Innovation- and research programmes at TU Delft Safety and Security Institute (DSyS) June 8th 2017 HSD Cafe Pieter van Gelder Safety and Security Science • Is about scientific analysis of undesired events (intentional and unintentional) • At TU Delft we aim to quantify and optimize safety and security by technical and socio-technical measures. Research goals • How to improve the risk management methodologies? • How to improve the data analytics? • How to improve the system of systems approach? We are always looking for cases Bow-tie Model: Everything leading up to the accident Fault tree Everything following the accident Event tree BUT: • Logic is NOT deterministic • Causality is probabilistic • Human influence certainly not deterministic Barriers • New sort of construct: Bayesian Belief Net BBN for road infrastructure CATS Causal Model for Air Transport Safety air traffic control • 1400 nodes • 5000 arcs Game theory Attack trees Balance of safety and costs Dantzig, D. van, 1960, The economic decision problem concerning the safety of the Netherlands against storm surges; Report of the Delta Commission, Contribution II.2, p 59-110. Van Gelder, P.H.A.J.M., 1999. “Statistical Methods for the Risk-Based Design of Civil Structures”, Communications on Hydraulic and Geotechnical Engineering, ISSN:0169-6548 00-1 DSyS field labs • • • • Campus living lab for evacuation exercises Campus living lab for laboratory safety Campus living lab for risk perception Smart Resilient Delta City Index (for flooding) Invitation • Do you want to evaluate the effectivity of your safety / security innovations? • Do you want to share data from sensors and join a living lab?
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