CASE STUDY: WARRANTY COSTS ESTIMATION ACCORDING TO A DEFINED LIFETIME DISTRIBUTION OF DELIVERABLES Vicente González Díaz a, Juan Francisco Gómez Fernández a and Adolfo Crespo Márquez b a PhD student of the Industrial Management PhD Program at the School of Engineering, University of Seville, Spain. b Associate Professor of Industrial Management School of Engineering, University of Seville, Spain. This paper tries to describe a real case of warranty assistance, analysing its management in the framework of a manufacturing company which provides deliverables during a specific period of time and following a scheduled distribution. With the sale of a product, the manufacturer is nowadays obliged contractually to perform warranty assistance to the buyer. Decreasing the incurred costs is clearly not the only aspect to achieve, since the decision has to be global and strategical inside the company in order to purchase a reliable and robust product, offering as well an appropriate after-sales service to the user. Therefore, key aspects will be presented along this study in order to estimate costs and, consequently, to take proper decisions for leading correctly the company to a successful goal. For that purpose, not only should managers and responsibles in a well-established and controlled organization participate, it would also important to consider the experience given by the technical staff for maintenance and warranty. As a result, this paper will show basically how analyzing the past performance is possible to foresee and control the future. In our case, it will be possible to observe how the evolution of costs during the lifetime of a warranty assistance program can help to correct and foresee with more accuracy the expected total cost of the activity considered at the beginning of the program. The paper is based on an usual procedure in special supplies for the public sector (for instance, a fleet of customized vehicles), between companies inside the supply chain or directly to the final user, where this final user is for example a public entity and the budget for the complete warranty assistance is already known from the beginning of the project. Key Words: Warranty management, after sales, cost estimation, e-warranty, spare parts procurement 1 INTRODUCTION Case studies have been normally used to support and help theoretical subjects in engineering and other research fields. Developing these cases, it is usually found such amount of information that can either trivialize the study or complicate it beyond a reasonable level. Therefore, the intention here is to synthesize a practical case which transmits easily how a proper management of warranty assistances helps to reduce costs, enables to take suitable decisions, and improves the image of the company in front of the client. The case here exposed, starts mentioning the antecedents related to warranty cost models. This brief State-of-Art will show how important is a warranty cost management system. Later on, it is described the scenario where contributions given in the mentioned State-of-Art will be applied. Once defined the problem and along the development of this particular case, a procedure is also proposed related to the way of working among different sections inside a generic company. This procedure will be exposed succinctly using a workflow chart by BPMN (Business Process Modelling Notation) standard. Finally, conclusions to this case study are expressed at the end of the paper. 2. BACKGROUND Although many manufacturing companies spend great amounts of money just due to their service warranties, in most of the cases however, this reason does not receive too much attention. In spite of this, it is possible to find studies in the literature, related to the warranty cost modelling with very interesting contributions [1]. The authors of these contributions try usually to identify processes, actions, stages, tools, methods or necessary support techniques to manage properly the warranty costs. Regarding processes, in order to apply an effective warranty management, is critical to collect the proper data and to exchange adequately the different types of information between the modules in which the management system can be divided [2]. In our case study, it will be proposed a warranty management system based on a several modules organization. PROBLEM / OBJECTIVE In the literature review, different interactions between warranty and other disciplines can also be observed, and how they are dealt by the different models and authors. Particularly and summarizing, three important interactions must be considered: WARRANTY MANAGEMENT SYSTEM ENGINEERING MODULE MANUFACTURING MODULE POST SALE MODULE MARKETING MODULE DECISION SUPPORT 1. Warranty and Maintenance: In many cases, the warranty period is the time when the manufacturer still has a strong control over its product and its behaviour. Additionally, the expected warranty costs depend normally not only on warranty requirements, but also on the associated maintenance schedule of the product [3]. Figure 1. Warranty management system in four modules (adapted from [2]) 3. Warranty and Quality: The improvement of the reliability and quality of the product has not only an advantageous and favourable impact in front of the client; it also highly reduces the expected warranty cost [5]. High Management Requirement 2. Warranty and Outsourcing: The warranty service or, in general, the after-sales department of a company, is usually one of the most susceptible to be outsourced due to its low risk and due also to the fact that, among other features, outsourcing provides legal insurance for such assistance services [4]. Low Moderately Externalizable Not Externalizable Highly Externalizable Less Externalizable Interactions Requirements High Figure 2. The outsource decision (from [1]) EAC = Cost to Date + Estimated Cost of Remaining Work € Estimated Final Cost Cost to Date Project tracking In reference to costs estimations, and apart from warranty issues, there are nowadays several methods to estimate accurately the final cost of a specific acquisition contract. In our case study, the method applied in a simplified way is denominated “Estimate at Completion” (EAC). In a nutshell, EAC is a management technique used in a project for the control of costs progress. Now Time Here, the manager foresees the total cost of the project at completion, combining measurements related to the scope of supply, the delivery schedule, and the costs, using for that purpose a single integrated system. Figure 3. EAC Formula (adapted from [6]) Finally, taking into account the above mentioned antecedents, one can see that by reengineering of management processes and by the application of a correct warranty cost model, it is possible to: Increase sales of extended warranties and additional related products. Increase quality by improving the information flow about product defects and their sources. Improve better customer relationships. Reduce expenses related to warranty claims and processing. Better management and control over the warranty costs. Reduce invalid-related expenses and other warranty costs. 2 Therefore, a well-established warranty management system will help basically to achieve a successful goal in the performance of the company warranty services. 3 SCENARIO OF STUDY The case company is a large manufacturer in the metal industry that operates worldwide. The company designs, manufactures and purchases a wide range of industrial vehicles (such as forest machines, hydraulic excavators or track loaders) for industrial customers, as well as other related products like spare parts. In addition to the purchase of standard vehicles, nowadays is being also often the customization of machines. In our case, the company must supply to a client a specific amount of customized vehicles following a defined schedule. In the contract is included the assistance of warranty for the vehicles of the fleet during a period, starting when each vehicle is delivered to the customer. To provide the after-sales service in a satisfactory way, it is required the fulfilment of some conditions by the company: 1. Teams formed by personal with appropriate training. 2. Tools for maintenance / warranty tasks. 3. Materials and spare parts to carry out the repairs. The first two conditions are considered fulfilled. Regarding the third condition, the necessary materials for warranty operations are obtained from the same warehouse of the assembly line. By this way, there are two possibilities to give back the material: When the piece is repairable, a spare part is taken from warehouse being later put it back after the repair of the disassembled piece. When the piece is not repairable, a spare is also taken from warehouse, but the material must be restored by purchasing. This situation is possible because the stock for manufacturing allows the loan of material for warranty without risk to the necessities of the assembly line. The problem in this scenario is defined as follows: Due to the fact that manufacturing and warranty assistance share the same warehouse, there will be a moment when the manufacturing is very advanced and simultaneously there are many vehicles under warranty. From this moment onwards, every decision must be taken prioritizing one of the two activities. Apart from the above described context, the study takes place during the lifetime distribution of deliverables. That means that, historical data regarding costs, failured items etc. are available for the research. In reference to the failured items, it has been used a classification tree with several levels following a hierarchical structure based mainly on their functionality, and reaching a sufficient level of detail in terms of procurement aspects. Custom ized Vehicle Electrical System Disjunctor Cable Hydralic System Valve Pum p Level 0 Mechanical System Gear Brake Auxiliary System Intercom Figure 4. Classification tree of components In figures, the described scenario and the delivery schedule are as shown in table 1. Our case study will be developed considering also the following hypothesis: Every vehicle has the same reliability (they have the same failure probability). The warranty cost is constant with the time. The warranty time does not stop in any moment. 3 Navigator Level 1 Level n Table 1 Data of the described scenario Total amount of customized vehicles to be delivered: 350 units. Warranty period for each vehicle: 2 years. Warranty expiration for last vehicle: March 2015. Time point of the case study (t1): April 2009 (150 units already delivered). Date March 2006 Accumulate amount of vehicles Roll-Out April 2007 45 units April 2008 100 units April 2009 150 units April 2010 200 units April 2011 260 units April 2012 315 units April 2013 350 units Regarding the EAC for warranty, it depends on the company policy. Usually, the budget for warranty is determined as a percentage of the project total cost. In our case study, the manufacturing plus indirect costs for each vehicle is supposed that amounts to ca. 375.000,00 € and the percentage for warranty attendance will be the 2 % of the budget for total costs. That yields around 2.625.000,00 € for the attendance of warranties during the whole project. 4 ANALYSIS, DEVELOPMENT AND RESULTS OF THE CASE STUDY 4.1 Costs analysis of the warranty assistances As mentioned, the study happens in a moment when the company has already delivered an amount of 150 vehicles. In this time, there are 105 vehicles under warranty. Some preliminary data are shown in table 2. Together to this, there is also a sample about the amount of vehicles under warranty according to the defined delivery schedule. Some figures here have been rounded off in order to simplify their use during the study. In September 2011 (t2), the already delivered fleet -285 units- will have a maximum in the amount of vehicles simultaneously under warranty –128 units- (see yellow graphic line). Monthly Delivery Delivered Vehicles (Acumulate) Vehicles in warranty Amount of Vehicles The table 2 (as commented) is only a sample extracted from the complete delivery schedule. From this complete schedule, it is possible to notice that the warranty expiration of the first vehicles takes place obviously on March 2008 and, also, that the most critical moment (t2) will happen in September 2011. Graphic in figure 5 can help to illustrate it. t2 m ar -0 se 6 p0 m 6 ar -0 se 7 p0 m 7 ar -0 se 8 p0 m 8 ar -0 se 9 p0 m 9 ar -1 se 0 p1 m 0 ar -1 se 1 p1 m 1 ar -1 se 2 p1 m 2 ar -1 se 3 p1 m 3 ar -1 se 4 p1 m 4 ar -1 5 In this moment, we can observe how close the end of the deliveries is (April 2013). Consequently, much closer (and critical) is therefore the manufacturing of such last vehicles. 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 Warranty Evolution t1 Month Figure 5. Warranty evolution graphic, in terms of delivered vehicles 4 Table 2 Extract of the delivery schedule Date Ac. Amount of vehicles Monthly Delivery Vehicles in Warranty March 2006 Roll-Out 5 units 5 units April 2007 45 units 2 units 45 units April 2008 100 units 3 units 91 units April 2009 150 units 2 units 105 units April 2010 200 units 7 units 100 units April 2011 260 units 2 units 110 units April 2012 315 units 2 units 115 units April 2013 350 units 0 units 90 units April 2014 350 units 0 units 35 units No. of delivered Vehicles in t1: V1 = 150 units No of Reclamations in t1: R1 = 1.200 reclamations Warranty incurred cost in t1: C1 = 1.000.000,00 € EAC for Warranty: EACw = 2.625.000,00 € No of vehicles to be delivered: V(t) = [according to delivery schedule] In t2, our teams of maintenance / warranty technicians will have to assist a high number of vehicles which will demands a huge amount of spare parts. At the same time, the operators of the assembly line will be requesting pieces for the production of the last vehicles. The shared warehouse will have then in store enough pieces for manufacturing but no more, so the loan of any spare part demanded by the after-sales personal must be decided taken into consideration the importance of the material, the time to repair the disassembled piece, and / or the time to restore it by purchasing. Every piece in the classification tree (see figure 4) belonging to the lowest level (level where materials can be procured), will have a weight (or criticity) which changes with the time. Every piece will be considered much more critical, as closer is the end of manufacturing. Therefore, and taking also into account a costs analysis, it will be necessary to have in mind the investment of a minimum strategical stock in order not to leave warranty claims unattended. Monthly Increase of Warranty Cost Warranty Cost (Acumulate) Warranty Cost t1 2500000 Considering the above indicated data, it is possible to carry out a simple costs analysis obtaining some average values. Warranty Cost Evolution t2 Calculation of some values: 1500000 500000 Warranty cost per vehicle: mar-15 jul-14 nov-14 mar-14 jul-13 nov-13 mar-13 jul-12 nov-12 mar-12 jul-11 nov-11 mar-11 jul-10 nov-10 mar-10 jul-09 nov-09 mar-09 jul-08 nov-08 mar-08 jul-07 nov-07 mar-07 jul-06 CV = C1 / V1 = 1.000.000,00 / 150 = 6.666,67 € nov-06 0 Warranty cost per reclamation: CR = C1 / R1 = 1.000.000,00 / 1.200 = 833,33 € 1000000 mar-06 EUR (€) 2000000 Month Reclamations per vehicle: RV = R1 / V1 = 1.200 / 150 = 8 reclamations Figure 6. Warranty evolution graphic, in terms of warranty costs With these values, and in order to make it more illustrated, it is included a graphic (figure 6) with the warranty evolution in terms of costs. One can see that lines in this graphic follow the same behaviour or track as the ones from figure 5. 5 That is because the total incurred warranty cost of every vehicle has been considered in a conservative way. That means they have been treated as already incurred just when each vehicle is delivered to the customer. Therefore, the accumulate warranty cost does not increase after the delivery of the last vehicle. In further studies, it will be possible to add also the consideration of several destinations of the vehicles, where local maximums can happen in different moments of the defined lifetime and costs must include the movement of warranty teams to different locations. Comparing the above results with the foreseen costs indicated in the EAC, a graphic is obtained as the one exposed in figure 7. The EAC is formed by a first part already known (pink line), which refers to the Incurred to Date (ITD); plus a second foreseen part (blue straight line), which refers to the Estimate to Completion (ETC). Warranty Costs Comparison t1 3000000 2500000 2000000 EUR (€) 1500000 1000000 Month Figure 7. EAC vs. Average Cost Line That means, there is a budgetary buffer of ca. 290.000,00 €, which can be used to invest in a strategical stock of spare parts. This amount would correspond to the budget for attending the warranty of around 43 vehicles, or equivalent as if the warranty assistance should be taking and advantage of ca. 15 months before the manufacturing end. Other interesting average values that can be obtained from this exercise are for example the estimated total amount of warranty claims, which shall be around 2.800 reclamations. Anyhow, and as the main conclusion of this analysis, the procurement of these strategical spare parts should avoid the use of the stock shared with assembly line, offering by this way an appropriate service to the client. That is due to the possibility of assisting warranties independently of the manufacturing department and consequently, not affecting to the final goal of the project. 4.2 Quantitative analysis of the claims Data for a huge variety of items have been possible to compile with the customer’s complaints. These items are classified according to their functionality and divided also into components that can be procured (see figure 4: Classification tree of components). COMPLAINTS ACCORDING TO COMPONENT 100 The figure 8 exposes a sample of the gathered data as an example for this case study. This kind of analysis usually helps not only to the Quality department, but also to the Manufacturing, in order to pay much more attention in those components that have many incidents during the warranty period. 95 90 80 70 62 60 54 50 Improving the manufacturing process or taking care during the component assembly, it is possible to reduce the complaints regarding a specific item. 46 38 40 30 30 26 22 10 8 6 4 3 2 Cable 12 Horn 14 10 Steering wheel 18 20 Heater Navigator Seats Antenna Lights Intercom Regulator Gear Disjunctor Valve Alarm Brake Battery Pump 0 Engine No. of COMPLAINTS 70 Due to the huge amount of components in such complex systems as an industrial customized vehicle, is suggested the choice of items in order to make all the gathered information easily manipulated. The criteria to select a group of items can be not only in terms of failures quantity. It is also important the cost of such components, the delivery time to procure them, etc. 6 mar-15 jul-14 nov-14 mar-14 jul-13 nov-13 mar-13 jul-12 nov-12 mar-12 jul-11 nov-11 mar-11 jul-10 nov-10 mar-10 jul-09 nov-09 mar-09 jul-08 nov-08 mar-08 jul-07 nov-07 mar-07 jul-06 0 nov-06 500000 mar-06 Apart from the EAC line, the warranty cost line obtained from the cost average in t1 is also here implemented (green line). As a result from this graphic comparison, it can be seen that cost at the end (ca. 2.335.000,00 €) is slightly lower than the budget considered at the beginning of the project (2.625.000,00 €). Estimate to Completion (ETC) Incurred to Date (ITD) Warranty according to Cost Average Figure 8. No. of Complaints per Component In general, is important to know how critical each component is for the company and for the fulfilment of the production line. All these features will be conditions to have in mind when comes the time to take a decision. In other words, these features will be turn into factors which will give a specific weight to each component. This weight will help finally to the manager to take the proper decision. Taking this into account, and regarding again the former figures, those data included in the graphic, are possible to be transformed in terms of relative frequency. This relative frequency refers to the number (ni) of times that an event (i) takes place (in our case, failures), and divided per the total number of events (Σni). Considering therefore statistical concepts (together with other factors) is possible further on to weight, as mentioned, the value of each component in order to prioritize between the loan to warranty assistance or to keep the piece available for the manufacturing. Table 3 Relative frequencies Component Claims Nº fi = ni / Σ ni Component Claims Nº fi = ni / Σ ni Pump 95 0,1827 Lights 18 0,0346 Engine 70 0,1346 Intercom 14 0,0269 Battery 62 0,1192 Antenna 12 0,0231 Brake 54 0,1038 Seats 10 0,0192 Valve 46 0,0885 Heater 8 0,0154 Alarm 38 0,0731 Navigator 6 0,0115 Gear 30 0,0577 Horn 4 0,0077 Disjunctor 26 0,05 Steering wheel 3 0,0058 Regulator 22 0,0423 Cable 2 0,0038 The rest of components are basically not considered because: They have been affected by very little amount of failures. They have been delivered fast enough and mostly in time. There is an extra stock in warehouse due to the purchasing of minimum quantities, higher than the real necessity. Or they are not, definitively, under the interest of the project managers’ point of view, due to other reasons. Summarizing, with the tasks before explained in order to obtain a set of chosen components (those acknowledged as critical), what we are really composing is a list of strategical spare parts. This means that, in case the company approves the use of the budgetary buffer for the supporting of the warranty service, the purchasing process can be quickly launched. All these actions will finally lead the company to positive returns: by reducing the probability of paying penalties due to a global delay in the project delivery, and by improving the confidence of the client due to the completion of contractual terms as the warranty assistance. It is necessary to remark that, every failure referred here were incidences considered under warranty. For further researches on this field, is proposed for example the inclusion also of those incidences not considered under warranty. The analysis of such events must take into account the reasons why these situations happen (bad training of the user?; poor information for maintenance?; clients accustomed to other family product with different behaviour?...). Anyway, in each case and even when the failure is not attributed to the manufacturer, the company must be interested in the possible causes. 7 4.3 Spare parts management for warranty assistances The change in the utilization of pieces from assembly line to warranty assistance has a negative effect in cost for the whole project. The extracosts associated to the spare parts are of course due to the different price between the acquisition of a piece at the beginning of the project for the whole fleet, and the acquisition of a piece punctually during the lifetime of the project and for a specific incidence. Therefore, the accounts management must apply a compensation between the difference values in order not to remain such increment in the total costs of manufacturing, but to incurre it in the total warranty costs. Taking this into consideration is possible to calculate properly the costs of the loans. Consequently, the percentage incremented in the final acquisition price can be also a factor to have in mind when it will be estimated the weight for each component. Figure 9. Typical feedback of analysis from collected reliability and maintenance data (from [7]) In order to assure a correct warranty attention, the proposed action is basically to acquire a lot of reserves that allow reparations without delays in the vehicles manufacturing and, simultaneously during this process, to supply spares to the warranty service from the assembly line in a reasonable way. According to the mentioned considerations, and together with the collected data, the experience of warranty / maintenance technicians, the knowledge of the engineering department and of course using the already developed techniques in maintenance (figure 9), is possible not only to elaborate a spare parts purchase plan for warranty, but also to improve the business process of decision-making as well as to contribute with improvements actions for engineering and manufacturing. This purchase plan means an adequate list of essential pieces to assure the properly assistance of a high amounts of reclamations. At the end of the warranty period, the remaining spare parts can be negotiated with the client for their use in later maintenance tasks. This fact forces to control properly all these materials thus, at the conclusion of the project, they must be available to be supplied to the customer. At the same time, this action will suppose an opportunity to recover in a future, part of the incurred cost. In general, the decision-making will be the result of a process focused to a final choice among several alternatives. In our case, in order to lead the company to a fast and adequate decision-making, every department should know very clear what they have to do and which the scope of their responsibility is. For our company case, we have adapted the idea of a warranty management system divided in modules (see figure 1), proposing furthermore, certain interactions among different departments inside the company, which share the information, take suitable decisions according to their responsibilities, and coordinate activities to a common and profit goal for the whole company. In order to illustrate such interactions, activities etc., it has been used a workflow (figures 10 and 11) following a BPMN (Business Process Modelling Notation) methodology as a graphical representation for this specific business process, being by this way easily understandable. The considered departments here (including the client) are: Logistics Department (LD) Quality Department (QD) Manufacturing Department (MD) Purchasing Department (PD) Management Board (MB) Engineering Department (ED) Aftersales Department (AD) Customer (C) The process starts when the customer detects a failure in a vehicle and informs consequently to the company. The communications can be addressed to different sections of the company, but the most appropriate way is to focus them in only 8 one communicator as, for example, the Management Board. Anyway, the Aftersales Department can also detect failures in the course of its maintenance activities. YES NO Communicates the failure to MB. CLIENT Is acepted? Are there spares in warehouse? LOGISTIC DEPT. YES NO MANUFACTURING DEPT. NO Decides, as a last resort, if the failure must be repaired under warranty. Transmits the information to AD. MANAGEMENT BOARD NO Communicates the corresponding dept. the necessary actions in order to facilitate the material to AD. Repair under warranty? YES Must the failure be considered under warranty? Analizes the initial data. AFTER-SALES DEPT. SI Determines resources and deadlines for the repair. YES NO Is any material needed for the repair? Figure 10. Proposed warranty management process workflow (part 1 of 2). Once the information reaches the Aftersales Department, they analyse the given information. In case that the incidence is considered not object of repair under warranty (for example, when the cause of the failure has been a wrong or bad utilization), they inform to the Management Board who decides finally if, in spite of this, the incidence is repaired as warranty. If the incidence is discarded as warranty repair, the Management Board should inform the customer about that. The customer can of course disagree with such consideration. Therefore, a list of interventions (those not considered firstly as warranty) must be negotiated between the parts. If the incidence is considered under warranty conditions, the Aftersales Department must carry out a diagnosis of the incidence, detecting the problem, analyzing its solution, and determining the resources (staff and materials) and the necessary time for its repair. In reference to the material, the warranty technicians must identify between the repairable and the non reparable / consumable materials. YES Sends to MB its Approval. CLIENT YES LOGISTIC DEPT. NO MANUFACTURING DEPT. Is possible to obtain it by cannibalization? YES NO YES MANAGEMENT BOARD NO AFTER-SALES DEPT. QUALITY DEPT. Does it affect to the delivery schedule? NO Decides, as a last resort, if the piece is lent. Makes the corresponding Non Conformity Register and sends the failured material to the factory. Is it a systematic failure? NO Is the piece lent? NO YES Informs to AD about the disposition of materials for the repair. Informs to MB and C about its Action Plan. Informs the C about the closing of the incidence. Resolves the incidence and fulfils the Closing Report. Makes and manages the Data Base associated to the incidences, needed for its follow-up and periodical review. Manages the repair whose charges impact in AD. YES Manages the purchasing whose charges impact in AD. PURCHASING DEPT. ENGINEERIING DEPT. Analyzes and justifies the causes. Figure 11. Proposed warranty management process workflow (part 2 of 2). The global ao general needs are communicated to the Management Board who addresses the actions to the corresponding department (Logistics, Manufacturing and / or Purchasing Department), in order finally to facilitate the material to the Aftersales Department. At that point is when the Management Board must take the most important decisions in terms of costs and manufacturing prevision. Once the Aftersales Department has the material (either by a loan from warehouse, a loan by cannibalization, or acquisition by purchasing), it communicates to the Management Board (and afterward to the client), its action plan. 9 The damaged material is sent to the company where the Quality Department (together in some cases with Engineering Department) analyzes the failure. If the repair has been by replacement and the material is identified as repairable, the Quality Department manages the repair, taking into account the appropriate certification. The material, once repaired and certificated, will be stored again in warehouse for its use in the assembly line. In this process, every data about the incidence, damaged material, repair etc., gathered by Aftersales, Quality and Engineering Departments are introduced in a Data Base which is followed-up and reviewed by the Quality Department. Once the incidence is solved, Aftersales Department communicates the closure of the assistance to the Management Board, who transmits this to the client. From the customer is important to receive a document with the approval of the performed tasks and the acceptance of the service closure. The Data Base associated to these incidences and necessary for their follow-up should include, not only those incidences considered under warranty, but also the data about preventive and corrective maintenance performed on every vehicle, in order to enable the analysis of, for example, repetitive or systematic failures among others studies. 5 CONCLUSIONS With the help of a case study, this paper summarizes a business process inside a specific framework: the warranty management. The analysis observes how information related to warranty and maintenance, gathered during the lifetime of the project, can be profitably used to take decisions reducing unnecessary expenses and improving the quality, the service and, essentially, the image of the company in front of the client. The data compilation enables to weight those parameters needed to choose properly among alternatives. Such decisions are expressed in the workflow as gateways. Nowadays, the use of computing tools can be helpful not only to make automatically choices, but also to model and simulate business processes in order to detect for example their weak points. Particularizing to our case, future studies can consider other conditions as for example: Final products with different reliability. Local maximums at different times and places. Warranty cost depending on time. When the budgetary buffer is negative. Diverse inoperance degrees. Etc. In general and nowadays, e-technologies are being applied in many and different fields. In our case, further research can be focused to the e-warranty in the same way as e-maintenance. The concept of E-Warranty will be them defined as that warranty support which includes resources, services and management, needed to enable proactive decisions in the process execution. Etechnologies as e-monitoring or e-diagnosis will be, consequently, key factors to reach high levels of quality, reliability, effectiveness and, of course, confidence before the client. 6 REFERENCES 1 V. González Díaz, J.F. Gómez, M. López, A. Crespo, P. Moreu de León. (2009) “Warranty cost models State-of-Art: A practical review to the framework of warranty cost management”. ESREL 2009, Prague. 2 K. Lyons, D.N.P. Murthy. (2001) “Warranty and manufacturing, integrated optimal modelling”. Production Planning, Inventory, Quality and Maintenance, Kluwer Academic Publishers, New York. Pp. 287–322. 3 Boyan Dimitrov, Stefanka Chukova and Zohel Khalil. (2004) “Warranty Costs: An Age-Dependent Failure/Repair Model”. Wiley InterScience, Wiley Periodicals, Inc. 4 J. Gómez, A. Crespo, P. Moreu, C. Parra, V. González Díaz. (2009) “Outsourcing maintenance in services providers”. Taylor & Francis Group, London. Pp. 829-837. ISBN 978-0-415-48513-5. 5 Stefanka Chukova and Yu Hayakawa. (2004) “Warranty cost analysis: non-renewing warranty with repair time”. John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Appl. Stochastic Models Bus. Ind. 20, Pp. 59–71 6 D. Christensen. (1993) “Determining an accurate Estimate At Completion”. National Contract Management Journal 25. Pp. 17-25. 7 ISO/DIS 14224, ISO TC 67/SC /WG 4. (2004) “Petroleum, petrochemical and natural gas industries - Collection and exchange of reliability and maintenance data for equipment”, Standards Norway. Acknowledgments The author would like to thank the reviewers of the paper for their contribution to the quality of this work. 10
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