Bloomberg Brief will not publish tomorrow due to good Friday. The next edition will be monday, April 25. Leveraged Finance Capital BRIEF Q&A 04.21.11 Monday Feb. 1, 2016 Thursday www.bloombergbriefs.com Loan Buyers Have Best New Issue Market Since 2011, Says Guggenheim’s Hauser BtIG to Hire The U.S. leveraged loan new issue market offers the best opportunities for buyers since after Losing 2011, said Tom Hauser, portfolio manager, Guggenheim Investments. Software deals Distressed Salesmen look attractive, New York-based Hauser, who manages $1.8 billion in assets, told Bloomberg By Lisa aBramowicz Brief’s in a Jan. His as 10 BTIGCarol LLCKoplans to 27 hireinterview. as many comments edited unit and condensed. people forhave its been high-yield by July after losing three distressed debt salesmen within the past two months. Q: How do you see today’s volatility? managing director Michael Cassidy left A: Itboutique can be traced to certain credits, and the investment bank this month it has combined with all the other negative and Steven Bergman, also a managing headlines that have caused risk assets todirector, departed march, according to retrade off, creatinginuncertainty and paralycords maintained by the fund Financial sis in the market. Mutual flowsindustry have regulatory authority. Robert Hannigan, been negative but manageable and fairly a director in the distressed-debt group, consistent. We’re not hearing ofsales institutionalnodemand leaving thewith market. In fact, was longer registered the firm as of our outlook is incrementally april 6, the records show. positive. But when issues come toits market, BTiGnew more than doubled staff inpeople the past are frozen in place, and loans struggle two years and is adding people after comto find a clearing level. This represents a petitors including Chapdelaine & Co. and great opportunity. We haven’t seen opporLaBranche Co. closed credit-trading units. tunities this & attractive since the summer The broker-dealers were among 70 debtof 2011. Buyside accounts and shops that are willing to dig into credit are able to price that risk at attractive rates. BLoomBerg Q: Is it easier to push back on terms? A: Absolutely. Economically speaking you’re better positioned to dictate pricing terms. But also finding we<go> can push dEals Inwe’re thE PIPElInE PReL back on the document and strengthen it, amt lending Co. Rat. which issYndiCated also extremely important. Under-tenoR (mln) standing of Valitas the business is one N/A component $285 6YRS credit but you’re investing Asset analysis, Acceptance Capital Corp BB+ $250in as-6YRS IASIS Healthcare LLCdownsideBa3 5YRS sets with all the risk so$1,235 you need N/A 260EUR 6YRS to Memora protectInversiones yourself with a strong document. Barometer Ameritox LTD iPayment Inc. B2 N/A $450 $575 7YRS 6YRS Q: Will we see more tranches with no Libor floor? amt Yield Bonds Rat. middle-oftenoR A: Petco HigH really set the bar for (mln) the-fairway iPayment Inc. single-B issuance. NA That’s $375 really 7YRS the only deal of size that has priced this year. Issuance in January is down 20 perIssuancE (u.s.) cent and deals that have priced are much mtd Ytd smaller. Six months ago that probLoans sold $30.2deal bn $175 bn HY Bonds Issued $20.1 bn points $112 bn ably would have come 100 basis tighter. We participated in both tranches, though to a larger extent in the tranche PRIcIng with the floor. We thought the no-floor 1-daY level CHange tranche was appropriate for some of our S&P/LSTA Leveraged Loan 96.01 0.01 vehicles such as CLOs. Finra Avg. Junk Yield Markit CDX North American HY 7.74 104.78 0.04 0.00 Q:Markit What do you expect for loan issu-0.23 LCDX 100.49 ance year? Markitthis Itrax Europe 94.67 -2.21 A: We’re off to a slow start, but the deal A: The market in the past has had a pipeline is roughlyLoans $60 billion,Beat which is U.S. as knock against some of these 4.71% asseteuropean returns reach larger than it was for a lot of last year. lite companies because there wasn’t a building you could grab or a machine don’t know where dealsloans are going to clear, you you got european leveraged are outperforming u.s.could banksell. debtBut thisthat yearmeans as companies they’re working with sponsors and delaying a premium. You’re paid for the assetrefinance borrowings at the fastest pace since 2007, boosting prices. bringing them to market hoping for better light nature of the business, when western european leveraged loans have returned 4.71 percent, comparedand with 3.12 execution. But they’re not underwriting new you break down the business model, percent in the u.s., according to Credit Suisse Group AG indexes. The performance deals. After this $60 billion, there’s not a we actually thought it set itself up well marks a turnaround 2010, when in america whole lot behind thatfrom as far as we can bank tell, debtfor leverageoutperformed. because of its ability to a 41 percent dropskittish in european buyouts since their 2007 peak is have curbing because banks are and don’tleveraged want generate cash. Also, when you a the amount ofnew newrisk loans atnow. the same time the region’s raises interest rates to underwrite right physicalcentral asset bank or presence, it needs to for the first time in almost three years. Funds buying speculative-grade loans in europe, be maintained. which mainly in bank debt issued to fund leveraged buyouts, received $14 billion in Q: What’s theinvest outlook for demand? Q: What do you avoid? repayments in thetofirst $7.7 billion private-equity firms raised A: If we continue seequarter, healthyalmost CLO is-double the for takeovers in the same period. A: Sectors where the conversion of suance in 2016, as we expect, you’ll see a next page Ebitda to free cash flow Continued is smallonbecause positive technical dynamic in bank loans, you constantly have to invest in the with not a lot of supply coming to market. business. For example, cyclical chemiThe technical backdrop was robust in cal businesses where you have massive trading startups in 2009 to capitalize 2014 and 2015, opened and demand outstripped infrastructure you need to spend on and new supply. We think that will remain the Jeffrey Werbalowsky, on banks pulling back after the worst financial where your earnings is dictated by co-CEO profile of Houlihan case in 2016, at aassmaller crisis since thealbeit 1930s. larger level, companies Lokey, spoke with commodity prices. setting us up well for a positive recovered market share, tradersbank that loan joined Aleksandrs Rozens performance this year. smaller businesses have left for bigger banks. about the high yield Q: Is credit quality a concern? “BTiG has been a net acquirer of high market and how it is Q: What loan sectors look attractive? A: Ultimately we don’t think default rates yield/distressed talent, an area that BTiG spurring dealmaking. are going to pick up outside of comA: The fundamental things we’re driving Continued on next page modities. I think they will remain below toward are cash flow and enterprise value. historical averages in performing sectors. By that I mean what we would pay for the Leverage has definitely picked up from dEals Ma <go> business, not what the public market cap Average Junk-Bond Yield where we were seven years 2010 ago, but Ytd says it’s worth or what a sponsor is willing 10 interest-coverage ratios 25,075 are high, and M&A Deal Count 7,600 we to pay. We tend to steer toward businesses Global Global M&Athink Deal Volume $2.42trn $732 bln don’t it’s a major concern. that have predictable earnings streams. To 9.5 that end, tech sector businesses — specifiactIvEly tRadEd tRaCe<go> Q: What do you expect from the Fed? cally software — are attractive. Also, there’s Most 9 Source: FINRA-Bloomberg tKR Rat. Cpn pRiCe CHg Yield spRd no heavy capital expenditure component A: We think the Fed will raise rates by 75 MFW Caa1/B9.50 100.50 2.00 9.22 710 8.5 to software companies, so you have a con- OPCCN basisCa/CCC points in8.25 2016,54.20 which0.08 would put2849 the 29.65 version of Ebitda to free cash flow. target range at6.75 1 percent 1.254.91 percent ALLY B1/B 106.00 to N.A. 375 8 SLMA Ba1/BBB- We 6.25 -0.13 4.96 at year-end. see105.38 the terminal rate 284 at KSU 8.00 but 111.00 5.05 is389 Q: Are you concerned about assets for 2.5 toB1/BB3.0 percent, our N.A. baseline that 7.5 AXCA Caa1/B 12.75 111.00 N.A. 6.58 446 businesses like software? we’ll get there around the end of 2018. A-10 J-10 A-10 O-10 D-10 F-11 A-11 GOK B3/B9.75 98.00 N.A. 10.42 926 Right now,eeuwens there’s this overhang, the banks By Karen and emre PeKer Q&A nBBHYL InDex <go> Grew up: Queens, S&P/LSTA Leveraged-Loan Index New 97 S NMG F TOY SGU York Ba3/BBCaa1/BBa2/BBB3/CCC+ B2/B- Back Page pG.5 8.75 9.00 6.63 7.38 8.88 Moody’s Lives now: Garden City, New York 96 InvEstoRs sERvIcE 95 109.50 104.88 110.60 100.38 104.25 -0.63 N.A. N.A. N.A. N.A. 2010 Upgrades 508 Career history: Guggenheim Partners (14 years this April) 94 93 Downgrades 376 7.82 3.62 4.66 7.31 7.92 333 150 187 391 580 YTD 151 96 Favorite restaurant: SALT Waterfront Bar & Grill, Shelter Island, NY 92 91 standaRd PooR’s Favorite vacation spot: Callicoon, New& York 90 89 88 A-10 J-10 A-10 2010 Upgrades 576 160 Downgrades 376 105 Favorite sports team: St. John’s University basketball team D-10 F-11 A-11 O-10 YTD SPBDaLB InDex <go> Posted from Bloomberg Briefs, February 1, 2016, copyright by Bloomberg L.P. with all rights reserved. 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