AND 88 8 SER V H NC THE BE ING 1 BA R SINCE Web address: http://www.nylj.com Volume 237—no. 53 tuesday, march 20, 2007 Antitrust Trade and Practice By Neal R. Stoll and Shepard Goldfein I Predatory Bidding “Mirrors” Predatory Pricing n a recent antitrust decision, the U.S. Supreme Court addressed whether the similarities between predatory pricing and predatory bidding required that the schemes receive identical legal treatment. The Court determined that because predatory bidding “mirrors” predatory pricing in significant ways, the Brooke Group standard for predatory pricing should also apply to claims of predatory bidding.1 Consequently, in Weyerhaeuser Co. v. RossSimmons Hardwood Lumber Co. (2007), decided last month, the Court established that a plaintiff in a predatory bidding case must show: (1) below-cost pricing in the short term; and (2) a “dangerous probability” of recoupment in the long term.2 In considering its decision, the Court cited articles by two well-known antitrust commentators, Steven C. Salop and John B. Kirkwood. What was not apparent in the opinion, however, was that each of the cited articles had proposed that Weyerhaeuser be resolved using rule-of-reason analysis. By extending Brooke Group to predatory bidding claims, the Court soundly rejected the positions advanced by the two authors. This column first explains the relationship between predatory pricing and predatory bidding and the facts of Weyerhaeuser. It then outlines the standards Salop and Kirkwood proposed for evaluating claims for predatory bidding. Finally, it discusses the reasons for the Court’s decision to extend Brooke Group to predatory bidding claims in Weyerhaeuser. Predatory Acts and ‘Weyerhaeuser’ Predatory pricing and predatory bidding are structurally similar anticompetitive schemes. In the first phase of a predatory pricing campaign, a firm reduces the prices of consumer goods in an attempt to drive its rivals out of business. This is followed by a recoupment phase when the predator recovers its losses by increasing prices to pre-predation levels. Similarly, in the first phase Neal R. Stoll and Shepard Goldfein are partners at Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom. Kathleen P. Duff, an associate with Skadden, Arps, assisted with the preparation of this article. of a predatory bidding project, a firm strategically overpays for products in the input market. Once the firm has driven its competitors out of business by raising their costs, it uses its monopsony power in the input market to lower the price of inputs and recover the losses it incurred during the predation phase. In its seminal predatory pricing decision, Brooke Group, the Court determined that plaintiffs alleging predatory pricing must show that the defendant: (1) engaged in belowcost pricing in the short term; and (2) had “dangerous probability” of recouping losses in the long term.3,4 The Court applied this difficult standard because it determined that the effort and endurance required to pull off predatory pricing strategies ensure that such “schemes are rarely tried, and even more rarely successful.”5 Additionally, the Brooke Group Court recognized that firms execute predatory pricing strategies by lowering prices in the consumer market. Since lowering prices often signals legitimate competition, the Court enacted a high standard to ensure that “mistaken findings of liability [do not] ‘chill the very conduct the antitrust laws are designed to protect.’”6 Though the predatory pricing standard has been clear for 15 years, the Court had not considered the legal components of a predatory bidding claim until Weyerhaeuser. Weyerhaeuser involved the production of alder lumber by saw mills in the Pacific Northwest. Saw mills in that region conduct business by purchasing alder saw logs and processing them into finished lumber. Logs can account for up to 75 percent of a mill’s costs. Plaintiff Ross-Simmons Lumber Co. had operated a single processing mill since 1962, while Weyerhaeuser entered the alder lumber production business in 1980 and currently operates six mills in the region. Between 1998 and 2001, the price of alder sawlogs increased and the price of finished lumber decreased. When these conditions rendered its business unprofitable, Ross-Simmons closed its mill and sued Weyerhaeuser.7 Plaintiff proceeded on the theory that Weyerhaeuser drove it out of business by engaging in predatory bidding in violation of §2 of the Sherman Act. Specifically, plaintiff argued that Weyerhaeuser intentionally overpaid for raw saw logs in order to raise the price its competitors had to pay for logs. By artificially “bidding up” these costs, the defendant reduced Ross-Simmons’ operating margins to the point where it could no longer stay in business. Three Possible Standards Since the issue at all levels of adjudication in Weyerhaeuser was whether the Brooke Group standard was applicable to Ross-Simmons’ predatory bidding claim, the case elicited much discourse about whether the relationship between predatory pricing and predatory bidding required courts to treat them similarly. Professor Salop’s view was that Brooke Group should not apply to predatory bidding claims because the standard would not accommodate the subtle differences between the various types of predatory bidding. In his article, “Buyer Power and Antitrust: Anticompetitive Overbuying by Power Buyers,” Mr. Salop posited that the Court should apply a consumer welfare-based rule-ofreason analysis to resolve Weyerhaeuser and other bidding cases. First, Mr. Salop contrasted “predatory overbuying,” which consists of overbuying in the input market for the purpose of gaining buyer-side market power in the input market, with “raising rivals’ costs” (RRC) overbuying in the input market for the purpose of acquiring market power in the output market.8 Mr. Salop argued that defendants engaging in predatory overbuying can benefit consumers in the short term because they acquire more inputs, these inputs generally lead to more outputs, and more outputs generally lead to lower pricing in the consumer market. Defendants engaging in RRC overbuying, however, are more likely to harm consumers because, in theory, their competitors buy fewer inputs and ultimately produce fewer, more-expensive outputs. Further, defendants, with market power, can also raise their output prices simultaneously with their overbuying of inputs. Therefore, Mr. Salop concluded there is less possibility of some redeeming phase of consumer benefit.9 To accommodate the potentially different effects of the two types of overbuying, Mr. Salop proposed that courts in predatory bidding cases make a preliminary determination of the type of overbuying implicated, then apply one of two tests to evaluate the claim. For predatory overbuying cases, Mr. Salop proposed that courts consider: (1) whether the defendant’s overbuying artificially inflated input prices; (2) whether the New York Law Journal higher prices drove competitors from the market; (3) whether the defendant gained monopsony power and ability to recoup losses; and (4) whether consumers were harmed. Also, Mr. Salop submitted that incorporating the belowcost price test into this formulation would make it less likely that the standard would discourage legitimate competition.10 Mr. Salop offered a less-stringent standard for defendants practicing RRC. He proposed that courts evaluating RRC allegations determine: (1) whether the defendant artificially inflated input prices; (2) whether this caused competitors’ marginal costs to rise; (3) whether the defendant firm gained market power in the output market; and (4) whether consumers were harmed. Mr. Salop would not require RRC plaintiffs to meet the below-cost price test because he thought the greater probability of consumer harm in these cases warranted a lower standard.11 Like Professor Salop, Professor Kirkwood also tried to convince the Court that it should resolve predatory bidding claims using rule-ofreason analysis. In his article “Buyer Power and Exclusionary Conduct: Should ‘Brooke Group’ Set the Standards for Buyer-Induced Price Discrimination and Predatory Bidding?,” Mr. Kirkwood acknowledged that predatory bidding looks structurally similar to predatory pricing, but concluded that because little is known about the actual effects of predatory bidding, the consumer welfare standard was superior to the Brooke Group test.12 Mr. Kirkwood observed that the lack of knowledge about predatory bidding made it impossible to determine whether the practice shared critical characteristics with predatory pricing. He noted, “predatory bidding has been analyzed much less extensively than predatory pricing… [so] it is not clear that an attempt at predatory bidding, if made in conducive market conditions, is unlikely to be successful.”13 Thus, until courts become more familiar with the effects of predatory bidding, Mr. Kirkwood argued that its legality should be determined using a rule-ofreason analysis. Consequently, Mr. Kirkwood proposed that a predatory bidding plaintiff be required to show that: (1) the defendant raised the price paid by its rivals for a critical input; (2) the price increase hurts its rivals and made monopsony likely; (3) new entrants would not undermine this monopsony power; and (4) the benefits of defendant’s behavior did not outweigh the bad effects on consumers. In his view, a plaintiff capable of meeting this test could “show competition and consumers are likely to be harmed…[and in such cases it would be] unwise to deny liability because the plaintiff [could not] also show losses and recoupment.”14 Mr. Kirkwood’s vision was that a more-lenient standard would ensure proper deliberation of predatory bidding claims pending research into whether predatory pricing shared critical characteristics with predatory bidding. The defendants and the federal antitrust amici took a contrary position and argued that predatory pricing and predatory bidding shared meaningful characteristics that warranted the extension of Brooke Group in Weyerhaeuser. In their amicus brief, the Federal Trade Commission and the U.S. tuesday, march 20, 2007 Department of Justice argued, “the rationales for Brooke Group’s stringent standard of proof for predatory pricing claims are generally applicable in the context of predatory buying clams as well.”15 In particular, overpaying in the input market, like lowering prices in the consumer market, can signify both a predatory scheme and legitimate competition. In both cases, a “rule that attempted to distinguish precisely between competitive and anticompetitive bidding would be ‘beyond the practical ability of a judicial tribunal to control without courting intolerable risks of chilling legitimate [conduct].’16 In the view of the federal agencies, any rule less stringent than Brooke Group could lead to false positives and thereby ‘chill the very conduct the antitrust laws are designed to protect.’”17 The ‘Weyerhaeuser’ Decision Ultimately, the Court concluded that predatory pricing and predatory bidding are close enough to share the Brooke Group standard. Writing for a unanimous Court, Justice Clarence Thomas explained, “predatory pricing and predatory bidding claims are analytically similar,” and “predatory bidding mirrors predatory pricing in respects that we deemed significant to our analysis in Brooke Group.”18 The decision favorably cited Mssrs. Salop and Kirkwood’s articles, but, obviously, did not incorporate their actual recommendations into its resolution. One reason the Court extended Brooke Group to predatory bidding claims was its conclusion that predatory pricing and predatory bidding schemes are similarly likely to fail. Since both schemes require firms to gamble on recovering costs in the long run, the Court inferred that “successful monopsony predation is probably as unlikely as successful monopoly predation.”19 Apparently, the Court was not as cautious as Mr. Kirkwood when it came to predicting a firm’s ability to bid its competitors out of business. The Court also was convinced that the similarities in the mechanisms by which predatory pricing and predatory bidding are executed required application of Brooke Group to Weyerhaeuser. Specifically, since it can be difficult to determine illegal behavior from competitive behavior during the first phase of each scheme, the Court perceived that a lower standard than Brooke Group in bidding cases could chill competition. The observation that there are “myriad legitimate reasons” why an input buyer might bid up input prices, including miscalculation, as part of risk strategy, or in response to increased consumer demand, compounded this decision and demonstrated reluctance to adjudicate every action taken by defendant’s business.20 Finally, the Court resolved the consumer welfare issue by determining that predatory bidding schemes are more benign than predatory pricing schemes. Failed bidding schemes can benefit consumers because firms with more inputs typically produce more, cheaper outputs. Predatory bidding, however, is actually less inherently dangerous than predatory pricing because “a predatory bidder does not necessarily rely on raising prices in the output market to recoup its losses.”21 Interestingly, the Court cited Mr. Salop on this proposition yet ignored his distinction between the different types of predatory overbidding and their potential effects on the consumer market. Conclusion After Weyerhaeuser, a predatory bidding plaintiff must allege: (1) below-cost pricing in the short term; and (2) a “dangerous probability” of recoupment in the long term. Ross-Simmons failed to prove that defendant’s overpaying for saw logs led to below-cost pricing in the output market and that defendant had a dangerous probability of recouping its losses. Now, overpaying in the input market becomes suspect only when it leads to below-cost pricing in the output market. This result is consistant with the Court’s decision in Spectrum Sports, which held that a firm cannot be held liable for behavior characterizing attempted monopolization in the absence of an actual dangerous probability of monopolization of a particular market.22 Both cases stand for the proposition that conduct must be evaluated in terms of its actual rather than theoretical effects. Mssrs. Salop and Kirkwood have earned the curious honor of having had their research favorably cited in a decision that stands for a very different outcome than those championed in their articles. Given the historical infrequency of predatory bidding schemes, however, the result in Weyerhaeuser is one the rest of antitrust community can live with comfortably. ••••••••••••• •••••••••••••••• 1. Weyerhaeuser v. Ross-Simmons Lumber Co., 549 US (2007); Brooke Group Ltd. v. Brown & Williamson Tobacco Corp., 509 US 209, 226 (1993). 2. See generally Weyerhaeuser, 549 US (2007) 3., 4. Brooke Group, 509 US at 222-225. 5. Id. at 226 (quoting Matsushita Elec. Industrial Co. v. Zenith Radio Corp., 475 US 474, 589 (1986)). 6. Id. (quoting Cargill, Inc. v. Monfort of Colorado, Inc., 479 US 104, 122 n. 17 (1986)). 7. Weyerhaeuser, 549 US at 1-2. 8. Mr. Salop characterizes predatory bidding schemes as “overbuying” schemes. For the purposes of this article, the practices are identical. Steven C. Salop, “Buyer Power and Antitrust: Anticompetitive Overbuying by Power Buyers,” 72 Antitrust L.J. 669, 669 (2005). 9. Salop, at 675-680. 10. Id. at 689-694. 11. Id. at 690-697. 12. See generally John C. Kirkwood, “Buyer Power and Exclusionary Conduct: Should ‘Brooke Group’ Set the Standards for Buyer-Induced Price Discrimination and Predatory Bidding?,” 72 Antitrust L.J. 625 (2005). 13. Kirkwood, at 655. 14. Id. at 661. 15. Brief of amicus curiae United States, at 11-14, Weyerhaeuser Co. v. Ross-Simmons Hardwood Lumber Co., 126 SCt 714 (Nov. 28, 2005) (No. 05-381). 16. Id. at 13 (quoting Brooke Group, 509 US at 226). 17. Id. 18. Weyerhaeuser, 549 US at 9. 19. Id. at 10 (quoting R. Blair & J. Harrison, “Monopsony” 66 (1993)). 20. Id. 21. Id. at 11. (citing Salop, “Buyer Powers”). 22. Spectrum Sports, Inc. v. Shirley McQuillan, 506 US 447, 459 (1993). This article is reprinted with permission from the March 20, 2007 edition of the New York Law Journal. © 2006 ALM Properties, Inc. All rights reserved. Further duplication without permission is prohibited. For information, contact ALM Reprint Department at 800-888-8300 x6111 or visit www.almreprints.com. #070-03-07-0038
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