Vocabulary & Semantics of Capabilities Definitions & representations prepared for DoDAF 2.0 DM2 WG by Alexander Bocast based on material developed for the Air Force Enterprise Architecture program Latest? Greatest? Joint terms: JCIDS Joint Capability Area Baseline Reassessment Terms of Reference for Conducting a Joint Capability Area Baseline Reassessment, 9 April 2007 • capability — The ability to achieve a desired effect under specified standards and conditions through combinations of means and ways to perform a set of tasks. (CJCSI The JCIDS definitions and these terms of reference give us enough now to work with… • condition — Variable of the operational environment, including a scenario that affects task performance. (CJCSI 3010.02B) Notes: 3010.02B) • effect — A change to a condition, behavior, or degree of freedom. (CJCSI 3010.02B) • endstate — The set of conditions, behaviors, and freedoms that defines achievement of the commander’s mission. (CJCSI 3010.02B) • means — Forces, units, equipment, and resources. • measure — The basis for describing varying levels of task performance. (CJCSI 3010.02B) • mission — The purpose (objectives and endstate) assigned to the commander. (CJCSI 3010.02B) • standard — Quantitative or qualitative measures for specifying the levels of performance of a task. (CJCSI 3010.02B) • task — An action or activity (derived from an analysis of the mission and concept of operations) assigned to an individual or organization to provide a capability. (CJCSI 3010.02B) • ways — Doctrine, tactics, techniques, and procedures, competencies, and concepts. The JP 1-02 definition of "capability" is “the ability to execute a specified course of action”. The general assessment is that this definition is not adequate for a capabilities-based Department. This was recognized in late 2004 when leadership from the Office of Secretary of Defense and Joint Staff co-sponsored a Military Operations Research Society conference to (in-part) redefine "capability" and several other related capabilities-based words. The definition of “capability” used in this terms of reference resulted from that effort, and was subsequently used in CJCSI 3010-02B, CJCSI 3170/01E, and CJCSM 3170.01B. The JCA Baseline Reassessment will apply this definition of “capability” in concert with the “tasks / effects / objectives” relationship set forth in JP 3-0. … Additionally, Joint Staff J-7 will engage with the joint doctrine community to pursue the proper vetting of this definition for inclusion to Joint Publication 1-02. Interpreting qualified terms in the JCS definition of capability • desired effect — Now, desired effect has a DoD definition — although it is clearly not the one we want: “The damage or casualties to the enemy or materiel that a commander desires to achieve from a nuclear weapon detonation…” Ignoring the circularity of this definition, we can note that wherever we encounter this or similar phrases, the intent is to say: “an effect that a (joint) commander wants.” – RAND’s Paul Davis runs with this as indicating that the scope of meaningful capabilities is the scope of the commander who uses these capabilities. In other words, capabilities belong in a context of operations, not in a context of national strategy… • specified conditions — a subset of UJTL conditions that has been determined by a commander to be relevant to the performance of a set of tasks assigned by the commander • specified standards — the performance requirements for a set of tasks to be carried out under specified conditions – Conditions are contingent upon missions. Standards are contingent upon contingent mission conditions. Absent mission, neither conditions nor standards can be specified. Hence the concept of “specified standards and conditions” drives us to construct and analyze mission scenarios. Lots of scenarios… • combinations of means and ways to perform — – Capability apparently means having many tools and being able to pick and choose an appropriate tool for the job at hand. Note that “appropriate” does not mean “best.” Recalling “intention”, appropriateness might not be at all related to the designed purpose of a tool. • set of tasks — purposive behaviors – That is, behavior that is not random but rather is designed to do something interesting… The capability notion of “combinations of means and ways to perform” immediately causes systems engineers to salivate. Here is the JCS’ explicit invitation to think about capabilities using the frameworks of systems-of-systems and the analytics of complex systems. The capability notion of “perform a set of tasks” immediately causes process architects to pay attention. Indeed, this notion is our entry point for exploring the implications of capabilities as architectural concepts within an enterprise architecture. Notes: Much of what I observe here is confirmed (validated?) in Paul Davis’ work at RAND for OSD and USAF. Let’s revisit JCS intent • The notion of “capability” arises from related Joint concerns: – Acquisition & dollars: are we acquiring resources that will be appropriately effective for specific but as yet unspecified missions – Operations & resources: can we apply resources that will be appropriately effective for specific but as yet unspecified missions • Critical operational capability concepts: – Mission: something that a commander needs to do We have limited resources. No single potential adversary has capabilities that we cannot eventually best. However, we can not predict with certainty who we will fight, when we will fight, what capabilities they will have and use, or under what conditions we will contend. But we still need to bet on a set of capabilities that will give us the most robust ability to respond across all adversaries and circumstances… – Tasks: what a commander can do to cause an effect Depending upon the decisionmaker, this bet can be posed in different ways: Maximum mitigation of risk Maximum possibility of success Minimum possibility of failure – Conditions: things outside a commander’s control that may effect performance of a task Notes: – Effect: a change in a commander’s stakeholder’s outputs that is prerequisite to a successful mission – Standards: a commander’s measure of minimum task performance that will lead to a successful mission – Scenario: end-to-end view of what a commander might do to accomplish a mission under given conditions Critical concepts of JCS capability • Uncertainty • uncertainty with respect to everything: effect, risk, task, conditions, standards, and scenarios. • Effect – changes to someone else’s behavior – desired return on investment • Risk – miniMaxes & maxiMins – likelihood of undesired returns on investment – vs. opportunity: more-than-expected returns on investment • Tasks – must be known, standard, predictable, “off-the-shelf” behaviors (“specified”) • Conditions – a manifold; conceptually, n-dimensional space within which any mission environment may be described – circumstances of a task; – unfortunately, analytically infinite; see scenario… • Standards – variables that depends upon the mission, properties of the desired effect, the conditions, and the orchestration of other capabilities – standards are (kinda sorta) the inverse of risk event probabilities (e.g., least acceptable effect) – minimum acceptable proficiency required in task performance • Although it is not really clear how minimum proficiency relates to desired effect… • Scenario – course of action through a specified manifold (“scenario space”) – But: scenarios travel in packs… parametric scenario families; statistical affinity families; – Sample sizes are important, because a single sample from an infinite space tells you nothing… • …there is no such thing as a single best scenario. Because it would involve the concatenation of many elements, even the allegedly most likely scenario is a low-odds projection and a bad bet; therefore, multiple scenarios are the foundation for foresight analysis. The number needed may be very large, especially if the analyses are computerbased, using combinations of many factors, or it may be small if the analyses are largely qualitative… – Davis: Theory & Methods for Supporting High-Level Military Decisionmaking Behavioral notion of effect traditional extent of organizational behavior models your effect your control effect measures your input their input do your thing A0 your output their control your guys their observed input their output do their thing A-11 their guys external stakeholders over here 1 stakeholder output == your outcome Wreaking effects: a simplistic example physical laws their controls behavior feedback your fired bullets your bullets do tailored capability instance thing A0 their observed guys your effect intercept your bullets A-141 their bullets shoot their bullets A-142 their fired bullets their alive observed guys shoot at your guys their unobserved guys A-14 their weapons their observable guys their guys Behavioral sketch of JCS notions of capabilities your information their controls your controls mission statement capability requirement tasks conditions standards specify set strategy requirements A-11 selected behaviors ways enterprise architecture architectures pick mission tailor behavior capability A-12 capability measures tailoring criteria nominal capability architecture your effect your input do tailored capability thing their input your output A0 selection criteria your stuff your guys wreak effect do something else apportion provide resources mission system resources A-13 A-14 means acquisition guy mission guy mission designer DOTMLPF guy their observed input their guys their stuff their output Terms & definitions: capability proposition your information their controls your controls mission statement capability requirement tasks conditions standards specify set strategy requirements 1 selected behaviors ways enterprise architecture architectures pick mission tailor behavior capability capability measures 2 tailoring criteria nominal capability architecture your input capability socket their input your output 4 selection criteria your stuff your guys 3 5 means acquisition guy mission guy mission designer their output wreak effect do something else apportion provide resources capability system resources your effect DOTMLPF guy their observed input their guys their stuff terms revisited for architectural discourse capability proposition the notion of capabilities intended by Joint terms such as “capabilities-based”: intent & doctrinal foundation capability space a set of normative concepts that structures and constrains requirements for mission behaviors in accordance with the capability proposition capability requirement a behavioral requirement stated in terms of the capability space to specify mission, task, conditions & their values, standards & their values, & measured effects nominal capability candidate capability capability a tailorable configuration of ways and means characterized by designed behaviors, design ranges of operating conditions, design ranges of performance standards, and design expectations of effect measures given these designed behaviors, conditions, and standards: an architecture whose patterns satisfy the capability proposition a nominal capability whose design concepts & values approximate the specified concepts & values of a capability requirement a candidate capability that sufficiently satisfices a capability requirement mission capability a capability selected for inclusion in the course of action of a mission tailored capability mission capability whose ways and means have been appropriately tailored and made available for a mission: an executable instantiated architecture realized capability the actual ways and means of a tailored capability in action: an executing instantiated architecture cardinalities of architectural discourse capability proposition ? capability space ∞ mission capability requirement 1 1 nominal capability ∞ >> p candidate capability p>k capability k>c mission capability c > m=1 tailored capability m.t > t realized capability t=1 Capabilities & SOA: OASIS SOA Reference Model mission statement your information your controls execution context the offer to perform work for another capability requirement the specification of the work offered for another tasks conditions the capability to perform work for another the performance of work (a function) by one for another standards specify need requirements services are the mechanism by which needs and capabilities are brought together: (pg.9) Also see Section 4: Conformance Guidelines. A-11 selected behaviors their controls ways enterprise architecture select visibility behavior architectures capability measures A-12 service descriptions tailoring criteria capability instance architecture your input do tailored interaction capability instance thing their input selection criteria your stuff resources service interface A0 service functionality your guys world doreal something effect else means acquisition guy mission guy mission designer their output A-14 A-13 service your effect your output provide service resources means contract & policy ?? shared state DOTMLPF guy service consumers their observed input service provider their guys their stuff mission statement your information Capabilities & SOA: OASIS SOA Reference Model with brokered contract your controls capability requirement tasks conditions their controls standards specify requirements A-11 selected behaviors capability measures enterprise architecture architectures tailoring criteria select behavior A-12 ways defined capability negotiate agreement A-13 your effect capability instance architecture contract selection criteria your input do tailored capability instance thing their input your output A0 your guys resources provide resources your stuff A-14 means acquisition guy mission guy mission designer broker DOTMLPF guy do something else A-15 their observed input their guys their stuff their output
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