Practice Problem Set 2: Basic Probability

CS237, Boston University, Spring 2017
Prof. Alina Ene
Practice Problem Set 2: Basic Probability
Reading: Schaum’s Chapter 3, LLM Chapter 14 (Events and Probability Spaces).
Optional Extra Practice.
and 3.41-3.55 and 3.64.
Any of the problems in Schaums’s Chapter 3, but especially 3.6-3.15
Exercise 1. The axioms of probability are as follows:
Let S be a sample space (i.e., the set of all possible outcomes), and let F be the class of all
events (where an event from F is a set of outcomes in S). The Pr is probability function if
1. For all events A ∈ F, then Pr[A] ≥ 0
2. Pr[S] = 1
3. For disjoint events A, B (i.e., A ∩ B = ∅), then Pr[A ∪ B] = Pr[A] + Pr[B].
Using these axioms and elementary set theory, prove that:
1. For every event A ∈ F , it follows that Pr[A] ≤ 1.
2. For any events A, B ∈ F , it follows that Pr[A ∪ B] = Pr[A] + Pr[B] − Pr[A ∩ B].
3. Let events Ai ∈ F for i = 1...n be disjoint events. (That is, Ai ∩ Aj = ∅ for every i 6= j.)
(a) Let event D = ∪ni=1 Ai . (Notice that the Ai form a partition of D.) Prove that
Pr[D] =
n
X
Pr[Ai ]
i=1
(b) Prove that
Pn
i=1 Pr[Ai ]
≤ 1.
4. For events Ai ∈ F for i = 1...n, and event D = ∪ni=1 Ai , prove that
Pr[D] ≤
n
X
Pr[Ai ]
i=1
(This is called the “union bound”).
Exercise 2. A bin contains 10 white balls and 8 black balls. We draw 6 balls at random. Find
the probability that among the 6 balls we draw, we have exactly 4 white ones.
Exercise 3. You and your friend are among 10 people sitting at a round table. What is the
probability that you sit next to each other?
Exercise 4. Twenty people, numbered from {1,2,3,..,20} have to form two teams, each containing
10 people. People are randomly arranged into teams.
1. What is the probability that one of the teams consists of players 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9, and 10?
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CS237, Boston University, Spring 2017
Prof. Alina Ene
2. What is the probability that players 1, 2, and 3 are on the same team?
3. What is the probability that both players 1 and 2 are not on the same team as players 3 and
4?
Exercise 5. We play a game with three weird, but fair dice. (That is, each die lands on any of its
six faces with probability 16 .) The game goes like this: I choose a die. You choose a die. We roll.
The person who rolls the higher number wins.
• The first die has faces numbered 1, 1, 5, 5, 6, 6.
• The second die has faces numbered 2, 2, 7, 7, 8, 8.
• The third die has faces numbered 3, 3, 3, 9, 9, 9.
I choose the first die. Which die should you choose to roll so that you maximize your probability
of beating me?
Exercise 6. The US senate consists of 2 senators from each of 50 states. In one session, there are
50 senators in the room. What is the probability that
• One of the MA senators is in the room?
• All states are represented in the room?
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