Folke Bernadotte Academy A Modern Approach to International Security Modena, 05.13.16 Agenda • The legacy of Count Folke Bernadotte • Factors driving conflicts and the role of forced migration • Types of conflicts • A new global order – challenges and approaches • FBA – an example Folke Bernadotte The United Nations’ first mediator Some factors driving international and local conflicts Natural resources Technological development Lack of social cohesion Demographic changes Refugees – victims both now and then Refugees in Europe Asylum applications in EU per 100.000 population, 2015 HUNGARY 1799 SWEDEN 1667 AUSTRIA 1027 FINLAND 591 GERMANY 587 LUXENBOURG 445 MALTA 430 BELGUIM 397 EU AVERAGE 260 ITALY 138 0 500 1000 1500 2000 10 main countries of origin for refugees globally, 2012 – 2014 4 500 000,00 4 000 000,00 3 500 000,00 3 000 000,00 2 500 000,00 2 000 000,00 1 500 000,00 1 000 000,00 500 000,00 Syria Afghanistan Somalia Sudan South Sudan DR Congo 2012 2013 2014 Central African Republic Iraq Eritrea Pakistan Conflicts and refugees – an undeniable linkage Different types of conflicts • Interstate conflicts • • Intrastate conflicts • • Conflicts witin a state, such as Colombia v. FARC Internationalized conflicts • • Conflicts between two or more states, such as the Iran – Iraq war Conflicts where one or more actors support the warring parties, such as the Vietnam war Extrastate conflicts • Conflicts between a state and a non-state about a territory outside of the state itself, such as colonial wars A new global order – challenges and opportunities • Challenges of the United Nations • • • • Different conflicts Forced migration Isolationistic policies UN reform • Review of peace operations As the world changes, the international community must change with it! New demands, new approaches, new actors – EU and OSCE In sum • Not a significant increase in number of conflicts • Today’s conflicts are increasingly complex in nature • Conflicts are more deadly now than earlier • Clear connection between conflicts and refugees • Major challenges for the international community The Folke Bernadotte Academy (FBA) Facts and figures • Swedish government agency for peace, security, and development • Overall task to support international peace and security • Founded in 2002 with offices in Sandö and Stockholm • 120 employees and 70-80 deployed to international peace and security missions International secondments – making a difference on the ground FBA’s seconded experts and bilateral projects Education and training – essential for a job well done Policy, research and development of doctrine – the foundation of experience and improvement Challenges Forum • International platform for cooperation on peace operations • 22 partners, including from all P5 countries • Recent launch of the report Designing Mandates and Capabilities for Future Peace Operations • Contribution to the UN Secretary General’s Independent High-Level Panel on Peace Operations Network for female negotiators • Women are highly underrepresented in peace processes • Swedish initiative to increase the number of women active as mediators and facilitators in peace processes • Initiative aiming both at Swedish women and at women from conflict- and post-conflict countries Female representation in peace processes 120% 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% Signatories Chief Negotiators Men Witnesses Women Mediators A conflict’s constituents Reason: Answers the question of why – Inequality, poverty, repression Resources: Answers the question of with what – Reason Resolve Resolve: Answers the question of do we dare to – Resources Weapons, economic resources, base of recruitment Armed conflict is the only available option Thank you!
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