PG&E’s 2006-2008
Portfolio Performance
December 11, 2006
Duane Larson
Senior Manager
Customer Energy Efficiency
Pacific Gas and Electric Company
[email protected]
1
Today’s Update
 Portfolio Performance – Are we on track?
 2006 Additional Measures
2
Megawatts Paid
2006 Goal
132 MW
160
Achieved 106.9% of
Annual Goal as of
11/30/06 or 141.04 MW
(132.3% of the November
cumulative target)
140
120
100
80
60
40
November Target equals 22 MW
Achieved 132.7% as of 11/30/06
or 29.19 MW
20
2006 Achieved
06
/2
7/
20
06
12
11
/2
7/
20
10
/2
8/
/2
28
9/
Annual Goals
20
06
6
00
6
29
/2
00
6
8/
30
/2
00
6
Projected Target
7/
30
/2
00
6
6/
5/
31
/2
00
20
06
1/
5/
20
06
1/
4/
20
06
2/
3/
00
/2
31
1/
1/
1/
20
06
6
0
includes Low Income and Codes
& Standards Savings
3
Gigawatt-hours Paid
900
800
Achieved 118.6% of Annual Goal
as of 11/30/06 or 802.71 GWH
(149.3% of the November
cumulative target)
700
2006 Goal
677 GWH
600
500
400
300
November Target equals
120.17 GWH
Achieved 162.4% as of
11/30/06 or 195.19 GWH
200
100
2006 Achieved
Annual Goals
06
12
/2
7/
20
06
11
/2
7/
20
10
/2
8/
/2
28
9/
20
06
6
00
6
8/
29
/2
00
6
7/
30
/2
00
6
00
6/
30
/2
31
5/
Projected Target
/2
00
6
06
20
5/
1/
06
20
4/
1/
06
20
3/
2/
/2
31
1/
1/
1/
20
00
6
06
0
includes Low Income and Codes
& Standards Savings
4
Million Therms Paid
2006 Goal
10.1 MM
Thm
11
10
9
Achieved 53.9% of Annual
Goal as of 11/30/06 or
5.48 MM Thm
(64.2% of the November
cumulative target)
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
November Target equals 1.68
MM Thm; Achieved 22.5% as
of 11/30/06 or .38 MM Thm
1
2006 Achieved
Annual Goal
06
12
/2
7/
20
06
7/
/2
11
10
/2
8/
20
06
20
06
9/
28
/2
0
06
8/
29
/2
0
06
7/
30
/2
0
06
6/
30
/2
0
31
5/
Projected Targets
/2
0
06
06
20
1/
5/
06
20
1/
4/
06
20
2/
3/
/2
0
31
1/
1/
1/
20
06
06
0
includes Low Income and Codes
& Standards Savings
5
Megawatts Committed
75
72.3
Achieved 39.4% of annual
committed goal as of 11/30/06
or 28.49 MW (48% of the
November cumulative target)
PEAK MW
50
25
0
-
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
MONTHS
TOTAL FORECAST COMMITTED
TOTAL ACTUAL COMMITTED
Includes Mass Market actual
commitments
6
Gigawatt-hours Committed
400
382
Achieved 50.6% of annual
committed goal as of 11/30/06
or 193.41 GWH (61% of the
November cumulative target)
Annual GWH
300
200
100
0
-
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
MONTHS
TOTAL FORECAST COMMITTED
Includes Mass Market actual commitments
TOTAL ACTUAL COMMITTED
7
Million Therms Committed
20
18.86
Achieved 43.3% of annual
committed goal as of 11/30/06
or 8.17 MM Thm (50% of the
November cumulative target)
Annual MM Therms
15
10
5
0
-
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
MONTHS
TOTAL FORECAST COMMITTED
Includes Mass Market actual
commitments
TOTAL ACTUAL COMMITTED
8
Summary
 Achieved 2006 MW and GWH goals
 Achieving Therm goal is going to be close
at year end
 All delivery channels are now producing
savings
 Increasing numbers of paid calculated
savings projects
 Program staff are analyzing 2006
performance and developing forecasts
and goals for 2007
9
Targeted Markets Core
Greydon H. Hicks
Manager Targeted Markets
Pacific Gas and Electric Company
[email protected]
10
Megawatts Paid
6
Achieved 136% of
Annual Goal as of
11/30/06 or 5.45 MW
5
Res New Constr
0%
High Tech
Lodging
3%
1%
4
Lg Comml
12%
Ag
41%
TM contribution to
11/30/06 YTD Core
Mass Market Paid
Accomplishments:
25.71 MW or
22% of total
3
Fab
31%
2
Schools
2%
Retail
10%
1
4 MW
Goal for 2006
06
06
ec
D
31
N
30
O
ov
ct
0
6
06
31
Se
p
06
2006 Achieved
30
Au
g
06
31
Ju
l
31
Ju
n
06
06
Projected Targets
30
M
ay
6
31
r0
Ap
30
M
ar
06
31
Fe
b
06
28
Ja
n
31
06
-
Annual Goals
11
Gigawatt-hours Paid
30
24
High Tech
5%
Res New Constr
0%
Lodging
1%
18
Achieved 105% of
Annual Goal as of
11/30/06
or 29.49 GWH
Ag
24%
Lg Comml
15%
28 GWH
Goal for 2006
Schools
1%
TM contribution to
11/30/06 YTD Core
Mass Market Paid
Accomplishments:
705 GWH or
13% of total
Retail
5%
12
Fab
49%
6
Projected Targets
Annual Goals
06
06
31
D
ec
ov
N
30
31
O
ct
0
6
06
Se
p
06
2006 Achieved
30
Au
g
06
31
Ju
l
31
30
Ju
n
06
06
M
ay
6
31
Ap
r0
30
06
M
ar
31
Fe
b
28
31
Ja
n
06
06
-
12
Million Therms Paid
4
High Tech
1%
Lg Comml
Ag
1%
17%
3.7 MM Thm
Goal for 2006
Achieved 47.3% of
Annual Goal as of
11/30/06 or 1.75 MM Thm
(59% of the November
cumulative target)
3
2
Fab
81%
The TM contribution to 11/30/06
YTD Core Mass Market Paid
Accomplishments:
1.63 MM Thm or 21% of total
1
Projected Targets
06
06
ec
D
31
N
30
O
31
ov
ct
0
6
06
Se
p
06
Au
4
2006 Achieved
30
g
06
Ju
l
31
30
Ju
n
06
06
M
ay
31
30
Ap
r0
6
06
M
ar
31
Fe
b
28
31
Ja
n
06
06
-
Annual Goals
13
Megawatts Committed
75
72.3
High Tech
Res New
8%
Ag
Constr
15%
6%
Lodging
50
PEAK MW
Achieved 29.6% of annual
committed goal as of 11/30/06
or 21.37 MW (36.2% of the
November cumulative target)
Schools
6%
0%
Lg Comml
12%
25
Retail
3%
Medical
1%
Fab
49%
0
-
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
MONTHS
TOTAL FORECAST COMMITTED
TOTAL ACTUAL COMMITTED
14
Gigawatt-hours Committed
400
Annual GWH
300
Res New Constr
1%
High Tech
13%
Ag Schools
1%
11%
382
Achieved 42.5% of annual
committed goal as of 11/30/06
or 162.42 GWH (51% of the
November cumulative target)
Retail
2%
Lodging
1%
Lg Comml
10%
200
Medical
1%
100
Fab
60%
0
-
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
MONTHS
TOTAL FORECAST COMMITTED
TOTAL ACTUAL COMMITTED
15
Million Therms Committed
20
Res New
Constr
6%
Lodging
1%
Annual MM Therms
15
High Tech
3%
Ag
23%
Medical
0%
10
18.86
Achieved 39.5% of annual
committed goal as of 11/30/06
or 7.45 MM Thm (46% of the
November cumulative target)
Schools
1%
Lg Comml
1%
Fab
65%
5
0
-
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
MONTHS
TOTAL FORECAST COMMITTED
TOTAL ACTUAL COMMITTED
16
What’s new in Targeted Markets?
 Server Farm Virtualization Software and High Efficiency
Servers – High Tech
 Pumping Efficiency Program – Ag/Food
 Wine tartrate removal using electrodialysis -Ag/Food
 PG&E Core Retro-Commissioning Offering – Retail,
Medical, Large Office, Private Colleges
 Building Commissioning - Retail, Medical, Large Office,
Private Colleges
 LED case lighting demonstration– Retail, Hospitality
 California Solar Initiative Coordination – All segments
 Federal Tax Credits Coordination – All Segments
17
What is working in Targeted Markets?





High Tech
Ag and Food Processing
Industrial/Fabrication
Retail
Large Office Building
18
Challenges in Targeted Markets
 Schools - Emphasis on deemed measures and
streamlining new construction
 Hospitality – focus on deemed for dispersed smaller
motels, and concentrate TM resources on greater
Bay Area larger hotels
 Medical – emphasis on deemed measures,
new construction for pipeline development
and retro-commissioning
 BioTech – develop new construction for
long-term pipeline
19
Targeted Markets
Questions/Comments/Suggestions
20
PG&E Core - Mass Markets
Keith Reed
Manager Mass Markets
Pacific Gas and Electric Company
[email protected]
21
Megawatts Paid
2006 Core Mass Market Performance (Net Peak MW)
140
118
120
115
100
80
2006 Projections
60
40
2006 Actual Paid
20
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9 10 11 12
Months
22
Gigawatt-hours Paid
2006 Core Mass Market Performance (Net GWH)
800
705
700
600
500
594
400
300
2006 Projections
200
100
2006 Actual Paid
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9 10 11 12
Months
23
Million Therms Paid
2006 Core Mass Market Performance (Net MM Therms)
5.00
4.53
4.00
3.00
2.00
1.63
1.00
2006 Projections
2006 Actual Paid
0.00
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9 10 11 12
Months
24
Incentives Paid
2006 Core Mass Market Performance (Incentives - Million $)
70.00
64.37
60.00
50.00
42.68
40.00
30.00
2006 Projections
20.00
2006 Actual Paid
10.00
0.00
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10 11 12
Months
25
Core MM Channel MW Comparison
Core MM Channel MW Comparison
140
118
120
Nres
Net MW
100
80
Res
73
69
60
Up
Mid
49
Down
40
22
23
20
Total
Res
Nres
Up
Mid
Dow n
Total
26
Core MM Channel GWH Comparison
Core MM Channel GWH Comparison
800
705
Res
700
Net GWH
500
Nres
558
600
446
Up
400
Mid
259
300
Down
200
103
100
44
Total
Res
Nres
Up
Mid
Dow n
Total
27
Core MM Channel MM Therm Comparison
Core MM Channel MM Therms Comparison
1.80
1.63
Net MM Therms
1.60
1.40
Res
1.42
Nres
1.26
1.20
1.00
Up
0.80
Mid
0.60
Down
0.38
0.40
0.21
0.20
Total
-
0.00
Res
Nres
Up
Mid
Dow n
Total
28
Mass Market: What’s New?








LED Refrigerator Case Demo Report
Regional Vendor Meetings
Trade Professionals Newsletter
Direct Mail Campaigns
Water Agencies
Steam Traps
Advertising (Appliances/Summer)
Cool Roofs
29
Mass Market: What’s working?
 Upstream Channel
 Midstream Channel
 Refrigerant Charge & Airflow
 Duct Test & Seal
 Increased interest from upstream
distributors/manufacturers
– (Lighting, Appliances, etc)
30
Mass Market: Challenges
 Therm Savings
 Vendor Participation
 Downstream participation slow statewide
 Commercial Pool System expansion
 Double Dipping monitoring
 SBEE (Small Business Energy Edge)
31
Mass Market: Program Design Changes
 Revamp evaporative cooler delivery
 E-rebate to allow vendors to submit
electronically
 Bundled Building Performance Incentive
– HVAC installation/design, lighting,
windows, insulation, etc.
 Midstream HVAC Distributors
Delivery –Out
32
Mass Market:
Questions/Comments/Suggestions
33
Third Party Program Update
Misti Bruceri / Mona Yew
Supervisors Third Party Programs
Pacific Gas and Electric Company
[email protected] / [email protected]
34
Third Party Program Status
 All 32 RFP I programs are underway
– Audits and marketing in progress for nearly
all programs
– 21 programs are accepting applications
and/or conducting direct implementation
activities
– Savings through October:
• 1.0 MW, 6.01 GWh, 0.18 MTherms
35
Third Party Program – RFP II
 RFP II completed
– 17 programs selected
– 12 contracts signed to-date
• 21.8 MW
• 83.9 GWh
• 4.37 MTherms
– 5 contracts in final stages of completion
36
Third Party Programs – RFP II
 Ag and Food Processing
– Light Exchange Program (Richard Heath and
Associates)
 Fabrication, Process and Heaving
Manufacturing
– AIM Compressed Air Efficiency (Air Power USA)
– Value Energy Stream Mapping Advantage Plus
(California Manufacturing Technology Consulting)
– Compressed Air Program (Ecos Consulting)
37
Third Party Program – RFP II
 High Technology
– Laboratory Airflow Control Systems Re-Commissioning
Program (Newmatic Engineering)
 Large Commercial
– Energy Efficiency Partnership Program for California
State-Leased Facilities (Enovity)
– Boiler Energy Efficiency Program (Enovity)
– Retrocommissioning Program (Portland Energy
Conservation Inc.)
38
Third Party Program – RFP II
 Mass Market
– Heatwise (Energy Solutions)
– Fan Time Delay Relay Program
(Proctor Engineering Group)
 Retail
– Big Box Cool and Light (Energy Solutions)
 Schools, Colleges and Universities
– California Preschool Energy Efficiency Program
(Low Income Investment Fund)
39
PG&E
Residential New Construction
Cece Barros
CEE Solar Integration Coordinator
[email protected]
Shagun Boughen
Supervisor/Program Manager
Residential New Construction
[email protected]
40
Background
 CSI – March 2, 2006 CPUC opened a
proceeding to develop rules and procedures for
the California Solar Initiative (CSI)
 SB 1 - August 21, 2006, Governor signed
Senate Bill 1, which directs the Commission and
the CEC to implement the CSI program
 NSHP - CEC manages a $350 million program
to encourage solar installations in new home
construction through its NSHP
41
Challenges in RNC




ENERGY STAR
Market Slow down
Homes not selling
Solar new and costly
Purpose:
 To align with NSHP to encourage solar
in residential new construction
 Encourages builders to exceed minimum
EE requirements when installing solar by
offering increased incentives
42
What’s new in RNC
Existing:
 ES New Homes
–
–
–
–
15% better than T-24
QII/TBC Mandatory
$400 Coastal
$500 Inland
 Prescriptive measure based
Proposed:
 ES New Homes
–
–
–
–
15% better than T-24
QII/TBC Mandatory
$400 Coastal
$500 Inland
 Prescriptive - measure based
 NSHP Tier I:
 NSHP Tier II:
15% better than T-24
ES Appliances
$400 or $500
Solar Qualified
35% better than T-24
40% cooling reduction
ES Appliances
$2,000
43
Solar Only
RNC continued
 Cost Effectiveness
Existing
• TRC: .83
• PAC: 1.54
Proposed
• TRC: .88
• PAC: 1.40
 Energy Savings:
15% = 375kWh; 137Therms – 2006 Program
35% = 699kWh; 225Therms
 Energy Calculations:
State approved software for Res Energy Standards and Tax
credits – Micropas
Includes distribution of housing stock by CZ
44
Weighted average for PG&E for Tier II
Residential New Construction
Questions/Comments/Suggestions
45
PG&E’s 2006-2008
Water-Embedded Energy Pilot
December 11, 2006
Bill Miller
Principal Regulatory Analyst
Customer Energy Efficiency
Pacific Gas and Electric Company
[email protected]
46
The Water-Embedded Energy Pilot
 CPUC announced consider of W-E
energy in R. 06-04-010
 Summer 2006: Workshop and Comments
 ACR Ruling directing an Application for
a W-E Energy Pilot be filed
January 15, 2006
47
ACR Issues in the W-E Pilot Ruling
 Issues raised in the Pilot Ruling
– Will counting embedded energy savings related to
water conservation now produce real new benefits or
simply give credit for savings that would have
occurred anyway
– “Another matter of considerable discussion is that the
amount of energy needed to produce, convey, and
treat water differs dramatically form place-to place”
– Pumped water often moves through more than one
service territory
– Reducing water usage may produce benefits in the
service territory of a water-upstream electric utility
48
ACR Directive on W-E Pilot
 To be filed January 15, 2006
 One-year pilot programs to begin by July 1, 2007
 Partner with one (or more) large water provider to jointly
fund programs
 Funding separate from 2006-2008; suggest limit to total
of $10 million
 No credit for savings toward 2006-2008 risk/reward;
count to better understand program benefits
 Encouraged to be innovative!
 Workshop in 2007 2nd quarter to prepare for full
incorporation for water-related programs for 2009-2011
 Workshop also addresses: savings determination
methods; EM&V; procedural guidelines; outreach;
training
49
What Can the Pilot Accomplish
 What actually needs to be resolved to
introduce W-E energy saving programs
into 2009-2011 programs?
50
Pilot Design
 Demonstrate how to calculate embedded
water-energy intensity (kWh/gallon) for specific
program activity
 Demonstrate how to calculate net embedded
water-energy savings (kWh)
 Identify the sources contributing to the embedded
water-energy for specific program activity
 Demonstrate the potential for future embedded
water-energy savings programs
 Work toward sample EM&V protocol (work with ED)
51
How will PG&E achieve objectives?
 Partner with strategic water utilities
 Focus on measurement and verification
 Target market segment that will best
accommodate objectives
52
Current Thinking:
Partner with strategic water utilities
 Work with:
– East Bay Municipal Utilities District (EBMUD)
– Santa Clara Valley Water District (SCVWD)
– Sonoma County Water Agency (SCWA)
 Because each:
– Have good baseline embedded water-energy data
– Have significant experience with water conservation
programs, coupled with budget and staff
– Have strong relationship with PG&E
53
Focus on M&V
 Data exists on:
– Water conservation programs & potential
– Programs that save water and onsite energy
– EM&V protocol for water savings, and for
energy savings
 But what we don’t know:
– What is the embedded water-energy intensity for a
specific region?
– How do you measure embedded water-energy?
– Who’s energy is it?
– What is this energy worth?
– What is suitable embedded energy protocol?
54
Target market segments:
 CI&I
– Water districts identify as opportunity for
water savings
– PG&E has good contacts within segment
– Significant potential water savings, coupled with
better ability to meter water & energy, will provide best
set of data/experience for EM&V development
 Multi-region
– Will have set of diverse embedded water-energy
intensity data
– Will have set of diverse embedded energy supply
source data
55
CI&I Market Opportunities






Schools
Food Processing
Food Service
Laundries
Biotech
Health Services
56
Detailed Example: Water Savings In Schools








Boiler blow down & condensate return
Process lines
Food steamers
Evaporative coolers
Cooling towers
Ice machines
Dishwashers
Fixtures
57
Detailed Example: Food Processing




Rinse / wash process lines
Scalding / cooking processes
Recycling process water
Boiler blow down & condensate return
58
Detailed Example: Food Service






Food steamers
Evaporative coolers
Ice machines
Dishwashers
Process lines
Cooling towers
59
The Water-Embedded Energy Pilot
Discussion
60