Please write your answers on this exam paper. Economics 514 Macroeconomic Analysis Mid-term Exam 1 Tuesday, October 12th , 2010 9-11am 1. Relative Technology Levels We observe two countries Argentina and Brazil. The investment rate in Brazil is 30% (s = .3) and the investment rate in Argentina is 15% (s = .15). In each country, the population/labor force growth rate is 3%. In both countries, the depreciation rate and technology growth rate are assumed to be identical though the possibility exists that the level of technology, At, is different in the two economies. Real wages in Argentina and Brazil are both 4 US dollars per hour. Assume that output is given by a Cobb-Douglas production function with a capital intensity parameter of α = ⅓. Yt K t ( At Lt )1 a. In which country, will capital productivity be highest when both countries are on their balanced growth path. What is the ratio of steady state capital productivity, SS Y in Brazil to that in Argentina? K Steady state capital productivity for country j is n . The ratio of capital sj n SS Y sBRZ s BRZ productivity in the two countries is K SS ARG 1 sBRZ 2 n Y K ARG s ARG Please write your answers on this exam paper. b. In which country is labor productivity highest? What is the ratio of labor productivity in Brazil to that in Argentina? Both countries have equal real wage rates and equal marginal product of labor. With Cobb-Douglas, this means both have equal average product of labor. The ratio is one to 1. c. In which country is technology highest. Assume that both countries are on their balanced growth path. Calculate the ratio of technology in Brazil to Argentina. BGP yBRZ BGP y ARG Y BGP 1 A K BRZ BRZ s ARG 1 ABRZ 1 AARG sBRZ Y BGP 1 A K ARG ARG ABRZ s ARG AARG sBRZ 1 1 2 Please write your answers on this exam paper. 2. Cost of Capital and Real Wages There is a fixed supply of labor in the economy, L=1000. Assume that output is given by a Cobb-Douglas production function with a capital intensity parameter of ⅓. Yt K t ( Lt )1 Firms sell goods at a dollar price, Pt. Assume for the sake of simplicity that the price level is Pt = 1. Price-taking firms rent labor, Lt, at wage rate, Wt, and capital, Kt, at a rental rate Rt. Firms act to maximize profits, ∏t. t Yt Wt Lt Rt Kt Kt ( Lt )1 Wt Lt Rt K t Capital can be rented freely in the international market at a real capital rental rate, R =.12. a. One of the first order conditions is that the firm will hire workers until the Y marginal product of labor is equal to the wage. MPLt t Kt Lt Wt Lt The other describes the demand for capital. What is the demand curve for capital? MPK t Yt K (R ) 1 Kt ( 1) K t 1 L1t Rt L b. With a fixed supply of labor, LS = 1000, and an elastic capital supply, R =.12, solve for the profit maximizing level of capital and real wage when supply equals demand in both markets. K (.36) 1 (2/3) 1000 (.36) 3 2 1000 462.96 L W (1 ) K 2 4.63 3 1.111 3 1 L (1 ) K 1 3 Please write your answers on this exam paper. c. Now, assume that the government gives a monopoly franchise to a capital importer. The capital importer will be able to rent capital from international markets at a fixed rate of Q = .12. Then, they can charge a price R to the production firms to maximize profits Profit R K Q K . Remember that the demand for capital is a function of R, K = K(R) which was solved for in part a. Calculate the monopoly profit maximizing price, R. Calculate the level of capital that the firm will demand at that price with a labor supply of L = 1000. Calculate the equilibrium wage rate max R R K ( R) QK ( R) K ( R) R K '( R) Q K '( R) K ( R) )Q R K '( R) 1 R Q K ( R) (1 ) R K '( R) R (1 K ( R) ( R ) 1 ( 1) L, K '( R) 1 K ( R) R K '( R ) R 1 1 (R ) (1 ) ( 1) 1 ( 1) (1 ) L ( 1) 1 ( R) ( 1) 1 ( 1) 1 1 1 R Q Q Q 3Q .36 1 (1 1) ( ) 3 K (R ) 1 (1.08) W 2 3 2 ( 1) L (.36 1 ) 3 2 L 3 1000 89.10 3 L K 1 3 2 .891 3 .6145 3 1 1 L ( 1) 1 ( R) ( 1) 1 1 ( 1) 1 L ( 1) Please write your answers on this exam paper. 3. Labor Taxes and Labor Supply A worker chooses how much labor to supply to achieve the optimal trade-off between capital and labor. The worker has an amount of time which must be spilt between labor, Lt and leisure, lst. TIME Lt lst The worker only has an income, wtLt, from working at a real wage rate, wt normalized to 1. The worker must pay taxes and those taxes are a fraction of income, TAXt =τ∙wtLt . This leaves income available for consumption of Ct =(1τ)∙wt Lt : The cost (in terms of consumption) to the worker of taking each extra unit of leisure time is the lost after-tax earnings, (1-τ)∙wt. Assume that workers have preferences toward consumption and leisure given by a logarithmic utility function U t log(Ct ) log(lst ) so the Marginal Rate of substitution between consumption and leisure is given by U 1 MU ls C ls MRS ls 1 MU C U ls C C Normalize the time to be equal to TIME = 1. Calculate the optimal share of time supplied as labor, Lt, when the tax rate, τ = 0. Calculate the labor supplied when the tax rate, τ = ½. Explain the effect of the change in the tax rate on labor supply. At optimum, the marginal rate of substitution equals the cost of leisure equal the C MRS (1 ) w ls opportunity cost of leisure C (1 ) w L (1 ) w (TIME ls ) (1 ) w (TIME ls ) (1 ) w ls 1 2 TIME ls The household spends half their time working and half their time in leisure regardless of what is the real wage and what is the tax rate. If wages go up, taking leisure becomes relatively more expensive and the household has the tendency to substitute consumption for leisure (the substitution effect) but the household also can afford more consumption without working harder and can afford more leisure without cutting back on consumption (the income effect). In this situation, the substitution effect cancels out the income effect and leisure/labor choices are unaffected by the real wage. The same holds for the labor tax. When the tax goes up, leisure becomes cheaper inducing the worker to substitute leisure for consumption. However, the worker can afford less consumption and less leisure. The income and substitution effects cancel out. Please write your answers on this exam paper. 4. Human Capital and Endogenous Growth Output is a function of capital, Kt, and skilled labor. Skilled labor is the product of human capital, Ht, and labor, Lt. Normalize the fixed labor supply to be equal to Lt = 1. Skilled labor can be used either to produce goods or to produce education. The share of human capital used to produce education is sH and the share used for producing goods is (1-sH). Yt Kt ([1 s H ] H t )1 The growth rate of output is a weighted average of the growth rate of capital and the growth rate of human capital. gtY gtK (1 ) gtH Education is used to invest in human capital H t 1 EDUCATIONt H t Human capital is used to produce education. . a. Assume production of education is done without diminishing EDUCATIONt b s H H t Solve for the long-term growth rate of human capital. Assume that investment is a constant fraction of output. Kt 1 Kt sYt Kt Calculate the steady state capital productivity level. Calculate the long-term growth rate of output along the balanced growth path The growth rate of human capital is constant. H t 1 H t EDUCATIONt b s H H t H t 1 H t gtH1 b s H Ht The growth rate of capital is a function of capital productivity. K Kt Y Kt 1 K t sYt K t t 1 s t Kt Kt If capital growth is higher than the growth rate of human capital, the growth rate of output is less than the growth rate of capital and capital productivity is falling. Capital productivity will stop falling when the growth rate of capital is equal to the growth rate of human capital and thereby equal to the growth rate of output. This balanced growth path is obtained when capital productivity is H Y Y bs b sH s t Kt s K Please write your answers on this exam paper. b. Assume that education is produced with diminishing returns. EDUCATIONt b s H Ht 0 1 Calculate the long-term growth rate of human capital. Calculate the steady state capital productivity level. Calculate the long-term growth rate of productivity along the balanced growth path. The growth rate of human capital is a negative function of the level of human H t 1 H t EDUCATIONt b s H H t capital. H t 1 H t As human capital grows to b sH gtH1 1 Ht Ht infinity, the level of human capital will get so large that the growth rate will Y Y be zero. 0 s t and the the growth rate of labor Kt K s productivity will be zero.
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