Managing Impact Evaluations: Time, Budget and Management Francis Rathinam Evaluation Specialist, 3ie [email protected] Workshop on “Introduction to Impact Evaluation: Challenges and Opportunities for Policymaking” 3ie-OPM, Kampala,16-17 June, 2016 Step 1: Assess the evaluability of the programme • Is it plausible to expect impact? o Assess the intervention logic or implementation fidelity • Is it feasible to measure attributable impact? o Is it possible to construct a control group? o Baseline data o Contamination o Complexity of project design • Is the timing right? Step 2: Develop a comprehensive ToR • Programme background – A brief description of the programme • Objectives – Why this evaluation • Intended beneficiaries of the report (the programme team and who else?) • Scope of work • Activities and responsibilities • Deliverables – What should be delivered • Schedule of activities – State the expected dates for delivery of reports • Qualifications – Profile and level of experience of the research team • Proposal/application assessment criteria • Payment schedule – link it to the reporting requirement • Risks management Step 3: Put together an evaluation team • The evaluation team should ideally include at least one sector specialist, evaluation specialist, statistician, qualitative researcher and a survey team • More in-country researchers the better it is Step 4: Develop, refine and agree on the design • Bring the IA staff at different level on board • This will help ensure that programme implementation adheres to the study design and in feeding back any changes in the programme to the research team • Agree on the programme TOC; define clear questions and indicators • Agree on Methodology: • Ex ante designs with baseline (building evaluation into programme design) • There is no one-size-fits-all. Context, time and budget constraints dictate the most feasible design • Agree on a timeline for evaluation with clear milestones based on the programme timeline • Ask for a pre-analysis plan Step 4: Develop, refine and agree on the design… • Provide routine feedback, especially on the questionnaires, and baseline and final draft reports • Help contextualise survey instruments (what to ask and who to ask) • Participate in interpreting findings and results. • Ensure management and implementing team feed back Step 5: After the Study Completion • Engaging with other key stakeholders around the study to build interest and discussion on the study findings • Co-present study with the researchers to ensure that the IA perspective is mainstreamed in the dialogue around the study. • Take the results back to the community / beneficiaries • Summarise the findings for upward accountability and for further management decision Managing Expectations • What you want • What researchers want Role of an IE Manager… And finally be prepared for delays Managing IE Budget Some study costs IEG BINP study US$40,000-60,000 IEG Ghana education study US$500,000 Average 3ie study US$420,000+ Average 3ie study in Africa with two rounds of surveys US$500,000+ A Key Cost Driver Costs largely driven by large survey so additional rounds increase costs (marginal costs of increasing sample size are not so great) Some Timelines Ex post 12-18 months Ex ante: • Lead time for survey design 3-6 months • Time gap between baseline and end line data collection determined by the outcome variable of interest • Report writing and consultation 3-6 months • Policy uptake Need Help on Available Evidence? Databases: • 3ie IE repository • 3ie Registry for International Development IEs (RIDIE) • JPAL repository • PREM Impact Site (World Bank) • Multilateral Banks Useful 3ie Sources Social Media Communication Briefs and reports Website Events Newsletters Mailing Lists Thank you
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