 3M 2,00 Repo 0,00 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 Source: The Competition Authority's own calculations of the banks' responses. 207 Figure B7 Price leadership, customer interest rate 2-year rate 2001–2011 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Bank A Bank B Bank C Bank D Bank E Bank F Bank G Bank H Source: The Competition Authority's own calculations of the banks' responses. Figure B8 Price leadership, customer interest rate 5-year rate 2001–2011 30% 20% 10% 0% Bank A Bank B Bank C Bank D Bank E Bank F Bank G Bank H Source: The Competition Authority's own calculations of the banks' responses. 208 Figure B9 Price leadership, customer interest rate 2-year rate 2005–2011 100% Bank A 80% Bank B 60% Bank C Bank D 40% Bank E 20% Bank F 0% Bank G 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Source: The Competition Authority's own calculations of the banks' responses. Figure B10 Price leadership, customer interest rate 5-year rate 2005–2011 100% Bank A 80% Bank B 60% Bank C Bank D 40% Bank E 20% Bank F 0% Bank G 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Source: The Competition Authority's own calculations of the banks' responses. Address SE-103 85 Stockholm Telephone +46-8-700 16 00 Telefax +46-8-24 55 43 E-mail [email protected]
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