FIRST, PROVISIONAL DRAFT! PLEASE TREAT ACCORDINGLY! Strong Parties? Individual Preferences and Legislative Behavior of Austrian Members of Parliament Wolfgang C. Müller and Marcelo Jenny Department of Government University of Vienna Hohenstaufengasse 9 A-1010 Vienna Austria [email protected] Paper prepared for the workshop "Parliamentary Control of the Executuve", ECPR Joint Sessions of Workshops, Copenhagen, 14–19 April 2000. INTRODUCTION In this paper we address the fundamental question of the Public Choice research program: how do individual preferences translate into public decisions. More specifically, we are interested in how political parties affect the behavior of their Members of Parliament (MPs). Drawing on the work of Keith Krehbiel (1993; 1999; 2000) we are interested in the question whether Austrian parties can be considered strong. This question may appear trivial in Western Europe and particularly in Austria, which may be considered a "party state" par excellence. However, there is much to be said for "a stronger standard for strong parties" (Krehbiel 1993: 260). In trying to apply this standard to the Austrian parties, we not only question common wisdom but also the parties’ selfportraits as communities of faith or value communities. In the paper we first address the theoretical question of strong parties. Then we take a look at parliamentary party cohesion in the Austrian Nationalrat. Next we turn to the preferences of MPs. Based on a recent survey we map out their preferences in the five most important policy dimensions and show how they aggregate. This will allow us to draw conclusions on party strength. STRONG PARTIES? Research on Western European parliaments as a rule proceeds from the assumption that the behavior of MPs is structured by their party affiliation. Indeed, there is much to support this premise, in particular the largely cohesive behavior of the parliamentary parties. In many European parliaments this cohesion is so overwhelming, that it hardly has ever been measured systematically.1 More recently, strong political parties have also been found in the US Congress. In contrast to their European colleagues, US scholars have taken the trouble of trying to measure party strength. Predictably, there is no consensus. As Krehbiel has forcefully argued, the literature which claims a strong role of political parties in Congress mixes up two things: the behavior of Congress Members and their preferences. In his words the question is, "do individual legislators vote with fellow party members in spite of their disagreement with the policy in question, or do they vote with fellow party members because of their agreement about the policy in question? (1993: 238) In more general terms: if members of parliament act cohesively, they may do so because they have shared preferences or because of party influence upon them. Strictly speaking, parties only matter if the party line is contrary to the personal preferences of the parliamentarians but nevertheless observed by them (Krehbiel 1993: 240). If, however, party positions and individual preferences are identical or, at least, very close to each other, parties can be considered superfluous: if parliamentarians act in accordance with their own preferences they automatically maintain party cohesion (Krehbiel 1999: 35). Hence, Krehbiel has argued that parties can be considered strong only if parliamentarians follow the party line which conflicts with their preferences. In Germany and Austria, and more generally in Western Europe, such behavior is discussed by employing the highly normative terms of "Fraktionszwang" or "Klubzwang", meaning enforced party cohesion (Patzelt 1998). 1 For surveys see Saalfeld (1995) and Bowler, Farrell, and Katz (1999). 2 If parties "are empirically significant, then politics should be significantly different with parties from what it is without them" (Krehbiel 1993: 240). In more technical terms: In a world without parties, parliaments should vote for the policies which represent the preferences of the median legislator. 2 In a world with parties, in majority situations parliaments should vote for the median of the majority party and in minority situations for policies which are somewhere between the medians of those parties which form a voting coalition. In special cases these policies can be identical with those representing the preferences of the median legislator. The "stronger standard for strong parties" has been developed for the US Congress, however, Krehbiel has suggested that this approach "can and perhaps ought to be applied elsewhere, too" (1993: 259). In different context William Riker has referred to Krehbiel’s work by saying, "it is, of course, necessary to repeat his work on other Congresses, on other legislatures, and in other ways" (1997: 198). This is the purpose of the present paper. In the European context the Krehbiel approach is useful because it translates the essentially normative debate about the tensions between the free mandate and enforced party cohesion ("Fraktionszwang" or "Klubzwang") in an empirical research question. However, in importing this approach from a presidential system to parliamentary systems, the different properties of these systems need to be considered. In parliamentary systems majorities usually form not for individual legislative action but for supporting a government and its legislative program. In parliamentary systems we can consider political parties strong, when they (1) maintain the support of those MPs of the government party or parties whose preferences are not reflected in the government’s legislative program in spite of the fact that they could (2) bring about a government which is more in tune with their preferences if they would not follow the party line.3 Party loyalty of MPs in the first instance means the support of the government in investiture, confidence and no confidence votes. However, strong parties not only ensure the survival of the government but also guarantee that the government program gets enacted. That means that their MPs support the government in legislative voting even if (1) the legislative proposals conflict with their individual preferences and (2) there would be an alternative majority which would enact a bill which is closer to the preferences of the MPs. Parliamentary systems are characterized by package deals when it comes to building majorities. That means that MPs may vote against their preferences in some cases because they can be sure that they will realize more of their preferences under the given government than under its alternatives. Parliamentary behavior which contradicts the MPs’ preferences then would not be due to strong parties but to individual calculations of MPs who expect to get their sufferings over specific policies compensated by more rewarding ones. However, package deals within majority parties and between coalition parties as a rule are hammered out by party leaders and need to win 2 See, for instance, Black (1958), Downs (1959), Elenow and Hinich (1984), Mueller (1989, ch 5), Hinich and Munger (1997, chs. 2-4). 3 One possibility of MPs to create such a government is to break away from the parliamentary party (Mair 1990). The relevant case in Austria is the break-away of five Freedom Party MPs in 1993, who then founded the Liberal Forum. This created a new potential majority coalition of SPÖ, Greens, and Liberal Forum, who together controlled more seats than the People’s Party and the Freedom Party between 1993 and 1994. However, a new government which better reflects the preferences of individual MPs can also be achieved without their breaking away from their party. As the examples of the Fourth French Republic and Italy demonstrate, MPs of the government parties can achieve their policy and office goals by voting against their own government (Hine 1993: 170-1; Sartori 1997: 111). 3 acceptance of the respective backbenchers. This introduces the problem of non-simultaneous exchange (Weingast and Marshall 1988). Mores specifically, party leaders demand from their backbenchers to act against their preferences today, and promise that they will be compensated at some time in the future. The "selling" of such package deals to the backbenchers also requires strong parties. It is the more difficult, the more legislative proposals violate the preferences of MPs and the more prominent these are. In the present study we have tried to minimize the impact of the package deal problem by focusing on policy areas. PARLIAMENTARY PARTY COHESION Let us first take a look at parliamentary party cohesion. This question has been addressed in a personal interviews with all 183 Austrian MPs. In the interviews the Members of Parliament had been asked whether they have ever remained in a minority in their own parliamentary party in a matter important to them. 17 percent of the MPs reported that this had never occurred, while 83 percent could recall such cases. 36 percent of the MPs reported that in their entire career there had been a single such case, 42 percent reported several such occasions, and eight percent claimed that they frequently had remained in the minority in their own party (Müller et al. 2000). We have recorded the important cases of internal disagreement reported by the MPs and have asked them about their subsequent behavior in the plenary meeting. Most MPs could or were willing to recall their behavior. Table 1 reports their answers. Altogether 110 MPs answered this question, some of whom reported several cases (therefore the percentages do not always sum up to 100). According to Table 1 four fifth of the parliamentarians could remember their behavior. We assume that the remaining 20 percent are more likely to have voted with their party. Almost half of the MPs recorded that they had voted with their party. 15 percent took rescue to the mild means of disagreement – absenteeism. 30 percent claimed that they had voted against their party. Keep in mind, however, that Table 1 registers singular or very rare events. In other words, only 30 percent of the Austrian MPs claim that they have voted against their party once (and in a few cases more often) in their entire career. We take this as evidence of a high degree of party cohesion in parliamentary voting. Table 1: MPs behavior in plenary meeting in specific cases of disagreement with the party line (percentages; more than one coding possible) SPÖ Voted with my party Absence Voted against my party Cannot remember (n) 50 27 21 21 (44) ÖVP 49 11 17 29 (35) FPÖ 44 0 52 13 (23) LF 50 0 50 0 (2) G 17 0 83 0 (6) Parliament 46 15 30 20 (110) Abbreviations: SPÖ Social Democratic Party of Austria ÖVP Austrian Poeple’s Party FPÖ Freedom Party of Austria LF Liberal Forum G Greens 4 Unfortunately, roll-call votes are relatively rare events in the Austrian parliament. Thus, we cannot subject the evidence from the interviews to large-scale checks with behavioral data. Table 2 reports the Rice index for the 75 roll-call votes which were held in the 1994–97 period. Full party cohesion produces a Rice index of 100, a split in the middle of a parliamentary party gives a Rice index of 50. We have calculated a second version of the Rice index in which we have counted absent MPs as dissenters. While disagreement is certainly one of the reasons for absenteeism, it is not the only one. After having checked the individual absentees, we doubt that policy disagreement is the most important explanation of absenteeism. Table 2: Rice index of party cohesion in roll-call votes, 1994–97 Legisl. term (XIX.) (n=29) 1994–95 (XX.) (n=46) 1996–97 Rice index (mean) SPÖ ÖVP FPÖ LF G Parliament Voting MPs Absentees counted as "silent protest" Voting MPs Absentees counted as "silent protest" 99,3 96,8 99,7 96,0 99,2 94,0 93,3 76,0 97,7 79,7 98,9 93,9 99,9 97,3 99,0 96,0 99,5 92,9 98,8 88,0 96,2 78,1 99,3 94,5 The Rice index indicates very high degrees of party cohesion. Interestingly, the decline of party cohesion in the alternative version of the index (which counts absenteeism as "silent protest") is most severe in the cases of the Liberals and Greens, parties which are less concerned about party cohesion than the major parties or even reject the idea of party discipline in the sense of the "Klubzwang". Compared to party cohesion in other parliamentary systems, Austrian parties stand out as extremely cohesive. According to the rudimentary data contained in the literature, no country displays a higher degree of party cohesion. The cohesion of the Austrian parties is similar to that of the French Communists and Socialists in the 1960s and early 1970s and the German Social Democrats until the end of the 1950s, that is parties that are well known for their cohesion at that time (Wilson and Wiste 1976; Saalfeld 1995: 109). Party cohesion in the Austrian Nationalrat is considerably higher (that is some index points higher) than in the German Bundestag and in the Norwegian Storting (Saalfeld 1995: 109-10; Rasch 1999: 131). Compared to the parties of the center-right in France (until the early 1970s), the Finish parties (until the mid-1960s), or the Swiss parties, cohesion is extremely high in Austria (Wilson and Wiste 1976; Lanfranchi and Lüthi 1999: 109). It is thus fair to say that Austrian MPs act in accordance with their fellow partisans. In so doing the members of the government parties also respect coalition discipline. Austrian legislative behavior is overwhelmingly structured by the opposition mode, that is, the government and their parliamentary parties constitute one block which acts cohesively (King 1976; Müller 1993; Sickinger 1996). Indeed, there has never been a violation of coalition discipline, that is, one government party outvoting the other one by joining forces with the opposition (Müller 2000c). When individual MPs have not respected the party line, this has never led to a result which was 5 different from the coalition’s policy position (Müller and Steininger 2000: 81). Finally, we are not aware of non-decisions which were caused by anticipated parliamentary defeat of the government. However, there had been two important pieces of legislation in the 1994–96 and 1996–99 parliamentary terms in which the government had to water-down its legislative proposals in order to maintain the support of the government backbenchers. In the 1994–96 term a package of austerity measures, the so-called "Sparpaket 1", faced the resistance of Social Democratic MPs and was eventually enacted only in a watered-down version. The same happened to a legislative proposal reforming the pension system in the 1996–99 term. While important, these were singular events. PREFERENCES AND THEIR AGGREGATION We can now turn to the question why the MPs have acted so cohesively and supportive for the government. Is it because they act according to their own preferences or because they are influenced or forced by their parties to do so against their preferences? Only in the latter case we can consider the parties strong. This question has never been systematically addressed with regard to Austrian MPs, though occasionally authors have issued their opinions on the basis of "participatory observation". Thus Heinz Fischer (1974: 134) has characterized the relevance of the "Klubzwang" (enforced party cohesion) as "highly overrated" by external observers (mainly journalists). He has argued that an MP whose preferences are different from those of the majority of his or her parliamentary party may not necessarily agree with the positions put forward by the other parties. Indeed, a rather rightist Social Democratic policy may be the best a left Socialist can hope for in a parliament where the Social Democratic Party is the parliamentary group most to the left. In this paper we take up this question by taking a systematic look at the preferences of the MPs. In the remainder of the paper we distinguish one-stage and two-stages aggregation of preferences. In a one-stage preference aggregation the MPs vote according to their own preferences or as delegates of external decentralized bodies (such as electoral districts or local party organizations). According to the median voter theorem this means that the median legislator’s preferences will be decisive. In a two-stages preference aggregation the preferences of the MPs are first aggregated in the various political parties. The resulting positions are then accepted by all MPs of the respective party. Schütt-Wetschky (1984: 18) labels this the "group type" of parliamentary democracy, in which the MPs are members of parliamentary parties and act cohesively, with the MPs who have remained in the minority accepting and supporting the majority position in their external behavior in order to enhance the political success of the group. According to the median voter theorem, the party-internal median becomes the party position. In the second stage of preference aggregation only the party positions matter. In the case of the Austrian parliament this means that 183 individual positions are first aggregated to five party positions, which are backed by the respective MPs. According to the median voter theorem the majority should form around the party which includes the new median legislator. 6 Data This paper draws on the most comprehensive political elites survey ever conducted in Austria. All 183 Members of Parliament have been interviewed orally (Müller et al. 2000). After the interviews they were asked to complete a questionnaire, on which the present paper draws.4 Altogether 137 MPs have returned the questionnaire, what means a return rate of 75 percent.5 This is an excellent return rates compared to surveys among MPs in other countries.6 The written questions mainly served the purpose to identify the political preferences of the representatives by asking them about their agreement or disagreement with a range of political statements. Three different scales were employed, ranging from 1 to 4, 1 to 7, and 1 to 10 respectively. The Tables 3 to 7 mainly report raw data. The Social Democratic Party and the People’s Party are slightly over-represented while the Freedom Party, the Liberal Forum and the Greens are slightly under-represented. This is irrelevant, as long as one focuses on the preferences within individual parties. If, however, the whole parliament comes into focus, the result would be misleading. We have therefore calculated a weighted mean and a weighted median for the parliament.7 In this section we present data on the preferences of Austrian Members of Parliament with respect to those five policy dimensions, which traditionally have been of paramount importance in Austrian politics and/or which have become so in the 1980s and 1990s (Müller, Philipp, and Jenny 1995; Müller 2000b). These are (1) the traditional economic conflict dimension, (2) the religious conflict dimension, (3) the socio-cultural policy dimension, (4) the European integration conflict dimension, and (5) the conflict over the Austrian political system. Together these conflict dimensions structure party competition in the 1980s and 1990s. The economic conflict dimension The economic cleavage has been the most important one for the structuring of the Austrian party system since the late 19th century. This cleavage has divided the parties of the left (Social Democrats, Communists, Greens) from those of the right (People’s Party, Freedom Party, Liberal Forum). In Table 1 we present data on several sub-dimensions of this cleavage (social justice, government role in the economy, welfare vs. taxes, fighting unemployment or inflation, and government role at the European level). 4 The bulk of the questionnaires were completed in the spring and fall of 1997. A few more were added in the winter 1997/98 and in the spring of 1998. 5 The individual parties are represented with 76 percent (SPÖ), 77 to 81 percent (ÖVP), 62 to 71 % (FPÖ) and 56 percent (LF, Greens) of their MPs. 6 A survey with an equivalent questionnaire and has resulted in an average return rate of 37.6 percent in most other EU countries. Only Sweden had a higher return rate with 90.9 percent. The other countries ranged between 14.9 percent and 58 percent (Belgium) (Katz and Wessels 1999: 252). 7 We have based our calculations on the seat distribution after the partial repetition election of 1996 and the change of one Liberal Forum MP to the Freedom Party. This seat distribution was the one which held for most of the legislative term and it is the one which is reflected in the interviews. SPÖ 71, ÖVP 52, FPÖ 42, LF 9, Greens 9. 7 Table 3 shows that the ideological spectrum within the individual parties is broad and overlaps considerably. In 18 out of 25 cases – and in 15 of 15 cases in the three major parties – it covers more than half of the scale, that means that individual parties contain MPs with very left and rather right positions or very right and rather left positions. The partly considerable standard deviations indicate that this is not due to ideological mavericks. Rather the three big parties have ideological wings. Therefore the parties’ cohesive parliamentary behavior is not due to preference identity or homogeneity. However, does the two-stages aggregation of preferences have an effect on the outcome? Would there be a different majority position (according to the median voter theorem) if the MPs would vote according to their own individual preferences rather than along the party line? The answer is a clear "Yes". There is a left-of-center majority with regard to all economic issues. The two-stages aggregation of these preferences, however, produce right-of-center majorities in three out of five sub-dimensions (incomes inequality, government role in the economy, welfare). In the "reduce inequality of incomes" dimension, for instance, the median based on the MPs’ individual preferences is 2. However, working from the five party medians and taking into account the voting power of the individual parties, the new median is 4.8 With regard to one more issue (fighting unemployment) the two-stages aggregation shifts the median position slightly to the right. In contrast, the median for the remaining issue (EU employment program) is shifted slightly to the left by the two-stages aggregation of preferences. In both cases, the new median is the FPÖ’s party position. We can conclude this brief discussion by stating that in the most important policy dimension the two-stages aggregation has a significant effect on the outcome. Parties indeed can be considered strong. 8 This is based on the following distribution of preferences: 80 MPs (71 of the SPÖ and 9 of the Greens) favor 1 on the seven point scale, 9 MPs (LF) favor 3, while a total of 94 MPs (52 of the ÖVP and 42 of the FPÖ) favor 4. Hence the new median is 4. 8 Table 3. MPs’ preferences with regard to the economic cleavage 9 "Fully agree" (=1) to "Fully disagree" (=7) Reduce inequality of incomes "There should be greater efforts to reduce the inequality of incomes." SPÖ ÖVP FPÖ LF G Raw Weighted Median Mean Range SD (n) 4 4 3 1 2 2 3,7 3,7 3,4 1,2 2,7 2,7 1-7 1-7 2-5 1-2 1-7 1,7 2,0 1,5 0,5 1,8 (40) (26) (5) (5) (130) (183) Government role in the economy "The government should have a greater role in the economy." SPÖ ÖVP FPÖ LF G Raw Weighted Median Mean Range SD (n) 1 1,6 1-5 0,9 (54) 3 2,6 1-5 1,0 (54) 4,5 4,5 2-7 1,7 (40) Twostages 4 Twostages 4,5 5 7 4 3 3 4,4 6,2 3,0 3,7 3,7 1-7 5-7 1-5 1-7 2,0 1,1 1,9 1,8 (30) (5) (5) (134) (183) Welfare vs. taxes "The present level of welfare should be maintained even at the price of tax increases." SPÖ ÖVP FPÖ LF G Raw Weighted Twostages Median 2 5 5 6 2 3 3 5 Mean 1,9 4,7 5,1 6,2 1,6 3,6 3,6 Range 1-6 1-7 1-7 5-7 1-3 1-7 SD 0,8 1,9 1,6 0,8 0,6 2,1 (n) (54) (39) (30) (5) (5) (133) (183) Unemployment vs. inflation "It is more important to reduce unemployment than to limit inflation." SPÖ ÖVP FPÖ LF G Raw Weighted Twostages Median 1 4 2,5 4 1 2 2 2,5 Mean 1,6 3,9 2,8 4,6 1,2 2,7 2,7 Range 1-4 1-7 1-7 4-6 1-2 1-7 SD 0,9 1,7 1,6 0,9 0,5 1,7 (n) (54) (38) (30) (5) (5) (132) (183) EU employment program (=1) vs. completion of single market (=10) "The former President of the European Commission, Jacques Delors, has proposed that the EU shall provide financial means for a comprehensive employment program. Others believe that the completion of the single market is the best means to solve the problem of unemployment." SPÖ ÖVP FPÖ LF G Raw Weighted Twostages Median 1 4 1,5 9 3 2 2 1,5 Mean 1,6 4,6 3,3 8,6 3,2 3,2 3,3 Range 1-8 1-10 1-10 6-10 1-6 1-10 SD 1,2 2,7 3,2 1,5 2,3 2,8 (n) (54) (42) (30) (5) (5) (136) (183) 10 The religious cleavage The religious cleavage traditionally has been the second policy dimension in the Austrian party system, dividing the secular parties from the Christian Socials (in the pre-WW II period) and the People’s Party (since 1945). This conflict dimension has lost much of its saliency in the post-war period, with the Social Democrats and the Catholic Church making peace. However, the question whether public law conflicts with religious values has not completely disappeared from the political agenda. Relevant issues include Sunday work, divorce, and abortion. The abortion issue has not only been a recurring but also by far the most important one. We therefore use it to measure the preferences of MPs with regard to the religious conflict dimension. However, note that the abortion issue also has a socio-cultural dimension (women’s rights). Table 4. MPs’ preferences with regard to the religious cleavage SPÖ Median Mean Range SD (n) 1 1,5 1-7 1,1 (54) "Fully agree" (=1) to "Fully disagree" (=7) Abortion "Women should be free to decide on abortion." ÖVP FPÖ LF G Raw Weighted 5 4,7 1-7 1,9 (39) 2 2,9 1-7 2,3 (30) 1 1,2 1-2 0,5 (5) 1 2 1,0 2,7 1-2 1-7 0,0 2,2 (5) (133) 2 2,7 Twostages 2 (183) Table 4 shows that the three major parties again have a remarkably broad spectrum of preferences. Collectively, the representatives of each of the major parties exhaust the full scale. This cleavage – or the specific issue – polarizes more within the individual parties than the economic cleavage. Accordingly, the standard deviation is higher than in the four economic issues which have been measured with the same seven point scale. Consequently, it is not preference identity or homogeneity which makes MPs to vote cohesively when such issues come on the agenda. In contrast to the economic conflict dimension, the two-stages aggregation of preferences does not change the outcome. The median remains 2, what implies largely the acceptance of the women’s autonomy to decide about abortion. The socio-cultural cleavage The socio-cultural cleavage summarizes conflicts between liberterian and conservative positions (cf. Kitschelt 1994; 1995). These include the gender conflict, the conflict over immigration, and the conflict between civil rights and the state. While all these conflicts can be considered as cleavages in their own right, they are highly correlated both at the elite and mass levels. Table 5 contains two issues which both belong to the last-mentioned sub-dimension. They address the 11 latent conflict between civil rights and the effective fight against crime and the issue of decriminalizing "soft" drugs. However, we believe that these issues can be generalized to the cleavage as we have outlined it above. Table 5. MPs’ preferences with regard to the socio-cultural cleavage "Fully agree" (=1) to "Fully disagree" (=7) Fighting crime "There should be tougher action against crime." SPÖ ÖVP FPÖ LF G Raw Weighted Median Mean Range SD (n) 3 3,0 1-7 1,7 (54) SPÖ Median Mean Range SD (n) 5 4,7 1-7 2,1 (54) 2 2,4 1-7 1,4 (40) 5 5 2 2 5,0 5,0 2,6 2,7 3-6 4-6 1-7 1,2 0,7 1,7 (5) (5) (134) (183) Drugs "Decriminalize use of marijuana." ÖVP FPÖ LF G Raw Weighted 7 6,2 1-7 1,6 (40) 1 1,5 1-6 1,0 (30) 7 6,9 6-7 0,3 (30) 1 1,2 1-2 0,5 (5) 1 7 1,0 5,4 1-1 1-7 0,0 2,2 (5) (134) 7 5,3 Twostages 2 Twostages 7 (183) Table 5 once again reveals a very broad spectrum of preferences among the MPs of the Social Democrats and the People’s Party, each of which again collectively exhaust the whole scale. It is the Social Democratic Party which is particularly characterized by the existence of ideological wings with regard to this cleavage. In contrast, the preferences in the Freedom Party MPs are relatively well aligned. In sum, however, we can once again conclude that cohesive parliamentary behavior of the parties is not due to preference identity or homogeneity. However, the two-stages preference aggregation, first within parties and then between them, does not change the outcome compared to individual voting in parliament. The European integration cleavage The European integration cleavage has become mass relevant in Austria not before the 1980s and particularly the 1990s. The conflict is between the preservation of full national sovereignty and full participation in the European integration process. 12 Table 6. MPs’ preferences with regard to the European integration cleavage Maintain national currency (=1) vs. European currency (=10) SPÖ ÖVP FPÖ LF G Raw Weighted Twostages 10 Median 10 10 2 10 10 10 10 Mean 9,2 9,2 3,0 9,8 9,2 7,8 7,8 Range 2-10 1-10 1-9 9-10 6-10 1-10 SD 1,5 1,8 2,4 0,5 1,8 3,1 (n) (54) (42) (30) (5) (5) (136) (183) Continue to remove national borders in the EU (1) vs. tougher border controls to fight crime more effectively (10) SPÖ ÖVP FPÖ LF G Raw Weighted Twostages Median 2 2 7,5 1 1 3 3 2 Mean 2,6 2,7 6,9 1,4 1,2 3,5 3,5 Range 1-10 1-10 1-10 1-2 1-2 1-10 SD 2,2 1,9 2,9 0,6 0,5 2,9 (n) (54) (41) (30) (5) (5) (135) (183) Table 6 provides a picture already familiar to the reader: the major parties are characterized by a enormous range of preferences. This is also true for the Freedom Party. The standard deviation is particularly high in this party which used to be the most pro-European of all Austrian parties until its electorally motivated U-turn in the early 1990s. Table 5 suggests that the new anti-European party line is not very deeply rooted among FPÖ MPs. Again we can say that the cohesive parliamentary behavior of the parties cannot be explained exclusively by the representatives’ preferences. Two-stages preference aggregation does not change the policy outcome with regard to the issue of the European currency. However, there is such an effect with regard to the second issue. While the median based on the individual preferences of the MPs is 3 and thus indicates a middle level of consent with a further removal of national borders in the EU, the two-stages aggregation leads to a meadian of 2 and hence a stronger pro-European position. We can again take this as indicating the existence of strong parties. The conflict dimension of the political system Since the 1980s core elements of the Austrian political system have been challenged in party competition. The Freedom Party has demanded a comprehensive change of the institutional framework. All opposition parties have challenged the corporatist mode of policy-making. However, the most rewarding target of the opposition parties has been the "secret agenda" of grand coalition politics: the dividing up of the public sector in party political spheres of influence (of the Social Democrats and People’s Party exclusively), which goes far beyond what parliamentary majorities can claim as legitimate means of implementing their policies in liberal democracies (Müller 1989). 13 We have not raised the many different controversial issues of the political system conflict dimension in the MPs questioneer. Rather we have asked them for a summary evaluation of the working of democracy in Austria (Table 7). With regard to this dimension the preferences of the MPs of the various parliamentary parties are rather homogeneous. They are largely dependent on their status as either in-groups or out-groups in the political system. Only MPs of those parties which have shaped the political system have proofed completely satisfied, in turn, all completely dissatisfied MPs belong to the Freedom Party. The two-stages aggregation of preferences does not change the outcome. Table 7. MPs’ satisfaction with the working of democracy Satisfaction with democracy "How satisfied are you, considering everything, with the working of democracy in Austria?" "Very satisfied" (=1) to "completly dissatisfied" (=4) SPÖ ÖVP FPÖ LF G Raw Weighted Twostages Median 2 2 3 3 3 2 2 2 Mean 1,9 1,8 3,1 2,6 2,8 2,2 2,2 Range 1-3 1-3 2-4 2-3 2-3 1-4 SD 0,6 0,6 0,4 0,6 0,5 0,7 (n) (54) (42) (29) (5) (5) (135) (183) CONCLUSION This paper has addressed the question whether Austrian parties are indeed strong if the "stronger standard for strong parties", as suggested by Krehbiel (1993; 1999), is applied. According to this standard, parties are only strong if individual MPs vote with fellow party members but against their individual preferences although they could achieve an outcome which is closer to their preferences by not supporting the party line. Our empirical look at party cohesion has indeed demonstrated that MPs vote with the party in all but exceptional circumstances. We then have looked at the political preferences of the MPs to figure out whether their parliamentary behavior is just an expression of their preferences or whether it reflects the influence of strong parties. With regard to most policy dimensions and issues we have found considerable preference divergencies among the MPs of one and the same party. If they vote together in parliament, they do not so because their preferences are so well aligned that this is the natural thing to do. Whatever the party position, a good deal of the respective MPs will hold preferences which are quite remote from it. Thus there is ample evidence for the first condition of strong parties. However, the question remains whether the MPs could have done better in terms of policy outcome by not voting with their party. With regard to two policy dimensions we have indeed found such effects of political parties. If the preferences would not have been aggregated in two stages, first within the individual parties and then between them, the outcome would have been 14 different. In the economic policy dimension and the European integration policy dimension, parties have managed to shift the median position considerably. With regard to economic issues, the existence of political parties shifts the median from the left to the right of the political spectrum. This result is particularly puzzling since this policy dimension is generally considered the most important one. In the European integration dimension political parties shift the median slightly in the pro-European direction. With regard to the other three policy dimensions, the religious, socio-cultural, and the political system dimensions, we have not observed such shifts. Although the preferences held by MPs of one and the same party are highly diverse, their patterns of distribution account for the fact that the two-step aggregation does not change the outcome. Hence, with regard to the "stronger standard for strong parties" only the first criterion is fulfilled. Although our findings are not uniform, we nevertheless interpret them as supporting the claim that Austrian parties are indeed strong according to the "stronger standard for strong parties". It is beyond the ambition of the present paper to explain what makes political parties strong, that is, what means they employ to make their MPs to behave cohesively (see Müller 2000a for a discussion). 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