Minimizing Amortized Cost of the On-demand Irrigation System in Smart Farms Tiantian Xie, Zhichuan Huang, Zicheng Chi, and Ting Zhu (Tientien Hsieh) Department of Computer Science and Electrical Engineering University of Maryland, Baltimore County Irrigation water is not abundant • Only around 0.3% freshwater can be utilized by human and the ecosystem. • Irrigation accounts for more than 70% of the freshwater withdraw Worldwide. Global water outlook to 2025,International Water Management Institute; Traditional control strategy Trial-and-error (Manually turn on/off the irrigation). • Requires extra efforts • may suffer from over-irrigation or under-irrigation. “I shall turn it off. An hour has passed. It should last a few days” State of the art • Soil moisture sensor based “Dry? irrigate 50min.” “Saturated? it’s good.” State of the art • Evapotranspiration (ET) based “Based on the local weather today (no rain, high temperature and high wind speed), irrigate 40 mins.” State of the art • • Soil moisture sensor based Evapotranspiration(ET) based Issue: Can’t prevent the over-irrigation before precipitation. If numerical weather prediction (NWP) can be used, we might resolve it. Irrigation also requires energy In 2010, around 220 billion kWh is consumed on water for agriculture in the U.S. (NCSL,National Conference of State Legislatures). Minimize both water and energy usage while fulfilling the irrigation demand. Architecture of a smart farm Energy Solar Panel Water Pump Water Tank Ground Water Crops Time-of-Use(TOU) model Power Grid Design goal: minimize the amortized cost of irrigation Design Overview We propose an on-demand irrigation system to control the energy and water flow to meet the irrigation demand with minimal amortized cost NWP TOU Model Irrigation Demand Estimation On-demand Scheduling Optimization Solar Energy Prediction Controller Energy Water NWP: Numerical Weather Prediction Irrigation demand estimation Estimate the irrigation demand time and energy (solve overirrigation problem). Energy demand time: the soil moisture level is first below the irrigation starting level while no increase within the moisture tolerance. Energy demand amount: the amount of energy to raise the soil moisture level to the target moisture level. . Soil moisture Target level Soil moisture Target level Start level Start level Tolerance level Tolerance level Predicted future Current hour Predicted future Current hour Irrigation demand estimation Soil moisture estimation. • Basic idea: The variance of the soil moisture level is affected by the current weather and soil status. Train an SVR (Support Vector Regression) model that uses the previous soil moisture level, the current weather to estimate the current soil moisture. Estimation Solar energy prediction NWP TOU Model Irrigation Demand Estimation On-demand Scheduling Optimization Solar Energy Prediction Controller Energy Water NWP: Numerical weather prediction Solar energy prediction Predict the solar energy distribution for the scheduling period in the future. ) • SVR based on hourly NWP (e.g., cloud cover, dew point, and precipitation) and historical solar energy outputs. Solar energy prediction Issue: Over-prediction will cause the scheduler shift less energy to the power grid. Until at last, all energy demand has to come from power grid probably with high TOU price. Estimate an over prediction penalty parameter using near historical data by minimizing an error function: predicted solar energy at time t observation at time t mean of observations U(.) is a penalty function: under-prediction over-prediction Solar energy prediction 2000 Prediction Prediction-U - 1500 - Number of Over Prediction Number of over-prediction over time: 1000 500 0 0 1000 2000 3000 Time(h) 4000 On-demand scheduling NWP TOU Model Irrigation Demand Estimation On-demand Scheduling Optimization Solar Energy Prediction Controller Energy Water On-demand scheduling optimization Schedule the energy source in the near future. The amortized energy cost based on TOU price model The amortized solar energy cost. The energy can’t exceed the energy cache capacity C yet meet the energy demand µ̃ The energy during each interval should not exceed the system capacity Linear Programming Evaluation • Datasets: One year in Austin, TX. • • • • Soil moisture data from NOAA Numerical weather data from World Weather Online Solar energy output from Pecan Street. Baselines: • Soil moisture based Irrigation (SMI) • On-demand Irrigation (ODI) • On-demand Irrigation without TOU (ODI-WOT) • Oracle Irrigation Performance Origin 3000 4000 Hour ODI 5000 SMI 6000 Our system saves water and energy just hours before precipitation around hour 6,000. Energy consumption and cost Energy consumption: 7.97% Water consumption: Energy cost: 25.34% Conclusion • Utilize future information to avoid over-irrigation before precipitation. • On-demand irrigation with TOU to meet the irrigation demand with minimal amortized cost • Reduce the amortized cost by 25.34% and save 7.97% water and energy resources. Thanks Q&A
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