COA 3 analysis briefing

Re-stated CTF Mission
 When directed, CTF Meng Rai conduct
HA/DR in the Combined Ops Area in
support of RTARF to restore stability
and reduce human suffering in order to
transition relief effort to Government of
Thailand.
Essential Tasks
 Re-establish border control
– RTARF (Geographical consideration)
 Gain & maintain stability (of DP Camps)
 Assist with security, shelter, medical, food and log support
for Displaced Persons as required
–
CTF’s main focus is HA/DR
–
Local security provided by RTARF
–
Need to assess NGOs’ capabilities/limitations
 Establish ROE
 Gain & Maintain Information Superiority
COA # 3 Concepts of Ops
 MNF deploy to Thailand arriving thru
UTAPAO where they RSO & I to
Combined Ops Area
 CTF is stood up at 3rd Army Region
 Regional Task Forces are formed
 Forces are allocated based on HA/DR
needs
 Seamless Transition
COA # 3 FEATURES
 4 Sectors based around 3rd Army Region/
Provincial Boundaries & APOD’s
 Echelons of CMOC’s at CTF & Regional TF’s
CTF HQ in Phitsanoluk
 Optimizes RTAF, GOT and NGO’s Capabilities
 Regional Task Forces organized based on
needs assessment
 National forces allocated as per unique skills
COA # 3 Phases
 Phase I: Pre- Deployment
 Phase II : Deployment
 Phase III : Conduct HA/DR Ops
 Phase IV : Transition/Re-deployment
COA # 3 Phase I
 Phase I: Pre- Deployment
– Assessment by Adv Parties: Expert Tms from various
agencies/nations arrive to assess needs
– Prep for movement. Force protection briefs.
– Thai Army Forces along border remain in place
– Border Control established by RTARF reinforcements
– Info Ops commence
– Preventive medicine
COA # 3 Phase II
 Phase II : Deployment
– CTF Rear at UTAPAO
– Reception, Staging, Onward movement &
Integration (RSO & I), conducted by RTARF
Central Command
COA # 3 Phase III
 Phase III : Conduct HA/DR Ops
– Support NGOs / IGOs / Host Nation / RTARF

Delivery & distribution of Relief Supplies
Construction of Tents/Shelters
Provide curative medical treatment to DPs
Repairs of key infrastructures
Identify and categorize the needs of DPs
Collection of data to support Measurement of Effectiveness

Production & distribution of water
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Conduct synchronized Info Ops
Establish a combined Info Bureau
Provide security as required
Establish Quick Reaction Force
COA # 3 Phase IV
 Phase IV : Transition & Redeployment
– Complete Training &Transfer of CMOC ops to RTARF
– Coordinate transition of support to RTG, UN,
NGOs & IGOs
Exit Strategy
 Establish Transition Team from Phase I
to develop and implement a dynamic
Transition Plan
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CTF Elements
RTARF
NGO’s, IGO’s, UN
Diplomatic Representatives
CTF Meng Rai
Task Organization
CTF MENG RAI
CHIEF OF STAFF
PERSONAL/SPECIAL STAFF
COORDINATING STAFF
CMOC
Regional Task Forces
TF Chiang Mai
TF MHS
TF Chiang Rai
TF Phits
Components
CARFOR
CAFFOR
CNAVFOR
CMARFOR
CTF
Chiang
Rai
Intel Update
• Chieng Rai
• Mae Hongsorn
• Payao
• Chieng Mai
CTF
MHS
CTF
Chiang
Mai
• Lampang
• Uttarasdit
CTF
Pitsanulok
• Tak
• Pitsanulok
IDP Camp
DP Camp
CTF
Chiang
Rai
COA # 3
• Chieng Rai
TF MHS
2nd Cav Regt (RTA)
Engr Co (Fiji)
Engr Co (India)
Med Bn (India)
Med Tm (Mdg)
Inf Bn (ROK)
Inf Co (Aust)
• Mae Hongsorn
• Payao
• Chieng Mai
CTF
MHS
CTF
Chiang
Mai
• Lampang
TF PITSANULOK
3rd Army HQ (RTA)
4th Inf Regt (RTA)
Engr Plt (Nepal)
Med Tm (France)
RLC Sqn (UK)
Sig Plt (Nepal)
Inf Bn (Fiji)
31st MEU (US)
9th TSC (US)
3rd Army Sp Comd (US)
1-1 SFGA (US)
TF CHIANG RAI
17th Inf Regt (RTA)
Engr Plt (Tonga, ROK)
Med Tm (ROK)
Med Tm (Nepal)
Inf Co (Nepal)
Inf Co (Mongolia)
Air Tpt Hospital (US)
TF CHIANG MAI
7th Inf Regt (RTA)
Engr Co (UK)
SAR & Dog Tm (UK)
Field Hospital (France)
Med Plt (Singapore)
Med Tm (Mongolia)
Inf Bn (Malaysia)
Inf Plt (Tonga)
633rd AMSS (TALCE)
• Uttarasdit
CTF
Pitsanulok
• Tak
• Pitsanulok
IDP Camp
DP Camp
Helos
COA #3 - Air Bases
Helos
C130
Helos
Utapao
C5
C17
CVH (RTN)
LST (RTN)
2 x Bell 212
1 x LHD (US)
1 x LSD (US)
1 x LPD (US)
Flt Surg Tm
Review of CTF Assumptions
 No known minefields on border area w/Haloa - FFIR
 No insurgents in border area - PIR
 MNF can carry small arms for force protection - RFI
 Mission is 90 days or less
 CTF can use over-flight rights over Haloa - RFI
 Cannot commit MNF into Haloa - Policy in place
 Pursuit across Haloa border is not allowed - Policy
 Displaced persons in camps will increase with success
of HA - PIR
Review of CTF Assumptions
 US & UK will provide strategic lift for smaller nations if
required - RTSC to coord
 Comms - CTF to coord
– MSQ-126 will be provided
– Tactical communications only initial reliable means of comm
– Countries will provide comm to C2 their organic units
– Comms with non-military organisations would be resolved
 Civil Affairs - PIR
– Displaced persons flow from Haloa will continue until border
is secured
COA 3 CRITICAL EVENTS
 Initial Assessment
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Consequences
Counter-Actions
Assets
Time
Decision Point
CCIR
COA 3 CRITICAL EVENTS
 MNF RSO & I
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Consequences
Counter-Actions
Assets
Time
Decision Point
CCIR
COA 3 CRITICAL EVENTS
 Establishment of Border Control
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Consequences
Counter-Actions
Assets
Time
Decision Point
CCIR
COA 3 CRITICAL EVENTS
 Epidemic Control
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Consequences
Counter-Actions
Assets
Time
Decision Point
CCIR
COA 3 CRITICAL EVENTS
 Establish Air Traffic Control in Combined
Ops Area
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Consequences
Counter-Actions
Assets
Time
Decision Point
CCIR
COA 3 CRITICAL EVENTS
 Establish CMOCs
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Consequences
Counter-Actions
Assets
Time
Decision Point
CCIR
COA 3 CRITICAL EVENTS
 Establish Distribution Network
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Consequences
Counter-Actions
Assets
Time
Decision Point
CCIR
COA 3 CRITICAL EVENTS
 Establish Order in DP Camps
– Consequences
– Counter-Actions
 Movt
& Screening DP to new camps
 Info
– Assets
– Time
– Decision Point
 When
– CCIR
to deploy QRF?
COA 3 CRITICAL EVENTS
 Implement Transition Plan
– Consequences
– Counter-Actions
 Quantifiable
MOEs
 Data collection and verification of MOEs
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–
–
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Assets
Time
Decision Point
CCIR
COURSE OF ACTION #3
 ADVANTAGES:
–
 DISADVANTAGES:
COA # 3 - Decision Points
 Phase I : Pre- Deployment
 Phase II : Deployment
 Phase III : Conduct HA/DR Ops
 Phase IV : Transition/Re-deployment
INITIAL FORCE STRUCTURE
ANALYSIS
•SHORTFALL
• COMMUNICATION (MSQ - 126) - Assumed CTF Coord
• SOF RIVERINE CRAFTS
• INSUFFICIENT GROUND TRANSPORTATION ASSETS
• AIRBORNE RADIO BROADCAST PLATFORM
• FOOD INSPECTION ASSETS
• PREVENTIVE MEDICINE
• COUNTER-INTEL ASSETS
• LINGUISTS (NORTHERN THAI DIALECTS)
KNOWN FACTS, STATUS,
CONDITIONS.
AIRFIELDS
•BANGKOK INTL
•U-TA-PAO INTL
•CHIANG MAI INTL
•CHIANG RAI INTL
•MAESOT
•MAE HONG SON
•LAMPANG
•PHRAE
•TAK
C-5
C-5
C-5
C-5
C-130
C-130
C-130
C-130
C-130
KNOWN FACTS, STATUS,
CONDITIONS
SEAPORTS
• BANGKOK
• LAM CHABANG
• SATTAHIP
Results of Analysis

Identification of advantages and disadvantages of
each friendly COA

Identification of additional assets required (if any)

Refinements or modifications to the COA

Risks and actions to reduce the risk at each
geographic location or functional event

Adjustments to any established control measures
Analysis Results (cont)

Deployment requirements

Synchronization requirements

Estimate of the duration of critical events as
well as the operation as a whole

Required support from outside of the CTF

Requirements for logistic support

Clear picture of command relationships

branches and sequels
Analysis Results (cont)

Critical information required to support decision
points

Additional commander’s decision points

Measures of effectiveness for each phase

Areas of high interest for reconnaissance,
surveillance

Identification of component tasks

Task Organization requirements
COA 3 Risk Assessment
Phase 1 Predeployment
– Risk: Inappropriate forces
– Mitigation: Detailed assessment
– Risk: Unfavorable media coverage
– Mitigation: Positive message projected
Phase 2 Deployment
– Risk: Bottleneck of traffic
– Mitigation: Maximize use of civilian airports and
alternate means of transport
– Risk: Wrong aid at wrong place and wrong time
– Mitigation: Close coordination with GOT and
NGOs
COA 3 Risk Assessment
 Phase 3 Conduct HA/DR OPS
– Risk: Inadequate force protection
 Bandits/criminals
threaten CTF forces
 Health, nutrition disease.
– Mitigation:
 Rapid
notification to Thai security forces.
 Robust medical services and support and open
dialogue with NGOs / local red cross/crescent
 Phase 4 Transition / Redeployment
– Risk: Thai military is not prepared to assume
full responsibility for HA / DR effort
COA 3 Risk Assessment
Phase 4 Transition / Redeployment
– Mitigation: Determine problem early, notify NCA
authority, bolster Thai forces as appropriate.
– Risk: NGOs are not able to provide for their own
security (e.g. due to riots etc.)
– Mitigation: Consider funding effort to provide
contract security.
Bottom Line: Residual risk of COA 3 is acceptable.
COA 3
AAR
(MPAT TE-2)
SUSTAIN
• MULTILATERAL, VICE UNILATERAL,
DEVELOPMENT OF MISSION SOLUTIONS
• UNDERSTANDING OF A COMMON
APPROACH TO A MISSION SOLUTION
• CRISIS ACTION PLANNING
• MPAT
IMPROVE
• COA DEVELOPMENT PROCEDURES
• STEP BY STEP PROCESS TO FOLLOW
• UNDERSTANDING OF EXISTING HOST
NATION ‘s (CIV/MIL) STRUCTURE WHICH
MULTINATIONAL FORCES ARE
AUGMENTING/SUPPORTING
DISCUSSION
• Civilian leadership should always be in
charge with military supporting
• Common operating procedures
increases this efficiency
• Host nation govt institute procedures
with host nation mil -- MNF have
direct coord with host nation mil
DISCUSSION
IFRC
NGO
UN
Host Nation Mil
MNF
Host Nation Govt