Trento 06-08 April 2017 | Anticipation, Agency and Complexity . S6 CREATING RESILIENT COMMUNITIES
ANTICIPATION IN BUILT ENVIRONMENT
DESIGN & MANAGEMENT
Daniele FANZINI & Irina ROTARU
Politecnico di Milano, Department of Architecture, Built
environment and Construction engineering
Trento 06-08 April 2017 | Anticipation, Agency and Complexity . S6 CREATING RESILIENT COMMUNITIES
summary
1. INTRODUCTION: ANTICIPATION & BUILT
ENVIRONMENT (daniele)
2. THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK (daniele)
3. PRACTICAL ASPECTS (irina)
4. OUR PROJECTS AND EXPERIENCES (irina)
5. CONCLUSIONS (irina)
Anticipation in Built Environment design and Management
Daniele FANZINI & Irina ROTARU
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Trento 06-08 April 2017 | Anticipation, Agency and Complexity . S6 CREATING RESILIENT COMMUNITIES
BUILT ENVIRONMENT
introduction
Setting for human activity of anthropic origin
Anticipation in Built Environment Design and Management
Daniele FANZINI & Irina ROTARU
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Trento 06-08 April 2017 | Anticipation, Agency and Complexity . S6 CREATING RESILIENT COMMUNITIES
introduction
WHY?
changes/complexity/resilience
ANTICIPATION
meant to work with randomness, contradictions, possibilities,
changeability, volatility and unevenness
Anticipation in Built Environment Design and Management
Daniele FANZINI & Irina ROTARU
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Trento 06-08 April 2017 | Anticipation, Agency and Complexity . S6 CREATING RESILIENT COMMUNITIES
introduction
ANTICIPATION
forward-looking attitude
way of addressing uncertainty, variability and, ultimately fear
imagine the desired future & act to transform it into reality.
the preactive approach (ready to respond to
expected changes) has to be complemented by the
proactive one (provoke desirable changes)
Anticipation in Built Environment Design and Management
Daniele FANZINI & Irina ROTARU
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Trento 06-08 April 2017 | Anticipation, Agency and Complexity . S6 CREATING RESILIENT COMMUNITIES
introduction
ANTICIPATION IN BUILT ENVIRONMENT DESIGN
an instrument to master change (Godet 1997, p. 22,
Rousseau 2015) + respond to problems even before
they arise
possibility to use future in the present
Anticipation in Built Environment Design and Management
Daniele FANZINI & Irina ROTARU
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Trento 06-08 April 2017 | Anticipation, Agency and Complexity . S6 CREATING RESILIENT COMMUNITIES
introduction
interpretative key:
space – feeling - action
anticipative processes:
manage futures
increase tangible and intangible values,
resilience to change & innovation
Anticipation in Built Environment Design and Management
Daniele FANZINI & Irina ROTARU
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Trento 06-08 April 2017 | Anticipation, Agency and Complexity . S6 CREATING RESILIENT COMMUNITIES
theoretical framework
Concrete utopia &
territorialist school
Anticipation in Built Environment Design and Management
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Trento 06-08 April 2017 | Anticipation, Agency and Complexity . S6 CREATING RESILIENT COMMUNITIES
theoretical framework
relational capital
change
shared goals
‘ecosystem of human environment’
Anticipation in Built Environment Design and Management
Daniele FANZINI & Irina ROTARU
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Trento 06-08 April 2017 | Anticipation, Agency and Complexity . S6 CREATING RESILIENT COMMUNITIES
theoretical framework
3 spatial levels / scales:
region, city, building
time horizons
public – private interests balance (Magnaghi)
Anticipation in Built Environment Design and Management
Daniele FANZINI & Irina ROTARU
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Trento 06-08 April 2017 | Anticipation, Agency and Complexity . S6 CREATING RESILIENT COMMUNITIES
practical aspects
ethical
values
time
strategic
planning
Process evolution in the
framework of space and
time scales
operative
project
micro
building
medio
city
macro
region
scale
Anticipation in Built Environment Design and Management
Daniele FANZINI & Irina ROTARU
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Trento 06-08 April 2017 | Anticipation, Agency and Complexity . S6 CREATING RESILIENT COMMUNITIES
practical aspects
Anticipation at macro scale
long term
the ethics of responsibility
common interest
production of sense
Anticipation in Built Environment Design and Management
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Trento 06-08 April 2017 | Anticipation, Agency and Complexity . S6 CREATING RESILIENT COMMUNITIES
practical aspects
Anticipation at meso scale
medium term
participatory and collaborative governance
collective intelligence & proactive attitude
production of strategy
Anticipation in Built Environment Design and Management
Daniele FANZINI & Irina ROTARU
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Trento 06-08 April 2017 | Anticipation, Agency and Complexity . S6 CREATING RESILIENT COMMUNITIES
practical aspects
Anticipation at micro scale
short term
creativity and innovative experiments
necessity to solve real problems in an
integrated and proactive way
experimentation of ideas & content
Anticipation in Built Environment Design and Management
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Trento 06-08 April 2017 | Anticipation, Agency and Complexity . S6 CREATING RESILIENT COMMUNITIES
practical aspects
methodologies & tools
Shift:
visioning > envisioning,
sense making > foresight,
making sense > anticipation
Anticipation in Built Environment Design and Management
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Trento 06-08 April 2017 | Anticipation, Agency and Complexity . S6 CREATING RESILIENT COMMUNITIES
practical aspects
Common features:
- creative action meant to reveal new possibilities or to
capitalise new forms of knowledge;
- the adoption of a holistic and systemic vision of the
problems and processes (multi-layered system
approach);
- the involvement of stakeholders and their capacity
building.
Anticipation in Built Environment Design and Management
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Trento 06-08 April 2017 | Anticipation, Agency and Complexity . S6 CREATING RESILIENT COMMUNITIES
Our activities
complex system of initiatives which involves a
huge variety of public and private operators
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Trento 06-08 April 2017 | Anticipation, Agency and Complexity . S6 CREATING RESILIENT COMMUNITIES
Our approach and model
development of demonstration projects through
which the targeted involvement of local partners
and the stimulation of more ideas and project
proposals may be achieved
Anticipation in Built Environment Design and Management
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Trento 06-08 April 2017 | Anticipation, Agency and Complexity . S6 CREATING RESILIENT COMMUNITIES
The macro scale
the cultural district in the Oltrepo area of
Mantova
- territorial features inspiring the fundamental
principles of the vision of the future & the definition of
strategies
- project carried out directly by local stakeholders under
the guidance of the organising committee
Anticipation in Built Environment Design and Management
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Trento 06-08 April 2017 | Anticipation, Agency and Complexity . S6 CREATING RESILIENT COMMUNITIES
The macro scale
the cultural district
in the Oltrepo area
of Mantova
The vision becomes
strategy that generates
projects with the
involvement of local
community
Anticipation in Built Environment Design and Management
Daniele FANZINI & Irina ROTARU
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Trento 06-08 April 2017 | Anticipation, Agency and Complexity . S6 CREATING RESILIENT COMMUNITIES
meso scale > micro scale
“Mantova: Commercio & Città della Cultura”
Anticipation in Built Environment Design and Management
Daniele FANZINI & Irina ROTARU
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Trento 06-08 April 2017 | Anticipation, Agency and Complexity . S6 CREATING RESILIENT COMMUNITIES
meso scale > micro scale
Comparison with the French example – Reinventer Paris
aimed to generate new funding sources and promote value in the
conditions of the reduced time of implementation of public
projects
project competition for 12 municipal derelict sites
Interdisciplinary and integrated approach
Innovative urban management mechanism
Engendering / supporting micro scale projects
Anticipation in Built Environment Design and Management
Daniele FANZINI & Irina ROTARU
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Trento 06-08 April 2017 | Anticipation, Agency and Complexity . S6 CREATING RESILIENT COMMUNITIES
The micro scale
Mantova Innocenter - Technology & Design Research Center
Knowledge transfer between Universities and the system of SMEs
from the Mantua province for enhancing the companies’
competitiveness
1. InnoEvent: series of workshops and seminars to reduce the cognitive
distance between companies and the design-driven innovation;
2. InnoVisioning: tell how to innovate and create value when developing,
communicating, serving and displaying products
3. Inno Delegate: identifies creative persons / designers / solvers with
projects or technologies or innovation ideas + accredits them + promotes their
projects to companies + signs representation agreements in the area.
Anticipation in Built Environment Design and Management
Daniele FANZINI & Irina ROTARU
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Trento 06-08 April 2017 | Anticipation, Agency and Complexity . S6 CREATING RESILIENT COMMUNITIES
conclusions
ethical and sustainability aspects related to the
responsibility towards future generations
Built environment evolution - legitimately a
common interest topic that SHOULD not remain
the appanage of elites, but become accessible to
everybody, open to all sorts of contributions.
Anticipation in Built Environment Design and Management
Daniele FANZINI & Irina ROTARU
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Trento 06-08 April 2017 | Anticipation, Agency and Complexity . S6 CREATING RESILIENT COMMUNITIES
conclusions
Anticipa(c)tion
• change management
• active participation in the definition of future
• ready to respond to predicted evolutions +
engender transformations so that to reach a
goal
• diversification of roles
• knowledge and collective intelligence
Anticipation in Built Environment Design and Management
Daniele FANZINI & Irina ROTARU
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Trento 06-08 April 2017 | Anticipation, Agency and Complexity . S6 CREATING RESILIENT COMMUNITIES
conclusions
Anticipa(c)tion
• An attitude (Wisner 2013)
• a capacity
• a methodological approach
management perspective > entrepreneurial perspective
no general recipe for the application of anticipation in
built environment design, but general principles
conducing to a flexible practice process
Anticipation in Built Environment Design and Management
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