Linked Data for Clinical Decision Support Use Case Description Rinke Hoekstra and Richard Vdovjak Data, version 0.3 Summary Goal Significantly improve the speed and accuracy of bringing clinical research information to clinical practice. Target Development of infrastructure to support a prototype clinical decision support system (CDS) for risk stratification, early detection and management of serious adverse events (SAEs) in the domain of Oncology Users Clinicians involved in Oncology patient management Implementation The use case will be implemented as a fully working proof of concept infrastructure. The resulting system will be provided with a user interface that is sufficient for feature demonstration, but not for use as an actual clinical decision support system. User Involvement This is a proof of concept project that mainly focuses on infrastructure aspects of the use case. No formal user study is envisaged, but clinicians participating in other projects (at Philips) will be asked to provide input.1 This use case has been chosen to match the needs and interests of these clinicians. Content The use of content is driven by this use case. We will use both publicly available data sources, as well as proprietary data from Elsevier (and Philips?). We are making an inventory of data, information and knowledge that can be used. A proviso list of content: Content related to SAEs 1 AERS (US) Eudra Vigilance (EU, EudraCT) Philips is involved in a number of projects involving clinicians. Clinical Trials reporting SAEs (ClinicalTrials.gov, EudraCT) Publications reporting SAEs Content related to Febrile Neutropenia SAEs involving FN Publications about FN CTs involving FN (ClinicalTrials.gov, EudraCT) Descriptions of FN (Diseasome) Content related to drugs (LODD) Active ingredients Drug interaction (DIKB, …) Drug side effects (SIDER, …) Links to CTs SAEs involving drugs Patient data (aggregated) Access to Content EMRs of patients with low to high risk of FN … Content accessibility is subject to the COMMIT consortium agreement. Additional usage agreements may need to be signed. Proprietary content will only be made available to the project partners, and not distributed to third parties unless explicitly permitted by the data provider. The proof of concept system itself is not restricted, except for features that would expose closed content, or proprietary components. Content will be made available to the Data2Semantics project partners Content Hosting Content will be hosted by one of the partners in Data2Semantics, unless (conveniently) available elsewhere. Product The use of foreground results of the project (applications, annotations, data etc.) is governed by the COMMIT consortium agreement. This project will explore/develop necessary technologies to build a proof of concept demo. There is no commitment to directly commercialize the proof of concept. Philips is interested in commercializing a system derived from the proof of concept, in compliance with the rules of the CA. Introduction This use case concerns the development of infrastructure to support a prototype clinical decision support system (CDS) for risk stratification, early detection and management of serious adverse events (SAEs) in the domain of Oncology. SAEs are often associated with the aggressive treatment options that are associated with oncological diseases. In some cases, the adverse effects of the harsh treatment become even more dangerous than the treated disease itself. A CDS solution which combines the established guidelines, the new research results, as well as the actual patient data/context, would greatly help the clinicians in 1) minimizing the probability of the occurrence of SAEs (by devising a treatment and preventive measures which will take into account the individual risk factors based on SAE risk stratification); 2) early detection of SAEs (by proper analysis of the available patient data ); 3) proper management of SAEs according to the latest validated clinical research and guidelines. In this use case we plan to investigate, among others, how the use of external knowledge sources and the linked data technology may improve current practice in CDS with a broader goal to speed up the process of making important recent research results available to clinical practice . While our platform should be extendable to other SAEs, the content selection for this use case is primarily driven by the SAE of Febrile Neutropenia, a frequently occurring adverse event in Oncology that has a high risk of mortality: Febrile Neutropenia makes Cancer an emergency case. Clinical Decision Support Proper implementation and use of CDS systems is regarded as an important recommendation for reducing the frequency and consequences of errors in medical care. Additionally, clinical decision support has the potential to bring research results faster to the front-line clinician and significantly improve patient outcome. To that end, such systems need to be able to answer complex questions and aggregate data from multiple sources. Any such question will combine complex patient specific data with information from external sources. Following Greenes (2007), clinical decision support is defined as “the use of the computer to bring relevant knowledge to bear on the health care and well being of a patient”, here “a primary task of the computer is to select knowledge that is pertinent, and/or to process data to create the pertinent knowledge”. The task for CDS systems is to: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. bring the right information at the right time customized to the clinician in the given clinical context to improve efficiency and patient outcomes All our searches for information have a context and relate to some information or data. For example, clinicians want to extract targeted information that fits the context of a specific patient case (e.g. similar cases reported in literature or stored in a reference database, outcomes for that specific disease, best treatment options, etc.). Current solutions are only able to provide support for very simple questions and decisions, and are not able to fully address the increased complexity of clinical decision in the context of oncology. The new generation of clinical decision support systems that are both semantically aware and up-to-date with the latest validated research results will depend on the availability of flexible frameworks supporting the ease of development of such applications and on the existence and seamless selection of relevant sources providing high quality content and of tools enabling the extraction and aggregation of such content. An important goal of a clinical decision support system is to provide to the front-line clinician relevant targeted information for a specific disease and patient case. As CDS are bound to specific clinical domains, often such applications need to duplicate the work required for the selection of the relevant data sources and for accessing the data itself. It is a challenging task to select out of the existing information sources those that are indeed relevant in the specific domain. It is even more difficult to evaluate the quality of the returned content. Current keyword search returns content ordered by page rank without taking into account the relevance or the quality of the sources in a specific domain. In the clinical domain this may overload the clinician with information that is irrelevant or low quality, while missing out on very relevant information from highly specialized sources (as their rank based on the site popularity may be low and not match the relevance of the information). Severe Adverse Events: Febrile Neutropenia A severe adverse event (SAE) is described as a medical occurrence due to treatment that: results in death is life-threatening requires inpatient hospitalization or prolongation of existing hospitalization results in persistent of significant disability/incapacity is a congenital anomaly/birth defect requires intervention to prevent permanent impairment or damage The occurrence of a SAE has to be reported to the health authorities: In the US, this is to the FDA through the Adverse Event Reporting System (AERS).2 In the EU, this is through Eudra Vigilance.3 SAEs are a major cause for hospitalization: known chemotherapy-related SAEs in breast cancer (US only) were linked to 22% of hospitalizations. Febrile Neutropenia is a frequently occurring SAE associated with chemotherapy, a common systemic treatment in Oncology: Febrile o temperature of >38.5˚ C or a o sustained temperature of >= 38.0˚C for over one hour Neutropenia is a haematological condition with an abnormally low number of neutrophils. Neutrophils usually make up 50-70% of circulating white blood cells and serve as the primary defence against infections. Neutrophils contain enzymes that help the cell kill and digest microorganisms. The absolute neutrophil count (ANC) is measured in cells per micro litre of blood. Neutropenia occurs when: o ANC is < 500/mm3, or < 1000/mm3 with predicted decline to < 500/mm3 over the next 48 hours.4 FN is an important SAE in oncology Neutropenia is a very strong predisposing factor to infection Infection is a common cause of death for cancer patients Without prompt medical attention, the condition may become lifethreatening Intravenous antibiotics should be administered within 30 minutes of presentation to the emergency department. See http://www.fda.gov/Drugs/GuidanceComplianceRegulatoryInformation/Surv eillance/AdverseDrugEffects/ 3 See http://eudravigilance.ema.europa.eu/ 4 The actual numbers vary depending on the guidelines used 2 Decision Support in Febrile Neutropenia Clinical decision support systems can contribute to stratification of patients, early detection and decision support. Patient stratification concerns determining the risk that a patient has FN. Given the patient context (their history and current status) and available data about prior cases, what is the risk of FN? What are adequate prevention measures for a patient of this type? Can we distinguish different approaches for high and low risk patients? The task of patient stratification combines the results of existing research, i.e. explicit knowledge of risk factors in guidelines around FN, with opportunities for mining and extracting knowledge from existing data of prior cases, or publications. Because of the time pressure involved in FN (30 minutes after presentation to the emergency department) it is highly important that FN cases are detected as early as possible. This is complicated by the fact that patients undergoing chemotherapy are typically at home during the treatment. Based on data in the Electronic Medical Record (EMR) or Patient Health Record (PHR), the CDS can provide an early alert when a patient is febrile while having a low ANC. Additionally, the CDS can automate reporting of the Severe Adverse Event. Example Queries Retrieve all research papers describing clinical trials for disease X with drug Y sorted by the overall survival. (What treatment protocol works best?) Given the patient context, compute the risk estimation of FN based on published clinical trials (matching the type of cancer and the chosen therapy) and reported SAEs. …. Scenarios 1 Simple stratification and management This scenario supports the clinician with a simple albeit often used monogram (or risk model) called the MASCC (Multinational Association of Supportive Care in Cancer) index. This model helps asses the risk that a patient might suffer from FN in the near future. Based on the results of this model, the clinician is pointed to the appropriate section in the relevant guideline that recommends treatment for the particular patient. Carmona-Bayonas et al. Prognostic evaluation of febrile neutropenia in apparently stable adult cancer patients Preparation Formalize the MASCC index Identify and annotate available FN guidelines Define the patient meta-model for the patient profiles Execution Based on the patient data/profile compute the MASCC index. Based on the resulting MASCC score, link to the appropriate guideline for FN Provide evidence by linking in databases, research papers etc. to the guidelines, when available 2 Advanced stratification and management This scenario supports the clinician in selecting a risk model out of a library of models. To refine this recommendation, the tool also takes external (linked) data into account such as drug interaction databases (AERS or PharmaPendium, the Side effect databases, etc. Preparation Formalize more advanced risk model(s), taking into account more clinical variables such as those depicted below. Carmona-Bayonas et al. Prognostic evaluation of febrile neutropenia in apparently stable adult cancer patients Create a library of risk models and the dependencies among them to allow a more refined stratification, e.g. sub-stratify the low risk patients from the MASCC score by a more advanced model such as the one in Carmona-Bayonas et al. Classify published models into retrospective studies and prospectively validated studies. Use the former only as an “indication”. Create a repository of established guidelines with proposed management in validated research literature – formalize them into an executable model and interlink them with the stored risk models Establish a link to external (Linked) data sources that can provide additional information, e.g. Drug interaction (DIKB), Drug side effects (SIDER), Pharmapendium, and others Execution Based on the patient data/profile, compute the selected risk model Based on the resulting, link to the appropriate guideline for FN Provide evidence (research papers etc.) to the guidelines when available 3 Combining known risk models as well as all available external data for the purpose of meta-analysis and derivation of an improved risk estimation This scenario aims to improve the status-quo wrt current risk stratification. Here our tool will basically support the clinical user with a meta analysis which takes into account known risk models, published results of clinical trials, reported Side or Adverse Effects, as well as other relevant data. The model(s) we propose can be provided to the clinical researchers as hypotheses that will be further validated and applied. Given the low semantic description of the published results (e.g. from a clinical trial), this is the most challenging scenario. We will demonstrate in our proof of concept how a clinical trial should be semantically annotated so that CDS tools like these are able to “execute” a computational task over the published results. We will investigate how to tailor approaches like OCRei in order to achieve the right balance between the ease of annotation (lowering the entry barrier for the prospective authors) and the required expressivity. Other external data sources such as AERS, Eudra Vigilance, etc. will be examined and interlinked in order to provide an increase statistical sample on the incidence of chosen SAEs for particular patient profiles. Required Advances An infrastructure that provides a next generation clinical decision support tool will advance the current state of the art significantly. This moves beyond the development of “just” a linked data-based clinical decision support system, and requires the design and implementation of a repeatable or even continuous update strategy for integrating and publishing new clinical information to the system. A. Information Availability Making necessary information available to the clinician requires bringing together and aggregating existing information from a wide variety of sources. Concretely, we need to: Identify information and datasets relevant for clinical decision support in the domain. Convert these information sources to linked data (in as far as needed, possible or required) Interlink these information sources with one another (alignment, identity reconciliation) Enrich existing (non data) information sources (such as documents) with annotations. B. Information Presentation The decision support system can only present a selection of available information to the clinician. This requires: Comparing information of a current case (PHR or EMR) with prior experience Selecting relevant guidelines and (additional) non-formalised knowledge of potential treatments Ranking information according to relevance and urgency for the current case. We will investigate both heuristics-based ranking as well as ranking techniques based on expert knowledge. Organising this information in a user interface C. Performance Clinicians have to make critical decisions under (sometimes extreme) time pressures. A clinical decision support system will have conform to the speed of decision making required by the clinical setting. Also, clinical knowledge develops very rapidly. The system will need to ingest new information on a continuous basis. This requires: Pro-active information provision based on patient data Responsive query performance Continuous information ingestion (see A.) http://7448395548007701620-a-1802744773732722657-ssites.googlegroups.com/site/humanstudyome/home/ocre/OCRe.pdf?attachauth=ANoY7cqgje C8K2cE9cwz53bwwcA5ez1JlrWb8T0gAZot3__iQ88_5FiB0VtIyy9CgdAHsVcvihk2m2KExzipLSUNtS_4wdsgKp23RA1kf0jlid_fWO_Cjf9ajQt_yBSWp0N6CtJHlCIdPo7o0qbIHkfH7NGpneoZmgefpQ8UTIvvwq1VVwfi7Jd6T5r4dgJrCnkNDYOqfW7tmv9KV28liTq6kTUrXIg%3D%3D&attredirects=2 i
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