Chinese Exchange student from Peking University Not first time to US, But first time as a student Please point out my problems not only during this presentation but daily life Hope to become friends with all of you Yu Shi 9/27/12 Econ 400M Special Style: Socialist market economy To make most of the market, lots of state-owned businesses are privatized Definition of a state-owned business › owned by the government, but is run by an individual › most of the profit should be given to the government, and the government handles with the entire deficit, while the manager has no economics responsibility › What the manager can do? Yu Shi 9/27/12 Econ 400M Players? Strategies? › Government › Manager Legal? Illegal? How many times? What do they know? Yu Shi 9/27/12 Econ 400M Promising situation (the basic profit reflects on a pay-off of +2). Not in a key industry as energy or resources etc. the manager is not good at operating a company, and treasures leisure more than the output by working (the extra profit the manager can make by working hard is +0.5, which should be added to the government’s pay-off; while giving up the leisure ends up with a -1 for the manager). Yu Shi 9/27/12 Econ 400M The government never know what the manager is doing. The buyer knows exactly the true value of the business. The government sells the business based on the profit reported. The government are willing to see the business running in a more efficient way (the pay-off for government is +2). Yu Shi 9/27/12 Econ 400M The buyer of a company will replace the manager (pay-off is -1for manager if being fired) unless he works hard and reports all profit. Specially, for the case (S&R, privatize), the manager’s pay-off is added by 2 If the manager cheats on reporting the profit, he may be put into jail if being caught (with pay-off of -5 for NS&NR, and -7 for S&NR). The government’s reputation may be affected (a pay-off of -3). Yu Shi 9/27/12 Econ 400M Manager NS&NR NS&R S&NR S&R Government Privatize Not Privatize (-6, -1) (4, 0) (-1, 4) (2, 2) (-8, -1) (3.5, 0) (3, 5) (1, 2.5) Yu Shi 9/27/12 Econ 400M 20 people; 10 pairs. Make sure everyone fully understand Column the information Left Right The game is Top stopped (-6, if the Row -1) column (4, 0) Up left, or(-1, 4) (2, 2) player chooses automatically (-8, -1) (3.5, 0)20 stopped if itBottom is player for more than Down (3, 5) (1, 2.5) rounds Stop the experiment when the data is large enough. Yu Shi 9/27/12 Econ 400M Column Left Right Row If Top Up Bottom Down (-6, -1) (-1, 4) (-8, -1) (3, 5) (4, 0) (2, 2) (3.5, 0) (1, 2.5) both of the row and column players are risk lovers, in the first round, the output is going to be (top, left). If both of the row and column players are risk averters, in the first round the output is going to be (bottom, right). Column Left Right Row If Top Up Bottom Down (-6, -1) (-1, 4) (-8, -1) (3, 5) (4, 0) (2, 2) (3.5, 0) (1, 2.5) the row player is a risk lover while the column player is a risk averter, they are going to end up with “Top, Right” until the game is automatically stopped. If the row player is a risk averter while the column player is a risk lover, they are going to end up with “Bottom, Left” (PD). Column Left Right Row Usually Top Up Bottom Down (-6, -1) (-1, 4) (-8, -1) (3, 5) (4, 0) (2, 2) (3.5, 0) (1, 2.5) government will not be a risk lover, thus the game will always end up with a NE, but may not with PD in some cases. Policy Suggestion? The Manager Government moves first: NS&NR NS&R The Manager Privatize NS&NR NS&R S&NR S&R The Government Privatize Not Privatize (-6, -1) (4, 0) (-1, 4) (2, 2) (-8, -1) (3.5, 0) (3, 5) (1, 2.5) (-1, -6) (4, -1) S&NR S&R (-1, -8) Government (5, 3) (0, 4) NS&NR Not Privatize NS&R (2, 2) The Manager S&NR S&R (0, 3.5) (2.5, 1) Yu Shi 9/27/12 Econ 400M The Manager Manager moves first: P Government (-6, -1) NP (-2, 0) NS&NR NS&R The Manager NS&NR NS&R S&NR S&R P NP Government S&NR S&R Government Government P NP The Government Privatize Not Privatize (-6, -1) (4, 0) (-1, 4) (2, 2) (-8, -1) (3.5, 0) (3, 5) (1, 2.5) P (-1, 4) (1, 2) (-8, -1) NP (3, 5) (-4.5, 0) (1, 2.5) Yu Shi 9/27/12 Econ 400M Lose efficiency! The Government P NP The Manager NS&NR NS&R S&NR S&R (-6, -5) (-1, 0) (-8, -5) (3, 1) (4, 0) (2, 2) (3.5, 0) (1, 2.5) Policy suggestion? Yu Shi 9/27/12 Econ 400M Hung-Gay Fung, Donald Kummer and Jinjian Shen, 2006 “China’s Privatization Reforms: Progress and Challenges”, The Chinese Economy, vol. 39, no. 2, pp. 5–25. Russell W. Cooper, Douglas V. DeJong, Robert Forsythe and Thomas W. Ross. 1990. “Selection Criteria in Coordination Games: Some Experimental Results”, The American Economic Review, Vol. 80, No. 1. pp. 218-233 Stephen Philion, “Workers' Democracy vs. Privatization in China”, Socialism and Democracy, Volume 21, Issue 2, 2007 Avinash Dixit and Susan Skeaty. 1999. Games of Strategy, W. W. Norton & Company, Inc. pp.83-151 Russell W. Cooper. 1999. Coordination Games. Cambridge University Press. pp. 1-18 Yu Shi 9/27/12 Econ 400M
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