European Review of Economic History, , –. Printed in the United Kingdom © Cambridge University Press Technological lock-in of large firms since the interwar period JOHN CANTWELL Department of Economics, University of Reading, Reading RG AA, UK Since technology is localised and context-specific, the technological trajectories of large firms tend to lock-in to particular national configurations. This article examines evidence on the industrial patterns of technological development in the largest firms originating from the US, Germany, the UK, France, Switzerland and Sweden, through their corporate patenting in the US since . It is shown that in each national group the profile of development is path-dependent, but with some selected convergence between groups leading to the formation of three clusters of groups (the US and UK, German and Swiss, and French and Swedish) that share common characteristics. . Introduction In previous research, it has been demonstrated that large firms tend to possess persistent patterns of technological specialisation, which implies pathdependency in the technological development of these companies (Cantwell and Fai ). While technological path-dependency in such firms is strong over relatively long periods of about years, it weakens somewhat over such very long periods of time as years. Yet even over years (from to ) the fields of principal technological specialisation in each of the largest US and European industrial firms have been typically remarkably stable, especially when considering the more dramatic shifts that have occurred in the composition of their products or markets. By comparison, over long periods the profiles of technological competence of the largest firms considered individually tend to persist much more than the equivalent patterns of technological comparative advantage of countries as a whole (Cantwell , Vertova a). At a national level a significant degree of The author gratefully acknowledges the helpul comments of a referee and the editors on an earlier version of this article, and the support of Pilar Barrera, who worked with him on the project on ‘The historical structure of innovative activity in the UK and Europe since ’ which made this article possible. He wishes to also thank for the financial support of the original project the UK Economic and Social Research Council (under award number R). Downloaded from https:/www.cambridge.org/core. IP address: 88.99.165.207, on 13 Jul 2017 at 01:06:04, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of use, available at https:/www.cambridge.org/core/terms. https:/www.cambridge.org/core/product/ADF7FCAC1E017E7FA8BA625A0071A8DD European Review of Economic History persistence applies for most industrialised countries over periods of around years, but only rarely over years. The difference between a single large firm and a country lies essentially in the different extent of institutional continuity. In cases in which firms underwent a substantial change in their ownership and business structure, then unsurprisingly their patterns of corporate technological specialisation were also subject to significant change. This article attempts to extend the argument by examining whether national groups of large firms, when considered collectively by their home country of ownership (the nationality of the relevant parent companies), have the same characteristic of path-dependency in their patterns of technological specialisation, as do the individual large firms when considered separately. Two kinds of influences point in different directions with respect to whether technological persistence is likely to be sustained once aggregating up to the level of common national groups of large firms. First, the changing composition of cross-company contributions to technological activity, as some firms have grown rapidly while others have declined, is likely to disrupt any tendency towards a persistent pattern in the specialisation of a national group as a whole. Second, however, linkages between firms that belong to a common national group (which are partly geographical, and tied to the national system of innovation of their respective home country) may mean that some types of technological tradition are collectively preserved when there is a shift in the volume of activity between individual firms, and perhaps even between industries. It is not clear a priori how important the second influence is likely to be relative to the first, and so the empirical analysis of this article aims to shed light on the actual extent of collective technological persistence among the national groups of the largest industrial firms from the US and five European countries, using data on their corporate patenting in the US since . To explain the persistence in profiles of technological competence over time we can refer to the now familiar tenet that technological change is cumulative, incremental and path-dependent, being in nature localised and context-specific (Nelson and Winter , Rosenberg ). Innovation is liable to ‘lock in’ to a particular industrial pattern or configuration in any location, and this pattern is likely to change only gradually over time, even allowing for shifts in the underlying pattern of technological opportunities. International patterns of technological advantage, having been established, remain relatively stable over time at least in the short or medium term. The sectors in which each group of firms is technologically strongest changes only gradually. Nelson and Winter () had shown how technological change is a path-dependent and localised process based on the experimental learning and search activities conducted within firms, and thus the fruits of innovative improvements are partially embodied not just in devices or equip- Downloaded from https:/www.cambridge.org/core. IP address: 88.99.165.207, on 13 Jul 2017 at 01:06:04, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of use, available at https:/www.cambridge.org/core/terms. https:/www.cambridge.org/core/product/ADF7FCAC1E017E7FA8BA625A0071A8DD Technological lock-in of large firms ment, but also in the organisational routines of companies. This fundamental premise of the localised and hence partly tacit nature of technology has since given rise to a substantial literature on dynamic corporate capabilities (e.g. Nelson , Langlois , Foss , Cantwell , ; Teece and Pisano , Teece et al. , Loasby , Chandler et al. ), which has been further reflected in the strategic management literature in the renewed popularity of the ‘resource-based’ approach derived from Penrose (), and in other work on industry life cycles and the evolution of firm capabilities (Nelson ). The essential point is that through their continual learning and search activities, companies generate localised and partially context-specific resources which cannot therefore be directly copied by or transferred to others, although of course they may be imitated by others once they are engaged in their own related learning process. Indeed, if firms cooperate in their learning activities, or if they engage in other technology interchanges or spillovers when facilitated by geographical proximity, their respective corporate technological trajectories are likely to become interdependent with one another. Because technology is context-specific it is localised not just in firms, but also in part geographically, as reflected in the continuing significance of regional and national systems of innovation (Nelson , Vertova b). Innovation is differentiated between firms and locations. That is, the path of technological development followed by a particular firm or in a particular location is distinctive and characterised by elements that are specific to that firm or location. A complementary line of research has thus been examining the locational aspects of innovation (Audretsch and Feldmann , Audretsch and Stephan ), the tendency towards geographical proximity in the relationships between science and technology (Jaffe et al. ), the geographical dispersion of technological development within multinational companies (Cantwell and Piscitello ), and the regional localisation of knowledge sourcing in the affiliates of multinational firms (Almeida , Cantwell and Iammarino ). The corporate and locational lines of research are quite closely connected, since the major source of the comparative advantage of industrialised countries is the achievements of local firms and institutions, which over time encourages geographical agglomeration of the activities in which local specialisation has become beneficial (Nelson ). The cumulativeness of technological change implies that the day-to-day adaptation of technology, through an interaction between its creation within a firm and its use in production, has a more pervasive influence than the major technological breakthroughs which give rise to entirely new production processes. Even radically new technologies, once they move beyond the purely scientific and experimental stage, often rely upon or are integrated with earlier technologies in the course of their development (Usher ). For this reason, innovation tends to gather a certain logic of its own through Downloaded from https:/www.cambridge.org/core. IP address: 88.99.165.207, on 13 Jul 2017 at 01:06:04, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of use, available at https:/www.cambridge.org/core/terms. https:/www.cambridge.org/core/product/ADF7FCAC1E017E7FA8BA625A0071A8DD European Review of Economic History the continual refinement and extension of established technologies (Rosenberg ). As specific technological experience is accumulated, the further development of production within the firm throws up new requirements, which its research and engineering departments must try and meet. Improvements tend to set the stage for their own future problems, which compel further modification and revision through the adaptation of production by innovative firms. Until there is a new stream of innovations based on a different set of fundamental discoveries, firms at the existing frontier of progress tend to establish dynamic advantages over others in the same industries. This helps to explain why, for example, German firms in the chemical industry have maintained a strong tradition for a period of at least a hundred years. It may also explain why, despite their failure to move as fast as others into the newer science-based sectors, British firms at the turn of the century remained dominant in technological development in textile machinery, railway engines and shipbuilding (Walker ). They were locked in to areas of innovation which had once ensured the success of British industry, but at a time when technological opportunities had begun to rise more rapidly elsewhere. In this article we examine the extent to which the patterns of technological competence of national groups of large firms may lock-in to some established industrial profile over periods of around years, in this instance by investigating the extent to which patterns that were true of the interwar period have still held true in recent years. As explained at the start, the analysis considers the largest industrial firms considered in collective national groups originating from the US, Germany, the UK, France, Switzerland and Sweden, using data on their corporate patenting in the US since as a means of portraying their respective industrial profiles of corporate technological competence. Given that many of the largest industrial firms of these countries were present throughout the period from the interwar years onwards, some degree of technological persistence is to be expected, but the effects of changes in company shares of activity within groups remains to be weighed against the effects of inter-company linkages and spillovers, as a matter for empirical assessment. In Section the article extends the discussion of how, when combined with technological path-dependency within firms, inter-company learning and technology spillovers may contribute to a trend towards only a gradualist change in the industrial patterns of technological development in each national group of firms over time. In Section the patent data are further described, and the index of technological specialisation derived from them is set out, with reference to how this index is designed to address the potential problems that might be encountered when using patent data. The empirical findings are then discussed in Section , leading to a brief conclusion in Section . Downloaded from https:/www.cambridge.org/core. IP address: 88.99.165.207, on 13 Jul 2017 at 01:06:04, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of use, available at https:/www.cambridge.org/core/terms. https:/www.cambridge.org/core/product/ADF7FCAC1E017E7FA8BA625A0071A8DD Technological lock-in of large firms . Coordination of learning and technology spillovers between firms, and their influence on the persistence of technological specialisation in national groups In developing their technological competence, firms evolve typically along paths in which their own past history plays a critical role, rather than through a series of discrete and unrelated steps. Yet either active technological cooperation, or unintentional spillovers, between firms that share some geographical or institutional proximity, may facilitate some common systemic technological trajectories at the broader national level of firms, despite the remaining differences in the more detailed focus of the individual companies concerned. Within particular industries, because there is a variety of technological paths or lines of experimentation across firms, a greater degree of continuity in the established profile of firms in the industry is preserved at times when the principal fields of technological opportunities change, since the new growth areas will be in the portfolios of at least some existing companies (Nelson and Winter , Eliasson ). Nor need this necessarily imply dramatic substitution effects between established firms, given the interaction between firms in their learning activities, which means that although corporate paths are distinct they are not entirely independent of one another. Thus, Cantwell and Andersen () find that the composition of technological leadership across firms in an industry tends to shift only gradually. Patel and Pavitt (, ) have suggested that newly emergent fields are now more commonly synthesised with established technologies in broader systems, rather than leading to a competence-destroying displacement of older technological activities of the kind envisaged by Tushman and Anderson (). Schumpeter’s notion of creative destruction applies more at the level of products or markets than it does at the level of technologies or firms (Cantwell and Fai ). Allied to this are insights with respect to the nature of technological cooperation between firms, which from the competence-based perspective of the firm (Teece et al. , Cantwell , Hodgson ) is not reducible to market-like exchanges of technological knowledge. Firms may cooperate directly in their learning activities, within which context exchanges of technological knowledge (sometimes embodied in patents or machinery) are just part of a broader story. Corporate problem-solving in production is also facilitated by a wider public diffusion of certain types of generic knowledge, and by cooperation with other institutions such as universities. As argued by Loasby (, ), the well-developed principles of the coordination of a given set of activities through the exchange of some given set of items (normally through the market mechanism) are unlikely to be applicable to the analysis of the coordination of evolutionary learning and novelty-generating processes, the latter being an open-ended and continuous process. The coordination of innovative learning requires a more Downloaded from https:/www.cambridge.org/core. IP address: 88.99.165.207, on 13 Jul 2017 at 01:06:04, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of use, available at https:/www.cambridge.org/core/terms. https:/www.cambridge.org/core/product/ADF7FCAC1E017E7FA8BA625A0071A8DD European Review of Economic History intensive face-to-face interaction, and a wider range of mutually shared (and often implicit) understandings. Since the extent of interaction between the technological activities of firms tends to rise as geographical distance falls, national groups of firms tend to cluster around certain common areas of technological search and expertise. Hence, the degree of inter-firm variety in patterns of technological competence tends to increase over longer distances, which is what allows us to distinguish the specific features of geographically bounded national or regional systems of innovation. Such patterns are reinforced by the additional interaction of firms in developing new technology not only with other companies, but with other local institutions, including universities and scientific research facilities (especially in the science-based industries), other providers of specialised services, instruments and equipment, including innovative smaller firms and wider communities of engineering and allied expertise, besides the particular conditions of local markets. As a consequence, firms that have common origins in a national system of innovation are likely to cluster in certain industries and in the development of certain technological fields, in comparison with groups of firms that instead originated in other countries. So the fact that the creation of technological competence is a firmspecific process, associated with the formation of distinctive capabilities in surviving companies, still allows for interchanges in the learning efforts of firms. It is possible to distinguish between two types of technological cooperation between firms. Cooperation may consist simply of an exchange of knowledge (each exchange being a discrete act), or it may extend beyond this to cooperative learning, involving the coordination of learning processes themselves (Cantwell and Barrera ). The coordination of learning in production between firms becomes more likely if the capabilities of firms are closely complementary to one another, such that their learning activities are highly interrelated (Richardson ), and inter-firm technological complementarities tend to increase among companies sharing common national origins. The degree of complementarity between the technological traditions of firms affects the costs of transferring knowledge between them, and the ease of implementing knowledge generated out of one tradition in the context of another, as well as the scale of potential benefits that may arise from cooperative learning. For this reason, when the technological traditions of two companies are quite different, the costs of imitation in a less amenable environment may exceed the original costs of innovation (Mansfield et al. , Klevorick et al. ), and the costs of technology transfer between countries may be high (Teece ). Since it is in large part an outcome of the firm’s own problem-solving agenda, the new technological knowledge generated by a firm tends to be more valuable in combination with the tacit capability of the same firm, and firms whose capabilities are closely complementary to its own (Cantwell a). Downloaded from https:/www.cambridge.org/core. IP address: 88.99.165.207, on 13 Jul 2017 at 01:06:04, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of use, available at https:/www.cambridge.org/core/terms. https:/www.cambridge.org/core/product/ADF7FCAC1E017E7FA8BA625A0071A8DD Technological lock-in of large firms The degree of interchange between technological learning activities is typically greatest within the same firm, and becomes less intense in moving to inter-company connections within national groups of large firms. Since there are more likely to be technological complementarities between the learning efforts of large companies of common national origins in comparison with the different trajectories of the firms from other countries, the closer inter-firm interchanges within national groups will reinforce the innovation of each company if they are in the same or closely related industries, through the ability of each firm to absorb as inputs into their own learning the knowledge generated by others of the same group. Hence, we can expect that the industrial patterns of technological development in each national group of the leading companies will be distinctive and will tend to persist over time. However, it should be noted that the profile of technological specialisation in national groups may give rise to some artificial contrasts when firms are classified solely by their primary industry, given that large firms are generally technologically diversified (Granstrand et al. , Granstrand , Cantwell and Piscitello ). Thus, within a national group of large firms cross-industry combinations may be formed that share technological fields of interest, which fields lie outside the ‘principal’ area of technological development of at least one of the industries involved. When such technological overlaps between industries are important, their effect is to further tend to enhance the continuity of technological specialisation at the level of broader national groups of firms. The specific industry combinations that provide clusters of related technological developments in each national group will vary, since for example, in the UK synthetic fibres were developed by textile industry firms, while in Germany or the US they remained mainly the preserve of the chemical industry itself. Corporate patent statistics enable us to examine this issue, by distinguishing the type of technology developed from the industry of output of the firm. . The data and the measurement of profiles of technological specialisation Patenting is a measure of invention, and so corporate patenting is not just a measure of outputs from research and development (R&D), but more a measure of wider technological activity in firms (representing knowledge inputs into the learning processes that give rise to changes in production methods, the creation of which knowledge has generally been tailored to the problem-solving agenda of such learning in production). For large firms such as those covered here, it is true that R&D is the most important source of new knowledge and skills. However, production engineering is often an important complementary source of new inventions that are incorporated into technology. While Schmookler () used patents as a direct measure Downloaded from https:/www.cambridge.org/core. IP address: 88.99.165.207, on 13 Jul 2017 at 01:06:04, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of use, available at https:/www.cambridge.org/core/terms. https:/www.cambridge.org/core/product/ADF7FCAC1E017E7FA8BA625A0071A8DD European Review of Economic History of invention as such and others (Scherer , Bound et al. ) have since used them as an indirect measure of R&D inputs, the patents granted to the largest industrial firms are used here instead as an indirect measure of the pattern of technological change in these companies. This is a valid inference, so long as the knowledge requirements of the learning processes by which firms generate accumulated capabilities reflect the profile of those resultant technological competences across types of innovative activity. Two common objections to the use of patent statistics – that they capture only weakly the contribution to innovation of smaller firms (Acs and Audretsch ), and that time trends in absolute numbers can be misleading (Griliches ) – are not relevant here. A survey by Mansfield () has shown that for large firms most patentable inventions are in fact patented, even in industries in which patenting is relatively unimportant as a means of protecting intellectual property. The reason seems to be that, for the largest firms, patents function more as a mechanism for regulating intercompany exchanges of technological knowledge rather than as a pure monopoly device (Cantwell and Barrera ). Patent statistics are also far more reliable when examining the properties of cross-sectoral distributions of technological activity as opposed to time series (Griliches ), and here attention is focused on the cross-sectoral patterns of patenting by the largest firms at selected points in time. While a further potential difficulty is that the propensity to patent varies across industries (Scherer ), an index is deployed here that normalises for such inter-sectoral variations, which is described in greater detail below. Using the US Index of Patents and the US Patent Office Gazette, all patents were recorded that were assigned to a selection of large US-owned and European-owned firms between and . From onwards equivalent information has been computerised by the US Patent Office. The firms selected for the historical patent search were identified in one of three ways. The first group consisted of those firms which have accounted for the highest levels of US patenting after ; the second group comprised other US, German or British firms which were historically among the largest industrial corporations in each of these countries (derived from lists in Chandler ); and the third group was made up of other companies which featured prominently in the US patent records of earlier years (a method that proved most significant for a number of French firms that had not been identified from other sources). In each case, patents were counted as belonging to a common corporate group where they were assigned to affiliates of a parent company. Affiliate names were normally taken from individual company histories. In all, the US patenting of companies or affiliates was traced historically; together these comprise corporate groups. Owing to historical changes in ownership, of the affiliates were allocated to more than one corporate group over the period as a whole. No significance has been attached to the par- Downloaded from https:/www.cambridge.org/core. IP address: 88.99.165.207, on 13 Jul 2017 at 01:06:04, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of use, available at https:/www.cambridge.org/core/terms. https:/www.cambridge.org/core/product/ADF7FCAC1E017E7FA8BA625A0071A8DD Technological lock-in of large firms ticular affiliate to which each patent is assigned, since this may be different from the affiliate that gave rise to the patent. However, the location of the parent company is an important dimension in the analysis, as this is treated as the home country or the country of origin of the corporate group. Each corporate group is also allocated to an industry on the basis of its primary field of production; occasionally, firms have moved between industries historically, sometimes associated with changes in ownership, and this has been allowed for. The company to which a patent has been assigned (if any), and the name and location of residence of the inventor responsible for the underlying invention, are both recorded separately in the US Patent Office data, including the earliest data. Where patents have been assigned to firms, the inventor is normally an employee of the company or is directly associated with it in some other way, but occasionally independent individual inventors do choose to assign their patents to firms (Schmookler ). Assignments by independent individuals were more common in the nineteenth century but, at least from the interwar years onwards, the typical assignor was a prominent member of a corporate research laboratory, or some other similar in-house company facility. Although it is normally difficult to trace these named individuals in secondary sources on the firms concerned (as they are not usually also senior managers), the location of assignors can be checked against business history sources on the international location of research facilities in particular firms. Such checks on a selection of large firms have confirmed that whenever a location has been responsible for significant numbers of patents being assigned to a company, that firm did indeed have some in-house facility in the location in question at the relevant time. Companies checked in this fashion include various US firms active abroad and European companies in the US (Stocking and Watkins , Beaton , Wilkins , ; Chandler ), Courtaulds and British Celanese (Coleman ), Du Pont and ICI (Hounshell and Smith ), and General Electric and GEC (Reich , Jones and Marriot ). One distinction between different aspects of these classifications of the data is worth emphasising, and becomes a central feature of the empirical analysis below. The sectoral classification of patents, in terms of the type of technological activity with which each patent is associated as derived from the US patent class system, is distinguished from the main industrial output or markets of the companies to which patents may be assigned, both of which have been recorded separately. Most large companies have engaged in at least some development in most of the general spheres of technological activity (for instance, chemical firms develop many mechanical technologies, including chemical machinery and equipment), irrespective of the industry in which they operate. The industrial patterns of technological specialisation of national groups Downloaded from https:/www.cambridge.org/core. IP address: 88.99.165.207, on 13 Jul 2017 at 01:06:04, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of use, available at https:/www.cambridge.org/core/terms. https:/www.cambridge.org/core/product/ADF7FCAC1E017E7FA8BA625A0071A8DD European Review of Economic History of firms can be observed by means of a ‘Revealed Technological Advantage’ index (RTA) as developed by Soete (), Cantwell (, ) and Patel and Pavitt (). This index is designed to normalise for cross-sectoral and cross-national group variations in the propensity to patent, as well as for variations over time (Cantwell ). The RTA index of the largest firms originating from selected countries can be calculated across industrial groups of companies, and is defined as each national group’s share of all corporate patenting in the US in a given industry relative to its share of such patenting in all industries. The overall total in the denominator consists of all patents granted in the US to the largest US-owned or European-owned firms in the historical dataset. Denoting by Pij, the number of US patents of the national group of firms headquartered in country j in a particular industry i, the RTA index for each country in that industry is defined as (Pij / j Pij) / (i Pij / ij Pij). The index varies around unity, so a value greater than one suggests that the national group is comparatively advantaged or specialised in innovation in the industry considered in relation to firms of other nationalities, and a value less than one shows comparative disadvantage. The use of US patents in the construction of the RTA index is an advantage, since it allows us to compare legitimately the activities of large firms of different nationalities against the benchmark of a common legal framework and screening process, given that, as remarked upon earlier, the largest firms almost all patent most of their inventions in the US (Soete and Wyatt, ). Indeed, for non-US-owned firms US patent grants are an especially useful indicator, since companies tend to extend abroad (and usually initially to the US, after their own home country) those patents that are of higher quality and which have survived early tests as to their utility at home (Archibugi ). The fact that not all European firms are active to the same extent in the US market is not a problem, since the largest firms licence the right to use the US patents of their inventions to others if they do not exploit them themselves, and this applied in the interwar period as well as more recently (Cantwell and Barrera ). The one significant remaining problem is that the point about the particular utility of foreign patenting implies that for US-owned companies the measure is not fully comparable, since it involves what is for them domestic patenting. While the RTA index controls for the higher propensity of US-owned firms to patent at home, the greater volume of their domestic patenting activity (especially historically, since foreign patenting has been rising with the greater internationalisation of the postwar years) leads to a lower cross-sectoral variance in the RTA index, and this issue is taken into account where it is relevant in the discussion of the empirical findings which follows below. The industrial classification scheme used here spans industries as listed in Table a. An equivalent procedure was used to calculate the RTA index for the same national groups of firms across a roughly corresponding Downloaded from https:/www.cambridge.org/core. IP address: 88.99.165.207, on 13 Jul 2017 at 01:06:04, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of use, available at https:/www.cambridge.org/core/terms. https:/www.cambridge.org/core/product/ADF7FCAC1E017E7FA8BA625A0071A8DD Technological lock-in of large firms Table . RTA values of the largest US-owned firms, – and –. (a) Across industries In the interwar period Food and drink Chemicals Pharmaceuticals Metal products Mechanical engineering Electrical equipment Office equipment and computing Motor vehicles Other transport equipment Textiles Paper products and publishing Rubber and plastic products Non-metallic mineral products Coal and petroleum products Professional and scientific instruments In the recent period – – – – . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (b) Across technological fields In the interwar period Food and drink Chemicals Pharmaceuticals Metal products Mechanical engineering of which: agricultural equipment construction equipment mining equipment Electrical equipment Office equipment and computing Motor vehicles of which: engines vehicles Other transport equipment of which: aircraft Textiles Rubber and plastic products Non-metallic mineral products Coal and petroleum products Professional and scientific instruments In the recent period – – – – . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Source: US patent database compiled by John Cantwell at the University of Reading, with the assistance of the US Patent and Trademark Office. In the first panel of the Table, patents are allocated collectively for each firm to the primary industry of the corporate group, while in the second panel patents are individually arranged by the field of technological activity with which each patent is primarily associated, using a classification derived from the US patent class system (see text). Downloaded from https:/www.cambridge.org/core. IP address: 88.99.165.207, on 13 Jul 2017 at 01:06:04, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of use, available at https:/www.cambridge.org/core/terms. https:/www.cambridge.org/core/product/ADF7FCAC1E017E7FA8BA625A0071A8DD European Review of Economic History sectors of technological activity, of which are shown in Table b. This technology-based classification, developed from an assignment of individual patents according to their primary US patent sub-class (as determined by the US Patent Office examiners) which have been grouped under common categories of activity, can also be arranged at a more disaggregated level of up to fields of technological activity, as indicated for a few selected cases in Table b. Thus, examining the RTA index across technological fields provides a useful complement to the cross-industry analysis, allowing as it does for a study of the patterns of technological specialisation according to a more detailed set of categories. More importantly, the comparison of RTA distributions arranged by industries and by technological fields establishes in which (other) fields firms of a technologically dynamic industry have developed an innovative competence outside the ‘core’ areas most directly connected with their industry. . The industrial pattern of technological specialisation of the largest US and European firms Table provides the evidence on the RTA indicator for the largest USowned firms. The comparative advantage in technological activity of US corporations in the interwar period lay mainly in electrical and office equipment (through the world leaders AT&T/Bell Telephone, General Electric, Westinghouse Electric, RCA, IBM and Remington Rand), but also in mechanical engineering, certain fields of transport equipment (including rubber tyres), and oil, as well as building materials and food products. In the transport area a more refined disaggregation by the field of technological activity indicates that US-owned research was comparatively advantaged in the development of aircraft (from the s), and in vehicles but not engine technologies. In the mechanical fields, the US technological advantage was most pronounced in agricultural equipment, construction and excavating equipment, and mining equipment. Technologically advantaged US firms in the food, other transport equipment, rubber and building material industries have had strengths in developing (inter alia) metal and mechanical technologies relevant in their respective industries, as can be seen from a comparison of Tables a and b. However, the US oil companies have also An initial classification of US patent sub-classes into fields of technological activity (see Cantwell b) was aggregated into fields of technology to facilitate comparison with the equivalent industrial categories. However, ‘other non-industrial’ fields are not shown in Table b since there is no match in Table a, and there is no entry in principle under the technology-based classification for paper products and publishing, since the major corresponding fields of technology are grouped under mechanical equipment or (to a lesser extent) chemicals. While likewise, textile industry firms, for example, develop mainly mechanical or chemical technologies, there is still a separate additional technological classification pertaining to textile, clothing and leather product inventions. Downloaded from https:/www.cambridge.org/core. IP address: 88.99.165.207, on 13 Jul 2017 at 01:06:04, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of use, available at https:/www.cambridge.org/core/terms. https:/www.cambridge.org/core/product/ADF7FCAC1E017E7FA8BA625A0071A8DD Technological lock-in of large firms been notable for their tradition of success in the development of petrochemical technologies as such (as well as in mining equipment). During the interwar period the US corporate profile of technological specialisation did not change very much, except for some strengthening of activity in the areas of vehicles and transport equipment, perhaps linked to the US advantage in oil-related technologies, and the continued expansion and success of the US mass production system in the motor vehicle industry or ‘Fordism’ (von Tunzelmann ). By the recent period the one striking change has been the erosion of the US technological dominance in general electrical equipment, although US firms have improved their technological position in office equipment vis-à-vis the largest European firms, while not in comparison with the rising innovation of Japanese companies (which are not included here). Large US firms enjoy continuing strength from the interwar years through to today in oil, food products, rubber tyres, other transport equipment, and building materials. The increases in RTA values in these areas since the war is attributable mainly to the rise in the concentration of the RTA index for the US group as the overall share of US firms in US patenting has fallen (from just under per cent in – to just below per cent in – of the combined total of the largest US and European firms). The comparative advantage of large German firms in the technological development of chemicals and pharmaceuticals, as shown in Table , stands out clearly in the interwar years, when IG Farben (or, before , its predecessors) was the world’s technological leader in this industry. In this period German firms were also prominent in technology development in instruments (particularly optics, through Zeiss), and in the metal products industry (through firms such as Krupp and Mannesmann). The German strength was most significant in the technological field of organic chemicals including dyestuffs, although in this field their comparative advantage declined somewhat during the interwar period. This is perhaps not surprising given that German firms began from a position of overwhelming superiority in artificial dyestuffs in the latter part of the nineteenth century, and given the major new developments in organic chemistry between the wars. German companies were also well represented by European standards in electrical equipment – if one calculated the RTA index relative to all other European firms, excluding the dominant US position in this area – or in other words, together with chemicals and instruments, in all the fields of the most significant technological opportunities. However, in comparison with its position in the s, the German corporate group slipped back in motor vehicle technology, in both the vehicle and engine fields. Apart from the decline in the motor vehicle industry, the German corporate RTA profile was fairly stable during the interwar period. The fall in the degree of concentration of the index is due to the higher share of patenting of German companies in the s, following the recovery from the First Downloaded from https:/www.cambridge.org/core. IP address: 88.99.165.207, on 13 Jul 2017 at 01:06:04, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of use, available at https:/www.cambridge.org/core/terms. https:/www.cambridge.org/core/product/ADF7FCAC1E017E7FA8BA625A0071A8DD European Review of Economic History Table . RTA values of the largest German-owned firms, – and –. (a) Across industries Chemicals Pharmaceuticals Metal products Mechanical engineering Electrical equipment Motor vehicles Rubber and plastic products Professional and scientific instruments In the interwar period In the recent period – – – – . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (b) Across technological fields Chemicals of which: dyestuffs and other organic Pharmaceuticals Metal products Mechanical engineering Electrical equipment Motor vehicles of which: engines vehicles Other transport equipment of which: railway equipment Rubber and plastic products Professional and scientific instruments of which: photographic equipment In the interwar period In the recent period – – – – . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Source: As for Table . World War and very low levels of patenting in the early s. Moving to more recent times, the German company strength in chemicals and metal products has held up. Since the war there has been some loss of position in the instruments industry, much of Zeiss’s operations having been located in what became East Germany, and to a lesser extent in pharmaceuticals, perhaps because the linkage with organic chemistry has not been quite as close Downloaded from https:/www.cambridge.org/core. IP address: 88.99.165.207, on 13 Jul 2017 at 01:06:04, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of use, available at https:/www.cambridge.org/core/terms. https:/www.cambridge.org/core/product/ADF7FCAC1E017E7FA8BA625A0071A8DD Technological lock-in of large firms as it was in the interwar years, and instead more independent pharmaceutical specialist companies have increased their activity relative to chemical generalists (Cantwell and Bachmann ). While the German corporate strength in chemical technologies in general has persisted, it has been Germany’s chemical generalists (such as Bayer) that have sustained the strength of development of pharmaceutical technologies (Table b), despite a relative decline of the German pharmaceutical specialists (Table a). Meanwhile, German industry has become more engineering-based and less science-based than it had been in the interwar period, with a restoration of its technological excellence in high quality motor vehicles and an improvement in related mechanical engineering. Other evidence suggests that this has much to do with a favourable interaction between innovation in large and small firms in motor vehicles and engineering in the German system, most notably in the region of Baden Würtemburg (Cantwell et al. ). The continuing technological strength of the German metal companies has rested on fields outside the metal technologies as such (comparing Tables a and b), especially in transport equipment and most notably engines. This transport-related technological tradition of the German metal industry may also help to account for the technological improvement of German mechanical and vehicle firms in the recent period. The technological advantage of the UK corporate group in the interwar period, as set out in Table , lay principally in the textiles and other transport industries, and was based mainly on mechanical innovations, and in more traditional technologies such as in dyeing processes and shipbuilding. Within British company mechanical development, important technological fields were food and drink equipment, assembly and material handling equipment, mining equipment, and other specialised machinery. Although relatively weak in chemicals by German standards between the wars, British firms had some strengths in synthetic resins and fibres as well as bleaching and dyeing processes (due in large part to firms in the textiles rather than the chemicals industry – British Celanese and Courtaulds), and they performed much better after the formation in and subsequent growth in research of ICI. British firms were also prominent in patenting in the rubber products industry. Overall, however, UK firms slipped back in the interwar period in development in the mechanical engineering industry, and in building materials. Conversely, the research of the oil firms (Shell and BP) took off like that of ICI during the s, but unlike ICI this was attributable to facilities they set up in the US, rather than at home in the UK – so in many ways they were closer to the US innovation system. Interestingly, the dominance of British company innovation in the textiles industry is nearly as great now as it was in the interwar period (once we allow for the fall in concentration of the UK RTA index as British firms increased their share of patenting after the war), and of course this area of specialisation can be traced back to the eighteenth century! The firms of the Downloaded from https:/www.cambridge.org/core. IP address: 88.99.165.207, on 13 Jul 2017 at 01:06:04, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of use, available at https:/www.cambridge.org/core/terms. https:/www.cambridge.org/core/product/ADF7FCAC1E017E7FA8BA625A0071A8DD European Review of Economic History Table . RTA values of the largest UK-owned firms, – and –. (a) Across industries In the interwar period In the recent period Food and drink Chemicals Pharmaceuticals Metal products Mechanical engineering Electrical equipment Office equipment and computing Motor vehicles Other transport equipment Textiles Rubber and plastic products Non-metallic mineral products Coal and petroleum products – – – – . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (b) Across technological fields In the interwar period In the recent period Food and drink Chemicals of which: chemical compositions synthetic fibres dyeing processes Pharmaceuticals Metal products Mechanical engineering of which: food equipment assembling equipment mining equipment other specialised machinery Electrical equipment Office equipment and computing Motor vehicles Other transport equipment of which: aircraft ships and marine motors Textiles Rubber and plastic products Non-metallic mineral products Coal and petroleum products – – – – . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Source: As for Table . Downloaded from https:/www.cambridge.org/core. IP address: 88.99.165.207, on 13 Jul 2017 at 01:06:04, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of use, available at https:/www.cambridge.org/core/terms. https:/www.cambridge.org/core/product/ADF7FCAC1E017E7FA8BA625A0071A8DD Technological lock-in of large firms British textile industry have made a persistent contribution since the interwar years to the development of chemical composition and synthetic fibre technology (which has impacted positively and significantly on the UK corporate advantage in the wider chemicals technology category). Likewise, the technological strength of large British companies in the oil industry has persisted since the s. The research base of these firms lies mainly outside the UK, and the same is true of the new technological development of British-owned enterprises in the metal products industry. In each case they rely on research which is geographically closer to the point of extraction, and their position may be linked with the traditional strength of UK firms in mining and extractive technologies. The British oil and metal companies have both made a continuing historical contribution to the strengths of the largest British-owned firms in mining (mechanical), petrochemical and chemical technologies, a contribution that if anything has increased over time. The development of related competences beyond the primary field of the firms of an industry may also help to explain the apparent rise of British firms in motor vehicle components. This has occurred due to a convergence in vehicle and aerospace engines and components technologies, which helps to account for the switching of British expertise from ‘other transport’ into the motor vehicle industry since the interwar period. Despite the shift in industry-level strengths, the underlying focus of transport technology development in UK-owned firms has in any case changed less. Firms in the ‘other transport’ equipment industry developed vehicle components and engine technology in the interwar period, while vehicle component companies have developed other transport (aircraft-related) technologies in more recent times (as evidenced from a comparison of Tables a and b). Another feature of the UK corporate case is the continuing somewhat above-average technological performance of the largest British firms in the chemical industry since the war, but a dramatic improvement in pharmaceuticals with the rapid growth of the pharmaceutical specialists referred to above (Cantwell and Bachmann ), whose origins lay in the British food industry. Building upon the lead of the chemical generalists (mainly ICI) in the s (see pharmaceuticals in Table b), the pharmaceutical specialists developed a strong postwar British interest in the fields of pharmaceutical and food-related technologies. In some respects the revival of the British position in pharmaceutical technology can be seen alternatively as a return to a mid-nineteenth century strength in medical and related technologies, perhaps related to the rising significance of biological science relative to the dominance of organic chemistry since the end of the nineteenth century; which may also help to account for some weakening in the German position in this industry since the war. As shown in Table , the revealed technological advantage of the largest French firms between and was concentrated in the metal prod- Downloaded from https:/www.cambridge.org/core. IP address: 88.99.165.207, on 13 Jul 2017 at 01:06:04, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of use, available at https:/www.cambridge.org/core/terms. https:/www.cambridge.org/core/product/ADF7FCAC1E017E7FA8BA625A0071A8DD European Review of Economic History Table . RTA values of the largest French-owned firms, – and –. (a) Across industries Chemicals Pharmaceuticals Metal products Mechanical engineering Electrical equipment Office equipment and computing Motor vehicles Other transport equipment Rubber and plastic products Non-metallic mineral products Coal and petroleum products In the interwar period In the recent period – – – – . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (b) Across technological fields Chemicals Pharmaceuticals Metal products Mechanical engineering Electrical equipment of which: telecommunications other electrical communications Office equipment and computing Motor vehicles Other transport equipment of which: aircraft Rubber and plastic products Non-metallic mineral products Coal and petroleum products Professional and scientific instruments In the interwar period In the recent period – – – – . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Source: As for Table . ucts, motor vehicles, other transport (and rubber tyres by the s), and building materials industries. Some early strength in the chemicals and mechanical engineering industries seemed to have dissipated by the s; in the case of chemicals this may be due simply to the recovery and re- Downloaded from https:/www.cambridge.org/core. IP address: 88.99.165.207, on 13 Jul 2017 at 01:06:04, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of use, available at https:/www.cambridge.org/core/terms. https:/www.cambridge.org/core/product/ADF7FCAC1E017E7FA8BA625A0071A8DD Technological lock-in of large firms emergence of the German chemical industry from the mid-s onwards. Despite a comparative disadvantage in the electrical equipment industry, French firms had some strengths in electrical technological fields, notably in telecommunications and other electrical communications. In one respect, French firms occupied a position mid-way between British and German companies in terms of the composition of their technological activity. They were relatively well represented in the fast growing areas of electrical communications, aircraft and some instrument technology; but their position in chemicals slipped during the interwar period. Indeed, the RTA distribution for French companies displays a greater mobility or restructuring of activity during the interwar period than for either the UK or German-owned, although this is partly due to the smaller scale of French-based patenting, related to the lesser number of large French industrial companies at that time. By more recent times there were still some areas of innovative French corporate strength that have held up since the interwar years – namely, in the metal products, rubber products and building materials industries – although the tyre companies have weakened very recently, and (comparing Tables a and b) the French building material firms have focused on areas other than non-metallic mineral product technologies as such. Even the new comparative advantage in technological development in the electrical equipment industry is no great surprise, given the early French corporate presence in innovation in the field of electrical communications (Table b), and the subsequent growth in importance of this area in the electrical equipment industry. Less easy to account for is the decline in the technological specialisation of large French firms in motor vehicles and other transport equipment. This may be due to a shift in the locus of innovation in the area of aircraft, engines and components after the war, which increasingly favoured large scale research efforts in place of the expertise of the smaller specialised company (by the standards of the world giants) in which the French had excelled in the earlier stages of the aircraft industry. Meanwhile, the growth of French technological efforts in the pharmaceutical industry, from no large firm presence in the interwar period, may be partially attributable to the emergence of new opportunities for pharmaceutical specialists as described already, and perhaps also to the postwar French regulation which insisted upon a local research presence as a condition for selling medicines in the French market. As in the British corporate experience, the recent success of the French pharmaceutical specialist firms can be linked to the earlier development of pharmaceutical technology by French chemical generalist firms in the interwar period (the postwar emergence of technological efforts in pharmaceutical firms being indicated in Table a, and the longer interwar heritage of pharmaceutical innovation in other French firms is shown in Table b). Some evidence on the comparative advantage of the major firms origi- Downloaded from https:/www.cambridge.org/core. IP address: 88.99.165.207, on 13 Jul 2017 at 01:06:04, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of use, available at https:/www.cambridge.org/core/terms. https:/www.cambridge.org/core/product/ADF7FCAC1E017E7FA8BA625A0071A8DD European Review of Economic History Table . RTA values of the largest Swiss-owned firms, – and –. (a) Across industries Chemicals Pharmaceuticals Metal products Mechanical engineering Electrical equipment In the interwar period In the recent period – – – – . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (b) Across technological fields Chemicals of which: dyestuffs and other organic Pharmaceuticals Metal products Mechanical engineering of which: food equipment papermaking apparatus textile machinery Electrical equipment In the interwar period In the recent period – – – – . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Source: As for Table . nating from the smaller but technologically active European countries is given in Tables and . As might have been expected, the main Swiss strength lay in chemicals and pharmaceuticals. Especially in the interwar period there was a close association between the German and Swiss chemical industries, running across the Swiss-German border. The leading Swiss companies Ciba, Sandoz and Geigy were merged as Swiss IG, and enjoyed common cartel links with IG Farben (Cantwell and Barrera ). However, to the extent that there is a relative difference between the German and Swiss industries, it is that the Swiss companies have been stronger historically in pharmaceuticals (through Sandoz and Hoffman La Roche), and this comparative innovative advantage has persisted through to the present day. More recently, the performance of large Swiss firms in metal products and mechanical engineering has improved, but in their strengths in the science-based industries Swiss companies still do relatively better in pharmaceuticals and chemicals than they do in electrical equip- Downloaded from https:/www.cambridge.org/core. IP address: 88.99.165.207, on 13 Jul 2017 at 01:06:04, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of use, available at https:/www.cambridge.org/core/terms. https:/www.cambridge.org/core/product/ADF7FCAC1E017E7FA8BA625A0071A8DD Technological lock-in of large firms Table . RTA values of the largest Swedish-owned firms, – and –. (a) Across industries Chemicals Pharmaceuticals Metal products Mechanical engineering Electrical equipment Motor vehicles Other transport equipment Rubber and plastic products Professional and scientific instruments In the interwar period In the recent period – – – – . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (b) Across technological fields Chemicals Pharmaceuticals Metal products Mechanical engineering of which: metalworking equipment woodworking machinery Electrical equipment of which: telecommunications Motor vehicles Other transport equipment Rubber and plastic products Professional and scientific instruments Other non-industrial of which: power plants In the interwar period In the recent period – – – . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . – Source: As for Table . ment. The recent emergence of technological advantage in the Swiss metal and mechanical firms seems also to have relied on their development of chemicals-related technology including food, paper making and textile equipment (Table b), more so than for the leading German companies. During the interwar period the technological development of the larger Swedish firms was concentrated in the mechanical engineering industry, Downloaded from https:/www.cambridge.org/core. IP address: 88.99.165.207, on 13 Jul 2017 at 01:06:04, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of use, available at https:/www.cambridge.org/core/terms. https:/www.cambridge.org/core/product/ADF7FCAC1E017E7FA8BA625A0071A8DD European Review of Economic History mainly through Alfa Laval and Asea. The most favoured technological fields of these companies lay in engineering and machinery themselves (especially metalworking and woodworking machinery, doubtless related to Sweden’s resource availabilities in metals and wood), motor vehicle components and power plants. These strengths have again largely persisted through to the present day. In the recent period large Swedish firms have continued to hold a high RTA value in the mechanical engineering industry and mechanical technological fields, and this now extends to cover the efforts of other Swedish companies in the metal products and motor vehicles industries. Perhaps again the Swedish metal and vehicle companies have built upon the technological traditions in the engineering and vehicle fields established earlier (Table b) by the Swedish machinery firms. However, some change in the Swedish corporate pattern can be observed in the very latest period –, in the form of a greater innovative presence in the science-based industries of pharmaceuticals (perhaps due to some Swedish success in developing biotechnology), and in electrical equipment (owing to Scandanavian efforts in the new telecommunications fields). The recent increase in telecommunications development (Table b) in Swedish electrical firms (Table a) such as LM Ericsson may build partly upon the Swedish engineering tradition and on some historical presence in this field and in instrument technology (Table b), while the emergence of innovative Swedish pharmaceutical specialist firms (Table a) seems also to have had some historical precedent in the contribution to pharmaceutical technology of Swedish chemical and allied firms in the interwar period (Table b). . Technological lock-in and the evolution of the competence profiles of national corporate groups – the emergence of clusters? Examining patterns of technological specialisation among national groups of the largest firms from six countries, it has been seen that these profiles are path-dependent and tend to persist to some extent even over periods of years, from the interwar period to the present day. This may be taken to imply that the positive effect on the continuity of collective technological trajectories of inter-company technological cooperation and spillovers within national groups has tended to outweigh the negative effect of mobility in cross-company distributions of activity. Perhaps just as interestingly, there is some evidence that through the evolution in these patterns of technological competence that has occurred, certain national groups have come somewhat closer to one another than they were in the past, or they have changed in similar ways. Indeed, it might be argued that the six national groups examined can now be divided into three clusters of two countries each. The first cluster comprises the largest US and UK firms, in which the Downloaded from https:/www.cambridge.org/core. IP address: 88.99.165.207, on 13 Jul 2017 at 01:06:04, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of use, available at https:/www.cambridge.org/core/terms. https:/www.cambridge.org/core/product/ADF7FCAC1E017E7FA8BA625A0071A8DD Technological lock-in of large firms profile of technological competence can be characterised as being resourcebased, oil-related and defence-related. In the US case since the interwar period, a continuing comparative advantage in innovative activity in the largest industrial firms has been sustained in the oil, food products, rubber products, aerospace (defence and larger scale transport systems) and building materials industries. The greatest continuing strengths for the largest British companies over the same historical period have been in textiles, other transport (defence) and oil since the s. Thus, it can be argued that there has been some convergence in the profiles of the US and UK innovation systems (Vertova a). However, UK firms have also seen a postwar shift into technological competence in the pharmaceutical industry, although it can be claimed that this too represents the revival of a much earlier nineteenth century tradition in biological and medical technologies. In any event, consistent with the overall UK or US pattern of technological development, the British pharmaceutical industry had links with the food industry, unlike in Germany in which it derived purely from the chemicals industry (Cantwell and Bachmann ). The second cluster is that of the German and Swiss-owned corporate groups, in which technological development since the end of the nineteenth century has been largely science-based, and revolved around the dominance of the chemicals industry. In the postwar period this has been increasingly complemented by engineering excellence, although some recent commentators have seen this direction of change (as opposed to a move into the other science-based area of electronics) as a weakness of the modern German innovation system (Albach , Audretsch ). The leading German firms have held a consistent focus on development in the chemicals and metal product industries, with some recent shift towards industries more reliant on engineering-based technologies, linked in part to the emergence of a wider range of innovative smaller specialist supplier companies. The Swiss concentration historically on chemicals and pharmaceuticals makes it a microcosm of (part of) the German innovation system, which has also been shifting in the direction of engineering excellence. The third cluster may be more a matter of coincidence than due to any historical, geographical or cultural ties, involving as it does the French and Swedish national groups of companies. This grouping has emphasised infrastructural types of technology, spanning engineering, construction, transport and communications systems, and some recent moves into health care. In the French case comparative advantage in large firm innovation has been sustained since the interwar years in metal products, rubber products and building materials, while some earlier strengths in electrical communications technologies have been subsequently consolidated. This infrastructural orientation is less reliant upon large scale private corporate R&D than the German system has been, but is not as resource-oriented as the US or UK company systems of technological development. Swedish technological Downloaded from https:/www.cambridge.org/core. IP address: 88.99.165.207, on 13 Jul 2017 at 01:06:04, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of use, available at https:/www.cambridge.org/core/terms. https:/www.cambridge.org/core/product/ADF7FCAC1E017E7FA8BA625A0071A8DD European Review of Economic History excellence has also been engineering-based (and has become increasingly so) around the metals and vehicles industries, but it has been shifting more closely towards the French pattern with the recent rise of development in the areas of telecommunications and pharmaceuticals. The apparent convergence of certain national systems of large firm innovation with continuing differentiation between these clusters of groupings may be another feature of the rise in technological interrelatedness and interlinked systems of technologies, which have eroded the more highly specialised national systems of the past. 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