Journal of International Business Studies (2010) 41, 567–586 & 2010 Academy of International Business All rights reserved 0047-2506 www.jibs.net An evolutionary approach to understanding international business activity: The co-evolution of MNEs and the institutional environment John Cantwell1, John H Dunning2 and Sarianna M Lundan3 1 Department of Management & Global Business, Rutgers Business School, Rutgers University, Newark, USA; 2Department of Economics, University of Reading, Reading, UK; 3 Department of Organization and Strategy, School of Business and Economics, Maastricht University, Maastricht, The Netherlands Correspondence: SM Lundan, Department of Organization and Strategy, School of Business and Economics, Maastricht University, PO Box 616, 6200 MD Maastricht, The Netherlands. Tel: þ 31 43 3883776; Fax: þ 31 43 3884893; E-mail: [email protected] Abstract This paper examines the co-evolution of MNE activities and institutions external and internal to the firm. We develop a theoretical framework for this analysis that draws on the more recent writings of Douglass North on institutions as a response to complex forms of uncertainty associated with the rise in global economic interconnectedness, and of Richard Nelson on the co-evolution of technology and institutions. We link historical changes in the character of MNE activities to changes in the institutional environment, and highlight the scope for firm-level creativity and institutional entrepreneurship that may lead to co-evolution with the environment. We argue that the main drivers for institutional entrepreneurship are now found in the increasing autonomy of MNE subsidiaries. Thus MNE agency derives from more decentralized forms of experimentation in international corporate networks, which competencecreating nodes of new initiatives can co-evolve with local institutions. Unlike most other streams of related literature, our approach connects patterns of institutional change in wider business systems with more micro processes of variety generation and experimentation within and across individual firms. This form of co-evolutionary analysis is increasingly important to understanding the interrelationships between MNE activities and public policy. Journal of International Business Studies (2010) 41, 567–586. doi:10.1057/jibs.2009.95 Keywords: theory of FDI and the MNE; institutional theory; evolutionary economics; historical adaptation Received: 15 March 2008 Revised: 12 September 2009 Accepted: 21 September 2009 Online publication date: 24 December 2009 INTRODUCTION This paper presents a theoretical framework to account for the dynamic configuration of the activities of multinational enterprises (MNEs), and the interplay between such activities and the evolution of institutions external and internal to the firm. We shall argue that a driving force in this evolutionary process is the way in which MNEs adjust their strategies and structures to counter uncertainty and complexity in the development of their own activities and in their environment. At a general level, our argument follows the wider principles articulated in various strands of the recent literature, which has proposed that firms co-evolve with their environment. Organization theory has long explored the processes of adaptation and selection, or the extent to which firms are selected in or out based The co-evolution of MNEs and the institutional environment John Cantwell et al 568 on their viability in a particular competitive environment, and the extent to which firms engage in adaptive responses to maintain or enhance their viability. This literature has tended to approach institutions in terms of isomorphism, that is, the extent to which coercive, mimetic and normative pressures push firms to adopt similar structures and strategies, particularly in pursuit of legitimacy. The contribution of co-evolutionary organizational theorists has been to suggest that there is not a clearcut choice between managerial adaptation and environmental selection, but that both processes occur simultaneously and influence each other (Baum & Singh, 1994; Lewin & Volberda, 1999; Volberda & Lewin, 2003). In the international business (IB) context, Westney (2009) has argued that weak selection regimes, in which firms representing a wider variety of organizational forms can learn and adapt sufficiently to survive, tend to increase the overall adaptability of a system when the environment changes in ways that favor formerly niche activities. Meanwhile, social network analysts have shown how firms react differentially to the opportunities created by the network structure in their environment (Powell, Koput, & Smith-Doerr, 1996), including structural holes (Burt, 1992; Walker, Kogut, & Shan, 1997), and in doing so change the structure of the network. Literature in each of these different streams has focused on the issues of adaptation and co-evolution in relation to competitor firms in an industry-specific environment, or between populations or communities of firms in connected industries (Aldrich & Ruef, 2006; Sørenson, 2004), but it has generally not paid much attention to the broader institutional environment within which firms operate. By contrast, the literature on business systems has explored in detail how economies are organized in terms of labor market institutions, capital market institutions and patterns of ownership, resulting in different typologies of ideal types of capitalism (Hall & Soskice, 2001; Whitley, 1999). Much of this literature has been focused on examining the opportunities and constraints presented by an uneven institutional landscape, and it has largely ignored the active agency of firms, and particularly that of MNEs, in adjusting to and affecting institutional change. The literatures on national innovation systems (Dosi, 1999; Freeman, 1995; Murmann, 2003), regional innovation systems (Cooke, 2001; Freeman, 2002) and sectoral innovation systems (Malerba, 2004) likewise reason in Journal of International Business Studies terms of the interrelationships between firms and their wider environments, but again they tend to stress environment-level and collective determinants of systemic change, rather than the effects of a variety of differentiated firm-level initiatives on the wider environment. In order to be able to present an integrative framework for a topic as broad and complex as the co-evolution of MNEs and institutions, we have adopted an approach that borrows from the recent contributions of two noted scholars: North (1990, 2005) in economic history, and Nelson (2002, 2003, 2007) in evolutionary economics. In both cases we feel that while their earlier work is well known, and has been recognized in the extant literature; in their later work both scholars have considerably deepened their ideas concerning the role and forms of economic institutions, and how these interact with the behavior of firms. As a result, they have produced a body of work that shares striking similarities in terms of the main tenets concerning path dependence, institutional change and the systemic nature of evolutionary change.1 Applying these insights, we endeavor to situate in our framework the relevant conceptual and empirical contributions in IB and economics, political economy, sociology and organization theory, to the extent that these are germane to the issue of crossborder institutional adaptation and co-evolution by MNEs. We present our framework in the context of the OLI paradigm, which has been widely recognized as the preeminent theoretical paradigm within IB. However, this contribution is not intended as a revision or application of the paradigm per se, and efforts to incorporate institutional influences explicitly in the OLI paradigm have been made elsewhere (Dunning & Lundan, 2008a, b). Similarly, since the present paper is intended as a broad, synthesizing contribution, we are not in a position to consider in detail the processes of selection, retention and diffusion of new organizational forms or other institutional innovations within MNEs, or between MNEs and other organizations, which have recently been examined by, for example, Volberda and Lewin (2003) and Dunning and Lundan (2010). We think that the paper makes a unique contribution in the following ways. First, we present an integrative framework combining firm-level adaptation and creativity by MNEs and their affiliates with institutional change at the macro level. In so doing, we take into account interactions that The co-evolution of MNEs and the institutional environment John Cantwell et al 569 extend beyond the firm and any individual home or host countries, including the institutions of regional or supranational standard-setting and regulation, and encompassing both market and non-market interactions. Second, by following North (1990, 2005), we present an analysis that places as much emphasis on informal institutions (such as norms and values) as it does on formal institutions (such as laws, regulations, codes or standards) as a source of uncertainty confronting firms. MNEs are among the focal entities that have come to co-evolve with these unpredictable shifts in a continually emergent and uneven environment, and so they are at the forefront of contributing to the emergence of new institutions. By incorporating the contributions of Nelson, we are able to reinforce the connection that exists between historical institutional analysis and the arguments of evolutionary economists concerning the effects of cumulative learning, path dependence and the difficulties in articulating and transferring complex knowledge. In earlier work in the economics of innovation, firm-specificity (as represented in the IB field by the view, of e.g., Kogut and Zander (1993) of firms as individual social communities) and wider innovation systems had been treated as largely separate topics. By drawing upon the latest Nelsonian approach to the role of institutions in the process of innovation we can now more fully understand the co-evolution between individual firms and their institutional environment. Third, we provide a comprehensive overview of the empirical IB literature illustrating various types of co-evolutionary processes. In most cases, such studies have not explicitly adopted a co-evolutionary view, but by bringing them together in a unified framework we are able to show the range of coevolutionary processes that shape public institutions and policy in the contemporary global economy. Our argument will proceed in the following manner. We begin by clarifying our concept of institutions, and present three propositions that connect the structural transformation of MNEs to the changes occurring in the institutional environment. We then examine the conditions under which MNEs are likely to engage in institutional entrepreneurship, and how this links to a broader discussion on the tension between institutional embeddedness and active agency in the social sciences. After a short methodological section, we take a contrasting look at the available empirical evidence. First, we present a capsulated historical account of the global economy that illustrates how firm behavior has been conditioned by changes in the external institutional environment. Then we move on to consider the evidence concerning the co-evolution of MNEs and the institutional environment, and distinguish it from simple adaptation. We conclude by reflecting on the contribution made by this paper and, by extension, that made by institutional and evolutionary analysis to IB theory, particularly in light of the institutional transformations initiated by the recent financial crisis. DEFINITIONS AND KEY PROPOSITIONS In line with Dunning and Lundan (2008b), we consider the MNE as a coordinated system or network of cross-border value-creating activities, some of which are carried out within the hierarchy of the firm, and some of which are carried out through informal social ties or contractual relationships. Thus an MNE is not defined solely by the extent of the foreign production facilities it owns, but by the sum total of all of its value-creating activities over which it has a significant influence. These activities may involve foreign sourcing of various intermediate inputs, including the sourcing of knowledge, as well as production, marketing and distribution activities. Value creation consists of the production and distribution of goods and services, involving the exploitation (and augmentation) of ownership (O) specific advantages related to resources, capabilities and markets (Dunning, 2006). Over the past two decades or more, the value-creating activities of MNEs have become increasingly influenced by technological development, learning and innovation, where creative search efforts evolve over time. This entails the development and use of physical technology, such as tangible artifacts or devices, and social technology, such as the capability to coordinate the range of human activities needed for the effective conduct of interrelated tasks (Nelson & Sampat, 2001). Both North and Nelson have sought to develop a notion of institutions that is designed to address the issues of long-term economic growth. According to Nelson (Nelson & Sampat, 2001), institutions are patterns of human interaction that relate to the division of labor and the mode of coordination of human activity, or what he calls social technology. In particular, institutions arise as certain social technologies become institutionalized or Journal of International Business Studies The co-evolution of MNEs and the institutional environment John Cantwell et al 570 standardized. This is also therefore the mechanism for institutional change, and it follows that actors – including existing organizations – can potentially influence institutional change where they contribute to the emergence of new social technologies. This offers a broad view of institutions, consistent with various specific representations such as institutions as the ‘‘rules of the game’’, or as governance structures (a notion in common usage in the IB field). This approach to institutions is also in tune with what has become North’s view. North and Wallis (1994) contend that social technologies are in some ways similar to physical technologies, but they involve patterned human interaction rather than physical engineering. The process by which certain aspects of social technologies happen to become institutionalized, but not others, reflects North’s (2005) argument that there is a variety of alternative institutional arrangements that are consistent with a given environment. As a result, the process of institutional change is open and unpredictable, which is what makes the co-evolution of organizations (e.g., MNEs) and institutions viable. North (1990) himself defined institutions as formal rules (e.g., constitutions, laws and regulations) and informal constraints (norms of behavior, conventions and self-imposed codes of conduct). Institutions (and their enforcement mechanisms) set the ‘‘rules of the game’’, which organizations, in pursuit of their own learning and resource allocative goals, must follow.2 An institutional system is complete only when both formal and informal institutions are taken into account; and institutional change may result from changes in the character and content of either or both of these, or their relevant enforcement mechanisms. An important insight of North (1990) is that it was the early challenges in the physical environment3 that initially led to an institutional infrastructure that was characterized by collectivist beliefs and personal exchange, and in which cohesion and enforcement were based on personal ties. However, over the subsequent centuries, advances in technology and methods of communication challenged these institutional forms, and eventually led towards more impersonal forms of exchange, requiring the creation of new types of institutions that enforce cohesion in the context of impersonal ties. In his later work, North (2005) delved deeper into the factors concerning human cognition and motivation that either impede or encourage the emergence of new institutions. Here, the Journal of International Business Studies interconnections between informal institutions and the effects of (extreme) uncertainty are at the core of his argument. North argues that the uncertainties that arise from interconnected global markets originate primarily in the domain of informal institutions. This is because of the incommensurability and/or opaqueness of the norms and values that guide decision-making, and which provide the rationale for the design of the formal institutional system. Moreover, owing to the interconnectedness of the global economy, such uncertainties grow more complex, resulting in what North (2005) called a non-ergodic world of continuous change, in which it is often not possible to forecast the future from past patterns in behavior. Since the concept of non-ergodic uncertainty is quite central to North’s argument, it is important that we be clear about its meaning and implications. We are not suggesting that, measured on some absolute scale, there is more uncertainty in the global economy today in any given line of activity than in the past. Rather, we are suggesting that the kinds of uncertainties firms face today are different from and more difficult to deal with than those they faced only a few decades ago, owing to a rise in global interconnectedness and hence in complexity. Complex systems evolve in ways that are at least partially unpredictable (Ramlogan & Metcalfe, 2006). Because human actors exercise choice, judgment and creativity when developing new spheres of value creation or pioneering new institutions in contexts that are fundamentally uncertain, they may initiate a transformation of the system of which they are part, as well as transforming themselves. The outcome of evolutionary development is an open and irreversible process that runs through real historical time, rather than a closed and purely deterministic process of transition from one received state of the world to another (Shackle, 1958). We believe that the relevance of non-ergodic uncertainty in this sense of genuine unpredictability from past structures and trends has been greatly enhanced in recent times by a widening of the complex interconnections and interdependencies between MNEs, other firms, home and host governments and civil society. The extent of such interactions has been greatly expanded and reinforced by improved communication and transportation methods, and we think that the current financial and economic crisis illustrates both of the elements contributing to non-ergodic uncertainty. On the one hand, there is uncertainty concerning human The co-evolution of MNEs and the institutional environment John Cantwell et al 571 values and motivations, which manifested itself in the failure of both public and private regulatory mechanisms, since these were no longer being supported by an ethos of transparency and responsibility. On the other, the web of economic interconnections, whose full extent became known only after the fact, brought about contagion effects that spread rapidly through the global system. The deepening of the interconnections between parts of a system results in tensions that MNEs may try to resolve by engaging in institutional entrepreneurship. Even in a world characterized by ‘‘classical’’ uncertainty (Knight, 1921), some institutional entrepreneurship of this kind would be likely to occur. However, when faced with nonergodic uncertainty, an effective response requires continuous experimentation in the creation and adaptation of the institutions that sustain the value-creating activities of firms and business networks. Here, an important difference between our approach and that of North concerns the sources of institutional transformation or reconfiguration. While North (1990, 2005) sees institutional change as the result of the reactions of organizations (the players) to the prevailing institutions (the rules of the game), his analysis largely ignores the firmlevel processes of evolution.4 We contend that there are important systemic links involving the mutual formation of expectations at the level of individuals, MNE affiliates and parents, that connect the behavior of firms to changes in external institutions. We develop three propositions linking the evolutionary and institutional views: (1) The institutional aspects of the environment for IB activity have become steadily more important for MNEs over time, particularly since the advent of the knowledge-based economy and contemporary globalization. Economic growth in the long run is a question of the development of more complex institutions to deal with the uncertainties that arise from more complex forms of exchange, involving both market and non-market actors (North, 1990, 2005). These institutional aspects have also become increasingly interconnected over geographical space, and MNEs both contribute to, and are affected by, the contagion effects from the external environment that are now capable of being transmitted more rapidly and effectively from one location to another. (2) The rising significance of non-ergodic uncertainty, in the sense that we can no longer satisfactorily predict the future by extrapolating from the past, has placed more emphasis on the development of new institutions that help to better manage or reduce uncertainty in the course of economic development. Within the realm of value creation, this is related to a tendency towards a growing disparity between success in the development of the understanding of physical technology on the one hand, and the adequacy of knowledge about the accompanying social technology on the other (Nelson, 2008; Nelson & Nelson, 2002). Taken together, these considerations imply that the only effective way of countering such uncertainties is through experimentation with new approaches and institutional entrepreneurship, which is likely to be manifested in a greater variety of organizational forms and practices. This experimental character of business is central to the evolutionary perspective (Day, 1998; Eliasson, 1991). (3) MNEs have responded to the more profound nature of uncertainty in part by shifting towards more open business network structures (Chesbrough, 2006) that provide greater flexibility in adapting to changes in the institutional environment.5 In so doing, MNEs have developed solutions for dealing with the problems of impersonal exchange across multiple markets, and the acquisition and recombination of dispersed knowledge. The methods of organizing and structuring relationships within and between firms, including in the conduct of research and development (R&D), the design and enforcement of contracts, and the management of cooperative relationships, evolve into routines or best practices that are gradually diffused to other firms, and become institutionalized. Thus, while the institutional environment is external to any individual firm, the process through which new institutions are created is often initiated through the experimental actions of individual firms. Since firms (and especially MNEs) are increasingly interconnected with other market and non-market actors, a variety of alternative experimental directions across different network actors raises the system-wide extent of institutional experimentation and diversity, as well as generating novelty from within the complex system. Journal of International Business Studies The co-evolution of MNEs and the institutional environment John Cantwell et al 572 INSTITUTIONS AND THE EVOLUTION OF MNE ACTIVITY Institutional Theory and the MNE In a seminal article, DiMaggio and Powell (1983) identified three mechanisms for institutional diffusion: coercive, normative and mimetic. Of these, the influence of mimetic isomorphic pressures has particularly attracted the attention of organization theorists and sociologists within IB. Their work has examined how MNE affiliates seek to gain legitimacy, both in the eyes of their parent companies, and within the context of the institutions of the host countries in which they operate (Kostova & Zaheer, 1999). They have also investigated the effects of institutional distance on the transfer of O-specific advantages (including organizational practices) by MNEs to their foreign affiliates (Kostova, 1999). However, in a recent article, some of the leading institutional scholars in the IB field have begun to re-examine the assumptions underpinning their earlier work (Kostova, Roth, & Dacin, 2008). In particular, they question whether the concept of a coherent organizational field really applies in the case of MNEs, and whether, as a consequence, the expectations of isomorphism are borne out. Although MNEs do indeed exhibit some signs of isomorphism, this may be through choice, rather than as a result of a need for legitimacy. In many institutional contexts MNEs are as powerful as the local institutional actors. In such circumstances MNE subsidiaries may be valued for their differences from local actors, which increase local variety, and not just for their capacity to conform with or adjust to local norms of behavior. Indeed, the issues raised by Kostova et al. (2008) are part of a wider shift in the study of institutions in the social sciences from a view that emphasizes institutional embeddedness to one that is focused on active agency. Scholars interested in comparative capitalisms (Hall & Soskice, 2001; Whitley, 1999) have begun to address the criticism that the existing models of national economic systems are overly static and top-down in their orientation (Casson & Lundan, 1999; Jackson & Deeg, 2008). In the analysis of macro-level institutions the emphasis has been on the distinctive formal features of state systems and how these influence value-creating activities, rather than on the norms and values that led to the emergence of different systems in the first place. The expectation of convergence rather than divergence is based on Journal of International Business Studies the idea that there are ‘‘best practice’’ models of governance that become diffused across borders. A contrasting view that has gained more ground recently is one that is focused more on the persistence of seemingly inferior forms of institutions, which are grounded in the norms and values underpinning the formal institutional system. Consequently, recent empirical contributions in this vein have began to pay more attention to the processes of change at the meso level, and to the role of MNEs as change agents (Kogut, Walker, & Anand, 2002; Morgan, 2005; Morgan & Quack, 2005). We think that MNEs are confronted with institutional tensions more frequently than are uninational firms for two reasons. First, because MNEs operate across a wider variety of institutional environments, there is a greater variety of stimuli to encourage them to engage in institutional entrepreneurship. Second, modern MNEs are characterized by an integrated network structure with highly autonomous subsidiary units and knowledge creation at a decentralized level. This structure ensures that the MNE has incentives to invest in the transferability of innovations developed at the level of a subsidiary as well as the corporate parent, and to disseminate new routines or best practices inside the firm.6 The latter aspect is important, because it emphasizes that MNEs are not merely confronted with more tensions than uninational firms, but when they engage in institutional entrepreneurship they also have an incentive to invest in the ability to diffuse new institutions within the firm (Dunning & Lundan, 2010). The eclectic or OLI paradigm now recognizes three different kinds of ownership (O) advantages (Dunning & Lundan, 2008a, b), including institutional ownership advantages (Oi) that incorporate the firm-specific norms and values guiding decision-making, as well as an imprint of the institutional environment (L attributes) of the home country. Such institutional advantages can be transferred (intentionally or unintentionally) alongside other ownership advantages to host countries, and may influence their institutional development. Institutions and Evolution The decline in the unitary or pyramid-like structure of internal organization, and the changing character of the MNE from a multi-plant, multi-activity firm to a network of cross-border value-creating activities, is both an outcome of and a contributory cause to the rise of vertical specialization (Langlois, The co-evolution of MNEs and the institutional environment John Cantwell et al 573 2003). The evolution of the MNE from an organization concerned primarily with the most effective mode of exploiting O-specific proprietary advantages towards the coordination of a network of value-creating activities places greater demands on the relational capabilities of the firm, and on the institutional assets (Oi) it has developed. Overall, the competitive strengths of firms have evolved to become increasingly network- rather than firmspecific. At the same time, the degree of internalization (I) of the O advantages of firms is increasingly dependent on their ability to transfer certain kinds of knowledge effectively across borders. Hence, more than a firm’s ownership structure as such, the tightness and continuity of its capability to coordinate the various assets it creates, or to which it has access, are becoming critical to its performance. Finally, the location (L) attractions of countries have increasingly come to comprise some endogenous (local) network-specific advantages, in addition to the exogenous advantages that lie beyond any given business network. With experimental strategies for learning and innovation on the part of firms, an inter-firm heterogeneity of search paths and outcomes can be expected. This variety-generating mechanism has always been stressed in the evolutionary approach to understanding the growth and change of business activities (Nelson & Winter, 1982). Experimental search and learning processes in firms (or teams) generate variety, which drives the evolution of the technologies, production facilities and organizational routines of firms. This process is conditioned by selection mechanisms, within firms and through the market, that in turn depend upon the institutional environment. The outcome of such an evolutionary process is fashioned by an exploration of the comparative goodness-of-fit of alternative organizational forms with a changing environment. This is very different from the neoclassical behavioral assumption of an optimization procedure that is undertaken by all firms, and which is hypothesized to lead to a convergence towards some new industry-wide equilibrium or, at the firm level, to a smooth shift towards a well-understood new target position. In the latter case, inter-firm differences may be regarded as unimportant, or at least as only second-order issues, whereas in the evolutionary view firm heterogeneity is vital (Nelson, 1991), and continual experimentation is needed to cope with a changing institutional environment under conditions of uncertainty. We might also note that the emergence of organizational coherence that facilitates the (cross-border) transfer of knowledge or capabilities is just one aspect of the firm-specific attributes of the search strategies of MNEs. This feature has understandably been emphasized in some evolutionary accounts of the growth and organization of MNEs (Kogut & Zander, 1993; Nohria & Ghoshal, 1997), a central characteristic of which is the social generation of shared values by their different subunits. However, this is only one side of the evolutionary story. The other side is that MNEs are increasingly pursuing strategies of selected diversity and differentiation within the cross-border networks of MNEs. Because search strategies are inherently experimental, actors that operate across different institutional environments have come to rely more on a measure of internal variety in their development. However, the two sides of the evolutionary equation can be reconciled once it is recognized that IB activities can be either asset- or competence-exploiting (building upon some established area of specialization of the relevant MNE group), or asset- or competence-creating (new to the corporate group). With competence-exploiting activities it is the organizational coherence and commonality that matters, whereas in the case of competence-creating activities it is innovation, entrepreneurship and variety that are of the essence (Cantwell & Mudambi, 2005). From the perspective of the MNE, successful evolution requires the maintenance of a suitable balance between these two types. A METHODOLOGICAL NOTE Our contribution is in the nature of what Nelson (1994) has described as appreciative theory, rather than formal theory. In the social sciences, appreciative theory allows scholars to examine a more complex web of causal associations, by being more historically grounded, closer to real-life situations, and by making greater allowance for variations in institutional and contextual specificities. In a thriving area of inquiry, empirical research, appreciative theory and formal theory tend to interact in a complementary fashion. However, appreciative theory also offers an analytical bridge between empirical investigation and formal models, or the articulation of formal propositions. In this paper we build theory through a critical evaluation of some of the most significant trends in the evolution of IB activities, rather than by deducing hypotheses from formal theory that can Journal of International Business Studies The co-evolution of MNEs and the institutional environment John Cantwell et al 574 then be tested against empirical evidence. Our appreciative theory of the co-evolution of IB activities and the institutional environment relies on a particular interpretation that is consistent with a complex variety of experiences identified and discussed in the literature. Although we clearly cannot examine the full range of such historical experiences in the light of this methodological perspective, we shall endeavor to substantiate our argument through reference to a number of illustrative examples drawn from the literature. In the previous section we made reference to the tension between institutional embeddedness and agency in the social sciences. In their classic monograph, Nelson and Winter (1982) provided a fundamental critique of the methodologies and ontology of economists who examine technological and other changes not as a process in historical time, but through the comparative statics of equilibrium positions. The contribution of Nelson and Winter was to depict firms as non-optimizing organizations, whose path of evolution required them to learn through the trial and error of experimental search and exploration. They contrasted the neoclassical objective of profit maximization with their own concept of a continual process of search for satisfactory but sustainable profits. Thus the goal of profit maximization might be applicable in a world in which there is no innovation, and in which the technological and institutional environment remains relatively simple and unchangeable. But in a world in which innovation occurs (and indeed where it becomes the major potential source for profits), the notion of an experimental and uncertain search for higher profits is more applicable (Cantwell, 2002). Apart from a relative lack of concern with the process of change (as opposed to its end results), the conventional methodology adopted in the social sciences also tends to break the real world down into simple and independently recognized components that are themselves sufficiently stable to permit likely future behavior to be examined on the basis of past evidence. Once this step has been taken, we can apply the tools of standard logic, and can construct mathematical models and/or formal propositions. However, in such cases we generally need to impose some methodological constraint on the degree to which we can consider the evolution in the qualitative character of the focal entity itself. Thus, for example, in the conventional view, it might be that in response to an exogenous shock from its environment a firm may do more or less Journal of International Business Studies R&D, or become more or less international, but otherwise its behavior remains unchanged. However, especially in a longer-term perspective, we are more interested in analyzing the changing nature of the firm itself, and the consequent changes in the wider structure of its likely behavior. Consequently, we believe there is a need for IB scholars to pay greater attention to the human environment in which change is likely to occur (in the institutional environment as well as within the firm), and to make greater allowance for the effects of social complexity, and the key role played by the dynamic interaction between market and non-market agents. THE PROCESS OF CO-EVOLUTION The resistance of disruption to previous patterns of accustomed behavior, and organizational and societal inertia, may create a pattern of ebb and flow and periodic institutional constraints in the pattern of evolution over time (Freeman & Louçã, 2001; Freeman & Perez, 1988). At the same time, pathdependent cumulative and mainly incremental changes may also lead to a qualitative transformation at some point, and thus may induce a movement from one period to another (Mokyr, 2002).7 Table 1 presents a summary of some of the major institutional developments that have impinged on the value-creating activities of MNEs since the beginning of the second industrial revolution. The alterations to the broader institutional framework we are primarily concerned with are those that encourage (or inhibit) cross-border business activity, for example through the legal enforcement of contracts and property rights, institutions that discourage corruption and provide incentives for investment in human capital, or institutions that increase the incentives for productive innovation, such as the patent system. We believe these are largely self-explanatory, and serve to illustrate the interplay between changes in the informal and formal institutions. The periodization we have adopted is similar to that employed by Dunning and Lundan (2008b). We then move to consider the role of MNEs as change agents, and Table 2 distinguishes between three forms of engagement involving MNEs and institutions, and indentifies prominent studies from the IB literature to illustrate their differences. The first type we have labeled institutional avoidance, in which MNEs take the external institutional environment as a given, but in which they are able to make choices between different institutional The co-evolution of MNEs and the institutional environment John Cantwell et al 575 Table 1 Institutional evolution in the global economy Institutions Formal Informal 1870–1914 First (modern) global economy; new technologies of transport, communication and power generation; broad openness The British Empire; gold standard; lowering of trade barriers (until 1890); lowering of barriers to immigration; emergence of university programs in business and engineering; development of modern capital markets; antitrust legislation; patent pooling; cross-licensing; embryonic M-form organizations Internationalization; application of science and technology to improve standards of living; socialism; universal suffrage 1914–1945 Retreat towards nationalism; limited openness Tariff barriers; cartel agreements; M-form organizations; New Deal (US) Self-sufficiency, nationalism 1945–1971 Economic recovery and second main thrust to globalization; Pax Britannica gives way to Pax Americana; start of Cold War and the space race; new technologies of transport and communication Bretton Woods institutions; fixed exchange rates; GATT; modern welfare state; spread of M-form organization to Europe; increasing diversification via M&As (US); conglomerate form organizations Decline of colonialism; emergence of modern environmentalism; techno-optimism; movement for racial and gender equality 1971–1980 New International Economic Order; oil crisis; limited openness in many developing countries and center/left economic philosophies of several developed countries Floating exchange rates; import substitution policies; performance requirements; nationalization; state-owned enterprises; continuing diversification and increasing divestitures (US) Techno-nationalism 1980–present Third wave of globalization; decline of communism; emergence of new economic powers; return to broad openness; new technologies of communication; competition for natural resources Regional integration; IPR protection (TRIPs); investor protection (TRIMs and BITs); financial integration; privatization; market for corporate control; private equity investment; Plaza agreement; Kyoto agreement: Millennium Development Goals; new technologies of organizing work (TQM and JIT); matrix structure; network organizations Competitiveness; shareholder value maximization; corporate social responsibility; anti-globalization; hacker/open source ethic; religious and political fundamentalism environments. Faced with a weak institutional environment, characterized by a lack of accountability and political instability, poor regulation and deficient enforcement of the rule of law, the response of most MNEs is likely to be characterized by an ‘‘exit’’ rather than a ‘‘voice’’ strategy (Hirschman, 1970). Exceptions, however, may include naturalresource-seeking investment and some forms of infrastructure investment, where the number of alternative investment locations might be limited. The prevalence of this type of behavior is evident in the results of many studies confirming that the more footloose forms of MNE activity are mostly concentrated in countries characterized by good governance (Dunning & Lundan, 2008b; Kaufmann, Kraay, & Mastruzzi, 2007). The second form of engagement is institutional adaptation. As in the previous case, the MNE treats the institutional environment as essentially exogenous, but in this case it seeks to adjust its own structure and policies to better fit the environment. The means to achieve this objective include the use of political influence and, in some cases, bribery, but it may also involve efforts by the MNE to intentionally emulate the behavior, commercial culture and institutional artifacts that are most desirable in Journal of International Business Studies The co-evolution of MNEs and the institutional environment John Cantwell et al 576 Table 2 Forms of MNE institutional engagement Examples from the empirical literature Institutional avoidance K K Institutional adaptation K K K Key characteristics Strong/weak institutions and FDI attraction: institutions in transition economies (Dunning, 2005; Meyer & Peng, 2005); in developing countries (Globerman & Shapiro, 2002; Jensen, 2006); the effects of corruption (Cuervo-Cazurra, 2006) Choice of entry mode and sequence, particularly in emerging economies (Delios & Henisz, 2003; Meyer, 2001; Meyer & Nguyen, 2005; Uhlenbruck, Rodriguez, Doh, & Eden, 2006) K Use of political influence and bribery, particularly in connection with resource-seeking and infrastructure investments (Doh, Teegen, & Mudambi, 2004; Ramamurti & Doh, 2004); the obsolescing bargain (Grosse, 2005) Legitimacy through isomorphism (Kostova & Roth, 2002); seeking to become a market insider (Mason, 1992) Imitation, learning and post-entry changes related to entry mode (Chang & Rosenzweig, 2001; Davis, Desai, & Francis, 2000; Guillén, 2003) K K K K K K K Institutional co-evolution K K K K K Transfer of organizational forms, such as the M-form (Chandler, 1990; Kogut & Parkinson, 1998) Transfer of organizational routines and best practices that have an institutional basis: transfer of employment practices from US to Europe in the 1950s and 1960s (Kipping & Bjarnar, 1998; Zeitlin & Herrigel, 2000); Japanese ‘‘transplants’’ in the US (Westney, 2001) and in the UK in the 1980s (Dunning, 1986; Oliver & Wilkinson, 1988); workforce diversity policies in UK affiliates of US MNEs (Ferner, Almond, & Colling, 2005); employment discrimination in MNE affiliates (Wu, Lawler, & Xiang, 2008) Adoption of best practices directly connected to institutions in another country: adoption of the arm’s length accounting standard internationally (Eden, Dacin, & Wan, 2001); adoption of aspects of the Sarbanes–Oxley Act by German MNEs (Hollister, 2005); adoption of board diversity policies by Swedish and Norwegian MNEs (Oxelheim & Randøy, 2003); contribution of US MNEs to the institutional transformation in Japan (Ozawa, 2005); similarity of corporate governance laws and divergence of governance practices (Khanna, Kogan, & Palepu, 2006) Firm sponsorship of common technology or regulatory standards: Sun Microsystems’ sponsorship of Java (Garud, Jain, & Kumaraswamy, 2002); the role of Pfizer in the TRIPs agreement (Ramamurti, 2005); promotion of TRIPs-plus provisions in US BITs by MNEs (Heath & Kamperman Sanders, 2005); sponsorship of ISO 9000 standard for quality management (Guler, Guillén, & Macpherson, 2002) and ISO 14001 for environmental management (Christmann & Taylor, 2001) Firm self-regulation, particularly in areas related to CSR: programs to bring affordable medications to developing countries (Vachani & Smith, 2004); to confront climate change (Brewer, 2005); to improve labor standards (van Tulder & Kolk, 2001) Journal of International Business Studies K K K K K Institutional environment is exogenous to firms Firms choose between different institutional environments Firms react to poor institutional quality by adjusting their entry mode Institutional environment is exogenous, but firms adapt their own behavior to achieve a better fit Firms may try to influence local institutions, but only to a limited extent Firms seek legitimacy by adapting to local isomorphic pressures As a result of local learning and adaptation, firms gain strategic options Embeddedness in an institutional context Institutional environment is partly endogenous Firms adjust to different institutional environments by a process of co-evolution Firms introduce new institutions that are adapted to the local context Unintentional institutional spillovers occur as a result of local imitation Active agency and institutional entrepreneurship The co-evolution of MNEs and the institutional environment John Cantwell et al 577 the host country context. At the extreme, the MNE may wish to ‘‘go native’’, and to become an insider in the host country market, possibly even hiding the aspects that make it appear foreign.8 In contrast to the first two cases, in the third one the institutional environment is assumed to be partly endogenous, and the MNE is engaged in a process of co-evolution. In institutional co-evolution, although firms may employ some of the same tactics they used under the previous scenario, their objective is no longer simply to adjust, but to affect change in the local institutions – be they formal or informal. For example, an MNE might engage in political activities to advance specific kinds of regulation or market structure that give it an advantage over its competitors. In doing so, the MNE might also align itself with domestic firms in lobbying the government for economic protection or support.9 While it could be argued that this last form of institutional response represents merely a difference in degree rather than in kind when compared with the adaptive scenario, there are a variety of forms of co-evolution that may be observed, each involving a different balance between adaptation and co-evolution. These include the introduction of new organizational routines and best practices that the affiliates of MNEs have either developed locally, or which are transferred to them from elsewhere within the MNE network. They also embrace the transmission of home-country institutional practices that are adopted by the MNE parent, and transferred within the MNE network. Co-evolution may also involve activities in which the MNE engages to affect institutional change at the supranational level. These include various efforts to influence the standards being promoted and/or enforced by existing supranational bodies, as well as proactive institutional entrepreneurship to selfregulate specific aspects of corporate behavior. Effective management of the firm’s non-market environment (Boddewyn, 2003) is likely to require both adaptation and active agency on the part of the MNE. For example, NGOs and firms can become partners in creating and legitimizing new standards (Teegen, Doh, & Vachani, 2004). Indeed, in the area of social responsibility, MNEs often prefer to pre-empt future regulation by proposing to regulate themselves by creating codes of conduct, or by being active in endorsing other forms of standards, such as the UN Global Compact or the Dow Jones Sustainability Index. In other cases, new institutions gain prominence and legitimacy through the process of isomorphism. For example, in the legal area the concentration of large clients to a handful of New York and London law firms can be seen as a risk minimization response by firms in cases that involve very large financial stakes. Similarly, the spread of US-style commercial arbitration has been argued to be an outcome of the use of these practices by MNEs (Dilling, Herberg, & Winter, 2008).10 The room that is available for MNEs to influence the process of standard-setting can be considerable, and such influence occurs at multiple levels. At one end is private self-regulation, where MNEs create and enforce the criteria that are applied to assess their own conduct (Kolk & van Tulder, 2002; van Tulder & Kolk, 2001). At the other end are various kinds of negotiations and political influence strategies to change the form and content of public regulations that have an impact on the firm’s activities (Boddewyn & Brewer, 1994; Ramamurti, 2005). These three forms of engagement are not mutually exclusive, and MNEs are likely to exhibit both adaptation and co-evolution with institutions in different home and host countries, in different industrial sectors, and at different points in time. We would expect, however, that adaptation would be more likely to occur in relatively stable environments and in less innovative sectors, whereas more dynamic environments are likely to both allow and require innovation and a continuous co-evolution for the firm to sustain a competitive advantage. In a comparatively settled local environment it is likely that, conforming to the expectations of the neo-institutionalist approach, subsidiaries would mainly adapt to their local surroundings. The variety they introduce is likely to be accepted by other local actors, but it is unlikely to have much impact on their behavior. By contrast, in a faster-moving environment, perhaps associated with a process of political and institutional reform, the co-evolution of MNE subsidiaries and the institutional environment is more likely, and the variety they introduce to the local environment is more likely to influence (as well as be influenced by) the behavior of other agents.11 In particular, an institutional system that is in flux is likely to exhibit ‘‘institutional voids’’12 that offer opportunities for institutional entrepreneurship and co-evolution. Consequently, in emerging markets, MNEs might be welcomed in part because they introduce institutional elements that are missing in the local environment (Hoskisson, Eden, Lau, & Wright, 2000; Meyer, 2004; Peng, Wang, & Journal of International Business Studies The co-evolution of MNEs and the institutional environment John Cantwell et al 578 Jiang, 2008). By the same token, in such dynamic environments MNEs are more likely to be seen as legitimate if they contribute to a transformational process that is already ongoing. New practices introduced by MNEs can become a part of the wider process of changing values and institutional structures in the host country, but even in such cases institutional entrepreneurship by MNEs is likely to contribute only one element of the broader restructuring under way. Seen from an evolutionary perspective, all institutional systems represent adaptations to specific circumstances, with some features more deeply rooted than others, and no expectation that the system is in any sense optimal. When new practices become adopted by local firms and embedded in the institutional fabric of particular countries, it is unlikely that such practices will remain unchanged. The ease with which indigenous firms in the countries hosting the affiliates of MNEs are able to absorb new practices, and to fit them to the local context, is analogous to the concept of absorptive capacity, which has been found to be an important determinant of technology creation and diffusion (Cohen & Levinthal, 1990). As in the case of technology transfer, there are also likely to be spillovers that arise as a result of the deliberate transfer of institutions by MNEs. Such spillovers occur through demonstration and learning effects, the transfer of employees, and ‘‘leakage’’ from the training provided by MNEs to bring local suppliers or distributors in line with their global practices.13 The market structure in the host country has an impact on the keenness of local firms to imitate new practices, but overall, such spillovers are an unavoidable consequence of the efforts undertaken by MNEs to make best practices transferable within the firm.14 The centrality of the agency of the MNE to the cross-border transfer of technology is itself partly attributable to the need for the implementation of technology to be supported by the development of complementary institutions. Having already developed relevant organizational routines, and the tacit knowledge that has become embedded in those routines, it is often easier for the MNE to extend these practices into the host-country environment than it would be for an independent agent operating under license (Teece, 1977). By adapting its technology and associated routines of behavior for the local environment, the MNE also extends its own range of competence, and hence its overall innovation potential (Cantwell, 1989). This Journal of International Business Studies Nelsonian conceptualization of the innovative MNE therefore implicitly assumes a co-evolution of the MNE and the varied international institutional environment. At the level of the MNE subsidiary, the evolution of its competence-creating activities relies upon the dynamism of the location in which it is situated, while also contributing to that dynamism (Andersson & Forsgren, 2000; Cantwell & Mudambi, 2005). Consequently, as selected subsidiaries begin to take up innovation in fields that are new to their corporate group, this facilitates increasing specialization of locations in line with their greatest underlying areas of competence or innovative traditions (Cantwell & Piscitello, 2000). This in turn helps to reinforce the institutional differentiation of host locations, as well as the distinctiveness of the technological structures of their national (or regional) systems of innovation (Cantwell & Vertova, 2004). Limits to Co-evolution While differences in informal institutions play a central role in our argument, we might note that institutional distance does not simply equate to cultural distance. For example, the research by Orr and Scott (2008) on global projects demonstrates that what they label institutional exceptions (instances of institutional ignorance or unawareness) may arise as much from the normative and regulatory elements, as they do from the culturalcognitive elements in the host country. The ability of MNEs to adjust to and to go beyond such exceptions gives them the capacity to operate in a variety of host-country environments, and by engaging in institutional co-evolution MNEs may thus reduce their ‘‘liability of foreignness’’. At the same time it should be acknowledged that, owing to time and resource constraints, firms also frequently respond to uncertainties in an ad hoc manner (Winter, 2003). Engaging in institutional entrepreneurship incurs substantial costs that are non-recoverable, and which are likely to result in path-dependent lock-in effects for the firm. While MNEs can learn to transcend the ‘‘imprinting’’ of their home country, owing to the path dependence of their investment and search strategies, they are limited in their ability to adjust to the institutional systems of host countries. Thus while the crossborder differences in institutions offer potential opportunities for MNEs to choose the most conducive environment for their activities, the legacy of home-country institutions may result in firms The co-evolution of MNEs and the institutional environment John Cantwell et al 579 preferring a similar (rather than superior) institutional context (Cuervo-Cazurra, 2006). Indeed, we think that the finding of Rugman and Verbeke (2004), that some of the world’s largest multinationals are regional rather than global in terms of their sales, is in large part due to institutional differences that are a combination of differences in formal market institutions, and the societal norms and expectations that underpin those institutions.15 In the words of Kogut (2005), ‘‘direct investment is the extension of the organizing principles and capabilities of the firm across countries’’. Without detailed knowledge of the market, and of the quality and quantity of information available to other firms and customers throughout the value chain, it is difficult to assess whether the business model the firm has adopted in its home country is transferable abroad. For example, Jacobides (2008) has argued that the failure of US financial institutions (prior to the current crisis) to expand abroad was due to a lack of understanding of the extent to which their business models relied on a particular division of labor and the presence of specialized intermediaries within the domestic market. Furthermore, successful transfer presumes that the MNE has the ability to generate a sufficient variety of practices, to select those that are the most viable and to codify them to the extent that they become transferable within the firm. Even if this is achieved, as a consequence of the increased autonomy gained by subsidiaries that evolve towards a higher share of competence-creating activities, problems of motivation and control may impede subsequent transfers of knowledge within the firm across disparate or potentially competing sub-units (Andersson, Forsgren, & Holm, 2007; Mudambi & Navarra, 2004; Verbeke & Kenworthy, 2008). CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS FOR IB THEORY AND RESEARCH We made three assertions earlier in this paper. The first was that economic growth is increasingly dependent upon the development of more sophisticated institutions, which are needed to cope with the uncertainties of a dynamic physical and human environment. Furthermore, the resource-related and institutional challenges that have shaped the contemporary global economy have often been accompanied by higher transaction costs associated with operating in complex markets that are underpinned by different cultural and social mores. Our second assertion was that such uncertainty is likely to be non-ergodic, or incapable of being countered by designing and implementing corporate strategies simply by reference to past patterns or trends. Both evolutionary and institutional theory suggest that experimentation by firms is the only way to embrace such fundamental uncertainties. In particular, we argued that such experimentation would most likely be seen in the emergence of a greater variety of firm strategies and their supporting organizational structures and practices. Our final contention was that, given the first two factors, as the entities most directly affected by the increasing uncertainties and complexities in their external environment, MNEs are required to engage in institutional innovation to counter such uncertainty. As a result, MNEs have evolved more decentralized governance structures, involving more locally responsive, yet internationally connected, relationships. Building on this foundation, we presented a framework for the analysis of MNE co-evolution that made a contribution in three ways. First, we noted that while most approaches to the coevolution of firms and their industry-specific environment have stressed inter-firm variety, they have tended to take as a given the wider institutional environment within which industries or populations of firms are embedded. Conversely, studies on the institutional characteristics of business or innovation systems have tended to focus on collective patterns of change amongst the firms engaged in a given system, and not on the potential variety of firm-specific responses and initiatives that may arise within a particular system. Here we have proposed instead that a better understanding of the co-evolution of firms with their institutional environment must be grounded upon the variety of firm-level creativity and experimentation in the context of the profound uncertainty surrounding the direction and implications of institutional change. Second, in order to develop this theme, we have drawn most closely on the recent work of North and Nelson on the role of institutional change in economic development and growth. These contributions have not been widely recognized in the IB literature, but they have enabled us to join together the micro- and macro-level processes of change into one unified framework. In particular, North’s view of institutions as responses to uncertainties stemming mainly from the human environment, and that of Nelson on managerial decision-making Journal of International Business Studies The co-evolution of MNEs and the institutional environment John Cantwell et al 580 under conditions of profound uncertainty, share some core ideas concerning the role of experimentation and path dependence that enable the integration of these different but interconnected levels of analysis. Third, by applying the framework to the extant empirical evidence, we have been able to demonstrate how the changes in the structure of MNEs from ownership-based organizations to a nexus of interrelated entities represents an evolution towards increasing flexibility, which is essential for experimentation to take place. The purposeful experimentation undertaken by MNEs at the corporate and subsidiary levels can be thought of as a variety-generating engine, and dynamic institutional environments put pressure on MNE subsidiaries to develop novel responses in their local operating environment. Using this raw material, MNEs employ their resources and capabilities to develop new transferable routines, which can then be shared within the MNE network, and which may ultimately become appropriated by external parties. The empirical literature we examined provided illustrations of the ways in which MNEs have responded to uncertainties by the development of new institutions and open network structures, and how such innovations in turn impact on the wider institutional environment. The changes in the strategies and structures of MNEs towards open networks and more operational flexibility suggest that IB scholars should revisit their thinking about how MNEs respond to changes in their OLI configurations, and how such configurations evolve over time. This does not mean that organizational structures favoring flexibility and non-equity ties necessarily require changes to our received paradigms and theories because they are new. Quite the contrary; there is mounting evidence to suggest that such structures were already quite common a century ago.16 But by examining in what ways the balance of endogenous and exogenous institutional change has evolved over time we are able to demonstrate that while, at some points in time, the ability and incentives of firms to adopt flexible organizational structures have been curtailed by exogenous institutional change, at others firms have had more room to implement their internal solutions to uncertainty. We believe that an evolutionary and history-friendly approach to theorizing about the MNE allows us to appreciate the importance of institutions and institutional change to the resource-allocative process, and to separate the Journal of International Business Studies endogenous processes of change from those that are (or become) exogenous. This also allows us to bring the burgeoning but separate literatures on firm- and country-level analyses of institutional effects in IB within a single unifying framework. Echoing the call by Morgan (2005) that a dynamic view of firms needs to be matched with a dynamic view of institutions, we believe that this paper has also helped to enhance and extend both North’s analysis of institutional change and Nelson’s examination of the significance of institutional adaptation and adjustment in the evolutionary processes governing technology development. In terms of North’s analysis, which sees firms as organizations that primarily respond to exogenous incentive structures and enforcement mechanisms, we think that what is missing is the active involvement of firms in the process of generating new forms of (formal) institutions, which may replace the need to develop the corresponding institutions at the national or supranational level. Furthermore, the presence of MNE affiliates in a host country may act as a catalyst to changing the informal institutions and mindsets of people, as for instance has been the case in recent years in Japan.17 Thus our analysis has highlighted that firms, and MNEs in particular, may and often do play an important role in generating new ‘‘rules of the game’’. In terms of evolutionary analysis, we believe our contribution may be useful in emphasizing how the open network structure and the flexibility embedded in it allow the MNE and its affiliates to engage in multiple cross-border experiments in unfamiliar and uncertain environments. The evolving structure of the MNE is itself a manifestation of the difficulties attached to technological development, particularly in the realm of social technologies. We believe that the considerable research currently undertaken on knowledge generation and transmission within the MNE network can offer important insights into the process of experimentation and the diffusion of structural solutions to address the problems created by complexity and uncertainty. Like other scholars interested in co-evolutionary analyses, we advocate an approach that is historical, contextual and multidisciplinary in nature (Lewin & Volberda, 1999; Redding, 2005). The pervasiveness of equifinality and nonlinearities in the evolutionary process in complex systems does not permit one to make causal predictions concerning the relationships between specific variables (Andriani & McKelvey, 2007; Sullivan & The co-evolution of MNEs and the institutional environment John Cantwell et al 581 Daniels, 2008). Furthermore, the existence of an optimal path of co-evolution is antithetical to the basic idea of a systemic evolutionary process. Instead, the aim of such analysis is to achieve a better understanding of the multiple relationships and feedback mechanisms that both affect firm evolution and induce changes in the institutional environment. Indeed, owing to its holistic nature, we believe that co-evolutionary analysis is particularly promising in the contribution it can make to the assessment of the impact of MNEs in the area of public policy, which has been of central interest to the IB field since its inception. Our analysis points to many unanswered questions that only rigorous empirical research can answer. These might include questions such as: What makes some firms better able to co-evolve with their institutional environment than others? Do successful firms generate more variety, or do they have better selection and retention routines? Is institutional entrepreneurship within the firm usually associated with an ability to co-evolve with the institutional environment? What factors contribute to the absorptive capacity of local firms in connection with institutional innovation? How should we evaluate the contribution of MNEs to the transformation of the host countries? How do institutional entrepreneurship and co-evolution affect the home country of the MNE? The co-evolution of MNEs with their environment is part of a broader shift in the balance between the public and private spheres that is ongoing in most economies today (Hurrelmann, Leibfried, Martens, & Mayer, 2007). In some countries and sectors, deregulation and publicprivate partnerships have given more room for firms to become the de facto guardians of regulatory standards. In others, the encroachment of private practices into the public realm has not been by design, but has happened as a consequence of the processes of market liberalization and globalization. Institutional theory would suggest that while one form of governance is not necessarily superior to another, both public and private institutions are liable to fail if the informal institutions cease to be congruent with the formal institutions they support. Consequently, we think that further research into the kinds of questions we have posed here should contribute to better-informed public policy that appreciates the positive transformational role of MNEs, as well as the vulnerabilities inherent in the development and enforcement of both public and private institutions. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS The origins of this paper lie in a conversation between John Cantwell and John Dunning in April 2007, in which we agreed to collaborate on a paper on an evolutionary theory of international business activity in a longer-term historical perspective. In October that same year Sarianna Lundan joined the conversation, and we decided that we needed to focus as our central theme on the co-evolution of MNE activity and the institutional environment. The three of us worked closely together on the paper, despite the diagnosis of John Dunning’s illness in January 2008. John continued to be involved in all our discussions of the paper through to the sad event of his death in January 2009, which was during the second round stage of revision and resubmission. Thereafter, the two remaining authors completed the final version of this paper, and we take full responsibility for the form in which it finally appears. We are grateful for the helpful comments that we have received from the reviewers and participants at the AIB conference in San Diego, to the three anonymous referees of the journal, and to the editors of JIBS. NOTES Although we might note that there is almost no evidence of explicit cross-fertilization between the two. 2 These correspond broadly to the three pillars introduced by Scott (2001), except that the informal institutions cover both the normative and the culturalcognitive domains. 3 By the physical environment we mean the realm of the resources and markets exploited by profit-maximizing firms, where little attention is being paid to non-market actors and institutional differences. By contrast, the human environment is concerned more with the mindsets and motivation of the actors involved in resource allocation, where non-market actors and institutional differences figure prominently. 4 This is partly because organizations in North’s (1990) analysis include not only firms but also political parties, educational organizations, and social and cultural organizations. 5 Another stream of the IB literature that has emphasized the need for MNEs to adopt more flexible (and experimental) strategies is that involving real options. This literature has been particularly concerned with the effects of irreversibility on investment, and how a piecemeal approach might allow the firm to realize additional option value from its investments (Buckley & Casson, 1998; Kogut & Kulatilaka, 1994). 1 Journal of International Business Studies The co-evolution of MNEs and the institutional environment John Cantwell et al 582 See also Hamel (2006) on management innovation and corporate resilience. 6 Recognizing of course that some best practices may be very difficult to imitate or transfer owing to causal ambiguity or social complexity, even within the firm, let alone by other firms (Kogut & Parkinson, 1998; Martin & Salomon, 2003; Szulanski, 1996). 7 In passing, we might note that the view of structural inertia in the literature on population ecology, such as Hannan and Freeman (1984), is not the same as the meaning of inertia in our sense here, or that in Freeman and Perez (1988). We are concerned here with impediments to institutional change in the environment largely beyond specific industries and the competitive interactions that may play out within industries. Yet these are impediments that may be overcome with varying degrees of success or failure across different firms and different countries. In contrast, Hannan and Freeman (1984) think of structural inertia as implying an inability of firms to adapt to their environments, so that the selection in or out of specific firms is largely unaffected by their strategic decisions or actions. In other words, in this alternative context of the evolution of populations of firms in an industry, firms need not co-evolve with their environment. However, the ideas of Freeman and Perez and of North on cross-country differences in institutional inertia, and hence in the ability of firms to adapt to or take advantage of changes in physical technology, can rightly be traced back to the much earlier contribution of Veblen (1899). 8 Historically, this was the case for example with US manufacturing investment in Europe in the 1920s and 1930s (Wilkins, 1974). 9 The work of Oliver (1991, 1997) is extremely instructive in outlining the range of different strategic responses of firms, albeit in a non-IB context. 10 Civil society groups have also found inventive ways to introduce new institutions, for example, by using the Alien Tort Claims Act to make MNEs accountable for human rights violations (Muchlinski, 2001). 11 Although the OLI factors are fundamentally interdependent, it is particularly in this kind of dynamic context that their interconnections are likely to be most evident. 12 However, not all such voids can be filled in by MNEs, and there is often no compelling reason for the inefficient parts of an institutional system to be replaced. 13 The distinction between linkage effects and spillovers, and the different channels for their dissemination, are discussed in Dunning and Lundan (2008b). See also Spencer (2008). 14 It is also reasonable to assume that initial imitation occurs for somewhat different reasons than later imitation, since initial imitation carries a high signaling value, whereas subsequent imitation may exhibit bandwagon effects. 15 The British Empire, which spanned the globe, provides a historical counter-example. In this case the comprehensive transfer of institutions, including systems of education, made it easier for firms to engage in cross-border activities within the Empire. This resulted in a pattern of sustained high levels of trade and investment within the Commonwealth (Lundan & Jones, 2001). 16 See for example the work by Jones on the evolution of trading companies, and on the historical prevalence of the group or network structures of MNEs (Jones, 2000; Jones & Khanna, 2006). 17 Ozawa (2005) has examined how US MNEs have contributed to the institutional transformation ongoing in Japan. 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In S. Collinson & G. Morgan (Eds) Images of the multinational firm: 117–144. Chichester: John Wiley. Whitley, R. 1999. Divergent capitalisms: The social structuring and change of business systems. Oxford: Oxford University Press. Wilkins, M. 1974. The maturing of multinational enterprise: American business abroad from 1914 to 1970. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press. Winter, S. G. 2003. Understanding dynamic capabilities. Strategic Management Journal, 24(10): 991–995. Wu, C., Lawler, J. J., & Xiang, Y. 2008. Overt employment discrimination in MNC affiliates: Home-country cultural and institutional effects. Journal of International Business Studies, 39(5): 772–794. Zeitlin, J., & Herrigel, G. (Eds) 2000. Americanization and its limits. Oxford: Oxford University Press. ABOUT THE AUTHORS John Cantwell ([email protected]) is Professor of International Business at Rutgers University, Newark, NJ. He received his PhD from Reading University in the UK. His research focuses on technological innovation and multinational enterprises. He has been Program Chair of the AIB and President of EIBA, and he is an elected AIB Fellow. He is a UK citizen and a US permanent resident. Journal of International Business Studies The co-evolution of MNEs and the institutional environment John Cantwell et al 586 John H Dunning, OBE, was Emeritus Professor of International Business at the University of Reading, UK, and at Rutgers University, US. He was a British citizen. He earned his doctorate in Economics from the University of Southampton, and received six honorary doctorates. He was an ex-President of both the Academy of International Business and the International Trade and Finance Association. Sarianna M Lundan (s.lundan@maastrichtuniversity .nl) is Associate Professor of International Business Strategy at Maastricht University in the Netherlands. She is a Finnish citizen, and received her PhD from Rutgers University in New Jersey, US. Her current research focuses on applications of institutional theory, particularly in connection with the role of MNEs in the economic, political and social transformation of nation states. Accepted by Geoffrey Jones, Consulting Editor, 21 September 2009. This paper has been with the authors for three revisions. Journal of International Business Studies Reproduced with permission of the copyright owner. Further reproduction prohibited without permission.
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