Macroeconomics, Endogenous Money and the Contemporaneous Crisis: A Teaching Model By Giuseppe Fontana (Univ. of Leeds, UK and Univ. of Sannio, Italy), Marc Lavoie (Univ. of Ottawa, Canada) and Mark Setterfield (Trinity College, USA) Outline • Introduction: A Research-driven Approach to Macroeconomic Teaching • Endogenous Money and the Conduct of Macroeconomic Policy • Deriving the Aggregate Demand Curve • Completing the Model: Pricing, Production, and the Labour Market • The Contemporaneous Crisis and Some Policy Markers’ Responses 2 Introduction • A Research-driven Approach to Macroeconomic Teaching –Revolutions and Counter-revolution in Macroeconomics –Moving beyond the old IS-LM model –Transcending the current New Consensus Macroeconomics (NCM) model 3 Endogenous Money and the Conduct of Macroeconomic Policy • Endogenous Money versus Exogenous Money • The Main Tenets of Endogenous Money Theory: – Loans create deposits – Deposits make monetary reserves • A Graphical Illustration: Figure 1 4 The Endogenous Money Supply Process (Fig. 1) Interest Rate rL1 A CS m B RS CD i1 Monetary Reserves R1 C1 Bank Loans BD1 LD DR Bank Deposits 5 Deriving the Aggregate Demand (AD) Curve –A simple set of equations –No Pigou effect (M is endogenous)! –The shape of the AD curve is a policy construct –A Graphical Illustration: Figure 2 P i Equ. 3 cD with fixed c rL Equ. 1; with fixed m D Y (Equ. 2) 6 Deriving the Aggregate Demand (AD) Curve • Basic Glossary ND = Components of Aggregate Demand that are not debt-financed by loans from banks D = Planned or desired debt-financed (by loans from banks) spending c = Proportion of creditworthy households and business loans rL = bank loans rate (set as a mark-up m over the central bank’s short-run interest rate i) 7 AD ND cD D f rL , f ' 0 rL (1 m)i AD i ND cf rL g P , g' 0 8 A Conventional (Downward-Sloping) Aggregate Demand Schedule (Fig. 2) Price Level i P2 P1 AD Short-Run Interest Rate i2 i1 Y2 Y1 Output AD rL1 rL2 rL Bank Loans Rate 9 Completing the Endogenous Money Model: Pricing, Production, and the Labour Market Monetary Sector Short-run Interest rate (i) Goods Market Bank loans rate (rL) Labour Market Debt-financed component of Aggregate Demand (AD), Output (Y) Unemployment level (L-N) 10 Completing the Endogenous Money Model • Basic Glossary P = firms set prices as a fixed mark-up n over the average cost of labour Wa W= nominal wage (fixed for length of contract) a = labour/output ratio, namely N/Y (like the capital output ratio K/Y this is given in short-run) S N = Labour supply schedule L = entire labour force 11 P (1 n)W a W w P SN L 1 1 na 12 Completing the Model: Pricing, Production, and the Labour Market • • • • • • The Aggregate Production Function (Fig. 3) The Aggregate Supply Schedule (Fig. 4) The Goods Market (Fig. 5) Equilibrium Output and Employment (Fig. 6) The Labour Market (Fig. 7) A Graphical Illustration: Figures 3-7 W1 P1 (Equ. 4; given n and a) AS AS (together with AD curve) Y1 (Fig. 5) Y1 (via Production Schedule) N1 (Fig. 6) U1 (Fig. 7) 13 The Aggregate Production Function (Fig. 3) K YL KL Y0 K0 N0 L N 14 The Aggregate Supply Schedule (Fig. 4) P P0 = (1 + n)W 0a AS YL Y 15 The Goods Market (Fig. 5) P AD P1 = (1 + n)W 1a AS Y1 YL Y 16 Equilibrium Output and Employment (Fig. 6) P K YL AD KL P1 K1 AS Y1 YL Y Y1 N1 L N 17 The Labour Market (Fig. 7) w SN 1/(1+n)a . N1 U1 L N 18 The Contemporaneous Crisis and the Endogenous Money Supply Process (Fig.8a) Interest Rate rL1 m B R0S A rL2 B C2S m` F i1 i2 R1S Monetary Reserves R1 C1S C2 C2D C1 C1D Bank Loans BD2 BD1 LD DR Bank Deposits 19 Consequences and Some Policy Responses to the Contemporaneous Crisis (Fig. 8b) P K YL KL AD2 AD1 P1 AS K1 K2 Y2 Y1 YL Y1 Y Y2 N2 N1 L N 20 The Effects of the Contemporaneous Crisis in the Labour Market (Fig. 8c) K YL KL Y0 K0 N0 L N 21 Further Developments 22
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