CHAPTER 5 Why Net Present Value Leads to Better Investment Decisions Than Other Criteria Answers to Practice Questions 1. 2. 3. a. NPVA $1000 $1000 $90.91 (1.10) NPVB $2000 $1000 $1000 $4000 $1000 $1000 $4,044.73 (1.10) (1.10) 2 (1.10) 3 (1.10) 4 (1.10)5 NPVC $3000 $1000 $1000 $1000 $1000 $39.47 (1.10) (1.10) 2 (1.10) 4 (1.10) 5 b. Payback A = 1 year Payback B = 2 years Payback C = 4 years c. A and B a. When using the IRR rule, the firm must still compare the IRR with the opportunity cost of capital. Thus, even with the IRR method, one must specify the appropriate discount rate. b. Risky cash flows should be discounted at a higher rate than the rate used to discount less risky cash flows. Using the payback rule is equivalent to using the NPV rule with a zero discount rate for cash flows before the payback period and an infinite discount rate for cash flows thereafter. a. NPVY 175 80 70 60 50 39.06 2 3 1.09 (1.09) (1.09) (1.09) 4 NPVZ 350 125 125 125 125 54.96 2 3 1.09 (1.09) (1.09) (1.09) 4 NPVY 175 80 70 60 50 0 IRR Y 19.71% 2 3 1 r (1 r) (1 r) (1 r) 4 NPVZ 350 125 125 125 125 0 IRR Z 15.97% 2 3 1 r (1 r) (1 r) (1 r) 4 NPVZ = €54.96 million, which is positive and greater than NPVY, so project Z is the better investment. 29 b. NPVY 175 80 70 60 50 5.38 2 3 1.18 (1.18) (1.18) (1.18) 4 NPVZ 350 125 125 125 125 13.74 2 3 1.18 (1.18) (1.18) (1.18) 4 NPVZ = – €13.74 million while NPVY = +€5.38 million, so project Y is the better investment. c. The cash flows for (Z – Y) are: C0 = – €175 C1 = €45 C2 = €55 C3 = + €65 C3 = + €75 NPVZ- Y 175 45 55 65 75 0 IRR Z- Y 12.73% 2 3 1 r (1 r) (1 r) (1 r) 4 The NPV for the larger investment (Project Z) is greater than the NPV for the smaller investment (Project Y) as long as the cost of capital is less than 12.73%. 4. r = -17.44% 0.00% 10.00% 15.00% 20.00% 25.00% 45.27% Year 0 -3,000.00 -3,000.00 -3,000.00 -3,000.00 -3,000.00 -3,000.00 -3,000.00 -3,000.00 Year 1 3,500.00 4,239.34 3,500.00 3,181.82 3,043.48 2,916.67 2,800.00 2,409.31 Year 2 4,000.00 5,868.41 4,000.00 3,305.79 3,024.57 2,777.78 2,560.00 1,895.43 Year 3 -4,000.00 -7,108.06 -4,000.00 -3,005.26 -2,630.06 -2,314.81 -2,048.00 -1,304.76 PV = -0.31 500.00 482.35 437.99 379.64 312.00 -0.02 The two IRRs for this project are (approximately): –17.44% and 45.27% Between these two discount rates, the NPV is positive. 5. a. Because Project A requires a larger capital outlay, it is possible that Project A has both a lower IRR and a higher NPV than Project B. (In fact, NPVA is greater than NPVB for all discount rates less than 10 percent.) Because the goal is to maximize shareholder wealth, NPV is the correct criterion. 30 b. To use the IRR criterion for mutually exclusive projects, calculate the IRR for the incremental cash flows: C0 C1 C2 IRR A-B -200 +110 +121 10% Because the IRR for the incremental cash flows exceeds the cost of capital, the additional investment in A is worthwhile. c. 6. a. NPVA $400 $250 $300 $ 81.86 1.09 (1.09) 2 NPVB $200 $140 $179 $79.10 1.09 (1.09) 2 PID PIE b. 20,000 1.10 8,182 0 .82 ( 10,000) 10,000 10,000 35,000 1.10 11,818 0 .59 ( 20,000) 20,000 20,000 Each project has a Profitability Index greater than zero, and so both are acceptable projects. In order to choose between these projects, we must use incremental analysis. For the incremental cash flows: PIE D 15,000 1.10 3,636 0.36 ( 10,000) 10,000 10,000 The increment is thus an acceptable project, and so the larger project should be accepted, i.e., accept Project E. (Note that, in this case, the better project has the lower profitability index.) 7. Use incremental analysis: Current arrangement Extra shift Incremental flows C1 C2 C3 -2,500,000 -2,500,000 +6,500,000 -5,500,000 +6,500,000 0 -3,000,000 +9,000,000 -6,500,000 The IRRs for the incremental flows are (approximately): 21.13% and 78.87% If the cost of capital is between these rates, Titanic should work the extra shift. 31 8. Using the fact that Profitability Index = (Net Present Value/Investment), we find: Project 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Profitability Index 0.78 -0.07 0.29 0.67 1.06 0.56 0.50 Thus, given the budget of €15million, the best the company can do is to accept Projects 1, 5, 6 and 7. This precisely uses the entire budget of €15million. Project 4 has a higher Profitability Index than either project 6 or 7; however, if Project 4 were accepted, the company would have to reject either Project 6 or Project 7, which would reduce the total NPV. If the company accepted all positive NPV projects, the market value (compared to the market value under the budget limitation) would increase by the NPV of Project 3 plus the NPV of Project 4: €1.1 million + €1.0 million = €2.1 million. Thus, the budget limit costs the company €2.1 million in terms of its market value. 9. One of the ‘pitfalls’ encountered when using the internal rate of return arises in the ranking of mutual exclusive projects that have different cash flow patterns over time. For example, when comparing Projects F and G in Section 5.3 of the text, we find that the IRR for Project F (33%) is greater than the IRR for Project G (20%), while the rankings are reversed when comparing net present values. This inconsistency arises because, at the assumed 10% cost of capital, the later cash flows from Project G are not discounted as much as they are at higher discount rates. (This point is clearly demonstrated in Figure 5.5 in the text.) The same issue prevails when comparing rankings derived from the profitability index with rankings using the internal rate of return. Since the scale of both projects is the same (i.e., a $9,000 cash outflow for each project), the profitability index produces the same rankings as does the NPV criterion, thereby resulting in the same ‘pitfall’ for the IRR rule. 32 Consider the following simple numerical example: Project C0 C1 C2 C3 IRR J K - €2 - €2 €3 0 0 0 0 €4 50.00% 25.99% NPV (at 10%) 0.727 1.005 PI (at 10%) 0.364 0.503 If the cost of capital is less than 15.47%, then Project J has the higher NPV and, therefore, the higher PI. At rates above 15.47%, the more distant cash flow for Project K is heavily discounted, so that the NPV and the PI for Project J are less than the NPV and PI, respectively, for Project K. The NPV and PI rankings must be consistent because the scale of investment is the same for both projects. 33 Challenge Questions 1. The IRR is the discount rate which, when applied to a project’s cash flows, yields NPV = 0. Thus, it does not represent an opportunity cost. However, if each project’s cash flows could be invested at that project’s IRR, then the NPV of each project would be zero because the IRR would then be the opportunity cost of capital for each project. The discount rate used in an NPV calculation is the opportunity cost of capital. Therefore, it is true that the NPV rule does assume that cash flows are reinvested at the opportunity cost of capital. 2. [Note: In the first printing of the eight edition, Challenge Question 2 refers to Practice Question 3. The reference should be to Practice Question 4.] a. C0 = –3,000 C1 = +3,500 C2 = +4,000 C3 = –4,000 b. xC 1 C0 = –3,000 C1 = +3,500 C2 + PV(C3) = +4,000 – 3,571.43 = 428.57 MIRR = 27.84% C3 xC 2 1.12 1.12 2 (1.122)(xC1) + (1.12)(xC2) = –C3 (x)[(1.122)(C1) + (1.12C2)] = –C3 x - C3 (1.12 )(C1 ) (1.12C 2 ) x 4,000 0.45 (1.12 )(3,500 ) ( 1.12)(4,00 0) C0 2 2 (1 - x)C1 (1 - x)C 2 0 (1 IRR) (1 IRR) 2 3,000 (1 - 0.45)(3,50 0) (1 - 0.45)(4,00 0) 0 (1 IRR) (1 IRR) 2 Now, find MIRR using either trial and error or the IRR function (on a financial calculator or Excel). We find that MIRR = 23.53%. It is not clear that either of these modified IRRs is at all meaningful. Rather, these calculations seem to highlight the fact that MIRR really has no economic meaning. 34 3. Maximize: NPV = 6,700xW + 9,000xX + 0XY - 1,500xZ subject to: 10,000xW + 0xX + 10,000xY + 15,000xZ 20,000 10,000xW + 20,000xX – 5,000xY – 5,000xZ 20,000 0xW – 5,000xX – 5,000xY – 4,000xZ 20,000 0 xW 1 0 xX 1 0 xZ 1 Using Excel Spreadsheet Add-in Linear Programming Module: Optimized NPV = $13,450 with xW = 1; xX = 0.75; xY = 1 and xZ = 0 If financing available at t = 0 is $21,000: Optimized NPV = $13,500 with xW = 1; xX = (23/30); xY = 1 and xZ = (2/30) Here, the shadow price for the constraint at t = 0 is $50, the increase in NPV for a $1,000 increase in financing available at t = 0. In this case, the program viewed xZ as a viable choice even though the NPV of Project Z is negative. The reason for this result is that Project Z provides a positive cash flow in periods 1 and 2. If the financing available at t = 1 is $21,000: Optimized NPV = $13,900 with xW = 1; xX = 0.8; xY = 1 and xZ = 0 Hence, the shadow price of an additional $1,000 in t =1 financing is $450. 35
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