High Rock Lake Nutrient Modeling Update Pam Behm - NC Division of Water Resources Environmental Management Commission Information Item January 8, 2015 PURPOSE To provide an update on the status of the High Rock Lake nutrient modeling and information on the next steps in the process of developing a Nutrient Management Strategy for the lake. 2 OUTLINE • Description of Lake and Watershed • Impairment History • Addressing the Impairment • Role of Technical Advisory Committee • Next Steps 3 High Rock Lake Watershed Yadkin 4 Population: 850,000 High Rock Lake Watershed 5 2007 Land Cover 47% Forest 30% Pasture/Crop 18 % Developed 6 Point Sources Municipal and Industrial Wastewater 7 Impairment History • Mid-1970s – Highly nutrient over-enriched conditions first documented • 1992 – DWQ NC Lake Assessment Report – One of the most nutrient over-enriched lakes in NC – Recommended “management strategies” • 303(d) List – Entire lake listed for chlorophyll-a 8 Addressing the Impairment Questions • Where are the nutrients coming from and how much? ▫ Tool: Watershed Model • What reductions in nutrient loading are necessary to achieve water quality standards in the lake? Nitrogen? Phosphorus? Both? ▫ Tool: Nutrient Response Model 9 Addressing the Impairment • 2005 – DWQ formed Technical Advisory Committee (TAC) • 2007 – 319-grant awarded to Yadkin/Pee Dee River Basin Association (YPDRBA) for an intensive monitoring study of the lake/watershed • 2009 – EPA contract awarded to Tetra Tech for model development 10 Watershed Model • Estimates what is happening on land that results in nutrient export to receiving water (i.e. High Rock Lake) • Provides relative loading by source (agriculture, developed, point sources, etc.) 11 Watershed Model – NMS uses • Used to: ▫ Determine nutrient concentrations entering High Rock Lake ▫ Assist with evaluation of potential source reduction scenarios • No direct application to NMS 12 Nutrient Response Model Result of Model Determines nutrient load reductions that will achieve water quality standards Existing loading from all sources Lake Response Chl-a Reduced loading Lake Response Chl-a 13 Technical Advisory Committee (TAC) WHO: Stakeholders – state and local agencies PURPOSE: Assist … with the development of mathematical tools for the management of nutrients and turbidity in High Rock Lake 14 High Rock Lake TAC Members • APGI • DHHS – Environmental Health Section • Dept of Transportation • Div of Soil and Water Conservation • DWR • Duke Energy • Keep Iredell Clean • Kernersville • Piedmont-Triad Regional Council • Salisbury • Winston-Salem • Yadkin Riverkeeper 15 TAC • Modeling Training • TAC Inputs: ▫ Modeling Goals ▫ Monitoring Plan ▫ Model Performance Targets ▫ Model Review – “Tell us how to make it better” 16 Next Steps • Finalize nutrient response model • Final TAC meeting END of TOOL DEVELOPMENT (Step 1 in NMS Development Process Completed) 17 Nutrient Management Strategy Development Process Step 1: Build the tools Who: • DWR and TAC What: • Monitoring • Modeling Step 2: Develop the strategy Who: • DWR and Stakeholders What: • Model scenarios • Reduction targets • Point and nonpoint strategies 18 EMC Role • Nutrient Response Model Approval ▫ Not required for High Rock Lake ▫ Has been required for previous strategies ▫ “Appropriate tool to use for strategy development” 19 Questions? Pam Behm [email protected] 919-807-6419 20
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