INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE sustainable solutions for ending hunger and poverty Ghana Strategy Support Program Producer Price Determination, Quality Control and Service Provision in Ghana’s Partially Liberalized Cocoa Sector Shashidhara Kolavalli Marcella Vigneri Key messages • Ghana cocoa sector is only partially liberalized, but passes on significant share of export prices to producers › Considered a success: production, productivity, quality, support to local businesses • Producer prices are set through administered process on the basis of recommendations of a stakeholder committee. • The spirit of sharing FOB in this administered process lacks any pressures on various marketing agents to seek efficiency. • Producer shares have increased largely because of reduced taxes • Surpluses above budgeted revenues are left with Cocobod this has encouraged expansion of service provision that the board argues necessary to sustain the sector Ghana Strategy Support Program INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE Page 2 “FOB Sharing” Method • Producer Price Recommendation Committee (finance ministry, farmers, LBCs, haulers, etc.) recommends producer and other shares: 1. Projects prices, exchange rates and crop size 2. Makes deductions for provision of public goods or “industry costs” 3. Then balance “net FOB” available for sharing (producers marketing functionaries – government) Ghana Strategy Support Program INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE FOB sharing in 2009-2010 Projected average FOB price ($/ton) Projected exchange rate (GHc/$) 2,550 1.46 Projected crop size (tons) 700,000 Projected revenues (GHc) 2,606,100,000 Allocation of industry costs Disease and pest control 162,565,019 Scholarship fund 10,000,000 Jute sacks 19,800,000 CSSVD 14,093,830 Hi-tech 69,430,000 Child labor certification Total industry costs Projected revenues net of industry costs (GHc) Net revenue per ton or “net FOB” (GHc) Ghana Strategy Support Program INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE 2,000,000 277,888,849 2,328,211,150 3,326 Page 4 FOB Sharing in 2009-10 – contd.. Cost Items Percent share of Net FOB GHc per ton GHc per bag (64kg) 72.16 2400.05 150.00 Stabilization fund 1.50 49.89 3.12 Buyer’s margin 8.42 280.05 17.50 Hauliers’ cost 3.40 113.08 7.07 Storage and shipping (CMC) 1.16 38.58 2.41 Quality control 1.66 55.21 3.45 Crop finance 1.06 35.26 2.20 Scale inspection and phytosanitary 0.01 0.33 0.02 Government/Cocobod 9.34 310.65 19.42 Farmer’s housing scheme 0.04 1.33 0.08 Replanting/rehabilitation 0.64 21.29 1.33 Farmers’ social security 0.61 20.29 1.27 Total 100 3326.01 207.87 Producer price Ghana Strategy Support Program INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE Page 5 The Shares to Producers, Other Agents and Cocoa Revenues 0.8 350,000,000 0.7 300,000,000 0.6 250,000,000 0.5 200,000,000 0.4 150,000,000 0.3 100,000,000 0.2 50,000,000 0.1 0 0 1996/97 1997/98 1998/99 1999/00 2000/01 2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 Total industry costs Total maketing costs Transfers to government (duty) Gross Revenue (constant 1996 GhC) Ghana Strategy Support Program INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE Producer proceeds + bonus Page 6 Summary • After peaking in 2003, the producer share is declining and is less than 60 percent of FOB • The reduction in duty or transfers to government has contributed largely to increased producer shares • The shares of other marketing agents are not declining despite dramatic increases in revenues: there are no market mechanisms in the system to seek efficiency improvements. Ghana Strategy Support Program INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE Page 7 What Accounts for Significant Producer Share? • A number of programs set targets for producer share, taxes, and Cocobod expenses to be achieved over time • Cocoa pricing as political issue: two parties push each other although cocoa producers are not an organized group • PPRC takes into consideration prices in neighboring countries two parties (NPP and NDC) also hold each other accountable for smuggling • Growing revenues have enabled the board to pass on growing shares to producers without making marketing more efficient • If not for increasing “Industry costs” producer shares would have exceeded the target of 70 percent of FOB Ghana Strategy Support Program INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE Budgeted and Actual Revenues in Cocoa Sector Year/Item Revenues Surplus from Projected Actual Difference Ratio Price Quantity 1996/97 82,688 90,922 8,235 1.10 14,734 -6,500 1997/98 116,725 155,777 39,052 1.33 19,256 19,796 1998/99 140,333 148,700 8,368 1.06 -10,788 19,155 1999/00 127,754 217,844 90,090 1.71 84,936 5,155 2000/01 198,900 266,935 68,035 1.34 51,586 16,448 2001/02 292,486 285,909 -6,577 0.98 54,258 -60,836 2002/03 540,540 752,513 211,973 1.39 63,884 148,089 2003/04 726,000 998,491 272,491 1.38 -71,597 344,088 2004/05 915,566 794,204 -121,362 0.87 10,325 -131,687 2005/06 720,940 998,500 277,560 1.38 27,908 249,652 2006/07 819,000 929,504 110,504 1.13 90,668 19,836 2007/08 998,660 1,405,656 406,996 1.41 359,704 47,292 2008/09 1,689,350 2,311,314 621,964 1.37 464,356 157,609 2009/10 2,452,800 2,627,355 174,555 1.07 412,743 -238,188 2010/11 3,280,200 4,668,907 1,388,707 1.42 -132,092 1,520,799 Ghana Strategy Support Program INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE Page 9 Transfers to Government • Transfers to the government (duties) have come down from nearly 30 per cent of the revenues in 1996/97 to about 6 per cent in 2009/10 • What might account for lowered tax rates? • More stable macro-economic situation • Growing tax revenues • Reduced dependence on export taxes Ghana Strategy Support Program INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE Services • Reduced service provision following liberalization • Substantial increase in service provision particularly with increases in revenues • Welfare oriented • Scholarship; social security; housing; child labor • Production sustainability • Short term: High tech; CODAPEC; extension • Long term: CSSVD, replanting; seeds; Ghana Strategy Support Program INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE Incentives to expand service provision Industry costs or expenditures on provision of services have grown along with the surpluses Actual ICs are nearly double those recommended by PPRC The process that leaves surpluses in the hands of Cocobod perhaps encourages the expansion of its roles Ghana Strategy Support Program INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE The Cost of cocoa quality control 0.00 0.00 Quality control cost/ton (nominal) Quality control cost/ton (constant 1996) Ghana Strategy Support Program INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE 2009/10 0.00 2008/09 0.50 2007/08 0.00 2006/07 1.00 2005/06 0.01 2004/05 1.50 2003/04 0.01 2002/03 2.00 2001/02 0.01 2000/01 2.50 1999/00 0.01 1998/99 3.00 1997/98 0.01 1996/97 3.50 as % tot cocoa revenue Page 13 Costs and Benefits • The benefits appear to exceed the regulation costs • Control over exports combined with quality offer • Ability to sell in advance • Financing of local companies • Opportunities for rent seeking • Limited incentives to seek efficiency • Considerable potential to privatize operations Ghana Strategy Support Program INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE
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