Market Analysis
Video
Game
Consoles
Market Forecasts 2016
February 2016
Video Game Console Market 2016
Table of Contents
CONDITIONS OF PURCHASE ................................................................................................... 2
ABOUT THIS REPORT ................................................................................................................ 3
TABLE OF CONTENTS ............................................................................................................... 4
INDEX OF TABLES ...................................................................................................................... 5
I.
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY .................................................................................................... 7
II.
A.
B.
C.
D.
E.
F.
III.
A.
B.
C.
D.
E.
IV.
CONSOLE SYSTEM OVERVIEW ............................................................................... 14
NINTENDO WII U .............................................................................................................. 20
SONY PLAYSTATION 4 ...................................................................................................... 23
MICROSOFT XBOX ONE .................................................................................................... 28
STEAM MACHINE .............................................................................................................. 34
NVIDIA SHIELD/ANDROID TV .......................................................................................... 36
NINTENDO NX .................................................................................................................. 37
CONSOLE SYSTEM FORECASTS .............................................................................. 39
MICROSOFT GAME SYSTEMS ............................................................................................ 39
NINTENDO GAME SYSTEMS .............................................................................................. 41
SONY GAME SYSTEMS ...................................................................................................... 43
WORLDWIDE GENERATION 6 GAME SYSTEM MARKET FORECASTS ............................... 45
WORLDWIDE GENERATION 7 GAME SYSTEM MARKET FORECASTS ............................... 57
CONSOLES AND ONLINE GAME REVENUE .......................................................... 70
A. OVERVIEW ........................................................................................................................ 70
B. CONSOLES GO ONLINE ..................................................................................................... 73
C. GOING ONLINE: THE GOOD, THE BAD AND THE UGLY ................................................... 76
V. ONLINE CONSOLE GAME BUSINESS MODELS ........................................................ 79
A. OVERVIEW ........................................................................................................................ 79
B. DEFINITIONS ..................................................................................................................... 81
C. CONSOLE BUSINESS MODELS ........................................................................................... 84
VI.
A.
B.
C.
D.
FORECASTS FOR ONLINE CONSOLE REVENUE ................................................. 94
OVERVIEW ........................................................................................................................ 94
TOTAL CONSOLE ONLINE REVENUE ................................................................................ 94
SUBSCRIPTION/ONLINE USAGE REVENUE ...................................................................... 100
DIGITAL DISTRIBUTION REVENUE.................................................................................. 105
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©2016 DFC Intelligence. Individual use only. Redistribution requires a site license.
Video Game Console Market 2016
Index of Tables
Table 1 Worldwide Console Hardware Unit Sales by Generation: 2009-2020 ............................. 8
Table 2 Worldwide Console Hardware Revenue by Generation: 2009-2020 ................................. 9
Table 3 Worldwide Console Software Retail Unit Sales by Generation: 2009-2020 .................. 10
Table 4 Worldwide Console Software Retail Revenue by Generation: 2009-2020 ...................... 11
Table 5 Worldwide Console Software Online Revenue by Generation: 2009-2020 .................... 12
Table 6 Worldwide Console Total Retail & Online Game Revenue by Generation: 2009-2020 13
Table 8 Video Game Console Generations .................................................................................... 15
Table 9 Worldwide Total Hardware Sales by Manufacturer and Generation ................................ 16
Table 10 Console System Comparison ........................................................................................... 18
Table 11 Nintendo Worldwide Total Hardware Sales ................................................................... 20
Table 12 Sony Worldwide Total Hardware Sales .......................................................................... 25
Table 13 Microsoft Worldwide Total Hardware Sales ................................................................... 30
Table 14 Forecast for Nintendo NX Hardware Sales by Region: 2012-2020 ................................ 38
Table 15 Microsoft Xbox 360 Hardware Unit Sales by Region: 2005-2020 ................................. 39
Table 16 Forecast for Microsoft Xbox One Game System by Region: 2012-2020 ....................... 39
Table 17 Nintendo Wii Hardware Unit Sales by Region: 2005-2020 ............................................ 41
Table 18 Forecast for Nintendo Wii U by Region: 2012-2020 ...................................................... 41
Table 19 Sony PlayStation 3 Hardware Unit Sales by Region: 2005-2020 ................................... 43
Table 20 Sony PlayStation 4 Hardware Unit Sales by Region: 2012-2020 ................................... 43
Table 21 Forecasts for Worldwide Hardware Unit Sales of Generation 6 Game Systems: 20052020 ................................................................................................................................................ 45
Table 22 Forecasts for Worldwide Hardware Revenue of Generation 6 Game Systems: 2005-2020
........................................................................................................................................................ 47
Table 23 Forecasts for Worldwide Software Unit Sales of Generation 6 Game Systems: 20052020 ................................................................................................................................................ 48
Table 24 Forecasts for Worldwide Console Retail Game Revenue of Generation 6: 2005-2020.. 48
Table 25 Forecasts for Worldwide Online Game Revenue of Generation 6 Game Systems: 20082020 ................................................................................................................................................ 50
Table 26 Forecasts for Total Online and Retail Game Revenue of Generation 6 Game Systems:
2008-2020 ....................................................................................................................................... 51
Table 27 Forecasts for Total Worldwide Generation 6 Game Systems Market: 2008-2020 ......... 52
Table 28 Active Worldwide Installed Base of Generation 6 Game Systems: 2005-2020 ............. 54
Table 29 Cumulative Worldwide Installed Base of Generation 6 Game Systems: 2005-2020 ..... 54
Table 30 Forecasts for Worldwide Hardware Unit Sales of Generation 7 Game Systems: 20122020 ................................................................................................................................................ 57
Table 31 Forecasts for Worldwide Hardware Revenue of Generation 7 Game Systems: 2012-2020
........................................................................................................................................................ 58
Table 32 Forecasts for Worldwide Software Retail Unit Sales of Generation 7 Game Systems:
2012-2020 ....................................................................................................................................... 59
Table 33 Forecasts for Worldwide Software Retail Revenue of Generation 7 Game Systems:
2012-2020 ....................................................................................................................................... 60
Table 34 Forecasts for Worldwide Online Game Revenue of Generation 7 Game Systems: 20122020 ................................................................................................................................................ 61
Table 35 Forecasts for Total Online and Retail Game Revenue of Generation 7 Game Systems:
2012-2020 ....................................................................................................................................... 62
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©2016 DFC Intelligence. Individual use only. Redistribution requires a site license.
Video Game Console Market 2016
Table 36 Forecasts for Total Worldwide Generation 7 Retail Game Systems Market: 2012-2020
........................................................................................................................................................ 63
Table 37 Total Worldwide Hardware and Retail & Online Game Software Sales for Generation 7:
2012-2020 ....................................................................................................................................... 65
Table 38 Active Worldwide Installed Base of Generation 7 Game Systems: 2012-2020 ............. 67
Table 39 Cumulative Worldwide Installed Base of Generation 7 Game Systems: 2012-2020 ..... 67
Table 7 Game Monetization Categories ......................................................................................... 71
Table 40 Worldwide Console Game Software: Retail vs Online Sales: 2008-2020 ...................... 85
Table 42 Call of Duty DLC ............................................................................................................ 87
Table 44 Worldwide Packaged versus Online Revenue for Current Console Systems: 2012-2020
........................................................................................................................................................ 94
Table 45 North America Packaged versus Online Revenue for New Console Systems: 2012-2020
........................................................................................................................................................ 96
Table 46 Europe Packaged versus Online Revenue for New Console Systems: 2012-2020 ......... 97
Table 47 Japan Packaged versus Online Revenue for New Console Systems: 2012-2020 ........... 98
Table 48 Rest of World Packaged versus Online Revenue for New Console Systems: 2012-2020
........................................................................................................................................................ 99
Table 49 Worldwide Console Game Subscription/Online Usage Revenue: 2012-2020 .............. 100
Table 50 North America Console Game Subscription/Online Usage Revenue: 2012-2020 ........ 101
Table 51 Europe Console Game Subscription/Online Usage Revenue: 2012-2020 .................... 102
Table 52 Japan Console Game Subscription/Online Usage Revenue: 2012-2020 ....................... 103
Table 53 Rest of World Console Game Subscription/Online Usage Revenue: 2012-2020 ......... 104
Table 54 Worldwide Console Game Digital Distribution Revenue: 2012-2020 ......................... 105
Table 55 North America Console Game Digital Distribution Revenue: 2012-2020 ................... 106
Table 56 Europe Console Game Digital Distribution Revenue: 2012-2020 ................................ 107
Table 57 Japan Console Game Digital Distribution Revenue: 2012-2020 .................................. 108
Table 58 Rest of World Console Game Digital Distribution Revenue: 2012-2020 ..................... 109
Published by DFC Intelligence
www.dfcint.com
858.834.4340
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©2016 DFC Intelligence. Individual use only. Redistribution requires a site license.