Workplace Visions ® A Publication of the Society for Human Resource Management Issue 4 | 2012 The Generation Gap: Will Millennials’ economic, education and career development gaps create a future leadership deficit? The Millennials are here For years HR professionals and business pundits have been talking about the Millennial generation’s future impact on the workplace. But that future is now our present. Not only have the Millennials started to take their place working alongside other generations in businesses and organizations across the U.S. and the world, a few are already among the most high-profi le and influential business leaders. The issues that influence Millennials in their early years on the job will have a ripple effect across the economy and implications for leadership development—if for no other reason than the size of this generation, the largest generation in U.S. history. Globally, young people are increasingly aware of their role as tomorrow’s leaders, and many have already had a major impact as leaders— in social movements around the world, new businesses, the sciences and the arts. Businesses and HR professionals focused on developing leaders for tomorrow are increasingly aware of the numerous factors—demographic, economic, social and political—that could influence the Millennial generation’s ability to move into leadership roles in their organizations. Many are using this information to tailor their leadership development strategies and programs. But this task is not always easy because the Millennial generation faces a series of unique challenges. The jobs and earnings gap Beginning with demographics, the main influencer of this generation is its sheer size. While there is no precise agreement on when the Millennial generation begins or ends, for those who count individuals born between 1978 and 2000 as part of this generation, the numbers add up ® V i s i o n s W o r k p l a c e to approximately 95 million people, compared to only 78 million Baby Boomers. In addition, this young generation fi nds its counterpart in countries all across the world—many where young people represent an even greater share of their nations’ population. According to the U.S. Census, Millennials represent 27.7% of the U.S. population, surpassing the Baby Boomers (26.4%) and far outnumbering Generation X (19.8%), as shown in Figure 1.1 Similar to the Baby Boomers, the large numbers of Millennials have meant that for many in this generation competition for a limited number of spaces has often been fierce throughout their lives—whether it was for college, athletic teams or internships. Another key demographic characteristic of the Millennials is that they are more racially diverse than other generations. Economically, this generation also stands out. According to the Pew Research Center’s analysis on the wealth gap today between younger and older Americans, the median net worth of households headed by someone 65 or older is $170,494, which is 42% higher than it was in 1984. In contrast, the median net worth for younger-age households is $3,662, down 68% from 25 years earlier.2 Several challenging economic factors of the past decade have had a disproportionately larger impact on young people. Very high levels of youth unemployment have been standard in the post-recession economies of countries around the globe. The youth unemployment rate in the OECD area in March 2012 was 17.1%, rising to more than 50% in countries such as Spain and Greece.3 High levels of youth unemployment act as a global economic and political/social force. Youth unemployment, for example, was seen as a major factor in the development of the Arab Spring protests that have had such a significant global political impact. Figure 1: 2010 Census Generation Size 27.7% 26.4% 19.8% 13% Mature/World War II Generation Baby Boomers Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2 Generation X Generation Y/ Millennials Skills and education gaps Starting their working life in the tough economic conditions of the past five years may be giving many Millennials a more future-focused orientation, yet it may also be a fi nancial liability they must carry for years to come. New graduates have had to accept lower starting salaries than they would have been offered in a stronger economy, and these starting salaries can influence wages for many years into the future. Other recent graduates may fi nd themselves working part time or in jobs for which they are overqualified, and this trend could also have a longer-term impact on their career trajectory. Those who are unemployed have the greatest challenge in fi nding their footing in the labor market and beginning to move up a career ladder. All of these factors are emphasizing the need to get educated and trained for the jobs that are available and the jobs that have the best future prospects. Unfortunately, obtaining this education is a growing challenge for many of today’s young people, either due to a lack of college- or career- readiness coming out of high school (or a lack of a high school degree altogether) or due to rising higher education costs. A 2012 Pew Research Center survey found that “most young workers say they don’t have the education and training to get ahead. Among 18- to 34-year-olds who are employed, less than half (46%) say they have the education and training necessary to get ahead in their job or career. Among those who are not working, only 27% say they are adequately prepared for the kind of job they want.” A major factor in how young people responded to this question was whether they had a college degree; 69% of young working college graduates said they have the education and training they need to get ahead, compared with only 39% of those without a degree and not enrolled in college.4 Yet the need for higher levels of education to succeed will be even more critical for this generation than for any other. An October 2012 SHRM/Achieve survey on changing employee skills and education requirements found that the greatest changes HR professionals expect in the years ahead are an increased number of jobs with specific technical requirements (60%), increased staff size (55%) and higher education level requirements for most jobs (50%). More than one-half (55%) of HR professionals anticipate increased demand for candidates with a bachelor’s degree, and 41% expect an increased need for advanced degrees (e.g., master’s, MBA, Ph.D., M.D., J.D.), as shown in Figure 2.5 The survey found that across job levels and industries the needed education Figure 2: Anticipated Need for Higher Education Levels Do you anticipate that your organization’s needs for employees at the following education levels will increase, stay the same or decrease over the next three to five years? 16% High school diploma or equivalent only (n = 3,386) Specific postsecondary certificate/credential(s) only (n = 3,290) 32% Advanced degree (e.g., master’s, MBA, Ph.D., M.D., J.D.) (n = 3,338) 62% 5% 25% Associate’s degree (n = 3,275) Bachelor’s degree (n = 3,409) 68% 16% 67% 7% 55% 43% 2% Increase Stay the same 41% Decrease 56% 3% Note: Percentages may not total 100% due to rounding. Source: SHRM/Achieve Survey: Changing Employee Skills and Education Requirements—Changes in the Workforce requirements are set to rise by at least one degree level over the next three to five years. The fi ndings suggest that for Millennials it will be absolutely crucial to obtain higher education levels in order to fi nd and keep jobs, much more so than for previous generations. A career development gap Millennials appear to recognize how much their futures depend on skills and education, as they are the besteducated generation in America’s history. The rise of the cost of education also means they have spent more on obtaining their education than any other generation. Those without the education necessary for the jobs they want will be increasingly focused on how they can attain it, while those who do have in-demand skills and education may be more focused on getting the highest return on their education investment dollars through more and better career opportunities. As employees, both categories are likely to look favorably on employers that provide them with the chance to use their skills and experience and to further develop their skills through training and education. The SHRM 2012 Employee Job Satisfaction and Engagement survey report found that employees in the Millennial demographic—like all other age groups—rated “opportunities to use skills/abilities at work” as their number one job satisfaction factor (60%). They also rated career advancement opportunities highly as a job satisfaction factor (50%), as shown in Table 1. However, many high-achieving young employees seem to be getting restless. A study led by Monika Hamori at IE Business School in Madrid recently profi led in the Harvard Business Review found that “young high achievers—30 years old, on average, and with strong academic records, degrees from elite institutions, and Table 1: Top Five Very Important Aspects of Job Satisfaction by Employee Age Millennials Generation X Baby Boomers Veterans First Second Third Fourth Fifth Opportunities to use skills/abilities Compensation/pay, job security, the work itself Communication between employees and senior management Relationship with immediate supervisor Career advancement opportunities 60% 57% 52% 51% 50% Opportunities to use skills/abilities, job security Compensation/pay Communication between employees and senior management Relationship with immediate supervisor Organization’s financial stability 67% 64% 61% 57% 55% Organization’s financial stability Opportunities to use skills/abilities Job security Compensation/pay Communication between employees and senior management 63% 61% 60% 59% 56% Opportunities to use skills/abilities, the work itself Organization’s financial stability, benefits Compensation/pay Relationship with immediate supervisor, job specific training Flexibility to balance life and work issues 56% 50% 47% 44% 40% Note: Table represents those who answered “very important.” Percentages are based on a scale where 1 = “very unimportant” and 4 = “very important.” Source: 2012 Employee Job Satisfaction and Engagement: A Research Report by SHRM 3 ® V i s i o n s W o r k p l a c e international internship experience—are antsy. . . They left their companies, on average, after 28 months.” The researchers found that the “dissatisfaction with some employee-development efforts appears to fuel many early exits.” They believe that the problem of the high cost of training that can take employees off the job for periods of time may be creating a “vicious circle: companies won’t train workers because they might leave, and workers leave because they don’t get training.”6 A future leadership gap? The above factors—high levels of un- and underemployment in their early years in the workforce, a skills and education gap that may result in a failure to meet the requirements of future jobs, and a lack of investment in training that compels promising young managers to embark on a constant search for new opportunities— have the potential to converge to create a real problem for many organizations’ efforts to build a pipeline of future leaders. While a lack of investment in training and education for younger workers raises the risk that the most promising young employees may not stick around long enough to become organizational leaders, it may also have another outcome: a reluctance among Millennial employees to take on the leadership roles they are offered. According to generational expert and founder of RainmakerThinking Inc. Bruce Tulgan, “The problem is—especially among the best Gen Y technical talent— that there are a lot of people who are committed to their work and career but are reluctant to take on supervisory roles. Why? The main reason, according to our research, is that they can see with their own eyes the experience of their own managers and their slightly more advanced peers. What they see is that managers, especially new managers, are often given loads of additional responsibility with very little additional support.” What does this support look like? Along with investments in training and education for promising young employees, Tulgan advises organizations to “surround them with teaching-style managers, advisers, organizational supporters and maybe even mentors.” These kinds of career development interventions help young employees develop both technical and applied, nontechnical skills, all of which are critically important for future success in leadership roles. As Millennials come to dominate the workplace, the organizations that have made an effort to consider this generation’s distinctive challenges and tailor their career and leadership development programs accordingly will 4 see a return on that investment through more engaged young employees and an improved pipeline of dedicated future organizational leaders. Resources 1.United States Census Bureau. (2011.) 2010 Census Briefs – Age and Sex Composition: 2010. Retrieved on October 16, 2012, from www. census.gov/prod/cen2010/briefs/c2010br-03.pdf. 2.Fry, R., Cohn, D., Livingston, G., & Taylor, P. (2011, November 7). The Rising Age Gap in Economic Well-Being: The Old Prosper Relative to the Young. Pew Research Center. Retrieved on October 12, 2012, from www.pewsocialtrends.org/2011/11/07/the-rising-age-gap-ineconomic-well-being. 3.Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development. (2012, May 15). G20 Labour Ministers must focus on young jobseekers. Retrieved on October 12, 2012, from www.oecd.org/newsroom/ g20labourministersmustfocusonyoungjobseekers.htm. 4.Taylor, P., Parker, K, Kochhar, R., Fry, R., Funk, C., Patten, E., & Motel, S. (2012, February 9). Young, Underemployed and Optimistic: Coming of Age, Slowly, in a Tough Economy. Pew Research Center. Retrieved on October 16, 2012, from www.pewsocialtrends.org/ files/2012/02/young-underemployed-and-optimistic.pdf. 5.Society for Human Resource Management/Achieve. (October 2012). Changing Employee Skills and Education Requirements—Changes in the Workforce. Retrieved on October 16, 2012, from www.shrm.org/ Research/SurveyFindings/Articles/Pages/SHRM-Achieve-FutureChanges-Workforce.aspx. 6.Hamori, M., Cao, J., & Koyuncu, B. (2012, July-August). Why top young managers are in a nonstop job hunt. Harvard Business Review. Project Team Project lead:Jennifer Schramm, M. Phil., GPHR, manager, Workplace Trends and Forecasting Project contributors: Mark Schmit, Ph.D., SPHR, VP, Research Copy editing: Katya Scanlan, copy editor Design: Jihee Lombardi, senior design specialist This report is published by the Society for Human Resource Management (SHRM). All content is for informational purposes only and is not to be construed as a guaranteed outcome. The Society for Human Resource Management cannot accept responsibility for any errors or omissions or any liability resulting from the use or misuse of any such information. © 2012 Society for Human Resource Management. 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