StrategicIncentivesWhenSupplyingtoRivals withanApplicationtoVerticalFirmStructure SergeMoresiandMariusSchwartz* November29,2015 Abstract Weconsideraverticallyintegratedinputmonopolistsupplyingtoadifferentiated downstreamrival.Withlinearinputpricing,atthemarginthefirmunambiguouslywants therivaltoexpand—unlikestandardoligopolywithnosupplyrelationship—foreither CournotorBertrandcompetition.Withatwo‐parttarifffortheinput,thesameresultholds ifdownstreamchoicesarestrategiccomplements,butisreversedforCournotwith strategicsubstitutes.Weanalyzeverticaldelegationasonemechanismforinducing expansionorcontractionbytherival/customer. JELCodes: L13,D43,L14,L22 Keywords: StrategicCompetitionagainstCustomers,VerticalDelegation *Moresi:CharlesRiverAssociates,Inc.,WashingtonDC2004<[email protected]>. Schwartz:DepartmentofEconomics,GeorgetownUniversity,WashingtonDC20057 <[email protected]>.WethankAxelAnderson,YongminChen,JayEzrielev,JustinJohnson, NadavLevy,PatrickRey,BillRogerson,SteveSalop,YossiSpiegel,JohnVickers,AleksYankelevich, andparticipantsattheIIOC2015conference,CRESSE2015conferenceandSearleCenter2015 conference.Anyerrorsareoursalone. 1. Introduction Verticallyintegratedfirmsoftensupplyinputstootherfirmswithwhomtheycompeteina downstreammarket.Tocitejustafewexamples,Qualcommmakeschipsusedin smartphonesandlicenseskeypatentstorivalchipmanufacturers(BenoitandClark, 2015);SamsungsuppliescomponentsforiPhonesandproducescompetingdevices; Comcast‐NBCUsuppliesprogrammingtovideodistributorsandcompeteswiththemin videodistribution(Rogerson,2013);andtheUSPostOfficesupplieslastmiledistribution servicesofpackagestoprivatecompetitorssuchasFedExandUPS(Panzar,2015). Tougherbehavioror“expansion”byarival/customer—anoutputincreaseorprice decrease—thenhasopposingeffectsontheintegratedfirm’sprofit:downstreamprofits fall,thecompetitioneffect,butinputsalesandupstreamprofitsrise,thesupplyeffect.Atthe margin,wouldtheintegratedfirmgainorlosefromexpansionbyitsrival/customer? Besidestheoreticalinterestthequestionhaspracticalrelevance.Forexample,the firmmaybeabletoelicitthedesiredchangebymakingobservablepre‐commitmentsthat signalitsownstrategicpostureindownstreamcompetition,asdiscussedintheliterature onstrategiccommitmentsinoligopoly(seeShapiro,1989).There,afirmmayadoptatough orsoftposturedependingonwhetherthecompetitivechoicevariablesarestrategic substitutesorstrategiccomplements(FudenbergandTirole,1984;Bulow,Geanakoplos andKlemperer,1985)—butthegoalthroughoutistoinducesofterbehaviorbytherival(s). Inoursetting,however,thedownstreamrivalisalsoaninputcustomer. Specifically,weconsideranunregulatedandverticallyintegratedinputmonopolist thatpreferstosupplytheinputalsotoadownstreamfirmsellingadifferentiated substituteproduct.DownstreamcompetitionmaybeCournotorBertrand,andwedonot imposeafunctionalformondemand.Despitethetradeoffbetweendownstreamprofitsand inputprofits,weareabletocharacterizetheintegratedfirm’sincentiveregardingits rival/customerstartingattheequilibriumcontractunderfairlygeneralconditions. Whentheinputissoldunderlinearpricing,atthemargintheintegratedfirm necessarilybenefitsfromexpansionbytherival/customer(Proposition1).Thissharp resultholdswhetherdownstreamcompetitionisinpricesorquantitiesandwhetherthese 1 variablesarestrategicsubstitutesorcomplements.Inhindsight,thelogicissimple. Loweringtheinputpricewillalwayssacrificerevenuefrominframarginalinputsalesand induceexpansionbytherival/customer,whoseeffectontheintegratedfirm’sprofitis ambiguousaprioriduetotheopposinginputsupplyanddownstreamcompetitioneffects. Attheprofit‐maximizinginputprice,however,expansionalonemustincreasethe integratedfirm’sprofit,otherwisethefirmwouldgainbyraisingtheinputpriceand boostingrevenuefrominframarginalinputsales.OurresultgeneralizesafindingbyArya, MittendorfandYoon(2008)forCournotcompetitionwithlinear(differentiated)demands, andtheproofrevealstheunderlyingforces. Wealsoanalyzethecasewheretheinputissoldunderatwo‐parttariffandthe integratedfirmextractstheotherfirm’sprofitviathefixedfee.Nonetheless,theintegrated firmdoesnotmaximizeindustryprofit—becauseitcannotcommittotherival/customer regardingitsowndownstreamchoice—andwillstillbenefitatthemarginfromexpansion orcontractionbytheotherfirm.Butdeterminingwhichoftheseitprefersismoreintricate thanunderlinearpricing,andthespecificsofcompetitionnowmatter.Thepreviousresult persistswithBertrandorCournotcompetitionifdownstreamchoicesarestrategic complements(Proposition2).However,forCournotandthe“normal”caseofstrategic substitutes,theresultisreversed:expansionbytherival/customerwouldharmthe integratedfirm;forBertrandandstrategicsubstitutestheeffectisambiguous. Thelogicunderlyingthesepatternsissubtle,andthefollowingisonlyasketch.As before,loweringtheinputpricewouldinduceexpansionbytherival/customer,whose impactontheintegratedfirm’sprofitstartingattheequilibriumcontractmustbeinferred fromtheothereffectofloweringtheinputprice.Buttheothereffectnolongerinvolves reducedrevenuefrominframarginalinputsales,becauseofanoffsettingincreaseinthe fixedfee.Instead,aneweffectarises:loweringtheinputpricemaysignaleithertougheror softercompetitionbytheintegratedfirmdownstream(asdiscussedshortly)and, therefore,alterthemaximalfixedfeethatcanbechargedtotheotherfirm.Ifitsignals toughercompetition,thenloweringtheinputpricewouldbecostlytotheintegratedfirm byreducingthemaximalfixedfee.Inthiscase,attheequilibriumcontract,theintegrated firmmustgainfromexogenousexpansionbytherival/customer(sinceloweringtheinput pricetoinduceexpansionwouldbecostly).Theoppositeholdsif,instead,loweringthe 2 inputpricesignalssoftercompetitionbytheintegratedfirm:itthenmustlosefrom exogenousexpansionbytherival/customer. Whetheralowerinputpricesignalstougherorsoftercompetitionfromthe integratedfirmwilldependonwhetherdownstreamvariablesarestrategicsubstitutesor complements,andwhethercompetitionisCournotorBertrand.Interestingly,thelatter distinctionmattersindependently,becausetheinputpriceaffectstheintegratedfirm’s shadowmarginalcostofitsdownstreamoutput—henceaffectstherival/customer’s expectationofdownstreamaggressiveness—onlyunderBertrand. Weanalyzeonepotentialmechanismtheintegratedfirmmayusetoelicitexpansion orcontractionbyitsrival/customer:verticaldelegation.Thefirmcreatesanautonomous downstreamunitthatsetsdownstreampriceorquantitytomaximizeitsobjectiverather thanintegratedprofit(alternatively,controlofthedownstreamunitisspunofftooutside investorswhilethesupplierretainsmajoritypassiveownership),andchargesitaninput priceobservabletotherival/customer.1Becausetheinputpriceisnottreatedasapurely internaltransfer,itcanservetosignalthedownstreamunit’scompetitivepostureand (indirectly)altertherival/customer’sbehavior. Focusingonlinearinputpricing(forreasonsweshallexplain),weapplyProposition 1toshowthattheintegratedfirmcangainbysuitablyadjustingtheinputpricetoits downstreamunitrelativetoitsshadowmarginalcostundertheoriginalcentralization regime.Itcangainbyraisingtheinputpriceifcompetitioninvolvesstrategicsubstitutes— tosignalcontractionbyitsdownstreamunitandinduceexpansionbytherival/customer— andloweringtheinputpricewithstrategiccomplements(Proposition3).Interestingly, underBertrandcompetition,theintegratedfirmcangainbyreducingitspricetoinducea pricereductionbytherival/customer,eventhoughtherival’soutputislikelytofall,andwe explainwhythisisconsistentwiththelogicofProposition1.Anotherinterestingfeature underBertrandandstrategiccomplementsisthatdelegationalsocreatesanincentiveto raisetheinputpricetotherival. 1Wethereforeabstractfromissuesofunobservabilityandrenegotiation(e.g.Katz,1991;Caillaud andRey,1995).WewilldiscusstheseissuesbrieflyinSection4,alongwiththeplausibilityofour verticaldelegationandtherelationshiptorelatedliterature. 3 Thepaperisorganizedasfollows.Section2presentsthemodelandaddresses linearinputpricing.Section3analyzestwo‐parttariffs.Section4appliestheanalysisto verticaldelegation,andSection5concludes.TheAppendixprovidestechnicaldetailsanda numericalexampleoftheapplicationtoverticaldelegation. 2. TheSettingandLinearInputPricing Aninputmonopolist,firm1,suppliestoitsdownstreamunitandtoanindependent downstreamrival,firm2,asettingsometimesdescribedaspartialforwardintegrationor dualdistribution.Thefirmsproduceimperfectsubstitutes,andwithenoughdifferentiation firm1indeedwillprefertosupplyalsotofirm2ratherthanforecloseitentirely. Downstreamchoicevariables and areeitherper‐unitquantities( and )orprices ( and ),therebyallowingBertrandorCournotcompetitiondownstream.Tostreamline theexposition,wedefine forCournotand forBertrand;thus,anincreasein representsgreater“aggressiveness”or“toughness”becauseitreducesdownstream profitoftheotherfirm.Thetimingisasfollows.First,firm1setsaper‐unitinputprice tofirm2.Then,firms1and2simultaneouslysetdownstreamvariables , , consumerspurchase,andfirm2paysforfirm1’sinput. Eachfirmrequiresoneunitofinputperunitofoutput,andweuse forbothk’s outputandinputamountsconditionalonthedownstreamvariables.Firm2chooses to maximizeitsprofit ; ; , ,andfirm1chooses ; tomaximizeitstotalprofits: . (1) Here, isfirm1’smarginalcostofproducingtheinput,assumedconstantovertherelevant range; ; isfirm1’sprofitfromitsoutputsales;and isitsprofitfrom inputsalestofirm2.2Thisisastandardrepresentationofbehaviorbyanintegratedfirm thatalsosuppliestoarival.3Alltherelevantfunctionsareassumeddifferentiable. 2Forconvenience,wewilloftensuppressthethirdargumentof ,theexogenousmarginalcost . 3Underthisrepresentation,Chen(2001)comparespartialintegrationtonointegration.Arya, Mittendorf,andSappington(2008)comparetheoutcomesunderpartialintegrationwhen downstreamcompetitionisBertrandorCournot. 4 Notethatiffirm1didnotsupplyinputstofirm2,orwasaregulatedmonopolist thatmustsupplytofirm2atcost(i.e. itsownsales,i.e. aggressive, ; ⁄∂ ; ),thenfirm1’sprofitwouldcomesolelyfrom .Inthatcase,firm1wouldpreferthatfirm2beless 0,i.e.reduceoutputwhendownstreamcompetitionisCournot,or raisepriceifcompetitionisBertrand,soastoincreasethedemandfor1’sproduct. ),sofirm2’s Inoursetting,firm1sellsinputstofirm2atamarkup(i.e. downstreamchoice, ,hastwoopposingeffectsonfirm1’sprofits: where Π1 2 2 2 , (2) / ∂ ,isthe“downstreamcompetition”effectdiscussedpreviouslyand ⁄∂ isthe“inputsupply”effectwhichtypicallyrunsintheoppositedirection. Forexample,underdownstreamBertrandcompetition,apricerisebyfirm2increasesfirm 1’sprofitintheoutputmarket,butlowersitsprofitintheinputmarketbecausefirm2will produceless,andhencepurchasefewerinputs,whenitraisesitsoutputprice.Proposition 1belowwillshowthat,inequilibrium,theinputsaleseffectalwaysdominates,andthusthe integratedfirmwantstherival/customertobecomemoreaggressive. Wemakethefollowingassumptions: Assumption1.Foranyinputprice ,thereexistsauniquedownstreamNashequilibrium ∗ inpurestrategies,withthechoiceofdownstreamrivalk(k=1,2)denoted correspondingoutputlevel(andinputlevel)denoted UnderCournot, Assumption2.Let and ; ∗ ∗ ≡ ∗ , ∗ . . denotefirm1’s“reactionfunction”foritsdownstream choice,i.e.thevalueof thatmaximizes ; ∗ andits ; ,anddenotefirm2’sreactionfunctionby .Overtherelevantrange,afirm’sreactionfunctioniseitherstrictlydecreasingin therival’schoiceorstrictlyincreasing: ⁄ ⁄ <0(strategicsubstitute)or (strategiccomplement),withslopesmallerthanunityinabsolutevalue,| ⁄ >0 |<1. Assumption3.Anincreaseintheinputpricemakesfirm2lessaggressive—thatis,reduce outputunderCournotcompetitionandincreasepriceunderBertrandcompetition(i.e. 5 d ∗⁄ d 0,recallingthat forCournotand Firm1sets tomaximize ∗ profit‐maximizingchoice,and ∗ ∗ , ∗ ≡ forBertrand).4 ∗ , ; .Let ∗ denotethe theresultingequilibriumdownstreamchoices.We nowstateasharpresult: Proposition1.Assumethatfirm1sellstheinputtofirm2underlinearpricing.Atthe equilibriumoutcome , ⁄ aggressive,i.e. ∗ , , ∗ , ∗ ,firm1wantsfirm2tobecomemore 0. Proof.Thefirst‐ordercondition(FOC)withrespectto ∗ ∗ ≡ ∗ 0. TheFOCfor inthedownstreamcompetitionimplies ⁄ ∗ is (3) ⁄ 0,and(1)implies ,sothat(3)canberewrittenas ∗ Theassumptions ∗ ∗ 0andd . (4) ∗⁄ d 0imply ⁄ 0attheequilibriumpoint. Proposition1identifiesoppositeincentivestothoseinastandardduopolysetting wherefirm1doesnotsupplyfirm2.There,holding constant,firm1wouldgainfroma riseinfirm2’spriceunderBertrandcompetitionorafallinfirm2’soutputunderCournot. Thisistheusual“softeningdownstreamcompetition”effect.Itispresentalsohere,but dominatedbyanopposing“inputsupply”effect.Thelogicisshownin(4).Giventhatfirm1 sets attheprofit‐maximizinglevel,areductionin wouldhavethefollowingequalbut oppositeeffects:profitfrominframarginalinputsaleswouldfall,implyingthatprofitmust 4Anincreaseintheinputprice( )hasa“directcosteffect”inthesensethatitmakesfirm2less aggressiveholdingfirm1’sstrategicvariable( )constant.WithBertrandcompetition,itcanalso havean“indirectstrategiceffect”thatworkseitherinthesamedirectionasthecosteffectorinthe oppositedirection.Inthelattercase,weassumethatthecosteffectdominates.SeetheAppendix. 6 risefromincreasedinputsales—afterincorporatingthelossinfirm1’sdownstreamprofit causedbyfirm2’soutputexpansion(see(2)).5Thus,holding constantat ∗ and constantat ∗ ,theintegratedfirmwouldgainonbalance,despitethelossindownstream profits,iffirm2wereexogenouslytoincreaseitsinputpurchasesanddownstreamsales. (WeshowinSection4thatverticaldelegationcanbeusedtoinducethedesiredchangein ,andwealsodiscussinformallyotherpossiblemechanisms.) 3. Two‐PartTarifffortheInput Whentheintegratedfirmsellstheinputtofirm2usingatwo‐parttariff—i.e.apair where isafixedupfrontfee—itstotalprofitsare ; ; , , , ,where ; isgivenin(1).Aswewillexplain,theintegratedfirmcannotachievethevertically integratedmonopolyprofitdespitetheuseofatwo‐parttariffand,therefore,atthe equilibriumoutcome,itwouldstillbenefitfromasuitablemarginalchangeinfirm2’s outputorprice. Iffirm2acceptsthetwo‐parttariffoffer ∗ downstreamoutcomeisgivenbythefunctions Denotefirm2’sprofitgrossofthefixedfeeas , (asitwillinequilibrium),the and Let and ∗ ≡ ∗ ∗ ∗ ,where aswithlinearpricing. ∗ ∗ equilibrium,firm1willextractfirm2’sprofitbysetting tomaximize ∗ ∗ , ∗ ∗ ; .In .Therefore,itsets isthesameaswithlinearpricing. denotetheprofit‐maximizingtwo‐parttariff,and , denote theresultingequilibriumdownstreamchoices. Attheequilibrium,firm1mightbenefitfromfirm2beingmoreaggressive,aswith linearpricing,orfromfirm2beinglessaggressive.Whichcaseprevailswilldependonthe specificsofdownstreamcompetition:strategicsubstitutesorcomplements,andCournotor Bertrandcompetition.Toseewhythelatterdistinctionalsomatters,notethatwhenafirm sellsaninputtoarival,itsrelevantmarginalcostofsupplyingtheinputtoitsdownstream 5Equivalently,whatstopstheintegratedfirmfromraisingtheinputpriceabovetheoptimallevel— despiteincreasedprofitoninframarginalinputsales—isthatreducedinputsaleswouldlowerthe integratedfirm’sprofit,andbyenoughtooutweighthegaindownstream. 7 unitincludesboththeresourcemarginalcostcandanopportunitycostfromreducedinput salestothedownstreamrival(e.g.Chen,2001;Sappington,2005).Thisopportunitycostis positiveunderBertrandcompetition,butzerounderCournot,asshownnext.6 Define ≡ ; asfirm1’sprofitfromdownstreamsalesgrossof theresourcecostoftheinternallyprovidedinput.Then,using(1),firm1’stotalprofitgross ofthefixedfeecanbere‐writtenas ; , ,hence: Q2 / x1 Q1 V G . c ( w2 c) x1 x1 Q1 / x1 x1 (5) Theterminsquarebracketscanbeinterpretedastheintegratedfirm’sshadowmarginal costofprovidingtheinputtoitsdownstreamunit.Weexpressitmorecompactlyas where , ≡ ⁄ ⁄ ≡ , istheinputdiversionratio—i.e.decreasedinputsalestofirm2per extraunitofinputto1—andtheopportunitycostis Notethat (6) multipliedbytheinputmargin.7 0withBertrandcompetition,sincefirm1’sdownstreamexpansion inducedbycuttingpricewilldisplacesomesalesoffirm2;but 0withCournot,since firm1thentakesfirm2’soutput,andthusalsoitsinputpurchases,asgivenwhensetting itsowndownstreamoutput.Therefore,raisingtheinputpricetofirm2willincreasethe shadowmarginalcostoffirm1’sownoutputunderBertrandcompetition,butnotaffectit underCournot.Asaresult,firm1’sdownstream“reactionfunction” ; ),definedin 6Arya,Mittendorf,andSappington(2008)invokethisdistinctiontoshowthat,unlikeinstandard duopoly,BertrandcompetitiondownstreamcanyieldhigherpricesthanCournotwhenapartially integratedinputmonopolistsellsalsotoadownstreamrival,becausethemonopolistinternalizesa higheropportunitycostunderBertrandthanunderCournot. 7MoresiandSalop(2013)analyzeunilateralpricingincentivesinverticalmergersandshowthata verysimilaropportunitycostcreatesupwardpressureonthedownstreampricechargedbythe mergedfirm.Asimilarconceptalsoarisesintheregulationliteratureonefficientaccesspricingtoa downstreamcompetitor,wheretheopportunitycostisthereductioninprofittotheintegratedfirm perunitofaccessprovidedtothecompetitor(e.g.Armstrong,Doyle,andVickers,1996). 8 ⁄ Assumption2,exhibits ⁄ 0underCournot,but 0underBertrand.8 Thenextresultshowsthat,holdingallelseconstant,anexpostmarginalincreasein (firm2’saggressiveness)willbenefitfirm1ifitsdownstreamchoiceisastrategic complementforfirm2’schoice;harmfirm1ifdownstreamcompetitionisCournotand firm1’squantityisastrategicsubstituteforfirm2’squantity;andhaveanambiguous effectifcompetitionisBertrandandfirm1’spriceisastrategicsubstituteforfirm2’sprice. Proposition2.Assumethatfirm1sellstheinputtofirm2underatwo‐parttariff.Atthe equilibriumoutcome , , , , , ,asmallchangeinfirm2’schoice , affectsfirm1’sprofit excludingthefixedfeeasfollows: (i)WithCournotcompetition, ⁄ ⁄ 0if ⁄ 0if 0(strategiccomplement)and 0(strategicsubstitute). (ii)WithBertrandcompetition, ambiguousif ⁄ ⁄ ⁄ ⁄ 0if 0,andthesignof ⁄ is 0. Proof.Firm1sets ∗ tomaximize ≡ ∗ ∗ ∗ ∗ wherethefirstequalityexploitsthat ⁄ * R dX * V dX 2 2 { 1 2 x2 dw2 x1 x2 dw2 strategic effect ∗ ∗⁄ ⁄ ∗ 2d 1 1d 2 0, (7) 0attheprofit‐ andrearranginggives d R1 w2 .TheFOCis ∗ 0and maximizingdownstreamchoices.Decomposingd ∗ ∗ } (8) opportunity costeffect wherethestrategicandopportunitycosteffectsareindicatedforfuturereference.In(8), ⁄ 0andusingtheSOC ⁄ .From(1),wehave ⁄ 0. ),whileunderCournot 8DifferentiatingtheFOC ⁄ sign (recalling ⁄ ⁄ ⁄ 0,onefinds:sign ⁄ .UnderBertrand 0 9 d ∗⁄ d ⁄ 0byAssumption3,and theoppositesignoftheterminparentheses.Givend ⁄ (i)WithCournotcompetition,sign ⁄ (ii)WithBertrandcompetition, ⁄ ⁄ 0bydefinitionof .Thus, ∗⁄ 0,(8)thenimplies: ⁄ sign ⁄ 0if d takes (since ⁄ 0). 0(since ⁄ 0).Ifinstead 0,theterminparenthesesin(8)hasanambiguoussign,hencesodoes ⁄ . Thus,forCournotcompetitionandthe“normal”caseofstrategicsubstitutes,the patternisreversedfromthecasewithnofixedfee(i.e. ≡ 0)addressedinProposition1: startingattheequilibriumoutcome,theintegratedfirmnowwouldbenefitfroman exogenousdecreasein .ForBertrandcompetitionandthe“normal”caseofstrategic complements,wehavethesamepatternasinProposition1:theintegratedfirmwould benefitfromareductionin ,whichconstitutesmoreaggressivebehaviorbyfirm2. Thesepatterns,andtheirrelationshiptolinearinputpricing,canbeunderstoodby comparingtheFOCsunderthetwopricingregimes.Withlinearinputpricing,adecreasein w2willreducefirm1’srevenuefrominframarginalinputsales,term– sustain ∗ ∗ in(4);thus,to asfirm1’soptimalpriceitmustbetruethatexpansionbyfirm2—inducedby decreasingw2—mustbyitselfraisefirm1’sprofitV.Withatwo‐parttarifffortheinput, however,w2nolongeraffectsfirm1’sprofitfrominframarginalinputsales,duetothe compensatingchangeinfirm2’sfixedfee(term ∗ cancelsin(7)).Instead,w2nowaffects firm1’sprofit(besidesthroughthedirectimpactoffirm2’sexpansiononV)bysignalinga changeinfirm1’sdownstreamchoice,whichaltersfirm2’sprofitandthereforethefixed feethatfirm1canextract(collectively,thelasttermin(7), ⁄ d ∗⁄ d ). Signalingsofterbehaviorletsfirm1extractahigherfixedfee,byincreasingfirm2’s expectedprofit.Whethersignalingsoftnessrequiresloweringorraisingw2dependsonthe signofd effectof ∗⁄ d = ⁄ d ∗⁄ d + ⁄ .Thelasttermistheopportunitycost onfirm1’s(downstream)choice,whichiszerounderCournotcompetition.The firsttermisthestrategiceffect—howtheforeseenchangeinfirm2’sequilibriumchoice inducedbyaltering altersfirm1’schoice. WithCournotcompetition,onlythestrategiceffectispresent.Iffirm1’soutputisa strategicsubstitutefor2’soutput ⁄ 0 ,thenincreasingfirm2’soutput(through 10 cutting )signalsaloweroutputbyfirm1andbooststhefixedfee,andtheequilibriumw2 reflectsthisincentive.Therefore,holdingfirm1’soutputconstant,firm1wouldgainfrom anexogenouscontractionbyfirm2.If,instead,firm1’soutputisastrategiccomplement ⁄ 0 ,thenfirm1wouldgainfromexogenousexpansionbyfirm2. ForBertrandcompetitionandthe“normal”strategiccomplementcase,firm1 signalssoftnessbyraising ,whichincreasesfirm1’spricefortworeasons:theforeseen riseinfirm2’sprice,andtheincreasedopportunitycostoffirm1’soutput.9Because is distortedup,thepreviouslogicimpliesthatfirm1wouldgainfromamarginalexogenous expansionbyfirm2,aswithlinearinputpricing.Iffirm1’spriceisastrategicsubstitutefor firm2’sprice,thestrategicandopportunitycosteffects(thetermsinparenthesesin(8)) workinoppositedirections,renderingthedirectionofdistortioninw2ambiguous. Whywouldtheintegratedfirmbenefitfromanexogenouschangeinfirm2’schoice, ,notwithstandingtheassumedabilitytoextractfirm2’sprofitthroughthefixedfee?The (perhapsobvious)answeristhatinourcontractingenvironmenttheintegratedfirmlacks sufficientinstrumentstomaximizeoverallindustryprofit,downstreamplusupstream. Denotetherequireddownstreamchoicesasthe“monopolysolution,” couldinduce byappropriatelysetting ∗ and .Firm1 .However,sinceweassumedthat firm2’sfixedfee cannotbecontingenton ,firm1’sbestresponsewouldnotbe but ; ∗ ,thevalueof thatmaximizesfirm1’sprofitwhileignoringthe effectonfirm2(since is“sunk”whenfirm1sets ).At ⁄ 0and Π ⁄ Π ⁄ ; ∗ ,wehave 0.Thus,industryprofitwouldincreaseifthe integratedfirmactedlessaggressivelydownstream(raisedpriceorreducedoutput). Intuitively,giventheinabilitytocondition on ,firm2expectsfirm1toexpand downstreamatfirm2’sexpense,andreducesaccordinglythefixedfeeitiswillingtopay. Thisleavesroomfortheintegratedfirmtodobetterwithadditionalinstrumentseven thoughitalreadyextractsfirm2’sprofit.10Ofcourse,additionalinstrumentsarevaluableto ⁄ <0, regardlessofwhetherpricesarestrategiccomplementsorsubstitutes.Seefootnote8. 9In(8),theincreaseintheopportunitycostmakesfirm1lessaggressive,i.e. 10Indeed,(7)showsthatunderatwo‐parttariff,theequilibriummarginalinputpricedoes“double duty”bybalancingtwoeffects:how affectsfirm1’svariableprofitbyalteringfirm2’schoice,i.e. 11 theintegratedfirmalsowhenitsellstheinputunderlinearpricing,asintheapplication discussednext. 4. Application:VerticalDelegationtoSignalDownstreamBehavior TheliteratureonstrategiccommitmentsinoligopolymentionedintheIntroduction identifiesvariousmechanismsafirmmayusetosignalachangeinitsbehaviorinthe subsequentcompetition(shiftitsbest‐responsecurve)soastoalterarival’sbehavior.11An integratedfirmpotentiallycouldalsoemployseveralsuchmechanismstoinducethe desiredchangebyitsrival/customer. Weanalyzeonepossiblemechanism,verticaldelegation.Thefirmestablishesan autonomousdownstreamunit,division1,andchargesitapubliclyobservableinputprice; andthedivisiontreatsanincreaseintheinputpriceasraisingitsperceivedmarginalcost, notasanirrelevantinternaltransfer.Forexpositionalsimplicity,weassumethatdivision1 maximizessolelyitsownprofit.Attheendofthissectionwewillexplainwhythelogic extendstootherobjectivefunctions,discusstheplausibilityofverticaldelegation,and compareourresultstorelatedliterature.Webeginwithlinearpricingoftheinput. Underdelegationthegameisasfollows.First,firm1publiclycommitstoapairof inputprices , where isthepricetoitsdivision1.Thendivision1andfirm2 makedownstreamchoices simultaneously,consumerspurchase,andfirm1receives inputpayments.Firm2’sbestresponsefunction, ; ,isunchangedfromtheoriginal game;butnowdivision1chooses tomaximizeonlyitsprofit, andthenewinstrument ; .Firm1setsboth tomaximizeitsintegratedprofit ,definedin(1).12 ⁄ d ∗⁄ ;andhow affectsfirm2’sprofit(and,hence, )byalteringfirm1’schoice, d ⁄ i.e. d ∗ ⁄d .Thus, isusedpartlytoalterfirm2’schoiceandpartlyasasignalto firm2aboutfirm1’sdownstreamchoice. 11Thesemechanismsinclude:investmentstoshiftdownstreammarginalcost(Spence,1977;Dixit, 1980);advertising(Schmalensee,1983);managerialincentivesschemes(Vickers,1985);capital structure(BranderandLewis,1986);verticalcontracts(BonnanoandVickers,1988;Reyand Stiglitz,1995).Foradditionalmechanismsandreferences,seeShapiro(1989). 12Although upstream, doesnotdependdirectlyon ,sincedivision1’sinputpaymentsaccrueasrevenue willaffectVindirectlybychangingtheequilibriumvaluesof . 12 Wemakesimilarassumptionsasbefore: Assumption4.Foranygiven ,thereexistsauniquedownstreamequilibriuminpure strategies,withthechoiceofdownstreamrivalk(k=1,2)denoted ≡ inputleveldenoted , ,and ⁄ ,itsoutputand 0(where for Bertrandcompetition).13 Firm1sets and tomaximizethecontinuationequilibriumprofitfunction ≡ underdelegation, , ; .Let , denotetheoptimalchoice. WewillcomparethisregimetotheonefromSection2,thatwenowlabelcentralization. Let ∗ ≡ ∗ , ∗ , ∗ denotefirm1’sshadowmarginalcost,definedin(6), evaluatedatthecontinuationequilibriumundercentralization. Underdelegation,iftheintegratedfirmsets ∗ and ∗ ∗ ,i.e.aninput pricetodivision1equaltotheshadowmarginalcostinthecentralizationequilibrium,it willinducethesamedownstreamchoicesaswithcentralizationandearnthesameprofit. Butitgenerallycandobetter,bysuitablychoosing ∗ ∗ and ∗ .Specifically, underdelegationfirm1achievestheprofititwouldearnundercentralizationifitwerethe Stackelbergleaderindownstreamcompetition,ratherthanmakingitsdownstreamchoice simultaneouslywithfirm2.14Intuitively,theStackelbergequivalencearisesbecause choosing servesasacommitmentregardingthelevelof .15 13SeeAppendix. 14SeeMoresiandSchwartz(2015,Propositions3and4).Lu,Moresi,andSalop(2007,Appendix4) showtheStackelbergequivalenceresultforBertrandcompetition.Arya,Mittendorf,andYoon (2008)establishtheseresults,andaresultanalogoustoourProposition3below,fortherestricted caseoflinear(differentiated)demandsandCournotcompetition.Theyfurthershowthat decentralization(ourdelegation)increasestheintegratedfirm’sprofitiftheinputpricetothe downstreamdivisionisdeterminedbybargaining. 15OnthegeneralconnectionbetweenstrategicdelegationandStackelbergleadershipinthe competitiongame,seeVickers(1985,SectionsIandII).Adaptedtooursetting,Vickers’sagent appointmentgame—thatprecedesdownstreamcompetition—correspondstowhetherthe integratedfirminitiallyadoptsthecentralizationstructureandsetsonlyaninputprice orthe delegationstructureandsetsanadditionalinputprice .Theagentappointmentgamemaximizes theintegratedfirm’sprofitifandonlyifitimplementsthesamedownstreamoutcomeas Stackelbergleadershipbytheintegratedfirm.SeealsoHeifetz,Shannon,andSpiegel(2007). 13 Thenextresultcharacterizeshowtheintegratedfirmunderdelegationcan profitablychange locallyrelativeto ∗ ∗ .Proposition1showedthatstartingatthe centralizationequilibriumwithlinearinputpricing,firm1benefitsiffirm2becomes marginallymoreaggressive,i.e.increasesitsquantityunderCournotcompetitionor decreasesitspriceunderBertrand.Delegationenablesfirm1toinducethedesiredchange byusing tosignalasuitablechangeindivision1’sdownstreamchoice: Proposition3.Assumethatfirm1sellstheinputtofirm2underlinearpricing.Holding constantatthecentralizationequilibriumlevel ∗ ,underdelegation: (i)Iffirm2’schoiceisastrategicsubstitutefordivision1’schoice( gainsfromasmallincreasein ∗ above ∗ ⁄ ,tosignalsofterbehaviorbydivision1. (ii)Iffirm2’schoiceisastrategiccomplementfordivision1’schoice( 1gainsfromasmalldecreasein below ∗ 0 ,firm1 ∗ ⁄ 0 ,firm ,tosignaltougherbehaviorbydivision1. ∗ Proof.Startingat desiredchangein and wherethefirstequalityfollowsfrom assumption, ⁄ ∗ ,underdelegationtheintegratedfirm’s isdeterminedbythesignof(from ∗ ≡ , ; , ⁄ 0.Thus,thesignof (9) 0.FromProposition1, ⁄ ): ⁄ istheoppositeofthatof 0and,by ⁄ . Proposition3showsthat,withCournotcompetitionandstrategicsubstitutes,firm1 underverticaldelegationcangainbyraising tosignalareductionindivision1’soutput andtherebyinduceanincreaseinfirm2’soutput.16WithBertrandcompetitionand strategiccomplements,firm1cangainbylowering tosignaladecreaseindivision1’s priceandinduceadecreaseinfirm2’sprice. 16Wepurposelysay“cangainbyraising ”insteadof“gainsbyraising ”becausewehavenot characterizedtheequilibriuminputpricesunderdelegation,andareinsteaddescribingaprofitable localdeviationfromcentralization.Weelaborateonthisshortly,whendiscussinganexample. 14 Interestingly,withBertrandandstrategiccomplements,firm2’sequilibriumoutput islikelytofallunderdelegation.ThisdoesnotcontradictProposition1,whichstatesthat firm1gainsfromamarginalexpansionbyfirm2.Startingatthecentralizationequilibrium, asmalldecreasein underdelegation(signaledbysetting below ∗ ∗ )becomes profitableonlybecauseitinducesadecreasein .Thisreductionin benefitsfirm1 solelybyincreasingfirm2’ssalesandinputpurchases,whichshowsthatunilateral expansionbyfirm2—theexperimentofProposition1—indeedbenefitsfirm1.Inother words,asmallreductionin from ∗ underdelegationisprofitableonlybecausethe reductioninfirm2’spricemitigatesthedecreaseinfirm2’soutputandinputpurchases causedbythedecreasein . AnotherinterestingfeatureunderBertrandandstrategiccomplementsisthat delegationcreatesanincentiveforfirm1notonlytolower alsotoraise ⁄ above ∗ ∗ .Startingat and 0,underdelegationfirm1’sdesiredchangein 2 2 ∗ ⁄ Because delegation, ⁄ 2 ∗ 2 ∗ ∗ ∗⁄ ∗ )butlikely ,andrecallingthat isgivenbythesignof (10) ,(10)wouldbezeroiffirm2’s“pass‐throughrate”under ,wereequaltothatundercentralization,d absolutevaluethand ∗ . withBertrandcompetitionandstrategiccomplements, gainsfromraising below d ⁄ ∗⁄ d (see(3)).However, likelyissmallerin (seeAppendix),inwhichcase(10)ispositiveandfirm1 whenholding at ∗ ∗ .Intuitively,undercentralization,raising increasesfirm1’sopportunitycostofitsownoutput,17leadingittoincrease ;this effectof on isabsentunderdelegation,becausedivision1ignoresupstreamprofit. Recognizingthisdifferentialresponseof ,firm2raisesitspricebyless—hencereduces itsinputpurchasesbyless—underdelegationfollowingagivenincreasein pass‐throughrateemboldensfirm1toraise .Thislower underdelegation. 17ThisopportunitycosteffectisabsentwithCournotcompetition,sincefirm1’ssalesdonotaffect firm2’ssales(henceinputpurchases).Seethediscussionafter(6). 15 Example.Proposition3conductsalocalexperimentfor theinputprice ,whileholdingconstant totherival/customer,firm2.TheAppendixreportsanexampleshowing theequilibriumvaluesofallthevariablesundercentralizationanddelegation,forCournot orBertrandcompetition.Intheexample,thefirms’quantitiesarestrategicsubstitutes, whilepricesarestrategiccomplements.Movingtodelegation,theequilibriumvaluesof andfirm1’sdownstreamchoice shiftinthedirectionsuggestedbyProposition3.With Cournotcompetition,theintegratedfirmraises (above ∗ ∗ ))andlowersitsoutput, toinduceanoutputexpansionbyfirm2.WithBertrandcompetition,theintegratedfirm reduces anditsdownstreamprice,toinduceapricereductionbyfirm2;however,firm 2’soutputfalls(andweexplainedwhythisisconsistentwithProposition1). Thechangein alsoisconsistentwiththeearlierdiscussion.WithBertrand competition,theinputpricetofirm2risesunderdelegationdespitethedecreaseinfirm 1’sfinalprice ,whichbyitselfcallsforreducing thelowerpass‐throughratefrom .18Theincreasein ismotivatedby to underdelegationthanundercentralization, whichoccursonlywithBetrandcompetitionandstrategiccomplements.19 Two‐PartTarifffortheInput.Supposethatinstageone,firm1publiclyoffersa pair , tofirm2,andaper‐unitinputprice todivision1.Downstreamcompetition thenoccursasabove.Firm1cannowearnthemaximalindustryprofit,bysettinginput pricesatthelevels and the“monopolysolution” thatinducedivision1andfirm2tochoose(unilaterally) and ,andsetting toextractfirm2’sprofits.20However, withobservabletwo‐parttariffs,firm1couldachievethesamemaximalprofitbyvertically 18Decreasing makesitmoreattractivetoreduce fortworeasons:thedecreasedmarginon firm1’ssalesrendersoutputdiversionawayfromfirm1lesscostly(“margineffect”);andthe reductioninfirm2’sinputdemandduetothedecreasein (“demandeffect”). 19Theequilibrium increaseswithdelegationalsounderCournotcompetition,butthatis explainedbythemargineffectanddemandeffectcausedbyraising .Holding constantatthe shadowmarginalcostundercentralization( ∗ ∗ ,firm1’sconstrainedoptimal under delegationwouldremainat ∗ withCournotcompetitionbutrisewithBertrand. 20Whendivision1andfirm2arecompetitors,toimplement and theintegratedfirm typicallymustsetthemarginalinputpricesabovethemarginalcost . 16 separatingentirely,settingtheinputprices( , ),andchargingfixedfeesthatfully extracteachdownstreamfirm’sprofits.Bycontrast,delegationandcompleteseparation arenotequivalentwhenfirm1chargeslinearinputprices.21Thus,delegationforpricing purposesisarguablyoflessinterestwhenobservabletwo‐parttariffsarefeasible. Partlyforthisreason,weforgoaresultanalogoustoProposition2.22Asecond reasonisthatalthoughthelocaldeviationsin identifiedinProposition2wouldincrease firm1’sprofit,theygenerallywillnottrackthechangein whenfirm1implementsthe “monopolysolution”underatwo‐parttariffanddelegation.Astheexampleinthe Appendixsuggests,withcentralizationthereisabiastowardsfavoringfirm1’soutput,and movingtothemonopolysolutioncorrectsthisbyreducingfirm1’soutputandincreasing firm2’s;theprimeroleof becomesto“reinin”firm1’saggressiveness. Althoughverticaldelegationmaybeoflessinterestwhentwo‐parttariffsare feasible,Proposition2canstillhavepracticalrelevance.Forexample,MilliouandPetrakis (2015)consideraverticallyintegratedfirmthatcansharecost‐reducingknowledgewitha downstreamrivaltowhomitsuppliesakeyinput.OurProposition2suggeststhatevenif thescopeforsharingarisesunexpectedlyafterthetwo‐parttarifffortheinputhasbeen set,somesharingwouldbeprofitableincertaincases,becauseonthemarginthe integratedfirm’sgainfromexpandedinputsalesoutweighsitslossinthedownstream market(andthisisalwaystrueunderlinearinputpricing,byProposition1). DiscussionandRelatedWork.Ourverticaldelegationmechanismhastwo requirements:thesuppliercancommittochargeitsdivisionaninputpriceobservableto downstreamrivals;andthedivisiondoesnot“undo”thestrategiceffectsofthatpriceby fullyinternalizinghowitschoiceaffectstheaffiliatedsupplier’supstreamprofits.To streamlinetheexposition,weassumedthedivisionmaximizessolelyitsownprofit,butall 21Weshowedthatdelegationthendominatescentralization,andunderreasonableconditions centralizationwilldominatecompleteseparation(byeliminatingdoublemarginalizationbetween firm1’supstreamanddownstreamunits). 22Also,onecannolongeruseasimpleenvelopeargumenttoshowthatfirm1benefitsfromasmall ∗ changein todivision1from ∗ .Although ⁄ 0at , ,thechangein inducedbychanging wouldalterfirm2’sprofitand,hence,theattainablefixedfee . 17 ourresultsextendtoanyobjectivefunctionwheretheinputpriceaffectsthedivision’s downstreamchoice.23 Inpractice,integratedfirmsoftentreatdivisionsasprofitcenters.EcclesandWhite (1988)examineindetailthemaintransferpricingpoliciesobservedintheintensivefield studybyEccles(1985),andfindthatonesuchpolicy,exchangeautonomy,grantsdivisions greatlatitudeintransactingwithoneother.Consistentwith(some)divisionalautonomy, Crawford,Lee,Whinston,andYurukoglu(2015)presentempiricalevidencethatvideo distributorswhoareverticallyintegratedintoprogrammingdonotfullyinternalizethe effectsoftheirpricingandprogramcarriagedecisionsontheirprofitsfromprogramming. Insteadofrelyingsolelyoninternalprotocols,anotherwaytolimitthedownstream unitfromactingasapassivearmofitsupstreamsupplierisbyhavingminorityoutside shareholders(e.g.O’BrienandSalop,2000).Inprinciple,aninitiallyintegratedfirmcould retainanarbitrarilyhighshareofthedownstreamunit’sprofitswhilestillinducingitto maximizesolelydownstreamprofitbyspinningoffthecontrolrights(votingstock)to outsideshareholdersandbecomingapassivemajorityowner.24Alternatively,theinitially integratedfirmcouldspinofftothesameoutsidershareholderstheupstreamunitand non‐votingstockofthedownstreamunit,therebyretainingthecontrolrightsoverthe downstreamunit.Ouranalysisillustratesastrategicbenefitofsuchspin‐offswhenthe supplieralsosellstodownstreamrivals. Besidesdownstreamautonomy,signalingthroughverticaldelegationalsorequires thattheinputpricechargedtothedivision(orspun‐offunit)beobservablebythe downstreamrival.Thisassumptionismorequestionableforunregulatedfirms,25andits 23Forexample,ifthedivisionmaximizesaweightedaverageofitsprofitandtheintegratedfirm’s profit,thesuppliercanimplementitspreferreddownstreamoutcomebysuitablyraisingtheinput pricetoitsdivisiontocompensateforthedivisiontreatingafractionofthatpriceasapuretransfer (Arya,Mittendorf,andYoon,2008,Proposition3). 24Familyrunfirmssometimesretaincontrolrightsbutspinoffmajorityownershipforpurposesof raisingcapital.Here,theinitiallyintegratedfirmspinsoffcontrolrightssolelytosignalthatthe downstreamunitwillactindependently,nottoraisecapital. 25Regulatedfirmsmaybesubjecttorulesgoverninginputpricingtosubsidiariesaswellasthe subsidiaries’behaviorthroughimputationrequirements(e.g.LaffontandTirole,2000). 18 validitywillbecontextspecific.Oneconsiderationthatmayaidobservabilityisthe supplier’sincentivetomaintainareputationfornotactingopportunisticallyagainst customersbyofferingsecretdiscountstotheirrivals(e.g.O’BrienandShaffer,1992; McAfeeandSchwartz,1994).Topreservesuchareputation,itmayadoptapolicyof committingtopublicandtransparentpricing.26 BonannoandVickers(1988)notedearlyonthestrategicadvantageofcommitment toobservableinputprices.TheyconsidertwosupplychainsindifferentiatedBertrand competitionwithpricesasstrategiccomplements.Byverticallyseparatingandchargingits singleretaileraninputpricesomewhatabovemarginalcost,eachsuppliercanprofitably coaxanincreaseintherival’sdownstreamprice.Oursettingdiffersbyhavingasingle supplier,whoisverticallyintegratedandsuppliestoadownstreamrival.Consequently, underlinearinputpricingthesupplierbenefitsfrominducingtougherratherthansofter behaviorfromtherival/customer.Inthesamevein,ouranalysisdiffersfromtheliterature onstrategicadvantagesfromcreatingautonomouscompetingdivisions(e.g.Schwartzand Thompson,1986;Baye,Crocker,andJu,1996).There,theroleofdivisionalautonomyisto signaltoughnessagainstrivals.Here,thedivisionisatadifferentverticalstageandthe strategicgainmayinvolvepresentingatoughorsoftposture. 5. ConcludingRemarks Weconsideredaverticallyintegratedinputmonopolistthatbothsellsoutputinthe downstreammarketandsuppliesinputstoadifferentiateddownstreamrival.Weshowed thatunderlinearpricingoftheinput,theintegratedfirmwouldunambiguouslygainfrom exogenousexpansionbyitsrival/customer.Underatwo‐parttarifffortheinput,the integratedfirmwouldstillbenefitfromexogenousexpansionbytherival/customerif downstreamcompetitionisBertrandwithstrategiccomplements,butwouldloseunder Cournotcompetitionwithstrategicsubstitutes. 26Anotherconsiderationisthatpublicdelegationcontractscanbeusefulmechanismsevenwhen theycanberenegotiatedsecretly(e.g.CaillaudandRey,1995). 19 Weanalyzedoneofpotentiallymanymechanismstoinduceexpansionor contractionbytherival/customer,beyondrelyingsolelyontheinputpricetothatfirm. Thatmechanismisverticaldelegation:establishingadownstreamdivisionthattreatsits inputpricefromtheupstreamaffiliatepartlyasacost(ratherthanapurelyinternal transfer),andchargingthatdivisionaninputpriceobservablebytherival/customer. Alternatively,controlrightsinthedownstreamunit(butonlyaminorityofownership) couldbespunofftooutsideshareholders. Thisresearchpotentiallycouldbeextendedinseveraldirections.OurPropositions1 and2characterizethesupplier’sincentivesintwopolarcases,whenitcapturesnoneorall oftheprofitoftherival/customer;theintermediatecaseofbargainingoverthetwo‐part tariffmaybeworthexploring.Also,theresultsmaychangeunderotherformsofnon‐linear contractsdifferentfromtwo‐parttariffs.27Anotherdirectioninvolvesalternativemarket structures.Addressingthecasewheretheinputsuppliersellstomultipledownstream rivalswouldnotraiseconceptualdifficultiesifrivalscanobserveeachother’sinputprices, butwithsecretoffers,beliefsaboutoff‐equilibriumofferswillintroducefamiliar complexities.Introducingupstreamcompetitionfromacompetitivefringealsowouldbe fairlystraightforward;ourPropositions1and2wouldextendifthefringemarginalcost capthesupplier’spricecloseenoughtoitsunconstrainedoptimum.Allowingforstrategic competitionupstream,however,wouldsignificantlycomplicatetheanalysis. Adifferentbutcomplementarydirectioninvolvesapplicationsoftheanalysis: mechanismsthesuppliermightemploytoaltertherival/customer’schoice.Regarding verticaldelegation,animportantempiricalissueishowthesuppliermaysetanobservable inputprice.Alternativestoverticaldelegationcouldalsobeexplored. 27Forexample,considera“quantityforcingcontract”thatspecifiesafixedquantityofinputtobe purchasedbyfirm2andafixedfeetobepaidbyfirm2.UnderCournotcompetition,firm1always benefitsiffirm2exogenouslyreducesoutputinthecompetitionstage.Withatwo‐parttariff, Proposition2showsthatfirm1benefitsfromacontractionbyfirm2onlywhenquantitiesare strategicsubstitutes. 20 References Armstrong,M.,Doyle,C.,andVickers,J.1996.“TheAccessPricingProblem:ASynthesis.” JournalofIndustrialEconomics44(2):131‐150. Arya,A.,Mittendorf,B.,andSappington,D.E.M.2008.“Outsourcing,VerticalIntegration, andPricevs.QuantityCompetition.”InternationalJournalofIndustrialOrganization26 (1):1‐16. 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DirectCostEffectandIndirectStrategicEffect Assumption3saysthatanincreaseintheinputpricemakesfirm2lessaggressive,i.e. d ∗⁄ d 0(recallingthat forCournotand forBertrand).Thisderivative canbeanalyzedbydifferentiating ∗ where ∗ ; ∗ and ∗ ; (A1) (A2) denotesthereactionfunctionofdownstreamrivalk(k=1,2).Thus: ∗ ⁄ Assumption2impliesthatthedenominatorin(A2)ispositive.Theterm in thenumeratoristhe“directcosteffect”andweassumeitisnegative—i.e.ahigherinput pricemakesfirm2lessaggressive,holding constant.Thesecondtermisthe“indirect strategiceffect”anditiszerowithCournotcompetition.(Asthereisnoinputdiversion, firm1’sshadowmarginalcostin(6)isunaffectedby ⁄ ,implying 0.)With Bertrandcompetition,thereisinputdiversion,theshadowmarginalcostincreaseswith andweassumethatahighershadowmarginalcostmakesfirm1lessaggressive,i.e. ⁄ 0.Thus,theindirectstrategiceffectisnegative,likethedirectcosteffect,if pricesarestrategiccomplements,i.e.if ⁄ 0.Ifinsteadpricesarestrategic substitutes,weassumethatthedirectcosteffectdominates.Itfollowsthatd Assumption4saysthatdivision1islessaggressiveif ⁄ constant),i.e. ∗⁄ d 0. increases(holding 0.Similarly,Assumption3nowsays ⁄ 0.These derivativescanbeanalyzedbydifferentiating ; and ; . (A3) Thus: 24 and 0.Itfollowsthat ⁄ ⁄ 0.Similarly, (A4) Holding constant,weassumethatdivision1islessaggressiveif ⁄ increases,i.e. 0. Finally,observethatunderBertrandcompetition,strategiccomplementsandlinear demand,anincreaseintheinputpricemakesfirm2lessaggressiveandmoresounder centralizationthanunderdelegation,i.e.d and(A4), ⁄ ⁄ ∗⁄ ⁄ d ⁄ 0and 0.Thisfollowsfrom(A2) ⁄ .28Intuitively,anincreasein raisesfirm1’sshadowmarginalcostoftheinputundercentralization(whichis , from(6))butwillnotaffectdivision1’sperceivedmarginalcostunderdelegation (whichis ).Thus,followinganincreasein ,firm2expectsalargerpriceincreaseby firm1undercentralizationthanunderdelegation,leadingtoagreaterequilibriumpass‐ throughrate,i.e.d ∗⁄ d ⁄ 0.Inturn,firm2’slowerpass‐throughrateunder delegationencouragesfirm1toraisew2. B. Example Proposition3showshowfirm1canraiseitsprofitunderdelegationwithalocaldeviation: maintaintheinputpricetofirm2atthecentralizationlevel ∗ andofferdivision1aninput pricedifferentfromtheshadowmarginalcostundercentralization, ∗ ∗ .Inthe examplebelow,wefindtheactualequilibriumvaluesunderbothregimes. Assumethatthemarginalcostoftheinputisconstant, downstreamcosts.Consumerdemandisgivenby 500 200 1,andtherearenoother 100 ,where denotestheoutputoffirm ,and and denotethepricesoffirms and ,respectively 28Withlineardemand,thederivativesofthereactionfunctionsarescalarsandhencedonot dependonprice,quantityorinputpricelevels.UnderCournotcompetitionandlineardemand,we ⁄ ⁄ ⁄ ⁄ d ∗ ⁄d 0because . 0and have 25 ( , ∈ 1,2 , ).29Givenlineardemands,underCournotcompetitionfirms’quantitiesare strategicsubstituteswhileunderBertrandcompetitionpricesarestrategiccomplements. ∗ IntheensuingTables1and2,underdelegation, for given ∗ ∗ ,and ∗ isfirm1’soptimalchoice given istheoptimalchoicefor ∗ ∗ . (NAmeansNotApplicable.) Table1:CournotCompetitionDownstream(LinearInputPrice) Centralization Delegation ProfitofIntegratedFirm 682.76 685.71 ProfitofDownstreamRival 45.66 48.98 OutputofIntegratedFirm, 279.31 257.14 OutputofDownstreamRival, 82.76 85.71 OutputPriceofIntegratedFirm, 2.86 3 OutputPriceofDownstreamRival, 3.52 3.57 2.97 3 1 NA NA 1.29 NA 1.28 NA 2.97 InputPriceChargedtoDownstreamRival, ShadowCostofSupplyingInputInternally, ∗ InputPriceChargedtoDivision1, ∗ ∗ ∗ ∗ Table1illustratesProposition3(i):startingfromthecentralizationoutcomeand holding constant,firm1wantstoinduceanincreaseinfirm2’squantity .This requiressignalingareductionin (sincequantitiesherearestrategicsubstitutes)by raising todivision1abovetheshadowmarginalcostundercentralization(which,for Cournotcompetition,equalstheresourcemarginalcost, ∗ 1.28 1.00 ∗ ∗ 1,independentof .Intheactualdelegationequilibrium, 2.97to3.00,while risessubstantiallyto1.29(from ∗ : risesslightly,from 1).Theintegratedfirm’s 29Inthisexample,firm1hasanincentivetosupplytheinputtofirm2undercentralization.See Arya,Mittendorf,andSappington(2008).Ourresultsimplythatthisalsoistrueunderdelegation. 26 output fallsandtherival’soutput rises,consistentwiththelocalincentivesdescribed inProposition3(i).(Therisein2’soutputandinputdemandinresponsetotheforeseen largedecreasein explainstheincreasein .)Profitsofbothfirmsincrease. Table2:BertrandCompetitionDownstream(LinearInputPrice) Centralization Delegation ProfitofIntegratedFirm 696.97 700 ProfitofDownstreamRival 59.50 50 OutputofIntegratedFirm, 227.27 250 OutputofDownstreamRival, 109.09 100 OutputPriceofIntegratedFirm, 3.12 3 OutputPriceofDownstreamRival, 3.52 3.5 2.97 3 1.98 NA NA 1.75 NA 1.74 NA 3.04 InputPriceChargedtoDownstreamRival, ShadowCostofSupplyingInputInternally, ∗ InputPriceChargedtoDivision1, ∗ ∗ ∗ ∗ ) Table2illustratesProposition3(ii):startingfromthecentralizationoutcomeand holding constant,firm1wantstoinduceandecreaseinfirm2’sprice .Thisrequires signalingareductionin (sincepricesherearestrategiccomplements)bylowering belowtheshadowmarginalcostundercentralization: ∗ 1.74 1.98 ∗ ∗ . ThepatternsalsoillustratethediscussionaftertheproofofProposition3(ii).Under delegation,if gainbyraising weresetatthecentralizationshadowmarginalcost, : ∗ ∗ 3.04 ∗ ∗ ,firm1would 2.97.Thisincentiveemergesbecausefirm2 raisespricebylessinresponsetoagivenincreasein underdelegationthanunder centralization(sinceitrecognizesthatdivision1willnotraise duetoanincreasein , whereasundercentralizationfirm1internalizestheincreasedopportunitycost). 27 Intheactualdelegationequilibrium, risesbyless,from2.97to3.00,becausefirm 2’sinputdemandfallsduetothereductionin (from3.12to3.00)inducedbythe decreasein (to1.75fromtheshadowmarginalcostof1.98).Thereductionin increasein causefirm1’soutputtoriseandfirm2’stofall.(Butthefallin ismitigated bythereductionin promptedbytheobservedreductionin and ,whichiswhyfirm1 benefitsfromreducing underdelegation.)Delegationnowreducesfirm2’sprofit,unlike theCournotcase,butasexpected,firm1’sprofitstillincreases. ThefollowingTables3and4showtheresultswhenfirm1sellstheinputtofirm2 usingatwo‐parttariff. Table3:CournotCompetitionDownstream(Two‐PartTariffInputPrice) Centralization Delegation ProfitofIntegratedFirm 784.62 800 FixedFeePaidbyDownstreamRival 227.22 266.67 OutputofIntegratedFirm, 253.85 200 OutputofDownstreamRival, 184.62 200 OutputPriceofIntegratedFirm, 2.69 3 OutputPriceofDownstreamRival, 2.92 3 1.69 1.667 1 NA NA 1.667 NA 1.666 NA 1.69 InputPriceChargedtoDownstreamRival, ShadowCostofSupplyingInputInternally, ∗ InputPriceChargedtoDivision1, ∗ Table3canbecomparedtoProposition2(i):startingfromthecentralization outcome,firm1wouldbenefitiffirm2exogenouslyreduceditsoutput (sincequantities herearestrategicsubstitutes).Thismightsuggestthat,underdelegation,firm1should signalanincreasein bysetting below1(theshadowmarginalcostunderCournot). However,theoppositeistruesincefirm1insteadraisestheinputpricetoitsdivision abovetheshadowmarginalcost(1.667 1 .Thereasonisexplainednext. 28 Undercentralization,whenfirm1sellstheinputtofirm2usingatwo‐parttariff, firm1cannotachievetheintegratedmonopolysolutionbecauseitcannotcommitnotto behaveopportunisticallyinthecompetitionstagebyselling“toomuch”output.Firm1 thuscanachieveonlyasecond‐bestsolution.Startingfromthatsecond‐best,firm1would benefitiffirm2exogenouslyreducedoutput(sincehere ⁄ 0 .However,firm1 wouldbenefitevenmoreifsomehowitcouldcommittobehavelessaggressivelyinthe competitionstage.Thatisexactlywhatdelegationandatwo‐parttariffallowfirm1todo: implementtheintegratedmonopolysolution(i.e.maximizeandobtaintheindustrytotal profits).Itfollowsthatthemainroleof becomestomakedivision1lessaggressiveso astomaximizeindustryprofits,ratherthantoinducefirm2toreduceoutput. Table4:BertrandCompetitionDownstream(Two‐PartTariffInputPrice) Centralization Delegation ProfitofIntegratedFirm 790.48 800 FixedFeePaidbyDownstreamRival 146.94 200 OutputofIntegratedFirm, 242.86 200 OutputofDownstreamRival, 171.43 200 OutputPriceofIntegratedFirm, 2.81 3 OutputPriceofDownstreamRival, 3.05 3 2.19 2 1.60 NA NA 2 NA 2.01 NA 1.98 InputPriceChargedtoDownstreamRival, ShadowCostofSupplyingInputInternally, ∗ InputPriceChargedtoDivision1, ∗ ) Table4canbecomparedtoProposition2(ii):startingfromthecentralization outcome,firm1wouldbenefitiffirm2exogenouslyreduceditsprice (sincepriceshere arestrategiccomplements).Thismightsuggestthat,underdelegation,firm1shouldsignal areductionin bysetting below1.60(theshadowmarginalcost).However,the 29 oppositeistruesincefirm1insteadraisestheinputpricetoitsdivisionabovetheshadow marginalcost(2 1.60 .ThereasonissimilarasthatgivenaboveforTable3.Inboth cases,CournotorBertrandcompetition,themovetodelegationlowersfirm1’soutputand raisesfirm2’s,withtheinputpricerisingsubstantiallytodivision1andfalling(byless)to firm2. 30
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