Strengthening Evidence Based Analysis
For Agriculture And Food Security: The Example Of Caadp
Ousmane Badiane
Director For Africa
International Food Policy Research Institute
IFPRI/Badiane
CREATING THE CONDITIONS FOR
EVIDENCE AND OUTCOME BASED PLANNING & IMPLEMENTATION
KEY ELEMENTS
I.
DEVELOP COMPREHENSIVE AND OBJECTIVE DRIVEN STRATEGY
FRAMEWORK WITH LIMITED SET OF CLEAR TARGETS
I.
EVALUATE COUNTRY EFFORTS AGAINST DEFINED TARGETS
SHARED INVESTMENT AND PARTNERSHIP FRAMEWORK
II.
SPECIFY ALTERNATIVE ACTION SCENARIOS AND OUTCOMES
BASELINES - MILESTONES - ACTION TARGETS - TOOLS
IV. SET UP BENCHMARKING AND LEARNING MECHANISMS
KNOWLEDGE SYSTEMS INFRASTRUCTURE
V.
ESTABLISH POLICY REVIEW AND DIALOGUE PLATFORM
INCLUSIVE FORA AT COUNTRY LEVEL AND BEYOND
CREATING THE CONDITIONS FOR
EVIDENCE AND OUTCOME BASED PLANNING & IMPLEMENTATION
I.
DEVELOP COMPREHENSIVE AND OBJECTIVE DRIVEN STRATEGY
FRAMEWORK WITH LIMITED SET OF CLEAR TARGETS
I.
EVALUATE COUNTRY EFFORTS AGAINST DEFINED TARGETS
SHARED INVESTMENT AND PARTNERSHIP FRAMEWORK
II.
SPECIFY ALTERNATIVE ACTION SCENARIOS AND OUTCOMES
BASELINES - MILESTONES - ACTION TARGETS - TOOLS
IV. SET UP BENCHMARKING AND LEARNING MECHANISMS
KNOWLEDGE SYSTEMS INFRASTRUCTURE
V.
ESTABLISH POLICY REVIEW AND DIALOGUE PLATFORM
INCLUSIVE FORA AT COUNTRY LEVEL AND BEYOND
CAADP AS COLLECTIVE FRAMEWORK
FOR GROWTH, POVERTY REDUCTION, AND FOOD SECURITY
MAIN FEATURES & PRINCIPLES
 AGRICULTURE-LED GROWTH TO REACH MDG1
 TARGET GOAL OF 6% SECTOR GROWTH RATE
 INCREASED PUBLIC INVESTMENT (10% BUDGET SHARE)
 FOUR MAIN PILLARS TO GUIDE INVESTMENT
 POLICY EFFICIENCY, PEER REVIEW, ACCOUNTABILITY
 EXPLOITATION OF REGIONAL COMPLEMENTARITIES
 INCLUSIVENESS: FARMERS, AGRIBUSINESS, CIVIL SOCIETY
Page 4
CAADP IMLEMENTATION, COORDINATION, AND
IMPLEMENTATION ROLES AND ACTORS
• AFRICAN
UNION
COMMISSION
• REGIONAL
ECONOMIC
COMMUNITIES
• NEPAD
PLANNING &
COORDINATION
AGENCY
POLITICAL
DIALOGUE
LEADERSHIP
& ADVOCACY
CROSS-COUNTRY
IMPLEMENTATOIN
COORDINATION
LEADERSHIP
• NATIONAL GOVs
AND OTHER
STAKEHLODERS
CAADP IMPLEMENTATION STEPS
1. Government
appoints Focal Point(s)
2. REC and
Government launch
process
3. Country Steering
and Technical
Committee
4. Cabinet Memo and
Endorsement
8. Elaboration of
detailed investment
plans
7. Roundtable Signing
of Compact
6. Drafting of Country
CAADP Compact
5. Stocktaking,
Growth, Invest.
Analysis
9. Review and
Validation of
Investment plans
10. Agreement on
financing plan,
financing instruments,
and annual review
mechanism
11. Operational design
and other technical
studies and
assessment for
program execution
12. Execution of new
investment programs
14. Second annual
review meeting
13. First annual review
meeting
IFPRI/Badiane
CREATING THE CONDITIONS FOR
EVIDENCE AND OUTCOME BASED PLANNING & IMPLEMENTATION
I.
DEVELOP COMPREHENSIVE AND OBJECTIVE DRIVEN STRATEGY
FRAMEWORK WITH LIMITED SET OF CLEAR TARGETS
I.
EVALUATE COUNTRY EFFORTS AGAINST DEFINED TARGETS
SHARED INVESTMENT AND PARTNERSHIP FRAMEWORK
II.
SPECIFY ALTERNATIVE ACTION SCENARIOS AND OUTCOMES
BASELINES - MILESTONES - ACTION TARGETS - TOOLS
IV. SET UP BENCHMARKING AND LEARNING MECHANISMS
KNOWLEDGE SYSTEMS INFRASTRUCTURE
V.
ESTABLISH POLICY REVIEW AND DIALOGUE PLATFORM
INCLUSIVE FORA AT COUNTRY LEVEL AND BEYOND
OBJECTIVES AND OUTCOMES
OF COUNTRY ROUND TABLE AND COMPACT
1. MAKE SURE THAT THE COUNTRY IS ON TRACK TO ACHIEVE
THE CAADP GROWTH AND BUDGETARY OBJECTIVES, IF NOT
OBJECTIVE OF
ROUND TABLES
OUTCOMES OF
ROUND TABLES:
CAADP COMPACT
2. IDENTIFY EVENTUAL GAPS IN TERMS OF SECTOR POLICY,
BUDGETARY, AND INVESTMENT MEASURES
ELABORATION OF A COUNTRY CAADP COMPACT TO GUIDE THE
IMPLEMENTATION OF CAADP IN THE LONG TERM , INCLUDING:
1. COMMITMENTS IN TERMS OF SECTOR POLICIES, PUBLIC
EXPENDITURES, AND DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE
2. ESTABLISHEMENT OF PARTNERSHIPS AND ALLIANCES
FOR SUCCESSFUL IMPLEMENTATION OF CAADP
3. CREATION OF A MECHANISM FOR PEER REVIEW AND DIALOGUE
TO TRACK IMPEMENTATION PERFORMANCE AND THE PROGRESS
IN MEETING THE AGREED ON COMMITEMENTS
IFPRI/Badiane
REVIEWING PLANS
AGAINST GROWTH
AND POVERTY
OUTCOME SCENARII
AND INVESTMENT
REQUIREMENTS
IFPRI/Badiane
SIGNING OF THE FIRST COUNTRY CAADP COMPACT BY RWANDA
SOURCE: COMESA NEWSLETTER No 94
Page 10
CREATING THE CONDITIONS FOR
EVIDENCE AND OUTCOME BASED PLANNING & IMPLEMENTATION
I.
DEVELOP COMPREHENSIVE AND OBJECTIVE DRIVEN STRATEGY
FRAMEWORK WITH LIMITED SET OF CLEAR TARGETS
I.
EVALUATE COUNTRY EFFORTS AGAINST DEFINED TARGETS
SHARED INVESTMENT AND PARTNERSHIP FRAMEWORK
II.
SPECIFY ALTERNATIVE ACTION SCENARIOS AND OUTCOMES
BASELINES - MILESTONES - ACTION TARGETS - TOOLS
IV. SET UP BENCHMARKING AND LEARNING MECHANISMS
KNOWLEDGE SYSTEMS INFRASTRUCTURE
V.
ESTABLISH POLICY REVIEW AND DIALOGUE PLATFORM
INCLUSIVE FORA AT COUNTRY LEVEL AND BEYOND
COUNTRY OUTCOMES BY 2015 UNDER CURRENT TRENDS
AGRICULTURAL GROWTH
IFPRI/Badiane
POVERTY REDUCTION
Page 12
COUNTRY OUTCOMES BY 2015 UNDER NEW STRATEGIES
AGRICULTURAL GROWTH
IFPRI/Badiane
POVERTY REDUCTION
Page 13
TARGET CAADP AND MDG1 OUTCOMES BY 2015
POVERTY REDUCTION WITH CAADP 6% GROWTH
IFPRI/Badiane
REQUIRED GROWTH RATES TO REACH MDG1
Page 14
SUBSECTOR CONTRIBUTION TO GROWTH AND POVERTY REDUCTION
THE IMPACT OF 1% SUB-SECTORAL GROWTH
Reduction in national poverty rate
140
AgGDP (US$ mill.)
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
Cereals
IFPRI/Badiane
Roots
All staples
Export
GHANA
Livestock Forestry
and
Fishery
1
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
Poverty reduction (%)
Growth in agricultural GDP
REGIONAL AND SUBSECTOR DISTRIBUTION OF 6% AG SECTOR GROWTH
IN GHANA BY 2015
b. Forest zone
a. Coastal zone
9.7
27.9
27.3
31.9
23.5
3.2
4.9
5.3
32.1
34.2
d. Northern Savannah zone
1.9
5.4
19.4
10.6
62.8
Export crops
IFPRI/Badiane
Staple crops
Livestock
NonAg
Forestry and fishery
POLICY EFFECTIVENESS & SPENDING REQUIREMENTS TO REACH MDG1
RWANDA:
IFPRI/Badiane
CREATING THE CONDITIONS FOR
EVIDENCE AND OUTCOME BASED PLANNING & IMPLEMENTATION
I.
DEVELOP COMPREHENSIVE AND OBJECTIVE DRIVEN STRATEGY
FRAMEWORK WITH LIMITED SET OF CLEAR TARGETS
I.
EVALUATE COUNTRY EFFORTS AGAINST DEFINED TARGETS
SHARED INVESTMENT AND PARTNERSHIP FRAMEWORK
II.
SPECIFY ALTERNATIVE ACTION SCENARIOS AND OUTCOMES
BASELINES - MILESTONES - ACTION TARGETS - TOOLS
IV. SET UP BENCHMARKING AND LEARNING MECHANISMS
KNOWLEDGE SYSTEMS INFRASTRUCTURE
V.
ESTABLISH POLICY REVIEW AND DIALOGUE PLATFORM
INCLUSIVE FORA AT COUNTRY LEVEL AND BEYOND
BENCHMARKING G POVERTY OUTCOMES UNDER INVESTMENT PLANS
RWANDA
Current
PLANSII
PSTA
Vision- 2020
PSTA I/CAADP
MDG1-2015
63.4
57.6
46.6
42.4
40.7
38.5
37.2
34.9
34.0
30.9
National
IFPRI/Badiane
Rural
BENCHMARKING GROWTH OUTCOMES UNDER INVESTMENT PLANS
RWANDA
UNDER PLANS growth
25
20
15
10
5
0
IFPRI/Badiane
MDG15 growth
MDG20 growth
REGIONAL STRATEGY ANALYSIS AND KNOWLEDGE SUPPORT SYSTEMS - RESAKSS
KNOWLEDGE SUPPORT
FOR PEER REVIEW AND POLICY DIALOGUE
COUNTRY
NODE
COUNTRY
SUPPORT
NARS/GOV
STRATEGIC
ANALYSIS
Regional
SAKSS
Nodes
CGIAR
END
USERS
COORDINATION
GOVERNANCE
LOCAL
ORG
RECs / SROs
COUNTRY LEVEL
Support for planning,
Implementation, &
REGIONAL LEVEL
Support for
Regional Coordination and
IFPRI/Badiane
Progress Review
Peer Review
CONTINENT LEVEL
Support for Policy
Dialogue and
Mutual Review
Page 21
CREATING THE CONDITIONS FOR
EVIDENCE AND OUTCOME BASED PLANNING & IMPLEMENTATION
I.
DEVELOP COMPREHENSIVE AND OBJECTIVE DRIVEN STRATEGY
FRAMEWORK WITH LIMITED SET OF CLEAR TARGETS
I.
EVALUATE COUNTRY EFFORTS AGAINST DEFINED TARGETS
SHARED INVESTMENT AND PARTNERSHIP FRAMEWORK
II.
SPECIFY ALTERNATIVE ACTION SCENARIOS AND OUTCOMES
BASELINES - MILESTONES - ACTION TARGETS - TOOLS
IV. SET UP BENCHMARKING AND LEARNING MECHANISMS
KNOWLEDGE SYSTEMS INFRASTRUCTURE
V.
ESTABLISH POLICY REVIEW AND DIALOGUE PLATFORM
INCLUSIVE FORA AT COUNTRY LEVEL AND BEYOND
CAADP ARCHITECTURE FOR
FOR PEER REVIEW AND POLICY DIALOGUE
CONTINENTAL
LEVEL TOOLS
REGIONAL
LEVEL TOOLS
AFRICAN PARTNERSHIP
PLATFORM – G8/AFRICA
CAADP ADVISORY COUNCIL
AMONG COUNTRIES
CAADP PARTNERSHIP
PLATFROM - DP/CAADP
SUPPORT GROUP
DP/RECs
IFPRI/Badiane
NATIONAL
LEVEL TOOLS
COUNTRY SPECIFIC
•
FOCUS ON QUALITY OF
POLICIES
•
INCLUSIVE DIALOGUE
Page 24
STRENGTHENING EVIDENCE BASED ANALYSIS
FOR AGRICULTURE AND FOOD SECURITY
DATA CHALLENGES
1. CONSISTENCY – COHERENCE - CONTINUITY
a. Changing sampling
b. Irregularity
c. Timeliness
d. Incomparability
2. LEVEL OF DISAGGREGATION
a. Sub-sectoral
b. Geographic
c. Socio-demographic
IFPRI/Badiane
STRENGTHENING EVIDENCE BASED ANALYSIS
FOR AGRICULTURE AND FOOD SECURITY
DATA CHALLENGES
1. LINKING AGRICULTURE TO THE REST OF THE ECONOMY
a. Public and private investment data
b. Disaggregate I/O at sub-sectoral level
c. Agricultural wages, employment
2. LINKING THE LOCAL ECONOMY TO THE MACROECONOMY
a. Retrace public expenditure flows
b. Measure locally: Growth rates; Price indices
c. Rural labor markets, off-farm: wages, employment
d. Local incomes: sources, levels, distribution
IFPRI/Badiane
STRENGTHENING EVIDENCE BASED ANALYSIS
FOR AGRICULTURE AND FOOD SECURITY
CONNECTING RESEARCH AND POLICY: KEY ELEMENTS
CARRIER POLICY
PROCESSES
ASTRATEGY, POLICY, PROGRAM DESIGN PROCESSES
ANCHOR
ORGANIZATIONS
AGOVERNMENT, CSO, DEV. AGENCIES
OPERATIONAL
ACTORS
ACIVIL SERVANTS, CSO LEADERS, PRIVATE
OPERATORS
IFPRI/Badiane
STRENGTHENING EVIDENCE BASED ANALYSIS
FOR AGRICULTURE AND FOOD SECURITY
CONNECTING RESEARCH AND POLICY: KEY ACTIONS
RESEARCH ORGANIZATIONS
GOVERNMENTS
CARRIER POLICY
PROCESSES
DEFINE CLEAR STRATEGY,
PROGRAMS, AND ACTION
AGENDA
ESTABLISH STRATEGIC
PARTNERSHIPS WITH T
LEADING ORGANIZATIONS
ANCHOR
ORGANIZATIONS
COORDINATE GOV ACTION,
EMPOWER LOCAL ADM;
WORK WITH CSO
LEAVE YOUR DESK, GET OUT
OF THE INSTITUTE, ENGAGE
OPERATIONAL
ACTORS
INVEST IN GOV EXPERTISE;
BE INCLUSIVE OF NON STATE
ACTORS
ALIGN YOUR RESEARCH
AGENDA WITH POLICY
AGENDA
IFPRI/Badiane