EVALUATING PUBLIC PARTICIPATION AND COMMUNITY PREFERENCES IN AGRICULTURAL CORRIDOR DEVELOPMENT: THE PROSAVANA CASE OF MOZAMBIQUE AIMEE HAMPEL-MILAGROSA, RAOUL HERRMANN Department of Sustainable Economic and Social Development, German Development Institute, Bonn, Germany [email protected] Paper prepared for presentation at the “2016 WORLD BANK CONFERENCE ON LAND AND POVERTY” The World Bank - Washington DC, March 14-18, 2016 Copyright 2016 by author(s). All rights reserved. Readers may make verbatim copies of this document for non-commercial purposes by any means, provided that this copyright notice appears on all such copies. Abstract Worldwide, Large-Scale Agricultural Investments (LSAIs) are rife with critique on their failure to consult with affected communities and their disregard of community priorities. This paper presents initial results of research into the quality of the public participation process as well as the revealed preferences of local communities that are affected by the Prosavana programme in Mozambique. The Prosavana is an agricultural economic development programme that affects 14 million hectares of agricultural land across three provinces in the Nacala region of north Mozambique. Preliminary results show divergence - but also - congruence in priorities set by farmers / farmer groups with those set by the Prosavana programme. However, large differences seem to exist in each party’s risk assessments, namely, in land tenure security, crop selection and mechanisms of farmer support. These differences seem to result from the nature of consultations conducted and the strategy employed to community information provision. This paper addresses the thematic area “Responsible Large-scale land-based investments" of the 2016 Land and Poverty Conference. Key Words: agricultural growth corridors, large-scale agricultural investments, Mozambique, Multi Criteria Decision Making, public participation, Prosavana Introduction Inclusive agricultural development programmes require public participation as a crucial element in its planning and implementation. Yet recent literature is rich with accounts of agricultural investments that were flaunted as inclusive, but have failed in consulting and obtaining consent of affected communities. Several LSAIs in Africa for example, that were supposed to take smallholders along in the development process, are disputed due to reports of lack of public participation in the planning and negotiation processes. It is not that there are no guidelines to frame investor-community interaction. At the international and country level, documents outlining codes of conduct, principles of engagement and voluntary guidelines provide the context for including the voice of locals into the development process (see for example, Voluntary Guidelines of the FAO, 2012; Principles of Consultation and Participation of the World Bank, IFAD, UNCTAD and FAO 2012). However, in reality, there is limited interaction between project planners, investors and smallholders; and seeking public consent for ongoing LSAIs is not common. Mechanisms by which public participation could be and should be secured at the community level are existing. However, extensive studies in African countries show a stark discrepancy between de jure mechanisms for public participation with de facto evidence. Empirical data from Ethiopia, Ghana, Mali, Madagascar, Mozambique and Tanzania for example, show that current practices in African LSAIs fall short of the recommended global standards for consultation and consent (Vermeulen and Cotula 2010). A study of LSAIs in Mali showed that existing international voluntary guidelines leave much room for interpretation and that investor compliance with regard to free, prior and informed consent in is poor (Nolte and Voget-Kleschin, 2013). Evidence on public participation mechanisms in LSAIs would tremendously help decision-makers and investors to design more inclusive policies. However, there exist very few studies concerning public participation in corridor development as such and, the few existing studies are mostly qualitative in nature. Much needed quantitative research that systematically matches priorities of affected communities in relation to priorities of investors’ is missing. Indeed, because of the logistical difficulties in gathering data across a large area, conducting quantitative researches on LSAIs and agricultural corridors is challenging. Nhantumbo and Salomão (2009), for example, stated that currently “there are still no mechanisms to identify or resolve different priorities and preferences among members of … communities”. It cannot be overemphasized that research-based policies that reconcile community preferences with investor approaches is imperative. When affected communities’ concerns are overlooked in the planning and negotiation phase, these issues tend to remain neglected for the duration of the long-term project. Moreover, in the light of recent LSAIs disputes, evidence-based policies that balance communities’ priorities with investors’ goals would have easily shifted large scale agricultural investments nearer to being “inclusive”. The paper presents preliminary results of an ongoing quantitative and qualitative study on Prosavana in Mozambique. Prosavana is an agricultural corridor development project led by the Mozambican government together with the governments of Brazil and Japan, and several large international private investors (Chichava et al 2013). Estimated to cover 14 million hectares of land across the provinces of Zambezia, Niassa and Nampula, the programme is believed to impact 4 million Mozambican farmers. Prosavana however, is fraught with critique on the quality of public participation since its inception in 2009 (Paul and Steinbrecher 2013). We specifically evaluated the following aspects of Prosavana: 1. The nature and quality of the public participation process 2. Stakeholder preferences and priorities for an inclusive agricultural corridor development, specifically: a. from the smallholder and Mozambican private sector perspective b. From the Prosavana programme's perspective 3. Similarities and contradiction of interests and potential processes that can bring Prosavana and smallholders/ civil society organizations/Mozambican private sector together 4. Policies, strategies or processes for a more inclusive agricultural corridor development programme in Mozambique Methodology In November and December 2015, a household survey was conducted in the provinces of Nampula, Zambezia and Niassa. A total of 657 farmers were interviewed, distributed among eight districts and seventeen villages of the said provinces. The selection of districts and villages was conducted using two stage proportional stratified sampling, from the pool of districts and villages where the Prosavana programme is planned to be implemented. Within the villages, village households were arbitrarily divided into those that were clustered near a main road (flattened clay road) and those that were clustered at least one kilometer away from the main road. Adult respondents in each household were selected based on availability and willingness to be interviewed. Table 1 shows the sample size per province and per district. -Table 1 hereThe questionnaire that was administered explored, among others, the following topics: smallholders’ sources of information and understanding of the Prosavana, participation in public meetings (active/passive, at which level, frequency), areas of improvement in the quality public meetings (information dissemination, structure, logistics, themes discussed), production information and demographic characteristics. The questionnaire also included eight survey questions from the the Food and Agriculture Organizations’ Food Insecurity Experience Scale (FIES). A major contribution of the paper is the refinement and application of a sophisticated analytical approach for collective decision-making in agriculture, the Multi Criteria Decision Making (MCDM). MCDM is a fairly recent methodological approach that allows for simplifying the policy scenario for decision-making in the context of multiple and conflicting criteria. Originating in the late 1970s, MCDM has been applied to a range of collective optimization problems such as river basin planning, energy planning, forest management, engineering component design, portfolio selection, and R&D project selection (Wallenius et al, 2008). Current agricultural corridor development in Sub-Saharan Africa presents the perfect opportunity for applying MCDM to guide collective decision-making and to reconcile conflicting priorities of communites and investors. We used a specific MCDM tool, the Analytical Hierarchy Process (Saaty, 1980) for analyzing public responses. AHP was used to generate a systematic pair-wise comparison of predetermined criteria help stakeholders reveal preferences. AHP allows for the decomposition of decision problems into hierarchies, allowing for the evaluation of multiple implementation criteria and creating an ordering of policy options. It therefore enabled the respondents (farmers, policy makers, program developers) to rank policy options from most preferred to least preferred approaches, all based on responses from affected communities. In the survey, the main goal was “to design an inclusive and socially supported agricultural economic corridor development programme for the Nacala”. The decision criteria were broken down into two levels (Subcriteria_1 and Subcriteria_2). Each criterion level encompassed between three and four decision items. Subcriteria_1 is an aggregation of decision items under Subcriteria 2 while Subcriteria_2 agrregates the lowest level decision items. Table 2 presents a snapshot of the the hierarchy diagram for two of the criteria under “social and environmental goals”. -Table 2 here- Extensive qualitative stakeholder interviews with farmers groups, associations, businesses located in the Nacala corridor as well as program developers and policy makers on different levels (local, regional, national) were also conducted. Preliminary results Although farmers were aware of the Prosavana, it was mostly based on media information (television and radio) and not on participation in public meetings. Although planned large scale agricultural investments under the Prosavana are yet to occur, several LSAIs have been already implemented in the three provinces. Preliminary results show divergence - but also - congruence in priorities set by farmers / farmer groups with those set by the Prosavana programme. However, large differences seem to exist in each party’s risk assessments, namely, in land tenure security, crop selection and mechanisms of farmer support. Farmers that were interviewed voiced their concerns about the threat of landlessness once investments are implemented in their districts. They base their opinions from information regarding the Prosavana provided by civil society organisations, and based on the negative experience of smallholders who were affected by similar private investments.According to representatives of the Prosavana programme, however, farmers’ worries about losing their land is unfounded because Mozambique has one of the strongest property rights law in Subsaharan Africa. The 1998 Mozambican land Law lays down detailed provisions, among others, for public consultations to take place before any investment could occur. In terms of crop selection, farmers prefer to continue / improve existing industries such as cashew, cassava, rice, sugarcane than to create new industries in the region, as suggested by the Prosavana. A second preference is at least a joint selection between farmers and Prosavana in terms of the crops to be promoted under the programme. A final issue of divergence in preferences are the mechanisms for farmers support, specifically, on regulations on the eligibility of farmers to avail of credit and technological support under the Prosavana. Farmers prefer that these mechanisms of support be laid out up front and discussed, while Prosavana prefers a bilateral agreement first, on the private investment before discussing support mechanisms. These main differences that were identified seem to result from the nature of consultations conducted and the strategy employed to community information provision. Interestingly, farmers and Prosavana programme have a common vision for an agricultural-led development in the Nacala, but envision starkly differentiated strategies on how to achieve it. Preliminary results point to more frequent, more transparent public participation strategies as a way of mitigating divergence in priorities and preferences. Public meetings should seek the genuine involvement of affected communities and take the social implications of agricultural investments into consideration. References: Chichava S. / Cabral L. / Shankland, A. / Buckley, L. / Lixia, T. / Yue, Z. (2013): Brazil and China in Mozambican agriculture: emerging insights from the field. IDS Bulletin, 44.4 Food and Agriculture Organization (2012): Voluntary Guidelines on the Responsible Governance of Land Fisheries and Forests in the Context of National Food Security, retrieved from www.fao.org/docrep/016/i2801e/i2801e.pdf Nolte K. / Voget-Kleschin L. (2013): Evaluating consultations in large scale land acquisitions, spotlight on three cases in Mali. Land Deal Politics Initiative Working paper No. 28, ISS The Netherlands Nhantumbo, I. / A. Salomão (2009): Biofuels, land access and rural livelihoods in Mozambique. IIED, London, 2010. ISBN: 978-1-84369-744-2 retrieved from: pubs.iied.org/pdfs/12563IIED.pdf Paul, H. / R. Steinbrecher (2013): African Agricultural Growth Corridors and the New Alliance for Food Security and Nutrition: Who benefits, who loses? Retrieved from http://www.econexus.info/publicationslist Saaty, T. (1980): Decision mking with the Analytic Hierarchy Process. International Journal of Services Sciences, Vol 1, No. 1, 2008 retrieved from www.colorado.edu/geography/leyk/geog_5113/.../saaty_2008.pdf Vermeulen, S. / L. Cotula (2010): Making the most of agricultural investment: a survey of business models that provide opportunities for smallholders, FAO and IIED, Rome Wallenius J. / Dyer, J. / Fishburn, P. / Steuer, R. / Zionts, S. / Deb, K. (2008): Multiple Criteria Decision Making, Multi Attribute Utility Theory: Recent Accomplishments and What Lies Ahead. Management Science, 54 (7), p. 1336-1349 World Bank (2012): Knowledge exchange platform for responsible Agro Investment (RAI): Consultation and participation, retrieved from https://www.responsibleagroinvestment.org/node/256 Tables and Figures Table 1. Sample distribution per province and per district (Source: own survey) Province District Village Nampula (232) Monapo Monapo Sede Ituculo Carapira Mecuburi Namina MUcaca Muthapua Zambezia (240) Ribaué Iapala Nacauia Rapale Molocué Mugema Nauela Kaperula Gurue Lioma Murrimo Niassa (185) Cuamba Kathapua Mandimba Liciete Lipuzia Ngoma Table 2 Tiers of the hierarchy model of public preferences for Prosavana, snapshot only (Source: own survey) Increasing production and productivity Social and environmental goals Social development Design an inclusive and socially supported agricultural economic corridor development programme for the Nacala Sustainable agriculture Market oriented agriculture Creation of private investments Economic goals Establishment of value chains Securing land rights Equal rights for farmers and investors in the expansion of agricultural land Joint farmergovernment selection of crops to be promoted Construction of irrigation infrastructure Clarification of how farmers can acquire credit and technology mitigating the negatie health effects of intensive agriculture Including women in agricultural development Increasing literacy and improving educational system
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