Chapter 2 Evaluating a Firm’s External Environment 2-1 After we complete this chapter you should have an understanding of the following: 1) why external analysis is a critical element of the strategic management process, 2) how to do an effective external analysis, and 3) what to do in response to external analysis. 2-2 Why External Analysis? External analysis allows firms to: • discover threats and opportunities • see if above normal profits are likely in an industry • better understand the nature of competition in an industry • make more informed strategic choices 2-3 General External Environment Technological Change Specific International Events Demographic Trends Entry Complementors Rivalry Focal Firm Buyers Legal/Political Conditions Industry Suppliers Substitutes Cultural Trends Economic Climate 2-4 General External Environment Technological Change Specific International Events Shift to Smart Phones European Union Ban on Hormone-Treated U.S. Beef Demographic Trends Hispanic Population Growth Focal Firm Changing Policy toward Oil Exploration on Public Lands Legal/Political Conditions Changing Image of SUV’s Falling Interest Rates Cultural Trends Economic Climate 2-5 Industry Analysis Model of Environmental Threats (aka Porter’s 5 Forces) Entry/New Competition Buyer Influence Industry Rivalry/Existing Competition Focal Firm Threat Supplier Leverage Substitute Products Higher Threat Lower Average Profits 2-6 Model of Environmental Threats Threat of Entry/New Competition • if firms can easily enter the industry, any above normal profits will be bid away quickly • barriers to entry lower the threat of entry • barriers to entry make an industry more attractive 2-7 Model of Environmental Threats Threat of Entry/New Competition Barriers to Entry: • economies of scale • product differentiation • cost advantages independent of scale • government policies 2-8 Model of Environmental Threats Threat of Rivalry/Existing Competition • high rivalry means firms compete vigorously—and compete away above average profits Industry conditions that facilitate rivalry: • large numbers of competitors • slow or declining growth • high fixed costs and/or high storage costs • low product differentiation • industry capacity can only be added in large increments 2-9 Model of Environmental Threats Threat of Substitute Products • substitutes fill the same need but in a different way 2-10 Model of Environmental Threats Threat of Supplier Leverage • powerful suppliers can ‘squeeze’, lower the profits of the focal firm Industry conditions that facilitate supplier power: • small number of firms in supplier’s industry • highly differentiated product • lack of close substitutes for suppliers’ products • supplier could integrate forward • focal firm is an insignificant customer of supplier 2-11 Model of Environmental Threats Threat of Buyer Influence • powerful buyers can ‘squeeze’ (lower profits) the focal firm by demanding lower prices and/or higher levels of quality and service Industry conditions that facilitate buyer power: • small number of buyers for focal firm’s output • lack of a differentiated product • the product is significant to the buyer 2-12 Model of Environmental Threats Threat of Buyer Influence Industry conditions that facilitate buyer power: • buyers operate in a competitive market—they are not earning above normal profits • buyers can vertically integrate backwards • many small buyers can be united around an issue to act as a block 2-13 Model of Environmental Threats Entry/New Competition Buyer Influence Industry Rivalry/Existing Competition Focal Firm Threat Supplier Leverage If all threats are high If all threats are low Substitute Products expect normal profits expect above normal profits Most industries are somewhere between the extremes 2-14 Complementors As Another Force Complementors Increase the Value of the Focal Firms Product • customers perceive more value in the focal firm’s product when it is combined with the complementor’s product • complementors may be found outside the focal firm’s industry Example: iPhone & Apps 2-15 Responding to Environmental Threats Neutralizing Threats • most firms cannot unilaterally change the threats in an industry • by altering relationships in an industry, firms may reduce threats and/or create opportunities, thereby increasing profits Examples: Regional Healthcare System, and a Building Contractor 2-16 Exploiting Industry Structure Opportunities Generic Industry Structures • at any point in time, the structure of most industries fits into one of four generic categories • each industry structure presents opportunities that may be exploited • firms can choose to exploit an industry structure, continue business as usual, or exit the industry 2-17 Exploiting Industry Structure Opportunities Fragmented Industry Structure Industry Characteristics • large number of small firms • no dominant firms Opportunity Consolidation • buy competitors • no dominant technology • build market power • commodity type products • exploit economies of scale • low barriers to entry • few, if any, economies of scale 2-18 Exploiting Industry Structure Opportunities Emerging Industry Structure Industry Characteristics Opportunity • new industry based on break through technology or product First mover advantages • no product standard has been reached • locking-up assets • no dominant firm has emerged • creating switching costs • technology standard • new customers come from nonconsumption not from competitors 2-19 Exploiting Industry Structure Opportunities Mature Industry Structure Industry Characteristics • slowing growth in demand Opportunities Refine current products • technology standard exists • improve service • increasing international competition • process innovation • industry-wide profits declining • industry exit is beginning 2-20 Exploiting Industry Structure Opportunities Declining Industry Structure Industry Characteristics • industry sales have sustained pattern of decline • some well-established firms have exited • firms have stopped investing in maintenance Opportunities • Market leadership • Niche • Harvest • Divest 2-21 Some Final Thoughts on External Analysis • External analysis is a necessary precursor to making informed strategic choices • External analysis helps firms recognize threats and opportunities • External analysis helps firms avoid making poor resource commitments and increases the probability of enjoying competitive advantage 2-22
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