CE208X Semester project Attack of New York Martin, KW Rogers, RD 4/23/15 THIS IS AN ANTI-TERROR TRAINING EXERCISE. Why attack a city’s water If we attack a cities’ water and gain control over it with ease. Most cities don’t have a large enough supply of water to last long enough for the water to be turned back on. Even if they had a large supply of water the human body needs about three liters of water a day to function properly and the more you work the higher the water need is On top of the water used to drink the city would also have to worry about how much people would use for daily tasks like a shower, washing dishes, washing clothes, toilets. Depending on the year you have you could use anywhere from 2 to 4 gallons of water a minute just for a shower, a bath is 36 gallons for a full tub of water. New York's roof top water towers only hold enough water to last one day at best. If the tank has an leak or a broken pipe that water will last significantly less. With roof top water towers being on almost every building. Anyone trying to strike fear in a certain aria can pick and chose what buildings to hit. The New York water supplies over 9 million people in the entire state including the city of New York. Attack on the water delivery system The infidel city of New York would be a prime target for an aqua-terrorist to strike. The city is out dated and their water supply is in critical need of renovation. New York uses a reservoir system to provide nearly 9 million people in the city and its surrounding aria with about 1.4 billion gallons of drinking water a day. Any of the water tunnels that we hit would create a massive decrease in the water supplied to the city and surrounding aria. If the tunnel was collapsed it could take weeks to a month to clear the ruble and even more time to make it structurally sound/reliable. If they try to tunnel around the dearie it could take many months to a year to be usable. They have been trying to build a third tunnel into the city since 1970 and not expected to be done till around 2021 and cast about $5 billion dollars. Even in the city the water is vulnerable. Many of the building are to tall to have water piped directly to the building. It gets stored in water towers on top of the buildings. If we hit certain water towers we could give the allusion of a wide spread attack but only hit ten or twelve towers. With more then 15,000 water towers through out New York the choice comes down to which would do the least damage to the city but also strike the most fear in the people. There are only two companies that work on the water towers. If we want to frame one of them we could avoid that one or the other. The average tank holds about 10’000 gallons of water. If the tank was to ever run empty it would take two or three hours to completely fill it. he two companies that build water towers, Isseks Brothers and Rosenwach Tank Company, have been in business for over a century. Isseks tanks are dark grey with an I on top, while Rosenwach has a birch cone capped by double Rs. With any bacteria added to the tanks would be absorbed in to the wood making the bacteria last longer and a simple draining the tank and cleaning inside will not make it safe to use again. To get rid of the bacteria to make it safe to use again the entire tower would have to be deconstructed and a new one made and filed in its place. The problem is that a new wood water tower costs around $30,000 and can take at least a day to assemble and fill. Not including the time to making the design for the new tower. After the tower has been replaced the pluming will have to be redone in the entire building to prevent the spread or the bacteria again. Attack on water source If the water tunnels are too heavily guard a second option to affect the New York it to hit the water at its source. New York uses a reservoir system, these reservoirs are big lakes that are open to all sorts of bacteria and animal life. The problem is the trip to the city is almost 40 miles under ground and many bacteria die off between the water reservoir and the city. If a bacteria was introduced it would have to be strong enough to mace to the test plant and get that water source to be shut down. This would be as effective if not more effective in limiting the water to the city. With the water source being turned off it could give us an opportunity to attack or do more damage to another portion of the water system. Attack on the treatment plant All of the water coming in to the city no mater what tunnel or reservoir goes through the treatment plant before being put in to the city. If we took the treatment plant we could control the water flow and quality of the water at the same time. If we have trouble with controlling the center then we could always blow it up and keep the people from getting any clean water to drink. The amount of water bottles New York aria would need to last one day with out fresh water is 4.5 million bottles. This would last one day and that many water bottles would raise the water bottle prices around the country sky high. Another option to blocking the tunnel is to get three or four of these subway plugs. Many of the tunnels are about the size of a little smaller then a subway tunnels. This inflatable bag could be fed in to the pipe and at an intersection could be activated causing a complete blockage of the tunnel. By using multiple bags we insure the complete stoppage of flow and control over the water . The only down side to these is that in like collapsing the tunnel. If these were popped they will deflate and the flow will start up again. The sudden rush of water might cause damage to other parts of the tunnel but not to the point that would reach our needs. Subway plug is made of three layers. The base is a polyurethane bleater that holds the air on place. The second is a Vectran liner. The third and outer most layer is made from woven Vectran. Originally designed by DHS(Department of Homeland Security). It can inflate to take up a volume of 35000 gallon. Can be inflated by water or air. Held in place by friction. They can be remotely activated. Vectran is 5 times stronger then steal and 10 times stronger then aluminum. To get it in place we will find a survive station in the pipe line and insert it in. Then let it go down stream for a bit before activating it causing it to inflate and bloke the flow. We would also put one up stream of the access tunnel to keep it from flooding too bad. With the Vectran bags being 5 times stronger then steal and 10 times stronger then aluminum it would take an enormous amount of force to rupture them. The woven outer layer also adds a layer of extra protection by making a tight shield against any penetration. After the water is gone After the fresh water runs out the stores will be raided for the water bottles. Other then the gas stations the three biggest stores to be raided are Walmart, Sam's club, and Target. There are three of each in New York but all the water in the stores won't last more then a day or two at best. After those days water would have to be brought in at a rate of a tractor trailer load per min. Size verses population Of all the major cities in the united states to attack there are plenty of other city's with more people or could spread more fear. But few have the population density, city size, and world stage as New York. The city of New York is small enough to fit in any of the other major cities. Even internationally the best choice for more bang for your buck is new York. Compared to London, New York is still a batter target. The city of new York fits in a quarter of the city of London but has a larger population. There are also a lot more venues that would be effected by any form of aquaterism. Water in the pipes After the water leaves the pipes leading from the retaining ponds the water enters the treatment plant. Once it has left there it enters a series of water pipes going through out the city. The water depending on where you are could be anywhere from fresh to over 100 Hr’s old. Cryptosporidium “Crypto” is a chlorine disinfectant tolerant parasite. The parasite is protected by a tough other shell that allows it to survive for long periods outside of the body. In 1993, 400,000 people in Milwaukee people were affected by Crypto with 54 dying. The purpose of crypto would not be fatalities per se, but rather to spread fear and suspicion through mass contamination of the water supply. • Crypto is currently present on 90% of all dairy farms • All Crypto outbreaks in the United States have occurred via municipal water supplies that meet all federal and state guidelines for purification. • Chlorination has little to no with Crypto pathogens being exposed to 13% chlorine for up to 18 hours with no change. Crypto’s lethality • Crypto spores are spread through human feces, animal feces, and contaminated water supplies • Millions of Crypto spores can be released in a single bowel movement • The average infection via Crypto requires only 132 specimens, proving that one infected individual could infect hundreds of others • Crypto infections occur more commonly in day care centers, schools, and hospitals where large populations are in constant contact with one another • The fact of how readily Crypto can be spread and its strong environmental tolerance make it the best candidate for our biological attack on New York City Symptoms of Crypto • Crypto’s symptoms lend it greatly to being a biological weapon. 1. Diarrhea (up to 20 liters/day) 2. Nausea 3. Vomiting 4. Extreme abdominal cramps 5. Low grade fever • These seemingly inconspicuous symptoms would allow us to contaminate more of New York City’s water supply before the government, the CDC or any organizations could catch on. The frequent diarrhea (magnified in immuno-comprimised victims) would lead to a greater dependence on the water system which would exacerbate the cycle and lead to more infections before the cause is determined. The Infection of New York City with Crypto • Our plan calls for a 2 pronged contamination of New Yorks water supply with Crypto. 1. Rooftop Water Towers 2. Introduction of Crypto into the reservoir By utilizing a dual pronged approach we hope to cause the greatest amount of damage to the New York City water system. This will provide us with many options with how and when we attack the city and gives us a greater chance of success and increases the destructive nature of the attack. Introduction of Crypto into the Reservoirs • Crypto can be purchased online but for our attack we generate our own cultures in a lab. Crypto is a very hardy pathogen and can be found in 97% of all surface water. To generate enough Crypto for an outbreak we would need to have approximately 132 oocyts per 1,000 gallons of water. With 1.4 billion gallons travelling in to the city we would need approximately 10,000 lbs of oocysts to infect the water supply. This 10,000 lbs of concentrated crypto would be enough to make it through the reservoir and have enough to make it to the water treatment plant. These oocyst would be inserted using a tanker truck that would pull up and dump 40,000 gallons of the crypto solution into the reservoir. Water Towers • Multiple small packets (approximately 5 lbs) would be dumped in 50100 towers throughout NYC. From Brooklyn to Harlem to Long Island the wide spread panic would be great. • The combination assault of both an infected water supply and infected water towers would be enough to cause widespread cases of the disease while also making the source harder to pinpoint. • The water towers around NYC are sparsely defended so no countermeasures need to be taken except to be on the lookout for surveillance items in the area. • The goal of this attack is not necessarily to kill but to rather infect NYC’s water supply and cause the most amount of damage as possible. End Result • Crypto takes 12-18 days to present after infection • The gestation period before the epidemic presents itself would be enough time for any assailants to make it out of the country and be in hiding by the time the US government found out what had happened • With the amount of oocysts introduced in to the water system there would be enough crypto to infect millions. With crypto being self reproducing the disease could theoretically keep reintroducing itself for years to come • With Crypto’s hardy characteristics it would take a long time for the it to be eradicated THIS IS AN ANTI-TERROR TRAINING EXERCISE. Project division 5 4.5 4 3.5 3 Martin 2.5 Rogers 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 25% 50% 75% 100% THIS IS AN ANTI-TERROR TRAINING EXERCISE. Work cited THIS IS AN ANTI-TERROR TRAINING EXERCISE. • http://www.water-technology.net/projects/new-york-tunnel-3/ • http://www.nyc.gov/html/dep/html/drinking_water/history.shtml • http://www.eserc.stonybrook.edu/cen514/info/NYC/WaterSupply.html • http://www.nyc.gov/html/dep/html/drinking_water/wsmaps_wide.shtml • http://www.mayoclinic.org/healthy-lifestyle/nutrition-and-healthy-eating/in-depth/water/art-20044256 • http://water.usgs.gov/edu/wateruse-trends.html • http://water.usgs.gov/edu/qa-home-percapita.html • http://inhabitat.com/nyc/wp-content/blogs.dir/2/files/2013/10/New-York-City-Water-Tunnel-No-3-Size-537x359.jpg • http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/9/91/New_Croton_Dam_from_below.jpg • http://www.themijachronicles.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/10/newyork11.jpg • http://www.watertowers.com/facts.html • http://inhabitat.com/nyc/wp-content/blogs.dir/2/files/2012/11/giant-subway-plug-537x401.jpg • http://laist.com/2012/06/30/map_how_many_major_us_cities_can_fi.php • http://www.quora.com/How-does-London-compare-to-New-York-City-when-it-comes-to-quality-of-life • http://www.hazenandsawyer.com/work/projects/dbp-for-nyc/ • http://www.amny.com/real-estate/city-living/water-towers-nyc-s-misunderstood-icons-1.6982696 • http://www.studio360.org/story/sideshow-rooftop-giants-new-york-water-towers-ronnie-farley/ • http://www.swicofil.com/vectran.html • http://www.popularmechanics.com/technology/infrastructure/a11755/the-inflatable-35000-gallon-subway-plug-7795767/ • http://www.studio360.org/story/sideshow-rooftop-giants-new-york-water-towers-ronnie-farley • http://biology.kenyon.edu/slonc/bio38/hannahs/crypto.htm#water
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