Desirable properties of wood in the 21st Century Ken Skog, Ted Wegner, Peter Ince, USDA Forest Service Forest Products Laboratory Madison, Wisconsin Charles Michler USDA Forest Service Northern Research Station West Lafayette, Indiana MeMoWood Conference IUFRO 5.01-04 Nancy, France October 1-4, 2013 Topics Background US Forest Products Laboratory Selected findings at the beginning Vision 2050: Forestry and forest products in a sustainable world Desirable wood properties – Current wood products and uses – Biofuels, energy, chemicals – Thermochemical conversion – Biofuels, chemicals – Biochemical conversion – Cellulose nano materials – Carbon sequestration / emission offsets Role of biotechnology Thoughts on a path forward Co-Authors Ted Wegner Assistant Director Chemical Engineer Peter Ince Forest Economist (retired) Charles Michler Forest Geneticist Forest biorefinery Nanocellulose technologies Market projections Technology change Hardwood genomics Tree improvement Background / goals Part of U.S. assessment of forest productivity research – What research could yield high return on investment? Identify wood properties needed in high productivity forests – Describe drivers of wood product needs • Current commercial products/ new & emerging products – Indicate desirable properties – Suggest general strategies for attaining properties • Enhanced “generalist” trees • “specialist” or “purpose grown” trees Selected Findings Current wood uses projected to remain dominant – many enhanced properties will be important. Emerging issues will shape wood use – Renewable energy – thermal, electric, liquid fuels – Chemical feedstock production – Cellulose nano materials – Carbon sequestration/ emission offset Biotechnology can tailor wood properties of plantation trees Gap – Science and technology needed to provide wood properties to – produce uniform wood at high growth rates & short rotations – meet specific end-use performance needs World Business Council for Sust ainable D evelopment Vision 2050 The new agenda for business A collaborative effort involving 29 companies Business-as-usual Outlook to 2050 • “Humanity has largely had an explosive relationship with our planet; we can, and should, aim to make this a symbiotic one.” • Michael Mack, Syngenta International AG Growth: The world population is increasingly urban Global population by type of area and by region – 1950-2050 10,000 9,000 Population in millions 8,000 7,000 6,000 Urban - Less developed 5,000 Rural - Less developed Urban - More developed 4,000 Rural - More developed 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 Source: UN Population Division, World Population Prospects: The 2008 Revision, 2008 Growth: The global middle class is rapidly expanding Population in low- and middle-income countries earning US$ 4,000-17,000 per capita (purchasing power parity) 1.2 billion 16 Percent of global population 14 12 Sub-Saharan Africa South Asia 10 Middle East and North Africa 8 6 Latin America and the Caribbean Europe and Central Asia 400 million East Asia and the 4 2 0 2005 2030 Source: World Bank, Global Economic Prospects, 2007 Degradation: Greenhouse gas emissions keep rising GHG emissions by regions 80 70 GtCO 2eq 60 50 Rest of the world 40 BRIC (Brazil, Russia,India, China) OECD 30 20 10 0 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 Source: OECD, Environmental Outlook to 2030, 2008 Degradation: The world could be running out of some resources Global supply forecasts according to the implied ultimate recoverable resources of conventional oil, date of peak production and the post-peak aggregate decline rate Forecast post-peak decline rate 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% USEIA Shell Peak Oil Consulting OPEC LBST Miller IEA Meling Campbell BGR 2% Uppsala 1% Total 0% 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 Forecast date of peak Source: UKERC, The Global Oil Depletion Report, 2009 2050 Forests Vision for 2050 Recovery and regeneration Turbulent teens Carbon incentives drive progress Consumption of industrial roundwood by region – 1965-2030 900 800 700 North America 600 millions m 3 Transformation time Growing momentum for forest protection and efficient production Increasing consumption of industrial roundwood Europe 500 Asia and 400 Latin America 300 Africa 200 Western and Central Asia 100 0 1965 1990 2005 Source: FAO, State of the World’s Forests 2009, 2009 2020 2030 Energy and power Vision for 2050 Secure and sufficient supply of low-carbon Turbulent teens Tilting and leveling the playing field for energy A new energy mix to reduce CO2 emissions World abatement of energy-related CO2 emissions in the 450 scenario Transformation time Greenhouse gas emissions peak and decline Source: International Energy Agency, World Energy Outlook 2009, © OECD/IEA 2009 Materials Vision for 2050 Not a particle of waste Turbulent teens Doing more with less Eliminating waste by closing the material loop An alternative material life cycle Transformation time Closing the loop Manufacturer Long use Reuse of products Reuse of parts Closed loop materials recycling Open loop materials recycling User Landfill Source: WBCSD pathway to Vision 2050 To aThe sustainable world in 2050 TODAY From business-as-usual IPCC 5th Assessment Report WGI Summary for Policy Makers “Limiting climate change will require substantial and sustained reductions of greenhouse gas emissions.” “By the mid-21st century the magnitudes of the projected changes are substantially affected by the choice of emissions scenario.” -- IPCC 5th Assessment Report WGI SPM 27 Sept 2013 The IPCC endorses a carbon budget Quote from NYTimes article by J. Gillis (27 Sept 2013) “To stand the best chance of keeping the planetary warming below an internationally agreed target of 3.6 degrees Fahrenheit (2 degrees Celsius) above the level of preindustrial times, the panel found, no more than one trillion metric tons of carbon can be …released into the atmosphere. Just over half that amount has … been emitted since the beginning of the Industrial Revolution, and at the rate energy consumption is growing, the trillionth ton will be released … around 2040, according to …Myles R. Allen, a scientist at the University of Oxford and one of the authors of the new report. More than three trillion tons of carbon are still left in the ground as fossil fuels.” Vision 2050 – Vision for forestry and forest products Forestry – No harvest from primary forests (old growth) – 3X increase in yield and harvest from plantations – Limited additional harvest from modified natural forest – 50% increase in roundwood harvest GHG Mitigation – Carbon incentives to stop deforestation, 10% more forest C over 2010 – Increase long term C storage in buildings - Wood use beyond traditional regions and styles – Increase wood use for liquid fuel, power, heat Materials production – Focus on long lived closed loop renewables; no waste – Dematerialization – less wood fiber per unit product Forest products, technologies, and wood needed to meet Vision 2050 Goals Enhanced conventional wood products – Wood for sawnwood, panels, furniture parts, paper Biofuels/ power / heat/ chemicals – Wood for thermochemical conversion Biofuels/ chemicals – Wood for biochemical conversion Cellulose nano materials; fibrils, crystals; nano ~ 100 nm) – Wood for stronger/ dematerialized structural and paper products Carbon sequestration/ carbon offsets – C in forests – Wood for long term C storage in products – Wood for structure to substitute for steel, concrete Key property needs 1 Wood for current structural/ appearance solidwood products – Higher growth (lower cost) – Lower microfibril angle – Higher density – Less juvenile wood – Improved stem form – More desirable wood color – More uniformity across trees Wood for paper, paperboard – Higher cellulose / lower lignin – Higher syringyl to guaiacyl lignin ratio – Longer more flexible tracheids Key property needs 2 Biofuels/ power/ heat – Thermochemical conversion – Higher growth (lower cost) – Higher energy density – Low ash content Key property needs 3 Biofuels/ Chemicals/ Pharmaceuticals– Biochemical conversion – Higher growth (lower cost) – Higher specific gravity – Higher cellulose (6 C sugars) – Higher 6 C sugars in hemicellulose – Lower recalcitrant (crystalline) cellulose – Higher syringyl to guaiacyl lignin • (Conifers = G, nonconifers = G & S) Source: USDOE NREL Key property needs 4 Cellulose Nano materials – fibrils, crystals – Long strong fibrils • Cellulose crystals with high length to diameter ratio (currently 40-60) – Reactive sites to attach chemicals Source: Moon et al 2011 Key property needs 5 Carbon sequestration/ emission offsets – Forest C sequestration • Resistance to disturbances (fire, insects, disease) – Solidwood products • Long term C storage in products – Durability to extend use life • Substitute for steel/ concrete – Increased strength to weight – Pulp/paper – • lower C emissions in manufacturing – Lower lignin; higher syringyl to guaiacyl ratio The Stadthaus, Hoxton, London (Cross laminated timber) “Timeline” for Property needs Needed now for current products/ combustion/ greenhouse gas mitigation – Sawnwood/ plywood/ composite panels: Higher specific gravity, Improved stem form, Lower microfibril angle, Less juvenile wood, Longer more flexible tracheids, More desirable wood color, Durability (strength/ decay) – Pulp: Higher cellulose, lower/modified lignin, lower moisture – Combustion: Lower ash content, high lignin, lower moisture Additional needs for products nearing commercialization (biofuels, chemicals, pharmaceuticals) – Lower recalcitrant (crystalline) cellulose – Higher 6 Carbon sugars in hemicellulose Additional needs long term for cellulose nano materials – Higher crystalline cellulose, higher crystal length to diameter, high number of reactive sites (to attach chemicals) Vision for Cellulose Nanomaterials 1 Overall vision for materials in 2050 – Renewable feedstocks, low C emissions, no waste – Dematerialize - dramatically lighter with designed high performance – Decouple density, stiffness, strength Cellulose nanomaterials – an enabling technology Features of cellulose nano materials – Renewable, biodegradable, low C emissions in transport/ production – high strength/ stiffness to weight – Transparent to opaque – Piezioelectric properties (mechanical stress = voltage) Vision for Cellulose Nanomaterials 2 Dematerialize, dramatically lighter, high strength/ stiffness Cellulose nano materials - extremely high strength to weight Metals Stiffness Cellulose crystals high stiffness and high strength (per unit density) Solidwood Strength Vision for Cellulose nano materials 3 Products High volume (10’s of millions of tonnes) – Automobile parts (exterior and interior panels, 300+ kg saved) – Concrete (3% fibrils by wt increases fracture energy 50%) – Packaging and paper, e.g. fillers and coatings (replace plastics, decrease pulp use, inorganic coatings) – Clothing (light, durable) Low volume (examples) – Aerospace (structures, interior parts) – Filtration – Construction specialty products – Sensors (biohazards, chemical hazards) Novel (example) – Flexible TV screens Source: (Shatkin, Wegner., Bilek, Cowie, Forthcoming) Vision for Cellulose nano materials 4 Desired properties Long strong nano fibrils – Higher crystalline cellulose versus amorphous cellulose – Higher crystal length to diameter High number of reactive sites (on fibrils / crystals) – To bond to matrix material in composite – To link chemicals – sensors, inhibitors, pharmaceuticals Biotechnology as a tool for manipulating desirable properties Families of genes are known (e.g. populus) that influence – Branch angle, stem thickness, lignin content, plant competition, insect and disease resistance Anticipated traits that could be manipulated – Longer more flexible tracheids (strength in paper/composites) – Modified of color sapwood (appearance lumber grades) – Decrease in microfibril angle (strength in softwoods) – Reduction in juvenile wood (strength in softwoods) – Uniformity of fiber characteristics (pulping control) – Reduction in property difference between early and late wood (decrease color difference) (increase strength) (pulping control) Thoughts on the Path Forward Two research tracks needed Research to modify tree and wood properties to meet end use needs Research to adapt technologies to exiting properties to meet end use needs Enhanced Generalist trees – needed now Specialist trees – Need to know how to make them - Monitor emerging markets - Value = value increment in market - Need to have markets before planting Thank you [email protected] References Moon, R.J., Martini, A., Nairn, J., Simonsen, J., Youngblood, J. 2011. Cellulose nanomaterials review: structure, properties and nanocomposites. Chem. Soc. Rev. 40:3941-3994. Schaedler, T.A., Jacobsen, A.J., Carter, W.B. 2013. Toward lighter, stiffer materials. Science 341(13 Sept):1181-1182. Shatkin, J., Wegner, T., Bilek E.M.(Ted), Cowie, J. Forthcoming. Market projections for cellulose nano-material enabled products – Part 1: Applications. Wegner, T., Skog, K.E., Ince, P.J., Michler, C.J. 2010. Uses and desirable properties of wood in the 21st century. J. of Forestry. June. 165-173. World Business Council for Sustainable Development. 2010. Vision 2050, The New agenda for business. Geneva. 71 p. Contact : Ken Skog - kskog (at) fs.fed.us
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