The Relationship between random events in time and the Langevin equation Chris McCollin Nottingham Trent University References Cox, D.R. and Isham, V. Point Processes. Chapman and Hall. 1980. Sato, K. Lévy Processes and Infinitely Divisible Distributions. 1999. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. Langevin, P. (1908). "Sur la théorie du mouvement brownien [On the Theory of Brownian Motion]". C. R. Acad. Sci. (Paris) 146: 530–533. ; reviewed by D. S. Lemons & A. Gythiel: Paul Langevin’s 1908 paper "On the Theory of Brownian Motion" [...], Am. J. Phys. 65, 1079 (1997). McCollin, C. and Göb, R. Can we predict a heart attack (or a design fault)? The Lévy Generator Process – A Discussion. Proceedings of the ENBIS Conference, Prague, September 2015. McCollin, C. Redefining Maintenance Events: A Study of Load-haul Dump Machines. Proceedings of the ENBIS Conference, Linz, September 2014. McCollin, C. Some Examples of the Parsum Equation and What it Means. Proceedings of the ENBIS Conference, Linz, September 2014. McCollin, C. and Coleman, S. Historical Published Maintenance Data: What Can It Tell Us About Reliability Modelling? Quality and Reliability International. April 2014, Vol 30, Issue 3, pp781-795. The Langevin Equation • Newton’s equation 𝑚𝑞 = 𝑓(𝑞) force – no random element (planets) with initial conditions 𝑞 0 , 𝑞(0) • 𝑚𝑞 = 𝑓 𝑞 − 𝛾𝑞 + 𝜎𝜉(𝑡) where 𝛾𝑞 is the dissipative functional force with 𝛾 as the friction coefficient, 𝜎 is the amplitude and 𝜉(𝑡) is the fluctuating noise force (random process). This is the Langevin equation. • The relationship between 𝜎 and 𝛾 is 𝜎 2 = 2𝐾𝐵 𝑇𝛾 where 𝐾𝐵 is Boltzmann’s constant. • The Langevin equation for the harmonic oscillator • Use 𝑓 𝑞 = −𝑚𝜔02 𝑞 • So 𝑚𝑞 = −𝑚𝜔02 𝑞 − 𝛾𝑞 + 𝜎𝜉(𝑡) where 𝜉(𝑡) is the stochastic element. Hence this is a stochastic differential equation. • We consider only the average of 𝑞 given by 𝑞 𝑡 . • We can differentiate and double differentiate to get 𝑞 𝑡 over all particles (sub-atomic motion). and 𝑞 𝑡 where 𝑞 𝑡 = 1 𝑁 𝑗 𝑞𝑗 (𝑡) Solutions to the Langevin Equation • 𝑚 𝑞 = −𝑚𝜔02 𝑞 − 𝛾 𝑞 + 0 + 𝑝0 𝛿(𝑡) since the mean of the errors 𝜉(𝑡) is zero and the kick to start the process is given by a delta function. ∞ • The Laplace transform of 𝑞 𝑡 is 𝑞(𝑤) = 0 𝑞 𝑡 𝑒 −𝜔𝑡 𝑑𝑡 so that 𝑞(𝜔) = 𝜔𝑞(𝜔) and 𝑞(𝜔) = 𝜔2 𝑞(𝜔) subject to the initial conditions 𝑞 0 = 0 and 𝑞 0 = 0 respectively. = −𝑚𝜔02 𝑞 𝜔 function is unity. • 𝑚𝜔2 𝑞 𝜔 • 𝑞(𝑤) = • 𝜔1,2 = 𝑝0 𝛾 𝑚 𝜔2 +𝑚𝜔+𝜔02 𝛾 − 2𝑚 ± 𝛾 2 2𝑚 = − 𝛾𝜔 𝑞 𝜔 𝑝0 𝑚 (𝜔−𝜔1 )(𝜔−𝜔2 ) 𝛾 − 𝜔02 = − 2𝑚 ± Ω = + 𝑝0 . 1 where the Laplace transform of a delta 𝑝0 1 𝜔1 −𝜔2 𝜔−𝜔1 𝑚 − 1 𝜔−𝜔2 General forms 𝛾 2 2𝑚 • Assume • • 𝑞 𝑡 𝑞 𝑡 > 𝜔02 𝑝 0 = 2𝑚Ω 𝑒 = −𝛾𝑡 for an overdamped harmonic oscillator 𝑝 0 𝑒 Ω𝑡 − 𝑒 −Ω𝑡 = mΩ 𝑒 2𝑚 𝑝0 −𝛾𝑡 2𝑚 𝑒 𝑚 −𝛾𝑡 • = 𝑡 0 𝑞 𝑣 𝑑𝑣 = 𝛾 m( 𝑝0 𝛾2 −Ω2 ) 4𝑚2 𝛾 1 − 𝑒− 2𝑚 • Let Ω = 𝜔, 2𝑚 = 𝛽, then absement) • 𝛾𝑡 𝛾2 m(Ω2 − 2 ) 4𝑚 𝛾𝑡 𝑝0 𝑠𝑖𝑛ℎΩ𝑡 , a measure of distance 𝑐𝑜𝑠ℎΩ𝑡 − 2𝑚Ω 𝑠𝑖𝑛ℎΩ𝑡 , a measure of velocity • For the underdamped case, Ω → iΩ and 𝑞 𝑡 • Now 2𝑚 {𝑒 − 2𝑚 (𝑐𝑜𝑠ℎΩ𝑡 + 𝑡 0 𝛾𝑡 = 𝜔0 𝑒 − 𝛾 𝛾𝑡 𝑐𝑜𝑠ℎΩ𝑡 + 2mΩ 𝑒 − 𝛾 𝑐𝑜𝑠Ω𝑡 − 2𝑚Ω 𝑠𝑖𝑛Ω𝑡 2𝑚 2𝑚 𝑠𝑖𝑛ℎΩ𝑡}𝑡0 2𝑚Ω 𝑠𝑖𝑛ℎΩ𝑡) 𝛾 𝑝 𝛽 𝑞 𝑣 𝑑𝑣 = m(𝛽20−ω2) 1 − 𝑒 −𝛽𝑡 cosh 𝜔𝑡 + 𝜔 sinh 𝜔𝑡 , a measure of placement (or −𝜔02 𝑝0 So Work done is the integral of the force: 2 2 (𝛽 −ω ) 1 − 𝑒 −𝛽𝑡 cosh 𝜔𝑡 + 𝛽 𝜔 sinh 𝜔𝑡 Generator (harmonic oscillator) examples (Parsummed residuals to a straight line fit) Generator (harmonic oscillator) examples (continued) USS Halfbeak General Motors Diesel Generator USS Halfbeak Generator Maintenance times Scatterplot of Number of Events vs Cumulative Maintenance Time 80 70 Number of Events 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 0 5000 10000 15000 Cumulative event time in hours 20000 25000 Definitions An event is defined by either a point during the operation of the internal system where a forced rule (based on pre-supposed human knowledge of the external environment) comes into play (the forced rule has been set typically for safety/operational reasons) or by a degradation of the internal system due to conditions of usage within the confines of the external environment leading to a breakdown of an internal component which has been in resonance with a particular (un)known part of the external environment. An insult is an event which is due to the interaction of the current state of the system rules (internal inconsistency) and/or an external impulse (not self induced) which leads to immediate energy change in the system. Parsum Residual plot of USS Halfbeak data (Only one rule – be battle prepared) Scaled Parsums to remove amplitude effect Removing the exponential effect Linearising the curve with the arc sinh function Scatterplot of arcsinh scaled parsums vs number of events Arcsinh Scaled Parsums 2 1 0 -1 -2 0 10 20 30 40 Number of events 50 60 70 80 Rescaled arc sinh parsums Scatterplot of Rescaled Arc sinh parsummed residuals Rescaled Arc sinh parsums 1.0 0.5 0.0 -0.5 -1.0 0 10 20 30 40 50 Number of events 60 70 80 Regression fit Fitted Line Plot Rescaled arcsinh parsums = - 1.679 + 0.07269 event number - 0.000499 event number^2 + 0.000003 event number^3 Rescaled arcsinh parsums 3 S R-Sq R-Sq(adj) 2 1 0 -1 -2 0 10 20 30 40 50 Number of Events 60 70 80 0.0389188 99.9% 99.9% Linear Regression Residuals Minitab output for a linear fit Model Summary • Coefficient of determination: 99.63% Term Constant Coefficient Standard error -1.4868 Number of events 0.051999 0.0161 0.000368 T-Value P-Value -92.29 0.000 141.15 0.000 The Regression Equation is Scaled arcsinh parsums = -1.4868 + 0.051999 number of events Discussion • The final linear equation is given by 𝑦 = ae−λN sinh 𝑏 + 𝜔𝑁 = 𝑎e−λN (𝑠𝑖𝑛ℎ𝑏 𝑐𝑜𝑠ℎ𝜔𝑁 + 𝑐𝑜𝑠ℎ𝑏 𝑠𝑖𝑛ℎ𝜔𝑁) • 𝑦 = e−λN 𝐴𝑐𝑜𝑠ℎ𝜔𝑁 + 𝐵𝑠𝑖𝑛ℎ𝜔𝑁 = Ce−λN (𝑐𝑜𝑠ℎ𝜔𝑁 + 𝐷𝑠𝑖𝑛ℎ𝜔𝑁) where 𝑦 are the partial sum residuals, i.e. the energy at each of the 𝑁 points. • This is similar to the work done shown for the Langevin equation of an 𝜔02 𝑝0 overdamped harmonic oscillator: Work done + 2 2 (𝛽 −ω ) 𝜔02𝑝0 = (𝛽2−ω2) 𝑒 −𝛽𝑡 cosh 𝜔𝑡 + 𝜔𝛽 sinh 𝜔𝑡 where 𝑁 replaces 𝑡 in the parsummed equation. Past (2015) and Future (2016) Work: LHD Hydraulic Systems Analysis References Cox, D.R. and Isham, V. Point Processes. Chapman and Hall. 1980. Sato, K. Lévy Processes and Infinitely Divisible Distributions. 1999. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. Langevin, P. (1908). "Sur la théorie du mouvement brownien [On the Theory of Brownian Motion]". C. R. Acad. Sci. (Paris) 146: 530–533. ; reviewed by D. S. Lemons & A. Gythiel: Paul Langevin’s 1908 paper "On the Theory of Brownian Motion" [...], Am. J. Phys. 65, 1079 (1997). McCollin, C. and Göb, R. Can we predict a heart attack (or a design fault)? The Lévy Generator Process – A Discussion. Proceedings of the ENBIS Conference, Prague, September 2015. McCollin, C. Redefining Maintenance Events: A Study of Load-haul Dump Machines. Proceedings of the ENBIS Conference, Linz, September 2014. McCollin, C. Some Examples of the Parsum Equation and What it Means. Proceedings of the ENBIS Conference, Linz, September 2014. McCollin, C. and Coleman, S. Historical Published Maintenance Data: What Can It Tell Us About Reliability Modelling? Quality and Reliability International. April 2014, Vol 30, Issue 3, pp781-795.
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