American Finance Association A Mean-Variance Theory of Optimal Capital Structure and Corporate Debt Capacity Author(s): E. Han Kim Source: The Journal of Finance, Vol. 33, No. 1 (Mar., 1978), pp. 45-63 Published by: Wiley for the American Finance Association Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/2326349 . Accessed: 21/06/2013 15:07 Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of the Terms & Conditions of Use, available at . http://www.jstor.org/page/info/about/policies/terms.jsp . JSTOR is a not-for-profit service that helps scholars, researchers, and students discover, use, and build upon a wide range of content in a trusted digital archive. We use information technology and tools to increase productivity and facilitate new forms of scholarship. For more information about JSTOR, please contact [email protected]. . Wiley and American Finance Association are collaborating with JSTOR to digitize, preserve and extend access to The Journal of Finance. http://www.jstor.org This content downloaded from 141.213.163.112 on Fri, 21 Jun 2013 15:07:18 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions THE JOURNAL OF FINANCE VOL. XXXIII, NO. I MARCH 1978 A MEAN-VARIANCE THEORY OF OPTIMAL CAPITAL STRUCTURE AND CORPORATE DEBT CAPACITY E. HAN KIM* I. INTRODUCTION AN ISSUE OF CONCERN to the theoryof businessfinance over the past two decades has been the effect of financialstructureon the valuationof firms.The traditional presumptionis that a firm'svalue is a concave function of its financialleverage, and that an optimal financial leverage exists where the slope of the function is zero.' This argumentis suspect to the extent that it attempts to value a firm's securitiesin isolationfrom the rest of the capitalmarket.The pathbreakingworks by Modiglianiand Miller (MM) have providedthe foundationsfor studyingthe effect of financial structureon the valuationof firms in equilibrium.MM (1958, 1969) establishthat the total value of the firm, in the absence of taxes, remains constantacross all degreesof financialleverage.Buildingon the foundationslaid by MM, numerousauthors2have confirmedthe MM no-tax thesis using a variety of equilibriumapproaches.MM (1963) and some of these authors have shown further that a proportionalcorporate income tax provides sufficient economic incentive for firms to maximize their use of debt financing. However, in the five-yearperiod from 1966 to 1970 the capital needs of nonfinancialcorporations in the United States were financed approximatelyby two-thirdsequity and onethird debt.3 Furthermore,the average corporate debt ratio (which reflects the valuationof equityat marketvalue) is only approximately20 percent.4Even these highly aggregatedfiguressuggestthat an elementof majorimportanceto financial managersand the investingpublicis missingfrom the MM theory. Robicheckand Myers (1965, p. 20) and Hirshleifer(1970, p. 264) suggest that bankruptcycosts may representthe majormissingelement and that incorporating these costs within the foundationslaid by MM may support the concept of an optimalcapitalstructure.The importanceof bankruptcycosts was particularlywell demonstratedby Miller (1962) when he explicitly utilized bankruptcycosts to *VisitingAssociateProfessorof Finance,PurdueUniversity,on leavefromthe Ohio StateUniversity. This paper is based on ChapterFive of my Ph.D. thesis [Kim (1974)]at State Acknowledgement. Universityof New Yorkat Buffalo.I am gratefulto my thesiscommittee,F. Jen (Chairman),A. Chen, and the late H. Samuelsson.I would also like to thank J. Boness, M. Gordon, R. Hagerman,R. Hamada,E. Kane, S. Kon, J. McConnell,and StewardC. Meyers,a refereeof this Journal,for their helpfulcomments. 1. For example,see Gordon(1962)and Solomon(1963). 2. The authorsinclude Robichekand Myers (1966), Hamada (1969), Stiglitz(1969, 1974), Schall (1972),Rubinstein(1973),Baron(1974),Merton(1974),and Stapleton(1975a, 1975b). 3. See FederalReserveBulletin(1971,p.A. 71.4). 4. See Friend(1974,pp. 3-4). 45 This content downloaded from 141.213.163.112 on Fri, 21 Jun 2013 15:07:18 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions 46 The Journal of Finance explain the phenomenonof credit-rationingon the basis of rational economic self-interestby lenders.Millerhas stated: The substantialcosts and delaysnormallyincurredin case of defaultand the fact that compensating increasesin rates actuallyincreasethe probabilitythat these costs will be incurredmakes the loan contacta relativelyinefficientinstrument.(1962,pp. 487-488) Explicit treatmentof bankruptcycosts in the theory of capital structureis limited. Kraus and Litzenberger(1973) provide a state-preferencemodel with wealthtaxes and bankruptcycosts, and suggesta stochasticdynamicprogramming approach to search for an optimal capital structure.In a recent paper which appearedafter this study was completed,Scott (1976) shows that, if investorsare indifferentto risk, imperfectmarkets for physical assets (along with a constant liquidationvalue of the firm's assets in bankruptcy)imply the existence of an optimalcapital structure.Althoughthese studiesprovideinsightinto the theoryof optimalcapitalstructure,theirmodels are eithertoo complexto implement(Kraus and Litzenberger)or ignorerisk-aversionin the capitalmarket(Scott). More importantly,these studies fail to recognize that, if there are bankruptcy costs, debt capacity,definedas the maximumamountof borrowingallowedby the debt financcapital market,occurs well before the point of one-hundred-percent ing.5Thus, the existenceof bankruptcycosts presentsanotherissue that was best characterizedby Myersand Pogue(1974,p. 589): It is unclearwhether"thelenders chickenout first"(i.e., debt capacityoccurs first) or "the shareholderschickenout first" (i.e., optimal capital structureoccurs first). For example, if "the lenders chickenout first,"the optimalamountof borrowingwould not be obtainableand the question of an optimal capital structurewould become irrelevant.Or, if the optimaldebt level coincideswith the firm'sdebt capacity(i.e., the shareholdersand the lenderschickenout together),the implicationis the same as that of the MM tax model-the firm should simply borrow as much as possible. It is only when the optimalamountof debt is strictlyless than the debt capacitythat firmsmust search for the optimal trade-off between the tax advantage of debt and the costs of bankruptcy.Therefore,a logical progressionrequiresanalysis of the problem of debt capacitybeforeconsiderationof the questionof optimalcapitalstructure. This paper examines the issues of debt capacity and optimal capital structure when firms are subjectto stochasticbankruptcycosts and corporateincometaxes (accompaniedby a parallelanalysiswith wealth-taxesin footnotes) in the context of the Sharpe (1964)-Lintner(1965)-Mossin (1966) Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM). After discussingthe nature and the magnitudeof bankruptcycosts in Section II, we analyze the effects of bankruptcycosts and corporate income taxation on firm valuationin Section III. Section IV shows that when firms are subject to bankruptcy costs their debt capacities will be reachedprior to one-hundredpercent debtfinancing. Section V makes it clear that optimal capital structuresinvolve less debt financing than the maximum amount of borrowing allowed by the capital 5. For example,Miller (1962) has shown that when bankruptcycosts exist, lenders will impose credit-rationingbefore bankruptcybecomes certain.Although the Miller model is restrictedto the behavioracrossall investors(lenders) individuallender'sbehavior,aggregationof such credit-rationing for corporateborrowing. in the capitalmarketmay implythe existenceof "credit-rationing" This content downloaded from 141.213.163.112 on Fri, 21 Jun 2013 15:07:18 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions Mean-Varianceof Optimal Capital Structureand CorporateDebt Capacity 47 market, and, hence, shareholder-wealth-maximizingfirms will search for optimal capital structuresrather than simply maximize their borrowing. Althoughless general,the CAPM is more amenableto implementationthan the state-preferenceapproach,and in Section VI we show that it provides a much simpler method for approximatingoptimal capital structuresthan Kraus and Litzenberger'sapproach. Since, unlike Scott's risk indifference approach, the CAPM incorporatesrisk-aversion,our method is more realistic but no more complex than the method suggestedby Scott for determiningoptimalleverage.A numericalexample,employingthe method suggestedin this paper,illustratesthat not only is a firm's value a strictly concave function of its end-of-perioddebt obligationswith a uniqueglobal maximum,but also that the maximumis reached priorto the firm'sdebt capacity. This paper also provides some interestingresults in other related areas. An explicit pricing model that values corporatedebt directly with or without bankruptcycosts is derivedin Section VI. This model providesadditionalinsightsinto the operationsof bond markets.In Sections III and VI, we compareand contrast differenttax schemesand theireffects on firmvaluation.The resultsimply that the tax advantageof debt financingassumesmuch less importancein financialstructure decisionsthan generallysuggested. II. COSTS BANKRUPTCY The cost of bankruptcycan be thoughtof as comprisingthree majorcomponents. First, dependingon whetherbankruptcytakes the form of liquidationor reorganization, there may be either the "short-fall"arising from the liquidation or the "indirect"cost of reorganization.Second, arisingin the course of the bankruptcy proceedings,variousadministrativeexpensesmust be paid to third parties.Third, firmslose tax creditswhich they would have receivedhad they not gone bankrupt. If bankruptcy takes the form of liquidation, the first type of cost is the "short-fall"arising from the liquidationof physical assets below their economic values at "distress"prices. This is mainly due to the imperfectionof secondary marketsfor physicalassets.In a recentpaper,Van Horne (1975) argues: In a distresssale, a finishedgood frequentlybringsonly 30 to 70 per cent of the wholesaleprice. Depending on market conditions,a fixed asset may bring even less. While most bankruptcy auctionsarehonest,the verynatureof the processcoupledwith some shadypracticesdo not augur well for the seller.(p. 15-16) If bankruptcytakesthe form of reorganization,the first type of cost is what Baxter (1967) describesas the "indirect"costs of bankruptcy.The indirectcosts include reductionin futuresales due to customers'doubts of the reliabilityof the bankrupt firm as a supplier;difficultyin obtainingtradecredit;higherproductioncosts due to dislocationswithin the companyand renegotiationof contractsfor employees; and the time lost by executivesin the reorganizationprocedure.In either form of bankruptcy,these costs are difficult to documentalthoughthey may be the most importantcomponent of bankruptcycosts. To our knowledge, no one has attemptedto measurethe magnitudeof these costs. Embodiedin the total "short-fall"of the liquidationor the total "indirect"costs This content downloaded from 141.213.163.112 on Fri, 21 Jun 2013 15:07:18 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions 48 The Journal of Finance of the reorganizationare seriousdelays in bringingabout the liquidationand the reorganization.For example, Warner (1976) reports that bankruptciesfor 11 railroadcompaniestook on average12.5years to settle in the courts.These delays impose additionalcosts to debtholderswith provenclaims. The second type of cost involves fees and other compensationto third parties (i.e., the lawyers,trustees,auctioneers,referees,accountants,appraisers,etc.) and representsthe administrativeexpenses of bankruptcy.Payment for these costs receives the highest priorityin a bankruptcyproceeding under the Bankruptcy Act.6 In a BrookingsInstitutionstudy, Stanley and Girth (1971) examine these bankruptcycosts in a large sampleof case analysesand interviews.They estimate that total administrativeexpenses in a business bankruptcyapproximate20 per cent of the estate and that about half of these expenses go to attorneys.7This inferenceis supportedby bankruptcystatisticsfrom the AdministrativeOffice of the U.S. Courtswhich show that in fiscal 1969 total administrativeexpenseswere 23.4 per cent of the total realizationfrom bankruptcies.8 However,Warner's(1976) analysisof 11bankruptrailroadcompaniesreportsthat the administrativeexpenses are on average 5.3 per cent of the market value of the firm at the time of bankruptcy.Warner attributesthis discrepancyto the fact that he deals with entities of greaterdollar size than Stanley and Girth's sample. Warner'ssample shows that there are economiesof scale with respectto bankruptcycosts. Collectively, these studies suggest that while some administrativeexpenses, such as the attorneyfees,9may not declineon a relativebasis as the size of the estateincreases, thereare fixed costs associatedwith the bankruptcyprocessthat do so decline. The third type of bankruptcycosts is due to the tax court'srefusalto grant tax creditsfor the tax losses of a bankruptfirm. Even if tax laws were lenient in this regard,bankruptcyusuallyis the result of severalsuccessiveyears of unprofitable operations,which lessens the possibilityof carryingback these tax losses against previouslypaid taxes. Thus, in order for the bankruptfirm to receive even a fractionof tax creditsfor its losses, either the firm must merge with a profitable firm or it must carry-forward its tax losses afterthe bankruptcy.Section269 of the U.S. Internal Revenue Code of 1954 prohibitsfirms from merging for the sole purposeof taking advantageof the tax law.'0Also, sections 269, 371, and 382 of the U.S. Internal Revenue Code of 1954 provide formidablebarriersto a postreorganizationfirm from carryingforwardthe losses incurredby a bankruptfirm, and past court cases have not allowedcarry-oversof such tax losses." Hence, it is most likely that the creditorsof a bankruptfirm will lose the tax credits to which the firmwouldhave been entitledhad it not gone bankrupt. 6. See Lusk,Hewitt,Donnell,and Barnes(1974,p. 961). 7. For the breakdownof specificexpenses,see eitherStanleyand Girth(1971)or Van Horne(1975). 8. The breakdownof specificexpensesis reportedin Van Horne(1975). 9. Van Horne pointed out to the author that, as the size of the estate increases,the economic incentivesto hire lawyersfor legal suits increase,and hence attorney'sfees tend to increase. 10. For an extensivediscussionon this subject,see Holzman(1955)and Tobolowsky(1960). 11. See Holzman(1955),Krantz(1961),Testa (1963)and Tobolowsky(1960). This content downloaded from 141.213.163.112 on Fri, 21 Jun 2013 15:07:18 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions Mean-Varianceof Optimal Capital Structureand CorporateDebt Capacity III. 49 FIRM VALUATION A. Assumptionsand Definitions To distinguishthe effect of financialfrom investmentdecisions,we assume that the firm alreadyhas selected its investmentsbut has not yet decided on how to finance them.'2The cost of acquiringphysical assets for investmentis A dollars. The investmentpromisesa stochasticterminalvalue of X dollars after paying all non-capitalfactors of production.To separatethe firm valuationeffects of financial leveragefrom other extraneousissues (such as dividendpolicy, asset depreciation, etc.), it is assumedthat the firm is to be dissolved at the end of the period. The firm'soperatingearningswill be X-A, and the residualearningsafter deducting interestpaymentswill be subjectto an income tax rate T. If the firm chooses to finance the entireinvestmentby equity alone, the market value of the firm will be Vu-Su, where Su is the marketvalue of the unlevered firm's equity. Its taxable earningsat the end of the period will equal operating earnings,X-A. Thus, one-plus-the-rate-of-return on a dollar investedin the firm's equitywill be: RU= [X- T(X-A)]ISu =-[(1- T)i+AT]/SU(1 If the firmchooses to financepart of the investmentby borrowingD dollars,the marketvalue of the firm will be V- Sr + D,-whereSe is the marketvalue of the levered firm's equity. The levered firm will be bankruptif it fails to meet its obligationsto debtholders(the principalD plus promisedinterestpayments)at the end of the period.'3The promisedinterestrate,rP-1, will dependon the amountof borrowing,D. If the levered firm does not go bankrupt, its taxable earnings will be X- A - (r - 1)D, and one-plus-the-rate-of-return on a dollar invested in its equity will be {X- T[X-A -(P- 1)D ]-D }/ Se = [(1 - T)(X-PD) + T(A -D)]/ Se. One-plus- on a dollarinvestedin the firm'sdebt will be r. the-rate-of-return Bankruptcyoccursif the firm'sterminalvalue is less than its total end-of-period debt obligation,i.e., X < PD.In the event of an actualbankruptcy,stockholderswill exercisetheir limited liability,and ownershipof the bankruptfirm will be transferredto debtholders.Debtholderswill have to pay the cost of bankruptcyout of X. Therefore,one-plus-the-rate-of-return on a dollar invested in the securitiesof 12. This assumption implies that there is no debt outstanding prior to the financial structure decision. If the firm has already issued some positive amount of debt, it is necessary to assume an effective "me-first" rule. For an extensive discussion of "me-first" rule, see Fama and Miller (1972) and Kim, McConnell, and Greenwood (1977). 13. For the sake of brevity, we do not distinguish "bankruptcy" from "default". Whereas "default" merely describes the borrower's action, bankruptcy often involves lender initiatives. The question of whether or not bankruptcy proceedings should be initiated by creditors when the firm defaults on its debt obligation and the optimal timing of such proceedings are examined in detail by Van Horne (1976). This content downloaded from 141.213.163.112 on Fri, 21 Jun 2013 15:07:18 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions The Journal of Finance 50 the levered firm may be defined as: R=( [(l O T)(X rD)+T(A-D)]1S, if X>PD (2) if X<PD, and r (r if X >PD(3 ((XB)/D if X&<D, where Re and r are one-plus-the-rate-of-return on the levered firm's stocks and debt, respectively, and B equals bankruptcy costs. Because tax credits are not included in the gross return to debtholders of the bankrupt firm, the third type of bankruptcy costs (i.e., the loss of tax credits) is already implicit in (3). Thus, B in (3) represents only the sum of the first two types of bankruptcy costs identified in Section II, and may be expressed as: h= =B(X) if)?D(4) if X< PD, where B(X) is an implicit positive function of X, but is no greater than X, i.e., B(X) < X. This upper limit on B(X) provides debtholders with limited liability in a nominal asset case in which the proceeds from liquidation are entirely consumed in administrative expenses with no distribution to debtholders. Finally, we assume that risky securities are priced according to the CAPM such that the equilbrium expected return on any risky security i is: 14 E(Ri)= RF+Xcov(RiiRm) (5) where RF is one-plus-the-rate-of-return on the riskfree asset;'5 Rm is one plus the value-weighted rate of return on all risky securities in the market, and has an is expected value of E(Rm) and a standard deviation of arm;X= [E(Rm) -RF]/2 and and Rm between covariance is the cov(Ri, the market price of risk; and Ri Rrm) represents the systematic risk of security i. B. Market Value of the Firm If we define the bankruptcy operator as: g 1 if X<D (6) 14. Since we assumethat firms are subjectto bankruptcycosts, all returnson risky securitiesand portfolios,includingRm,are definedas returnsafterbankruptcycost. With this definition,Kim (1974, pp. 100-104)showsthat the exactformof the CAPMholdswhenfirmsare subjectto bankruptcycosts. 15. The assumptionof the existenceof a risk-freesecurityis not substantive,providedzero-beta portfoliosexist in which case the symbolRF in this papermay be replacedat everypoint by E(RZ), whereZ is the minimumvarianceportfoliowith returnsuncorrelatedwith the marketreturn. This content downloaded from 141.213.163.112 on Fri, 21 Jun 2013 15:07:18 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions Mean-Varianceof Optimal Capital Structureand CorporateDebt Capacity the market value of the firm may be expressed as: Ve = Vu+ TD(RF -I)IRF- 51 16 T(A- D )V(b) - (1-T) V(B ) (7) where V(b)=[E(b)-N cov(b,Rm)]/RF is the risk-adjusted present value of one dollar associated with the occurrence of bankruptcy, and V(B)=[E(B) -N cov(B, Rrn)]/RF is the risk-adjusted present value of the bankruptcy costs. In the absence of taxes and bankruptcy costs (i.e., T=O and B=O), but with a positive probability of bankruptcy, (7) reduces to V, = Vu,i.e., the market value of the firm is independent of its financial structure. With a positive income'7 tax rate and positive bankruptcy costs, (7) illustrates that the market value of the levered 16. By combining(2), (3), (4), and (6), we can rewrite(2) as: Rie= [(I1- T)(X -riD ) + T(A - D )(I1-b ~)-(1- T)B I/ Se . (2a) [To show that (2) and (2a) are identical,one only has to substitute(3), (4), and (6) back into (2a).] Havingobtained(1) and (2a), derivationof (7) is straightforward. Substituting(1) into both sides of (5) gives: (1- T)E(X )=SRRF-A T+ ( - T)X cov(X, Rm) Substituting(2a) into both sides of (5), and becauseE() (1- T)E()= [ Se + D (I1-T)]RF -T(A+ T(A - = RF+ Xcov(W, Rm), (a) it followsthat: D) + (1- T)X cov(i,Rkm ) D )[E(b )-Xcov(b,Rm )] + (1- T)[E(B ) -Xcov(B,Rm )] (b) From(a) and (b), and fromthe definitionsthat: Ve=Se+D and Vu=Su, we can obtain(7). It shouldbe noted that, althoughthe CAPM is necessaryto providea simple,but practicalmethodto approximatethe optimalcapitalstructure,one does not need to assumethe CAPM merelyto derive(7). It can be shownthat,given(1) and (2a),a similarresultalso holds for moregeneral theoreticalmodelssuch as the State Preferenceapproachor Schall's(1972)ValueAdditivityPrinciple. in whichthe interestpaymentsare tax 17. The tax structureconsideredhere is an income-tax-system deductiblebut principalpaymentsare not. The alternativetax structurethat has been consideredin financeliteratureis a net-terminal-wealth-tax systemin whichboth the interestand principalpayments of corporatedebt are tax deductible.[For example,see Rubinstein(1973)and Krausand Litzenberger (1973).]Clearly,an income-taxstructureis more realisticthan a wealth-taxstructurein view of the United Statestax code. and lets T be the wealth-taxrate, Nevertheless,if one assumes a net-terminal-wealth-tax-system on the unleveredand the levered firms' equities should be redefinedas one-plus-the-rate-of-return follows: R = (1-T)X/S", (la) and if X>rD R R=T(1-T)(X-rD)/Se (2b) if X<D. O By followingthe steps that led to (7), it can be showneasily that the marketvalue of the leveredfirm undera wealth-taxsystemis: Vwe = Vee+ TDe- ( heT)wV(B where V,,' is the market value of the unlevered firm under the wealth-tax system. This content downloaded from 141.213.163.112 on Fri, 21 Jun 2013 15:07:18 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions (7a) 52 The Journal of Finance firmis equalto the marketvalue of the unleveredfirm plus the presentvalue of tax deductibilityof interestpayments,TD(RF - 1)/RF,18 minusthe-presentvalue of the loss of tax credits in the event of bankruptcy,T(A - D) V(b), and the fraction (1 - T) of the present value of bankruptcy costs, V(B).19 With corporateincome taxes and bankruptcycosts, the ex-ante marketvalue of X, which depends only on the firm'sinvestmentdecisions,is divided among four parties: stockholders,debtholders,the government,and bankruptcycosts. Since V(B) increasesas the probabilityof bankruptcyincreasesand the probabilityof bankruptcyincreases as financial leverage increases, V(B) also will increase as financial leverage increases.On the other hand, debtholdershave claims to the future earningsof the firm that are prior to the government'sclaim, and hence V(G), the value of the government'sclaim to the future earnings of the firm, decreases with increased financial leverage. Therefore, as the firm's financial leverageincreases,the increasein V(B) will be offset by a decreasein V(G), and the sum of V(B) and V(G) will either increase or decrease depending on the particulardegreeof financialleverage. The part of the marketvalue of the firm that belongs to the suppliersof the capital is the differencebetween the market value of X, V(X), and the sum of V(B) and V(G), i.e., V = V(X)-[V(B)+ V(G)]. Since V(X)=[E(X)- Acov(X,Rm)]/RF is independentof financialstructure,the financialstructurethat minimizes the sum of V(G) and V(B) will maximize Ve in (7). IV. DEBT CAPACITY CORPORATE Since an optimalcapitalstructureis a meaningfulconcept only if it can be shown that the optimaldebt is strictlyless than debt capacity,in this section we presenta formal analysisof corporatedebt capacity.Corporatedebt capacityis defined as the maximumamount that a firm with given investmentscan borrowin a perfect capital market.Corporatedebt capacity is denoted by D, and rD representsthe amountthat the firm must promiseits debtholdersto reach D. 18. Since the availabilityof an interesttax shield is contingentupon the actual payment of the promisedinterest,with a positiveprobabilityof bankruptcy(and defaultof interest)the interesttax shieldbecomesrisky.TD(RF- 1) is the certaintyequivalentof the riskytax shieldfor interestpayment (or the certaintax shieldif thereis no probabilityof bankruptcy).Discountingthis certaintyequivalent at the risk-freerate yields the present value of the tax shields, TD(RF- l)/RF. This quantity is substantiallysmallerthan the presentvalue of tax savingsin the originalMM tax model,which states that Ve= Vu+ TD. While the debt in our model maturesat the end of a single period with no presumptionabout the levered and the unleveredfirm's future financial structuresbeyond a single period,the MM tax modelassumesthat debt has no maturityin an infinitehorizonframeworkand that the presentfinancialstructureof the leveredand the unleveredfirm will be maintainedforever.If we assertthis perpetuityassumption,the presentvalue of tax deductibilityof interestpaymentsbecomes 00 TD(RF- l)/(RF)' = TD. This is identicalto the presentvalueof tax subsidyin the MM tax model. I Note thatthe presentvalueof tax subsidyin (7a) is also TD. [Seefootnote 17.]Hence,a wealth-taxin a single-periodframeworkyields the same presentvalue of tax savings as an income-taxin MM's infinitehorizonframeworkdoes. 19. The remainingT percentof V(B) is borne by the government,as the premiumadded to the promisedinterestrate due to bankruptcycost reducesthe government'sclaim to the futureearningsof the firmby T percent. This content downloaded from 141.213.163.112 on Fri, 21 Jun 2013 15:07:18 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions Mean- Varianceof Optimal Capital Structureand CorporateDebt Capacity 53 In a perfectcapitalmarket,unlessthe firm alreadyhas reachedits debt capacity, it can borrowmore by promisingto pay more to its potentiallendersat the end of the period. Once it has reachedits debt capacity,by definition,it can borrowno more regardlessof how much more it promisesto pay at the end of the period. Mathematically, it means that (dD/drD) >0 for PD< PD, and (dD/dPD) = 0 for rD = rD. Since in a perfect capital market,investors will lend exactly what the promisefor futurepaymentis worth accordingto the marketpricingmechanism, dD/ drD will equal zero only when any furtherincreasein PD does not create any additionalvalue for lenders. Such a debt capacity occurs before bankruptcybecomes certain if there are bankruptcy costs.20Although Miller (1962) assumes that lenders display risk aversionwhen he utilizes bankruptcycosts to explain the phenomenonof creditrationing,21 it is not risk aversion itself that causes occurrenceof debt capacity before bankruptcybecomes certain. It occurs because: (1) the present value of bankruptcycosts, V(B), increasesas PD increasesand (2) in the event of bankruptcy,the claimsof bankruptcycosts to X must be satisfiedpriorto the claims of debtholders. These points can be demonstratedby assumingthat lendersare risk-neutral.By assumingrisk-neutrality we can distinguishthe effect of bankruptcycosts from the effect of riskaversion.Then the marketvalueof rD is simplythe expectedreturnto debtholdersdiscountedat RF:22 D = E(rD)/RF (8) Substituting(3) and (4) into (8) gives: D= {D[1-F(rD)1+ Xf(X)dX-f B(X)f(X)dX }/RF (9) wheref(X) =the probabilitydensity of X with an expected value of E(X) and a standarddeviationof a f(X)dX is the probabilitythat the firm will be bankruptat the F(rD)= f'i%3 end of the period. Differentiating(9) with respectto PDyields: dD d^D = [ 1-F(rD )-B(rD)f(rD)1/RF. (10) 20. If bankruptciesare costless,corporatedebt capacityis not an operativetermin a perfectcapital market,as the firm'smaximumborrowingis reachedonly when bankruptcybecomescertain. 21. Milleraddressesthe issue of credit-rationing by individuallendersfor personalborrowingrather than the phenomenonof credit-rationing by the capitalmarketfor corporateborrowing.However,his resultshave importantimplicationsfor corporateborrowing,because it does not rely on the legal constraintsof maximumcontractrates of interest.Althoughcredit-rationingfor personalborrowing may be explainedthroughthe maximumceiling on contractualrates of interest,credit-rationingfor corporateborrowingmay not. Due to the discountingof corporatedebt securitiesin the capitalmarket, thereexistsno practicalceilingon the maximumcontractualratesof intereston corporateborrowing. 22. A more completederivationof the marketvalue of corporatedebt within the context of the CAPMis providedin SectionVI. This content downloaded from 141.213.163.112 on Fri, 21 Jun 2013 15:07:18 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions 54 The Journal of Finance (10) illustratesclearly that any change in rD has both a positive and a negative effect on lender'sexpectedreturn.On the one hand, an increasein rD means an increasein expectedtotal return.This incrementin expectedreturnis represented by the term 1- F(PD), which is the probabilitythat the firm will not be bankrupt. On the other hand, an increasein PD means an increasein expected bankruptcy costs, because a higherrD means a higherprobabilityof bankruptcy.This increment in expectedbankruptcycosts is representedby the term B(rD)f(PD). Since the probabilityof bankruptcy,F(PD), increasesas PD increases,the first term in (10), 1- F(rD), decreasesas PD increases.B(PD) varies directlywith PD because B(X) is a positive function of X [See (4)].23 If X is normally distributed, 1- F(rD) is equal to B(rD)f(rD) before the probabilityof bankruptcyreaches one. That is, thereexistsan rD at which(dD/ dPD)= 0 and F(PD)< 1. This resultis shown in AppendixA. AppendixA also shows that the second-orderconditionis met at PD. Therefore,the firm's borrowingreachesits maximum(the firm's debt capacity)whilebankruptcyremainsuncertain. AppendixA also shows that (dD/dPD) < 0 for PD> PD,which means that firms will face a decreasing D while PD is increasing once they reach their debt capacities.The intuitiveexplanationis as follows: Althoughdebtholdersbear the ex-postcost of bankruptcy[See (3)], in a perfectcapitalmarketlenderspass-onthe entireex-antecost of bankruptcy,V(B), to stockholdersand the governmentin the form of higher promisedinterestrates. However,when the firm increasesits PD beyond PD, the incrementalincrease in V(B) will dominate the incremental increase in lenders' expected returns.Consequently,lenders cannot pass-on the entire V(B) unless they reduce the total amount of funds lent, D. In a perfect capitalmarket,perfectsubstitutesare alwaysavailable.Hence, lenderswill simply switch to other corporatedebt securitieswhich allow them to pass-on the entire V(B) to stockholdersand the governmentand earn the marketequilibriumreturn. These switcheswill reduce the demandfor the firm'sPD, which in turn will force the marketvalue of rD to decline.That is, D will decreaseas rD exceeds rD. If there is any chance of solvency at the end of the period,the marketvalue of commonequityat the beginningof the periodwill be positiveand D/ Ve< 1. Since debt capacity occurs while bankruptcyremains uncertain, the firm's financial structureat its debt capacitywill be less than one-hundredpercentdebt financing. V. OPTIMALFINANCIALSTRUCTURE Differentiating(7) with respectto rD gives dVe dP= r R l [ T(RF-I)RF] Dd drD + TV(b ) drD - T(A-D dV(b) ) dD -( 1-T) dV(B) drD (11) 23. For example,B(rD)= C+ crD if we assumethat the costs of bankruptcyare the sum of a fixed chargeof C dollarsand a variablechargeequalto a fractionc < 1 of X (i.e., B(X) = C + cX). This content downloaded from 141.213.163.112 on Fri, 21 Jun 2013 15:07:18 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions Mean- Varianceof Optimal Capital Structureand CorporateDebt Capacity 55 (11) illustratesthat any change in FD has both a positive and a negativeeffect on marketvalue of the firm.On the one hand, an increasein rD means an increasein the presentvalue of tax savings(PVTS).On the otherhand, it meansan increasein the presentvalue of bankruptcycosts (PVBC). When PD approachesthe minimumpossible value of X, (dD/dPD)-(1/RF), V(b)->O, (dV(b)/dr^D)-*0, and (dV(B)/dPD)--0; hence dVI/dPD would be strictlypositive.That is, an increasein PD means a greaterincreasein PVTS than in PVBC,and hence the marketvalue of the firm increases. When rD is equal to PD, (dD/drPD)= 0, and hence (dV/JdrD) -[T(A -D) (dV(b)/PdrD)+ ( - T) dV(B)/drD ]. If bankruptcyremainsuncertain,an increase in PD increases the probabilityof bankruptcy,and thus both V(b) and V(B) should increase as PD increases,i.e., (dV(b)/drD)>0 and (dV(B)/dPD) >0.24 Since bankruptcyremainsuncertainat the firm's debt capacity,dVl/dPD should be strictlynegative.25That is, at debt capacityan incrementalPD means a positive incrementin PVBCbut a zero incrementin PVTS(i.e., the first termin (11) is zero when(dD/dr^D)= 0), and hence the marketvalue of the firmwill decline. With Ve risingwhen PDis small, and Ve falling when rD is large,theremust be an AD,say rD*, at which dV, /d?D equals zero and Ve attains a maximum,V*. Furthermore,since dV, /dFD is strictlynegativeat PD,rD* shouldbe strictlyless than r^D.rD* is the optimalend-of-periodamount that the firm should promiseto pay its debtholdersin order to maximize V,. Likewise,D*, the amount borrowed by promisingrD*, is the optimalamountto borrow.Since rD* is less than PrD,D* should also be less than D. That is, the optimal capital structure involves less debt financing than the firm's debt capacity. Therefore, a shareholder-wealth-maximizing firm will not maximize its borrowing. Instead, it will search for its optimal capital structure to attain V*. By setting (11) equalto zero,we obtain:26 RF_ 1dD dV(b) R +V(b)] dD(A-D) dFD + I-~T dV(B) T dPD (12) 24. If bankruptcyis certain, V(b)= l/RF and V(B)= {E[B(X)]-X cov[B(X),Rm])/RF, thus, any further increase in rD will not affect V(b) and V(B), i.e., (dV(b)/drD) = 0 and (dV(B)/drD) = 0. 25. If a net-terminal-wealth-tax-structure is assumedand if T representsthe tax rate, differentiation of (7a) [See footnote 17]gives: dVw Td d =D TdD -(l-T) dV(B)i dD (Ila) whichis also negativeat the firm'sdebt capacity. 26. Underthe wealth-tax-system, the optimalcapitalstructureis the rD which satisfies: dD drD 1-T T dV(B drD withoutmakingboth sides of (12a) be equalto zero. This content downloaded from 141.213.163.112 on Fri, 21 Jun 2013 15:07:18 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions (12a) 56 The Journal of Finance The optimal capital structureis the rD which satisfies (12) without making both sidesof (12) be equalto zero.27 VI. NORMAL DISTRIBUTION We have shown that in a perfect capital market where firms are subject to corporateincome taxes and costly bankruptcies,debt capacityoccurs at less than one-hundred-percent debt financingand the optimalcapitalstructureoccursbefore debt capacity.In this section we derive an explicit valuationmodel for risky debt with or withoutbankruptcycosts, and developa simplemethodto approximatethe optimalcapital structure.We assume that (1) X and Rmare normallydistributed; and (2) B(X) in (4) is the sum of a fixed chargeof C dollarsand a variablecharge equalto a fractionc < 1 of X:28 B(X)= C+cX (13) rD=PD(1-b)+bX-B. (14) Substituting(6) into (3) gives: Substituting(14) into both sides of (5), and from E(b)=F(PD) fD Xf(X)dX, it follows that: f D=(rD[I-F(D)]+ and E(bX)= Xf(X)dX+X[PDcov(b,Rm) -cov(bX,Rm)] /RF-V(B). (15) Substituting(B-1), (B-3), and (B-4) of AppendixB into (15) gives: D= [E(rDO)-X cov(X,Rm)F(PD)]/RF- V(B) (16) whereE(rD?)= rD [1- F(rD)]+ E(X)F(rD)- a2f(JD) is the expectedgross dollar returnto debtholdersin the absence of bankruptcycosts. If thereare no bankruptcycosts (i.e., B = 0), (16) providesan explicitpricingmodel for corporatedebt. It also states explicitlythat the risk premium on corporate debt equals the borrowingfirm's operating risk premium, X cov(X,Rm), multiplied by the 27. If bankruptcyis certain,both sides of (12) are equalto zero,but the firm'stotal marketvaluewill be strictly less than V*. This is because dVe/drD stays negative throughoutall rD >rD* until bankruptcybecomescertain:First,we knowfromthe text thatdVe/dPD <0 for rD* < rD < r^D.Second, it also has been shown that, for rD > rD, dD/drD <0 and both dV(b)/drD and dV(B)/drD are positive,and hence,from(11), (dVe /drD) <0 until bankruptcybecomescertain. 28. To be moreprecise,the bankruptcycost may be expressedas: BB ( C+cX X ifC/(l-c)<X<rD if X<C/(l-c), which providesthe debtholdersof a bankruptfirm with limited liability. However,for the sake of brevitywe assume(13). This content downloaded from 141.213.163.112 on Fri, 21 Jun 2013 15:07:18 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions Mean- Varianceof Optimal Capital Structureand CorporateDebt Capacity 57 firm's probability of bankruptcy,F(QD).29The explanation for this measure of risk premium is straightforward. To the extent the firm is not bankrupt, debtholders receive a fixed amount rD which has no systematic relationship with the market. If the firm is bankrupt, debtholders receive X which has a systematic risk of cov(X, Rm) that cannot be diversified away in debtholders' portfolios. Since this systematic risk is relevant to debtholders only to the extent that the firm is bankrupt, the relevant risk is the firm's total systematic risk multiplied by the probability of bankruptcy. With positive bankruptcy costs, (16) shows that market value of risky debt is simply what it would have been in the absence of bankruptcy costs minus the present value of bankruptcy costs. In other words, lenders deduct the ex-ante costs of bankruptcy from the amount they would have lent had there been no bankruptcy costs. Substituting (6) and (13) into (4) gives B = Cb + cXb, which can be substituted into the definition of V(B) in (7) to obtain: V(B)= { CF(PD)+c[E(X )F(D )-a2f(PD)] +X cov(X,Rm)[(C+crD)f(rD)-cF(rD)]}/RF. (17) By substituting (17) into (16), we obtain the formal expression for the pricing of corporate debt with linear bankruptcy costs: D= {r D[1-F(PD)] -CF(PD) +(1-c)[E(X)F(rD)-a2f(D)] -X cov(X,Rm)[(C+crD)f(PD)+(1-c)F(PD)]}/RF. (18) Finally, to provide a method that can be used to search for the optimal capital structure, we solve for the remaining terms in equations (7) and (12). Substituting (B-3) of Appendix B into the definition of V(b) in (7) yields: V(b)= [F(D ) + X cov(X, Rm)f(rD )/RF. (19) Differentiating (17), (18), and (19) with respect to rD yields: PD dV(B) ~DE(X)~ [ D dV(B) =(C+cPD) ]f(PD)/RF l-Xcov(X, Rm) dD trDD) - )[CciD( Ej Xco() (20) ~ ) ~~~~~~ A~~~~ +Xcov(XRm)1/RF, dV(b) drD =f(PD) cov(X mPD1-X COV(XRM) and (21) E(X)R 2 J/RF (22) 29. As the referee pointed out, this result may not depend on the assumption of normal distribution. This content downloaded from 141.213.163.112 on Fri, 21 Jun 2013 15:07:18 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions 58 The Journal of Finance Note that all of the values in (17) through (22) are expressed in terms of f(rD) and F(rD). Thus, if we know the firm-specific and the market-wide parameters, all of the values in (17) through (22) for a given rD can be found by using tables of ordinates and areas of the normal distribution. By trial and error, we can find the rD* which satisfies (12) without making both sides of (12) be equal to zero. The corresponding D* and V* can be obtained from (18) and (7). For a hypothetical bi-variate distribution of X and Rm5 Table 1 contains the numerical values of V(b), V(B), D, P, Vp, D/ VE, V ,30 and D/Vw for various levels of PD. Figure 1 depicts the behavior of D, VeJ,and Vw as a function of PD. From Table 1 and Figure 1 we see, first, that corporate debt capacity occurs prior to a one-hundred percent debt ratio, and any increase in PD beyond rD only decreases the firm's borrowing. Hence, from the firm's perspective, PD > PD is inferior to PD < PD and D > D is infeasible. Second, regardless of whether one assumes income-taxes or wealth-taxes, the firm's value is a strictly concave function of its end-of-period debt obligation with a unique global maximum, and the maximum is reached before debt capacity. TABLE 1 VALUATION EQUATIONS (19), (17), (18), (7), AND (7a) FOR A HYPOTHETICAL BI-VARIATE NORMALDISTRIBUTION;E(X)= 1,300,000, Ux = 300,000, E(Rm)= 1.15, am=.20, pxm =5X A = 1511356365 C=0, c=.4, T=.5, AND RF= 1.05. rD F(z)b za -4.33 -3.5 -3.0 -2.68 -2.5 -2.0 -1.5 -1.02 - 1.0 - .5 0 .5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 0 250,000 400,000 496,000 550,000 700,000 850,000 994,000 1,000,000 1,150,000 1,300,000 1,450,000 1,600,000 1,750,000 1,900,000 2,050,000 2,200,000 2,350,000 az= [rD- .0000 .0002 .0013 .0037 .0062 .0228 .0668 .1539 .1587 .3085 .5000 .6915 .8413 .9332 .9772 .9938 .9987 .9998 f(z)c V(b) V(B) .0000 .0009 .0044 .0110 .0175 .0540 .1295 .2371 .2420 .3521 .3989 .3521 .2420 .1295 .0540 .0175 .0044 .0009 .0000 .0004 .0023 .0061 .0101 .0346 .0945 .2030 .2088 .3776 .5712 .7424 .8589 .9196 .9435 .9506 .9522 .9524 0 12 271 989 1,810 8,069 26,857 67,169 69,450 142,290 237,132 331,083 401,826 442,277 459,627 465,190 466,479 466,672 D 0 238,012 380,445 470818520,985 6545569 769,524 845,613 847,795 874,384 851,277 801,091 752,376 720,789 706,268 701,348 700,137 699,952 d 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.06 1.07 1.10 1.16 1.18 1.32 1.53 1.81 2.13 2.43 2.69 2.92 3.14 3.36 Vee D/ V, 1.1135636 .0000 1,119,120 .2127 1,121,712 .3392 1,122,386 .4195 1,122,138 .4643 1,117,238 .5859 1,102,263 .6981 1,072,973 .7901 1,071,335 .7913 1,018,131 .8588 940,401 .9052 851,144 .9412 775,486 .9702 729,021 .9887 708,456 .9969 701,773 .9994 700,193 .9999 699,968 1.0000 E(X)]/ ox representsthe standardizedrD. b F(z) = F(rD) is the probabilityof bankruptcy. representsthe standardizednormaldensity. dr=(PD)/D is one plus the promisedinterestrate. eNote that Vu= [(1 - T)E(X) + A T- X( - T) cov(X, Rm)]/ RFcf(z)= =afj(D) fSee footnotes 17, 25, and 26, and note that V7=[(1 - T)E(X)-(1 - T)COV(X,Rm)]/RF. 30. See footnotes 17, 25, and 26. This content downloaded from 141.213.163.112 on Fri, 21 Jun 2013 15:07:18 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions V D/ Ve 583,333 .0000 702,333 .3389 773,420 .4919 818,248 .5754 842,921 .6181 9065583 .7220 954,667 .8061 972,555 .8695 972,506 .8718 949,380 .9210 890,406 .9561 818,337 .9789 758,608 .9918 722,589 .9975 706,654 .9995 701,412 .9999 700,162 1.0000 699,973 1.0000 Mean-Varianceof Optimal Capital Structureand CorporateDebt Capacity 59 Third, while with wealth-taxesthe differencebetween the marketvalue of the firmat its optimalcapitalstructureand the marketvalue of the unleveredfirm(i.e., Vw) is significantly large, the counterpart with income taxes (i.e., V* - V.) is -W ratherinsignificant.While both interestand principalpaymentsof corporatedebt are tax-deductibleunder wealth-taxes,only interest payments are tax-deductible under income-taxes.Hence, the tax-advantageof debt financingis much greater with wealth-taxesthan with income-taxes,which in turn, implies a much steeper slope for V' than V, before they reach maximumvalues at the optimal capital structure.On the other hand, government'sshare of the firm is greater with wealth-taxesthan with income-taxes,and thus the initial value for Vw (i.e., Vu) is smallerthan the initial value for V, (i.e., V.). These two alternativetax structuresrepresentthe two opposite extremecases. w I.0 _ .? 0.9 iV 0.8 z 0.6 0 -J 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.I 0 D 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 MILLIONDOLLARS FIGURE 1. D, Ve, and V, as a functionof rD for a hypotheticalbi-variatenormaldistribution; E(X)= 1,300,000,AX=300,000, E(Rm)= 1.15,a. =.20, Pxm.5, A=1,113,636, C=0, c=.4, T=.5, and RF= 1.05 This content downloaded from 141.213.163.112 on Fri, 21 Jun 2013 15:07:18 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions 60 The Journalof Finance With income-taxesthe market value of- the tax subsidy derives from the taxdeductibilityof only the one-periodinterest payment; but with wealth-taxesthe marketvalue of the tax,subsidyis equivalentto the value associatedwith perpetual interestpaymentsunderan income-taxstructure[See footnote 18].Therefore,these two alternativetax cases in a singleperiodframeworkprovidethe upperand lower bounds for the marketvalue of the tax subsidyand hence for the optimal capital structurein a multi-periodworld with an income-tax. VII. CONCLUSION This paperhas shown that, in a perfect capital marketwhere firms are subjectto income taxes and costly bankruptcies,debt capacity occurs at less than onedebt financingand firmsdo have optimalcapitalstructureswhich hundred-percent involveless debt financingthan theirdebt capacities.The marketvalue of the firm increases for low levels of debt and decreases as financial leverage becomes extreme. With linear bankruptcy costs, a simple method to approximatethe optimal capital structurewas derived. A numericalexample using this method shows that the marketvalue of the firm is a strictlyconcave function of its total end-of-perioddebt obligationswith a uniqueglobal maximum. This is essentiallythe same as the traditionalist'sposition on the relationship between the value of the firm and corporatefinancial leverage.We have shown that the traditionalist'sargumentfollows from the MM logic by allowing for the existence of corporateincome taxes and bankruptcycost. However, there are fundamental differences between the approach taken in this paper and the traditionalist'sapproach to the valuation of firms: While the traditionalist's approach is based on the notion that valuation of firms can be explained by consideringsecuritiesin isolation from the rest of the capital market, our conclusions are derived within a theoretical frameworkbased on capital market equilibrium. APPENDIX A CorporateDebt Capacity With BankruptcyCosts and Normally DistributedX To prove that corporatedebt capacity is reached before bankruptcybecomes certain,we must show that there exists a finite PD at which (10) equals zero (the first-ordercondition) and the market value of debt, D, is at its maximum(the second-ordercondition). Since at very low rD, (dD/dPD)1/RF>0, if (dD/dPD)<0 for a large finite rD, (10) must equal zero at a finite PD. As PD increases,B(rD) increases and a2/[PD - E(X)] decreases. Hence, BQ(D)> U2/[PD - E(X)] for a sufficiently large PD. But for a normally distributedrandom variable, we know the following inequality[Feller(1968, p. 175)]: - E f (D ) > 1- F(D), for PD > E(x). This content downloaded from 141.213.163.112 on Fri, 21 Jun 2013 15:07:18 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions (A- i) Mean-Varianceof Optimal Capital Structureand CorporateDebt Capacity 61 Thus, theremust exist a finite rD at which: < such that dPD <? faD>2-(P)dD -PDE(X) f(rD)> 1-F(rD) B(rD)f(rD)> To show that the second-orderconditionis satisfied,we differentiate(10) with respectto PD. Noting that (df(D)/ dD) =-((rD - E(X))/l2) f(rD) for a normal distribution, D dd2D f(rD )- -[ PD -E(X) ( 'R f (rD ) R d(PD) B(PD )f (rD ) + dBP A2 (A-2) Since (dB(?D)/dPD)>0 [See (4)], the second derivative is clearly negative if into PD< E(X). Substitutingthe first-ordercondition, B(rD)f(rD)=l-F(PD), (A-2) yields: d2D drDI| dpD2 PD=P [J\f FDE()dB(?)~ =-[f(rD)_ I [1-F(PD)]+ \u f('D) dPD jrij(A3 (A-3) If PD > E(X), (A-3) is also negativebecauseof (A-I). Thus, D is maximizedat PD. APPENDIX B Determination of Partial Means and Partial Covariances When X and Rm are Normally Distributed From Winkler,Roodman,and Britney'sequation(3.4) (1972, p. 294), we obtain the partialmean of X, rD f Xf(X )dX = E(X )F(PD ) - 2f (PD). (B-1) 00 The covariancebetweenb and Rm, cov(b, Rm)= E(bRm)-E(b rD =AfrDf(X , 0, )[0 )E(Rm) Rmg(Rm|X)dRm-E(Rm) dX. BXtheorem,the conditionalmean of Rm for a given value of X, fr?ooRmg(Rm X) [See Mood and Graybill (1963, p. dRm=E(Rm)+cov(X,Rm)[X-E(X)]/var(X) 202)].Therefore, rD d] Xf(X )dX- Cov(b,Rm)=cov(X, Rm)A E(X )F(r^D )/x -00 This content downloaded from 141.213.163.112 on Fri, 21 Jun 2013 15:07:18 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions (B-2) 62 The Journal of Finance Substituting(B-i) into (B-2) gives: cov(b, Rm) cov(X, Rm)f(rD). 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