Vo 1 Vicky Vo Univ 200 Mary Lou Hall 1 May 2016 Why Third Parties Cannot Get Elected Imagine this scenario: you’re finally 18 and you can finally vote. You registered months in advance, and you have studied candidates well. You realize that the two major parties have ideas that conflict with your own, so you decide to be an independent. On Election Day, you approach the polls and look at the names on the ballot. You write down the name of a third party candidate because you don’t support the two major parties. After you have voted, you feel accomplished. You feel proud of yourself, and you ask your friends and families who they voted for. A majority of them answered, “Republican” or “Democrat." When they asked you who you voted for, you proudly say that you supported a third party. Your friends and family are appalled. “Why waste a vote? What does that party even support? If more people voted like you, the vote would be split and the opposing party would win.” Questions and accusations flood your ears. You’re pressured to limit yourself to two parties because the third party you support will never be elected. In America, the two party system dominates the political system. It is almost impossible for third parties to get elected due to the lack of attention by the media and the winner take all system. However, third parties serve an important purpose in the political process by bringing up essential issues and relieving polarization between the two major parties. In order to fully analyze why third parties cannot get elected, it is important to look at the types of third parties and their contribution to the United States Democracy. One of the biggest and fastest growing third parties in the United States is the Libertarian Party. They run the platform Vo 2 of having conservative economic beliefs and liberal social beliefs. Even though this seems like a compromise between the disagreements of the Democrats and Republicans, the Libertarian Party has a very hard time getting on the ballot. One of the reasons for this is because they’re not very well known. According to Figure 1 created by Pew Research, in a sample of 3,243 adults, only 14% of the people who they surveyed identified themselves as a Libertarian, and only 77% of those 14% correctly identified what a Libertarian was (Kiley). The author of the article is the associate director of research, so she is a very reliable source. This shows that very few people can even identify what a Libertarian is and what they politically believe in. This is not uncommon for third parties due to the huge amount that exists and their lack of exposure to the public. The lack of knowledge of third parties and what they stand for stems from the media. According to John Kirch, journalist of the Sage Journal, “The press can set the nation’s political agenda, organize Figure 1. Who Calls Themselves Libertarians, from Jocelyn Kiley; In Search of Libertarians; Pew Research: 25 Aug 2014; Web 23 Mar 2016 elections by determining which candidates are the most viable, shape candidate images through the use of news frames, and act as “guardians of political norms” by legitimizing important political institutions” (400). This is an important statement because it means that the press can either make or break a candidate. They decide who the voting population should like and who they should dislike. The media is very influential in a politician’s campaign and their likelihood of winning. Adam Chamberlain, a political science professor, from Coastal Carolina University conducted a study on the popularity of third parties in the 1800’s vs the popularity of third parties now. He found that third parties were much more popular in the 1800’s and this is Vo 3 because third parties stemmed from local areas. As seen on Figure 2, towns that were in clusters had a median of 78% that voted for their local third party while towns that were not in clusters had a median of 60% who voted for third parties (354). Because Figure 2. Comparison of Towns, from Adam Chamberlain; 1855 Republican percentage vote; The Sage Journals; Web 25 Mar. 2016 the town was in clusters, they were more likely to discuss politics and it was easier for their local third party to get elected. The lack of media also prevented the public from acknowledging other parties, so people felt a closer connection to their third parties. In the present, people are known to be more mobile instead of living in clusters. News does not travel by mouth but through the media. Since the media chooses to only focus on the two major parties, people are not likely to be aware of the third parties growing in their neighborhood. Presidential debates only include Democrats and Republicans, with no mention of the third party. According to the Washington Post, a famous, widely circulated newspaper, the Commission on Presidential Debates (CPD), a group that organizes presidential debates is ran by both the Democrats and the Republicans (Harper). This shows that Democrats and Republicans are working together to exclude other parties from receiving attention from the public. Even when third parties fought back, they could not compete with the powerful major parties. Dima Ansari, a political activist, stated that the CPD was sued by the Green and Libertarian party for violating the “Equal Time” clause in under the Communications Act of 1934, a law that states that all candidates must have equal air time. However, Congress exempted the CPD from that law. When third parties try Vo 4 to hold debates of their own, these debates were not aired on any televised news channels. This shows that the media purposely tries to prevent the public from acknowledging Third Parties. In addition, a company that runs the presidential debates is ran by Republicans and Democrats and they are protected from the law by Congress. According to the Office of the Clerk, the 114th congress is consisted of 300 republicans, 232 democrats, and only two independents. This shows that congress is also predominately ran by these two major parties who work together to prevent other parties from entering the political arena. This not only shows a poor representation of democracy, but shows how the media and the public is manipulated by these two groups of people. Other than the presidential debates, the rest of the media is not controlled by Congress, but privately owned corporations still don’t provide third parties with enough coverage. When John Kirch conducted a research on third parties, he interviewed journalists from famous newspapers. He found that journalists refuse to cover third parties because they lack the resources to cover all the candidates, they only want to focus on winning candidates, and the journalists believe in a two party system. Carla Marinucci, journalist of the San Francisco Chronicle stated that her newspaper lacks the financial resources to cover all the candidates, so unless readers demand more stories about third parties, they will only report stories on the two major parties (Kirch, 407). Due to the lack of financial resources, the media cannot cover everyone, but they choose to ignore third parties, showing a biased towards the two major parties. This is because they only want to focus on candidates who they believe will win. Mark Barabak of the Los Angeles Times stated that his newspaper has “almost a perfect track record” when picking a winning candidate to report (Kirch, 406). This is a really big problem because the amount of coverage the press provides for a political Vo 5 party will help them get recognized by the public. If they don’t believe that a third party candidate can win, then they’ll never cover a third party candidate, the public won’t be exposed to them, and third parties will never get on the ballot. The third reason why candidates choose not to cover third parties is because they believe in a two party system. After Kirch interviewed the journalists, he stated that “If these interviews are any indication, reporters consider campaigns to be primarily two-person affairs” (407). If a journalist personally believes that campaigns were meant to be a two party system, then they will see third parties as irrelevant and personally choose to not include them in their newspapers or newscasts. This shows that if the journalists keep this mindset, then it would be virtually impossible for the public to acknowledge them and for them to get on the ballot. The winner take all system is a huge component as to why third parties cannot get elected. A winner takes all system is usually prevalent in a two party system, which is what United States political system centers around. It’s when a voter can only vote for one candidate and one party to win and all other parties who lost get nothing. This system brings out strategic voting, where a person votes for their preferred major party, but not a third party, which could have been their first choice. Shaun Bowler and David Lanoue, two political science professors at UC Riverside, did a strategic voting case study on strategic voting in Canada. They found that, “… necessarily hurts third parties and that the transfer of votes is typical from the third party to one of the bigger ones” (02). This shows that voters who would have supported third parties decide to vote for a major party instead because they’re afraid of wasting their vote or splitting the vote. Vo 6 Although this is a strategy to prevent their least favorite major party from winning, it also prevents third parties from winning. A very famous example of splitting the vote was in 1912 when Teddy Roosevelt formed the Bull Moose Party as a third party and ran against William Howard Taft. As shown in Figure 3, Roosevelt ended up splitting the vote amongst the republicans and this enabled Woodrow Wilson to win, a democrat. The Bull Moose Party showed that having a successful third party leads to splitting the vote which aids in having the unpopular major party win. This started a trend for strategic voting in a winner take all system. Having a winner take all system forces voters to choose between their favorite third party and a Figure 3. The Vote Splitting, from James Chace; 1912: Wilson, Roosevelt, Taft, and Debs—The Election That Changed the Country. Web. 1 May 2016 major party that they somewhat support. . A modern day example of this is the Green Party. The Green Party runs a platform based on environmental issues, political reform, and social equality which is more similar to the Democratic Party’s platform. Donella Meadows, an environmental studies professor at Dartmouth University, told her story about being accused of wasting a vote by Govenor Russell Peterson: “I have no intention of voting for George W Bush. I will vote and work for Democrats for Congress. I am sick of Republican committee chairs trying to give away overgrazing rights on public lands, privatize national parks and drill for oil in wildlife refuges. But for president, I'll vote for Ralph Nader of the Green Party. Peterson's jaw dropped. He bore in on me. "But Nader Vo 7 will draw votes away from Gore, not Bush! How can you do that?" Not only do I sympathize with his argument; I've made it myself. Why waste a vote on Nader; who is not even a serious candidate? (He spent 55,000 on his last presidential campaign and got 800,000 votes - one of the best votesto-dollars ratios in history). He says he’ll spend E5 million on this one. How will I feel, Peterson asked, if I ditch Gore and then have to watch Bush for four or eight years take away abortion rights, build prisons, promote guns and enrich oil companies? Peterson’s fear of splitting the vote shows that governors can be so concerned with stopping the opposing party from winning, they prevent their favorable party from winning too. This fear causes people to think about the candidates as a lesser two evils; they can’t vote for the third party who they agree with because they’ll waste a vote so they’ll usually vote for the major party they hate the least. This is a bad representation of democracy because people are voting for their second choice rather than their first. If this fear continues, the two major parties will continue to dominate the United States political process. Strategic voting doesn’t only impact average citizens, it also affects the electorate, particularly the Tea Party. The Tea Party is a very conservative, religious party. Their movement began around the 1990’s where the first protest was held to lower taxes, decrease government regulation, and lower the national debt. Even though the Tea Party is one of the biggest third parties, their members choose to vote for one of the major parties. In 2010, 86% of the Tea Party members in the electorate decided to vote for the Republican House candidates (Clement). Why would they do this? It’s because the Tea Party knows that as a third party, they cannot win, so they vote for the Republican Party, a major party whose platform matches theirs the most. They do this Vo 8 in fear of splitting the vote and causing the Democrats to win. When members of the electorate fear splitting the vote, it sets a precedent for citizens and cause them to have that fear too. The winner take all system not only prevents third parties from winning, it allows the Democrats and Republicans to dominate the political system. As mentioned earlier, Congress is controlled by Democrats and Republicans. Not only do they use the media to stay in power, they also use gerrymandering to manipulate the outcome of elections. Gerrymandering is when congress draws the lines of the districts to decide the voting districts. However, gerrymandering shows a clear and unjust bias. According to The Washington Post journalist Christopher Ingraham, “But a fundamental problem with district-drawing still remains: as long as humans are drawing the lines, there's a danger of bias and self-interest to creep into the process. There is another way, however: we could simply let computers do the drawing for us.” Figure 4. Comparing Gerrymandering, from Ingraham Christopher; This Is Actually What America Would Look like without Gerrymandering; The Washington Post; 16 Jan. 2016; Web. 1 May 2016 Vo 9 As seen from above, the lines generated by the computer shows a more proportionate redistricting of the United States. The lines that congress drew are much more complicated and confusing. There is no reason for these lines besides a purposeful intention to split up districts and votes to ensure that they win. Later on in the article, Ingraham explains, “One of the telltale signs of gerrymandering is dramatically non-compact districts that squiggle and squirm out in all different directions -- evidence of lawmakers trying to bring far-flung voters into a single district in order to achieve the partisan mix that best favors their party.” If one district all supports a third party, congress can easily split them up using gerrymandering to destroy their vote. This computer generated map was produced in 2014, but there has been no discussion of letting computers redraw districts instead of humans. It’s clear that Republicans and Democrats in congress use gerrymandering to protect their own interests and prevent third parties from winning elections. It is clear that third parties have a nearly impossible time of getting elected, but why should that matter? How are third parties crucial to the American political system? Third parties are important because serve a role in relieving polarization between the republicans and democrats. As mentioned earlier, Libertarians cannot get on the ballot because very few people know about them. However, most of their beliefs actually do match the general public’s beliefs. Figure 6. Comparing the General Public and Libertarians, from Jocelyn Kiley; In Search of Libertarians; Pew Research: 25 Aug 2014; Web 23 Mar 2016 Vo 10 In a Pew Research study, a sample of 3,243 people were asked about their beliefs on whether the government’s aid to the poor does more harm than good. According to the graphs above, 48% of the general public says it does more harm than good compared to 47% who says it does more good than harm. 57% of Libertarians states that it does more harm than good compared to 38% who thinks that it does more good than harm. Although 47% vs 48% is a very thin margin, it can still be concluded that a majority of the general public agrees with the majority of the Libertarians when it comes to government aid. Another economic issue is the regulation of private businesses. The public had a split at 47% vs 47% being both for and against government regulation. However, 41% of Libertarians are for government regulation vs 56% of Libertarians who are against government regulation. This data shows that while the public does not agree with Libertarians on this issue, they don’t necessarily disagree with them either. While economic issues may seem like a debatable topic between the general public and Libertarians, the disagreements are very narrow, if any. In addition economic issues, another issue was raised concerning homosexuality. 62% of the general public think that homosexuality should be accepted while 31% think it should be discouraged. Similarly, 67% of Libertarians accept homosexuality while 26% think it should be discouraged (Kiley). This shows that the majority of the general public also agrees with Libertarians with issues concerning personal rights. Another issue concerning personal rights is marijuana use. 54% of the general public and 65% of Libertarians think that marijuana should be legalized. This shows that a majority of both groups believe that people should have the government should not interfere with personal freedoms. Lastly, another category looked at was the United States involvement with foreign affairs. 60% of the general public thinks that the United States should only focus on our issues back home which is similar to 54% of the Libertarians thinking the same. This data shows Vo 11 that the general public seems to agree with the Libertarian’s stance on economic, social, and world affair issues. Libertarians do not only provide a more moderate stance between the democrats and republicans, but they also relieve polarization between the two major parties by providing a middle ground. Third parties also relieve polarization by providing citizens with other options. Many citizens vote for third parties in the form of protest voting. Protest voters are usually “…disenchanted with the performance of the major parties or the incumbent government, may vote for a third party not so much to unseat an incumbent as to reduce the majority of that incumbent and so send a message of dissatisfaction” (Bowler and Lanoue). Protest voting is a way for citizens to express their dislike for both major parties and a dislike for incumbents. This is an important way for citizens to express a need for change. If a large amount of people protest vote, the results in the elections would show an overwhelming discontent for the major parties and would push the government toward a change. In addition to that, third parties also provide more options for voters so they wouldn’t feel that they would only have two parties to choose from. Third parties don’t only provide other options for the voting population and relieving polarization, they also bring up essential issues. PBS, an informative news station stated that, “In the late 1800s and early 1900s, the Socialists popularized the women’s suffrage movement. They advocated for child labor laws in 1904 and, along with the Populist Party, introduced the notion of a 40-hour work week, which led to the Fair Labor Standards Act of 1938” (Nwazota). Because a third party brought up the issue of women’s suffrage, the general public became more invested in it. This caused the Republicans and Democrats to adopt this issue into their platform and when they won the election, they allowed congress to pass the Fair Labor Standard Act. Third parties are what introduces real change into our democracy and society. Unfortunately, once the issue has Vo 12 been called into attention by the major two parties, the issue will dissolve, as do the third parties who bring up the issues. It is virtually impossible for third parties to get elected due to the lack of attention from the media and the winner take all system. Due to these factors, Congress is able to control the distribution of votes through controlling the media and gerrymandering. Since Congress is ran by predominantly democrats and republicans, these two parties are deciding who gets elected, and what issues will be addressed. Since they don’t want to share the Figure 6. We The People, from Backbone Campaign; Rolling Rebellion Sparks in Seattle to Defend Internet & Stop the TPP; Flickr. Yahoo! Web. 02 May 2016. power with third parties, presidential debates and redistricting will always be steered towards keeping third parties from getting on the ballot. However, having two parties dominate the US political system and dictating votes is a horrible representation of US democracy. If the public continues to only vote for major parties, democrats and republicans will continue to solely run the government. This means that the United States will progress in the pace that Congress wants it to, and the people elected will be who Congress wants, not what the public wants. If the power is really in the hands of a selected few instead of the entire population, this is not a democracy. Although third parties continue to be ignored by the majority of the public, they do have enough power to play a role in the political system. Third parties serve a very important purpose in the United States by providing the public with more choices, enabling protest voting, and bringing up essential issues. Because of third parties, new issues and opinions that Congress does Vo 13 not address can still be addressed. The public should make a larger effort to learn about third parties and put them in power because then a true democracy will be restored. Vo 14 Works Cited Ansari, Dima. "Three’s a Crowd: How the Media Ignored Third Party Candidates | The Chicago Monitor." The Chicago Monitor Threes a Crowd How the Media Ignored Third Party Candidates Comments. 13 Nov. 2012. Web. 23 Mar. 2016. Bowler, Shaun, and David J. Lanoue. "Strategic and Protest Voting for Third Parties: The Case of the Canadian NDP." Sage Journals. Web. 1 May 2016. Chace, James (2004). 1912: Wilson, Roosevelt, Taft, and Debs—The Election That Changed the Country. New York: Simon and Schuster. Web. 1 May 2016 Chamberlain, Adam. “The Growth of Third-Party Voting: An Empirical Case Study of Vermont, 1840–55.” State Politics and Policy Quarterly. Web 25 Mar. 2016 Harper, Jennifer. "Third Party Anger: Libertarian and Green Candidates Sue the Commission on Presidential Debates." Washington Times. The Washington Times, 29 Sept. 2015. Web. 01 May 2016. Ingraham, Christopher. "This Is Actually What America Would Look like without Gerrymandering." Washington Post. The Washington Post, 13 Jan. 2016. Web. 01 May 2016. Kiley, Jocelyn. "In Search of Libertarians." Pew Research Center RSS. 25 Aug. 2014. Web. 23 Mar. 2016. Kirch, John F. "Why News Reporters Ignore Third-party Candidates." Sage Journals. 2015. Web. 1 May 2016. Liu, Joseph. "The Tea Party and Religion." Pew Research Centers Religion Public Life Project RSS. 23 Feb. 2011. Web. 01 May 2016. Meadows, Donella. "A Vote Wasted?" Proquest. 2000. Web. 1 May 2016. Vo 15 Nwazota, Kristina. "Third Parties in the U.S. Political Process." PBS. PBS, 26 July 2004. Web. 23 Mar. 2016. "Office of the Clerk, United States House of Representatives." Office of the Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. Web. 01 May 2016. "Rolling Rebellion Sparks in Seattle to Defend Internet & Stop the TPP." Flickr. Yahoo! Web. 02 May 2016. "Teddy Roosevelt Nominated as Bull Moose Candidate." History.com. A&E Television Networks. Web. 01 May 2016. "Www.gp.org." Www.gp.org. Web. 01 May 2016. Vo 16 Multimodal Reasoning: 1. Figure 1: "Who Calls Themselves Libertarians" shows the 11% split up into ideologies. This is important because in the last category it shows the 11% split up into political parties: democrats, republicans, and independents. The majority is independent, showing that Libertarians are not mostly controlled by the two major parties. They have their own beliefs and agendas. Also, most Libertarians are college graduates, meaning that as more people graduate college, the number of Libertarians may rise. This could contribute to the rise in Libertarianism. 2. Figure 2. Comparison of Towns” shows a visual representation of the medians in towns that were in clusters vs towns that were not in clusters. This gives the reader a better understanding of the difference between 60% and 78%. Not only that, the box shows that the range for towns that were not in clusters is much more spread out than towns in clusters. This shows that there is more disagreement in voting for third parties in towns that were not in clusters. 3. “300 republicans, 232 democrats, and only two independents” in a larger font emphasizes the amount of republicans and democrats vs the amount of independents in congress. This shows a huge gap in the difference in ideologies that congress has. We either have a very liberal perspective or a very conservative perspective. There is very few people who can relieve the polarization and help congress find a middle ground. This number supports the argument that when congress declares something, it is in the interest of either a democrat or republican since they overpower the independents. 4. “Strategic voting necessarily hurts third parties and that the transfer of votes is typical from the third party to one of the bigger ones” is in a larger font because it emphasizes that Vo 17 strategic voting ends up hurting third parties. I think this may be the most important quote in the paper. While people think that strategic voting eliminates their least favorite candidate, it also eliminates their first choice. In my opinion, strategic voting is the biggest reason why third parties cannot win. 5. Figure 3: “The Vote Splitting” gives a visual representation of the vote being split. It’s clear to see that the major states: California and Pennsylvania which was worth a lot of votes were split between Roosevelt and Taft. This allowed Wilson to win by a landslide. This emphasizes that a successful third party will more likely split the vote and allow the alternative party to win rather than winning itself. 6. Figure 4: "Comparing Gerrymandering" is a really important visual representation. It shows the difference between the US map with gerrymandering and a computer generated map. This emphasizes the fact that gerrymandering shows a bias by showing the uneven, squiggly lines that congress drew. The computer generated lines are a lot more even, but congress still decides to hand draw the districts to control the distribution of votes. 7. Figure 5. "Comparing the General Public and Libertarians" shows the comparison of ideologies between the general public and libertarians. The three graphs shows economic issues, personal rights, and world affairs. This is important because it gives a visual comparison instead of just a list of statistics. 8. "We The People" gives a pathos appeal. The dark night allows the sign “We the people” to illuminate the picture. The phrase “We the people” emphasizes the fact that democracy is for the people to decide who gets elected, not for the government to decide.
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