Interconnection Strategies for ISPs William B. Norton Co-Founder, Chief Technical Liaison <[email protected]> Workshop: A Practical Guide to Interconnect, Transit & Peering Earls Court Conference & Exhibition Centre, London April 26, 2002 09:30-17:00 Research Focus • Interconnection Strategies : Direct Circuit Interconnect Model vs. Exchange-based Interconnection Model • When do each of these make sense? • Based on current practices, existing or soon to exist technology • White Paper & Financial Model Neutral Internet Business Exchange Model • Basis for Exchangebased model comparison • Infrastructure • Neutrality • Facilitation • Players Content Providers Neutral Internet Business Exchange Model Internet Services Companies Carriers Direct Circuit Interconnection Strategy Point-to-point circuits for ISP interc onnec tion for regional presenc e Cost drivers: •Circuit sizes (c) •Circuit miles (m,loc) •CircuitCost=fn(c,m,loc) •# of participants (n) (1/2 cost paid by each party) Direct Circuit Cost Function: S S S S G G G G U U U U A A A A C C C C ISPXCCost=(n-1)*CircuitCost()/2 Exchange-based Interconnection Strategy Expensive OC-3 circuits for ISP interconnection replaced with... A big pipe and... Inexpensive fiber cross connects for Interconnection at OC-3 (or any speed) OC-12 S S S S G G G G U U U U A A A A C C C C S OC-12 G OC-12 OC-12 U A OC-12 EXCost=BDC+(n-1)*x/2 Aggregation of traffic exchange C But does it make sense? over big pipes yields 2:1 efficiency increase over direct circuit alternative.. Exchange-Based Interconnection Model Direct circuits replaced with: •OC-12 into Exchange •Fiber cross connects OC-12 S G S G S S G G S OC-12 G Cost Drivers: OC-12 U U U U U •Big OC-12 Direct Circuit •Cheap Fiber Cross Connects OC-12 A A A A A •Aggregation Efficiency over OC-12 (2:1,3:1) OC-12 C C C C C •Rack Fees Cost Formula: ExchangeModelCost=BigDirectCircuit()+(n-1)*x/2+RackFees() Cost Comparison at n=5 Expensive OC-3 circuits for ISP interconnection replaced with... A big pipe and... Inexpensive fiber cross connects for Interconnection at OC-3 (or any speed) OC-12 costDCfn()=(n-1)*C/2 C=OC-3 @ $11,400 n=5 costDC=(4)*$11,400/2 costDC=$22,800/mo S S S S G G G G U U U U A A A A C C C C S OC-12 G OC-12 OC-12 U A OC-12 C costExchfn()=BDC+(n-1)*x/2+Racks BDC=OC-12 @ $23,000 n=5, 1 Rack@$1500 costExch=$23,000+(4)(200/2)+$1500 More expensive to use Exchange-Based Interconnection Strategy at n=5. N>5? costExch=$24,900/mo Aggregation of traffic exchange over big pipes yields 2:1 efficiency increase over direct circuit alternative.. Exchange-based vs. Direct Circuit Cost Model At low n, cost of big circuit is greater than half-cost circuits. $200,000 $150,000 $100,000 $50,000 ($50,000) # of exchange partners Aggregation kicks in… efficiency=2:1 (to 3:1) Dynamics accelerate as BW requirements grow… Today’s quotes->Monthly savings can get huge 64 61 58 55 52 49 46 43 40 37 34 31 28 25 22 19 16 13 10 7 4 $0 1 Monthly Cost Savings Steps represent incremental circuit growth req’d for interconnection. Cost Savings of Exchange Point Interconnection over Circuit-based Interconnection Strategy Exchange-based applying DWDM over dark fiber Facilities-based providers win big! Cost Savings of Dark Fiber Exchange point ISP Interconnection $250,000 $200,000 $150,000 $100,000 $50,000 ($50,000) Aggregation back to net Number of Exchange Participants 61 57 53 49 45 41 37 33 29 25 21 17 13 9 $0 1 Seamlessly scale BW within exchange to other ISPs/CPs $300,000 5 Seamlessly scale BW into exchange Cost Savings compared against direct circuit interconnects $350,000 Direct Circuit vs. Exchangebased Interconnection Strategies Cost Comparison of Interconnection Strategies $400,000 Monthly Cost of Interconnection $350,000 $300,000 $250,000 $200,000 $150,000 $100,000 $50,000 # of participants 64 61 58 55 52 49 46 43 40 37 34 31 28 25 22 19 16 13 10 7 4 $- 1 BW Scaling: DC: Linear BC: Stepped Linear DF: Linear Efficient IX Revenue Generation Potential S S S S OC-12 or Dark Fiber S OC-3s G G G G G Transit Customer Large Content Regional ISPs Content Host er U U U U U ISP Point of Presence Int ernat ional Presence A C A C A C A A Rack Space for Collocation Customers C C Revenue Projections Attachment Speed for # Transit New Transit Sales Customer 6 DS-3 1 OC-3 Revenue to ISP per New Customer per Month $30,000 $70,000 Monthly Revenue from Participation $180,000 $70,000 Annual Incremental Revenue: Total Annual Revenue from Participation $2,160,000 $840,000 $2,900,000 Financial Model Assumptions •65 participants (5 carriers, 10 Autonomous Content Providers, 50 ISPs) •Revenue & Projections figures based on interviews and participation modeled from PAIX •Assuming zero growth in bandwidth demand through period •Sufficient bandwidth into exchange to accommodate load The Point: Incremental Revenue Generation not possible with Direct Circuit Model Future of the IXP? ISP Internet Service Providers Autonomous Content Providers & Aggregators ISP Content Distribution Hosting Usenet E-mail ISP Backbone CP CP Component Service Providers Access Caching Systems Inc. Search Carriers MarketPlace: Stratification of component operations, fast creation & provisioning of packaged operations services for resale to customers Implication: IXP Content Sources, bandwidth demands Conclusions • Direct Circuit Interconnection Strategy makes sense for interconnection among ~5 or fewer parties • Aggregation and Optical efficiencies lead to tremendous cost efficiencies by using big circuits into exchange • Facilities-based providers win big applying DWDM into exchange • Large bandwidth (OC-12) for interconnections and/or large # of participants exhibit good scaling properties for exchange-based model • Incremental transit sales possible in exchange-based model • White paper available in RTF -- comments welcome Business Cards or e-mail to: [email protected] Direct Circuit Interconnect Model S S S Questions? S OC-12 or Dark Fiber S OC-3s G G G G G Exchange-Based Interconnection Model Transit Customer Large Content Regional ISPs Content Host er U U U U U ISP Point of Presence Int ernat ional Presence A C A C A C A A Rack Space for Collocation Customers C C
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